MLB Predictions — April 13, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ BAL	3 - 4	2 - 3	BAL wins 3-2	60%	enhanced_ml
BOS @ MIN	4 - 5	3 - 4	MIN wins 4-3	75%	enhanced_ml
CHC @ PHI	4 - 3	6 - 0	CHC wins 6-0	63%	enhanced_ml
CLE @ STL	4 - 3	1 - 3	STL wins 3-1	69%	enhanced_ml
HOU @ SEA	5 - 6	0 - 4	SEA wins 4-0	74%	enhanced_ml
LAA @ NYY	3 - 5	4 - 5	NYY wins 5-4	61%	enhanced_ml
MIA @ ATL	2 - 8	4 - 8	ATL wins 8-4	83%	enhanced_ml
NYM @ LAD	2 - 8	6 - 8	LAD wins 8-6	84%	enhanced_ml
TEX @ OAK	2 - 4	4 - 5	OAK wins 5-4	78%	enhanced_ml
WAS @ PIT	4 - 5	4 - 6	PIT wins 6-4	82%	enhanced_ml

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Baltimore Orioles

ARI 9-7 (4.0 RPG / 4.38 RA)

2 - 3

BAL 8-7 (4.0 RPG / 3.93 RA)

BAL WINS Target: ARI 3 - 4 BAL Confidence: 60.4% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	5
BAL	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	x	3	5

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ketel Marte	2B	15	61	12	0.197	2	7	0.258	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.281	0.358	0.500	LARGE
Corbin Carroll	RF	14	49	16	0.327	2	11	0.414	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.259	0.346	0.518	MODERATE
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	16	51	8	0.157	1	4	0.286	3	2	0	1	1	0	0.667	0.319	0.421	0.507	LARGE
Adrian Del Castillo	C	4	16	5	0.312	0	4	0.312	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.293	0.390	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	10	36	12	0.333	2	7	0.333	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.303	0.409	MODERATE
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	9	33	13	0.394	1	5	0.429	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.283	0.375	MODERATE
Nolan Arenado	3B	14	50	9	0.180	0	3	0.192	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.231	0.279	0.357	MODERATE
Alek Thomas	CF	12	42	6	0.143	0	5	0.200	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.275	0.359	LARGE
Jorge Barrosa	LF	10	35	7	0.200	0	3	0.222	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.160	0.186	0.274	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									32	5	2	2	2	6	0.156

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	15	62	15	0.242	6	12	0.338	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.273	0.350	0.450	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	15	59	21	0.356	0	8	0.443	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.229	0.319	0.470	MODERATE
Pete Alonso	1B	15	58	11	0.190	1	5	0.288	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.272	0.347	0.524	LARGE
Samuel Basallo	C	11	40	6	0.150	2	3	0.261	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.161	0.238	0.322	OK
Dylan Beavers	DH	12	36	9	0.250	1	5	0.317	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.233	0.362	0.390	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	9	22	8	0.364	0	4	0.462	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.276	0.317	0.388	MODERATE
Colton Cowser	RF	11	29	7	0.241	0	3	0.324	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.165	0.249	0.330	MODERATE
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	12	40	11	0.275	1	6	0.286	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.280	0.330	0.455	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	10	33	8	0.242	0	1	0.286	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.235	0.308	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									29	5	3	3	0	8	0.172

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryne Nelson	Starter	3	13.6	4.63	1.176	7.9	12	6.0	5	3	3	0	7	101	4.2	3	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0.5	0	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.1	2	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dean Kremer	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	6.0	2	1	1	1	2	89	5.2	5	2
Ryan Helsley	Middle Reliever	6	5.1	3.53	2.157	12.4	7	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	30	1.1	2	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	0.00	0.484	11.6	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	3	1
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	6	5.3	3.40	1.132	17.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	0.5	1	1

Game Summary

BAL wins 3-2

Boston Red Sox @ Minnesota Twins

BOS 6-9 (4.13 RPG / 4.13 RA)

3 - 4

MIN 9-7 (4.94 RPG / 4.44 RA)

MIN WINS Target: BOS 4 - 5 MIN Confidence: 75.3% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	3	8
MIN	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	x	4	8

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	DH	14	55	11	0.200	1	3	0.290	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.320	0.418	0.508	LARGE
Caleb Durbin	3B	14	47	5	0.106	0	5	0.208	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.244	0.325	0.364	LARGE
Jarren Duran	LF	12	46	9	0.196	0	8	0.302	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.243	0.336	0.426	MODERATE
Willson Contreras	1B	15	53	16	0.302	3	11	0.448	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.262	0.355	0.453	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	15	59	20	0.339	3	9	0.381	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.256	0.323	0.479	MODERATE
Trevor Story	SS	15	66	12	0.182	1	11	0.188	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.269	0.312	0.441	LARGE
Marcelo Mayer	2B	14	40	8	0.200	1	3	0.267	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.221	0.265	0.390	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	10	33	8	0.242	0	0	0.265	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.305	0.400	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	14	43	14	0.326	1	5	0.396	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.294	0.405	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	3	3	3	10	0.229

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Byron Buxton	CF	14	55	10	0.182	0	1	0.258	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.256	0.320	0.523	LARGE
Austin Martin	LF	12	30	9	0.300	0	2	0.488	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.294	0.392	0.380	OK
Luke Keaschall	2B	16	61	13	0.213	1	7	0.269	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.354	0.403	MODERATE
Ryan Jeffers	C	11	37	10	0.270	1	7	0.400	4	2	0	2	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.351	0.391	OK
Josh Bell	DH	16	51	14	0.275	3	12	0.397	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.335	0.431	OK
Victor Caratini	1B	13	46	12	0.261	0	5	0.345	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.330	0.369	OK
Matt Wallner	RF	15	59	13	0.220	3	6	0.281	4	1	0	1	0	2	0.250	0.187	0.293	0.454	OK
Brooks Lee	SS	13	42	10	0.238	2	8	0.289	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.284	0.371	OK
Ryan Kreidler	3B	1	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.303	0.409
TEAM TOTALS									32	8	4	4	4	6	0.250

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Garrett Crochet	Starter	3	17.1	3.16	1.053	11.6	22	6.0	7	3	3	3	3	109	7.0	9	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	1.80	0.800	5.4	3	2.0	1	1	1	1	3	32	0.5	1	1

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bailey Ober	Starter	3	13.2	5.45	1.288	4.8	7	6.0	7	3	3	1	8	118	4.2	5	2
Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	6	4.4	6.14	2.045	8.2	4	2.0	0	0	0	2	2	35	1.2	2	0
Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	8	5.8	12.41	2.069	10.9	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 4-3

Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies

CHC 7-8 (4.4 RPG / 3.73 RA)

6 - 0

PHI 7-8 (3.53 RPG / 4.6 RA)

CHC WINS Target: CHC 4 - 3 PHI Confidence: 62.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	6	8
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nico Hoerner	2B	15	57	18	0.316	1	10	0.420	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.322	0.365	0.430	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	15	61	13	0.213	2	6	0.290	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.266	0.354	0.444	MODERATE
Seiya Suzuki	DH	3	10	2	0.200	0	0	0.385	5	2	0	1	0	0	0.400	0.243	0.323	0.480	MODERATE
Ian Happ	LF	13	52	10	0.192	4	7	0.300	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.235	0.335	0.412	MODERATE
Carson Kelly	1B	12	39	12	0.308	0	3	0.413	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.234	0.297	0.369	MODERATE
Dansby Swanson	SS	15	49	8	0.163	2	7	0.311	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.242	0.299	0.413	LARGE
Miguel Amaya	C	7	21	5	0.238	1	4	0.333	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.274	0.328	0.487	OK
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	15	59	12	0.203	1	4	0.242	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.286	0.474	MODERATE
Matt Shaw	RF	14	41	9	0.220	2	6	0.250	4	2	1	4	0	2	0.500	0.220	0.333	0.390	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	6	6	5	6	0.229

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	15	63	16	0.254	1	5	0.299	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.304	0.354	0.456	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	15	52	11	0.212	4	9	0.379	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.341	0.596	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	15	55	15	0.273	3	10	0.375	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.358	0.485	OK
Adolis García	RF	15	54	11	0.204	2	4	0.279	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.271	0.390	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	14	52	14	0.269	2	9	0.291	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.305	0.348	0.545	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	14	54	8	0.148	1	8	0.233	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.292	0.361	0.411	LARGE
Bryson Stott	2B	13	46	9	0.196	0	2	0.260	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.318	0.371	MODERATE
J.T. Realmuto	C	10	33	7	0.212	1	1	0.350	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.257	0.318	0.395	MODERATE
Justin Crawford	CF	14	44	15	0.341	0	1	0.408	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.250	0.320	0.420	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	0	0	1	9	0.182

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Javier Assad	Starter	1	5.2	0.00	0.577	5.2	3	6.0	4	0	0	1	5	87	4.1	5	2
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	0.00	1.000	9.0	5	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	29	0.5	1	0
Riley Martin	Middle Reliever	3	3.1	0.00	0.645	8.7	3	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	2	1

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	3	16.1	1.68	1.366	12.9	23	5.0	7	6	6	4	3	111	5.1	9	4
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	1.45	0.806	11.6	8	2.0	1	0	0	1	0	35	0.5	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	8	3.6	17.50	3.333	17.5	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.5	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	0.00	1.000	3.0	1	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-0

Cleveland Guardians @ St. Louis Cardinals

CLE 9-7 (3.62 RPG / 4.19 RA)

1 - 3

STL 8-7 (4.4 RPG / 5.33 RA)

STL WINS Target: CLE 4 - 3 STL Confidence: 68.8% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	8
STL	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	3	7

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	15	57	14	0.246	1	4	0.338	5	2	0	1	0	1	0.400	0.243	0.295	0.326	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	13	42	13	0.310	1	6	0.383	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.194	0.280	0.277	MODERATE
José Ramírez	3B	16	61	11	0.180	2	7	0.275	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.362	0.498	LARGE
Rhys Hoskins	1B	12	39	9	0.231	1	5	0.333	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.333	0.420	OK
David Fry	DH	10	20	4	0.200	0	0	0.304	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.174	0.219	0.372	OK
Daniel Schneemann	CF	12	34	9	0.265	0	4	0.286	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.148	0.188	0.246	LARGE
Juan Brito	2B	5	18	5	0.278	0	1	0.350	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.303	0.409	OK
Austin Hedges	C	5	18	7	0.389	0	1	0.421	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.184	0.273	0.299	LARGE
Brayan Rocchio	SS	16	47	8	0.170	1	6	0.316	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.257	0.310	0.401	LARGE
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	1	1	1	7	0.229

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	15	56	12	0.214	1	5	0.338	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.338	0.286	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	15	52	10	0.192	0	6	0.377	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.269	0.360	0.429	LARGE
Alec Burleson	1B	15	54	14	0.259	2	11	0.379	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.285	0.346	0.449	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	15	55	18	0.327	7	14	0.393	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.293	0.364	MODERATE
Nolan Gorman	3B	14	44	9	0.205	2	9	0.302	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.191	0.284	0.339	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	10	39	6	0.154	0	1	0.267	3	1	0	2	0	0	0.333	0.245	0.309	0.351	LARGE
Nathan Church	LF	11	33	5	0.152	1	4	0.200	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.169	0.235	0.247	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	9	28	5	0.179	1	3	0.258	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.226	0.271	0.360	MODERATE
Victor Scott II	CF	14	41	11	0.268	0	3	0.279	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.221	0.302	0.296	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	7	3	3	1	6	0.226

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	3	17.2	2.09	1.105	13.1	25	5.0	5	3	3	1	5	80	4.1	6	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	7	7.0	6.43	1.429	12.9	10	3.0	2	0	0	0	1	42	1.2	2	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	3	16.0	3.38	1.500	5.6	10	5.0	4	0	0	0	4	82	6.1	5	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	8	8.1	0.00	0.494	8.9	8	2.0	3	1	1	1	1	35	1.1	2	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	7	6.5	0.00	1.077	6.9	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.5	1	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	5	6.3	1.43	1.111	5.7	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	2.2	1	1

Game Summary

STL wins 3-1

Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners

HOU 6-11 (5.59 RPG / 6.29 RA)

0 - 4

SEA 8-9 (4.06 RPG / 3.41 RA)

SEA WINS Target: HOU 5 - 6 SEA Confidence: 73.7% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
SEA	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	x	4	6

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed7.3

Run Diff-19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	16	57	19	0.333	2	6	0.457	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.300	0.404	MODERATE
Yordan Alvarez	LF	16	53	18	0.340	6	14	0.500	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.289	0.402	0.509	OK
Isaac Paredes	DH	11	40	9	0.225	0	6	0.340	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.352	0.432	OK
Christian Walker	1B	16	57	17	0.298	3	13	0.375	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.301	0.431	OK
Carlos Correa	3B	13	51	15	0.294	1	9	0.368	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.294	0.356	0.432	OK
Cam Smith	RF	16	56	16	0.286	3	8	0.375	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.320	0.376	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	2	7	2	0.286	0	3	0.375	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.202	0.306	0.339	MODERATE
Yainer Diaz	C	12	48	10	0.208	1	8	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.288	0.423	MODERATE
Nick Allen	SS	7	14	3	0.214	0	0	0.312	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.286	0.248	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	0	0	2	6	0.206

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brendan Donovan	3B	12	41	12	0.293	3	6	0.400	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.288	0.366	0.451	OK
Cal Raleigh	DH	16	60	8	0.133	2	10	0.232	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.365	0.607	LARGE
Julio Rodríguez	CF	16	62	12	0.194	1	5	0.286	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.319	0.471	MODERATE
Josh Naylor	1B	15	59	6	0.102	0	2	0.197	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.292	0.352	0.462	LARGE
Randy Arozarena	LF	16	55	16	0.291	1	7	0.426	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.335	0.417	OK
Luke Raley	RF	14	47	12	0.255	3	9	0.314	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.298	0.287	MODERATE
J.P. Crawford	SS	9	24	5	0.208	0	4	0.457	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.233	0.300	0.348	OK
Mitch Garver	C	3	8	1	0.125	0	0	0.364	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.218	0.294	0.372	LARGE
Cole Young	2B	16	54	14	0.259	2	9	0.355	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.214	0.314	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	6	4	4	1	6	0.200

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Burrows	Starter	3	15.3	5.88	1.830	8.8	15	6.0	5	4	4	1	4	95	4.0	5	2
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	7	4.3	18.84	4.186	20.9	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	0.5	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	6	5.5	1.64	1.273	14.7	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	2	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	3	20.0	3.60	0.900	7.2	16	6.0	4	0	0	0	4	75	5.2	6	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	3.00	1.333	13.5	9	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	19	1.0	3	1
Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	6	5.2	0.00	0.769	6.9	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	1.2	0	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	7	5.5	1.64	1.455	9.8	6	1.0	2	0	0	1	2	32	1.2	3	1

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-0

Los Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees

LAA 8-8 (4.56 RPG / 4.81 RA)

4 - 5

NYY 8-7 (4.33 RPG / 2.93 RA)

NYY WINS Target: LAA 3 - 5 NYY Confidence: 61.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	8
NYY	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	2	x	5	9

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	16	64	16	0.250	5	8	0.368	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.325	0.481	OK
Mike Trout	CF	15	53	11	0.208	2	7	0.400	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.358	0.398	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	14	56	13	0.232	2	11	0.323	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.350	0.388	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	16	57	12	0.211	4	16	0.319	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.214	0.298	0.399	OK
Yoán Moncada	3B	13	40	5	0.125	1	4	0.340	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.219	0.336	0.420	LARGE
Jo Adell	RF	16	64	19	0.297	1	6	0.328	4	1	1	4	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.269	0.508	MODERATE
Josh Lowe	LF	12	38	5	0.132	2	4	0.233	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.272	0.355	LARGE
Logan O'Hoppe	C	14	43	10	0.233	0	6	0.358	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.268	0.361	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	6	15	4	0.267	0	2	0.450	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.267	0.324	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	8	4	4	1	6	0.229

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	3	10	2	0.200	1	3	0.333	4	1	0	1	1	0	0.250	0.243	0.292	0.351	MODERATE
Aaron Judge	RF	15	55	12	0.218	4	9	0.328	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.376	0.522	0.730	LARGE
Cody Bellinger	CF	15	54	13	0.241	1	6	0.338	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.265	0.348	0.426	OK
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	14	50	15	0.300	1	8	0.364	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.339	0.564	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	9	24	7	0.292	2	6	0.333	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.298	0.312	0.479	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	15	56	10	0.179	0	3	0.233	2	1	2	0	2	1	0.500	0.239	0.323	0.461	MODERATE
Randal Grichuk	LF	5	12	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.211	0.254	0.369
José Caballero	SS	14	48	7	0.146	0	4	0.196	2	1	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.251	0.366	0.389	LARGE
Austin Wells	C	13	39	6	0.154	1	1	0.267	4	1	0	1	0	2	0.250	0.214	0.274	0.411	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									32	9	5	5	5	8	0.281

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yusei Kikuchi	Starter	3	14.2	6.97	1.831	10.1	16	5.0	6	3	3	4	3	101	4.2	4	2
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	6	4.3	0.00	0.465	14.7	7	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	30	1.2	2	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	8	3.7	4.86	2.703	17.0	7	1.0	2	2	2	1	2	26	3.0	3	2

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	3	13.5	3.33	1.407	9.3	14	6.0	7	4	4	1	4	100	5.1	5	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	5.81	2.419	11.6	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20	0.5	1	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	8	4.6	7.83	1.522	11.7	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11	0.5	1	0
Jake Bird	Middle Reliever	6	4.6	0.00	0.870	15.7	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	3	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-4

Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves

MIA 8-8 (4.38 RPG / 4.38 RA)

4 - 8

ATL 10-6 (5.62 RPG / 2.75 RA)

ATL WINS Target: MIA 2 - 8 ATL Confidence: 82.9% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	6
ATL	0	0	3	4	0	0	1	0	x	8	10

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.6

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff34

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	16	62	9	0.145	0	3	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.337	0.421	LARGE
Xavier Edwards	2B	16	60	21	0.350	1	6	0.400	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.290	0.348	0.369	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	15	56	12	0.214	0	4	0.312	4	2	2	0	0	0	0.500	0.220	0.283	0.377	OK
Liam Hicks	C	15	43	12	0.279	3	13	0.347	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.219	0.326	0.281	MODERATE
Otto Lopez	SS	15	55	18	0.327	2	6	0.377	3	1	1	3	0	1	0.333	0.254	0.311	0.384	MODERATE
Owen Caissie	RF	13	40	11	0.275	2	12	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.327	0.493	OK
Connor Norby	1B	14	42	10	0.238	1	3	0.377	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.285	0.356	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	13	38	5	0.132	0	5	0.267	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.335	0.415	LARGE
Graham Pauley	3B	11	31	5	0.161	0	4	0.188	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.316	0.363	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									32	6	4	4	0	4	0.188

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	16	62	15	0.242	1	5	0.333	4	1	2	2	1	1	0.250	0.282	0.405	0.498	OK
Drake Baldwin	C	16	66	20	0.303	5	17	0.370	3	1	3	1	2	1	0.333	0.263	0.337	0.457	OK
Matt Olson	1B	16	62	18	0.290	4	11	0.380	4	2	0	3	0	2	0.500	0.271	0.362	0.483	OK
Austin Riley	3B	16	57	13	0.228	0	6	0.333	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.306	0.401	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	15	50	9	0.180	0	3	0.293	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.324	0.374	MODERATE
Ozzie Albies	2B	16	63	19	0.302	3	7	0.338	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.307	0.365	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	12	31	11	0.355	3	10	0.394	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.301	0.347	0.470	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	14	51	12	0.235	2	7	0.264	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.270	0.415	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	15	57	20	0.351	2	11	0.373	4	2	2	0	0	0	0.500	0.275	0.309	0.407	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									34	10	8	8	4	6	0.294

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	3	16.0	5.06	1.375	10.1	18	5.0	8	7	7	2	1	101	5.0	4	2
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	5	4.1	6.59	1.707	15.4	7	2.0	2	1	1	2	3	48	0.5	1	0
Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	7	4.6	9.78	2.609	13.7	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	0.5	1	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	3	17.2	2.62	1.105	7.3	14	5.0	6	4	4	0	4	82	4.1	4	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	5	5.2	0.00	0.577	8.7	5	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	0.00	0.833	10.5	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1.1	3	0
Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	6	2.6	0.00	1.538	10.4	3	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

ATL wins 8-4

New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers

NYM 7-9 (3.88 RPG / 4.06 RA)

6 - 8

LAD 11-4 (6.07 RPG / 3.73 RA)

LAD WINS Target: NYM 2 - 8 LAD Confidence: 84.2% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	2	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	9
LAD	0	1	4	0	0	0	3	0	x	8	10

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.9

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff26

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	16	64	12	0.188	0	0	0.307	3	1	0	0	2	2	0.333	0.268	0.345	0.464	LARGE
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	14	47	15	0.319	2	7	0.458	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.233	0.317	0.373	MODERATE
Mark Vientos	1B	12	38	10	0.263	1	5	0.293	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.251	0.307	0.487	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	16	68	16	0.235	1	9	0.284	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.312	0.361	0.473	MODERATE
Jorge Polanco	DH	12	49	9	0.184	1	2	0.259	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.309	0.473	MODERATE
Francisco Alvarez	C	13	40	12	0.300	4	4	0.391	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.262	0.347	0.472	OK
Tommy Pham	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	2	1	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.330	0.370
Marcus Semien	2B	16	58	11	0.190	1	6	0.250	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.299	0.354	OK
Tyrone Taylor	RF	8	19	4	0.211	1	4	0.250	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.209	0.252	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	9	6	6	4	5	0.250

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	15	56	16	0.286	5	10	0.425	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.000	0.000	0.000
Kyle Tucker	RF	15	57	14	0.246	1	9	0.343	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.374	0.445	OK
Will Smith	C	12	44	13	0.295	2	7	0.367	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.276	0.374	0.473	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	13	49	15	0.306	3	11	0.327	4	2	2	3	0	1	0.500	0.241	0.284	0.444	MODERATE
Freddie Freeman	1B	15	62	16	0.258	3	13	0.313	4	1	1	4	0	1	0.250	0.289	0.366	0.494	OK
Andy Pages	CF	15	56	24	0.429	4	17	0.467	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.204	0.238	0.367	LARGE
Max Muncy	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.234	0.274	0.411
Santiago Espinal	2B	4	9	2	0.222	0	2	0.222	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.282	0.287	OK
Miguel Rojas	SS	8	24	7	0.292	0	1	0.308	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.277	0.323	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	10	8	8	3	6	0.294

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Peterson	Starter	3	14.2	6.34	1.901	8.9	14	5.0	7	5	5	1	5	90	6.0	4	5
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	0.00	1.400	12.6	7	2.0	1	3	3	2	1	34	1.0	2	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	8.71	1.452	5.8	4	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	18	0.5	1	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	2	9.0	4.00	1.222	4.0	4	4.0	8	6	6	1	1	81	5.0	5	2
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	6.00	1.667	15.0	10	3.0	1	0	0	3	3	61	0.5	1	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	8	6.2	1.45	0.645	11.6	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.5	1	0
Will Klein	Middle Reliever	5	7.2	1.25	1.250	11.2	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.2	2	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 8-6

Texas Rangers @ Oakland Athletics

TEX 8-7 (3.93 RPG / 3.67 RA)

4 - 5

OAK 8-7 (4.2 RPG / 4.33 RA)

OAK WINS Target: TEX 2 - 4 OAK Confidence: 78.0% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	4	7
OAK	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	13

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	RF	15	60	22	0.367	3	9	0.433	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.275	0.334	0.474	MODERATE
Evan Carter	CF	14	43	10	0.233	2	4	0.340	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.245	0.342	0.401	OK
Corey Seager	SS	15	54	11	0.204	4	10	0.308	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.263	0.365	0.479	MODERATE
Jake Burger	1B	15	61	14	0.230	2	7	0.254	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.235	0.267	0.415	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	13	32	5	0.156	1	2	0.243	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.308	0.379	MODERATE
Kyle Higashioka	C	6	17	5	0.294	1	3	0.368	4	3	2	2	0	0	0.750	0.244	0.295	0.406	OK
Josh Smith	2B	14	46	8	0.174	0	2	0.255	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.207	0.304	0.285	OK
Josh Jung	3B	12	41	10	0.244	0	1	0.311	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.295	0.380	OK
Ezequiel Duran	LF	10	28	7	0.250	1	4	0.276	4	1	0	1	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.270	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	7	4	4	3	9	0.206

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lawrence Butler	RF	14	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.255	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.213	0.293	0.362	MODERATE
Nick Kurtz	1B	14	49	10	0.204	1	3	0.381	3	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.281	0.383	0.586	MODERATE
Shea Langeliers	C	14	58	17	0.293	5	10	0.328	5	3	2	2	0	0	0.600	0.278	0.325	0.542	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	15	59	13	0.220	2	13	0.281	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.326	0.389	0.505	LARGE
Jacob Wilson	SS	14	60	15	0.250	0	3	0.250	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.304	0.344	0.429	MODERATE
Jeff McNeil	2B	14	44	14	0.318	0	3	0.375	4	3	0	1	1	0	0.750	0.257	0.342	0.407	OK
Max Muncy	3B	15	59	18	0.305	2	5	0.328	4	1	0	1	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.274	0.411	MODERATE
Carlos Cortes	DH	10	21	7	0.333	1	5	0.440	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.313	0.347	0.548	OK
Denzel Clarke	CF	14	38	6	0.158	0	5	0.220	4	2	0	1	0	0	0.500	0.215	0.263	0.328	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									37	13	5	5	4	1	0.351

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	3	14.2	8.24	1.901	12.0	19	5.0	7	4	4	4	1	121	6.1	7	3
Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	7	8.0	0.00	0.500	6.8	6	2.0	2	0	0	0	0	26	1.1	2	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	8	6.5	0.00	1.231	9.7	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.2	2	0
Chris Martin	Middle Reliever	7	5.3	8.49	2.075	10.2	6	0.0	4	1	1	0	0	14	0.5	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Severino	Starter	3	13.1	5.50	1.832	11.7	17	6.0	2	0	0	2	6	107	5.0	6	2
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	7	5.4	8.33	2.222	8.3	5	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	29	1.1	2	1
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	9	8.6	3.14	1.977	10.5	10	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	24	0.5	1	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	8	5.7	7.89	2.105	9.5	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.5	1	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 5-4

Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

WAS 7-8 (5.93 RPG / 5.87 RA)

4 - 6

PIT 9-6 (4.4 RPG / 3.87 RA)

PIT WINS Target: WAS 4 - 5 PIT Confidence: 81.6% enhanced_ml

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	6
PIT	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	x	6	9

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed6.6

Run Diff-10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	15	62	17	0.274	5	14	0.392	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.243	0.321	0.438	OK
Luis Garcia	1B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
CJ Abrams	SS	14	53	17	0.321	4	16	0.403	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.323	0.444	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	15	66	18	0.273	0	5	0.314	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.342	0.385	0.587	MODERATE
Jacob Young	CF	13	41	12	0.293	1	5	0.326	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.299	0.307	OK
Jose Fernandez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.303	0.409
Jorbit Vivas	3B	10	24	8	0.333	0	2	0.414	1	0	0	0	3	1	0.000	0.270	0.375	0.303	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	12	45	9	0.200	0	3	0.280	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.291	0.339	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	9	27	6	0.222	1	8	0.241	4	2	0	2	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.274	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	6	4	4	5	9	0.182

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game							Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Oneil Cruz	CF	15	59	20	0.339	5	13	0.400	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.215	0.309	0.408	MODERATE
Brandon Lowe	2B	13	49	12	0.245	5	9	0.373	5	2	2	4	0	2	0.400	0.255	0.314	0.487	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	15	58	15	0.259	3	8	0.343	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.272	0.372	0.456	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	14	51	17	0.333	3	12	0.419	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.279	0.362	0.417	OK
Nick Yorke	3B	10	32	11	0.344	0	2	0.436	4	2	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.269	0.340	0.361	MODERATE
Spencer Horwitz	1B	13	37	8	0.216	0	2	0.333	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.267	0.351	0.416	MODERATE
Konnor Griffin	SS	9	29	4	0.138	0	4	0.235	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.250	0.320	0.420	LARGE
Jake Mangum	LF	10	29	6	0.207	0	1	0.258	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.280	0.317	0.346	MODERATE
Henry Davis	C	9	31	6	0.194	0	3	0.265	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.170	0.240	0.279	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	9	6	6	6	11	0.273

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	3	13.4	2.69	1.567	7.4	11	5.0	4	2	2	5	7	112	6.0	4	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	7	7.2	3.75	1.250	7.5	6	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	38	0.5	1	0
Cole Henry	Middle Reliever	6	6.3	4.29	1.587	11.4	8	1.0	4	4	4	0	2	32	1.0	3	1

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	3	11.3	5.58	1.327	9.6	12	6.0	5	4	4	4	6	122	4.1	8	3
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	1.12	0.750	6.8	6	2.0	0	0	0	1	3	37	0.5	1	0
Justin Lawrence	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	11.25	2.188	16.9	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.5	1	1

Game Summary

PIT wins 6-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Baltimore Orioles

ARI Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Minnesota Twins

BOS Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies

CHC Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ St. Louis Cardinals

CLE Recent Form

STL Recent Form

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners

HOU Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees

LAA Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves

MIA Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers

NYM Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Texas Rangers @ Oakland Athletics

TEX Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

WAS Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation