MLB JSON Audit Report

Generated 2026-06-05 21:35:03. This single HTML file audits only the selected game date. The default view focuses on actionable problems first; detailed checks, passed checks, batting, pitching, pitch counts, and the rule catalog stay available in collapsible sections.

0Critical
0Error
1Warn
1387Pass
106Info

20260605_BAL@TOR

20260605_BAL@TOR.json • 2026-06-05

BAL 0 - TOR 2
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentBALCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONBAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentTORCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONTOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaBALCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXBAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=4; RBI: current=9, sim=0; R: current=9, sim=0; BB: current=10, sim=0; SO: current=15, sim=7).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaBALCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXBAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Gunnar Henderson: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Taylor Ward: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Samuel Basallo: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Adley Rutschman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Colton Cowser: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTORCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=29; H: current=15, sim=5; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=0; SO: current=12, sim=8).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTORCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXTOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nathan Lukes: AB current=5 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; George Springer: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Daulton Varsho: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jesús Sánchez: AB current=5 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Andrés Giménez: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentBALBATTING_REALISMcurrent:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentTORBATTING_REALISMcurrent:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationBALBATTING_REALISMsimulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationTORBATTING_REALISMsimulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentBALBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentTORBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationBALBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationTORBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:BAL batting walks match TOR pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:BAL batting home runs match TOR pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:BAL batting hits match TOR pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:BAL batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:BAL PA=31 matches TOR BF=31.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:TOR batting walks match BAL pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:TOR batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:TOR batting hits match BAL pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:TOR batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:TOR PA=29 matches BAL BF=29.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaBALCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXBAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaTORCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBALCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEBAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBALCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKBAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBALCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTBAL current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBALCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDBAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTORCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPETOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTORCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKTOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTORCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTTOR current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTORCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDTOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.461.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.539.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.539.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 2 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.596/0.803.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: BAL 4, TOR 5.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: BAL 0 - TOR 2.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TOR.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TOR.{'winner_confidence': 0.539134, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 4, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-31', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.562567, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260531_TOR@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-30', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.557713, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260530_TOR@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.542465, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_TOR@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-28', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.5449999999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260528_TOR@BAL.json'}]}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_BAL@TOR.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: BAL@TOR.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 116.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 117.
PASSpitch_countsimulationBALPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHBAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationBALPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHBAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 116.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTORPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHTOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTORPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHTOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 117.
PASSpitchingcurrentBALPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentBALSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentTORPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentTORSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationBALPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationBALSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationTORPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationTORSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentBALPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentBALPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTORPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTORPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationBALPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationBALPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTORPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTORPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BAL 1 - 2 TOR.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: BAL 0 - 2 TOR.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: TOR wins 2-0.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=TOR, final=TOR.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.539.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 12/59 (0.203).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 14/59 (0.237).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: TOR wins 2-0.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: TOR wins 0-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 0-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 0-2 (delta 1).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 2.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: TOR wins 2-0.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentBALRECENT_FORM_RANGEBAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentBALTEAM_RECENT_RECORDBAL wins and win_pct agree: 12/59 = 0.203.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTORRECENT_FORM_RANGETOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTORTEAM_RECENT_RECORDTOR wins and win_pct agree: 14/59 = 0.237.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentBALBATTING_REALISMcurrent:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentTORBATTING_REALISMcurrent:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationBALBATTING_REALISMsimulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationTORBATTING_REALISMsimulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentBALBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentTORBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationBALBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationTORBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:BAL batting walks match TOR pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:BAL batting home runs match TOR pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:BAL batting hits match TOR pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:BAL batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:BAL PA=31 matches TOR BF=31.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBALRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:TOR batting walks match BAL pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:TOR batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:TOR batting hits match BAL pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:TOR batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:TOR PA=29 matches BAL BF=29.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTORRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaBALCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXBAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaTORCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBALCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEBAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBALCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKBAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBALCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTBAL current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBALCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDBAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTORCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPETOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTORCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKTOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTORCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTTOR current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTORCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDTOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.461.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.539.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.539.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 2 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.596/0.803.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: BAL 4, TOR 5.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: BAL 0 - TOR 2.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TOR.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TOR.{'winner_confidence': 0.539134, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 4, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-31', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.562567, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260531_TOR@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-30', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.557713, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260530_TOR@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.542465, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_TOR@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-28', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.5449999999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260528_TOR@BAL.json'}]}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_BAL@TOR.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: BAL@TOR.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 116.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 117.
PASSpitch_countsimulationBALPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHBAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationBALPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHBAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 116.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTORPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHTOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTORPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHTOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 117.
PASSpitchingcurrentBALPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentBALSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentTORPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentTORSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationBALPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationBALSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationTORPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationTORSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentBALPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentBALPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTORPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTORPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationBALPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationBALPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTORPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTORPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BAL 1 - 2 TOR.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: BAL 0 - 2 TOR.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: TOR wins 2-0.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=TOR, final=TOR.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.539.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 12/59 (0.203).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 14/59 (0.237).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: TOR wins 2-0.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: TOR wins 0-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 0-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 0-2 (delta 1).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 2.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: TOR wins 2-0.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentBALRECENT_FORM_RANGEBAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentBALTEAM_RECENT_RECORDBAL wins and win_pct agree: 12/59 = 0.203.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTORRECENT_FORM_RANGETOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTORTEAM_RECENT_RECORDTOR wins and win_pct agree: 14/59 = 0.237.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentBALCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONBAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentTORCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONTOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaBALCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXBAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=4; RBI: current=9, sim=0; R: current=9, sim=0; BB: current=10, sim=0; SO: current=15, sim=7).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaBALCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXBAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Gunnar Henderson: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Taylor Ward: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Samuel Basallo: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Adley Rutschman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Colton Cowser: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTORCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=29; H: current=15, sim=5; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=0; SO: current=12, sim=8).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTORCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXTOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nathan Lukes: AB current=5 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; George Springer: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Daulton Varsho: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jesús Sánchez: AB current=5 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Andrés Giménez: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml2.9787461757659914.992753505706787Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied35Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction120.539Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment12Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target12Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result02Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
BAL00000000004
TOR00001100025
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentBALbatting58142009910150000
currentBALpitching502088.0200
currentTORbatting5715200985120000
currentTORpitching400079.0000
simulationBALbatting314200000700
simulationBALpitching502088.0229116
simulationTORbatting295200220800
simulationTORpitching400079.0031117
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentBALSSGunnar Henderson092100111200.222
currentBAL1BPete Alonso082000111200.250
currentBALLFTaylor Ward082100112200.250
currentBALDHSamuel Basallo062000111200.333
currentBALCAdley Rutschman072000111100.286
currentBAL3BCoby Mayo061000111200.167
currentBALRFColton Cowser041000111100.250
currentBALCFLeody Taveras061000111200.167
currentBAL2BJackson Holliday041000111100.250
currentTORRFNathan Lukes052000110100.400
currentTORDHGeorge Springer082100111200.250
currentTOR1BVladimir Guerrero Jr.072000111100.286
currentTORCFDaulton Varsho072000111100.286
currentTORLFJesús Sánchez051000110100.200
currentTOR3BKazuma Okamoto072000111300.286
currentTOR2BErnie Clement072100110100.286
currentTORSSAndrés Giménez061000010100.167
currentTORCBrandon Valenzuela051000111100.200
simulationBAL1LFTaylor Ward440000000200.000
simulationBAL2SSGunnar Henderson442100000000.500
simulationBAL3CAdley Rutschman440000000000.000
simulationBAL41BPete Alonso440000000200.000
simulationBAL5DHSamuel Basallo330000000100.000
simulationBAL63BCoby Mayo330000000000.000
simulationBAL7RFColton Cowser331100000000.333
simulationBAL8CFLeody Taveras330000000100.000
simulationBAL92BJackson Holliday331000000100.333
simulationTOR1DHGeorge Springer440000000100.000
simulationTOR2RFNathan Lukes441100000100.250
simulationTOR31BVladimir Guerrero Jr.331000110000.333
simulationTOR4CFDaulton Varsho330000000200.000
simulationTOR52BErnie Clement331100000100.333
simulationTOR6LFJesús Sánchez331000110000.333
simulationTOR73BKazuma Okamoto331000000200.333
simulationTOR8SSAndrés Giménez330000000100.000
simulationTOR9CBrandon Valenzuela330000000000.000
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentBAL1Brandon YoungStarter5.2511060001.593.351.37
currentBAL2Rico GarciaMiddle Reliever1.2000010000.000.680.61
currentBAL5Andrew KittredgeMiddle Reliever0.20110100013.507.111.58
currentTOR1Trey YesavageStarter5.1400060000.002.191.16
currentTOR2Louis VarlandMiddle Reliever1.1000000000.000.280.99
currentTOR3Braydon FisherMiddle Reliever1.1000010000.002.620.93
currentTOR4Tyler RogersMiddle Reliever1.0000000000.002.281.08
simulationBAL1Brandon YoungStarter5.251106022861.593.351.37
simulationBAL2Rico GarciaMiddle Reliever1.20000105180.000.680.61
simulationBAL3Andrew KittredgeMiddle Reliever0.201101021213.507.111.58
simulationTOR1Trey YesavageStarter5.140006020880.002.191.16
simulationTOR2Louis VarlandMiddle Reliever1.1000000440.000.280.99
simulationTOR3Tyler RogersMiddle Reliever1.00000003130.002.281.08
simulationTOR4Braydon FisherMiddle Reliever1.10000104120.002.620.93
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
BALBrandon YoungStarter5.215062286
BALRico GarciaMiddle Reliever1.20001518
BALAndrew KittredgeMiddle Reliever0.21001212
TORTrey YesavageStarter5.104062088
TORLouis VarlandMiddle Reliever1.1000044
TORBraydon FisherMiddle Reliever1.10001412
TORTyler RogersMiddle Reliever1.00000313
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSgood0001Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_BOS@NYY

20260605_BOS@NYY.json • 2026-06-05

BOS 0 - NYY 2
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentBOSCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONBOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentNYYCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONNYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaBOSCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXBOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=35; H: current=13, sim=8; RBI: current=6, sim=0; R: current=9, sim=0; BB: current=4, sim=2; SO: current=15, sim=10).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaBOSCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXBOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Caleb Durbin: AB current=6 box=3, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wilyer Abreu: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isiah Kiner-Falefa: R current=1 box=0; Andruw Monasterio: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0; Connor Wong: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaNYYCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXNYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=7; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=8; SO: current=14, sim=4).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaNYYCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXNYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ben Rice: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=3, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=6 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Trent Grisham: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Cody Bellinger: AB current=7 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2; Ryan McMahon: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Anthony Volpe: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0; Spencer Jones: R current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentBOSBATTING_REALISMcurrent:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentNYYBATTING_REALISMcurrent:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationBOSBATTING_REALISMsimulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationNYYBATTING_REALISMsimulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentBOSBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentNYYBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationBOSBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationNYYBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:BOS batting walks match NYY pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:BOS batting home runs match NYY pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:BOS batting hits match NYY pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:BOS batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:BOS PA=37 matches NYY BF=37.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:NYY batting walks match BOS pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:NYY batting home runs match BOS pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:NYY batting hits match BOS pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:NYY batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:NYY PA=39 matches BOS BF=39.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaBOSCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXBOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaNYYCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXNYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBOSCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEBOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBOSCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKBOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBOSCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTBOS current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBOSCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDBOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYYCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPENYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYYCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKNYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYYCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTNYY current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYYCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDNYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.442.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 2 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.596/0.803.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: BOS 8, NYY 7.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: BOS 0 - NYY 2.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.{'winner_confidence': 0.557995, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_BOS@NYY.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: BOS@NYY.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASSpitch_countsimulationBOSPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHBOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationBOSPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHBOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161.
PASSpitch_countsimulationNYYPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHNYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationNYYPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHNYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASSpitchingcurrentBOSPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentBOSSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentNYYPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentNYYSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationBOSPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationBOSSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationNYYPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationNYYSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentBOSPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentBOSPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentNYYPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentNYYPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationBOSPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationBOSPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationNYYPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationNYYPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BOS 1 - 2 NYY.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: BOS 0 - 2 NYY.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 2-0.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.558.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 13/54 (0.241).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 16/56 (0.286).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: NYY wins 2-0.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: NYY wins 0-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 0-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 0-2 (delta 1).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 2.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: NYY wins 2-0.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentBOSRECENT_FORM_RANGEBOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentBOSTEAM_RECENT_RECORDBOS wins and win_pct agree: 13/54 = 0.241.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentNYYRECENT_FORM_RANGENYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentNYYTEAM_RECENT_RECORDNYY wins and win_pct agree: 16/56 = 0.286.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentBOSBATTING_REALISMcurrent:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentNYYBATTING_REALISMcurrent:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationBOSBATTING_REALISMsimulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationNYYBATTING_REALISMsimulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentBOSBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentNYYBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationBOSBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationNYYBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:BOS batting walks match NYY pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:BOS batting home runs match NYY pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:BOS batting hits match NYY pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:BOS batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:BOS PA=37 matches NYY BF=37.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationBOSRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:NYY batting walks match BOS pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:NYY batting home runs match BOS pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:NYY batting hits match BOS pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:NYY batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:NYY PA=39 matches BOS BF=39.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYYRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaBOSCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXBOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaNYYCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXNYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBOSCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEBOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBOSCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKBOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBOSCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTBOS current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentBOSCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDBOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYYCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPENYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYYCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKNYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYYCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTNYY current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYYCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDNYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.442.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 2 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.596/0.803.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: BOS 8, NYY 7.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: BOS 0 - NYY 2.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.{'winner_confidence': 0.557995, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_BOS@NYY.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: BOS@NYY.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASSpitch_countsimulationBOSPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHBOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationBOSPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHBOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161.
PASSpitch_countsimulationNYYPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHNYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationNYYPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHNYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASSpitchingcurrentBOSPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentBOSSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentNYYPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentNYYSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationBOSPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationBOSSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationNYYPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationNYYSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentBOSPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentBOSPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentNYYPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentNYYPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationBOSPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationBOSPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationNYYPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationNYYPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BOS 1 - 2 NYY.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: BOS 0 - 2 NYY.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 2-0.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.558.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 13/54 (0.241).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 16/56 (0.286).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: NYY wins 2-0.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: NYY wins 0-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 0-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 0-2 (delta 1).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 2.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: NYY wins 2-0.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentBOSRECENT_FORM_RANGEBOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentBOSTEAM_RECENT_RECORDBOS wins and win_pct agree: 13/54 = 0.241.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentNYYRECENT_FORM_RANGENYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentNYYTEAM_RECENT_RECORDNYY wins and win_pct agree: 16/56 = 0.286.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentBOSCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONBOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentNYYCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONNYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaBOSCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXBOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=35; H: current=13, sim=8; RBI: current=6, sim=0; R: current=9, sim=0; BB: current=4, sim=2; SO: current=15, sim=10).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaBOSCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXBOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Caleb Durbin: AB current=6 box=3, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wilyer Abreu: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isiah Kiner-Falefa: R current=1 box=0; Andruw Monasterio: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0; Connor Wong: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaNYYCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXNYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=7; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=8; SO: current=14, sim=4).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaNYYCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXNYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ben Rice: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=3, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=6 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Trent Grisham: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Cody Bellinger: AB current=7 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2; Ryan McMahon: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Anthony Volpe: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0; Spencer Jones: R current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml3.64778900146484384.702568054199219Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied35Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction120.558Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment12Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target12Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result02Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
BOS00000000008
NYY00000110027
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentBOSbatting5613300694150000
currentBOSpitching702848.0200
currentNYYbatting5414100997140000
currentNYYpitching8002109.0000
simulationBOSbatting3583000021000
simulationBOSpitching702848.0239161
simulationNYYbatting317100228400
simulationNYYpitching8002109.0037156
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentBOSCFCeddanne Rafaela072000110200.286
currentBOSLFJarren Duran082000111300.250
currentBOS1BWillson Contreras072000111200.286
currentBOS3BCaleb Durbin061100110100.167
currentBOSRFWilyer Abreu082000111200.250
currentBOSSSIsiah Kiner-Falefa041000100100.250
currentBOS2BAndruw Monasterio061100100200.167
currentBOSCConnor Wong051100111100.200
currentBOSDHMickey Gasper051000100100.200
currentNYYDHBen Rice072100221200.286
currentNYY1BPaul Goldschmidt062000111100.333
currentNYYCFTrent Grisham072000111100.286
currentNYYLFCody Bellinger072000111100.286
currentNYY3BRyan McMahon051000110200.200
currentNYY2BJazz Chisholm Jr.072000111200.286
currentNYYSSAnthony Volpe051000111100.200
currentNYYRFSpencer Jones041000010200.250
currentNYYCAustin Wells061000101200.167
simulationBOS1LFJarren Duran551000000100.200
simulationBOS2CFCeddanne Rafaela440000000200.000
simulationBOS3RFWilyer Abreu441000000100.250
simulationBOS41BWillson Contreras440000000000.000
simulationBOS53BCaleb Durbin431000001000.333
simulationBOS6SSIsiah Kiner-Falefa441000000100.250
simulationBOS72BAndruw Monasterio432200001000.667
simulationBOS8DHMickey Gasper441000000200.250
simulationBOS9CConnor Wong441100000300.250
simulationNYY1CFTrent Grisham540000001100.000
simulationNYY2DHBen Rice543100001000.750
simulationNYY31BPaul Goldschmidt551000000000.200
simulationNYY4LFCody Bellinger422000002001.000
simulationNYY52BJazz Chisholm Jr.430000001000.000
simulationNYY6RFSpencer Jones441000110100.250
simulationNYY7SSAnthony Volpe430000111100.000
simulationNYY83BRyan McMahon440000000000.000
simulationNYY9CAustin Wells420000002100.000
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentBOS1Sonny GrayStarter5.2511540001.593.061.20
currentBOS3Aroldis ChapmanMiddle Reliever2.1111300003.860.480.86
currentBOS6Justin SlatenMiddle Reliever0.0100000003.601.30
currentNYY1Ryan WeathersStarter6.1400280000.003.521.14
currentNYY2David BednarMiddle Reliever1.0200010000.004.321.52
currentNYY3Fernando CruzMiddle Reliever1.0100010000.002.001.19
currentNYY4Tim HillMiddle Reliever0.2000000000.003.381.17
currentNYY5Brent HeadrickMiddle Reliever0.0100000001.821.31
simulationBOS1Sonny GrayStarter5.2511540271061.593.061.20
simulationBOS2Aroldis ChapmanMiddle Reliever2.111130011403.860.480.86
simulationBOS3Justin SlatenMiddle Reliever0.01000001153.601.30
simulationNYY1Ryan WeathersStarter6.1400280251000.003.521.14
simulationNYY2David BednarMiddle Reliever1.0200010580.004.321.52
simulationNYY3Fernando CruzMiddle Reliever1.01000104160.002.001.19
simulationNYY4Tim HillMiddle Reliever0.20000002140.003.381.17
simulationNYY5Brent HeadrickMiddle Reliever0.01000001181.821.31
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
BOSSonny GrayStarter5.2155427106
BOSAroldis ChapmanMiddle Reliever2.111301140
BOSJustin SlatenMiddle Reliever0.00100115
NYYRyan WeathersStarter6.1042825100
NYYDavid BednarMiddle Reliever1.0020158
NYYFernando CruzMiddle Reliever1.00101416
NYYTim HillMiddle Reliever0.20000214
NYYBrent HeadrickMiddle Reliever0.00100118
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSgood0001Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_CHW@PHI

20260605_CHW@PHI.json • 2026-06-05

CHW 3 - PHI 5
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentCHWCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONCHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentPHICURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONPHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCHWCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=50, sim=30; H: current=13, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=12, sim=9).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCHWCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXCHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Randal Grichuk: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Chase Meidroth: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Miguel Vargas: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Colson Montgomery: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Edgar Quero: AB current=6 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Derek Hill: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Sam Antonacci: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luisangel Acuña: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=4New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaPHICURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXPHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=5; R: current=7, sim=5; SO: current=14, sim=6).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaPHICURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXPHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Trea Turner: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Bryce Harper: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alec Bohm: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Schwarber: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Edmundo Sosa: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; J.T. Realmuto: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Adolis García: AB current=6 box=3, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Brandon Marsh: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentCHWBATTING_REALISMcurrent:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentPHIBATTING_REALISMcurrent:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationCHWBATTING_REALISMsimulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationPHIBATTING_REALISMsimulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentCHWBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentPHIBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationCHWBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationPHIBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:CHW batting walks match PHI pitching: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:CHW batting home runs match PHI pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:CHW batting hits match PHI pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:CHW batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:CHW PA=36 matches PHI BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:PHI batting walks match CHW pitching: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:PHI batting home runs match CHW pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:PHI batting hits match CHW pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:PHI batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:PHI PA=36 matches CHW BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaCHWCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaPHICURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXPHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHWCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPECHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHWCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKCHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHWCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTCHW current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHWCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDCHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPHICURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEPHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPHICURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKPHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPHICURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTPHI current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPHICURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDPHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.468.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.532.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.532.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 8.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.475/0.661.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: CHW 4, PHI 9.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: CHW 3 - PHI 5.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PHI.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PHI.{'winner_confidence': 0.532418, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_CHW@PHI.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: CHW@PHI.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCHWPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHCHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCHWPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHCHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASSpitch_countsimulationPHIPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHPHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationPHIPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHPHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160.
PASSpitchingcurrentCHWPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentCHWSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentPHIPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentPHISTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationCHWPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationCHWSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationPHIPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationPHISTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCHWPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCHWPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentPHIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentPHIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCHWPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCHWPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationPHIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationPHIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHW 3 - 5 PHI.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: CHW 3 - 5 PHI.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: PHI wins 5-3.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=PHI, final=PHI.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.532.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 16/59 (0.271).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 11/58 (0.190).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: PHI wins 5-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: PHI wins 3-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 3-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 3-5, final 3-5 (delta 0).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: PHI wins 5-3.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCHWRECENT_FORM_RANGECHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCHWTEAM_RECENT_RECORDCHW wins and win_pct agree: 16/59 = 0.271.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentPHIRECENT_FORM_RANGEPHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentPHITEAM_RECENT_RECORDPHI wins and win_pct agree: 11/58 = 0.190.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentCHWBATTING_REALISMcurrent:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentPHIBATTING_REALISMcurrent:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationCHWBATTING_REALISMsimulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationPHIBATTING_REALISMsimulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentCHWBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentPHIBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationCHWBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationPHIBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:CHW batting walks match PHI pitching: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:CHW batting home runs match PHI pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:CHW batting hits match PHI pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:CHW batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:CHW PA=36 matches PHI BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHWRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:PHI batting walks match CHW pitching: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:PHI batting home runs match CHW pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:PHI batting hits match CHW pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:PHI batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:PHI PA=36 matches CHW BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPHIRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaCHWCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaPHICURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXPHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHWCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPECHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHWCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKCHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHWCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTCHW current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHWCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDCHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPHICURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEPHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPHICURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKPHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPHICURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTPHI current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPHICURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDPHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.468.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.532.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.532.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 8.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.475/0.661.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: CHW 4, PHI 9.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: CHW 3 - PHI 5.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PHI.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PHI.{'winner_confidence': 0.532418, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_CHW@PHI.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: CHW@PHI.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCHWPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHCHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCHWPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHCHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASSpitch_countsimulationPHIPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHPHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationPHIPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHPHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160.
PASSpitchingcurrentCHWPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentCHWSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentPHIPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentPHISTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationCHWPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationCHWSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationPHIPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationPHISTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCHWPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCHWPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentPHIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentPHIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCHWPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCHWPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationPHIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationPHIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHW 3 - 5 PHI.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: CHW 3 - 5 PHI.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: PHI wins 5-3.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=PHI, final=PHI.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.532.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 16/59 (0.271).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 11/58 (0.190).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: PHI wins 5-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: PHI wins 3-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 3-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 3-5, final 3-5 (delta 0).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: PHI wins 5-3.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCHWRECENT_FORM_RANGECHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCHWTEAM_RECENT_RECORDCHW wins and win_pct agree: 16/59 = 0.271.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentPHIRECENT_FORM_RANGEPHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentPHITEAM_RECENT_RECORDPHI wins and win_pct agree: 11/58 = 0.190.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentCHWCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONCHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentPHICURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONPHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCHWCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=50, sim=30; H: current=13, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=12, sim=9).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCHWCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXCHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Randal Grichuk: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Chase Meidroth: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Miguel Vargas: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Colson Montgomery: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Edgar Quero: AB current=6 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Derek Hill: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Sam Antonacci: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luisangel Acuña: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=4New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaPHICURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXPHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=5; R: current=7, sim=5; SO: current=14, sim=6).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaPHICURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXPHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Trea Turner: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Bryce Harper: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alec Bohm: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Schwarber: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Edmundo Sosa: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; J.T. Realmuto: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Adolis García: AB current=6 box=3, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Brandon Marsh: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml3.74.4Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied45Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction340.532Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment35Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target35Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result35Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
CHW00010200034
PHI00002300059
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentCHWbatting5013000794120000
currentCHWpitching915368.0500
currentPHIbatting5614001873140000
currentPHIpitching413399.0300
simulationCHWbatting304101333912
simulationCHWpitching915368.0536157
simulationPHIbatting339101553600
simulationPHIpitching413399.0336160
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentCHWDHRandal Grichuk041000110100.250
currentCHW2BChase Meidroth072000111200.286
currentCHW1BMiguel Vargas072000221100.286
currentCHW3BColson Montgomery072000111200.286
currentCHWCEdgar Quero061000111200.167
currentCHWRFDerek Hill031000000100.333
currentCHWLFSam Antonacci062000110100.333
currentCHWSSLuisangel Acuña051000100100.200
currentCHWCFTristan Peters051000100100.200
currentPHISSTrea Turner082000110200.250
currentPHI1BBryce Harper072000112200.286
currentPHI3BAlec Bohm072000110100.286
currentPHIDHKyle Schwarber082001111300.250
currentPHI2BEdmundo Sosa051000110100.200
currentPHICJ.T. Realmuto061000110100.167
currentPHIRFAdolis García061000010200.167
currentPHILFBrandon Marsh062000110100.333
currentPHICFSteward Berroa031000000100.333
simulationCHW12BChase Meidroth430000000010.000
simulationCHW2DHRandal Grichuk431100101000.333
simulationCHW31BMiguel Vargas421001121100.500
simulationCHW43BColson Montgomery430000001100.000
simulationCHW5CEdgar Quero441000110100.250
simulationCHW6RFDerek Hill441000000000.250
simulationCHW7LFSam Antonacci440000000100.000
simulationCHW8SSLuisangel Acuña440000000400.000
simulationCHW9CFTristan Peters430000000110.000
simulationPHI1DHKyle Schwarber440000000300.000
simulationPHI2SSTrea Turner442100100000.500
simulationPHI31BBryce Harper430000001000.000
simulationPHI43BAlec Bohm441000000100.250
simulationPHI52BEdmundo Sosa432000101000.667
simulationPHI6CJ.T. Realmuto440000000100.000
simulationPHI7LFBrandon Marsh441000110000.250
simulationPHI8RFAdolis García431000111100.333
simulationPHI9CFSteward Berroa442001130000.500
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentCHW1Anthony KayStarter6.0322351003.003.771.40
currentCHW2Bryan HudsonMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.001.571.35
currentCHW3Grant TaylorMiddle Reliever1.0100000000.001.421.26
currentCHW5Seranthony DomínguezMiddle Reliever0.05330000013.503.00
currentPHI1Jesús LuzardoStarter5.1433151005.064.301.31
currentPHI2Brad KellerMiddle Reliever1.2000220000.003.711.24
currentPHI3Jhoan DuranMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.001.370.86
currentPHI4Orion KerkeringMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.002.311.20
simulationCHW1Anthony KayStarter6.0322351241083.003.771.40
simulationCHW2Seranthony DomínguezMiddle Reliever0.053300051613.503.00
simulationCHW3Grant TaylorMiddle Reliever1.01000004180.001.421.26
simulationCHW4Bryan HudsonMiddle Reliever1.00000103150.001.571.35
simulationPHI1Jesús LuzardoStarter5.1433151231005.064.301.31
simulationPHI2Jhoan DuranMiddle Reliever1.00000103160.001.370.86
simulationPHI3Brad KellerMiddle Reliever1.20002207290.003.711.24
simulationPHI4Orion KerkeringMiddle Reliever1.00000103150.002.311.20
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
CHWAnthony KayStarter6.0233524108
CHWBryan HudsonMiddle Reliever1.00001315
CHWGrant TaylorMiddle Reliever1.00100418
CHWSeranthony DomínguezMiddle Reliever0.03500516
PHIJesús LuzardoStarter5.1341523100
PHIBrad KellerMiddle Reliever1.20022729
PHIJhoan DuranMiddle Reliever1.00001316
PHIOrion KerkeringMiddle Reliever1.00001315
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSgood0001Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_CIN@STL

20260605_CIN@STL.json • 2026-06-05

CIN 1 - STL 7
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentCINCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONCIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentSTLCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONSTL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCINCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=33; H: current=12, sim=6; RBI: current=6, sim=1; R: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=6).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCINCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXCIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Blake Dunn: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Sal Stewart: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Spencer Steer: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nathaniel Lowe: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; JJ Bleday: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Eugenio Suárez: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Noelvi Marte: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Tyler Stephenson: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSTLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSTL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=34; H: current=13, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=7; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSTLCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXSTL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Lars Nootbaar: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Bryan Torres: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Iván Herrera: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=4; Jordan Walker: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alec Burleson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Nolan Gorman: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jimmy Crooks: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Masyn Winn: AB current=7 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTAdvisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 3-5, final 1-7 (delta 4).No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentCINBATTING_REALISMcurrent:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentSTLBATTING_REALISMcurrent:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationCINBATTING_REALISMsimulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationSTLBATTING_REALISMsimulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentCINBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentSTLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationCINBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationSTLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:CIN batting walks match STL pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:CIN batting home runs match STL pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:CIN batting hits match STL pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:CIN batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:CIN PA=40 matches STL BF=40.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:STL batting walks match CIN pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:STL batting home runs match CIN pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:STL batting hits match CIN pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:STL batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:STL PA=39 matches CIN BF=39.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaCINCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaSTLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSTL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCINCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPECIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCINCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKCIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCINCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTCIN current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCINCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDCIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSTLCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPESTL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSTLCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKSTL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSTLCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTSTL current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSTLCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDSTL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.450.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 8.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.610.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: CIN 6, STL 10.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: CIN 1 - STL 7.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: STL.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for STL.{'winner_confidence': 0.549813, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_CIN@STL.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: CIN@STL.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 163.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 178.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCINPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHCIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCINPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHCIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 163.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSTLPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHSTL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSTLPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHSTL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 178.
PASSpitchingcurrentCINPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentCINSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentSTLPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentSTLSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationCINPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationCINSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationSTLPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationSTLSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSTLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSTLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSTLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSTLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CIN 3 - 5 STL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: CIN 1 - 7 STL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: STL wins 7-1.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=STL, final=STL.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.550.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 14/57 (0.246).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 7/56 (0.125).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: STL wins 7-1.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: STL wins 1-7.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 1-7.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: STL wins 7-1.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCINRECENT_FORM_RANGECIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCINTEAM_RECENT_RECORDCIN wins and win_pct agree: 14/57 = 0.246.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSTLRECENT_FORM_RANGESTL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSTLTEAM_RECENT_RECORDSTL wins and win_pct agree: 7/56 = 0.125.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentCINBATTING_REALISMcurrent:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentSTLBATTING_REALISMcurrent:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationCINBATTING_REALISMsimulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationSTLBATTING_REALISMsimulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentCINBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentSTLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationCINBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationSTLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:CIN batting walks match STL pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:CIN batting home runs match STL pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:CIN batting hits match STL pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:CIN batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:CIN PA=40 matches STL BF=40.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCINRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:STL batting walks match CIN pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:STL batting home runs match CIN pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:STL batting hits match CIN pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:STL batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:STL PA=39 matches CIN BF=39.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSTLRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaCINCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaSTLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSTL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCINCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPECIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCINCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKCIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCINCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTCIN current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCINCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDCIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSTLCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPESTL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSTLCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKSTL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSTLCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTSTL current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSTLCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDSTL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.450.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 8.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.610.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: CIN 6, STL 10.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: CIN 1 - STL 7.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: STL.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for STL.{'winner_confidence': 0.549813, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_CIN@STL.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: CIN@STL.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 163.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 178.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCINPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHCIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCINPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHCIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 163.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSTLPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHSTL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSTLPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHSTL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 178.
PASSpitchingcurrentCINPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentCINSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentSTLPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentSTLSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationCINPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationCINSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationSTLPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationSTLSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSTLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSTLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSTLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSTLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CIN 3 - 5 STL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: CIN 1 - 7 STL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: STL wins 7-1.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=STL, final=STL.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.550.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 14/57 (0.246).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 7/56 (0.125).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: STL wins 7-1.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: STL wins 1-7.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 1-7.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: STL wins 7-1.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCINRECENT_FORM_RANGECIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCINTEAM_RECENT_RECORDCIN wins and win_pct agree: 14/57 = 0.246.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSTLRECENT_FORM_RANGESTL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSTLTEAM_RECENT_RECORDSTL wins and win_pct agree: 7/56 = 0.125.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentCINCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONCIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentSTLCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONSTL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCINCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=33; H: current=12, sim=6; RBI: current=6, sim=1; R: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=6).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCINCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXCIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Blake Dunn: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Sal Stewart: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Spencer Steer: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nathaniel Lowe: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; JJ Bleday: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Eugenio Suárez: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Noelvi Marte: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Tyler Stephenson: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSTLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSTL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=34; H: current=13, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=7; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSTLCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXSTL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Lars Nootbaar: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Bryan Torres: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Iván Herrera: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=4; Jordan Walker: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alec Burleson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Nolan Gorman: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jimmy Crooks: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Masyn Winn: AB current=7 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTAdvisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 3-5, final 1-7 (delta 4).No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml4.0873460769653326.1688666343688965Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied46Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction240.550Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment35Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target35Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result17Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
CIN10000000016
STL021000040710
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentCINbatting5412000667160000
currentCINpitching1027488.0700
currentSTLbatting5513100876140000
currentSTLpitching601769.0100
simulationCINbatting336000117600
simulationCINpitching1027488.0739163
simulationSTLbatting3410002774801
simulationSTLpitching601769.0140178
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentCINCFBlake Dunn071000101200.143
currentCIN1BSal Stewart072000111200.286
currentCIN2BSpencer Steer072000111200.286
currentCINDHNathaniel Lowe061000111100.167
currentCINLFJJ Bleday072000111200.286
currentCIN3BEugenio Suárez061000111200.167
currentCINRFNoelvi Marte051000000100.200
currentCINCTyler Stephenson061000011200.167
currentCINSSEdwin Arroyo031000000200.333
currentSTLLFLars Nootbaar041000110100.250
currentSTL2BBryan Torres061000011100.167
currentSTLDHIván Herrera082000111200.250
currentSTLRFJordan Walker082000111300.250
currentSTL1BAlec Burleson082100121100.250
currentSTL3BNolan Gorman061000111200.167
currentSTLCJimmy Crooks031000000100.333
currentSTLSSMasyn Winn072000111200.286
currentSTLCFVictor Scott II051000100100.200
simulationCIN1CFBlake Dunn540000001000.000
simulationCIN2LFJJ Bleday531000002100.333
simulationCIN32BSpencer Steer530000002000.000
simulationCIN41BSal Stewart551000000100.200
simulationCIN5DHNathaniel Lowe442000110000.500
simulationCIN63BEugenio Suárez440000000100.000
simulationCIN7RFNoelvi Marte442000000000.500
simulationCIN8CTyler Stephenson430000001200.000
simulationCIN9SSEdwin Arroyo430000001100.000
simulationSTL1LFLars Nootbaar540000101200.000
simulationSTL2DHIván Herrera533001141011.000
simulationSTL31BAlec Burleson541000101100.250
simulationSTL4RFJordan Walker440000000200.000
simulationSTL52BBryan Torres442000110000.500
simulationSTL6SSMasyn Winn432001121000.667
simulationSTL73BNolan Gorman441000100200.250
simulationSTL8CJimmy Crooks440000000100.000
simulationSTL9CFVictor Scott II441000100000.250
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentCIN1Brady SingerStarter4.0733351006.756.181.69
currentCIN2Brock BurkeMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.003.491.38
currentCIN4Sam MollMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.002.391.03
currentCIN5Tejay AntoneMiddle Reliever1.03441010036.004.351.16
currentCIN6Tony SantillanMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.005.091.48
currentSTL1Kyle LeahyStarter5.0611450001.804.251.56
currentSTL2George SorianoMiddle Reliever1.0000000000.002.921.09
currentSTL3JoJo RomeroMiddle Reliever1.0000200000.003.541.25
currentSTL4Riley O'BrienMiddle Reliever1.0000000000.003.951.10
currentSTL5Ryne StanekMiddle Reliever1.0000110000.005.181.68
currentSTL6Gordon GraceffoMiddle Reliever0.0000000001.760.88
simulationCIN1Brady SingerStarter4.073335122926.756.181.69
simulationCIN2Tony SantillanMiddle Reliever1.00000104160.005.091.48
simulationCIN3Brock BurkeMiddle Reliever1.00000103140.003.491.38
simulationCIN4Sam MollMiddle Reliever1.00000103150.002.391.03
simulationCIN5Tejay AntoneMiddle Reliever1.034410172636.004.351.16
simulationSTL1Kyle LeahyStarter5.061145025971.804.251.56
simulationSTL2Riley O'BrienMiddle Reliever1.00000003180.003.951.10
simulationSTL3JoJo RomeroMiddle Reliever1.00002005210.003.541.25
simulationSTL4George SorianoMiddle Reliever1.00000003130.002.921.09
simulationSTL5Ryne StanekMiddle Reliever1.00001104170.005.181.68
simulationSTL6Gordon GraceffoMiddle Reliever0.00000000121.760.88
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
CINBrady SingerStarter4.037352292
CINBrock BurkeMiddle Reliever1.00001314
CINSam MollMiddle Reliever1.00001315
CINTejay AntoneMiddle Reliever1.04310726
CINTony SantillanMiddle Reliever1.00001416
STLKyle LeahyStarter5.016452597
STLGeorge SorianoMiddle Reliever1.00000313
STLJoJo RomeroMiddle Reliever1.00020521
STLRiley O'BrienMiddle Reliever1.00000318
STLRyne StanekMiddle Reliever1.00011417
STLGordon GraceffoMiddle Reliever0.00000012
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSgood0001Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTinfo0000Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_CLE@TEX

20260605_CLE@TEX.json • 2026-06-05

CLE 4 - TEX 1
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentCLECURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONCLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentTEXCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONTEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCLECURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=33; H: current=13, sim=6; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=9, sim=7; SO: current=12, sim=8).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCLECURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXCLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: José Ramírez: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Travis Bazzana: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Rhys Hoskins: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Manzardo: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Daniel Schneemann: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Steven Kwan: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Brayan Rocchio: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTEXCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=60, sim=31; H: current=13, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=5, sim=1; R: current=7, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=15, sim=7).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTEXCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXTEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Wyatt Langford: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Corey Seager: AB current=9 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brandon Nimmo: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Josh Jung: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Kyle Higashioka: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Ezequiel Duran: AB current=6 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Justin Foscue: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentCLEBATTING_REALISMcurrent:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentTEXBATTING_REALISMcurrent:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationCLEBATTING_REALISMsimulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationTEXBATTING_REALISMsimulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentCLEBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentTEXBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationCLEBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationTEXBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLEBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:CLE batting walks match TEX pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLEBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:CLE batting home runs match TEX pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLEBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:CLE batting hits match TEX pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLEBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:CLE batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLEPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:CLE PA=41 matches TEX BF=41.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLERUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:TEX batting walks match CLE pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:TEX batting home runs match CLE pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:TEX batting hits match CLE pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:TEX batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:TEX PA=34 matches CLE BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaCLECURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaTEXCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCLECURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPECLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCLECURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKCLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCLECURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTCLE current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCLECURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDCLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTEXCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPETEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTEXCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKTEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTEXCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTTEX current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTEXCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDTEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.450.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.627/0.841.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: CLE 6, TEX 4.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: CLE 4 - TEX 1.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CLE.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CLE.{'winner_confidence': 0.549813, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_CLE@TEX.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: CLE@TEX.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 174.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCLEPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHCLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCLEPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHCLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTEXPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHTEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTEXPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHTEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 174.
PASSpitchingcurrentCLEPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentCLESTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentTEXPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentTEXSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationCLEPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationCLESTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationTEXPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationTEXSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCLEPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCLEPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTEXPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTEXPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCLEPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCLEPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTEXPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTEXPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CLE 3 - 1 TEX.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: CLE 4 - 1 TEX.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: CLE wins 4-1.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=CLE, final=CLE.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.550.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 20/60 (0.333).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 19/58 (0.328).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: CLE wins 4-1.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: CLE wins 4-1.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 4-1 (delta 1).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: CLE wins 4-1.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCLERECENT_FORM_RANGECLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCLETEAM_RECENT_RECORDCLE wins and win_pct agree: 20/60 = 0.333.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTEXRECENT_FORM_RANGETEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTEXTEAM_RECENT_RECORDTEX wins and win_pct agree: 19/58 = 0.328.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentCLEBATTING_REALISMcurrent:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentTEXBATTING_REALISMcurrent:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationCLEBATTING_REALISMsimulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationTEXBATTING_REALISMsimulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentCLEBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentTEXBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationCLEBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationTEXBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLEBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:CLE batting walks match TEX pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLEBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:CLE batting home runs match TEX pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLEBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:CLE batting hits match TEX pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLEBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:CLE batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLEPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:CLE PA=41 matches TEX BF=41.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCLERUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:TEX batting walks match CLE pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:TEX batting home runs match CLE pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:TEX batting hits match CLE pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:TEX batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:TEX PA=34 matches CLE BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTEXRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaCLECURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaTEXCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCLECURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPECLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCLECURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKCLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCLECURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTCLE current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCLECURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDCLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTEXCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPETEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTEXCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKTEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTEXCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTTEX current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTEXCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDTEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.450.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.627/0.841.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: CLE 6, TEX 4.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: CLE 4 - TEX 1.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CLE.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CLE.{'winner_confidence': 0.549813, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_CLE@TEX.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: CLE@TEX.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 174.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCLEPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHCLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCLEPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHCLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTEXPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHTEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTEXPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHTEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 174.
PASSpitchingcurrentCLEPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentCLESTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentTEXPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentTEXSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationCLEPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationCLESTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationTEXPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationTEXSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCLEPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCLEPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTEXPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTEXPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCLEPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCLEPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTEXPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTEXPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CLE 3 - 1 TEX.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: CLE 4 - 1 TEX.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: CLE wins 4-1.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=CLE, final=CLE.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.550.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 20/60 (0.333).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 19/58 (0.328).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: CLE wins 4-1.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: CLE wins 4-1.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 4-1 (delta 1).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: CLE wins 4-1.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCLERECENT_FORM_RANGECLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCLETEAM_RECENT_RECORDCLE wins and win_pct agree: 20/60 = 0.333.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTEXRECENT_FORM_RANGETEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTEXTEAM_RECENT_RECORDTEX wins and win_pct agree: 19/58 = 0.328.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentCLECURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONCLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentTEXCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONTEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCLECURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=33; H: current=13, sim=6; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=9, sim=7; SO: current=12, sim=8).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCLECURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXCLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: José Ramírez: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Travis Bazzana: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Rhys Hoskins: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Manzardo: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Daniel Schneemann: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Steven Kwan: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Brayan Rocchio: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTEXCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=60, sim=31; H: current=13, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=5, sim=1; R: current=7, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=15, sim=7).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTEXCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXTEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Wyatt Langford: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Corey Seager: AB current=9 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brandon Nimmo: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Josh Jung: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Kyle Higashioka: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Ezequiel Duran: AB current=6 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Justin Foscue: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml6.7144680023193363.529752254486084Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied73Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction310.550Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment31Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target31Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result41Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
CLE00300100046
TEX00000000114
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentCLEbatting5713200799120000
currentCLEpitching411279.0100
currentTEXbatting6013000576150000
currentTEXpitching614789.0400
simulationCLEbatting336001447801
simulationCLEpitching411279.0134147
simulationTEXbatting314101112701
simulationTEXpitching614789.0441174
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentCLE3BJosé Ramírez072100111100.286
currentCLE2BTravis Bazzana072100111100.286
currentCLERFChase DeLauter072000111100.286
currentCLE1BRhys Hoskins051000111200.200
currentCLEDHKyle Manzardo061000111200.167
currentCLECFDaniel Schneemann061000111200.167
currentCLELFSteven Kwan082000101100.250
currentCLESSBrayan Rocchio061000111100.167
currentCLECAustin Hedges051000101100.200
currentTEXLFWyatt Langford092000100200.222
currentTEXSSCorey Seager091000111300.111
currentTEXRFBrandon Nimmo082000111200.250
currentTEX3BJosh Jung072000111100.286
currentTEXCKyle Higashioka061000101200.167
currentTEX2BEzequiel Duran061000111100.167
currentTEX1BJake Burger072000111200.286
currentTEXDHJustin Foscue051000000100.200
currentTEXCFMichael Helman031000000100.333
simulationCLE12BTravis Bazzana530000002200.000
simulationCLE23BJosé Ramírez551000000100.200
simulationCLE3RFChase DeLauter542000101000.500
simulationCLE4DHKyle Manzardo540000001000.000
simulationCLE51BRhys Hoskins530000002200.000
simulationCLE6CFDaniel Schneemann441000120100.250
simulationCLE7LFSteven Kwan441000110000.250
simulationCLE8CAustin Hedges431001111000.333
simulationCLE9SSBrayan Rocchio430000000210.000
simulationTEX1LFWyatt Langford441000000000.250
simulationTEX2SSCorey Seager430000001100.000
simulationTEX33BJosh Jung441001110000.250
simulationTEX4RFBrandon Nimmo430000001000.000
simulationTEX52BEzequiel Duran431100000010.333
simulationTEX6DHJustin Foscue440000000200.000
simulationTEX71BJake Burger440000000000.000
simulationTEX8CKyle Higashioka330000000300.000
simulationTEX9CFMichael Helman331000000100.333
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentCLE1Parker MessickStarter6.0000260000.002.211.07
currentCLE2Cade SmithMiddle Reliever1.0000000000.002.831.08
currentCLE3Hunter GaddisMiddle Reliever1.0200000000.003.311.22
currentCLE4Shawn ArmstrongMiddle Reliever1.0211011009.001.691.12
currentTEX1Kumar RockerStarter5.0433450005.403.541.32
currentTEX2Jacob LatzMiddle Reliever1.1111021006.751.000.44
currentTEX3Jakob JunisMiddle Reliever1.0000100000.001.690.79
currentTEX4Jalen BeeksMiddle Reliever1.0100010000.003.601.32
currentTEX5Tyler AlexanderMiddle Reliever0.2000200000.003.121.38
simulationCLE1Parker MessickStarter6.000026021940.002.211.07
simulationCLE2Cade SmithMiddle Reliever1.00000003150.002.831.08
simulationCLE3Hunter GaddisMiddle Reliever1.02000005190.003.311.22
simulationCLE4Shawn ArmstrongMiddle Reliever1.02110115199.001.691.12
simulationTEX1Kumar RockerStarter5.0433450231035.403.541.32
simulationTEX2Jacob LatzMiddle Reliever1.11110215226.751.000.44
simulationTEX3Jakob JunisMiddle Reliever1.00001005170.001.690.79
simulationTEX4Tyler AlexanderMiddle Reliever0.20002004160.003.121.38
simulationTEX5Jalen BeeksMiddle Reliever1.01000104160.003.601.32
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
CLEParker MessickStarter6.000262194
CLECade SmithMiddle Reliever1.00000315
CLEHunter GaddisMiddle Reliever1.00200519
CLEShawn ArmstrongMiddle Reliever1.01201519
TEXKumar RockerStarter5.0344523103
TEXJacob LatzMiddle Reliever1.11102522
TEXJakob JunisMiddle Reliever1.00010517
TEXJalen BeeksMiddle Reliever1.00101416
TEXTyler AlexanderMiddle Reliever0.20020416
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSnot triggered0000Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_KC@MIN

20260605_KC@MIN.json • 2026-06-05

KC 5 - MIN 2
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentKCCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONKC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentMINCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONMIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaKCCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXKC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=34; H: current=10, sim=7; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=5; HBP: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaKCCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXKC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carter Jensen: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Bobby Witt Jr.: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Vinnie Pasquantino: AB current=7 box=5, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Salvador Perez: AB current=7 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Isaac Collins: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Jac Caglianone: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Michael Massey: AB current=5 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Nick Loftin: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMINCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=30; H: current=13, sim=4; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=12, sim=7; SF: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMINCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXMIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Josh Bell: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Brooks Lee: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Byron Buxton: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Orlando Arcia: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Luke Keaschall: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Martin: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, SF current=0 box=1; Ryan Kreidler: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentKCBATTING_REALISMcurrent:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentMINBATTING_REALISMcurrent:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationKCBATTING_REALISMsimulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationMINBATTING_REALISMsimulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentKCBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentMINBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationKCBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationMINBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:KC batting walks match MIN pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:KC batting home runs match MIN pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:KC batting hits match MIN pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:KC batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:KC PA=39 matches MIN BF=39.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:MIN batting walks match KC pitching: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:MIN batting home runs match KC pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:MIN batting hits match KC pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:MIN batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:MIN PA=34 matches KC BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaKCCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXKC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaMINCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentKCCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEKC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentKCCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKKC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentKCCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTKC current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentKCCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDKC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMINCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEMIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMINCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKMIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMINCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTMIN current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMINCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDMIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.467.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.475/0.661.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: KC 7, MIN 4.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: KC 5 - MIN 2.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: KC.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for KC.{'winner_confidence': 0.532939, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-04', 'predicted_team': 'KC', 'confidence': 0.5230589999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260604_KC@MIN.json'}]}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_KC@MIN.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: KC@MIN.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 140.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASSpitch_countsimulationKCPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHKC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationKCPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHKC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 140.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMINPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHMIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMINPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHMIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASSpitchingcurrentKCPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentKCSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentMINPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentMINSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationKCPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationKCSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationMINPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationMINSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentKCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentKCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationKCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationKCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: KC 3 - 2 MIN.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: KC 5 - 2 MIN.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: KC wins 5-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=KC, final=KC.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.533.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 8/58 (0.138).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 14/59 (0.237).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: KC wins 5-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: KC wins 5-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 5-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 5-2 (delta 2).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: KC wins 5-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentKCRECENT_FORM_RANGEKC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentKCTEAM_RECENT_RECORDKC wins and win_pct agree: 8/58 = 0.138.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMINRECENT_FORM_RANGEMIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMINTEAM_RECENT_RECORDMIN wins and win_pct agree: 14/59 = 0.237.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentKCBATTING_REALISMcurrent:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentMINBATTING_REALISMcurrent:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationKCBATTING_REALISMsimulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationMINBATTING_REALISMsimulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentKCBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentMINBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationKCBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationMINBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:KC batting walks match MIN pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:KC batting home runs match MIN pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:KC batting hits match MIN pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:KC batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:KC PA=39 matches MIN BF=39.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationKCRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:MIN batting walks match KC pitching: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:MIN batting home runs match KC pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:MIN batting hits match KC pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:MIN batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:MIN PA=34 matches KC BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMINRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaKCCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXKC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaMINCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentKCCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEKC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentKCCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKKC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentKCCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTKC current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentKCCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDKC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMINCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEMIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMINCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKMIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMINCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTMIN current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMINCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDMIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.467.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.475/0.661.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: KC 7, MIN 4.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: KC 5 - MIN 2.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: KC.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for KC.{'winner_confidence': 0.532939, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-04', 'predicted_team': 'KC', 'confidence': 0.5230589999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260604_KC@MIN.json'}]}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_KC@MIN.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: KC@MIN.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 140.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASSpitch_countsimulationKCPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHKC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationKCPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHKC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 140.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMINPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHMIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMINPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHMIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASSpitchingcurrentKCPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentKCSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentMINPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentMINSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationKCPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationKCSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationMINPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationMINSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentKCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentKCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationKCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationKCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMINPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: KC 3 - 2 MIN.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: KC 5 - 2 MIN.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: KC wins 5-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=KC, final=KC.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.533.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 8/58 (0.138).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 14/59 (0.237).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: KC wins 5-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: KC wins 5-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 5-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 5-2 (delta 2).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: KC wins 5-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentKCRECENT_FORM_RANGEKC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentKCTEAM_RECENT_RECORDKC wins and win_pct agree: 8/58 = 0.138.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMINRECENT_FORM_RANGEMIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMINTEAM_RECENT_RECORDMIN wins and win_pct agree: 14/59 = 0.237.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentKCCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONKC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentMINCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONMIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaKCCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXKC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=34; H: current=10, sim=7; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=5; HBP: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaKCCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXKC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carter Jensen: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Bobby Witt Jr.: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Vinnie Pasquantino: AB current=7 box=5, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Salvador Perez: AB current=7 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Isaac Collins: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Jac Caglianone: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Michael Massey: AB current=5 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Nick Loftin: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMINCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=30; H: current=13, sim=4; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=12, sim=7; SF: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMINCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXMIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Josh Bell: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Brooks Lee: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Byron Buxton: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Orlando Arcia: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Luke Keaschall: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Martin: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, SF current=0 box=1; Ryan Kreidler: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml5.31901311874389653.4668526649475098Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied54Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction320.533Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment32Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target32Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result52Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
KC00011300057
MIN00000010124
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentKCbatting5410100696130000
currentKCpitching412379.0200
currentMINbatting5513001794120000
currentMINpitching725459.0500
simulationKCbatting347102554501
simulationKCpitching412379.0234140
simulationMINbatting304001223710
simulationMINpitching725459.0539154
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentKCDHCarter Jensen061000111200.167
currentKCSSBobby Witt Jr.082100111200.250
currentKC1BVinnie Pasquantino071000111100.143
currentKCCSalvador Perez071000110100.143
currentKCLFIsaac Collins061000101200.167
currentKCRFJac Caglianone061000101200.167
currentKC2BMichael Massey051000110100.200
currentKC3BNick Loftin041000111100.250
currentKCCFKyle Isbel051000100100.200
currentMINDHJosh Bell072000111200.286
currentMIN3BBrooks Lee072000110100.286
currentMIN1BKody Clemens061000110100.167
currentMINCFByron Buxton092001211200.222
currentMINSSOrlando Arcia041000100100.250
currentMIN2BLuke Keaschall072000111100.286
currentMINRFAustin Martin061000111100.167
currentMINLFRyan Kreidler051000110100.200
currentMINCAlex Jackson041000000200.250
simulationKC1DHCarter Jensen541001111100.250
simulationKC2SSBobby Witt Jr.551000000200.200
simulationKC31BVinnie Pasquantino550000000100.000
simulationKC4CSalvador Perez421000101010.500
simulationKC5RFJac Caglianone442100110100.500
simulationKC6LFIsaac Collins430000001000.000
simulationKC72BMichael Massey441001130000.250
simulationKC83BNick Loftin431000101000.333
simulationKC9CFKyle Isbel440000000000.000
simulationMIN1CFByron Buxton430000001100.000
simulationMIN23BBrooks Lee440000000000.000
simulationMIN31BKody Clemens440000000100.000
simulationMIN4DHJosh Bell442001110000.500
simulationMIN5SSOrlando Arcia432000001100.667
simulationMIN62BLuke Keaschall440000000000.000
simulationMIN7RFAustin Martin420000111100.000
simulationMIN8LFRyan Kreidler330000000200.000
simulationMIN9CAlex Jackson330000000100.000
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentKC1Michael WachaStarter6.1000360000.003.231.12
currentKC2Lucas ErcegMiddle Reliever1.0211000009.005.241.75
currentKC3Matt StrahmMiddle Reliever1.0000000000.003.931.20
currentKC4Daniel Lynch IVMiddle Reliever0.22110110013.501.780.99
currentMIN1Zebby MatthewsStarter5.2555342007.944.631.03
currentMIN2Eric OrzeMiddle Reliever1.1000000000.003.641.42
currentMIN3Taylor RogersMiddle Reliever1.0000000000.003.471.46
currentMIN4Yoendrys GómezMiddle Reliever1.0200110000.003.821.30
simulationKC1Michael WachaStarter6.100036022920.003.231.12
simulationKC2Lucas ErcegMiddle Reliever1.02110005189.005.241.75
simulationKC3Matt StrahmMiddle Reliever1.00000003130.003.931.20
simulationKC4Daniel Lynch IVMiddle Reliever0.221101141713.501.780.99
simulationMIN1Zebby MatthewsStarter5.255534225997.944.631.03
simulationMIN2Yoendrys GómezMiddle Reliever1.02001106230.003.821.30
simulationMIN3Taylor RogersMiddle Reliever1.00000003130.003.471.46
simulationMIN4Eric OrzeMiddle Reliever1.10000005190.003.641.42
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
KCMichael WachaStarter6.100362292
KCLucas ErcegMiddle Reliever1.01200518
KCMatt StrahmMiddle Reliever1.00000313
KCDaniel Lynch IVMiddle Reliever0.21201417
MINZebby MatthewsStarter5.255342599
MINEric OrzeMiddle Reliever1.10000519
MINTaylor RogersMiddle Reliever1.00000313
MINYoendrys GómezMiddle Reliever1.00211623
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSnot triggered0000Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_LAA@LAD

20260605_LAA@LAD.json • 2026-06-05

LAA 2 - LAD 5
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentLAACURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONLAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentLADCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONLAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaLAACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXLAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=4; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=11).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaLAACURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXLAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Zach Neto: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Mike Trout: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wade Meckler: H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jorge Soler: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Vaughn Grissom: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jo Adell: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Donovan Walton: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Oswald Peraza: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaLADCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXLAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=34; H: current=15, sim=10; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=10, sim=6).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaLADCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXLAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shohei Ohtani: AB current=8 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Andy Pages: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Mookie Betts: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Freddie Freeman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Tucker: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Will Smith: AB current=7 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Alex Call: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Miguel Rojas: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentLAABATTING_REALISMcurrent:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentLADBATTING_REALISMcurrent:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationLAABATTING_REALISMsimulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationLADBATTING_REALISMsimulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentLAABATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentLADBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationLAABATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationLADBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAABAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:LAA batting walks match LAD pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAABAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:LAA batting home runs match LAD pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAABAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:LAA batting hits match LAD pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAABAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:LAA batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 11.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAAPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:LAA PA=35 matches LAD BF=35.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAARUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:LAD batting walks match LAA pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:LAD batting home runs match LAA pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:LAD batting hits match LAA pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:LAD batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:LAD PA=36 matches LAA BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaLAACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXLAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaLADCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXLAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLAACURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPELAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLAACURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKLAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLAACURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTLAA current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLAACURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDLAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLADCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPELAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLADCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKLAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLADCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTLAD current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLADCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDLAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.456.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.544.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.544.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.610.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: LAA 4, LAD 10.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: LAA 2 - LAD 5.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAD.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAD.{'winner_confidence': 0.543716, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_LAA@LAD.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: LAA@LAD.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 145.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160.
PASSpitch_countsimulationLAAPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHLAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationLAAPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHLAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 145.
PASSpitch_countsimulationLADPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHLAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationLADPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHLAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160.
PASSpitchingcurrentLAAPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentLAASTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentLADPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentLADSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationLAAPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationLAASTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationLADPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationLADSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentLAAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentLAAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentLADPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentLADPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationLAAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationLAAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationLADPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationLADPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAA 4 - 5 LAD.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: LAA 2 - 5 LAD.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 5-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=LAD, final=LAD.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.544.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 14/57 (0.246).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 17/59 (0.288).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: LAD wins 5-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: LAD wins 2-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 2-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 4-5, final 2-5 (delta 2).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: LAD wins 5-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentLAARECENT_FORM_RANGELAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentLAATEAM_RECENT_RECORDLAA wins and win_pct agree: 14/57 = 0.246.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentLADRECENT_FORM_RANGELAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentLADTEAM_RECENT_RECORDLAD wins and win_pct agree: 17/59 = 0.288.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentLAABATTING_REALISMcurrent:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentLADBATTING_REALISMcurrent:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationLAABATTING_REALISMsimulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationLADBATTING_REALISMsimulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentLAABATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentLADBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationLAABATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationLADBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAABAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:LAA batting walks match LAD pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAABAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:LAA batting home runs match LAD pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAABAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:LAA batting hits match LAD pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAABAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:LAA batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 11.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAAPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:LAA PA=35 matches LAD BF=35.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLAARUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:LAD batting walks match LAA pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:LAD batting home runs match LAA pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:LAD batting hits match LAA pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:LAD batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:LAD PA=36 matches LAA BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationLADRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaLAACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXLAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaLADCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXLAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLAACURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPELAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLAACURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKLAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLAACURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTLAA current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLAACURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDLAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLADCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPELAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLADCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKLAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLADCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTLAD current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentLADCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDLAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.456.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.544.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.544.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.610.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: LAA 4, LAD 10.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: LAA 2 - LAD 5.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAD.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAD.{'winner_confidence': 0.543716, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_LAA@LAD.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: LAA@LAD.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 145.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160.
PASSpitch_countsimulationLAAPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHLAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationLAAPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHLAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 145.
PASSpitch_countsimulationLADPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHLAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationLADPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHLAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160.
PASSpitchingcurrentLAAPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentLAASTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentLADPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentLADSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationLAAPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationLAASTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationLADPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationLADSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentLAAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentLAAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentLADPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentLADPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationLAAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationLAAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationLADPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationLADPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAA 4 - 5 LAD.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: LAA 2 - 5 LAD.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 5-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=LAD, final=LAD.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.544.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 14/57 (0.246).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 17/59 (0.288).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: LAD wins 5-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: LAD wins 2-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 2-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 4-5, final 2-5 (delta 2).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: LAD wins 5-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentLAARECENT_FORM_RANGELAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentLAATEAM_RECENT_RECORDLAA wins and win_pct agree: 14/57 = 0.246.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentLADRECENT_FORM_RANGELAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentLADTEAM_RECENT_RECORDLAD wins and win_pct agree: 17/59 = 0.288.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentLAACURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONLAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentLADCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONLAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaLAACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXLAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=4; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=11).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaLAACURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXLAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Zach Neto: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Mike Trout: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wade Meckler: H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jorge Soler: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Vaughn Grissom: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jo Adell: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Donovan Walton: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Oswald Peraza: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaLADCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXLAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=34; H: current=15, sim=10; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=10, sim=6).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaLADCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXLAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shohei Ohtani: AB current=8 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Andy Pages: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Mookie Betts: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Freddie Freeman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Tucker: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Will Smith: AB current=7 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Alex Call: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Miguel Rojas: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml5.2467222213745124.467727184295654Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied54Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction450.544Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment45Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target45Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result25Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
LAA10010000024
LAD001400000510
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentLAAbatting5714100886150000
currentLAApitching1025268.0500
currentLADbatting5615100997100000
currentLADpitching4124119.0200
simulationLAAbatting3140012241100
simulationLAApitching1025268.0536145
simulationLADbatting3410102552600
simulationLADpitching4124119.0235160
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentLAASSZach Neto092100111300.222
currentLAACFMike Trout072000112200.286
currentLAALFWade Meckler041000010100.250
currentLAADHJorge Soler072000111200.286
currentLAA1BVaughn Grissom061000111100.167
currentLAARFJo Adell072000110200.286
currentLAA3BDonovan Walton051000100100.200
currentLAA2BOswald Peraza062000110200.333
currentLAACLogan O'Hoppe061000111100.167
currentLADDHShohei Ohtani083100211200.375
currentLADCFAndy Pages072000111100.286
currentLADSSMookie Betts071000111100.143
currentLAD1BFreddie Freeman072000111100.286
currentLADRFKyle Tucker072000111100.286
currentLADCWill Smith072000111100.286
currentLADLFAlex Call041000111100.250
currentLAD2BMiguel Rojas051000110100.200
currentLAD3BSantiago Espinal041000010100.250
simulationLAA1SSZach Neto430000001100.000
simulationLAA2CFMike Trout430000001100.000
simulationLAA3LFWade Meckler442001110100.500
simulationLAA4DHJorge Soler440000000200.000
simulationLAA51BVaughn Grissom431000001100.333
simulationLAA6RFJo Adell430000001100.000
simulationLAA73BDonovan Walton441000110200.250
simulationLAA82BOswald Peraza440000000200.000
simulationLAA9CLogan O'Hoppe330000000000.000
simulationLAD1DHShohei Ohtani431000101100.333
simulationLAD2CFAndy Pages442100110000.500
simulationLAD31BFreddie Freeman440000000100.000
simulationLAD4SSMookie Betts441000100000.250
simulationLAD5RFKyle Tucker441000000100.250
simulationLAD6CWill Smith432001131000.667
simulationLAD7LFAlex Call441000000100.250
simulationLAD82BMiguel Rojas441000000100.250
simulationLAD93BSantiago Espinal441001110100.250
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentLAA1Reid DetmersStarter5.1655162008.444.631.18
currentLAA2Sam BachmanMiddle Reliever1.1000100000.002.221.09
currentLAA3Chase SilsethMiddle Reliever0.2000000000.001.741.40
currentLAA4Kirby YatesMiddle Reliever0.2100000000.003.861.18
currentLAA5Drew PomeranzMiddle Reliever0.0300000005.791.71
currentLAD1Roki SasakiStarter5.2422261003.184.591.35
currentLAD2Kyle HurtMiddle Reliever1.0000110000.002.290.97
currentLAD3Tanner ScottMiddle Reliever1.0000120000.002.420.73
currentLAD4Alex VesiaMiddle Reliever0.2000010000.002.140.95
currentLAD5Blake TreinenMiddle Reliever0.2000010000.001.501.06
simulationLAA1Reid DetmersStarter5.165516223958.444.631.18
simulationLAA2Kirby YatesMiddle Reliever0.21000003140.003.861.18
simulationLAA3Sam BachmanMiddle Reliever1.1000100550.002.221.09
simulationLAA4Chase SilsethMiddle Reliever0.20000002150.001.741.40
simulationLAA5Drew PomeranzMiddle Reliever0.03000003165.791.71
simulationLAD1Roki SasakiStarter5.2422261231023.184.591.35
simulationLAD2Tanner ScottMiddle Reliever1.00001204170.002.420.73
simulationLAD3Kyle HurtMiddle Reliever1.00001104170.002.290.97
simulationLAD4Alex VesiaMiddle Reliever0.20000102130.002.140.95
simulationLAD5Blake TreinenMiddle Reliever0.20000102110.001.501.06
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
LAAReid DetmersStarter5.156162395
LAASam BachmanMiddle Reliever1.1001055
LAAChase SilsethMiddle Reliever0.20000215
LAAKirby YatesMiddle Reliever0.20100314
LAADrew PomeranzMiddle Reliever0.00300316
LADRoki SasakiStarter5.2242623102
LADKyle HurtMiddle Reliever1.00011417
LADTanner ScottMiddle Reliever1.00012417
LADAlex VesiaMiddle Reliever0.20001213
LADBlake TreinenMiddle Reliever0.20001211
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSgood0001Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_MIL@COL

20260605_MIL@COL.json • 2026-06-05

MIL 4 - COL 7
WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 10.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 1PASS 92INFO 7
Action summary - what to fix first
LevelProblem group / fixCountTeamsExample
WARNPrediction target vs final simulation drift
The inning simulation can vary from ML target, but large drift should be reviewed or explicitly documented as acceptable variance.
0C / 0E / 1W-Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 5-4, final 4-7 (delta 4).
Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
WARNscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score drifted from enhanced target: target 5-4, final 4-7 (delta 4).
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
WARNscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score drifted from enhanced target: target 5-4, final 4-7 (delta 4).
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentCOLCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONCOL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentMILCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONMIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCOLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCOL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=53, sim=33; H: current=12, sim=9; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=7; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=9).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCOLCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXCOL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: TJ Rumfield: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tyler Freeman: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jake McCarthy: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0; Hunter Goodman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Willi Castro: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Troy Johnston: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Sterlin Thompson: R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=3; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=7 box=4, SO current=2 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMILCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=7; 2B: current=1, sim=3; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=10, sim=4; R: current=10, sim=4; BB: current=9, sim=5).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMILCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXMIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Christian Yelich: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Brice Turang: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; William Contreras: AB current=8 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jackson Chourio: AB current=8 box=5, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Jake Bauers: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sal Frelick: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Garrett Mitchell: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3, BB current=1 box=0; Luis Rengifo: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentCOLBATTING_REALISMcurrent:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentMILBATTING_REALISMcurrent:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationCOLBATTING_REALISMsimulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationMILBATTING_REALISMsimulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentCOLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentMILBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationCOLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationMILBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:COL batting walks match MIL pitching: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:COL batting home runs match MIL pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:COL batting hits match MIL pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:COL batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:COL PA=36 matches MIL BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:MIL batting walks match COL pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:MIL batting home runs match COL pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:MIL batting hits match COL pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:MIL batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:MIL PA=39 matches COL BF=39.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaCOLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCOL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaMILCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCOLCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPECOL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCOLCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKCOL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCOLCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTCOL current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCOLCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDCOL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMILCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEMIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMILCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKMIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMILCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTMIL current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMILCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDMIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.475.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 11 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.610.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: MIL 7, COL 9.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: MIL 4 - COL 7.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIL.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIL.{'winner_confidence': 0.524673, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_MIL@COL.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: MIL@COL.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 167.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCOLPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHCOL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCOLPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHCOL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 167.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMILPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHMIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMILPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHMIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASSpitchingcurrentCOLPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentCOLSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentMILPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentMILSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationCOLPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationCOLSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationMILPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationMILSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCOLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCOLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMILPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMILPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCOLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCOLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMILPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMILPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIL 5 - 4 COL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: MIL 4 - 7 COL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: COL wins 7-4.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACESimulation winner reversal is traced: pre=MIL, final=COL.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.525.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 19/52 (0.365).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 11/58 (0.190).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: COL wins 7-4.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: COL wins 4-7.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 4-7.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 11.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: COL wins 7-4.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCOLRECENT_FORM_RANGECOL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCOLTEAM_RECENT_RECORDCOL wins and win_pct agree: 11/58 = 0.190.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMILRECENT_FORM_RANGEMIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMILTEAM_RECENT_RECORDMIL wins and win_pct agree: 19/52 = 0.365.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentCOLBATTING_REALISMcurrent:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentMILBATTING_REALISMcurrent:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationCOLBATTING_REALISMsimulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationMILBATTING_REALISMsimulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentCOLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentMILBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationCOLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationMILBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:COL batting walks match MIL pitching: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:COL batting home runs match MIL pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:COL batting hits match MIL pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:COL batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:COL PA=36 matches MIL BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCOLRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:MIL batting walks match COL pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:MIL batting home runs match COL pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:MIL batting hits match COL pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:MIL batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:MIL PA=39 matches COL BF=39.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMILRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaCOLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCOL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaMILCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCOLCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPECOL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCOLCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKCOL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCOLCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTCOL current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCOLCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDCOL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMILCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEMIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMILCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKMIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMILCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTMIL current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMILCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDMIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.475.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 11 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.610.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: MIL 7, COL 9.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: MIL 4 - COL 7.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIL.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIL.{'winner_confidence': 0.524673, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_MIL@COL.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: MIL@COL.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 167.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCOLPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHCOL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCOLPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHCOL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 167.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMILPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHMIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMILPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHMIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASSpitchingcurrentCOLPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentCOLSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentMILPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentMILSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationCOLPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationCOLSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationMILPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationMILSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCOLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCOLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMILPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMILPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCOLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCOLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMILPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMILPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIL 5 - 4 COL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: MIL 4 - 7 COL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: COL wins 7-4.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACESimulation winner reversal is traced: pre=MIL, final=COL.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.525.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 19/52 (0.365).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 11/58 (0.190).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: COL wins 7-4.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: COL wins 4-7.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 4-7.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 11.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: COL wins 7-4.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCOLRECENT_FORM_RANGECOL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCOLTEAM_RECENT_RECORDCOL wins and win_pct agree: 11/58 = 0.190.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMILRECENT_FORM_RANGEMIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMILTEAM_RECENT_RECORDMIL wins and win_pct agree: 19/52 = 0.365.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentCOLCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONCOL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentMILCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONMIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCOLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCOL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=53, sim=33; H: current=12, sim=9; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=7; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=9).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCOLCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXCOL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: TJ Rumfield: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tyler Freeman: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jake McCarthy: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0; Hunter Goodman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Willi Castro: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Troy Johnston: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Sterlin Thompson: R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=3; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=7 box=4, SO current=2 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMILCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=7; 2B: current=1, sim=3; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=10, sim=4; R: current=10, sim=4; BB: current=9, sim=5).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMILCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXMIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Christian Yelich: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Brice Turang: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; William Contreras: AB current=8 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jackson Chourio: AB current=8 box=5, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Jake Bauers: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sal Frelick: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Garrett Mitchell: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3, BB current=1 box=0; Luis Rengifo: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml4.32814502716064455.917085647583008Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied46Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction540.525Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment54Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target54Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result47Final inning-by-inning simulation result
simulation_winner_reversal47Inning simulation reversed the pre-simulation winner; primary prediction fields remain the pre-simulation model target.
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
MIL00001003047
COL40300000079
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentMILbatting591410010109140000
currentMILpitching917398.0700
currentCOLbatting5312100784130000
currentCOLpitching714549.0400
simulationMILbatting347311445400
simulationMILpitching917398.0736157
simulationCOLbatting339201773900
simulationCOLpitching714549.0439167
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentMILDHChristian Yelich072000111200.286
currentMIL2BBrice Turang072000211200.286
currentMILCWilliam Contreras082000121100.250
currentMILLFJackson Chourio083100121200.375
currentMIL1BJake Bauers061000111200.167
currentMILRFSal Frelick061000111100.167
currentMILCFGarrett Mitchell061000111200.167
currentMIL3BLuis Rengifo061000111100.167
currentMILSSDavid Hamilton051000101100.200
currentCOL1BTJ Rumfield072000111100.286
currentCOLRFTyler Freeman061000110100.167
currentCOLCFJake McCarthy051000110100.200
currentCOLCHunter Goodman072000111300.286
currentCOL3BWilli Castro061000111200.167
currentCOLLFTroy Johnston062100110100.333
currentCOLDHSterlin Thompson041000000100.250
currentCOLSSEzequiel Tovar071000110200.143
currentCOL2BEdouard Julien051000101100.200
simulationMIL1DHChristian Yelich541010111000.250
simulationMIL2LFJackson Chourio550000000100.000
simulationMIL32BBrice Turang551000000000.200
simulationMIL4CWilliam Contreras432100101000.667
simulationMIL51BJake Bauers430000001100.000
simulationMIL6CFGarrett Mitchell441001130100.250
simulationMIL7RFSal Frelick430000001100.000
simulationMIL83BLuis Rengifo441100000000.250
simulationMIL9SSDavid Hamilton431100101000.333
simulationCOL1CFJake McCarthy441000100100.250
simulationCOL2RFTyler Freeman441000100000.250
simulationCOL31BTJ Rumfield420000002000.000
simulationCOL4CHunter Goodman441100110200.250
simulationCOL5LFTroy Johnston432100121000.667
simulationCOL63BWilli Castro442001130000.500
simulationCOL7SSEzequiel Tovar441000110000.250
simulationCOL8DHSterlin Thompson441000100300.250
simulationCOL92BEdouard Julien440000000300.000
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentMIL1Brandon SproatStarter4.18772610014.546.241.53
currentMIL2Aaron AshbyMiddle Reliever1.1000000000.002.171.31
currentMIL3DL HallMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.002.031.23
currentMIL4Trevor MegillMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.002.450.91
currentMIL5Abner UribeMiddle Reliever0.0100100004.031.25
currentMIL6Grant AndersonMiddle Reliever0.1000010000.003.161.05
currentCOL1Ryan FeltnerStarter4.2211420001.934.851.31
currentCOL2Antonio SenzatelaMiddle Reliever2.1100000000.001.300.89
currentCOL4Jaden HillMiddle Reliever1.0100100000.003.431.43
currentCOL5Juan MejiaMiddle Reliever1.03330210027.005.791.68
simulationMIL1Brandon SproatStarter4.1877261238714.546.241.53
simulationMIL2Trevor MegillMiddle Reliever1.00000103140.002.450.91
simulationMIL3Abner UribeMiddle Reliever0.01001002164.031.25
simulationMIL4Aaron AshbyMiddle Reliever1.1000000440.002.171.31
simulationMIL5DL HallMiddle Reliever1.00000103200.002.031.23
simulationMIL6Grant AndersonMiddle Reliever0.10000101160.003.161.05
simulationCOL1Ryan FeltnerStarter4.221142020931.934.851.31
simulationCOL2Antonio SenzatelaMiddle Reliever2.11000008320.001.300.89
simulationCOL3Juan MejiaMiddle Reliever1.033302162227.005.791.68
simulationCOL4Jaden HillMiddle Reliever1.01001005200.003.431.43
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
MILBrandon SproatStarter4.178262387
MILAaron AshbyMiddle Reliever1.1000044
MILDL HallMiddle Reliever1.00001320
MILTrevor MegillMiddle Reliever1.00001314
MILAbner UribeMiddle Reliever0.00110216
MILGrant AndersonMiddle Reliever0.10001116
COLRyan FeltnerStarter4.212422093
COLAntonio SenzatelaMiddle Reliever2.10100832
COLJaden HillMiddle Reliever1.00110520
COLJuan MejiaMiddle Reliever1.03302622
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSgood0001Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTwarning0010Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_NYM@SD

20260605_NYM@SD.json • 2026-06-05

NYM 2 - SD 3
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentNYMCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONNYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentSDCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONSD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaNYMCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXNYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=52, sim=33; H: current=13, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=2; R: current=7, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=1; SO: current=13, sim=10).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaNYMCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXNYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Juan Soto: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Bo Bichette: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; A.J. Ewing: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Carson Benge: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Marcus Semien: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; MJ Melendez: HR current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Brett Baty: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luis Torrens: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSDCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=51, sim=29; H: current=11, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=10; HBP: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSDCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXSD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Gavin Sheets: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Manny Machado: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ty France: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jackson Merrill: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryce Johnson: H current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=3; Sung-Mun Song: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentNYMBATTING_REALISMcurrent:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentSDBATTING_REALISMcurrent:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationNYMBATTING_REALISMsimulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationSDBATTING_REALISMsimulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentNYMBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentSDBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationNYMBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationSDBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:NYM batting walks match SD pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:NYM batting home runs match SD pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:NYM batting hits match SD pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:NYM batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:NYM PA=34 matches SD BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:SD batting walks match NYM pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:SD batting home runs match NYM pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:SD batting hits match NYM pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:SD batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:SD PA=36 matches NYM BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaNYMCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXNYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaSDCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYMCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPENYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYMCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKNYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYMCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTNYM current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYMCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDNYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSDCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPESD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSDCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKSD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSDCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTSD current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSDCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDSD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.478.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.522.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.522.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.627/0.841.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: NYM 6, SD 4.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: NYM 2 - SD 3.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SD.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SD.{'winner_confidence': 0.521874, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_NYM@SD.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: NYM@SD.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 145.
PASSpitch_countsimulationNYMPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHNYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationNYMPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHNYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSDPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHSD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSDPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHSD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 145.
PASSpitchingcurrentNYMPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentNYMSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentSDPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentSDSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationNYMPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationNYMSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationSDPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationSDSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentNYMPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentNYMPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSDPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSDPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationNYMPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationNYMPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSDPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSDPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYM 2 - 3 SD.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: NYM 2 - 3 SD.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: SD wins 3-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=SD, final=SD.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.522.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 20/55 (0.364).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 10/56 (0.179).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: SD wins 3-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: SD wins 2-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 2-3 (delta 0).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: SD wins 3-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentNYMRECENT_FORM_RANGENYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentNYMTEAM_RECENT_RECORDNYM wins and win_pct agree: 20/55 = 0.364.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSDRECENT_FORM_RANGESD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSDTEAM_RECENT_RECORDSD wins and win_pct agree: 10/56 = 0.179.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentNYMBATTING_REALISMcurrent:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentSDBATTING_REALISMcurrent:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationNYMBATTING_REALISMsimulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationSDBATTING_REALISMsimulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentNYMBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentSDBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationNYMBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationSDBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:NYM batting walks match SD pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:NYM batting home runs match SD pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:NYM batting hits match SD pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:NYM batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:NYM PA=34 matches SD BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationNYMRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:SD batting walks match NYM pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:SD batting home runs match NYM pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:SD batting hits match NYM pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:SD batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:SD PA=36 matches NYM BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSDRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaNYMCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXNYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaSDCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYMCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPENYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYMCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKNYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYMCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTNYM current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentNYMCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDNYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSDCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPESD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSDCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKSD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSDCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTSD current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSDCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDSD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.478.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.522.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.522.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.627/0.841.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: NYM 6, SD 4.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: NYM 2 - SD 3.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SD.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SD.{'winner_confidence': 0.521874, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_NYM@SD.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: NYM@SD.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 145.
PASSpitch_countsimulationNYMPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHNYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationNYMPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHNYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSDPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHSD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSDPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHSD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 145.
PASSpitchingcurrentNYMPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentNYMSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentSDPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentSDSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationNYMPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationNYMSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationSDPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationSDSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentNYMPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentNYMPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSDPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSDPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationNYMPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationNYMPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSDPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSDPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYM 2 - 3 SD.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: NYM 2 - 3 SD.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: SD wins 3-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=SD, final=SD.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.522.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 20/55 (0.364).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 10/56 (0.179).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: SD wins 3-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: SD wins 2-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 2-3 (delta 0).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: SD wins 3-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentNYMRECENT_FORM_RANGENYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentNYMTEAM_RECENT_RECORDNYM wins and win_pct agree: 20/55 = 0.364.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSDRECENT_FORM_RANGESD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSDTEAM_RECENT_RECORDSD wins and win_pct agree: 10/56 = 0.179.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentNYMCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONNYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentSDCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONSD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaNYMCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXNYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=52, sim=33; H: current=13, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=2; R: current=7, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=1; SO: current=13, sim=10).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaNYMCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXNYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Juan Soto: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Bo Bichette: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; A.J. Ewing: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Carson Benge: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Marcus Semien: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; MJ Melendez: HR current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Brett Baty: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luis Torrens: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSDCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=51, sim=29; H: current=11, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=10; HBP: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSDCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXSD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Gavin Sheets: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Manny Machado: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ty France: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jackson Merrill: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryce Johnson: H current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=3; Sung-Mun Song: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml3.6611473560333254.45244836807251Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied44Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction230.522Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment23Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target23Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result23Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
NYM00001001026
SD00010000234
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentNYMbatting5213000675130000
currentNYMpitching4036108.0300
currentSDbatting5111000666150000
currentSDpitching6221109.0200
simulationNYMbatting3361022211000
simulationNYMpitching4036108.0336156
simulationSDbatting2941003361001
simulationSDpitching6221109.0234145
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentNYMLFJuan Soto072000111100.286
currentNYMSSBo Bichette082000111100.250
currentNYM1BJared Young041000000100.250
currentNYMCFA.J. Ewing051000101200.200
currentNYMRFCarson Benge072000111200.286
currentNYM2BMarcus Semien072000111200.286
currentNYMDHMJ Melendez031000010100.333
currentNYM3BBrett Baty061000110200.167
currentNYMCLuis Torrens051000100100.200
currentSDDHGavin Sheets061000111200.167
currentSD3BManny Machado071000111200.143
currentSD1BTy France051000110100.200
currentSDRFFernando Tatis Jr.082000111200.250
currentSDCFJackson Merrill072000111200.286
currentSDSSXander Bogaerts071000111200.143
currentSDLFBryce Johnson041000000200.250
currentSD2BSung-Mun Song031000000100.333
currentSDCRodolfo Durán041000001100.250
simulationNYM1RFCarson Benge442000000100.500
simulationNYM2SSBo Bichette440000000200.000
simulationNYM3LFJuan Soto431001111100.333
simulationNYM41BJared Young441000000100.250
simulationNYM5CFA.J. Ewing440000000000.000
simulationNYM62BMarcus Semien440000000100.000
simulationNYM73BBrett Baty440000000300.000
simulationNYM8DHMJ Melendez331001110100.333
simulationNYM9CLuis Torrens331100000000.333
simulationSD1RFFernando Tatis Jr.440000000200.000
simulationSD2DHGavin Sheets431000101000.333
simulationSD33BManny Machado430000001100.000
simulationSD41BTy France440000000200.000
simulationSD5CFJackson Merrill432100111000.667
simulationSD6SSXander Bogaerts430000001100.000
simulationSD7LFBryce Johnson440000000300.000
simulationSD82BSung-Mun Song430000000010.000
simulationSD9CRodolfo Durán421000122100.500
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentNYM1Christian ScottStarter5.0111380001.802.971.38
currentNYM2Brooks RaleyMiddle Reliever1.0100110000.001.541.24
currentNYM3Huascar BrazobánMiddle Reliever1.02221100018.002.351.04
currentNYM4Luke WeaverMiddle Reliever1.0000100000.002.671.00
currentNYM6Devin WilliamsMiddle Reliever0.0000000004.501.35
currentSD1Michael KingStarter5.2511161001.593.181.13
currentSD2Adrian MorejonMiddle Reliever1.1000010000.004.751.19
currentSD3Mason MillerMiddle Reliever1.1000010000.000.720.84
currentSD4Jason AdamMiddle Reliever0.21110210013.501.711.14
simulationNYM1Christian ScottStarter5.011138019821.802.971.38
simulationNYM2Devin WilliamsMiddle Reliever0.00000002144.501.35
simulationNYM3Luke WeaverMiddle Reliever1.00001004170.002.671.00
simulationNYM4Brooks RaleyMiddle Reliever1.01001105200.001.541.24
simulationNYM5Huascar BrazobánMiddle Reliever1.022211062318.002.351.04
simulationSD1Michael KingStarter5.251116123931.593.181.13
simulationSD2Mason MillerMiddle Reliever1.10000104210.000.720.84
simulationSD3Jason AdamMiddle Reliever0.211102131413.501.711.14
simulationSD4Adrian MorejonMiddle Reliever1.10000104170.004.751.19
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
NYMChristian ScottStarter5.011381982
NYMBrooks RaleyMiddle Reliever1.00111520
NYMHuascar BrazobánMiddle Reliever1.02211623
NYMLuke WeaverMiddle Reliever1.00010417
NYMDevin WilliamsMiddle Reliever0.00000214
SDMichael KingStarter5.215162393
SDAdrian MorejonMiddle Reliever1.10001417
SDMason MillerMiddle Reliever1.10001421
SDJason AdamMiddle Reliever0.21102314
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSnot triggered0000Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_OAK@HOU

20260605_OAK@HOU.json • 2026-06-05

OAK 2 - HOU 3
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentHOUCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONHOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentOAKCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONOAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaHOUCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXHOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; BB: current=5, sim=1; SO: current=12, sim=5; SF: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaHOUCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXHOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Yordan Alvarez: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3, BB current=1 box=0; Isaac Paredes: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jeremy Peña: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Christian Walker: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Nick Allen: H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jose Altuve: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Cam Smith: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Meyers: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaOAKCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXOAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=32; H: current=12, sim=5; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=5, sim=2; R: current=7, sim=2; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=12, sim=11).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaOAKCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXOAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shea Langeliers: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Carlos Cortes: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Brent Rooker: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Henry Bolte: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1; Zack Gelof: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jeff McNeil: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentHOUBATTING_REALISMcurrent:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentOAKBATTING_REALISMcurrent:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationHOUBATTING_REALISMsimulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationOAKBATTING_REALISMsimulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentHOUBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentOAKBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationHOUBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationOAKBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOUBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:HOU batting walks match OAK pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOUBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:HOU batting home runs match OAK pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOUBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:HOU batting hits match OAK pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOUBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:HOU batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOUPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:HOU PA=35 matches OAK BF=35.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOURUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:OAK batting walks match HOU pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:OAK batting home runs match HOU pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:OAK batting hits match HOU pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:OAK batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 11.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:OAK PA=34 matches HOU BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaHOUCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXHOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaOAKCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXOAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentHOUCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEHOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentHOUCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKHOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentHOUCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTHOU current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentHOUCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDHOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentOAKCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEOAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentOAKCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKOAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentOAKCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTOAK current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentOAKCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDOAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.450.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.475/0.661.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: OAK 5, HOU 10.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: OAK 2 - HOU 3.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: HOU.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for HOU.{'winner_confidence': 0.549813, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_OAK@HOU.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: OAK@HOU.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASSpitch_countsimulationHOUPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHHOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationHOUPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHHOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASSpitch_countsimulationOAKPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHOAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationOAKPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHOAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139.
PASSpitchingcurrentHOUPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentHOUSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentOAKPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentOAKSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationHOUPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationHOUSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationOAKPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationOAKSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentHOUPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentHOUPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentOAKPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentOAKPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationHOUPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationHOUPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationOAKPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationOAKPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: OAK 1 - 3 HOU.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: OAK 2 - 3 HOU.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: HOU wins 3-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=HOU, final=HOU.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.550.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 13/57 (0.228).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 22/59 (0.373).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: HOU wins 3-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: HOU wins 2-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 2-3 (delta 1).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: HOU wins 3-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentHOURECENT_FORM_RANGEHOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentHOUTEAM_RECENT_RECORDHOU wins and win_pct agree: 22/59 = 0.373.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentOAKRECENT_FORM_RANGEOAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentOAKTEAM_RECENT_RECORDOAK wins and win_pct agree: 13/57 = 0.228.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentHOUBATTING_REALISMcurrent:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentOAKBATTING_REALISMcurrent:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationHOUBATTING_REALISMsimulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationOAKBATTING_REALISMsimulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentHOUBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentOAKBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationHOUBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationOAKBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOUBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:HOU batting walks match OAK pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOUBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:HOU batting home runs match OAK pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOUBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:HOU batting hits match OAK pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOUBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:HOU batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOUPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:HOU PA=35 matches OAK BF=35.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationHOURUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:OAK batting walks match HOU pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:OAK batting home runs match HOU pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:OAK batting hits match HOU pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:OAK batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 11.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:OAK PA=34 matches HOU BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationOAKRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaHOUCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXHOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaOAKCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXOAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentHOUCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEHOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentHOUCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKHOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentHOUCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTHOU current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentHOUCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDHOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentOAKCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEOAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentOAKCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKOAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentOAKCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTOAK current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentOAKCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDOAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.450.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.475/0.661.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: OAK 5, HOU 10.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: OAK 2 - HOU 3.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: HOU.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for HOU.{'winner_confidence': 0.549813, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_OAK@HOU.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: OAK@HOU.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASSpitch_countsimulationHOUPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHHOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationHOUPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHHOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASSpitch_countsimulationOAKPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHOAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationOAKPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHOAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139.
PASSpitchingcurrentHOUPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentHOUSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentOAKPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentOAKSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationHOUPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationHOUSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationOAKPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationOAKSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentHOUPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentHOUPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentOAKPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentOAKPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationHOUPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationHOUPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationOAKPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationOAKPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: OAK 1 - 3 HOU.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: OAK 2 - 3 HOU.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: HOU wins 3-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=HOU, final=HOU.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.550.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 13/57 (0.228).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 22/59 (0.373).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: HOU wins 3-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: HOU wins 2-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 2-3 (delta 1).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: HOU wins 3-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentHOURECENT_FORM_RANGEHOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentHOUTEAM_RECENT_RECORDHOU wins and win_pct agree: 22/59 = 0.373.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentOAKRECENT_FORM_RANGEOAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentOAKTEAM_RECENT_RECORDOAK wins and win_pct agree: 13/57 = 0.228.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentHOUCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONHOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentOAKCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONOAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaHOUCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXHOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; BB: current=5, sim=1; SO: current=12, sim=5; SF: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaHOUCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXHOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Yordan Alvarez: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3, BB current=1 box=0; Isaac Paredes: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jeremy Peña: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Christian Walker: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Nick Allen: H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jose Altuve: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Cam Smith: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Meyers: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaOAKCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXOAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=32; H: current=12, sim=5; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=5, sim=2; R: current=7, sim=2; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=12, sim=11).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaOAKCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXOAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shea Langeliers: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Carlos Cortes: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Brent Rooker: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Henry Bolte: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1; Zack Gelof: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jeff McNeil: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml3.39519238471984864.1091156005859375Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied44Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction130.550Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment13Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target13Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result23Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
OAK10000010025
HOU000010200310
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentOAKbatting5612101578120000
currentOAKpitching1013158.0300
currentHOUbatting58140018105120000
currentHOUpitching5022119.0200
simulationOAKbatting3252002221100
simulationOAKpitching1013158.0335139
simulationHOUbatting3310201331510
simulationHOUpitching5022119.0234154
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentOAKCShea Langeliers082001111100.250
currentOAKRFCarlos Cortes051000101100.200
currentOAKDHBrent Rooker071000111200.143
currentOAKLFTyler Soderstrom072100111100.286
currentOAK1BNick Kurtz072000112200.286
currentOAKCFHenry Bolte051000000100.200
currentOAK3BZack Gelof061000110200.167
currentOAK2BJeff McNeil061000001100.167
currentOAKSSDarell Hernaiz051000101100.200
currentHOULFYordan Alvarez072001111100.286
currentHOUDHIsaac Paredes072000111100.286
currentHOUSSJeremy Peña072000110100.286
currentHOU1BChristian Walker072000111200.286
currentHOU3BNick Allen041000100100.250
currentHOU2BJose Altuve092000211200.222
currentHOURFCam Smith061000111200.167
currentHOUCFJake Meyers061000110100.167
currentHOUCChristian Vázquez051000110100.200
simulationOAK1RFCarlos Cortes440000000000.000
simulationOAK2CShea Langeliers430000001200.000
simulationOAK31BNick Kurtz430000001200.000
simulationOAK4DHBrent Rooker441000000100.250
simulationOAK5LFTyler Soderstrom442000110000.500
simulationOAK6CFHenry Bolte441100000100.250
simulationOAK73BZack Gelof440000000300.000
simulationOAK82BJeff McNeil330000000000.000
simulationOAK9SSDarell Hernaiz331100110200.333
simulationHOU1SSJeremy Peña442100100100.500
simulationHOU2LFYordan Alvarez431001130000.333
simulationHOU31BChristian Walker442000100000.500
simulationHOU4DHIsaac Paredes441000000200.250
simulationHOU52BJose Altuve431000001000.333
simulationHOU6RFCam Smith440000000000.000
simulationHOU7CFJake Meyers440000000100.000
simulationHOU83BNick Allen442000000000.500
simulationHOU9CChristian Vázquez331100000100.333
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentOAK1Jack PerkinsStarter4.1622050004.155.461.21
currentOAK2Hogan HarrisMiddle Reliever1.1100100000.002.481.52
currentOAK4Scott BarlowMiddle Reliever1.2000000000.002.250.93
currentOAK6Mark Leiter Jr.Middle Reliever0.23110010013.505.131.37
currentHOU1Peter LambertStarter6.2311290001.353.771.21
currentHOU2Bryan KingMiddle Reliever1.0211010009.002.731.33
currentHOU3Enyel De Los SantosMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.003.201.03
currentHOU4Josh HaderMiddle Reliever0.1000000000.000.001.00
currentHOU5Nate PearsonMiddle Reliever0.0000000005.791.71
simulationOAK1Jack PerkinsStarter4.162205019774.155.461.21
simulationOAK2Hogan HarrisMiddle Reliever1.11001006240.002.481.52
simulationOAK3Mark Leiter Jr.Middle Reliever0.231100151713.505.131.37
simulationOAK4Scott BarlowMiddle Reliever1.20000005210.002.250.93
simulationHOU1Peter LambertStarter6.2311290251011.353.771.21
simulationHOU2Josh HaderMiddle Reliever0.10000001170.000.001.00
simulationHOU3Bryan KingMiddle Reliever1.0211010559.002.731.33
simulationHOU4Enyel De Los SantosMiddle Reliever1.00000103130.003.201.03
simulationHOU5Nate PearsonMiddle Reliever0.00000000185.791.71
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
OAKJack PerkinsStarter4.126051977
OAKHogan HarrisMiddle Reliever1.10110624
OAKScott BarlowMiddle Reliever1.20000521
OAKMark Leiter Jr.Middle Reliever0.21300517
HOUPeter LambertStarter6.2132925101
HOUBryan KingMiddle Reliever1.0120155
HOUEnyel De Los SantosMiddle Reliever1.00001313
HOUJosh HaderMiddle Reliever0.10000117
HOUNate PearsonMiddle Reliever0.00000018
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSgood0001Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_PIT@ATL

20260605_PIT@ATL.json • 2026-06-05

PIT 2 - ATL 4
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentATLCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentPITCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONPIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaATLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=33; H: current=13, sim=9; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=12, sim=4).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaATLCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Ozzie Albies: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Michael Harris II: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Matt Olson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Mauricio Dubón: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Dominic Smith: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=7 box=4, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mike Yastrzemski: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaPITCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXPIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=33; H: current=15, sim=6; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=10).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaPITCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXPIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Marcell Ozuna: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryan Reynolds: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jhostynxon Garcia: AB current=5 box=4; Jared Triolo: AB current=5 box=2, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentATLBATTING_REALISMcurrent:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentPITBATTING_REALISMcurrent:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationATLBATTING_REALISMsimulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationPITBATTING_REALISMsimulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentATLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentPITBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationATLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationPITBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:ATL batting walks match PIT pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:ATL batting home runs match PIT pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:ATL batting hits match PIT pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:ATL batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:ATL PA=35 matches PIT BF=35.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:PIT batting walks match ATL pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:PIT batting home runs match ATL pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:PIT batting hits match ATL pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:PIT batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:PIT PA=34 matches ATL BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaATLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaPITCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXPIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentATLCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentATLCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentATLCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTATL current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentATLCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPITCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEPIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPITCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKPIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPITCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTPIT current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPITCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDPIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.450.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.451/0.633.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: PIT 6, ATL 9.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: PIT 2 - ATL 4.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.{'winner_confidence': 0.550421, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_PIT@ATL.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: PIT@ATL.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 132.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 148.
PASSpitch_countsimulationATLPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationATLPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 148.
PASSpitch_countsimulationPITPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHPIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationPITPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHPIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 132.
PASSpitchingcurrentATLPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentATLSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentPITPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentPITSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationATLPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationATLSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationPITPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationPITSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentATLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentATLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentPITPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentPITPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationATLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationATLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationPITPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationPITPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PIT 2 - 3 ATL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: PIT 2 - 4 ATL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 4-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.550.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 16/55 (0.291).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 14/53 (0.264).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: ATL wins 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: ATL wins 2-4.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 2-4.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 2-4 (delta 1).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: ATL wins 4-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentATLRECENT_FORM_RANGEATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentATLTEAM_RECENT_RECORDATL wins and win_pct agree: 14/53 = 0.264.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentPITRECENT_FORM_RANGEPIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentPITTEAM_RECENT_RECORDPIT wins and win_pct agree: 16/55 = 0.291.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentATLBATTING_REALISMcurrent:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentPITBATTING_REALISMcurrent:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationATLBATTING_REALISMsimulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationPITBATTING_REALISMsimulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentATLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentPITBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationATLBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationPITBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:ATL batting walks match PIT pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:ATL batting home runs match PIT pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:ATL batting hits match PIT pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:ATL batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:ATL PA=35 matches PIT BF=35.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationATLRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:PIT batting walks match ATL pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:PIT batting home runs match ATL pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:PIT batting hits match ATL pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:PIT batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 10.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:PIT PA=34 matches ATL BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationPITRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaATLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaPITCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXPIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentATLCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentATLCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentATLCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTATL current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentATLCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPITCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEPIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPITCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKPIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPITCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTPIT current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentPITCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDPIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.450.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.451/0.633.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: PIT 6, ATL 9.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: PIT 2 - ATL 4.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.{'winner_confidence': 0.550421, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_PIT@ATL.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: PIT@ATL.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 132.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 148.
PASSpitch_countsimulationATLPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationATLPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 148.
PASSpitch_countsimulationPITPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHPIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationPITPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHPIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 132.
PASSpitchingcurrentATLPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentATLSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentPITPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentPITSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationATLPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationATLSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationPITPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationPITSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentATLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentATLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentPITPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentPITPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationATLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationATLPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationPITPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationPITPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PIT 2 - 3 ATL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: PIT 2 - 4 ATL.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 4-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.550.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 16/55 (0.291).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 14/53 (0.264).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: ATL wins 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: ATL wins 2-4.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 2-4.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 2-4 (delta 1).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: ATL wins 4-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentATLRECENT_FORM_RANGEATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentATLTEAM_RECENT_RECORDATL wins and win_pct agree: 14/53 = 0.264.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentPITRECENT_FORM_RANGEPIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentPITTEAM_RECENT_RECORDPIT wins and win_pct agree: 16/55 = 0.291.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentATLCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentPITCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONPIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaATLCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=33; H: current=13, sim=9; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=12, sim=4).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaATLCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Ozzie Albies: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Michael Harris II: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Matt Olson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Mauricio Dubón: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Dominic Smith: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=7 box=4, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mike Yastrzemski: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaPITCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXPIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=33; H: current=15, sim=6; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=10).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaPITCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXPIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Marcell Ozuna: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryan Reynolds: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jhostynxon Garcia: AB current=5 box=4; Jared Triolo: AB current=5 box=2, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml4.4913311004638674.019712924957275Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied44Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction230.550Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment23Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target23Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result24Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
PIT00000000226
ATL00400000049
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentPITbatting6215001886160000
currentPITpitching914248.0400
currentATLbatting5713102896120000
currentATLpitching6221109.0200
simulationPITbatting3360022211000
simulationPITpitching914248.0435132
simulationATLbatting339111442400
simulationATLpitching6221109.0234148
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentPITDHMarcell Ozuna092000111300.222
currentPIT3BNick Gonzales072000110100.286
currentPITLFBryan Reynolds072000111200.286
currentPIT2BBrandon Lowe082000111200.250
currentPITCFOneil Cruz082001221300.250
currentPIT1BSpencer Horwitz062000111100.333
currentPITRFJhostynxon Garcia051000000100.200
currentPITSSJared Triolo051000000100.200
currentPITCHenry Davis071000111200.143
currentATLRFRonald Acuña Jr.072001111200.286
currentATL2BOzzie Albies082000111100.250
currentATLCFMichael Harris II072000110100.286
currentATL1BMatt Olson082101211200.250
currentATLSSMauricio Dubón072000111100.286
currentATLDHDominic Smith051000110100.200
currentATL3BAustin Riley071000111200.143
currentATLLFMike Yastrzemski051000111100.200
currentATLCSandy León030000000100.000
simulationPIT13BNick Gonzales441000000000.250
simulationPIT22BBrandon Lowe441000000300.250
simulationPIT3LFBryan Reynolds440000000100.000
simulationPIT4DHMarcell Ozuna441001110100.250
simulationPIT5CFOneil Cruz441001110200.250
simulationPIT6RFJhostynxon Garcia441000000100.250
simulationPIT71BSpencer Horwitz441000000000.250
simulationPIT8SSJared Triolo320000001200.000
simulationPIT9CHenry Davis330000000000.000
simulationATL1RFRonald Acuña Jr.442001120000.500
simulationATL2CFMichael Harris II440000000000.000
simulationATL31BMatt Olson440000000100.000
simulationATL42BOzzie Albies441000000000.250
simulationATL5SSMauricio Dubón431000101000.333
simulationATL6DHDominic Smith441000000100.250
simulationATL73BAustin Riley441010000100.250
simulationATL8LFMike Yastrzemski432100111000.667
simulationATL9CSandy León331000110100.333
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentPIT1Mitch KellerStarter5.2744221006.354.351.17
currentPIT2Gregory SotoMiddle Reliever1.2000000000.001.910.74
currentPIT5Dennis SantanaMiddle Reliever0.2200020000.004.741.46
currentATL1Martín PérezStarter5.0300170000.002.791.06
currentATL2Dylan LeeMiddle Reliever1.02220020018.001.260.63
currentATL3Raisel IglesiasMiddle Reliever1.1100020000.000.960.91
currentATL4Robert SuarezMiddle Reliever1.2000010000.000.650.87
simulationPIT1Mitch KellerStarter5.2744221261006.354.351.17
simulationPIT2Gregory SotoMiddle Reliever1.20000005160.001.910.74
simulationPIT3Dennis SantanaMiddle Reliever0.22000204160.004.741.46
simulationATL1Martín PérezStarter5.030017019880.002.791.06
simulationATL2Raisel IglesiasMiddle Reliever1.11000205200.000.960.91
simulationATL3Robert SuarezMiddle Reliever1.20000105210.000.650.87
simulationATL4Dylan LeeMiddle Reliever1.022200251918.001.260.63
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
PITMitch KellerStarter5.2472226100
PITGregory SotoMiddle Reliever1.20000516
PITDennis SantanaMiddle Reliever0.20202416
ATLMartín PérezStarter5.003171988
ATLDylan LeeMiddle Reliever1.02200519
ATLRaisel IglesiasMiddle Reliever1.10102520
ATLRobert SuarezMiddle Reliever1.20001521
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSgood0001Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_SEA@DET

20260605_SEA@DET.json • 2026-06-05

SEA 4 - DET 2
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentDETCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONDET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentSEACURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONSEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaDETCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXDET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=34; H: current=13, sim=7; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=5, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=12, sim=9).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaDETCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXDET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Gleyber Torres: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Kevin McGonigle: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Kerry Carpenter: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=3; Riley Greene: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Colt Keith: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zach McKinstry: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSEACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSEA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=7, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=7; SO: current=12, sim=7).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSEACURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXSEA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Josh Naylor: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; J.P. Crawford: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2; Rob Refsnyder: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Mitch Garver: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Randy Arozarena: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Cole Young: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Victor Robles: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Julio Rodríguez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentDETBATTING_REALISMcurrent:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentSEABATTING_REALISMcurrent:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationDETBATTING_REALISMsimulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationSEABATTING_REALISMsimulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentDETBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentSEABATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationDETBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationSEABATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:DET batting walks match SEA pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:DET batting home runs match SEA pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:DET batting hits match SEA pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:DET batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:DET PA=36 matches SEA BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEABAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:SEA batting walks match DET pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEABAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:SEA batting home runs match DET pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEABAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:SEA batting hits match DET pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEABAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:SEA batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEAPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:SEA PA=41 matches DET BF=41.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEARUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaDETCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXDET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaSEACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSEA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentDETCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEDET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentDETCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKDET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentDETCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTDET current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentDETCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDDET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSEACURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPESEA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSEACURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKSEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSEACURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTSEA current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSEACURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDSEA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.561.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.561.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.439.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.610.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: SEA 7, DET 7.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: SEA 4 - DET 2.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SEA.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SEA.{'winner_confidence': 0.5611999999999999, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_SEA@DET.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: SEA@DET.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 188.
PASSpitch_countsimulationDETPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHDET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationDETPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHDET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 188.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSEAPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHSEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSEAPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHSEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASSpitchingcurrentDETPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentDETSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentSEAPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentSEASTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationDETPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationDETSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationSEAPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationSEASTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentDETPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentDETPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSEAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSEAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationDETPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationDETPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSEAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSEAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SEA 4 - 2 DET.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: SEA 4 - 2 DET.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: SEA wins 4-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=SEA, final=SEA.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.561.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 23/55 (0.418).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 18/62 (0.290).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: SEA wins 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: SEA wins 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 4-2, final 4-2 (delta 0).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: SEA wins 4-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentDETRECENT_FORM_RANGEDET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentDETTEAM_RECENT_RECORDDET wins and win_pct agree: 18/62 = 0.290.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSEARECENT_FORM_RANGESEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSEATEAM_RECENT_RECORDSEA wins and win_pct agree: 23/55 = 0.418.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentDETBATTING_REALISMcurrent:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentSEABATTING_REALISMcurrent:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationDETBATTING_REALISMsimulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationSEABATTING_REALISMsimulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentDETBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentSEABATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationDETBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationSEABATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:DET batting walks match SEA pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:DET batting home runs match SEA pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:DET batting hits match SEA pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:DET batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:DET PA=36 matches SEA BF=36.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationDETRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEABAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:SEA batting walks match DET pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEABAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:SEA batting home runs match DET pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEABAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:SEA batting hits match DET pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEABAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:SEA batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEAPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:SEA PA=41 matches DET BF=41.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSEARUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaDETCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXDET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaSEACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSEA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentDETCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEDET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentDETCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKDET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentDETCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTDET current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentDETCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDDET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSEACURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPESEA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSEACURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKSEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSEACURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTSEA current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSEACURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDSEA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.561.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.561.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.439.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.610.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: SEA 7, DET 7.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: SEA 4 - DET 2.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SEA.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SEA.{'winner_confidence': 0.5611999999999999, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_SEA@DET.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: SEA@DET.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 188.
PASSpitch_countsimulationDETPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHDET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationDETPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHDET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 188.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSEAPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHSEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSEAPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHSEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASSpitchingcurrentDETPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentDETSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentSEAPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentSEASTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationDETPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationDETSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationSEAPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationSEASTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentDETPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentDETPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSEAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSEAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationDETPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationDETPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSEAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSEAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SEA 4 - 2 DET.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: SEA 4 - 2 DET.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: SEA wins 4-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=SEA, final=SEA.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.561.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 23/55 (0.418).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 18/62 (0.290).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: SEA wins 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: SEA wins 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 4-2, final 4-2 (delta 0).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: SEA wins 4-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentDETRECENT_FORM_RANGEDET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentDETTEAM_RECENT_RECORDDET wins and win_pct agree: 18/62 = 0.290.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSEARECENT_FORM_RANGESEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSEATEAM_RECENT_RECORDSEA wins and win_pct agree: 23/55 = 0.418.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentDETCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONDET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentSEACURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONSEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaDETCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXDET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=34; H: current=13, sim=7; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=5, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=12, sim=9).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaDETCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXDET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Gleyber Torres: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Kevin McGonigle: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Kerry Carpenter: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=3; Riley Greene: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Colt Keith: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zach McKinstry: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSEACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSEA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=7, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=7; SO: current=12, sim=7).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSEACURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXSEA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Josh Naylor: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; J.P. Crawford: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2; Rob Refsnyder: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Mitch Garver: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Randy Arozarena: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Cole Young: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Victor Robles: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Julio Rodríguez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml6.6313228607177734.186604022979736Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied74Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction420.561Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment42Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target42Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result42Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
SEA00100210047
DET00000101027
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentSEAbatting5414000876120000
currentSEApitching712299.0200
currentDETbatting5413001757120000
currentDETpitching704779.0400
simulationSEAbatting347200447700
simulationSEApitching712299.0236159
simulationDETbatting347001222900
simulationDETpitching704779.0441188
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentSEA1BJosh Naylor082000111100.250
currentSEASSJ.P. Crawford072000111200.286
currentSEADHRob Refsnyder041000010100.250
currentSEACMitch Garver051000111100.200
currentSEALFRandy Arozarena072000111200.286
currentSEA2BCole Young062000111100.333
currentSEARFVictor Robles051000000100.200
currentSEACFJulio Rodríguez082000111200.250
currentSEA3BColt Emerson041000110100.250
currentDET2BGleyber Torres082000111100.250
currentDET3BKevin McGonigle082000111100.250
currentDETCDillon Dingler072001121100.286
currentDETRFKerry Carpenter051000010200.200
currentDETLFRiley Greene072000111200.286
currentDETDHColt Keith051000000100.200
currentDET1BSpencer Torkelson061000111200.167
currentDETCFZach McKinstry051000001100.200
currentDETSSZack Short031000001100.333
simulationSEA1SSJ.P. Crawford532000002100.667
simulationSEA2CFJulio Rodríguez541000111100.250
simulationSEA3LFRandy Arozarena541000111100.250
simulationSEA41BJosh Naylor540000001100.000
simulationSEA5DHRob Refsnyder540000001000.000
simulationSEA6CMitch Garver430000001100.000
simulationSEA72BCole Young441100110000.250
simulationSEA8RFVictor Robles441100000000.250
simulationSEA93BColt Emerson441000110200.250
simulationDET12BGleyber Torres443001110000.750
simulationDET23BKevin McGonigle441000000100.250
simulationDET3CDillon Dingler442000110000.500
simulationDET4RFKerry Carpenter440000000300.000
simulationDET5LFRiley Greene430000001100.000
simulationDET61BSpencer Torkelson430000001000.000
simulationDET7DHColt Keith440000000100.000
simulationDET8CFZach McKinstry440000000200.000
simulationDET9SSZack Short441000000100.250
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentSEA1Bryan WooStarter6.0411060001.503.440.96
currentSEA2Andrés MuñozMiddle Reliever1.0000210000.004.761.28
currentSEA3José A. FerrerMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.001.631.16
currentSEA4Matt BrashMiddle Reliever1.0311011009.000.600.80
currentDET1Framber ValdezStarter5.2211450001.594.391.32
currentDET2Kyle FinneganMiddle Reliever1.0100100000.001.291.39
currentDET3Tyler HoltonMiddle Reliever1.0111110009.004.231.37
currentDET4Will VestMiddle Reliever1.03221000018.007.231.45
currentDET5Drew AndersonMiddle Reliever0.1000010000.003.921.23
currentDET6Brenan HanifeeMiddle Reliever0.0000000001.461.14
simulationSEA1Bryan WooStarter6.0411060221001.503.440.96
simulationSEA2Andrés MuñozMiddle Reliever1.00002105240.004.761.28
simulationSEA3Matt BrashMiddle Reliever1.03110116229.000.600.80
simulationSEA4José A. FerrerMiddle Reliever1.00000103130.001.631.16
simulationDET1Framber ValdezStarter5.221145023931.594.391.32
simulationDET2Kyle FinneganMiddle Reliever1.01001005200.001.291.39
simulationDET3Will VestMiddle Reliever1.032210072618.007.231.45
simulationDET4Tyler HoltonMiddle Reliever1.01111105209.004.231.37
simulationDET5Drew AndersonMiddle Reliever0.10000101150.003.921.23
simulationDET6Brenan HanifeeMiddle Reliever0.00000000141.461.14
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
SEABryan WooStarter6.0140622100
SEAAndrés MuñozMiddle Reliever1.00021524
SEAJosé A. FerrerMiddle Reliever1.00001313
SEAMatt BrashMiddle Reliever1.01301622
DETFramber ValdezStarter5.212452393
DETKyle FinneganMiddle Reliever1.00110520
DETTyler HoltonMiddle Reliever1.01111520
DETWill VestMiddle Reliever1.02310726
DETDrew AndersonMiddle Reliever0.10001115
DETBrenan HanifeeMiddle Reliever0.00000014
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSnot triggered0000Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_SF@CHC

20260605_SF@CHC.json • 2026-06-05

SF 3 - CHC 4
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentCHCCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONCHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentSFCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONSF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCHCCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=29; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=10, sim=4; BB: current=9, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=5).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCHCCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXCHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Seiya Suzuki: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Alex Bregman: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nico Hoerner: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Michael Busch: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Carson Kelly: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Ian Happ: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Miguel Amaya: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSFCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=34; H: current=17, sim=7; 2B: current=3, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=5, sim=4; SO: current=11, sim=8).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSFCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXSF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Rafael Devers: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Casey Schmitt: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Luis Arraez: AB current=8 box=3, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jung Hoo Lee: AB current=7 box=4, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryce Eldridge: AB current=5 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Matt Chapman: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2; Daniel Susac: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentCHCBATTING_REALISMcurrent:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentSFBATTING_REALISMcurrent:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationCHCBATTING_REALISMsimulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationSFBATTING_REALISMsimulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentCHCBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentSFBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationCHCBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationSFBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:CHC batting walks match SF pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:CHC batting home runs match SF pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:CHC batting hits match SF pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:CHC batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:CHC PA=34 matches SF BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:SF batting walks match CHC pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:SF batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:SF batting hits match CHC pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:SF batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:SF PA=38 matches CHC BF=38.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaCHCCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaSFCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHCCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPECHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHCCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKCHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHCCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTCHC current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHCCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDCHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSFCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPESF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSFCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKSF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSFCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTSF current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSFCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDSF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.471.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.529.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.529.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.466/0.651.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: SF 7, CHC 5.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: SF 3 - CHC 4.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHC.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHC.{'winner_confidence': 0.528979, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_SF@CHC.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: SF@CHC.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 141.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCHCPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHCHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCHCPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHCHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSFPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHSF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSFPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHSF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 141.
PASSpitchingcurrentCHCPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentCHCSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentSFPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentSFSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationCHCPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationCHCSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationSFPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationSFSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCHCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCHCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSFPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSFPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCHCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCHCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSFPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSFPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SF 2 - 3 CHC.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: SF 3 - 4 CHC.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: CHC wins 4-3.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=CHC, final=CHC.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.529.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 11/58 (0.190).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 7/62 (0.113).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: CHC wins 4-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: CHC wins 3-4.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 3-4.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 3-4 (delta 2).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: CHC wins 4-3.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCHCRECENT_FORM_RANGECHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCHCTEAM_RECENT_RECORDCHC wins and win_pct agree: 7/62 = 0.113.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSFRECENT_FORM_RANGESF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSFTEAM_RECENT_RECORDSF wins and win_pct agree: 11/58 = 0.190.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentCHCBATTING_REALISMcurrent:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentSFBATTING_REALISMcurrent:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationCHCBATTING_REALISMsimulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationSFBATTING_REALISMsimulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentCHCBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentSFBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationCHCBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationSFBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:CHC batting walks match SF pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:CHC batting home runs match SF pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:CHC batting hits match SF pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:CHC batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:CHC PA=34 matches SF BF=34.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationCHCRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:SF batting walks match CHC pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:SF batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:SF batting hits match CHC pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:SF batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:SF PA=38 matches CHC BF=38.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationSFRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaCHCCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaSFCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHCCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPECHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHCCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKCHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHCCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTCHC current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentCHCCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDCHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSFCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPESF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSFCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKSF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSFCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTSF current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentSFCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDSF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.471.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.529.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.529.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.466/0.651.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_OUTSInning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: SF 7, CHC 5.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: SF 3 - CHC 4.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHC.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHC.{'winner_confidence': 0.528979, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_SF@CHC.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: SF@CHC.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 141.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCHCPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHCHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationCHCPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHCHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSFPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHSF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationSFPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHSF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 141.
PASSpitchingcurrentCHCPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentCHCSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentSFPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentSFSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationCHCPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationCHCSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationSFPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationSFSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCHCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentCHCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSFPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentSFPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCHCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationCHCPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSFPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationSFPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SF 2 - 3 CHC.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: SF 3 - 4 CHC.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: CHC wins 4-3.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=CHC, final=CHC.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.529.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 11/58 (0.190).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 7/62 (0.113).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: CHC wins 4-3.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: CHC wins 3-4.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 3-4.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 3-4 (delta 2).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: CHC wins 4-3.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCHCRECENT_FORM_RANGECHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentCHCTEAM_RECENT_RECORDCHC wins and win_pct agree: 7/62 = 0.113.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSFRECENT_FORM_RANGESF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentSFTEAM_RECENT_RECORDSF wins and win_pct agree: 11/58 = 0.190.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentCHCCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONCHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentSFCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONSF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCHCCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXCHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=29; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=10, sim=4; BB: current=9, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=5).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaCHCCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXCHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Seiya Suzuki: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Alex Bregman: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nico Hoerner: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Michael Busch: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Carson Kelly: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Ian Happ: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Miguel Amaya: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSFCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXSF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=34; H: current=17, sim=7; 2B: current=3, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=5, sim=4; SO: current=11, sim=8).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaSFCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXSF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Rafael Devers: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Casey Schmitt: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Luis Arraez: AB current=8 box=3, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jung Hoo Lee: AB current=7 box=4, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryce Eldridge: AB current=5 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Matt Chapman: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2; Daniel Susac: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml5.6382589340209963.510138988494873Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied53Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction230.529Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment23Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target23Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result34Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
SF20000010037
CHC10300000045
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentSFbatting5917300985110000
currentSFpitching504558.0400
currentCHCbatting65161019109160000
currentCHCpitching713489.0300
simulationSFbatting347101334800
simulationSFpitching504558.0434141
simulationCHCbatting295200445500
simulationCHCpitching713489.0338156
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentSF1BRafael Devers072100111200.286
currentSFLFCasey Schmitt072000110100.286
currentSF2BLuis Arraez083000111000.375
currentSFSSWilly Adames082100111200.250
currentSFRFJung Hoo Lee073000110100.429
currentSFDHBryce Eldridge051000111100.200
currentSF3BMatt Chapman072100111200.286
currentSFCDaniel Susac051000010100.200
currentSFCFDrew Gilbert051000110100.200
currentCHCRFSeiya Suzuki072000111200.286
currentCHC3BAlex Bregman082000111100.250
currentCHCCFPete Crow-Armstrong072000111200.286
currentCHC2BNico Hoerner092000111100.222
currentCHC1BMichael Busch072000111200.286
currentCHCDHCarson Kelly072000111100.286
currentCHCLFIan Happ082101211300.250
currentCHCCMiguel Amaya061000111200.167
currentCHCSSDansby Swanson061000111200.167
simulationSF1LFCasey Schmitt553101110000.600
simulationSF21BRafael Devers551000110100.200
simulationSF32BLuis Arraez430000001200.000
simulationSF4SSWilly Adames441000000100.250
simulationSF5RFJung Hoo Lee441000000000.250
simulationSF6DHBryce Eldridge431000001000.333
simulationSF73BMatt Chapman420000112100.000
simulationSF8CDaniel Susac440000000200.000
simulationSF9CFDrew Gilbert440000000100.000
simulationCHC12BNico Hoerner431100101000.333
simulationCHC2CFPete Crow-Armstrong440000000100.000
simulationCHC33BAlex Bregman431000111000.333
simulationCHC4RFSeiya Suzuki431000101000.333
simulationCHC5LFIan Happ431000001000.333
simulationCHC6DHCarson Kelly441100130100.250
simulationCHC71BMichael Busch440000000200.000
simulationCHC8CMiguel Amaya320000001100.000
simulationCHC9SSDansby Swanson330000000000.000
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentSF1Robbie RayStarter4.2544440007.714.451.40
currentSF2Keaton WinnMiddle Reliever1.1000000000.002.300.88
currentSF3Caleb KilianMiddle Reliever1.2000110000.003.581.19
currentSF5Erik MillerMiddle Reliever0.1000000000.004.081.47
currentCHC1Edward CabreraStarter5.0422340003.604.001.35
currentCHC2Caleb ThielbarMiddle Reliever1.0100110000.003.381.35
currentCHC3Daniel PalenciaMiddle Reliever1.0000000000.001.981.24
currentCHC4Hoby MilnerMiddle Reliever1.0100020000.002.280.94
currentCHC5Jacob WebbMiddle Reliever1.0111011009.002.451.32
simulationSF1Robbie RayStarter4.254444023967.714.451.40
simulationSF2Caleb KilianMiddle Reliever1.20001106110.003.581.19
simulationSF3Keaton WinnMiddle Reliever1.10000004170.002.300.88
simulationSF4Erik MillerMiddle Reliever0.10000001170.004.081.47
simulationCHC1Edward CabreraStarter5.042234022883.604.001.35
simulationCHC2Daniel PalenciaMiddle Reliever1.00000003140.001.981.24
simulationCHC3Jacob WebbMiddle Reliever1.01110114189.002.451.32
simulationCHC4Caleb ThielbarMiddle Reliever1.01001105200.003.381.35
simulationCHC5Hoby MilnerMiddle Reliever1.01000204160.002.280.94
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
SFRobbie RayStarter4.245442396
SFKeaton WinnMiddle Reliever1.10000417
SFCaleb KilianMiddle Reliever1.20011611
SFErik MillerMiddle Reliever0.10000117
CHCEdward CabreraStarter5.024342288
CHCCaleb ThielbarMiddle Reliever1.00111520
CHCDaniel PalenciaMiddle Reliever1.00000314
CHCHoby MilnerMiddle Reliever1.00102416
CHCJacob WebbMiddle Reliever1.01101418
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSgood0001Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_TB@MIA

20260605_TB@MIA.json • 2026-06-05

TB 4 - MIA 2
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentMIACURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONMIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentTBCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONTB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMIACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=9; SF: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMIACURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXMIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Xavier Edwards: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Otto Lopez: AB current=8 box=5, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Stowers: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Liam Hicks: AB current=6 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Javier Sanoja: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=2; Joe Mack: AB current=5 box=4, SO current=2 box=0; Owen Caissie: AB current=5 box=2, H current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1, SF current=0 box=1; Jakob Marsee: AB current=7 box=3, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTBCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTB model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=36; H: current=12, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=11, sim=5).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTBCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXTB current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Chandler Simpson: AB current=8 box=5, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1; Jonathan Aranda: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Junior Caminero: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=3, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Richie Palacios: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Yandy Díaz: AB current=7 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Ryan Vilade: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Taylor Walls: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Cedric Mullins: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentMIABATTING_REALISMcurrent:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentTBBATTING_REALISMcurrent:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationMIABATTING_REALISMsimulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationTBBATTING_REALISMsimulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentMIABATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentTBBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationMIABATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationTBBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIABAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:MIA batting walks match TB pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIABAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:MIA batting home runs match TB pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIABAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:MIA batting hits match TB pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIABAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:MIA batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIAPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:MIA PA=38 matches TB BF=38.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIARUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:TB batting walks match MIA pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:TB batting home runs match MIA pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:TB batting hits match MIA pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:TB batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:TB PA=42 matches MIA BF=42.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaMIACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaTBCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTB current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMIACURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEMIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMIACURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKMIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMIACURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTMIA current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMIACURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDMIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTBCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPETB current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTBCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKTB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTBCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTTB current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTBCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDTB hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.450.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.451/0.633.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: TB 9, MIA 7.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: TB 4 - MIA 2.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TB.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TB.{'winner_confidence': 0.549813, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_TB@MIA.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: TB@MIA.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 158.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 174.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMIAPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHMIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMIAPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHMIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 174.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTBPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHTB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTBPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHTB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 158.
PASSpitchingcurrentMIAPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentMIASTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentTBPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentTBSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationMIAPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationMIASTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationTBPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationTBSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMIAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMIAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTBPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTBPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMIAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMIAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTBPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTBPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TB 4 - 2 MIA.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: TB 4 - 2 MIA.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: TB wins 4-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=TB, final=TB.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.550.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 14/55 (0.255).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 19/58 (0.328).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: TB wins 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: TB wins 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 4-2, final 4-2 (delta 0).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: TB wins 4-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMIARECENT_FORM_RANGEMIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMIATEAM_RECENT_RECORDMIA wins and win_pct agree: 19/58 = 0.328.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTBRECENT_FORM_RANGETB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTBTEAM_RECENT_RECORDTB wins and win_pct agree: 14/55 = 0.255.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentMIABATTING_REALISMcurrent:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentTBBATTING_REALISMcurrent:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationMIABATTING_REALISMsimulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationTBBATTING_REALISMsimulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentMIABATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentTBBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationMIABATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationTBBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIABAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:MIA batting walks match TB pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIABAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:MIA batting home runs match TB pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIABAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:MIA batting hits match TB pitching: 7.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIABAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:MIA batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIAPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:MIA PA=38 matches TB BF=38.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationMIARUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:TB batting walks match MIA pitching: 6.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:TB batting home runs match MIA pitching: 0.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:TB batting hits match MIA pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:TB batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:TB PA=42 matches MIA BF=42.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationTBRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaMIACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaTBCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTB current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMIACURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEMIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMIACURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKMIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMIACURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTMIA current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentMIACURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDMIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTBCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPETB current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTBCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKTB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTBCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTTB current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentTBCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDTB hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.550.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.450.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.451/0.633.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: TB 9, MIA 7.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: TB 4 - MIA 2.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TB.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TB.{'winner_confidence': 0.549813, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_TB@MIA.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: TB@MIA.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 158.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 174.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMIAPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHMIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationMIAPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHMIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 174.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTBPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHTB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationTBPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHTB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 158.
PASSpitchingcurrentMIAPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentMIASTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentTBPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentTBSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationMIAPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationMIASTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationTBPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationTBSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMIAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentMIAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTBPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentTBPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMIAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationMIAPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTBPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationTBPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TB 4 - 2 MIA.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: TB 4 - 2 MIA.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: TB wins 4-2.
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=TB, final=TB.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.550.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 14/55 (0.255).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 19/58 (0.328).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: TB wins 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: TB wins 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 4-2.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 4-2, final 4-2 (delta 0).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: TB wins 4-2.
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMIARECENT_FORM_RANGEMIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentMIATEAM_RECENT_RECORDMIA wins and win_pct agree: 19/58 = 0.328.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTBRECENT_FORM_RANGETB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentTBTEAM_RECENT_RECORDTB wins and win_pct agree: 14/55 = 0.255.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentMIACURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONMIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentTBCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONTB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMIACURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXMIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=9; SF: current=0, sim=1).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaMIACURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXMIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Xavier Edwards: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Otto Lopez: AB current=8 box=5, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Stowers: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Liam Hicks: AB current=6 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Javier Sanoja: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=2; Joe Mack: AB current=5 box=4, SO current=2 box=0; Owen Caissie: AB current=5 box=2, H current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1, SF current=0 box=1; Jakob Marsee: AB current=7 box=3, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTBCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXTB model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=36; H: current=12, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=11, sim=5).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaTBCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXTB current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Chandler Simpson: AB current=8 box=5, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1; Jonathan Aranda: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Junior Caminero: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=3, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Richie Palacios: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Yandy Díaz: AB current=7 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Ryan Vilade: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Taylor Walls: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Cedric Mullins: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml8.074855804443364.040393829345703Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied84Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction420.550Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment42Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target42Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result42Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team123456789RH
TB10030000049
MIA01000001027
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentTBbatting5712000876110000
currentTBpitching702499.0200
currentMIAbatting5514000785130000
currentMIApitching904659.0400
simulationTBbatting369100446500
simulationTBpitching702499.0238158
simulationMIAbatting337100224910
simulationMIApitching904659.0442174
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentTBLFChandler Simpson081000100100.125
currentTB1BJonathan Aranda072000111200.286
currentTB3BJunior Caminero072000111100.286
currentTB2BRichie Palacios051000111100.200
currentTBDHYandy Díaz072000111100.286
currentTBRFRyan Vilade041000010100.250
currentTBSSTaylor Walls071000111200.143
currentTBCFCedric Mullins071000111100.143
currentTBCNick Fortes051000010100.200
currentMIA2BXavier Edwards072000111100.286
currentMIASSOtto Lopez083000110100.375
currentMIA1BKyle Stowers072000111200.286
currentMIADHLiam Hicks062000111100.333
currentMIA3BJavier Sanoja061000010100.167
currentMIACJoe Mack051000110200.200
currentMIARFOwen Caissie051000111200.200
currentMIACFJakob Marsee071000101200.143
currentMIALFEsteury Ruiz041000100100.250
simulationTB1LFChandler Simpson552000110100.400
simulationTB23BJunior Caminero553000110000.600
simulationTB31BJonathan Aranda531000112000.333
simulationTB4DHYandy Díaz552100110000.400
simulationTB52BRichie Palacios530000002000.000
simulationTB6RFRyan Vilade550000000100.000
simulationTB7CFCedric Mullins440000000100.000
simulationTB8CNick Fortes430000001200.000
simulationTB9SSTaylor Walls431000001000.333
simulationMIA1DHLiam Hicks550000000100.000
simulationMIA2SSOtto Lopez551000000200.200
simulationMIA31BKyle Stowers442100000200.500
simulationMIA42BXavier Edwards442000000100.500
simulationMIA53BJavier Sanoja420000002000.000
simulationMIA6RFOwen Caissie420000111100.000
simulationMIA7CFJakob Marsee431000001100.333
simulationMIA8CJoe Mack441000110000.250
simulationMIA9LFEsteury Ruiz440000000100.000
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentTB1Drew RasmussenStarter5.2411260001.593.361.02
currentTB2Ian SeymourMiddle Reliever1.1211110006.753.771.19
currentTB3Bryan BakerMiddle Reliever1.0100120000.002.131.03
currentTB4Kevin KellyMiddle Reliever1.0000000000.002.670.81
currentMIA1Ryan GustoStarter3.08444200012.009.001.67
currentMIA2Anthony BenderMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.003.330.90
currentMIA3Calvin FaucherMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.004.121.67
currentMIA4John KingMiddle Reliever2.0000200000.002.360.67
currentMIA5Michael PetersenMiddle Reliever1.0100000000.003.471.11
currentMIA6Pete FairbanksMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.006.611.29
simulationTB1Drew RasmussenStarter5.241126023971.593.361.02
simulationTB2Bryan BakerMiddle Reliever1.01001205200.002.131.03
simulationTB3Ian SeymourMiddle Reliever1.12111107276.753.771.19
simulationTB4Kevin KellyMiddle Reliever1.00000003140.002.670.81
simulationMIA1Ryan GustoStarter3.0844420217812.009.001.67
simulationMIA2Pete FairbanksMiddle Reliever1.00000103160.006.611.29
simulationMIA3Anthony BenderMiddle Reliever1.00000103130.003.330.90
simulationMIA4Michael PetersenMiddle Reliever1.01000004160.003.471.11
simulationMIA5Calvin FaucherMiddle Reliever1.00000103200.004.121.67
simulationMIA6John KingMiddle Reliever2.00002008310.002.360.67
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
TBDrew RasmussenStarter5.214262397
TBIan SeymourMiddle Reliever1.11211727
TBBryan BakerMiddle Reliever1.00112520
TBKevin KellyMiddle Reliever1.00000314
MIARyan GustoStarter3.048422178
MIAAnthony BenderMiddle Reliever1.00001313
MIACalvin FaucherMiddle Reliever1.00001320
MIAJohn KingMiddle Reliever2.00020831
MIAMichael PetersenMiddle Reliever1.00100416
MIAPete FairbanksMiddle Reliever1.00001316
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSnot triggered0000Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.

20260605_WAS@ARI

20260605_WAS@ARI.json • 2026-06-05

WAS 7 - ARI 5
PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
All findings - complete audit trail
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentARICURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentWASCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONWAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaARICURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=52, sim=37; H: current=12, sim=8; 2B: current=1, sim=2; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=5; R: current=8, sim=5; BB: current=6, sim=2).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaARICURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ketel Marte: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3, BB current=1 box=0; Nolan Arenado: AB current=6 box=5, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Corbin Carroll: AB current=7 box=5, 2B current=1 box=0, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ryan Waldschmidt: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Aramis Garcia: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Geraldo Perdomo: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jorge Barrosa: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaWASCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXWAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=41; H: current=13, sim=11; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=7; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=9).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaWASCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXWAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: CJ Abrams: AB current=7 box=6, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Luis García Jr.: H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Daylen Lile: AB current=8 box=6, H current=2 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Daylen Lile: AB current=8 box=6, H current=2 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; James Wood: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Jorbit Vivas: AB current=4 box=5, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Drew Millas: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Dylan Crews: AB current=6 box=5, R current=0 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASSbattingcurrentARIBATTING_REALISMcurrent:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentWASBATTING_REALISMcurrent:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationARIBATTING_REALISMsimulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationWASBATTING_REALISMsimulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentARIBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentWASBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationARIBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationWASBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:ARI batting walks match WAS pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:ARI batting home runs match WAS pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:ARI batting hits match WAS pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:ARI batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:ARI PA=40 matches WAS BF=40.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:WAS batting walks match ARI pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:WAS batting home runs match ARI pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:WAS batting hits match ARI pitching: 11.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:WAS batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:WAS PA=45 matches ARI BF=45.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaARICURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaWASCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXWAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentARICURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentARICURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentARICURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTARI current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentARICURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentWASCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEWAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentWASCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKWAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentWASCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTWAS current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentWASCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDWAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.467.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 12 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.610.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 10 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: WAS 11, ARI 8.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: WAS 7 - ARI 5.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: WAS.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for WAS.{'winner_confidence': 0.5325869999999999, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_WAS@ARI.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: WAS@ARI.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 165.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 184.
PASSpitch_countsimulationARIPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationARIPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 184.
PASSpitch_countsimulationWASPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHWAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationWASPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHWAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 165.
PASSpitchingcurrentARIPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentARISTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentWASPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentWASSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationARIPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationARISTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationWASPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationWASSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentARIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentARIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentWASPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentWASPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationARIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationARIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationWASPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationWASPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: WAS 6 - 4 ARI.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: WAS 7 - 5 ARI.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: WAS wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=WAS, final=WAS.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.533.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 16/61 (0.262).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 20/59 (0.339).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: WAS wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: WAS wins 7-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 7-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 6-4, final 7-5 (delta 2).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 12.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: WAS wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentARIRECENT_FORM_RANGEARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentARITEAM_RECENT_RECORDARI wins and win_pct agree: 20/59 = 0.339.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentWASRECENT_FORM_RANGEWAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentWASTEAM_RECENT_RECORDWAS wins and win_pct agree: 16/61 = 0.262.
Passed checks
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
PASSbattingcurrentARIBATTING_REALISMcurrent:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingcurrentWASBATTING_REALISMcurrent:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationARIBATTING_REALISMsimulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbattingsimulationWASBATTING_REALISMsimulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentARIBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalscurrentWASBATTING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationARIBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSbatting_totalssimulationWASBATTING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:ARI batting walks match WAS pitching: 2.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:ARI batting home runs match WAS pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:ARI batting hits match WAS pitching: 8.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:ARI batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:ARI PA=40 matches WAS BF=40.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationARIRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASBAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHsimulation:WAS batting walks match ARI pitching: 4.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASBAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHsimulation:WAS batting home runs match ARI pitching: 1.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASBAT_PITCH_H_MATCHsimulation:WAS batting hits match ARI pitching: 11.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASBAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHsimulation:WAS batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 9.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASPA_BF_MATCHsimulation:WAS PA=45 matches ARI BF=45.
PASSboxscore_crosschecksimulationWASRUNS_MATCH_FINALsimulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaARICURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScross_schemacross-schemaWASCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXWAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentARICURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentARICURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentARICURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTARI current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentARICURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentWASCURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEWAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentWASCURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKWAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentWASCURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTWAS current hitter names are populated.
PASScurrent_payloadcurrentWASCURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDWAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASSdata_leakageH2H_DATA_LEAKAGENo head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEHome + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEaway_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEconfidence is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASSenhanced_predictionCONFIDENCE_RANGEhome_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.467.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISFinal total runs 12 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.0.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASSenhanced_predictionLOW_SCORE_ANALYSISLow-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.610.
PASSinningsINNINGS_COUNTinning_by_inning_summary contains 10 innings.
PASSinningsINNING_PLAY_SUMSDetailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASSinningsINNING_SEQUENCEInning numbers are sequential.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_HITSInning hits match batting totals: WAS 11, ARI 8.
PASSinningsINNING_TOTAL_RUNSInning runs sum to final score: WAS 7 - ARI 5.
PASSmatchup_recencyGUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCGuardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: WAS.
PASSmatchup_recencyMATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILNo stale repeat-pick pattern detected for WAS.{'winner_confidence': 0.5325869999999999, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASSmetadataDATE_PARSEDate is valid ISO format: 2026-06-05.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHFilename matches game_id: 20260605_WAS@ARI.
PASSmetadataFILENAME_TEAM_MATCHFilename teams match JSON teams: WAS@ARI.
PASSpitch_by_pitchPITCH_DETAIL_SANITYPitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHaway pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 165.
PASSpitch_countPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHhome pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 184.
PASSpitch_countsimulationARIPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationARIPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 184.
PASSpitch_countsimulationWASPITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHWAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASSpitch_countsimulationWASPITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHWAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 165.
PASSpitchingcurrentARIPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentARISTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingcurrentWASPITCHING_REALISMcurrent:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingcurrentWASSTARTER_PRESENTcurrent:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationARIPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationARISTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitchingsimulationWASPITCHING_REALISMsimulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASSpitchingsimulationWASSTARTER_PRESENTsimulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentARIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentARIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentWASPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASSpitching_totalscurrentWASPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMcurrent:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationARIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationARIPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationWASPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASSpitching_totalssimulationWASPITCHING_TOTALS_SUMsimulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHEnhanced AI score matches enhanced target: WAS 6 - 4 ARI.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation score matches final score: WAS 7 - 5 ARI.
PASSprediction_comparisonPREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHInning simulation winner matches final score: WAS wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASSprediction_comparisonSIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACENo simulation winner reversal: pre=WAS, final=WAS.
PASSprobabilityCONFIDENCE_RANGEEnhanced target confidence is in range: 0.533.
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEaway recent_form record is coherent: 16/61 (0.262).
PASSrecent_formRECENT_FORM_RANGEhome recent_form record is coherent: 20/59 (0.339).
PASSreportREPORT_COMPLETEAll findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASSschemaSCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTBoth major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASSscoreGAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgame_summary is consistent: WAS wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASSscoreSCORE_NO_TIEFinal score has a clear winner: WAS wins 7-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHsimulation_result step matches final score: 7-5.
PASSscoreSCORE_STEP_ORDERScore evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASSscoreTARGET_SCORE_DRIFTFinal score is close to enhanced target: target 6-4, final 7-5 (delta 2).
PASSscoreTOTAL_RUNS_MATCHtotal_runs field matches final score total: 12.
PASSscoreWINNER_FIELD_MATCHwinner field is consistent: WAS wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASSscorecross-schemaCURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgame.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentARIRECENT_FORM_RANGEARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentARITEAM_RECENT_RECORDARI wins and win_pct agree: 20/59 = 0.339.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentWASRECENT_FORM_RANGEWAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASSteam_recent_performancecurrentWASTEAM_RECENT_RECORDWAS wins and win_pct agree: 16/61 = 0.262.
Info/context findings
SeverityCategorySourceTeamPlayerRuleMessageValueExpected
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentARICURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_payloadcurrentWASCURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONWAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaARICURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=52, sim=37; H: current=12, sim=8; 2B: current=1, sim=2; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=5; R: current=8, sim=5; BB: current=6, sim=2).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaARICURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ketel Marte: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3, BB current=1 box=0; Nolan Arenado: AB current=6 box=5, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Corbin Carroll: AB current=7 box=5, 2B current=1 box=0, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ryan Waldschmidt: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Aramis Garcia: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Geraldo Perdomo: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jorge Barrosa: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaWASCURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXWAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=41; H: current=13, sim=11; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=7; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=9).New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFOcurrent_vs_finalcross-schemaWASCURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXWAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: CJ Abrams: AB current=7 box=6, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Luis García Jr.: H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Daylen Lile: AB current=8 box=6, H current=2 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Daylen Lile: AB current=8 box=6, H current=2 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; James Wood: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Jorbit Vivas: AB current=4 box=5, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Drew Millas: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Dylan Crews: AB current=6 box=5, R current=0 box=1New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFOscore_reconciliationRECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONNo score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
Score evolution
stepaway_runshome_runsconfidencedescription
historical_ml7.2396340370178226.012274742126465Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied76Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction540.533Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment64Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target64Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result75Final inning-by-inning simulation result
Inning-by-inning linescore
team12345678910RH
WAS1000200004711
ARI020010000258
Team totals - current + final simulation
srcteamtypePAABH2B3BHRRBIRBBSOSFHBPSBCSIPERBFPitches
currentWASbatting5913000796140000
currentWASpitching8152510.0500
currentARIbatting5212100686120000
currentARIpitching11174910.0700
simulationWASbatting4111101774900
simulationWASpitching8152510.0540165
simulationARIbatting378211552510
simulationARIpitching11174910.0745184
Batting lines - current + final simulation
srcteamorderposnamePAABH2B3BHRRRBIBBSOHBPAVG
currentWASSSCJ Abrams072000111200.286
currentWAS1BLuis García Jr.061000110100.167
currentWASDHDaylen Lile082000111100.250
currentWASLFDaylen Lile082000111200.250
currentWASRFJames Wood082000212300.250
currentWAS3BJorbit Vivas041000100100.250
currentWASCDrew Millas061000110100.167
currentWASCFDylan Crews061000010100.167
currentWAS2BNasim Nuñez061000101200.167
currentARI2BKetel Marte082000111100.250
currentARI3BNolan Arenado061000111100.167
currentARIRFCorbin Carroll072100111200.286
currentARILFRyan Waldschmidt051000100200.200
currentARICAramis Garcia041000010100.250
currentARISSGeraldo Perdomo061000111100.167
currentARIDHIldemaro Vargas072000110100.286
currentARICFJorge Barrosa051000101200.200
currentARI1BTommy Troy041000101100.250
simulationWAS1RFJames Wood651000101000.200
simulationWAS21BLuis García Jr.662001130100.333
simulationWAS5LFDaylen Lile664000120100.667
simulationWAS4SSCJ Abrams662100110100.333
simulationWAS63BJorbit Vivas651000101000.200
simulationWAS7CFDylan Crews551000110100.200
simulationWAS8CDrew Millas540000101200.000
simulationWAS92BNasim Nuñez540000001300.000
simulationARI12BKetel Marte542001130100.500
simulationARI2LFRyan Waldschmidt551100110100.200
simulationARI3RFCorbin Carroll552010100200.400
simulationARI43BNolan Arenado550000000000.000
simulationARI5SSGeraldo Perdomo441000100000.250
simulationARI6DHTommy Troy430000001000.000
simulationARI7CAramis Garcia440000000000.000
simulationARI8CFJorge Barrosa442100110000.500
simulationARI91BIldemaro Vargas430000001100.000
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
srcteamordernameroleIPHRERBBSOHRBFPitchessim_ERAseason_ERAseason_WHIP
currentWAS1Foster GriffinStarter5.2633230004.763.761.15
currentWAS2Brad LordMiddle Reliever1.1000010000.002.581.04
currentWAS3Clayton BeeterMiddle Reliever2.0000000000.003.181.35
currentWAS4Orlando RibaltaMiddle Reliever1.0000010000.001.650.98
currentWAS6Richard LoveladyMiddle Reliever0.0100000003.121.73
currentWAS7Cole HenryReliever0.012200100
currentARI1Merrill KellyStarter5.0522241003.605.061.46
currentARI2Jonathan LoáisigaMiddle Reliever1.0000120000.000.000.43
currentARI3Juan MorilloMiddle Reliever1.24441100021.6010.802.40
currentARI4Kevin GinkelMiddle Reliever1.0111000009.009.002.00
currentARI5Paul SewaldMiddle Reliever1.1100020000.000.000.00
simulationWAS1Foster GriffinStarter5.263323025974.763.761.15
simulationWAS2Clayton BeeterMiddle Reliever2.0000000670.003.181.35
simulationWAS3Brad LordMiddle Reliever1.1000010440.002.581.04
simulationWAS4Orlando RibaltaMiddle Reliever1.00000103160.001.650.98
simulationWAS5Richard LoveladyMiddle Reliever0.01000001173.121.73
simulationWAS6Cole HenryReliever0.01220011245.401.60
simulationARI1Merrill KellyStarter5.052224122953.605.061.46
simulationARI2Paul SewaldMiddle Reliever1.11000205200.000.000.00
simulationARI3Kevin GinkelMiddle Reliever1.01110004219.009.002.00
simulationARI4Jonathan LoáisigaMiddle Reliever1.00001204170.000.000.43
simulationARI5Juan MorilloMiddle Reliever1.2444110103121.6010.802.40
Pitch count summary
teampitcherroleIPRHBBSOBFPitches
WASFoster GriffinStarter5.236232597
WASBrad LordMiddle Reliever1.1000144
WASClayton BeeterMiddle Reliever2.0000067
WASOrlando RibaltaMiddle Reliever1.00001316
WASRichard LoveladyMiddle Reliever0.00100117
WASCole HenryReliever0.02100124
ARIMerrill KellyStarter5.025242295
ARIJonathan LoáisigaMiddle Reliever1.00012417
ARIJuan MorilloMiddle Reliever1.244111031
ARIKevin GinkelMiddle Reliever1.01100421
ARIPaul SewaldMiddle Reliever1.10102520
Audit rule catalog
rulestatuscriticalerrorwarningpassdescription
BATTING_REALISMgood0004Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUMgood0004Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCHgood0002Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCHgood0002Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCHgood0002Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCHgood0002Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGEgood0005Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOXinfo0002Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPEgood0002Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACKgood0002Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENTgood0002Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATIONinfo0000Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOXinfo0000Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZEDgood0002Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIMgood0001game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSEgood0001Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCHgood0001Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCHgood0001Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCHgood0001game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNCgood0001Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGEgood0001Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNTgood0001Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTSnot triggered0000Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMSgood0001Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCEgood0001Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITSgood0001Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNSgood0001Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSISgood0003Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAILgood0001Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCHgood0002Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISMgood0004Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUMgood0008Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCHgood0002Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCHgood0004Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITYgood0001Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCHgood0003prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGEgood0004Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATIONinfo0000When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETEgood0001Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORTnot triggered0000Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINALgood0002Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENTgood0001Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIEgood0001Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCHgood0001score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDERgood0001Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACEgood0001Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENTgood0004Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYSnot triggered0000Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFTgood0001Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORDgood0002team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCHgood0001total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCHgood0001winner field agrees with the final score.