MLB JSON Audit Report

20260604_BAL@BOS

20260604_BAL@BOS.json • 2026-06-04

BAL 3 - BOS 5

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=7; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=11).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Adley Rutschman: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Taylor Ward: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Gunnar Henderson: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Samuel Basallo: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Colton Cowser: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=32; H: current=13, sim=8; 2B: current=3, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=11).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Wilyer Abreu: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isiah Kiner-Falefa: AB current=4 box=3, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Carlos Narváez: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2; Caleb Durbin: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Andruw Monasterio: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match BOS pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match BOS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match BOS pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=38 matches BOS BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match BAL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match BAL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match BAL pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=36 matches BAL BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.454.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.467/0.651.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: BAL 7, BOS 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: BAL 3 - BOS 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: BOS.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for BOS.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5459, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'BOS', 'confidence': 0.548564, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_BAL@BOS.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'BOS', 'confidence': 0.553789, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_BAL@BOS.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_BAL@BOS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: BAL@BOS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BAL 4 - 5 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: BAL 3 - 5 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: BOS wins 5-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=BOS, final=BOS.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.546.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 11/58 (0.190).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/54 (0.222).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: BOS wins 5-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: BOS wins 3-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-5, final 3-5 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: BOS wins 5-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 11/58 = 0.190.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins and win_pct agree: 12/54 = 0.222.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match BOS pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match BOS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match BOS pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=38 matches BOS BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match BAL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match BAL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match BAL pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=36 matches BAL BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.454.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.467/0.651.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: BAL 7, BOS 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: BAL 3 - BOS 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: BOS.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for BOS.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5459, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'BOS', 'confidence': 0.548564, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_BAL@BOS.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'BOS', 'confidence': 0.553789, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_BAL@BOS.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_BAL@BOS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: BAL@BOS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BAL 4 - 5 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: BAL 3 - 5 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: BOS wins 5-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=BOS, final=BOS.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.546.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 11/58 (0.190).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/54 (0.222).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: BOS wins 5-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: BOS wins 3-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-5, final 3-5 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: BOS wins 5-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 11/58 = 0.190.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins and win_pct agree: 12/54 = 0.222.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=7; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=11).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Adley Rutschman: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Taylor Ward: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Gunnar Henderson: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Samuel Basallo: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Colton Cowser: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=32; H: current=13, sim=8; 2B: current=3, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=11).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Wilyer Abreu: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isiah Kiner-Falefa: AB current=4 box=3, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Carlos Narváez: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2; Caleb Durbin: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Andruw Monasterio: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.506006240844727	6.42086124420166		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	6		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	5	0.546	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	4	5		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	4	5		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	5		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	7
BOS	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	5	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	BAL	batting	58	14	1	0	0	9	9	8	15	0	0	0	0
current	BAL	pitching		8			1		5	2	11					8.0	5	0	0
current	BOS	batting	58	13	3	0	0	8	9	5	16	0	0	0	0
current	BOS	pitching		7			1		3	4	11					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	BAL	batting	34	7	1	0	1	3	3	4	11	0	0
simulation	BAL	pitching		8			1		5	2	11					8.0	5	36	154
simulation	BOS	batting	32	8	2	0	1	5	5	2	11	0	2
simulation	BOS	pitching		7			1		3	4	11					9.0	3	38	157

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	BAL		DH	Adley Rutschman	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	BAL		1B	Pete Alonso	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	BAL		LF	Taylor Ward	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	0.250
current	BAL		SS	Gunnar Henderson	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	BAL		C	Samuel Basallo	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.333
current	BAL		CF	Leody Taveras	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	BAL		RF	Colton Cowser	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	BAL		3B	Coby Mayo	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.167
current	BAL		2B	Jackson Holliday	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	BOS		RF	Wilyer Abreu	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	BOS		CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.286
current	BOS		1B	Willson Contreras	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	BOS		LF	Jarren Duran	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.222
current	BOS		SS	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	BOS		C	Carlos Narváez	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0.167
current	BOS		3B	Caleb Durbin	0	6	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.167
current	BOS		2B	Andruw Monasterio	0	6	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.167
current	BOS		DH	Connor Wong	0	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.200
simulation	BAL	1	LF	Taylor Ward	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	0.250
simulation	BAL	2	SS	Gunnar Henderson	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	3	DH	Adley Rutschman	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	4	1B	Pete Alonso	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	BAL	5	C	Samuel Basallo	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	6	CF	Leody Taveras	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	BAL	7	RF	Colton Cowser	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	8	3B	Coby Mayo	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	BAL	9	2B	Jackson Holliday	4	3	2	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0.667
simulation	BOS	1	LF	Jarren Duran	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	2	CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	4	4	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	3	RF	Wilyer Abreu	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	4	1B	Willson Contreras	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0.000
simulation	BOS	5	SS	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	BOS	6	2B	Andruw Monasterio	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	7	3B	Caleb Durbin	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	8	C	Carlos Narváez	4	4	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	BOS	9	DH	Connor Wong	4	4	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	0	0.500

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	BAL	1	Trevor Rogers	Starter	4.0	7	4	4	1	6	0	0	0	9.00	6.84	1.56
current	BAL	3	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.68	0.61
current	BAL	4	Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	6.94	1.63
current	BAL	5	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	3	1	0	0	6.75	2.29	0.66
current	BOS	1	Brayan Bello	Starter	4.1	6	3	3	2	8	0	0	0	6.23	5.62	1.64
current	BOS	2	Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.90	0.97
current	BOS	3	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.48	0.86
current	BOS	4	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.60	1.20
current	BOS	5	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.00	3.60	1.30
simulation	BAL	1	Trevor Rogers	Starter	4.0	7	4	4	1	6	0	22	96	9.00	6.84	1.56
simulation	BAL	2	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	21	0.00	0.68	0.61
simulation	BAL	3	Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	17	0.00	6.94	1.63
simulation	BAL	4	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	3	1	5	20	6.75	2.29	0.66
simulation	BOS	1	Brayan Bello	Starter	4.1	6	3	3	2	8	0	21	85	6.23	5.62	1.64
simulation	BOS	2	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	15	0.00	0.48	0.86
simulation	BOS	3	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	1	5	20	0.00	3.60	1.30
simulation	BOS	4	Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	20	0.00	2.90	0.97
simulation	BOS	5	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	17	0.00	3.60	1.20

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
BAL	Trevor Rogers	Starter	4.0	4	7	1	6	22	96
BAL	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	2	5	21
BAL	Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	0	4	17
BAL	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	0	3	5	20
BOS	Brayan Bello	Starter	4.1	3	6	2	8	21	85
BOS	Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	20
BOS	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	1	0	5	15
BOS	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	17
BOS	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	5	20

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260604_CLE@NYY

20260604_CLE@NYY.json • 2026-06-04

CLE 2 - NYY 4

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=53, sim=31; H: current=12, sim=4; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=5, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=14, sim=3).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Rhys Hoskins: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; David Fry: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Angel Martínez: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Travis Bazzana: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; José Ramírez: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Stuart Fairchild: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Steven Kwan: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Austin Hedges: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=28; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; SO: current=12, sim=8; SF: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Cody Bellinger: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Trent Grisham: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1; Ben Rice: AB current=8 box=2, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=3; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan McMahon: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; J.C. Escarra: AB current=6 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1; José Caballero: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match NYY pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match NYY pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match NYY pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=34 matches NYY BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match CLE pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match CLE pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match CLE pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=35 matches CLE BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.433.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.567.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.567.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.514/0.706.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CLE 4, NYY 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CLE 2 - NYY 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.	{'winner_confidence': 0.566612, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.579293, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_CLE@NYY.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.607618, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_CLE@NYY.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_CLE@NYY.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CLE@NYY.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CLE 2 - 3 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CLE 2 - 4 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.567.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 20/59 (0.339).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/55 (0.273).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 2-4 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins and win_pct agree: 20/59 = 0.339.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins and win_pct agree: 15/55 = 0.273.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match NYY pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match NYY pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match NYY pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=34 matches NYY BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match CLE pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match CLE pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match CLE pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=35 matches CLE BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.433.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.567.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.567.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.514/0.706.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CLE 4, NYY 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CLE 2 - NYY 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.	{'winner_confidence': 0.566612, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.579293, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_CLE@NYY.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.607618, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_CLE@NYY.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_CLE@NYY.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CLE@NYY.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CLE 2 - 3 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CLE 2 - 4 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.567.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 20/59 (0.339).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/55 (0.273).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 2-4 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins and win_pct agree: 20/59 = 0.339.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins and win_pct agree: 15/55 = 0.273.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=53, sim=31; H: current=12, sim=4; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=5, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=14, sim=3).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Rhys Hoskins: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; David Fry: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Angel Martínez: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Travis Bazzana: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; José Ramírez: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Stuart Fairchild: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Steven Kwan: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Austin Hedges: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=28; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; SO: current=12, sim=8; SF: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Cody Bellinger: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Trent Grisham: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1; Ben Rice: AB current=8 box=2, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=3; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan McMahon: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; J.C. Escarra: AB current=6 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1; José Caballero: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.567068576812744	5.760924816131592		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	6		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	3	0.567	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	4		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	4
NYY	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	CLE	batting	53	12	2	0	0	5	8	6	14	0	0	0	0
current	CLE	pitching		5			1		4	6	8					8.0	4	0	0
current	NYY	batting	56	16	2	0	1	9	9	6	12	0	0	0	0
current	NYY	pitching		4			1		2	3	3					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	CLE	batting	31	4	1	0	1	2	2	3	3	0	0
simulation	CLE	pitching		5			1		4	6	8					8.0	4	35	154
simulation	NYY	batting	28	5	1	0	1	4	4	6	8	1	0
simulation	NYY	pitching		4			1		2	3	3					9.0	2	34	150

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	CLE		1B	Rhys Hoskins	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.200
current	CLE		DH	David Fry	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0.250
current	CLE		RF	Angel Martínez	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.143
current	CLE		2B	Travis Bazzana	0	7	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	CLE		3B	José Ramírez	0	7	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	CLE		CF	Stuart Fairchild	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.333
current	CLE		LF	Steven Kwan	0	8	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	CLE		C	Austin Hedges	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.167
current	CLE		SS	Brayan Rocchio	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.167
current	NYY		1B	Paul Goldschmidt	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
current	NYY		LF	Cody Bellinger	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	NYY		CF	Trent Grisham	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	NYY		DH	Ben Rice	0	8	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	0.375
current	NYY		2B	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	NYY		3B	Ryan McMahon	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.200
current	NYY		C	J.C. Escarra	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.167
current	NYY		SS	José Caballero	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	NYY		RF	Max Schuemann	0	4	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
simulation	CLE	1	DH	David Fry	4	4	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	CLE	2	3B	José Ramírez	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	3	1B	Rhys Hoskins	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	4	2B	Travis Bazzana	4	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	0	0.333
simulation	CLE	5	RF	Angel Martínez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CLE	6	CF	Stuart Fairchild	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	7	LF	Steven Kwan	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	8	C	Austin Hedges	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CLE	9	SS	Brayan Rocchio	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	NYY	1	CF	Trent Grisham	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	NYY	2	DH	Ben Rice	4	2	1	0	1	1	3	1	1	0.500
simulation	NYY	3	1B	Paul Goldschmidt	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	NYY	4	LF	Cody Bellinger	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	NYY	5	2B	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	NYY	6	SS	José Caballero	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	NYY	7	3B	Ryan McMahon	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	NYY	8	C	J.C. Escarra	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	NYY	9	RF	Max Schuemann	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	CLE	1	Slade Cecconi	Starter	4.2	5	3	3	1	5	1	0	0	5.79	5.25	1.49
current	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.83	1.08
current	CLE	3	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.69	1.12
current	CLE	5	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	0	6.75	3.31	1.22
current	NYY	1	Carlos Rodón	Starter	5.1	3	1	1	3	1	0	0	0	1.69	3.32	1.32
current	NYY	3	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.50	1.58
current	NYY	4	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.08	1.23
current	NYY	5	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	6.75	3.38	1.17
simulation	CLE	1	Slade Cecconi	Starter	4.2	5	3	3	1	5	1	20	89	5.79	5.25	1.49
simulation	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	15	0.00	2.83	1.08
simulation	CLE	3	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	1	3	1	0	7	29	6.75	3.31	1.22
simulation	CLE	4	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	0	5	21	0.00	1.69	1.12
simulation	NYY	1	Carlos Rodón	Starter	5.1	3	1	1	3	1	0	22	97	1.69	3.32	1.32
simulation	NYY	2	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	19	0.00	4.50	1.58
simulation	NYY	3	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	14	0.00	2.08	1.23
simulation	NYY	4	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	1	5	20	6.75	3.38	1.17

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
CLE	Slade Cecconi	Starter	4.2	3	5	1	5	20	89
CLE	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	15
CLE	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	2	1	5	21
CLE	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	3	1	7	29
NYY	Carlos Rodón	Starter	5.1	1	3	3	1	22	97
NYY	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	19
NYY	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	14
NYY	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	0	1	5	20

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260604_KC@MIN

20260604_KC@MIN.json • 2026-06-04

KC 3 - MIN 0

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=34; H: current=11, sim=7; 2B: current=1, sim=2; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=2).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	KC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vinnie Pasquantino: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1; Salvador Perez: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bobby Witt Jr.: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Carter Jensen: AB current=6 box=5, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jac Caglianone: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Isaac Collins: AB current=6 box=4, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Michael Massey: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Loftin: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=32; H: current=12, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=0; R: current=7, sim=0; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=13, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Austin Martin: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Byron Buxton: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brooks Lee: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Trevor Larnach: AB current=6 box=4, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Victor Caratini: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Luke Keaschall: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Kreidler: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	KC	BATTING_REALISM	current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	KC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:KC batting walks match MIN pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:KC batting home runs match MIN pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:KC batting hits match MIN pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:KC batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:KC PA=37 matches MIN BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match KC pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match KC pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match KC pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=35 matches KC BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	KC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	KC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	KC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.523.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.523.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.477.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.451/0.633.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: KC 7, MIN 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: KC 3 - MIN 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: KC.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for KC.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5230589999999999, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_KC@MIN.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: KC@MIN.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: KC 3 - 2 MIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: KC 3 - 0 MIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: KC wins 3-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=KC, final=KC.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.523.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/57 (0.158).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/57 (0.263).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: KC wins 3-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: KC wins 3-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 3-0 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: KC wins 3-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	KC wins and win_pct agree: 9/57 = 0.158.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins and win_pct agree: 15/57 = 0.263.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	KC	BATTING_REALISM	current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	KC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:KC batting walks match MIN pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:KC batting home runs match MIN pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:KC batting hits match MIN pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:KC batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:KC PA=37 matches MIN BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match KC pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match KC pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match KC pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=35 matches KC BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	KC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	KC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	KC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.523.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.523.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.477.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.451/0.633.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: KC 7, MIN 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: KC 3 - MIN 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: KC.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for KC.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5230589999999999, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_KC@MIN.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: KC@MIN.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: KC 3 - 2 MIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: KC 3 - 0 MIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: KC wins 3-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=KC, final=KC.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.523.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/57 (0.158).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/57 (0.263).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: KC wins 3-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: KC wins 3-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 3-0 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: KC wins 3-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	KC wins and win_pct agree: 9/57 = 0.158.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins and win_pct agree: 15/57 = 0.263.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=34; H: current=11, sim=7; 2B: current=1, sim=2; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=2).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	KC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vinnie Pasquantino: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1; Salvador Perez: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bobby Witt Jr.: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Carter Jensen: AB current=6 box=5, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jac Caglianone: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Isaac Collins: AB current=6 box=4, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Michael Massey: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Loftin: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=32; H: current=12, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=0; R: current=7, sim=0; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=13, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Austin Martin: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Byron Buxton: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brooks Lee: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Trevor Larnach: AB current=6 box=4, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Victor Caratini: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Luke Keaschall: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Kreidler: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.446074485778809	3.5439274311065674		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	2	0.523	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	0		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	7
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	KC	batting	54	11	1	0	0	6	8	6	13	0	0	0	0
current	KC	pitching		5			0		0	2	8					9.0	0	0	0
current	MIN	batting	57	12	0	0	0	7	7	6	13	0	0	0	0
current	MIN	pitching		7			1		3	2	6					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	KC	batting	34	7	2	1	1	3	3	2	6	0	1
simulation	KC	pitching		5			0		0	2	8					9.0	0	35	159
simulation	MIN	batting	32	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	8	0	1
simulation	MIN	pitching		7			1		3	2	6					9.0	3	37	153

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	KC		1B	Vinnie Pasquantino	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	KC		DH	Salvador Perez	0	7	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.143
current	KC		SS	Bobby Witt Jr.	0	8	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	KC		C	Carter Jensen	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	KC		RF	Jac Caglianone	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0.167
current	KC		LF	Isaac Collins	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0.167
current	KC		2B	Michael Massey	0	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
current	KC		3B	Nick Loftin	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	KC		CF	Kyle Isbel	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
current	MIN		RF	Austin Martin	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.167
current	MIN		DH	Byron Buxton	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	MIN		1B	Kody Clemens	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	MIN		3B	Brooks Lee	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.286
current	MIN		LF	Trevor Larnach	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.167
current	MIN		C	Victor Caratini	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0.167
current	MIN		2B	Luke Keaschall	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	MIN		SS	Ryan Kreidler	0	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.200
current	MIN		CF	James Outman	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.200
simulation	KC	1	C	Carter Jensen	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	KC	2	SS	Bobby Witt Jr.	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	KC	3	1B	Vinnie Pasquantino	4	3	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.667
simulation	KC	4	DH	Salvador Perez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	KC	5	RF	Jac Caglianone	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	KC	6	LF	Isaac Collins	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	KC	7	2B	Michael Massey	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	KC	8	3B	Nick Loftin	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	KC	9	CF	Kyle Isbel	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIN	1	DH	Byron Buxton	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	MIN	2	3B	Brooks Lee	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	MIN	3	1B	Kody Clemens	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	4	RF	Austin Martin	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	5	LF	Trevor Larnach	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIN	6	2B	Luke Keaschall	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIN	7	C	Victor Caratini	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIN	8	SS	Ryan Kreidler	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	9	CF	James Outman	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	KC	1	Seth Lugo	Starter	5.2	3	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0.00	3.55	1.35
current	KC	2	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.85	0.99
current	KC	3	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	5.24	1.75
current	KC	4	Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	4.15	1.27
current	MIN	1	Andrew Morris	Starter	4.0	3	2	2	2	5	0	0	0	4.50	4.07	1.52
current	MIN	2	Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	1.2	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	5.40	3.77	1.40
current	MIN	4	Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.90	1.30
current	MIN	5	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.78	1.41
simulation	KC	1	Seth Lugo	Starter	5.2	3	0	0	1	5	0	22	101	0.00	3.55	1.35
simulation	KC	2	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	18	0.00	5.24	1.75
simulation	KC	3	Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	16	0.00	4.15	1.27
simulation	KC	4	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	0	6	24	0.00	1.85	0.99
simulation	MIN	1	Andrew Morris	Starter	4.0	3	2	2	2	5	0	18	78	4.50	4.07	1.52
simulation	MIN	2	Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	20	0.00	3.90	1.30
simulation	MIN	3	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	7	28	0.00	2.78	1.41
simulation	MIN	4	Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	1.2	2	1	1	0	0	1	7	27	5.40	3.77	1.40

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
KC	Seth Lugo	Starter	5.2	0	3	1	5	22	101
KC	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	1	0	6	24
KC	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	18
KC	Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	2	4	16
MIN	Andrew Morris	Starter	4.0	2	3	2	5	18	78
MIN	Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	2	0	0	7	27
MIN	Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	0	0	5	20
MIN	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	2.0	0	1	0	1	7	28

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260604_LAD@ARI

20260604_LAD@ARI.json • 2026-06-04

LAD 6 - ARI 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=31; H: current=12, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=2; 3B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=11, sim=13).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nolan Arenado: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gabriel Moreno: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ketel Marte: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Corbin Carroll: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ryan Waldschmidt: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1; Jose Fernandez: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Geraldo Perdomo: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=36; H: current=15, sim=9; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=6; R: current=8, sim=6; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=10, sim=9; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Andy Pages: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Kyle Tucker: AB current=7 box=5, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Mookie Betts: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Freddie Freeman: AB current=7 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Will Smith: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Max Muncy: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dalton Rushing: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Ward: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match LAD pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match LAD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match LAD pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 13.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=34 matches LAD BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting walks match ARI pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting home runs match ARI pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting hits match ARI pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAD PA=40 matches ARI BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.615.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.615.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.385.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.475/0.661.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAD 9, ARI 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: LAD 6 - ARI 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.614588, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'LAD', 'confidence': 0.554731, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_LAD@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.544067, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_LAD@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.587949, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_LAD@ARI.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_LAD@ARI.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAD@ARI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 158.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 170.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 170.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 158.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAD 5 - 1 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAD 6 - 1 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 6-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=LAD, final=LAD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.615.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 18/58 (0.310).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 21/58 (0.362).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAD wins 6-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAD wins 6-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 6-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 5-1, final 6-1 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAD wins 6-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins and win_pct agree: 21/58 = 0.362.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAD wins and win_pct agree: 18/58 = 0.310.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match LAD pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match LAD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match LAD pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 13.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=34 matches LAD BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting walks match ARI pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting home runs match ARI pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting hits match ARI pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAD PA=40 matches ARI BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.615.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.615.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.385.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.475/0.661.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAD 9, ARI 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: LAD 6 - ARI 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.614588, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'LAD', 'confidence': 0.554731, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_LAD@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.544067, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_LAD@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.587949, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_LAD@ARI.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_LAD@ARI.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAD@ARI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 158.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 170.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 170.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 158.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAD 5 - 1 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAD 6 - 1 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 6-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=LAD, final=LAD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.615.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 18/58 (0.310).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 21/58 (0.362).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAD wins 6-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAD wins 6-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 6-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 5-1, final 6-1 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAD wins 6-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins and win_pct agree: 21/58 = 0.362.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAD wins and win_pct agree: 18/58 = 0.310.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=31; H: current=12, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=2; 3B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=11, sim=13).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nolan Arenado: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gabriel Moreno: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ketel Marte: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Corbin Carroll: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ryan Waldschmidt: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1; Jose Fernandez: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Geraldo Perdomo: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=36; H: current=15, sim=9; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=6; R: current=8, sim=6; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=10, sim=9; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Andy Pages: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Kyle Tucker: AB current=7 box=5, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Mookie Betts: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Freddie Freeman: AB current=7 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Will Smith: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Max Muncy: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dalton Rushing: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Ward: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	6.804105281829834	4.010522365570068		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	4	1	0.615	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	5	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	5	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	6	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	6	9
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	LAD	batting	58	15	1	0	0	9	8	6	10	0	0	0	0
current	LAD	pitching		4			0		1	3	13					9.0	1	0	0
current	ARI	batting	55	12	0	0	0	6	9	6	11	0	0	0	0
current	ARI	pitching		9			2		6	3	9					9.0	6	0	0
simulation	LAD	batting	36	9	1	0	2	6	6	3	9	0	1
simulation	LAD	pitching		4			0		1	3	13					9.0	1	34	158
simulation	ARI	batting	31	4	2	1	0	1	1	3	13	0	0
simulation	ARI	pitching		9			2		6	3	9					9.0	6	40	170

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	LAD		CF	Andy Pages	0	7	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.286
current	LAD		RF	Kyle Tucker	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	LAD		SS	Mookie Betts	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	LAD		1B	Freddie Freeman	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	LAD		DH	Will Smith	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	LAD		3B	Max Muncy	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	LAD		C	Dalton Rushing	0	6	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.333
current	LAD		LF	Ryan Ward	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.200
current	LAD		2B	Alex Freeland	0	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.200
current	ARI		3B	Nolan Arenado	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.167
current	ARI		C	Gabriel Moreno	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.167
current	ARI		2B	Ketel Marte	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	ARI		RF	Corbin Carroll	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	ARI		CF	Ryan Waldschmidt	0	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.200
current	ARI		1B	Ildemaro Vargas	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.286
current	ARI		DH	Jose Fernandez	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.167
current	ARI		SS	Geraldo Perdomo	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.167
current	ARI		LF	Tommy Troy	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	LAD	1	SS	Mookie Betts	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	LAD	2	1B	Freddie Freeman	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.400
simulation	LAD	3	CF	Andy Pages	5	4	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	LAD	4	RF	Kyle Tucker	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.400
simulation	LAD	5	DH	Will Smith	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	LAD	6	3B	Max Muncy	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	LAD	7	LF	Ryan Ward	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	LAD	8	C	Dalton Rushing	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	LAD	9	2B	Alex Freeland	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	ARI	1	2B	Ketel Marte	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	2	RF	Corbin Carroll	4	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.250
simulation	ARI	3	C	Gabriel Moreno	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	4	3B	Nolan Arenado	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	5	CF	Ryan Waldschmidt	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	ARI	6	1B	Ildemaro Vargas	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	ARI	7	SS	Geraldo Perdomo	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	8	DH	Jose Fernandez	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	9	LF	Tommy Troy	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	LAD	1	Justin Wrobleski	Starter	6.2	1	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	0.00	2.87	1.01
current	LAD	2	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.41	0.96
current	LAD	3	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	9.00	2.10	0.70
current	LAD	4	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.21	0.93
current	ARI	1	Ryne Nelson	Starter	6.2	4	1	1	1	6	1	0	0	1.35	4.82	1.19
current	ARI	2	Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.43
current	ARI	4	Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	0.2	4	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	40.50	9.00	2.00
current	ARI	5	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	9.00	0.00	0.00
current	ARI	6	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	27.00	108.00	9.00
simulation	LAD	1	Justin Wrobleski	Starter	6.2	1	0	0	1	9	0	22	103	0.00	2.87	1.01
simulation	LAD	2	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	0	5	19	9.00	2.10	0.70
simulation	LAD	3	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	22	0.00	2.41	0.96
simulation	LAD	4	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	14	0.00	2.21	0.93
simulation	ARI	1	Ryne Nelson	Starter	6.2	4	1	1	1	6	1	25	100	1.35	4.82	1.19
simulation	ARI	2	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	0	5	20	9.00	0.00	0.00
simulation	ARI	3	Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	0.2	4	3	3	1	1	1	7	18	40.50	9.00	2.00
simulation	ARI	4	Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	16	0.00	0.00	0.43
simulation	ARI	5	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	16	27.00	108.00	9.00

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
LAD	Justin Wrobleski	Starter	6.2	0	1	1	9	22	103
LAD	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	2	4	22
LAD	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	0	1	5	19
LAD	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	1	1	1	3	14
ARI	Ryne Nelson	Starter	6.2	1	4	1	6	25	100
ARI	Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	1	2	16
ARI	Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	0.2	3	4	1	1	7	18
ARI	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	5	20
ARI	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260604_OAK@CHC

20260604_OAK@CHC.json • 2026-06-04

OAK 4 - CHC 2

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 1ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 90INFO 8

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Batting Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	CHC	current:CHC has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	CHC		BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=4; RBI: current=8, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Alex Bregman: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Michael Conforto: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Michael Busch: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Ian Happ: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Moisés Ballesteros: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nico Hoerner: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pedro Ramirez: 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=51, sim=35; H: current=12, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=3; RBI: current=5, sim=4; R: current=5, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=11, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Henry Bolte: AB current=5 box=4, SO current=1 box=2, HBP current=0 box=1; Colby Thomas: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Shea Langeliers: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=2 box=0; Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jonah Heim: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jeff McNeil: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-1, final 4-2 (delta 3).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match OAK pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match OAK pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match OAK pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=34 matches OAK BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match CHC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match CHC pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match CHC pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=37 matches CHC BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.526.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.526.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.474.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.475/0.661.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: OAK 8, CHC 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: OAK 4 - CHC 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: OAK.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for OAK.	{'winner_confidence': 0.525714, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.555086, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_OAK@CHC.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.538307, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_OAK@CHC.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_OAK@CHC.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: OAK@CHC.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: OAK 2 - 1 CHC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: OAK 4 - 2 CHC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: OAK wins 4-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=OAK, final=OAK.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.526.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 12/57 (0.211).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 7/61 (0.115).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: OAK wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: OAK wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: OAK wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins and win_pct agree: 7/61 = 0.115.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins and win_pct agree: 12/57 = 0.211.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match OAK pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match OAK pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match OAK pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=34 matches OAK BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match CHC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match CHC pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match CHC pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=37 matches CHC BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.526.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.526.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.474.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.475/0.661.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: OAK 8, CHC 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: OAK 4 - CHC 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: OAK.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for OAK.	{'winner_confidence': 0.525714, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.555086, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_OAK@CHC.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.538307, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_OAK@CHC.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_OAK@CHC.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: OAK@CHC.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: OAK 2 - 1 CHC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: OAK 4 - 2 CHC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: OAK wins 4-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=OAK, final=OAK.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.526.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 12/57 (0.211).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 7/61 (0.115).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: OAK wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: OAK wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: OAK wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins and win_pct agree: 7/61 = 0.115.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins and win_pct agree: 12/57 = 0.211.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=4; RBI: current=8, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Alex Bregman: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Michael Conforto: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Michael Busch: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Ian Happ: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Moisés Ballesteros: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nico Hoerner: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pedro Ramirez: 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=51, sim=35; H: current=12, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=3; RBI: current=5, sim=4; R: current=5, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=11, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Henry Bolte: AB current=5 box=4, SO current=1 box=2, HBP current=0 box=1; Colby Thomas: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Shea Langeliers: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=2 box=0; Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jonah Heim: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jeff McNeil: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-1, final 4-2 (delta 3).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.96708869934082	2.396423101425171		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	3		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	1	0.526	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	4	8
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	4

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	OAK	batting	51	12	2	0	5	5	6	11	0	0	0	0
current	OAK	pitching		4				2	3	8					9.0	2	0	0
current	CHC	batting	59	14	1	0	8	9	7	15	0	0	0	0
current	CHC	pitching		8				4	1	7					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	OAK	batting	35	8	3	0	4	4	1	7	0	1
simulation	OAK	pitching		4				2	3	8					9.0	2	34	147
simulation	CHC	batting	31	4	1	0	2	2	3	8	0	0
simulation	CHC	pitching		8				4	1	7					9.0	4	37	143

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	OAK		CF	Henry Bolte	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
current	OAK		RF	Colby Thomas	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	OAK		DH	Shea Langeliers	0	8	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	OAK		1B	Nick Kurtz	0	7	2	0	1	1	2	2	0	0.286
current	OAK		LF	Tyler Soderstrom	0	7	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	OAK		C	Jonah Heim	0	6	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0.167
current	OAK		3B	Zack Gelof	0	6	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.167
current	OAK		2B	Jeff McNeil	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.167
current	OAK		SS	Alika Williams	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	CHC		3B	Alex Bregman	0	9	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	CHC		RF	Michael Conforto	0	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	CHC		CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0	7	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	CHC		1B	Michael Busch	0	8	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	CHC		LF	Ian Happ	0	8	2	1	2	1	1	3	0	0.250
current	CHC		C	Moisés Ballesteros	0	5	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
current	CHC		2B	Nico Hoerner	0	9	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.222
current	CHC		DH	Pedro Ramirez	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	CHC		SS	Dansby Swanson	0	6	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
simulation	OAK	1	CF	Henry Bolte	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0.250
simulation	OAK	2	1B	Nick Kurtz	4	4	2	1	1	2	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	OAK	3	DH	Shea Langeliers	4	4	2	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	OAK	4	RF	Colby Thomas	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	5	LF	Tyler Soderstrom	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	OAK	6	C	Jonah Heim	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	7	3B	Zack Gelof	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	8	2B	Jeff McNeil	4	4	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	OAK	9	SS	Alika Williams	4	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	CHC	1	CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	CHC	2	RF	Michael Conforto	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	CHC	3	1B	Michael Busch	4	4	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	CHC	4	3B	Alex Bregman	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	CHC	5	LF	Ian Happ	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	CHC	6	2B	Nico Hoerner	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	CHC	7	C	Moisés Ballesteros	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	CHC	8	DH	Pedro Ramirez	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	CHC	9	SS	Dansby Swanson	3	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.500

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	OAK	1	J.T. Ginn	Starter	5.2	3	2	2	2	7	0	0	3.18	2.87	1.14
current	OAK	2	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2.48	1.52
current	OAK	3	Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5.33	1.42
current	OAK	4	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.67	0.89
current	CHC	1	Shota Imanaga	Starter	5.2	7	3	3	1	5	0	0	4.76	4.37	1.07
current	CHC	2	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	6.75	3.38	1.35
current	CHC	3	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.98	1.24
current	CHC	4	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	2.45	1.32
simulation	OAK	1	J.T. Ginn	Starter	5.2	3	2	2	2	7	22	94	3.18	2.87	1.14
simulation	OAK	2	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	5	20	0.00	2.48	1.52
simulation	OAK	3	Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	5.33	1.42
simulation	OAK	4	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	16	0.00	1.67	0.89
simulation	CHC	1	Shota Imanaga	Starter	5.2	7	3	3	1	5	25	96	4.76	4.37	1.07
simulation	CHC	2	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	16	0.00	1.98	1.24
simulation	CHC	3	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	4	18	0.00	2.45	1.32
simulation	CHC	4	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	5	13	6.75	3.38	1.35

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
OAK	J.T. Ginn	Starter	5.2	2	3	2	7	22	94
OAK	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	5	20
OAK	Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	17
OAK	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16
CHC	Shota Imanaga	Starter	5.2	3	7	1	5	25	96
CHC	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	0	1	5	13
CHC	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16
CHC	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	4	18

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	critical	1	3	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	0	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	0	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	0	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	0	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	0	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	0	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260604_PIT@HOU

20260604_PIT@HOU.json • 2026-06-04

PIT 1 - HOU 7

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=32; H: current=13, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=1, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=7; BB: current=4, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=10; HBP: current=0, sim=2).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jeremy Peña: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isaac Paredes: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Yordan Alvarez: AB current=7 box=1, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Christian Walker: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=2; Taylor Trammell: AB current=5 box=4; Jake Meyers: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Cam Smith: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Brice Matthews: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=30; H: current=16, sim=3; RBI: current=10, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=12).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Spencer Horwitz: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Ryan O'Hearn: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryan Reynolds: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Jake Mangum: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Endy Rodríguez: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match PIT pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match PIT pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match PIT pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=36 matches PIT BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match HOU pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match HOU pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match HOU pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=32 matches HOU BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.355.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.645.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.645.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 8.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.476/0.661.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: PIT 3, HOU 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: PIT 1 - HOU 7.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: HOU.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for HOU.	{'winner_confidence': 0.644526, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'HOU', 'confidence': 0.532145, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_PIT@HOU.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'PIT', 'confidence': 0.548711, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_PIT@HOU.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_PIT@HOU.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: PIT@HOU.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PIT 2 - 6 HOU.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: PIT 1 - 7 HOU.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: HOU wins 7-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=HOU, final=HOU.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.645.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/54 (0.296).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 23/58 (0.397).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: HOU wins 7-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: HOU wins 1-7.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-7.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-6, final 1-7 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: HOU wins 7-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins and win_pct agree: 23/58 = 0.397.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 16/54 = 0.296.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match PIT pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match PIT pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match PIT pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=36 matches PIT BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match HOU pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match HOU pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match HOU pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=32 matches HOU BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.355.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.645.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.645.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 8.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.476/0.661.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: PIT 3, HOU 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: PIT 1 - HOU 7.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: HOU.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for HOU.	{'winner_confidence': 0.644526, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'HOU', 'confidence': 0.532145, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_PIT@HOU.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'PIT', 'confidence': 0.548711, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_PIT@HOU.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_PIT@HOU.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: PIT@HOU.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PIT 2 - 6 HOU.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: PIT 1 - 7 HOU.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: HOU wins 7-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=HOU, final=HOU.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.645.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/54 (0.296).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 23/58 (0.397).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: HOU wins 7-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: HOU wins 1-7.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-7.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-6, final 1-7 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: HOU wins 7-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins and win_pct agree: 23/58 = 0.397.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 16/54 = 0.296.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=32; H: current=13, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=1, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=7; BB: current=4, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=10; HBP: current=0, sim=2).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jeremy Peña: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isaac Paredes: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Yordan Alvarez: AB current=7 box=1, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Christian Walker: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=2; Taylor Trammell: AB current=5 box=4; Jake Meyers: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Cam Smith: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Brice Matthews: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=30; H: current=16, sim=3; RBI: current=10, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=12).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Spencer Horwitz: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Ryan O'Hearn: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryan Reynolds: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Jake Mangum: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Endy Rodríguez: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	2.879607915878296	9.22384262084961		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	10		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	6	0.645	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	6		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	6		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	7		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3
HOU	2	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	7	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	PIT	batting	58	16	0	0	1	10	10	8	14	0	0	0	0
current	PIT	pitching		8			2		7	2	10					8.0	7	0	0
current	HOU	batting	56	13	0	0	1	7	9	4	14	0	0	0	0
current	HOU	pitching		3			1		1	2	12					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	PIT	batting	30	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	12	0	0
simulation	PIT	pitching		8			2		7	2	10					8.0	7	36	157
simulation	HOU	batting	32	8	2	0	2	7	7	2	10	0	2
simulation	HOU	pitching		3			1		1	2	12					9.0	1	32	156

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	PIT		1B	Spencer Horwitz	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
current	PIT		DH	Ryan O'Hearn	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	PIT		3B	Nick Gonzales	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	PIT		RF	Bryan Reynolds	0	7	2	0	0	2	1	2	2	0	0.286
current	PIT		2B	Brandon Lowe	0	8	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	0	0.250
current	PIT		CF	Oneil Cruz	0	8	2	0	1	2	2	1	3	0	0.250
current	PIT		LF	Jake Mangum	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	PIT		C	Endy Rodríguez	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	PIT		SS	Jared Triolo	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
current	HOU		SS	Jeremy Peña	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.286
current	HOU		3B	Isaac Paredes	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	HOU		DH	Yordan Alvarez	0	7	2	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	HOU		1B	Christian Walker	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	HOU		LF	Taylor Trammell	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.200
current	HOU		CF	Jake Meyers	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.167
current	HOU		RF	Cam Smith	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	HOU		2B	Brice Matthews	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.167
current	HOU		C	Christian Vázquez	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	PIT	1	1B	Spencer Horwitz	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	PIT	2	2B	Brandon Lowe	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	3	RF	Bryan Reynolds	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	PIT	4	DH	Ryan O'Hearn	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	5	3B	Nick Gonzales	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	6	CF	Oneil Cruz	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	7	C	Endy Rodríguez	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	8	LF	Jake Mangum	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	PIT	9	SS	Jared Triolo	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	1	SS	Jeremy Peña	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	2	DH	Yordan Alvarez	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0.000
simulation	HOU	3	1B	Christian Walker	4	4	3	1	2	1	6	0	1	0	0.750
simulation	HOU	4	3B	Isaac Paredes	4	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	HOU	5	LF	Taylor Trammell	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	HOU	6	RF	Cam Smith	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	7	CF	Jake Meyers	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	8	2B	Brice Matthews	4	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.500
simulation	HOU	9	C	Christian Vázquez	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	PIT	1	Jared Jones	Starter	4.1	8	7	7	0	3	2	0	0	14.54	10.38	2.08
current	PIT	2	Carmen Mlodzinski	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0.00	3.76	1.42
current	PIT	3	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	1.91	0.74
current	PIT	4	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.18	1.27
current	PIT	6	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		4.74	1.46
current	HOU	1	Kai-Wei Teng	Starter	6.0	2	1	1	2	8	1	0	0	1.50	2.57	1.10
current	HOU	2	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.73	1.33
current	HOU	3	Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.33	1.03
current	HOU	5	Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1.00
simulation	PIT	1	Jared Jones	Starter	4.1	8	7	7	0	3	2	21	79	14.54	10.38	2.08
simulation	PIT	2	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	17	0.00	1.91	0.74
simulation	PIT	3	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	16		4.74	1.46
simulation	PIT	4	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	18	0.00	4.18	1.27
simulation	PIT	5	Carmen Mlodzinski	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	3	0	5	27	0.00	3.76	1.42
simulation	HOU	1	Kai-Wei Teng	Starter	6.0	2	1	1	2	8	1	22	102	1.50	2.57	1.10
simulation	HOU	2	Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	17	0.00	0.00	1.00
simulation	HOU	3	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	20	0.00	2.73	1.33
simulation	HOU	4	Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	17	0.00	3.33	1.03

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
PIT	Jared Jones	Starter	4.1	7	8	0	3	21	79
PIT	Carmen Mlodzinski	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	1	3	5	27
PIT	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	3	4	17
PIT	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	18
PIT	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	2	16
HOU	Kai-Wei Teng	Starter	6.0	1	2	2	8	22	102
HOU	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	2	4	20
HOU	Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	17
HOU	Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	17

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260604_SD@PHI

20260604_SD@PHI.json • 2026-06-04

SD 1 - PHI 4

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=34; H: current=13, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=3; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=9).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brandon Marsh: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Trea Turner: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Schwarber: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=2; Bryce Harper: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Alec Bohm: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; J.T. Realmuto: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Adolis García: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Bryson Stott: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=32; H: current=11, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=1; R: current=7, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ty France: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Manny Machado: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Gavin Sheets: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jackson Merrill: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Miguel Andujar: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Freddy Fermin: AB current=5 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SD	BATTING_REALISM	current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting walks match SD pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting home runs match SD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting hits match SD pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PHI PA=38 matches SD BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SD batting walks match PHI pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SD batting home runs match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SD batting hits match PHI pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SD batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SD PA=35 matches PHI BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PHI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.473.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.527.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.527.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.514/0.706.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SD 5, PHI 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SD 1 - PHI 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PHI.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PHI.	{'winner_confidence': 0.526556, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.548564, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_SD@PHI.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'SD', 'confidence': 0.547211, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_SD@PHI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.543331, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_PHI@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'SD', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_PHI@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_PHI@SD.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_SD@PHI.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SD@PHI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 163.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 138.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 138.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 163.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SD 1 - 3 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SD 1 - 4 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PHI wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PHI, final=PHI.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.527.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 10/55 (0.182).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/57 (0.193).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PHI wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PHI wins 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 1-4 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PHI wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PHI wins and win_pct agree: 11/57 = 0.193.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SD wins and win_pct agree: 10/55 = 0.182.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SD	BATTING_REALISM	current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting walks match SD pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting home runs match SD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting hits match SD pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PHI PA=38 matches SD BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SD batting walks match PHI pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SD batting home runs match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SD batting hits match PHI pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SD batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SD PA=35 matches PHI BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PHI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.473.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.527.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.527.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.514/0.706.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SD 5, PHI 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SD 1 - PHI 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PHI.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PHI.	{'winner_confidence': 0.526556, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.548564, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_SD@PHI.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'SD', 'confidence': 0.547211, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_SD@PHI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.543331, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_PHI@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'SD', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_PHI@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_PHI@SD.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_SD@PHI.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SD@PHI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 163.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 138.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 138.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 163.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SD 1 - 3 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SD 1 - 4 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PHI wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PHI, final=PHI.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.527.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 10/55 (0.182).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/57 (0.193).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PHI wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PHI wins 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 1-4 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PHI wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PHI wins and win_pct agree: 11/57 = 0.193.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SD wins and win_pct agree: 10/55 = 0.182.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=34; H: current=13, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=3; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=9).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brandon Marsh: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Trea Turner: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Schwarber: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=2; Bryce Harper: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Alec Bohm: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; J.T. Realmuto: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Adolis García: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Bryson Stott: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=32; H: current=11, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=1; R: current=7, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ty France: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Manny Machado: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Gavin Sheets: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jackson Merrill: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Miguel Andujar: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Freddy Fermin: AB current=5 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.518583297729492	5.0222487449646		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	2	0.527	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	4		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5
PHI	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	10

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	SD	batting	55	11	0	0	0	6	7	6	14	0	0	0	0
current	SD	pitching		10			0		4	4	9					8.0	4	0	0
current	PHI	batting	62	13	0	0	2	7	8	4	15	0	0	0	0
current	PHI	pitching		5			1		1	2	7					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	SD	batting	32	5	0	0	1	1	1	2	7	0	1
simulation	SD	pitching		10			0		4	4	9					8.0	4	38	163
simulation	PHI	batting	34	10	3	0	0	4	4	4	9	0	0
simulation	PHI	pitching		5			1		1	2	7					9.0	1	35	138

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	SD		1B	Ty France	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
current	SD		2B	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	SD		3B	Manny Machado	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	SD		LF	Gavin Sheets	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	SD		CF	Jackson Merrill	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	SD		SS	Xander Bogaerts	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	SD		DH	Miguel Andujar	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.167
current	SD		C	Freddy Fermin	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.200
current	SD		RF	Bryce Johnson	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
current	PHI		LF	Brandon Marsh	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.286
current	PHI		SS	Trea Turner	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	PHI		DH	Kyle Schwarber	0	8	2	0	1	1	1	1	3	0	0.250
current	PHI		1B	Bryce Harper	0	7	2	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	PHI		3B	Alec Bohm	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.143
current	PHI		C	J.T. Realmuto	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.167
current	PHI		RF	Adolis García	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.167
current	PHI		2B	Bryson Stott	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.167
current	PHI		CF	Justin Crawford	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.167
simulation	SD	1	2B	Fernando Tatis Jr.	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	SD	2	LF	Gavin Sheets	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	SD	3	3B	Manny Machado	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	SD	4	1B	Ty France	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	SD	5	CF	Jackson Merrill	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	SD	6	SS	Xander Bogaerts	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	SD	7	DH	Miguel Andujar	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	SD	8	C	Freddy Fermin	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	SD	9	RF	Bryce Johnson	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	PHI	1	DH	Kyle Schwarber	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	PHI	2	SS	Trea Turner	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0.000
simulation	PHI	3	1B	Bryce Harper	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	PHI	4	LF	Brandon Marsh	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	PHI	5	3B	Alec Bohm	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	PHI	6	2B	Bryson Stott	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	PHI	7	C	J.T. Realmuto	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	PHI	8	RF	Adolis García	4	4	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	PHI	9	CF	Justin Crawford	4	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	SD	1	Lucas Giolito	Starter	4.1	6	4	4	3	3	0	0	0	8.31	4.97	1.74
current	SD	2	Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	3.48	1.11
current	SD	3	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.72	0.84
current	SD	4	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.90	1.07
current	SD	5	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.71	1.14
current	PHI	1	Zack Wheeler	Starter	6.1	3	1	1	0	6	1	0	0	1.42	2.27	0.85
current	PHI	2	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.71	1.24
current	PHI	3	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.37	0.86
current	PHI	4	Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.42	1.16
simulation	SD	1	Lucas Giolito	Starter	4.1	6	4	4	3	3	0	22	95	8.31	4.97	1.74
simulation	SD	2	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	22	0.00	0.72	0.84
simulation	SD	3	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	16	0.00	1.71	1.14
simulation	SD	4	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	14	0.00	3.90	1.07
simulation	SD	5	Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	16	0.00	3.48	1.11
simulation	PHI	1	Zack Wheeler	Starter	6.1	3	1	1	0	6	1	23	93	1.42	2.27	0.85
simulation	PHI	2	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	12	0.00	1.37	0.86
simulation	PHI	3	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	17	0.00	3.71	1.24
simulation	PHI	4	Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	0	4	16	0.00	2.42	1.16

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
SD	Lucas Giolito	Starter	4.1	4	6	3	3	22	95
SD	Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	2	4	16
SD	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	2	4	22
SD	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	2	0	0	4	14
SD	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	2	4	16
PHI	Zack Wheeler	Starter	6.1	1	3	0	6	23	93
PHI	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17
PHI	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	0	0	5	12
PHI	Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	2	1	4	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260604_SF@MIL

20260604_SF@MIL.json • 2026-06-04

SF 2 - MIL 6

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=9; 2B: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=6; R: current=10, sim=6; BB: current=9, sim=6; SO: current=14, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Christian Yelich: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jackson Chourio: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; William Contreras: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Brice Turang: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Sal Frelick: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Luis Rengifo: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=0 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Garrett Mitchell: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Bauers: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=31; H: current=13, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=3; SF: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Casey Schmitt: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Rafael Devers: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Luis Arraez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryce Eldridge: AB current=5 box=3, RBI current=0 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SF current=0 box=1; Matt Chapman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jung Hoo Lee: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Eric Haase: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SF	BATTING_REALISM	current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SF	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting walks match SF pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting home runs match SF pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting hits match SF pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIL PA=40 matches SF BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SF batting walks match MIL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SF batting home runs match MIL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SF batting hits match MIL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SF batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SF PA=35 matches MIL BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SF current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.355.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.645.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.645.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.514/0.706.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SF 5, MIL 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SF 2 - MIL 6.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.64517, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 3, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.621445, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_SF@MIL.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.644398, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_SF@MIL.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.619198, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_SF@MIL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_SF@MIL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SF@MIL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 164.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 164.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SF 1 - 6 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SF 2 - 6 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIL, final=MIL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.645.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 12/57 (0.211).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 20/52 (0.385).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIL wins 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-6, final 2-6 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIL wins and win_pct agree: 20/52 = 0.385.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SF wins and win_pct agree: 12/57 = 0.211.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SF	BATTING_REALISM	current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SF	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting walks match SF pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting home runs match SF pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting hits match SF pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIL PA=40 matches SF BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SF batting walks match MIL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SF batting home runs match MIL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SF batting hits match MIL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SF batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SF PA=35 matches MIL BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SF current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.355.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.645.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.645.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.514/0.706.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SF 5, MIL 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SF 2 - MIL 6.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.64517, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 3, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.621445, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_SF@MIL.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.644398, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_SF@MIL.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.619198, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_SF@MIL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_SF@MIL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SF@MIL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 164.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 164.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SF 1 - 6 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SF 2 - 6 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIL, final=MIL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.645.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 12/57 (0.211).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 20/52 (0.385).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIL wins 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-6, final 2-6 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIL wins and win_pct agree: 20/52 = 0.385.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SF wins and win_pct agree: 12/57 = 0.211.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=9; 2B: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=6; R: current=10, sim=6; BB: current=9, sim=6; SO: current=14, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Christian Yelich: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jackson Chourio: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; William Contreras: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Brice Turang: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Sal Frelick: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Luis Rengifo: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=0 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Garrett Mitchell: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Bauers: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=31; H: current=13, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=3; SF: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Casey Schmitt: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Rafael Devers: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Luis Arraez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryce Eldridge: AB current=5 box=3, RBI current=0 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SF current=0 box=1; Matt Chapman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jung Hoo Lee: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Eric Haase: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.501498222351074	5.322608947753906		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	5	0.645	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	6		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	6		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	6		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	5
MIL	0	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	6	9

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	SF	batting	59	13	2	0	6	9	5	12	0	0	0	0
current	SF	pitching		9				6	6	7					8.0	6	0	0
current	MIL	batting	59	14	1	0	7	10	9	14	0	0	0	0
current	MIL	pitching		5				2	3	12					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	SF	batting	31	5	1	0	2	2	3	12	1	0
simulation	SF	pitching		9				6	6	7					8.0	6	40	164
simulation	MIL	batting	33	9	0	0	6	6	6	7	0	1
simulation	MIL	pitching		5				2	3	12					9.0	2	35	169

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	SF		LF	Casey Schmitt	0	8	2	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
current	SF		SS	Willy Adames	0	8	2	1	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	SF		1B	Rafael Devers	0	7	1	1	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	SF		2B	Luis Arraez	0	8	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.250
current	SF		DH	Bryce Eldridge	0	5	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.200
current	SF		3B	Matt Chapman	0	7	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	SF		RF	Jung Hoo Lee	0	7	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.286
current	SF		C	Eric Haase	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	SF		CF	Drew Gilbert	0	5	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.200
current	MIL		DH	Christian Yelich	0	7	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	MIL		LF	Jackson Chourio	0	8	2	1	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	MIL		C	William Contreras	0	8	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	MIL		2B	Brice Turang	0	7	2	0	2	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	MIL		RF	Sal Frelick	0	6	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.167
current	MIL		3B	Luis Rengifo	0	6	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.167
current	MIL		CF	Garrett Mitchell	0	6	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	MIL		1B	Jake Bauers	0	6	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.333
current	MIL		SS	David Hamilton	0	5	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.200
simulation	SF	1	LF	Casey Schmitt	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	SF	2	1B	Rafael Devers	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	SF	3	2B	Luis Arraez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	SF	4	SS	Willy Adames	4	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.500
simulation	SF	5	RF	Jung Hoo Lee	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	SF	6	DH	Bryce Eldridge	4	3	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	SF	7	3B	Matt Chapman	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	SF	8	C	Eric Haase	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	SF	9	CF	Drew Gilbert	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIL	1	DH	Christian Yelich	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIL	2	LF	Jackson Chourio	5	3	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0.333
simulation	MIL	3	2B	Brice Turang	5	4	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
simulation	MIL	4	C	William Contreras	5	4	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIL	5	1B	Jake Bauers	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIL	6	CF	Garrett Mitchell	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	MIL	7	RF	Sal Frelick	4	3	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	0.667
simulation	MIL	8	3B	Luis Rengifo	4	3	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	MIL	9	SS	David Hamilton	4	4	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.500

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	SF	1	Adrian Houser	Starter	4.2	9	6	6	6	3	0	0	11.57	5.59	1.56
current	SF	2	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	2.30	0.88
current	SF	3	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.71	1.20
current	SF	4	Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	2.25	1.75
current	SF	5	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	4.08	1.47
current	MIL	1	Coleman Crow	Starter	4.2	3	1	1	1	8	0	0	1.93	3.14	0.98
current	MIL	2	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	2.17	1.31
current	MIL	3	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	4.03	1.25
current	MIL	4	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	2	1	0	0	9.00	2.45	0.91
current	MIL	5	DL Hall	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	2.20	1.29
simulation	SF	1	Adrian Houser	Starter	4.2	9	6	6	6	3	29	110	11.57	5.59	1.56
simulation	SF	2	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	0.00	3.71	1.20
simulation	SF	3	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	17	0.00	2.30	0.88
simulation	SF	4	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	3	17	0.00	4.08	1.47
simulation	SF	5	Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	1	17	0.00	2.25	1.75
simulation	MIL	1	Coleman Crow	Starter	4.2	3	1	1	1	8	18	81	1.93	3.14	0.98
simulation	MIL	2	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	2	1	6	24	9.00	2.45	0.91
simulation	MIL	3	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	4	16	0.00	4.03	1.25
simulation	MIL	4	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	24	0.00	2.17	1.31
simulation	MIL	5	DL Hall	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	24	0.00	2.20	1.29

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
SF	Adrian Houser	Starter	4.2	6	9	6	3	29	110
SF	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	17
SF	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	3
SF	Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	17
SF	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	2	3	17
MIL	Coleman Crow	Starter	4.2	1	3	1	8	18	81
MIL	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	24
MIL	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
MIL	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	2	1	6	24
MIL	DL Hall	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	24

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260604_TOR@ATL

20260604_TOR@ATL.json • 2026-06-04

TOR 1 - ATL 3

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=32; H: current=13, sim=8; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=12, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Mauricio Dubón: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Matt Olson: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Ozzie Albies: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Michael Harris II: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dominic Smith: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mike Yastrzemski: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=50, sim=30; H: current=13, sim=3; 2B: current=1, sim=3; RBI: current=5, sim=1; R: current=5, sim=1; BB: current=3, sim=1; SO: current=12, sim=3).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: George Springer: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1; Tyler Heineman: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Charles McAdoo: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Nathan Lukes: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Myles Straw: H current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match TOR pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match TOR pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match TOR pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=35 matches TOR BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match ATL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match ATL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=31 matches ATL BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.435.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.565.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.565.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.596/0.803.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TOR 3, ATL 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TOR 1 - ATL 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.56496, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.538739, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_TOR@ATL.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.565438, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_TOR@ATL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_TOR@ATL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TOR@ATL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 126.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 117.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 117.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 126.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TOR 1 - 3 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TOR 1 - 3 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.565.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/58 (0.241).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/54 (0.278).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 1-3 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 15/54 = 0.278.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 14/58 = 0.241.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match TOR pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match TOR pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match TOR pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=35 matches TOR BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match ATL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match ATL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=31 matches ATL BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.435.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.565.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.565.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.596/0.803.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TOR 3, ATL 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TOR 1 - ATL 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.56496, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-03', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.538739, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260603_TOR@ATL.json'}, {'date': '2026-06-02', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.565438, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260602_TOR@ATL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-04.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260604_TOR@ATL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TOR@ATL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 126.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 117.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 117.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 126.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TOR 1 - 3 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TOR 1 - 3 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.565.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/58 (0.241).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/54 (0.278).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 1-3 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 15/54 = 0.278.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 14/58 = 0.241.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=32; H: current=13, sim=8; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=12, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Mauricio Dubón: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Matt Olson: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Ozzie Albies: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Michael Harris II: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dominic Smith: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mike Yastrzemski: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=50, sim=30; H: current=13, sim=3; 2B: current=1, sim=3; RBI: current=5, sim=1; R: current=5, sim=1; BB: current=3, sim=1; SO: current=12, sim=3).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: George Springer: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1; Tyler Heineman: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Charles McAdoo: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Nathan Lukes: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Myles Straw: H current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.0179457664489746	4.456618785858154		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	3	0.565	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3
ATL	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	TOR	batting	50	13	1	0	0	5	5	3	12	0	0	0	0
current	TOR	pitching		8			0		3	3	5					8.0	3	0	0
current	ATL	batting	58	13	1	0	2	8	9	7	12	0	0	0	0
current	ATL	pitching		3			0		1	1	3					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	TOR	batting	30	3	3	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0
simulation	TOR	pitching		8			0		3	3	5					8.0	3	35	126
simulation	ATL	batting	32	8	2	0	0	3	3	3	5	0	0
simulation	ATL	pitching		3			0		1	1	3					9.0	1	31	117

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	TOR		DH	George Springer	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	TOR		3B	Kazuma Okamoto	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.286
current	TOR		SS	Ernie Clement	0	7	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.286
current	TOR		1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	TOR		C	Tyler Heineman	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	TOR		2B	Charles McAdoo	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	TOR		LF	Nathan Lukes	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.200
current	TOR		CF	Myles Straw	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TOR		RF	Yohendrick Pinango	0	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.200
current	ATL		SS	Mauricio Dubón	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	ATL		1B	Matt Olson	0	8	2	1	1	2	1	1	2	0.250
current	ATL		RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0	8	2	0	1	1	1	2	2	0.250
current	ATL		2B	Ozzie Albies	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	ATL		CF	Michael Harris II	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.286
current	ATL		DH	Dominic Smith	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.200
current	ATL		LF	Mike Yastrzemski	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.200
current	ATL		3B	Austin Riley	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.143
current	ATL		C	Sandy León	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	TOR	1	DH	George Springer	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	2	SS	Ernie Clement	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	3	1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	TOR	4	3B	Kazuma Okamoto	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	TOR	5	2B	Charles McAdoo	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	6	LF	Nathan Lukes	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	TOR	7	CF	Myles Straw	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	TOR	8	C	Tyler Heineman	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	9	RF	Yohendrick Pinango	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	ATL	1	RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	ATL	2	SS	Mauricio Dubón	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.500
simulation	ATL	3	1B	Matt Olson	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	ATL	4	2B	Ozzie Albies	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	5	CF	Michael Harris II	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	6	DH	Dominic Smith	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	ATL	7	3B	Austin Riley	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	8	LF	Mike Yastrzemski	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	9	C	Sandy León	3	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.667

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	TOR	1	Mason Fluharty	Starter	4.2	5	3	3	3	4	0	0	5.79	3.18	1.28
current	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.29	1.03
current	TOR	3	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	2.41	0.92
current	TOR	4	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.36	1.12
current	ATL	1	Chris Sale	Starter	6.2	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0.00	2.01	0.94
current	ATL	2	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.96	0.91
current	ATL	3	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.65	0.87
current	ATL	4	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	27.00	1.26	0.63
simulation	TOR	1	Mason Fluharty	Starter	4.2	5	3	3	3	4	22	86	5.79	3.18	1.28
simulation	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	5	0.00	0.29	1.03
simulation	TOR	3	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	5	19	0.00	2.36	1.12
simulation	TOR	4	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	4	16	0.00	2.41	0.92
simulation	ATL	1	Chris Sale	Starter	6.2	1	0	0	0	3	21	95	0.00	2.01	0.94
simulation	ATL	2	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	4	4	0.00	0.96	0.91
simulation	ATL	3	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	0.00	0.65	0.87
simulation	ATL	4	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	3	15	27.00	1.26	0.63

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
TOR	Mason Fluharty	Starter	4.2	3	5	3	4	22	86
TOR	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	5
TOR	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
TOR	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	0	0	5	19
ATL	Chris Sale	Starter	6.2	0	1	0	3	21	95
ATL	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	0	4	4
ATL	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	3
ATL	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	2	0	0	3	15

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.