20260602_BAL@BOS
20260602_BAL@BOS.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | BAL | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | BOS | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | BAL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=34; H: current=15, sim=7; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=9, sim=2; SO: current=17, sim=10). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | BAL | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Adley Rutschman: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Taylor Ward: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gunnar Henderson: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Samuel Basallo: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2; Tyler O'Neill: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | BOS | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=32; H: current=15, sim=8; 2B: current=3, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | BOS | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Wilyer Abreu: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Masataka Yoshida: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Isiah Kiner-Falefa: AB current=5 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mickey Gasper: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Marcelo Mayer: AB current=6 box=3, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | BAL | BATTING_REALISM | current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | BOS | BATTING_REALISM | current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | BAL | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | BOS | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | BAL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | BOS | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | BAL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | BOS | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:BAL batting walks match BOS pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:BAL batting home runs match BOS pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:BAL batting hits match BOS pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:BAL PA=36 matches BOS BF=36. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:BOS batting walks match BAL pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:BOS batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:BOS batting hits match BAL pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:BOS PA=34 matches BAL BF=34. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | BAL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | BOS | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BAL | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BAL | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BAL | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | BAL current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BAL | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BOS | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BOS | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BOS | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | BOS current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BOS | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.446. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.493/0.678. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: BAL 7, BOS 8. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: BAL 3 - BOS 4. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: BOS. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for BOS. | {'winner_confidence': 0.553789, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_BAL@BOS. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: BAL@BOS. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 149. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | BAL | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | BAL | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 149. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | BOS | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | BOS | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | BAL | PITCHING_REALISM | current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | BAL | STARTER_PRESENT | current:BAL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | BOS | PITCHING_REALISM | current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | BOS | STARTER_PRESENT | current:BOS includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | BAL | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | BAL | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | BOS | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | BOS | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | BAL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | BAL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | BOS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | BOS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | BAL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | BAL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | BOS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | BOS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BAL 3 - 4 BOS. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: BAL 3 - 4 BOS. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: BOS wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=BOS, final=BOS. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 11/57 (0.193). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 10/53 (0.189). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: BOS wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: BOS wins 3-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 3-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-4, final 3-4 (delta 0). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 7. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: BOS wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score. | ||||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | BAL | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | BAL | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | BAL wins and win_pct agree: 11/57 = 0.193. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | BOS | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | BOS | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | BOS wins and win_pct agree: 10/53 = 0.189. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | BAL | BATTING_REALISM | current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | BOS | BATTING_REALISM | current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | BAL | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | BOS | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | BAL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | BOS | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | BAL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | BOS | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:BAL batting walks match BOS pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:BAL batting home runs match BOS pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:BAL batting hits match BOS pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:BAL PA=36 matches BOS BF=36. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BAL | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:BOS batting walks match BAL pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:BOS batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:BOS batting hits match BAL pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:BOS PA=34 matches BAL BF=34. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | BOS | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | BAL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | BOS | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BAL | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BAL | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BAL | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | BAL current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BAL | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BOS | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BOS | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BOS | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | BOS current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | BOS | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.446. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.493/0.678. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: BAL 7, BOS 8. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: BAL 3 - BOS 4. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: BOS. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for BOS. | {'winner_confidence': 0.553789, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_BAL@BOS. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: BAL@BOS. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 149. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | BAL | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | BAL | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 149. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | BOS | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | BOS | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | BAL | PITCHING_REALISM | current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | BAL | STARTER_PRESENT | current:BAL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | BOS | PITCHING_REALISM | current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | BOS | STARTER_PRESENT | current:BOS includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | BAL | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | BAL | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | BOS | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | BOS | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | BAL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | BAL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | BOS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | BOS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | BAL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | BAL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | BOS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | BOS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BAL 3 - 4 BOS. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: BAL 3 - 4 BOS. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: BOS wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=BOS, final=BOS. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 11/57 (0.193). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 10/53 (0.189). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: BOS wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: BOS wins 3-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 3-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-4, final 3-4 (delta 0). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 7. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: BOS wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score. | ||||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | BAL | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | BAL | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | BAL wins and win_pct agree: 11/57 = 0.193. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | BOS | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | BOS | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | BOS wins and win_pct agree: 10/53 = 0.189. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | BAL | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | BOS | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | BAL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=34; H: current=15, sim=7; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=9, sim=2; SO: current=17, sim=10). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | BAL | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Adley Rutschman: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Taylor Ward: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gunnar Henderson: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Samuel Basallo: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2; Tyler O'Neill: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | BOS | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=32; H: current=15, sim=8; 2B: current=3, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | BOS | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Wilyer Abreu: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Masataka Yoshida: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Isiah Kiner-Falefa: AB current=5 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mickey Gasper: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Marcelo Mayer: AB current=6 box=3, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 3.996774673461914 | 5.157146453857422 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 4 | 5 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 2 | 3 | 0.554 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 3 | 3 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| target_tie_break | 3 | 4 | Resolved tied pre-simulation target using calibrated winner probability | |
| capped_target | 3 | 4 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 3 | 4 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | BAL | batting | 63 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | BAL | pitching | 8 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 8.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | BOS | batting | 62 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | BOS | pitching | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | BAL | batting | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | BAL | pitching | 8 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 8.0 | 4 | 34 | 149 | |||||||||
| simulation | BOS | batting | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | BOS | pitching | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9.0 | 3 | 36 | 160 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | BAL | C | Adley Rutschman | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | BAL | LF | Taylor Ward | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | BAL | SS | Gunnar Henderson | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | BAL | 1B | Pete Alonso | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | BAL | DH | Samuel Basallo | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | BAL | RF | Tyler O'Neill | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | BAL | 3B | Coby Mayo | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | BAL | CF | Leody Taveras | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | BAL | 2B | Blaze Alexander | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | BOS | RF | Wilyer Abreu | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | BOS | CF | Ceddanne Rafaela | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | BOS | LF | Jarren Duran | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | BOS | 1B | Willson Contreras | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | BOS | DH | Masataka Yoshida | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | BOS | 2B | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 | |
| current | BOS | C | Mickey Gasper | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | BOS | SS | Marcelo Mayer | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | BOS | 3B | Caleb Durbin | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| simulation | BAL | 1 | LF | Taylor Ward | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | BAL | 2 | SS | Gunnar Henderson | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | BAL | 3 | C | Adley Rutschman | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | BAL | 4 | 1B | Pete Alonso | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | BAL | 5 | DH | Samuel Basallo | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.750 |
| simulation | BAL | 6 | 3B | Coby Mayo | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | BAL | 7 | RF | Tyler O'Neill | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | BAL | 8 | CF | Leody Taveras | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | BAL | 9 | 2B | Blaze Alexander | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | BOS | 1 | LF | Jarren Duran | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | BOS | 2 | CF | Ceddanne Rafaela | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | BOS | 3 | RF | Wilyer Abreu | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | BOS | 4 | 1B | Willson Contreras | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | BOS | 5 | DH | Masataka Yoshida | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | BOS | 6 | C | Mickey Gasper | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | BOS | 7 | 2B | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | BOS | 8 | SS | Marcelo Mayer | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | BOS | 9 | 3B | Caleb Durbin | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | BAL | 1 | Shane Baz | Starter | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.60 | 4.48 | 1.43 |
| current | BAL | 2 | Rico Garcia | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| current | BAL | 5 | Anthony Nunez | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.50 | 4.67 | 1.19 |
| current | BOS | 1 | Connelly Early | Starter | 5.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.59 | 2.95 | 1.16 |
| current | BOS | 2 | Jovani Morán | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.90 | 0.97 |
| current | BOS | 3 | Aroldis Chapman | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18.00 | 0.48 | 0.86 |
| current | BOS | 4 | Justin Slaten | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.60 | 1.30 |
| simulation | BAL | 1 | Shane Baz | Starter | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 99 | 3.60 | 4.48 | 1.43 |
| simulation | BAL | 2 | Rico Garcia | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| simulation | BAL | 3 | Anthony Nunez | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 13.50 | 4.67 | 1.19 |
| simulation | BOS | 1 | Connelly Early | Starter | 5.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 21 | 96 | 1.59 | 2.95 | 1.16 |
| simulation | BOS | 2 | Aroldis Chapman | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 18.00 | 0.48 | 0.86 |
| simulation | BOS | 3 | Justin Slaten | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0.00 | 3.60 | 1.30 |
| simulation | BOS | 4 | Jovani Morán | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0.00 | 2.90 | 0.97 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | Shane Baz | Starter | 5.0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 99 |
| BAL | Rico Garcia | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 21 |
| BAL | Anthony Nunez | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 29 |
| BOS | Connelly Early | Starter | 5.2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 96 |
| BOS | Jovani Morán | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 |
| BOS | Aroldis Chapman | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 29 |
| BOS | Justin Slaten | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_CHW@MIN
20260602_CHW@MIN.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | CHW | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | MIN | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CHW | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=49, sim=35; H: current=13, sim=8; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=8, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=4; HBP: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CHW | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | CHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Miguel Vargas: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Edgar Quero: AB current=6 box=5, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Randal Grichuk: AB current=4 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Chase Meidroth: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Sam Antonacci: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luisangel Acuña: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Derek Hill: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Andrew Benintendi: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIN | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=60, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIN | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brooks Lee: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Byron Buxton: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Josh Bell: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Trevor Larnach: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Tristan Gray: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luke Keaschall: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Martin: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | CHW | BATTING_REALISM | current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | MIN | BATTING_REALISM | current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | CHW | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | MIN | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | CHW | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | MIN | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | CHW | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | MIN | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:CHW batting walks match MIN pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:CHW batting home runs match MIN pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:CHW batting hits match MIN pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 13. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:CHW PA=40 matches MIN BF=40. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:MIN batting walks match CHW pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:MIN batting home runs match CHW pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:MIN batting hits match CHW pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:MIN PA=34 matches CHW BF=34. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | CHW | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | MIN | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHW | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHW | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHW | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | CHW current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHW | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | CHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIN | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIN | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIN | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | MIN current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIN | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.446. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.469/0.649. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: CHW 8, MIN 6. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: CHW 4 - MIN 3. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHW. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHW. | {'winner_confidence': 0.553789, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'CHW', 'confidence': 0.539913, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_CHW@MIN.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-28', 'predicted_team': 'CHW', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260528_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.517085, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5263169999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5686709999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_MIN@CHW.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_CHW@MIN. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: CHW@MIN. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 179. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CHW | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | CHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CHW | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIN | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIN | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 179. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CHW | PITCHING_REALISM | current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CHW | STARTER_PRESENT | current:CHW includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIN | PITCHING_REALISM | current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIN | STARTER_PRESENT | current:MIN includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CHW | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CHW | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIN | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIN | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CHW | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CHW | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CHW | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CHW | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHW 4 - 2 MIN. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: CHW 4 - 3 MIN. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHW wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHW, final=CHW. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 16/57 (0.281). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 16/59 (0.271). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: CHW wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: CHW wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-2, final 4-3 (delta 1). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 7. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: CHW wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CHW | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CHW | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | CHW wins and win_pct agree: 16/57 = 0.281. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIN | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIN | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | MIN wins and win_pct agree: 16/59 = 0.271. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | CHW | BATTING_REALISM | current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | MIN | BATTING_REALISM | current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | CHW | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | MIN | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | CHW | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | MIN | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | CHW | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | MIN | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:CHW batting walks match MIN pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:CHW batting home runs match MIN pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:CHW batting hits match MIN pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 13. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:CHW PA=40 matches MIN BF=40. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHW | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:MIN batting walks match CHW pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:MIN batting home runs match CHW pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:MIN batting hits match CHW pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:MIN PA=34 matches CHW BF=34. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIN | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | CHW | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | MIN | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHW | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHW | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHW | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | CHW current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHW | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | CHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIN | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIN | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIN | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | MIN current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIN | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.446. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.469/0.649. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: CHW 8, MIN 6. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: CHW 4 - MIN 3. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHW. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHW. | {'winner_confidence': 0.553789, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'CHW', 'confidence': 0.539913, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_CHW@MIN.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-28', 'predicted_team': 'CHW', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260528_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.517085, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5263169999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5686709999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_MIN@CHW.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_CHW@MIN. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: CHW@MIN. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 179. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CHW | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | CHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CHW | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIN | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIN | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 179. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CHW | PITCHING_REALISM | current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CHW | STARTER_PRESENT | current:CHW includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIN | PITCHING_REALISM | current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIN | STARTER_PRESENT | current:MIN includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CHW | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CHW | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIN | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIN | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CHW | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CHW | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CHW | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CHW | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHW 4 - 2 MIN. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: CHW 4 - 3 MIN. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHW wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHW, final=CHW. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 16/57 (0.281). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 16/59 (0.271). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: CHW wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: CHW wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-2, final 4-3 (delta 1). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 7. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: CHW wins 4-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CHW | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CHW | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | CHW wins and win_pct agree: 16/57 = 0.281. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIN | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIN | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | MIN wins and win_pct agree: 16/59 = 0.271. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | CHW | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | MIN | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CHW | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=49, sim=35; H: current=13, sim=8; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=8, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=4; HBP: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CHW | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | CHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Miguel Vargas: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Edgar Quero: AB current=6 box=5, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Randal Grichuk: AB current=4 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Chase Meidroth: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Sam Antonacci: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luisangel Acuña: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Derek Hill: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Andrew Benintendi: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIN | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=60, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIN | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brooks Lee: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Byron Buxton: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Josh Bell: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Trevor Larnach: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Tristan Gray: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luke Keaschall: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Martin: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 6.809711933135986 | 4.889195442199707 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 7 | 5 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 4 | 2 | 0.554 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 4 | 2 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| capped_target | 4 | 2 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 4 | 3 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | CHW | batting | 49 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | CHW | pitching | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | MIN | batting | 60 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | MIN | pitching | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 9.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | CHW | batting | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | |||||||
| simulation | CHW | pitching | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9.0 | 3 | 34 | 139 | |||||||||
| simulation | MIN | batting | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | MIN | pitching | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 9.0 | 4 | 40 | 179 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | CHW | 3B | Miguel Vargas | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CHW | C | Edgar Quero | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | CHW | RF | Randal Grichuk | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CHW | 2B | Chase Meidroth | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CHW | LF | Sam Antonacci | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | CHW | SS | Luisangel Acuña | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | CHW | CF | Derek Hill | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | CHW | DH | Andrew Benintendi | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | CHW | 1B | Jacob Gonzalez | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | MIN | 3B | Brooks Lee | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | MIN | CF | Byron Buxton | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | MIN | 1B | Kody Clemens | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | MIN | DH | Josh Bell | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | MIN | LF | Trevor Larnach | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | MIN | SS | Tristan Gray | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | MIN | 2B | Luke Keaschall | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | MIN | RF | Austin Martin | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | MIN | C | Alex Jackson | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| simulation | CHW | 1 | 2B | Chase Meidroth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 |
| simulation | CHW | 2 | RF | Randal Grichuk | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | CHW | 3 | 3B | Miguel Vargas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CHW | 4 | C | Edgar Quero | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
| simulation | CHW | 5 | LF | Sam Antonacci | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CHW | 6 | CF | Derek Hill | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | CHW | 7 | DH | Andrew Benintendi | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CHW | 8 | SS | Luisangel Acuña | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | CHW | 9 | 1B | Jacob Gonzalez | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | MIN | 1 | CF | Byron Buxton | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIN | 2 | 3B | Brooks Lee | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | MIN | 3 | 1B | Kody Clemens | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIN | 4 | DH | Josh Bell | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIN | 5 | LF | Trevor Larnach | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 |
| simulation | MIN | 6 | RF | Austin Martin | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | MIN | 7 | 2B | Luke Keaschall | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIN | 8 | SS | Tristan Gray | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIN | 9 | C | Alex Jackson | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | CHW | 1 | Davis Martin | Starter | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.99 |
| current | CHW | 2 | Bryan Hudson | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18.00 | 1.57 | 1.35 |
| current | CHW | 3 | Grant Taylor | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.42 | 1.26 |
| current | CHW | 5 | Seranthony Domínguez | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.50 | 3.00 | |
| current | MIN | 1 | Connor Prielipp | Starter | 4.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.79 | 5.13 | 1.35 |
| current | MIN | 2 | Eric Orze | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.95 | 1.39 |
| current | MIN | 3 | Anthony Banda | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.75 | 5.40 | 1.24 |
| current | MIN | 4 | Yoendrys Gómez | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.08 | 1.36 |
| current | MIN | 5 | Taylor Rogers | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.91 | 1.43 |
| simulation | CHW | 1 | Davis Martin | Starter | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 24 | 97 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.99 |
| simulation | CHW | 2 | Seranthony Domínguez | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13.50 | 3.00 | |
| simulation | CHW | 3 | Grant Taylor | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 0.00 | 1.42 | 1.26 |
| simulation | CHW | 4 | Bryan Hudson | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18.00 | 1.57 | 1.35 |
| simulation | MIN | 1 | Connor Prielipp | Starter | 4.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 100 | 5.79 | 5.13 | 1.35 |
| simulation | MIN | 2 | Taylor Rogers | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0.00 | 2.91 | 1.43 |
| simulation | MIN | 3 | Yoendrys Gómez | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 0.00 | 4.08 | 1.36 |
| simulation | MIN | 4 | Eric Orze | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0.00 | 3.95 | 1.39 |
| simulation | MIN | 5 | Anthony Banda | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 6.75 | 5.40 | 1.24 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | Davis Martin | Starter | 7.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 97 |
| CHW | Bryan Hudson | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 |
| CHW | Grant Taylor | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
| CHW | Seranthony Domínguez | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 |
| MIN | Connor Prielipp | Starter | 4.2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 100 |
| MIN | Eric Orze | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 |
| MIN | Anthony Banda | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 24 |
| MIN | Yoendrys Gómez | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 |
| MIN | Taylor Rogers | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_CLE@NYY
20260602_CLE@NYY.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | CLE | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | NYY | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CLE | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=29; H: current=15, sim=3; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=13, sim=3). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CLE | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kyle Manzardo: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; José Ramírez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Travis Bazzana: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Angel Martínez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Steven Kwan: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Daniel Schneemann: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Patrick Bailey: AB current=5 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | NYY | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=34; H: current=18, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=10, sim=3; R: current=12, sim=3; BB: current=7, sim=5; SO: current=12, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | NYY | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Cody Bellinger: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ben Rice: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Amed Rosario: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Anthony Volpe: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Trent Grisham: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; José Caballero: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | CLE | BATTING_REALISM | current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | NYY | BATTING_REALISM | current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | CLE | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | NYY | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | CLE | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | NYY | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | CLE | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | NYY | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:CLE batting walks match NYY pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:CLE batting home runs match NYY pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:CLE batting hits match NYY pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:CLE PA=32 matches NYY BF=32. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:NYY batting walks match CLE pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:NYY batting home runs match CLE pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:NYY batting hits match CLE pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:NYY PA=39 matches CLE BF=39. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | CLE | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | NYY | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CLE | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CLE | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CLE | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | CLE current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CLE | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYY | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYY | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYY | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | NYY current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYY | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.392. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.608. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.608. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.619/0.825. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: CLE 3, NYY 8. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: CLE 2 - NYY 3. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY. | {'winner_confidence': 0.607618, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_CLE@NYY. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: CLE@NYY. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 177. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 129. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CLE | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CLE | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 177. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | NYY | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | NYY | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 129. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CLE | PITCHING_REALISM | current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CLE | STARTER_PRESENT | current:CLE includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | NYY | PITCHING_REALISM | current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | NYY | STARTER_PRESENT | current:NYY includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CLE | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CLE | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | NYY | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | NYY | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CLE | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CLE | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | NYY | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | NYY | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CLE | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CLE | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | NYY | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | NYY | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CLE 1 - 3 NYY. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: CLE 2 - 3 NYY. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.608. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 21/58 (0.362). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 16/54 (0.296). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 2-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 2-3 (delta 1). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 5. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: NYY wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CLE | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CLE | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | CLE wins and win_pct agree: 21/58 = 0.362. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | NYY | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | NYY | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | NYY wins and win_pct agree: 16/54 = 0.296. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | CLE | BATTING_REALISM | current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | NYY | BATTING_REALISM | current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | CLE | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | NYY | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | CLE | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | NYY | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | CLE | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | NYY | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:CLE batting walks match NYY pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:CLE batting home runs match NYY pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:CLE batting hits match NYY pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:CLE PA=32 matches NYY BF=32. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CLE | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:NYY batting walks match CLE pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:NYY batting home runs match CLE pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:NYY batting hits match CLE pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:NYY PA=39 matches CLE BF=39. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYY | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | CLE | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | NYY | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CLE | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CLE | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CLE | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | CLE current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CLE | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYY | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYY | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYY | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | NYY current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYY | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.392. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.608. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.608. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.619/0.825. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: CLE 3, NYY 8. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: CLE 2 - NYY 3. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY. | {'winner_confidence': 0.607618, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_CLE@NYY. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: CLE@NYY. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 177. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 129. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CLE | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CLE | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 177. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | NYY | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | NYY | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 129. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CLE | PITCHING_REALISM | current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CLE | STARTER_PRESENT | current:CLE includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | NYY | PITCHING_REALISM | current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | NYY | STARTER_PRESENT | current:NYY includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CLE | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CLE | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | NYY | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | NYY | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CLE | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CLE | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | NYY | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | NYY | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CLE | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CLE | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | NYY | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | NYY | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CLE 1 - 3 NYY. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: CLE 2 - 3 NYY. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.608. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 21/58 (0.362). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 16/54 (0.296). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 2-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 2-3 (delta 1). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 5. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: NYY wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CLE | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CLE | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | CLE wins and win_pct agree: 21/58 = 0.362. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | NYY | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | NYY | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | NYY wins and win_pct agree: 16/54 = 0.296. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | CLE | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | NYY | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CLE | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=29; H: current=15, sim=3; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=13, sim=3). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CLE | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kyle Manzardo: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; José Ramírez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Travis Bazzana: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Angel Martínez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Steven Kwan: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Daniel Schneemann: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Patrick Bailey: AB current=5 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | NYY | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=34; H: current=18, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=10, sim=3; R: current=12, sim=3; BB: current=7, sim=5; SO: current=12, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | NYY | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Cody Bellinger: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ben Rice: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Amed Rosario: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Anthony Volpe: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Trent Grisham: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; José Caballero: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 2.8226869106292725 | 5.7564311027526855 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 3 | 6 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 1 | 3 | 0.608 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 1 | 3 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| capped_target | 1 | 3 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 2 | 3 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | CLE | batting | 63 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | CLE | pitching | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 8.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | NYY | batting | 63 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | NYY | pitching | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | CLE | batting | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | CLE | pitching | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 8.0 | 3 | 39 | 177 | |||||||||
| simulation | NYY | batting | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | NYY | pitching | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9.0 | 2 | 32 | 129 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | CLE | 1B | Kyle Manzardo | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | CLE | DH | Chase DeLauter | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CLE | 3B | José Ramírez | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CLE | 2B | Travis Bazzana | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | CLE | RF | Angel Martínez | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CLE | LF | Steven Kwan | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | CLE | CF | Daniel Schneemann | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | CLE | C | Patrick Bailey | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | CLE | SS | Brayan Rocchio | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | NYY | LF | Cody Bellinger | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | NYY | 1B | Paul Goldschmidt | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | NYY | DH | Ben Rice | 0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.375 | |
| current | NYY | 3B | Amed Rosario | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | NYY | SS | Anthony Volpe | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | NYY | CF | Trent Grisham | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | NYY | RF | José Caballero | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | NYY | 2B | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | NYY | C | Austin Wells | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| simulation | CLE | 1 | 2B | Travis Bazzana | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | CLE | 2 | 3B | José Ramírez | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | CLE | 3 | DH | Chase DeLauter | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CLE | 4 | 1B | Kyle Manzardo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | CLE | 5 | RF | Angel Martínez | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CLE | 6 | CF | Daniel Schneemann | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | CLE | 7 | LF | Steven Kwan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | CLE | 8 | C | Patrick Bailey | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | CLE | 9 | SS | Brayan Rocchio | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | NYY | 1 | DH | Ben Rice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | NYY | 2 | 1B | Paul Goldschmidt | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | NYY | 3 | LF | Cody Bellinger | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | NYY | 4 | 3B | Amed Rosario | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | NYY | 5 | CF | Trent Grisham | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | NYY | 6 | SS | Anthony Volpe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | NYY | 7 | 2B | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | NYY | 8 | RF | José Caballero | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | NYY | 9 | C | Austin Wells | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | CLE | 1 | Joey Cantillo | Starter | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.60 | 3.57 | 1.40 |
| current | CLE | 2 | Cade Smith | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.60 | 1.08 |
| current | CLE | 3 | Colin Holderman | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.14 | 0.81 |
| current | CLE | 4 | Shawn Armstrong | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.00 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| current | CLE | 5 | Hunter Gaddis | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.77 | 1.33 | |
| current | NYY | 1 | Cam Schlittler | Starter | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.85 |
| current | NYY | 2 | David Bednar | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 1.58 |
| current | NYY | 3 | Fernando Cruz | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.19 | 1.30 |
| current | NYY | 4 | Tim Hill | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.82 | 1.03 |
| simulation | CLE | 1 | Joey Cantillo | Starter | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 95 | 3.60 | 3.57 | 1.40 |
| simulation | CLE | 2 | Cade Smith | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 0.00 | 2.60 | 1.08 |
| simulation | CLE | 3 | Hunter Gaddis | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3.77 | 1.33 | |
| simulation | CLE | 4 | Shawn Armstrong | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 9.00 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| simulation | CLE | 5 | Colin Holderman | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0.00 | 2.14 | 0.81 |
| simulation | NYY | 1 | Cam Schlittler | Starter | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 93 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.85 |
| simulation | NYY | 2 | David Bednar | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 1.58 |
| simulation | NYY | 3 | Fernando Cruz | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0.00 | 2.19 | 1.30 |
| simulation | NYY | 4 | Tim Hill | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0.00 | 2.82 | 1.03 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | Joey Cantillo | Starter | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 95 |
| CLE | Cade Smith | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 |
| CLE | Colin Holderman | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 |
| CLE | Shawn Armstrong | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 |
| CLE | Hunter Gaddis | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 |
| NYY | Cam Schlittler | Starter | 6.0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 93 |
| NYY | David Bednar | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| NYY | Fernando Cruz | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 |
| NYY | Tim Hill | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_COL@LAA
20260602_COL@LAA.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | COL | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | LAA | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | COL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | COL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=37; H: current=15, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=6; R: current=8, sim=6; BB: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | COL | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | COL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Hunter Goodman: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=3, HR current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=5; TJ Rumfield: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jake McCarthy: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Willi Castro: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Karros: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Troy Johnston: AB current=6 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Sterlin Thompson: AB current=4 box=3, R current=0 box=1, HBP current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | LAA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=53, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=10; HBP: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | LAA | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vaughn Grissom: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wade Meckler: AB current=4 box=5, R current=0 box=1; Mike Trout: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Jorge Soler: AB current=8 box=4, SO current=3 box=1; Donovan Walton: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Jo Adell: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Oswald Peraza: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sebastián Rivero: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 5-4, final 6-2 (delta 3). | No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction. | ||||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | COL | BATTING_REALISM | current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | LAA | BATTING_REALISM | current:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | COL | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | LAA | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | COL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | LAA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | COL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | LAA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:COL batting walks match LAA pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:COL batting home runs match LAA pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:COL batting hits match LAA pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:COL batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:COL PA=40 matches LAA BF=40. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:LAA batting walks match COL pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:LAA batting home runs match COL pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:LAA batting hits match COL pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:LAA PA=39 matches COL BF=39. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | COL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | COL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | LAA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | COL | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | COL current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | COL | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | COL | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | COL current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | COL | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | COL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAA | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAA | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAA | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | LAA current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAA | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.446. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.449/0.625. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: COL 10, LAA 7. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: COL 6 - LAA 2. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: COL. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for COL. | {'winner_confidence': 0.553789, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'LAA', 'confidence': 0.575248, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_COL@LAA.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_COL@LAA. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: COL@LAA. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 166. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | COL | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | COL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | COL | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 166. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | LAA | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | LAA | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | COL | PITCHING_REALISM | current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | COL | STARTER_PRESENT | current:COL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | LAA | PITCHING_REALISM | current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | LAA | STARTER_PRESENT | current:LAA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | COL | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | COL | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | LAA | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | LAA | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | COL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | COL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | LAA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | LAA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | COL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | COL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | LAA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | LAA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: COL 5 - 4 LAA. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: COL 6 - 2 LAA. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: COL wins 6-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=COL, final=COL. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 10/57 (0.175). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 10/56 (0.179). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: COL wins 6-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: COL wins 6-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 6-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 8. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: COL wins 6-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | COL | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | COL | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | COL wins and win_pct agree: 10/57 = 0.175. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | LAA | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | LAA | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | LAA wins and win_pct agree: 10/56 = 0.179. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | COL | BATTING_REALISM | current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | LAA | BATTING_REALISM | current:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | COL | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | LAA | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | COL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | LAA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | COL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | LAA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:COL batting walks match LAA pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:COL batting home runs match LAA pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:COL batting hits match LAA pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:COL batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:COL PA=40 matches LAA BF=40. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | COL | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:LAA batting walks match COL pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:LAA batting home runs match COL pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:LAA batting hits match COL pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:LAA PA=39 matches COL BF=39. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAA | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | COL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | COL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | LAA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | COL | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | COL current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | COL | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | COL | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | COL current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | COL | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | COL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAA | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAA | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAA | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | LAA current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAA | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.446. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.449/0.625. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: COL 10, LAA 7. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: COL 6 - LAA 2. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: COL. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for COL. | {'winner_confidence': 0.553789, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'LAA', 'confidence': 0.575248, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_COL@LAA.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_COL@LAA. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: COL@LAA. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 166. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | COL | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | COL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | COL | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 166. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | LAA | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | LAA | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | COL | PITCHING_REALISM | current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | COL | STARTER_PRESENT | current:COL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | LAA | PITCHING_REALISM | current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | LAA | STARTER_PRESENT | current:LAA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | COL | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | COL | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | LAA | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | LAA | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | COL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | COL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | LAA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | LAA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | COL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | COL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | LAA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | LAA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: COL 5 - 4 LAA. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: COL 6 - 2 LAA. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: COL wins 6-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=COL, final=COL. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.554. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 10/57 (0.175). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 10/56 (0.179). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: COL wins 6-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: COL wins 6-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 6-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 8. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: COL wins 6-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | COL | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | COL | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | COL wins and win_pct agree: 10/57 = 0.175. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | LAA | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | LAA | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | LAA wins and win_pct agree: 10/56 = 0.179. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | COL | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | LAA | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | COL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | COL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=37; H: current=15, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=6; R: current=8, sim=6; BB: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | COL | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | COL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Hunter Goodman: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=3, HR current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=5; TJ Rumfield: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jake McCarthy: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Willi Castro: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Karros: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Troy Johnston: AB current=6 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Sterlin Thompson: AB current=4 box=3, R current=0 box=1, HBP current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | LAA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=53, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=10; HBP: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | LAA | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vaughn Grissom: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wade Meckler: AB current=4 box=5, R current=0 box=1; Mike Trout: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Jorge Soler: AB current=8 box=4, SO current=3 box=1; Donovan Walton: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Jo Adell: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Oswald Peraza: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sebastián Rivero: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 5-4, final 6-2 (delta 3). | No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction. | ||||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 7.119852542877197 | 3.460509777069092 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 7 | 4 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 4 | 3 | 0.554 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 4 | 4 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| target_tie_break | 5 | 4 | Resolved tied pre-simulation target using calibrated winner probability | |
| capped_target | 5 | 4 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 6 | 2 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | COL | batting | 57 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | COL | pitching | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | LAA | batting | 53 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | LAA | pitching | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 9.0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | COL | batting | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | |||||||
| simulation | COL | pitching | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9.0 | 2 | 39 | 166 | |||||||||
| simulation | LAA | batting | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | |||||||
| simulation | LAA | pitching | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 9.0 | 6 | 40 | 160 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | COL | C | Hunter Goodman | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | COL | DH | TJ Rumfield | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | COL | CF | Jake McCarthy | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | COL | 2B | Willi Castro | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | COL | SS | Ezequiel Tovar | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | COL | 3B | Kyle Karros | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | COL | RF | Troy Johnston | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | COL | LF | Sterlin Thompson | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | COL | 1B | Edouard Julien | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | LAA | 1B | Vaughn Grissom | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | LAA | LF | Wade Meckler | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | LAA | CF | Mike Trout | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | LAA | DH | Jorge Soler | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | LAA | 3B | Donovan Walton | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | LAA | RF | Jo Adell | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | LAA | SS | Oswald Peraza | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | LAA | C | Sebastián Rivero | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | LAA | 2B | Adam Frazier | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| simulation | COL | 1 | CF | Jake McCarthy | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | COL | 2 | 2B | Willi Castro | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | COL | 3 | DH | TJ Rumfield | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | COL | 4 | C | Hunter Goodman | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.600 |
| simulation | COL | 5 | RF | Troy Johnston | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | COL | 6 | SS | Ezequiel Tovar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | COL | 7 | LF | Sterlin Thompson | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 |
| simulation | COL | 8 | 3B | Kyle Karros | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | COL | 9 | 1B | Edouard Julien | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | LAA | 1 | DH | Jorge Soler | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | LAA | 2 | CF | Mike Trout | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | LAA | 3 | LF | Wade Meckler | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | LAA | 4 | 1B | Vaughn Grissom | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | LAA | 5 | RF | Jo Adell | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | LAA | 6 | 3B | Donovan Walton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 |
| simulation | LAA | 7 | SS | Oswald Peraza | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | LAA | 8 | C | Sebastián Rivero | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | LAA | 9 | 2B | Adam Frazier | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | COL | 1 | Tomoyuki Sugano | Starter | 5.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.38 | 4.01 | 1.25 |
| current | COL | 2 | Antonio Senzatela | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.30 | 0.89 |
| current | COL | 3 | Jaden Hill | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.43 | 1.43 |
| current | COL | 4 | Juan Mejia | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6.00 | 1.70 |
| current | COL | 5 | Brennan Bernardino | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.70 | 1.23 |
| current | LAA | 1 | Grayson Rodriguez | Starter | 4.1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.31 | 7.53 | 1.67 |
| current | LAA | 2 | Sam Bachman | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10.80 | 2.22 | 1.09 |
| current | LAA | 3 | Kirby Yates | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.32 | 1.20 |
| current | LAA | 4 | Ryan Zeferjahn | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5.74 | 1.39 |
| current | LAA | 5 | José Fermin | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5.40 | 1.67 |
| simulation | COL | 1 | Tomoyuki Sugano | Starter | 5.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 94 | 3.38 | 4.01 | 1.25 |
| simulation | COL | 2 | Antonio Senzatela | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0.00 | 1.30 | 0.89 |
| simulation | COL | 3 | Juan Mejia | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 0.00 | 6.00 | 1.70 |
| simulation | COL | 4 | Jaden Hill | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0.00 | 3.43 | 1.43 |
| simulation | COL | 5 | Brennan Bernardino | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0.00 | 3.70 | 1.23 |
| simulation | LAA | 1 | Grayson Rodriguez | Starter | 4.1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 88 | 8.31 | 7.53 | 1.67 |
| simulation | LAA | 2 | Kirby Yates | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0.00 | 4.32 | 1.20 |
| simulation | LAA | 3 | Sam Bachman | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 10.80 | 2.22 | 1.09 |
| simulation | LAA | 4 | Ryan Zeferjahn | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0.00 | 5.74 | 1.39 |
| simulation | LAA | 5 | José Fermin | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0.00 | 5.40 | 1.67 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Starter | 5.1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 94 |
| COL | Antonio Senzatela | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
| COL | Jaden Hill | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 |
| COL | Juan Mejia | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 |
| COL | Brennan Bernardino | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| LAA | Grayson Rodriguez | Starter | 4.1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 88 |
| LAA | Sam Bachman | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| LAA | Kirby Yates | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| LAA | Ryan Zeferjahn | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| LAA | José Fermin | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_DET@TB
20260602_DET@TB.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | DET | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | TB | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | TB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | DET | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=32; H: current=11, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=6, sim=2; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | DET | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Dillon Dingler: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Gleyber Torres: AB current=9 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=2 box=1; Riley Greene: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Matt Vierling: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jahmai Jones: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=6 box=4; Zach McKinstry: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TB | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TB model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=53, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=7, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=10, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TB | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | TB current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Chandler Simpson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Yandy Díaz: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Junior Caminero: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Jonathan Aranda: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Richie Palacios: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Ryan Vilade: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Victor Mesa Jr.: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=3; Hunter Feduccia: H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | DET | BATTING_REALISM | current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | TB | BATTING_REALISM | current:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | DET | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | TB | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | DET | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | TB | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TB batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | DET | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | TB | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:DET batting walks match TB pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:DET batting home runs match TB pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:DET batting hits match TB pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:DET batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:DET PA=35 matches TB BF=35. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:TB batting walks match DET pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:TB batting home runs match DET pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:TB batting hits match DET pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:TB batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:TB PA=36 matches DET BF=36. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | DET | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | TB | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TB current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | DET | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | DET current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | DET | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | DET | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | DET current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | DET | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TB | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | TB current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TB | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | TB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TB | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | TB current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TB | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | TB hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.424. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.576. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.576. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.449/0.625. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: DET 5, TB 10. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: DET 2 - TB 5. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TB. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TB. | {'winner_confidence': 0.575873, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.535975, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_DET@TB.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_DET@TB. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: DET@TB. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 146. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | DET | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | DET | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 146. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TB | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | TB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TB | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | TB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | DET | PITCHING_REALISM | current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | DET | STARTER_PRESENT | current:DET includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TB | PITCHING_REALISM | current:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TB | STARTER_PRESENT | current:TB includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | DET | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | DET | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TB | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TB | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:TB includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | DET | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | DET | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TB | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TB | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | DET | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | DET | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TB | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TB | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: DET 2 - 5 TB. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: DET 2 - 5 TB. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: TB wins 5-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=TB, final=TB. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.576. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 15/60 (0.250). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 17/55 (0.309). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: TB wins 5-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: TB wins 2-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 2-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-5, final 2-5 (delta 0). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 7. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: TB wins 5-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score. | ||||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | DET | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | DET | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | DET wins and win_pct agree: 15/60 = 0.250. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TB | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | TB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TB | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | TB wins and win_pct agree: 17/55 = 0.309. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | DET | BATTING_REALISM | current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | TB | BATTING_REALISM | current:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | DET | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | TB | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | DET | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | TB | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TB batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | DET | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | TB | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:DET batting walks match TB pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:DET batting home runs match TB pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:DET batting hits match TB pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:DET batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:DET PA=35 matches TB BF=35. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | DET | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:TB batting walks match DET pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:TB batting home runs match DET pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:TB batting hits match DET pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:TB batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:TB PA=36 matches DET BF=36. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TB | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | DET | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | TB | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TB current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | DET | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | DET current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | DET | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | DET | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | DET current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | DET | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TB | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | TB current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TB | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | TB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TB | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | TB current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TB | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | TB hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.424. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.576. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.576. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.449/0.625. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: DET 5, TB 10. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: DET 2 - TB 5. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TB. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TB. | {'winner_confidence': 0.575873, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.535975, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_DET@TB.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_DET@TB. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: DET@TB. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 146. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | DET | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | DET | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 146. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TB | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | TB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TB | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | TB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | DET | PITCHING_REALISM | current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | DET | STARTER_PRESENT | current:DET includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TB | PITCHING_REALISM | current:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TB | STARTER_PRESENT | current:TB includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | DET | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | DET | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TB | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TB | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:TB includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | DET | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | DET | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TB | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TB | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | DET | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | DET | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TB | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TB | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: DET 2 - 5 TB. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: DET 2 - 5 TB. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: TB wins 5-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=TB, final=TB. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.576. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 15/60 (0.250). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 17/55 (0.309). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: TB wins 5-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: TB wins 2-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 2-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-5, final 2-5 (delta 0). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 7. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: TB wins 5-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score. | ||||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | DET | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | DET | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | DET wins and win_pct agree: 15/60 = 0.250. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TB | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | TB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TB | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | TB wins and win_pct agree: 17/55 = 0.309. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | DET | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | TB | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | TB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | DET | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=32; H: current=11, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=6, sim=2; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | DET | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Dillon Dingler: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Gleyber Torres: AB current=9 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=2 box=1; Riley Greene: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Matt Vierling: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jahmai Jones: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=6 box=4; Zach McKinstry: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TB | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TB model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=53, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=7, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=10, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TB | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | TB current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Chandler Simpson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Yandy Díaz: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Junior Caminero: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Jonathan Aranda: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Richie Palacios: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Ryan Vilade: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Victor Mesa Jr.: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=3; Hunter Feduccia: H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 5.006107807159424 | 5.283523082733154 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 5 | 5 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 2 | 4 | 0.576 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 2 | 5 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| capped_target | 2 | 5 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 2 | 5 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| TB | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | DET | batting | 55 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | DET | pitching | 10 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | TB | batting | 53 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | TB | pitching | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | DET | batting | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | DET | pitching | 10 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8.0 | 5 | 36 | 146 | |||||||||
| simulation | TB | batting | 34 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | TB | pitching | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9.0 | 2 | 35 | 143 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | DET | C | Dillon Dingler | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | DET | 2B | Gleyber Torres | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | DET | LF | Riley Greene | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | DET | CF | Matt Vierling | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | DET | DH | Jahmai Jones | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | |
| current | DET | 1B | Spencer Torkelson | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | DET | RF | Wenceel Pérez | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | DET | 3B | Zach McKinstry | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | DET | SS | Zack Short | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | TB | LF | Chandler Simpson | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | TB | DH | Yandy Díaz | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.375 | |
| current | TB | 3B | Junior Caminero | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | TB | 1B | Jonathan Aranda | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | TB | 2B | Richie Palacios | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | TB | RF | Ryan Vilade | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | TB | CF | Victor Mesa Jr. | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | TB | C | Hunter Feduccia | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | TB | SS | Ben Williamson | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| simulation | DET | 1 | 2B | Gleyber Torres | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
| simulation | DET | 2 | CF | Matt Vierling | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | DET | 3 | C | Dillon Dingler | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | DET | 4 | LF | Riley Greene | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | DET | 5 | DH | Jahmai Jones | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | DET | 6 | 1B | Spencer Torkelson | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | DET | 7 | RF | Wenceel Pérez | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | DET | 8 | 3B | Zach McKinstry | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | DET | 9 | SS | Zack Short | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | TB | 1 | LF | Chandler Simpson | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | TB | 2 | 3B | Junior Caminero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | TB | 3 | 1B | Jonathan Aranda | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | TB | 4 | DH | Yandy Díaz | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | TB | 5 | 2B | Richie Palacios | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | TB | 6 | RF | Ryan Vilade | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | TB | 7 | CF | Victor Mesa Jr. | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | TB | 8 | C | Hunter Feduccia | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.750 |
| simulation | TB | 9 | SS | Ben Williamson | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | DET | 1 | Jack Flaherty | Starter | 4.2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.71 | 5.81 | 1.61 |
| current | DET | 2 | Drew Anderson | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.03 | 1.26 |
| current | DET | 3 | Kyle Finnegan | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.29 | 1.39 |
| current | DET | 4 | Tyler Holton | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.23 | 1.37 |
| current | DET | 6 | Will Vest | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.23 | 1.45 | |
| current | TB | 1 | Steven Matz | Starter | 4.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.93 | 4.67 | 1.24 |
| current | TB | 2 | Ian Seymour | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.10 | 1.10 |
| current | TB | 3 | Bryan Baker | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.00 | 2.22 | 1.07 |
| current | TB | 4 | Garrett Cleavinger | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.65 | 1.46 |
| current | TB | 5 | Kevin Kelly | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.67 | 0.81 |
| simulation | DET | 1 | Jack Flaherty | Starter | 4.2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 91 | 7.71 | 5.81 | 1.61 |
| simulation | DET | 2 | Kyle Finnegan | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0.00 | 1.29 | 1.39 |
| simulation | DET | 3 | Will Vest | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7.23 | 1.45 | |
| simulation | DET | 4 | Drew Anderson | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.00 | 4.03 | 1.26 |
| simulation | DET | 5 | Tyler Holton | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0.00 | 4.23 | 1.37 |
| simulation | TB | 1 | Steven Matz | Starter | 4.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 1.93 | 4.67 | 1.24 |
| simulation | TB | 2 | Bryan Baker | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9.00 | 2.22 | 1.07 |
| simulation | TB | 3 | Ian Seymour | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 0.00 | 3.10 | 1.10 |
| simulation | TB | 4 | Kevin Kelly | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0.00 | 2.67 | 0.81 |
| simulation | TB | 5 | Garrett Cleavinger | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0.00 | 3.65 | 1.46 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | Jack Flaherty | Starter | 4.2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 91 |
| DET | Drew Anderson | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| DET | Kyle Finnegan | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| DET | Tyler Holton | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| DET | Will Vest | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| TB | Steven Matz | Starter | 4.2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 81 |
| TB | Ian Seymour | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 |
| TB | Bryan Baker | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| TB | Garrett Cleavinger | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 |
| TB | Kevin Kelly | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_KC@CIN
20260602_KC@CIN.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | CIN | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | CIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | KC | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CIN | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=33; H: current=13, sim=9; 2B: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=18, sim=7). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CIN | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | CIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Eugenio Suárez: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Dane Myers: R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; JJ Bleday: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Sal Stewart: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Blake Dunn: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Tyler Stephenson: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Spencer Steer: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Edwin Arroyo: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2, SO current=3 box=2 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | KC | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | KC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=51, sim=37; H: current=12, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=4; R: current=6, sim=4; BB: current=5, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | KC | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | KC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Salvador Perez: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bobby Witt Jr.: AB current=8 box=5, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Lane Thomas: H current=1 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Starling Marte: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1; Vinnie Pasquantino: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Loftin: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jac Caglianone: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Tyler Tolbert: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | CIN | BATTING_REALISM | current:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | KC | BATTING_REALISM | current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | CIN | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | KC | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | CIN | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | KC | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | CIN | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | KC | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:CIN batting walks match KC pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:CIN batting home runs match KC pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:CIN batting hits match KC pitching: 9. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:CIN batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:CIN PA=35 matches KC BF=35. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:KC batting walks match CIN pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:KC batting home runs match CIN pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:KC batting hits match CIN pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:KC batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:KC PA=40 matches CIN BF=40. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | CIN | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | KC | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | KC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CIN | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | CIN current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CIN | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | CIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CIN | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | CIN current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CIN | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | CIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | KC | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | KC current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | KC | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | KC | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | KC current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | KC | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | KC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.472. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.528. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.528. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 11.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.426/0.601. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: KC 10, CIN 9. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: KC 4 - CIN 5. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CIN. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CIN. | {'winner_confidence': 0.527597, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'CIN', 'confidence': 0.540044, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_KC@CIN.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_KC@CIN. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: KC@CIN. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 140. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CIN | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | CIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CIN | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | CIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | KC | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | KC | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 140. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CIN | PITCHING_REALISM | current:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CIN | STARTER_PRESENT | current:CIN includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | KC | PITCHING_REALISM | current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | KC | STARTER_PRESENT | current:KC includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CIN | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CIN | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | KC | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | KC | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | KC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | KC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | KC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | KC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: KC 5 - 6 CIN. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: KC 4 - 5 CIN. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: CIN wins 5-4. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=CIN, final=CIN. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.528. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 7/56 (0.125). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 15/55 (0.273). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: CIN wins 5-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: CIN wins 4-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 4-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 5-6, final 4-5 (delta 2). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 9. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: CIN wins 5-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CIN | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | CIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CIN | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | CIN wins and win_pct agree: 15/55 = 0.273. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | KC | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | KC | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | KC wins and win_pct agree: 7/56 = 0.125. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | CIN | BATTING_REALISM | current:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | KC | BATTING_REALISM | current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | CIN | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | KC | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | CIN | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | KC | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | CIN | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | KC | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:CIN batting walks match KC pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:CIN batting home runs match KC pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:CIN batting hits match KC pitching: 9. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:CIN batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:CIN PA=35 matches KC BF=35. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CIN | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:KC batting walks match CIN pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:KC batting home runs match CIN pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:KC batting hits match CIN pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:KC batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:KC PA=40 matches CIN BF=40. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | KC | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | CIN | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | KC | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | KC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CIN | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | CIN current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CIN | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | CIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CIN | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | CIN current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CIN | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | CIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | KC | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | KC current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | KC | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | KC | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | KC current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | KC | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | KC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.472. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.528. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.528. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 11.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.426/0.601. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: KC 10, CIN 9. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: KC 4 - CIN 5. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CIN. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CIN. | {'winner_confidence': 0.527597, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'CIN', 'confidence': 0.540044, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_KC@CIN.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_KC@CIN. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: KC@CIN. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 140. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CIN | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | CIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CIN | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | CIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | KC | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | KC | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 140. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CIN | PITCHING_REALISM | current:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CIN | STARTER_PRESENT | current:CIN includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | KC | PITCHING_REALISM | current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | KC | STARTER_PRESENT | current:KC includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CIN | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CIN | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | KC | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | KC | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | KC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | KC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CIN | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | KC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | KC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: KC 5 - 6 CIN. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: KC 4 - 5 CIN. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: CIN wins 5-4. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=CIN, final=CIN. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.528. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 7/56 (0.125). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 15/55 (0.273). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: CIN wins 5-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: CIN wins 4-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 4-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 5-6, final 4-5 (delta 2). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 9. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: CIN wins 5-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CIN | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | CIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CIN | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | CIN wins and win_pct agree: 15/55 = 0.273. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | KC | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | KC | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | KC wins and win_pct agree: 7/56 = 0.125. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | CIN | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | CIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | KC | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CIN | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=33; H: current=13, sim=9; 2B: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=18, sim=7). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CIN | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | CIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Eugenio Suárez: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Dane Myers: R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; JJ Bleday: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Sal Stewart: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Blake Dunn: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Tyler Stephenson: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Spencer Steer: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Edwin Arroyo: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2, SO current=3 box=2 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | KC | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | KC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=51, sim=37; H: current=12, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=4; R: current=6, sim=4; BB: current=5, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | KC | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | KC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Salvador Perez: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bobby Witt Jr.: AB current=8 box=5, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Lane Thomas: H current=1 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Starling Marte: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1; Vinnie Pasquantino: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Loftin: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jac Caglianone: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Tyler Tolbert: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 5.329440116882324 | 4.653923034667969 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 6 | 4 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 4 | 5 | 0.528 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 5 | 5 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| target_tie_break | 5 | 6 | Resolved tied pre-simulation target using calibrated winner probability | |
| capped_target | 5 | 6 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 4 | 5 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| CIN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | KC | batting | 51 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | KC | pitching | 9 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | CIN | batting | 58 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | CIN | pitching | 10 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 9.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | KC | batting | 37 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | KC | pitching | 9 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8.0 | 5 | 35 | 140 | |||||||||
| simulation | CIN | batting | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | CIN | pitching | 10 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 9.0 | 4 | 40 | 157 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | KC | C | Salvador Perez | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | KC | SS | Bobby Witt Jr. | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | KC | CF | Lane Thomas | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | KC | DH | Starling Marte | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | KC | 1B | Vinnie Pasquantino | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | KC | 3B | Nick Loftin | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | KC | RF | Jac Caglianone | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | KC | LF | Tyler Tolbert | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | KC | 2B | Michael Massey | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | CIN | 3B | Eugenio Suárez | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | CIN | CF | Dane Myers | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CIN | DH | JJ Bleday | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | CIN | 1B | Sal Stewart | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CIN | RF | Blake Dunn | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | CIN | C | Tyler Stephenson | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | CIN | LF | Spencer Steer | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | CIN | 2B | Edwin Arroyo | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CIN | SS | Matt McLain | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| simulation | KC | 1 | CF | Lane Thomas | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.600 |
| simulation | KC | 2 | SS | Bobby Witt Jr. | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
| simulation | KC | 3 | C | Salvador Perez | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | KC | 4 | DH | Starling Marte | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
| simulation | KC | 5 | 1B | Vinnie Pasquantino | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | KC | 6 | 3B | Nick Loftin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | KC | 7 | RF | Jac Caglianone | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | KC | 8 | LF | Tyler Tolbert | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | KC | 9 | 2B | Michael Massey | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CIN | 1 | CF | Dane Myers | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CIN | 2 | DH | JJ Bleday | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CIN | 3 | 1B | Sal Stewart | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CIN | 4 | 3B | Eugenio Suárez | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CIN | 5 | LF | Spencer Steer | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | CIN | 6 | C | Tyler Stephenson | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | CIN | 7 | RF | Blake Dunn | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | CIN | 8 | 2B | Edwin Arroyo | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CIN | 9 | SS | Matt McLain | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | KC | 1 | Noah Cameron | Starter | 5.0 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.00 | 4.61 | 1.41 |
| current | KC | 2 | Daniel Lynch IV | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.93 | 0.99 |
| current | KC | 3 | John Schreiber | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.74 | 1.30 |
| current | KC | 4 | Alex Lange | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 1.35 |
| current | KC | 5 | Lucas Erceg | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5.06 | 1.69 |
| current | CIN | 1 | Andrew Abbott | Starter | 5.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.80 | 3.88 | 1.42 |
| current | CIN | 2 | Brock Burke | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.62 | 1.39 |
| current | CIN | 3 | Tejay Antone | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18.00 | 5.19 | 1.15 |
| current | CIN | 4 | Tony Santillan | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.40 | 3.97 | 1.32 |
| simulation | KC | 1 | Noah Cameron | Starter | 5.0 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 91 | 9.00 | 4.61 | 1.41 |
| simulation | KC | 2 | Lucas Erceg | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0.00 | 5.06 | 1.69 |
| simulation | KC | 3 | Daniel Lynch IV | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0.00 | 1.93 | 0.99 |
| simulation | KC | 4 | John Schreiber | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0.00 | 2.74 | 1.30 |
| simulation | KC | 5 | Alex Lange | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 1.35 |
| simulation | CIN | 1 | Andrew Abbott | Starter | 5.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 24 | 94 | 1.80 | 3.88 | 1.42 |
| simulation | CIN | 2 | Tony Santillan | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 5.40 | 3.97 | 1.32 |
| simulation | CIN | 3 | Brock Burke | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0.00 | 3.62 | 1.39 |
| simulation | CIN | 4 | Tejay Antone | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18.00 | 5.19 | 1.15 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | Noah Cameron | Starter | 5.0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 91 |
| KC | Daniel Lynch IV | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 |
| KC | John Schreiber | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| KC | Alex Lange | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
| KC | Lucas Erceg | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| CIN | Andrew Abbott | Starter | 5.0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 94 |
| CIN | Brock Burke | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 |
| CIN | Tejay Antone | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 |
| CIN | Tony Santillan | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 27 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_LAD@ARI
20260602_LAD@ARI.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | ARI | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | LAD | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | ARI | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=6; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=12, sim=11; HBP: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | ARI | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Corbin Carroll: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Gabriel Moreno: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ketel Marte: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=5; Nolan Arenado: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Waldschmidt: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=3; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Jorge Barrosa: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Jose Fernandez: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | LAD | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | LAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=61, sim=37; H: current=15, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=7). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | LAD | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | LAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shohei Ohtani: AB current=8 box=5, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Mookie Betts: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Freddie Freeman: AB current=8 box=5, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Andy Pages: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Kyle Tucker: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Max Muncy: AB current=6 box=3, SO current=2 box=1; Ryan Ward: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=0 box=1; Dalton Rushing: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | ARI | BATTING_REALISM | current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | LAD | BATTING_REALISM | current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | ARI | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | LAD | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | ARI | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | LAD | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | ARI | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | LAD | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:ARI batting walks match LAD pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:ARI batting home runs match LAD pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:ARI batting hits match LAD pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 11. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:ARI PA=39 matches LAD BF=39. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:LAD batting walks match ARI pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:LAD batting home runs match ARI pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:LAD batting hits match ARI pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:LAD PA=40 matches ARI BF=40. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | ARI | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | LAD | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | LAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ARI | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ARI | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ARI | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | ARI current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ARI | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAD | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAD | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAD | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | LAD current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAD | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | LAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.456. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.544. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.544. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 10 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.493/0.678. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: LAD 10, ARI 10. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: LAD 4 - ARI 6. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ARI. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ARI. | {'winner_confidence': 0.54408, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.587949, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_LAD@ARI.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_LAD@ARI. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: LAD@ARI. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 173. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 169. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | ARI | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | ARI | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 169. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | LAD | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | LAD | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 173. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | ARI | PITCHING_REALISM | current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | ARI | STARTER_PRESENT | current:ARI includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | LAD | PITCHING_REALISM | current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | LAD | STARTER_PRESENT | current:LAD includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | ARI | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | ARI | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | LAD | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | LAD | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | ARI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | ARI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | LAD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | LAD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | ARI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | ARI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | LAD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | LAD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAD 4 - 5 ARI. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: LAD 4 - 6 ARI. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: ARI wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=ARI, final=ARI. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.544. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 16/57 (0.281). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 20/57 (0.351). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: ARI wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: ARI wins 4-6. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 4-6. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-5, final 4-6 (delta 1). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 10. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: ARI wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | ARI | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | ARI | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | ARI wins and win_pct agree: 20/57 = 0.351. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | LAD | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | LAD | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | LAD wins and win_pct agree: 16/57 = 0.281. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | ARI | BATTING_REALISM | current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | LAD | BATTING_REALISM | current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | ARI | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | LAD | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | ARI | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | LAD | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | ARI | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | LAD | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:ARI batting walks match LAD pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:ARI batting home runs match LAD pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:ARI batting hits match LAD pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 11. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:ARI PA=39 matches LAD BF=39. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ARI | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:LAD batting walks match ARI pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:LAD batting home runs match ARI pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:LAD batting hits match ARI pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:LAD PA=40 matches ARI BF=40. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | LAD | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | ARI | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | LAD | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | LAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ARI | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ARI | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ARI | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | ARI current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ARI | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAD | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAD | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAD | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | LAD current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | LAD | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | LAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.456. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.544. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.544. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 10 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.493/0.678. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: LAD 10, ARI 10. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: LAD 4 - ARI 6. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ARI. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ARI. | {'winner_confidence': 0.54408, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.587949, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_LAD@ARI.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_LAD@ARI. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: LAD@ARI. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 173. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 169. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | ARI | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | ARI | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 169. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | LAD | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | LAD | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 173. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | ARI | PITCHING_REALISM | current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | ARI | STARTER_PRESENT | current:ARI includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | LAD | PITCHING_REALISM | current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | LAD | STARTER_PRESENT | current:LAD includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | ARI | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | ARI | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | LAD | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | LAD | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | ARI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | ARI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | LAD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | LAD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | ARI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | ARI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | LAD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | LAD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAD 4 - 5 ARI. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: LAD 4 - 6 ARI. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: ARI wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=ARI, final=ARI. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.544. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 16/57 (0.281). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 20/57 (0.351). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: ARI wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: ARI wins 4-6. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 4-6. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-5, final 4-6 (delta 1). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 10. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: ARI wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | ARI | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | ARI | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | ARI wins and win_pct agree: 20/57 = 0.351. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | LAD | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | LAD | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | LAD wins and win_pct agree: 16/57 = 0.281. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | ARI | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | LAD | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | ARI | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=6; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=12, sim=11; HBP: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | ARI | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Corbin Carroll: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Gabriel Moreno: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ketel Marte: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=5; Nolan Arenado: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Waldschmidt: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=3; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Jorge Barrosa: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Jose Fernandez: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | LAD | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | LAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=61, sim=37; H: current=15, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=7). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | LAD | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | LAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shohei Ohtani: AB current=8 box=5, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Mookie Betts: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Freddie Freeman: AB current=8 box=5, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Andy Pages: AB current=7 box=5, H current=2 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Kyle Tucker: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Max Muncy: AB current=6 box=3, SO current=2 box=1; Ryan Ward: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=0 box=1; Dalton Rushing: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 4.646669864654541 | 5.867176055908203 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 5 | 6 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 3 | 4 | 0.544 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 4 | 5 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| capped_target | 4 | 5 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 4 | 6 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| ARI | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | LAD | batting | 61 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | LAD | pitching | 10 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 8.0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | ARI | batting | 58 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | ARI | pitching | 10 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | LAD | batting | 37 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | LAD | pitching | 10 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 8.0 | 6 | 39 | 173 | |||||||||
| simulation | ARI | batting | 34 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | |||||||
| simulation | ARI | pitching | 10 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9.0 | 4 | 40 | 169 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | LAD | DH | Shohei Ohtani | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.375 | |
| current | LAD | SS | Mookie Betts | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | LAD | 1B | Freddie Freeman | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | LAD | CF | Andy Pages | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | LAD | RF | Kyle Tucker | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | LAD | 3B | Max Muncy | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | LAD | LF | Ryan Ward | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | LAD | C | Dalton Rushing | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | LAD | 2B | Alex Freeland | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | ARI | RF | Corbin Carroll | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | ARI | C | Gabriel Moreno | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | ARI | 2B | Ketel Marte | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | ARI | 3B | Nolan Arenado | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | ARI | LF | Ryan Waldschmidt | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | ARI | 1B | Ildemaro Vargas | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | ARI | CF | Jorge Barrosa | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | ARI | SS | Jose Fernandez | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | ARI | DH | Tommy Troy | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| simulation | LAD | 1 | DH | Shohei Ohtani | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
| simulation | LAD | 2 | CF | Andy Pages | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.600 |
| simulation | LAD | 3 | 1B | Freddie Freeman | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
| simulation | LAD | 4 | SS | Mookie Betts | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | LAD | 5 | RF | Kyle Tucker | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | LAD | 6 | 3B | Max Muncy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | LAD | 7 | LF | Ryan Ward | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | LAD | 8 | C | Dalton Rushing | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | LAD | 9 | 2B | Alex Freeland | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | ARI | 1 | 2B | Ketel Marte | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.600 |
| simulation | ARI | 2 | RF | Corbin Carroll | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 |
| simulation | ARI | 3 | C | Gabriel Moreno | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | ARI | 4 | 3B | Nolan Arenado | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | ARI | 5 | LF | Ryan Waldschmidt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | ARI | 6 | 1B | Ildemaro Vargas | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | ARI | 7 | SS | Jose Fernandez | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | ARI | 8 | CF | Jorge Barrosa | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | ARI | 9 | DH | Tommy Troy | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | LAD | 1 | Eric Lauer | Starter | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.20 | 5.95 | 1.39 |
| current | LAD | 2 | Kyle Hurt | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| current | LAD | 4 | Tanner Scott | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18.00 | 2.19 | 0.69 |
| current | LAD | 6 | Alex Vesia | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 0.93 |
| current | ARI | 1 | Michael Soroka | Starter | 6.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.35 | 3.25 | 1.20 |
| current | ARI | 2 | Jonathan Loáisiga | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 |
| current | ARI | 3 | Juan Morillo | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27.00 | 10.80 | 2.40 |
| current | ARI | 5 | Paul Sewald | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| current | ARI | 6 | Taylor Clarke | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 108.00 | 9.00 | |
| simulation | LAD | 1 | Eric Lauer | Starter | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 25 | 105 | 7.20 | 5.95 | 1.39 |
| simulation | LAD | 2 | Tanner Scott | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 18.00 | 2.19 | 0.69 |
| simulation | LAD | 3 | Kyle Hurt | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| simulation | LAD | 4 | Alex Vesia | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 0.93 |
| simulation | ARI | 1 | Michael Soroka | Starter | 6.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 106 | 1.35 | 3.25 | 1.20 |
| simulation | ARI | 2 | Paul Sewald | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| simulation | ARI | 3 | Jonathan Loáisiga | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 |
| simulation | ARI | 4 | Taylor Clarke | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 108.00 | 9.00 | |
| simulation | ARI | 5 | Juan Morillo | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 27.00 | 10.80 | 2.40 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | Eric Lauer | Starter | 5.0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 105 |
| LAD | Kyle Hurt | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 32 |
| LAD | Tanner Scott | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 |
| LAD | Alex Vesia | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| ARI | Michael Soroka | Starter | 6.2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 106 |
| ARI | Jonathan Loáisiga | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| ARI | Juan Morillo | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
| ARI | Paul Sewald | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| ARI | Taylor Clarke | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_MIA@WAS
20260602_MIA@WAS.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | MIA | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | WAS | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=6; 2B: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIA | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | MIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Heriberto Hernández: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Kyle Stowers: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Xavier Edwards: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Otto Lopez: AB current=8 box=5, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Leo Jiménez: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Liam Hicks: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0; Jakob Marsee: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Owen Caissie: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1, HBP current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | WAS | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | WAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=31; H: current=13, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=10; SF: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | WAS | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | WAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: James Wood: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Curtis Mead: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; CJ Abrams: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Luis García Jr.: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Dylan Crews: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Daylen Lile: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jorbit Vivas: R current=1 box=0; Drew Millas: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | MIA | BATTING_REALISM | current:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | WAS | BATTING_REALISM | current:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | MIA | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | WAS | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | MIA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | WAS | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | MIA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | WAS | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:MIA batting walks match WAS pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:MIA batting home runs match WAS pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:MIA batting hits match WAS pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:MIA PA=38 matches WAS BF=38. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:WAS batting walks match MIA pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:WAS batting home runs match MIA pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:WAS batting hits match MIA pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:WAS PA=36 matches MIA BF=36. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | MIA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | WAS | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | WAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIA | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIA | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIA | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | MIA current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIA | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | MIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | WAS | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | WAS | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | WAS | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | WAS current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | WAS | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | WAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.522. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.522. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.478. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.449/0.625. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: MIA 6, WAS 5. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: MIA 3 - WAS 2. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIA. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIA. | {'winner_confidence': 0.521881, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'WAS', 'confidence': 0.548073, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_MIA@WAS.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_MIA@WAS. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: MIA@WAS. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 168. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIA | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | MIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIA | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | WAS | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | WAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | WAS | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 168. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIA | PITCHING_REALISM | current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIA | STARTER_PRESENT | current:MIA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | WAS | PITCHING_REALISM | current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | WAS | STARTER_PRESENT | current:WAS includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIA | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIA | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | WAS | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | WAS | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | WAS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | WAS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | WAS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | WAS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIA 3 - 2 WAS. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: MIA 3 - 2 WAS. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIA wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIA, final=MIA. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.522. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 18/57 (0.316). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 17/60 (0.283). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: MIA wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: MIA wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 3-2 (delta 0). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 5. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: MIA wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score. | ||||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIA | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIA | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | MIA wins and win_pct agree: 18/57 = 0.316. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | WAS | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | WAS | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | WAS wins and win_pct agree: 17/60 = 0.283. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | MIA | BATTING_REALISM | current:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | WAS | BATTING_REALISM | current:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | MIA | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | WAS | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | MIA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | WAS | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | MIA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | WAS | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:MIA batting walks match WAS pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:MIA batting home runs match WAS pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:MIA batting hits match WAS pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:MIA PA=38 matches WAS BF=38. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIA | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:WAS batting walks match MIA pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:WAS batting home runs match MIA pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:WAS batting hits match MIA pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:WAS PA=36 matches MIA BF=36. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | WAS | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | MIA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | WAS | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | WAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIA | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIA | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIA | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | MIA current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIA | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | MIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | WAS | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | WAS | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | WAS | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | WAS current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | WAS | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | WAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.522. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.522. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.478. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.449/0.625. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: MIA 6, WAS 5. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: MIA 3 - WAS 2. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIA. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIA. | {'winner_confidence': 0.521881, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'WAS', 'confidence': 0.548073, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_MIA@WAS.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_MIA@WAS. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: MIA@WAS. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 168. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIA | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | MIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIA | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | WAS | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | WAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | WAS | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 168. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIA | PITCHING_REALISM | current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIA | STARTER_PRESENT | current:MIA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | WAS | PITCHING_REALISM | current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | WAS | STARTER_PRESENT | current:WAS includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIA | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIA | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | WAS | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | WAS | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | WAS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | WAS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | WAS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | WAS | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIA 3 - 2 WAS. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: MIA 3 - 2 WAS. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIA wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIA, final=MIA. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.522. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 18/57 (0.316). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 17/60 (0.283). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: MIA wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: MIA wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 3-2 (delta 0). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 5. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: MIA wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score. | ||||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIA | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIA | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | MIA wins and win_pct agree: 18/57 = 0.316. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | WAS | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | WAS | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | WAS wins and win_pct agree: 17/60 = 0.283. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | MIA | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | WAS | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=33; H: current=14, sim=6; 2B: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIA | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | MIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Heriberto Hernández: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Kyle Stowers: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Xavier Edwards: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Otto Lopez: AB current=8 box=5, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Leo Jiménez: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Liam Hicks: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0; Jakob Marsee: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Owen Caissie: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1, HBP current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | WAS | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | WAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=59, sim=31; H: current=13, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=10; SF: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | WAS | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | WAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: James Wood: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Curtis Mead: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; CJ Abrams: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Luis García Jr.: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Dylan Crews: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Daylen Lile: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jorbit Vivas: R current=1 box=0; Drew Millas: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 4.7447028160095215 | 3.97898530960083 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 4 | 4 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 3 | 2 | 0.522 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 3 | 2 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| capped_target | 3 | 2 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 3 | 2 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| WAS | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | MIA | batting | 55 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | MIA | pitching | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | WAS | batting | 59 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | WAS | pitching | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | MIA | batting | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | |||||||
| simulation | MIA | pitching | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9.0 | 2 | 36 | 161 | |||||||||
| simulation | WAS | batting | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | WAS | pitching | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9.0 | 3 | 38 | 168 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | MIA | DH | Heriberto Hernández | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | MIA | LF | Kyle Stowers | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | MIA | 2B | Xavier Edwards | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | MIA | SS | Otto Lopez | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.375 | |
| current | MIA | 3B | Leo Jiménez | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | MIA | 1B | Liam Hicks | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | MIA | CF | Jakob Marsee | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | MIA | RF | Owen Caissie | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | MIA | C | Joe Mack | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | WAS | LF | James Wood | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | WAS | 3B | Curtis Mead | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | WAS | SS | CJ Abrams | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | WAS | 1B | Luis García Jr. | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | WAS | RF | Dylan Crews | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | WAS | DH | Daylen Lile | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | WAS | 2B | Jorbit Vivas | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | WAS | C | Drew Millas | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | WAS | CF | Jacob Young | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| simulation | MIA | 1 | DH | Heriberto Hernández | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.400 |
| simulation | MIA | 2 | SS | Otto Lopez | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | MIA | 3 | LF | Kyle Stowers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | MIA | 4 | 2B | Xavier Edwards | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | MIA | 5 | 3B | Leo Jiménez | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIA | 6 | 1B | Liam Hicks | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIA | 7 | CF | Jakob Marsee | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIA | 8 | RF | Owen Caissie | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIA | 9 | C | Joe Mack | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | WAS | 1 | LF | James Wood | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | WAS | 2 | 1B | Luis García Jr. | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | WAS | 3 | 3B | Curtis Mead | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | WAS | 4 | SS | CJ Abrams | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | WAS | 5 | DH | Daylen Lile | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | WAS | 6 | RF | Dylan Crews | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | WAS | 7 | 2B | Jorbit Vivas | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | WAS | 8 | C | Drew Millas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | WAS | 9 | CF | Jacob Young | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | MIA | 1 | Lake Bachar | Starter | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.77 | 1.01 |
| current | MIA | 2 | Anthony Bender | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.42 | 0.93 |
| current | MIA | 3 | Calvin Faucher | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 1.73 |
| current | MIA | 4 | Michael Petersen | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.00 | 3.63 | 1.12 |
| current | MIA | 5 | Pete Fairbanks | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.00 | 7.04 | 1.30 |
| current | WAS | 1 | Richard Lovelady | Starter | 3.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.91 | 3.38 | 1.75 |
| current | WAS | 2 | Brad Lord | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.68 | 1.00 |
| current | WAS | 3 | Clayton Beeter | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.30 | 1.21 |
| current | WAS | 4 | Gus Varland | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.09 | 1.55 |
| current | WAS | 5 | Orlando Ribalta | Middle Reliever | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.50 | 1.72 | 0.89 |
| simulation | MIA | 1 | Lake Bachar | Starter | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 91 | 0.00 | 3.77 | 1.01 |
| simulation | MIA | 2 | Pete Fairbanks | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9.00 | 7.04 | 1.30 |
| simulation | MIA | 3 | Anthony Bender | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0.00 | 3.42 | 0.93 |
| simulation | MIA | 4 | Michael Petersen | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 9.00 | 3.63 | 1.12 |
| simulation | MIA | 5 | Calvin Faucher | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 1.73 |
| simulation | WAS | 1 | Richard Lovelady | Starter | 3.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 56 | 4.91 | 3.38 | 1.75 |
| simulation | WAS | 2 | Gus Varland | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0.00 | 4.09 | 1.55 |
| simulation | WAS | 3 | Clayton Beeter | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 0.00 | 2.30 | 1.21 |
| simulation | WAS | 4 | Brad Lord | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 0.00 | 2.68 | 1.00 |
| simulation | WAS | 5 | Orlando Ribalta | Middle Reliever | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 43 | 4.50 | 1.72 | 0.89 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | Lake Bachar | Starter | 5.0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 91 |
| MIA | Anthony Bender | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
| MIA | Calvin Faucher | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 |
| MIA | Michael Petersen | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| MIA | Pete Fairbanks | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| WAS | Richard Lovelady | Starter | 3.2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 56 |
| WAS | Brad Lord | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 34 |
| WAS | Clayton Beeter | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| WAS | Gus Varland | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 |
| WAS | Orlando Ribalta | Middle Reliever | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 43 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_NYM@SEA
20260602_NYM@SEA.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | NYM | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | SEA | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | SEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | NYM | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | NYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=33; H: current=12, sim=6; RBI: current=7, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=1; BB: current=4, sim=1; SO: current=13, sim=12). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | NYM | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | NYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carson Benge: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jared Young: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bo Bichette: AB current=8 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Juan Soto: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mark Vientos: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Brett Baty: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Marcus Semien: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; A.J. Ewing: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SEA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SEA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=52, sim=31; H: current=13, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=8, sim=4; BB: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=13, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SEA | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | SEA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Julio Rodríguez: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; J.P. Crawford: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Randy Arozarena: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Luke Raley: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Cole Young: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Dominic Canzone: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Patrick Wisdom: AB current=4 box=3, SO current=1 box=2; Jhonny Pereda: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | NYM | BATTING_REALISM | current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | SEA | BATTING_REALISM | current:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | NYM | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | SEA | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | NYM | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | SEA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | NYM | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | SEA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:NYM batting walks match SEA pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:NYM batting home runs match SEA pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:NYM batting hits match SEA pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 12. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:NYM PA=34 matches SEA BF=34. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:SEA batting walks match NYM pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:SEA batting home runs match NYM pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:SEA batting hits match NYM pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:SEA batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:SEA PA=33 matches NYM BF=33. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | NYM | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | NYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | SEA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SEA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYM | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYM | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYM | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | NYM current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYM | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | NYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SEA | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | SEA current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SEA | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | SEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SEA | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | SEA current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SEA | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | SEA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.457. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.543. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.543. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.493/0.678. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: NYM 6, SEA 7. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: NYM 1 - SEA 4. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SEA. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SEA. | {'winner_confidence': 0.543124, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'SEA', 'confidence': 0.536078, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_NYM@SEA.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_NYM@SEA. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: NYM@SEA. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 129. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | NYM | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | NYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | NYM | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 129. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SEA | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | SEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SEA | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | SEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | NYM | PITCHING_REALISM | current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | NYM | STARTER_PRESENT | current:NYM includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SEA | PITCHING_REALISM | current:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SEA | STARTER_PRESENT | current:SEA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | NYM | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | NYM | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SEA | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SEA | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | NYM | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | NYM | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SEA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SEA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | NYM | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | NYM | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SEA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SEA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYM 2 - 3 SEA. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: NYM 1 - 4 SEA. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: SEA wins 4-1. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=SEA, final=SEA. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.543. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 20/53 (0.377). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 22/55 (0.400). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: SEA wins 4-1. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: SEA wins 1-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 1-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 1-4 (delta 2). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 5. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: SEA wins 4-1. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | NYM | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | NYM | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | NYM wins and win_pct agree: 20/53 = 0.377. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SEA | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | SEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SEA | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | SEA wins and win_pct agree: 22/55 = 0.400. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | NYM | BATTING_REALISM | current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | SEA | BATTING_REALISM | current:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | NYM | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | SEA | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | NYM | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | SEA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | NYM | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | SEA | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:NYM batting walks match SEA pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:NYM batting home runs match SEA pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:NYM batting hits match SEA pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 12. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:NYM PA=34 matches SEA BF=34. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | NYM | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:SEA batting walks match NYM pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:SEA batting home runs match NYM pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:SEA batting hits match NYM pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:SEA batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:SEA PA=33 matches NYM BF=33. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SEA | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | NYM | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | NYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | SEA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SEA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYM | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYM | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYM | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | NYM current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | NYM | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | NYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SEA | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | SEA current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SEA | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | SEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SEA | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | SEA current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SEA | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | SEA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.457. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.543. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.543. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.493/0.678. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: NYM 6, SEA 7. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: NYM 1 - SEA 4. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SEA. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SEA. | {'winner_confidence': 0.543124, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'SEA', 'confidence': 0.536078, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_NYM@SEA.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_NYM@SEA. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: NYM@SEA. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 129. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | NYM | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | NYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | NYM | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 129. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SEA | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | SEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SEA | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | SEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | NYM | PITCHING_REALISM | current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | NYM | STARTER_PRESENT | current:NYM includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SEA | PITCHING_REALISM | current:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SEA | STARTER_PRESENT | current:SEA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | NYM | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | NYM | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SEA | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SEA | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | NYM | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | NYM | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SEA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SEA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | NYM | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | NYM | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SEA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SEA | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYM 2 - 3 SEA. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: NYM 1 - 4 SEA. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: SEA wins 4-1. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=SEA, final=SEA. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.543. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 20/53 (0.377). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 22/55 (0.400). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: SEA wins 4-1. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: SEA wins 1-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 1-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 1-4 (delta 2). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 5. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: SEA wins 4-1. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | NYM | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | NYM | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | NYM wins and win_pct agree: 20/53 = 0.377. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SEA | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | SEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SEA | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | SEA wins and win_pct agree: 22/55 = 0.400. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | NYM | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | SEA | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | SEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | NYM | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | NYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=54, sim=33; H: current=12, sim=6; RBI: current=7, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=1; BB: current=4, sim=1; SO: current=13, sim=12). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | NYM | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | NYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carson Benge: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jared Young: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bo Bichette: AB current=8 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Juan Soto: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mark Vientos: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Brett Baty: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Marcus Semien: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; A.J. Ewing: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SEA | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SEA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=52, sim=31; H: current=13, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=8, sim=4; BB: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=13, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SEA | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | SEA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Julio Rodríguez: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; J.P. Crawford: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Randy Arozarena: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Luke Raley: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Cole Young: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Dominic Canzone: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Patrick Wisdom: AB current=4 box=3, SO current=1 box=2; Jhonny Pereda: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 5.198421478271484 | 5.858241558074951 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 6 | 6 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 2 | 3 | 0.543 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 2 | 3 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| capped_target | 2 | 3 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 1 | 4 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | NYM | batting | 54 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | NYM | pitching | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | SEA | batting | 52 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | SEA | pitching | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | NYM | batting | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | NYM | pitching | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8.0 | 4 | 33 | 129 | |||||||||
| simulation | SEA | batting | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | SEA | pitching | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9.0 | 1 | 34 | 153 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | NYM | RF | Carson Benge | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | NYM | DH | Jared Young | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | NYM | SS | Bo Bichette | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.125 | |
| current | NYM | LF | Juan Soto | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | NYM | 1B | Mark Vientos | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | NYM | 3B | Brett Baty | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | NYM | 2B | Marcus Semien | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | NYM | CF | A.J. Ewing | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | NYM | C | Hayden Senger | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | SEA | CF | Julio Rodríguez | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | SEA | SS | J.P. Crawford | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | SEA | LF | Randy Arozarena | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | SEA | RF | Luke Raley | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | SEA | 2B | Cole Young | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | SEA | DH | Dominic Canzone | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | SEA | 1B | Patrick Wisdom | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | SEA | C | Jhonny Pereda | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | SEA | 3B | Colt Emerson | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| simulation | NYM | 1 | RF | Carson Benge | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | NYM | 2 | SS | Bo Bichette | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | NYM | 3 | LF | Juan Soto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | NYM | 4 | DH | Jared Young | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | NYM | 5 | 1B | Mark Vientos | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | NYM | 6 | 3B | Brett Baty | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | NYM | 7 | 2B | Marcus Semien | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | NYM | 8 | CF | A.J. Ewing | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | NYM | 9 | C | Hayden Senger | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | SEA | 1 | SS | J.P. Crawford | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | SEA | 2 | CF | Julio Rodríguez | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | SEA | 3 | LF | Randy Arozarena | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | SEA | 4 | RF | Luke Raley | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | SEA | 5 | 2B | Cole Young | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | SEA | 6 | DH | Dominic Canzone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | SEA | 7 | 1B | Patrick Wisdom | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | SEA | 8 | C | Jhonny Pereda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | SEA | 9 | 3B | Colt Emerson | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | NYM | 1 | Nolan McLean | Starter | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5.06 | 4.21 | 1.12 |
| current | NYM | 3 | Luke Weaver | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.75 | 2.77 | 1.04 |
| current | NYM | 6 | Devin Williams | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 1.35 |
| current | SEA | 1 | Logan Gilbert | Starter | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.50 | 3.69 | 1.11 |
| current | SEA | 2 | Andrés Muñoz | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.76 | 1.28 |
| current | SEA | 3 | José A. Ferrer | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.69 | 1.16 |
| current | SEA | 4 | Matt Brash | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| simulation | NYM | 1 | Nolan McLean | Starter | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 93 | 5.06 | 4.21 | 1.12 |
| simulation | NYM | 2 | Devin Williams | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 1.35 |
| simulation | NYM | 3 | Luke Weaver | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 6.75 | 2.77 | 1.04 |
| simulation | SEA | 1 | Logan Gilbert | Starter | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 24 | 107 | 1.50 | 3.69 | 1.11 |
| simulation | SEA | 2 | Andrés Muñoz | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0.00 | 4.76 | 1.28 |
| simulation | SEA | 3 | Matt Brash | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| simulation | SEA | 4 | José A. Ferrer | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0.00 | 1.69 | 1.16 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | Nolan McLean | Starter | 5.1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 93 |
| NYM | Luke Weaver | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19 |
| NYM | Devin Williams | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 |
| SEA | Logan Gilbert | Starter | 6.0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 107 |
| SEA | Andrés Muñoz | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| SEA | José A. Ferrer | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| SEA | Matt Brash | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_OAK@CHC
20260602_OAK@CHC.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | CHC | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | OAK | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CHC | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=34; H: current=17, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=3; HR: current=1, sim=2; BB: current=9, sim=2; SO: current=17, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CHC | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Nico Hoerner: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Alex Bregman: AB current=9 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Seiya Suzuki: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Kevin Alcántara: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Carson Kelly: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Michael Busch: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=4; Ian Happ: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, R current=2 box=1, SO current=3 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | OAK | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=36; H: current=16, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=5; R: current=8, sim=5; BB: current=9, sim=4; SO: current=17, sim=10; SF: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | OAK | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nick Kurtz: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=2 box=1, SO current=3 box=0; Carlos Cortes: AB current=6 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2, SF current=0 box=1; Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Shea Langeliers: AB current=9 box=5, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Brent Rooker: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, SO current=3 box=2; Darell Hernaiz: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Jeff McNeil: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 6-7, final 5-9 (delta 3). | No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction. | ||||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | CHC | BATTING_REALISM | current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | OAK | BATTING_REALISM | current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | CHC | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | OAK | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | CHC | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | OAK | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | CHC | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | OAK | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:CHC batting walks match OAK pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:CHC batting home runs match OAK pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:CHC batting hits match OAK pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:CHC PA=36 matches OAK BF=36. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 9. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:OAK batting walks match CHC pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:OAK batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:OAK batting hits match CHC pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:OAK PA=41 matches CHC BF=41. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | CHC | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | OAK | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHC | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHC | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHC | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | CHC current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHC | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | OAK | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | OAK | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | OAK | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | OAK current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | OAK | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.462. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.538. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.538. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 14 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 13.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.449/0.625. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: OAK 10, CHC 10. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: OAK 5 - CHC 9. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHC. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHC. | {'winner_confidence': 0.538307, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_OAK@CHC. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: OAK@CHC. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 181. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CHC | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CHC | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 181. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | OAK | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | OAK | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CHC | PITCHING_REALISM | current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CHC | STARTER_PRESENT | current:CHC includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | OAK | PITCHING_REALISM | current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | OAK | STARTER_PRESENT | current:OAK includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CHC | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CHC | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | OAK | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | OAK | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CHC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CHC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | OAK | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | OAK | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CHC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CHC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | OAK | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | OAK | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: OAK 6 - 7 CHC. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: OAK 5 - 9 CHC. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHC wins 9-5. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHC, final=CHC. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.538. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 14/56 (0.250). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 6/59 (0.102). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: CHC wins 9-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: CHC wins 5-9. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 5-9. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 14. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: CHC wins 9-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CHC | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CHC | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | CHC wins and win_pct agree: 6/59 = 0.102. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | OAK | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | OAK | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | OAK wins and win_pct agree: 14/56 = 0.250. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | CHC | BATTING_REALISM | current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | OAK | BATTING_REALISM | current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | CHC | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | OAK | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | CHC | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | OAK | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | CHC | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | OAK | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:CHC batting walks match OAK pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:CHC batting home runs match OAK pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:CHC batting hits match OAK pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:CHC PA=36 matches OAK BF=36. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | CHC | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 9. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:OAK batting walks match CHC pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:OAK batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:OAK batting hits match CHC pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 10. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:OAK PA=41 matches CHC BF=41. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | OAK | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | CHC | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | OAK | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHC | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHC | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHC | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | CHC current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | CHC | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | OAK | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | OAK | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | OAK | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | OAK current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | OAK | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.462. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.538. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.538. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 14 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 13.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.449/0.625. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: OAK 10, CHC 10. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: OAK 5 - CHC 9. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHC. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHC. | {'winner_confidence': 0.538307, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_OAK@CHC. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: OAK@CHC. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 181. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CHC | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | CHC | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 181. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | OAK | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | OAK | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CHC | PITCHING_REALISM | current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | CHC | STARTER_PRESENT | current:CHC includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | OAK | PITCHING_REALISM | current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | OAK | STARTER_PRESENT | current:OAK includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CHC | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | CHC | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | OAK | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | OAK | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CHC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | CHC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | OAK | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | OAK | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CHC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | CHC | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | OAK | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | OAK | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: OAK 6 - 7 CHC. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: OAK 5 - 9 CHC. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHC wins 9-5. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHC, final=CHC. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.538. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 14/56 (0.250). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 6/59 (0.102). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: CHC wins 9-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: CHC wins 5-9. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 5-9. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 14. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: CHC wins 9-5. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CHC | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | CHC | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | CHC wins and win_pct agree: 6/59 = 0.102. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | OAK | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | OAK | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | OAK wins and win_pct agree: 14/56 = 0.250. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | CHC | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | OAK | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CHC | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=34; H: current=17, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=3; HR: current=1, sim=2; BB: current=9, sim=2; SO: current=17, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | CHC | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Nico Hoerner: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Alex Bregman: AB current=9 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Seiya Suzuki: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Kevin Alcántara: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Carson Kelly: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Michael Busch: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=4; Ian Happ: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, R current=2 box=1, SO current=3 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | OAK | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=36; H: current=16, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=5; R: current=8, sim=5; BB: current=9, sim=4; SO: current=17, sim=10; SF: current=0, sim=1). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | OAK | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nick Kurtz: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=2 box=1, SO current=3 box=0; Carlos Cortes: AB current=6 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2, SF current=0 box=1; Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Shea Langeliers: AB current=9 box=5, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Brent Rooker: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, SO current=3 box=2; Darell Hernaiz: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Jeff McNeil: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 6-7, final 5-9 (delta 3). | No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction. | ||||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 5.09648323059082 | 6.807392597198486 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 6 | 7 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 5 | 6 | 0.538 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 6 | 7 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| capped_target | 6 | 7 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 5 | 9 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 |
| CHC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | OAK | batting | 64 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | OAK | pitching | 10 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 8.0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | CHC | batting | 68 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | CHC | pitching | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 9.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | OAK | batting | 36 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | OAK | pitching | 10 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 8.0 | 9 | 36 | 147 | |||||||||
| simulation | CHC | batting | 34 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | CHC | pitching | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 9.0 | 5 | 41 | 181 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | OAK | 1B | Nick Kurtz | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | OAK | RF | Carlos Cortes | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | OAK | LF | Tyler Soderstrom | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | OAK | C | Shea Langeliers | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | OAK | DH | Brent Rooker | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | OAK | SS | Darell Hernaiz | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | OAK | 3B | Zack Gelof | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | OAK | 2B | Jeff McNeil | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | OAK | CF | Henry Bolte | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | CHC | CF | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CHC | 2B | Nico Hoerner | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | CHC | 3B | Alex Bregman | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | CHC | RF | Seiya Suzuki | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CHC | DH | Kevin Alcántara | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | CHC | C | Carson Kelly | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | CHC | 1B | Michael Busch | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | CHC | LF | Ian Happ | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | CHC | SS | Dansby Swanson | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| simulation | OAK | 1 | RF | Carlos Cortes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | OAK | 2 | 1B | Nick Kurtz | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | OAK | 3 | C | Shea Langeliers | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.400 |
| simulation | OAK | 4 | LF | Tyler Soderstrom | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | OAK | 5 | DH | Brent Rooker | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | OAK | 6 | CF | Henry Bolte | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | OAK | 7 | 2B | Jeff McNeil | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | OAK | 8 | 3B | Zack Gelof | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | OAK | 9 | SS | Darell Hernaiz | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | CHC | 1 | 2B | Nico Hoerner | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CHC | 2 | CF | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | CHC | 3 | 3B | Alex Bregman | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | CHC | 4 | RF | Seiya Suzuki | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | CHC | 5 | LF | Ian Happ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | CHC | 6 | C | Carson Kelly | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | CHC | 7 | 1B | Michael Busch | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | CHC | 8 | DH | Kevin Alcántara | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | CHC | 9 | SS | Dansby Swanson | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | OAK | 1 | Gage Jump | Starter | 4.2 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17.36 | 7.20 | 2.00 |
| current | OAK | 2 | Hogan Harris | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.60 | 1.59 |
| current | OAK | 4 | Scott Barlow | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 0.84 |
| current | OAK | 6 | Mark Leiter Jr. | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5.47 | 1.46 |
| current | CHC | 1 | Jameson Taillon | Starter | 5.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.75 | 5.37 | 1.28 |
| current | CHC | 2 | Caleb Thielbar | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.13 | 1.18 |
| current | CHC | 3 | Daniel Palencia | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.00 | 2.31 | 1.46 |
| current | CHC | 4 | Jacob Webb | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.55 | 1.34 |
| current | CHC | 5 | Hoby Milner | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.49 | 1.03 |
| simulation | OAK | 1 | Gage Jump | Starter | 4.2 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 93 | 17.36 | 7.20 | 2.00 |
| simulation | OAK | 2 | Hogan Harris | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0.00 | 2.60 | 1.59 |
| simulation | OAK | 3 | Mark Leiter Jr. | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0.00 | 5.47 | 1.46 |
| simulation | OAK | 4 | Scott Barlow | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 0.84 |
| simulation | CHC | 1 | Jameson Taillon | Starter | 5.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 111 | 6.75 | 5.37 | 1.28 |
| simulation | CHC | 2 | Daniel Palencia | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9.00 | 2.31 | 1.46 |
| simulation | CHC | 3 | Caleb Thielbar | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0.00 | 2.13 | 1.18 |
| simulation | CHC | 4 | Jacob Webb | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 0.00 | 2.55 | 1.34 |
| simulation | CHC | 5 | Hoby Milner | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0.00 | 2.49 | 1.03 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | Gage Jump | Starter | 4.2 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 93 |
| OAK | Hogan Harris | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 |
| OAK | Scott Barlow | Middle Reliever | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 |
| OAK | Mark Leiter Jr. | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 |
| CHC | Jameson Taillon | Starter | 5.1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 111 |
| CHC | Caleb Thielbar | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| CHC | Daniel Palencia | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 |
| CHC | Jacob Webb | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 |
| CHC | Hoby Milner | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_PIT@HOU
20260602_PIT@HOU.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | HOU | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | PIT | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | HOU | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=36; H: current=14, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=3; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | HOU | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jeremy Peña: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isaac Paredes: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Christian Walker: AB current=8 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=3; Yordan Alvarez: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=2 box=0; Taylor Trammell: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Cam Smith: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Meyers: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Brice Matthews: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | PIT | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=61, sim=33; H: current=16, sim=6; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=6; R: current=11, sim=6; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=7). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | PIT | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ryan O'Hearn: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=6 box=5, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Brandon Lowe: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=3 box=1; Bryan Reynolds: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Endy Rodríguez: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Jake Mangum: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1; Oneil Cruz: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | HOU | BATTING_REALISM | current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | PIT | BATTING_REALISM | current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | HOU | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | PIT | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | HOU | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | PIT | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | HOU | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | PIT | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:HOU batting walks match PIT pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:HOU batting home runs match PIT pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:HOU batting hits match PIT pitching: 9. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:HOU PA=40 matches PIT BF=40. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:PIT batting walks match HOU pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:PIT batting home runs match HOU pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:PIT batting hits match HOU pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:PIT PA=37 matches HOU BF=37. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | HOU | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | PIT | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | HOU | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | HOU | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | HOU | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | HOU current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | HOU | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PIT | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PIT | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PIT | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | PIT current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PIT | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.549. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.549. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.451. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 10 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 8.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.449/0.625. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: PIT 6, HOU 9. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: PIT 6 - HOU 4. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT. | {'winner_confidence': 0.548711, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_PIT@HOU. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: PIT@HOU. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 182. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 174. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | HOU | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | HOU | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 174. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | PIT | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | PIT | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 182. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | HOU | PITCHING_REALISM | current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | HOU | STARTER_PRESENT | current:HOU includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | PIT | PITCHING_REALISM | current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | PIT | STARTER_PRESENT | current:PIT includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | HOU | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | HOU | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | PIT | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | PIT | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | HOU | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | HOU | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | PIT | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | PIT | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | HOU | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | HOU | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | PIT | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | PIT | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PIT 5 - 3 HOU. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: PIT 6 - 4 HOU. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.549. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 15/54 (0.278). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 23/58 (0.397). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 5-3, final 6-4 (delta 2). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 10. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: PIT wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | HOU | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | HOU | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | HOU wins and win_pct agree: 23/58 = 0.397. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | PIT | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | PIT | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | PIT wins and win_pct agree: 15/54 = 0.278. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | HOU | BATTING_REALISM | current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | PIT | BATTING_REALISM | current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | HOU | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | PIT | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | HOU | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | PIT | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | HOU | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | PIT | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:HOU batting walks match PIT pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:HOU batting home runs match PIT pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:HOU batting hits match PIT pitching: 9. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:HOU PA=40 matches PIT BF=40. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | HOU | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:PIT batting walks match HOU pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:PIT batting home runs match HOU pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:PIT batting hits match HOU pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:PIT PA=37 matches HOU BF=37. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PIT | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | HOU | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | PIT | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | HOU | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | HOU | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | HOU | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | HOU current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | HOU | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PIT | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PIT | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PIT | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | PIT current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PIT | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.549. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.549. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.451. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 10 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 8.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.449/0.625. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: PIT 6, HOU 9. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: PIT 6 - HOU 4. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT. | {'winner_confidence': 0.548711, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_PIT@HOU. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: PIT@HOU. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 182. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 174. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | HOU | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | HOU | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 174. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | PIT | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | PIT | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 182. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | HOU | PITCHING_REALISM | current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | HOU | STARTER_PRESENT | current:HOU includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | PIT | PITCHING_REALISM | current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | PIT | STARTER_PRESENT | current:PIT includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | HOU | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | HOU | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | PIT | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | PIT | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | HOU | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | HOU | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | PIT | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | PIT | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | HOU | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | HOU | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | PIT | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | PIT | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PIT 5 - 3 HOU. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: PIT 6 - 4 HOU. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.549. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 15/54 (0.278). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 23/58 (0.397). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 5-3, final 6-4 (delta 2). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 10. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: PIT wins 6-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | HOU | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | HOU | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | HOU wins and win_pct agree: 23/58 = 0.397. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | PIT | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | PIT | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | PIT wins and win_pct agree: 15/54 = 0.278. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | HOU | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | PIT | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | HOU | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=36; H: current=14, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=3; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | HOU | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jeremy Peña: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isaac Paredes: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Christian Walker: AB current=8 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=3; Yordan Alvarez: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=2 box=0; Taylor Trammell: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Cam Smith: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Meyers: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Brice Matthews: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | PIT | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=61, sim=33; H: current=16, sim=6; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=6; R: current=11, sim=6; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=7). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | PIT | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ryan O'Hearn: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=6 box=5, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Brandon Lowe: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=3 box=1; Bryan Reynolds: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Endy Rodríguez: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Jake Mangum: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1; Oneil Cruz: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 6.910579204559326 | 5.677436828613281 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 7 | 6 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 5 | 3 | 0.549 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 5 | 3 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| capped_target | 5 | 3 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 6 | 4 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | PIT | batting | 61 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | PIT | pitching | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | HOU | batting | 62 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | HOU | pitching | 6 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 9.0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | PIT | batting | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | PIT | pitching | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9.0 | 4 | 40 | 182 | |||||||||
| simulation | HOU | batting | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | |||||||
| simulation | HOU | pitching | 6 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 9.0 | 6 | 37 | 174 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | PIT | 1B | Ryan O'Hearn | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | PIT | DH | Spencer Horwitz | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | PIT | 2B | Brandon Lowe | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | PIT | LF | Bryan Reynolds | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | PIT | 3B | Nick Gonzales | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | PIT | C | Endy Rodríguez | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | PIT | RF | Jake Mangum | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | PIT | CF | Oneil Cruz | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | PIT | SS | Jared Triolo | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | HOU | SS | Jeremy Peña | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | HOU | 3B | Isaac Paredes | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | HOU | 1B | Christian Walker | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | HOU | DH | Yordan Alvarez | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | HOU | LF | Taylor Trammell | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | HOU | RF | Cam Smith | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | HOU | CF | Jake Meyers | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | HOU | 2B | Brice Matthews | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | HOU | C | Christian Vázquez | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| simulation | PIT | 1 | DH | Spencer Horwitz | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | PIT | 2 | 2B | Brandon Lowe | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | PIT | 3 | LF | Bryan Reynolds | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | PIT | 4 | 1B | Ryan O'Hearn | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | PIT | 5 | 3B | Nick Gonzales | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | PIT | 6 | CF | Oneil Cruz | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | PIT | 7 | C | Endy Rodríguez | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
| simulation | PIT | 8 | RF | Jake Mangum | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | PIT | 9 | SS | Jared Triolo | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | HOU | 1 | SS | Jeremy Peña | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | HOU | 2 | DH | Yordan Alvarez | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | HOU | 3 | 1B | Christian Walker | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.400 |
| simulation | HOU | 4 | 3B | Isaac Paredes | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.500 |
| simulation | HOU | 5 | LF | Taylor Trammell | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 |
| simulation | HOU | 6 | RF | Cam Smith | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | HOU | 7 | CF | Jake Meyers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | HOU | 8 | 2B | Brice Matthews | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | HOU | 9 | C | Christian Vázquez | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | PIT | 1 | Bubba Chandler | Starter | 4.2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.71 | 4.85 | 1.52 |
| current | PIT | 2 | Mason Montgomery | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.13 | 1.17 |
| current | PIT | 3 | Evan Sisk | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.44 | 1.04 |
| current | PIT | 4 | Gregory Soto | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.95 | 0.76 |
| current | PIT | 5 | Yohan Ramírez | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.73 | 1.42 |
| current | HOU | 1 | Mike Burrows | Starter | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.00 | 5.40 | 1.45 |
| current | HOU | 2 | Bryan King | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.84 | 1.30 |
| current | HOU | 3 | Nate Pearson | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.09 |
| current | HOU | 4 | Bryan Abreu | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.50 | 6.87 | 2.02 |
| current | HOU | 5 | Enyel De Los Santos | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.47 | 1.03 |
| current | HOU | 6 | Steven Okert | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.46 | 0.96 |
| current | HOU | 7 | Kai-Wei Teng | Reliever | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| simulation | PIT | 1 | Bubba Chandler | Starter | 4.2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 98 | 7.71 | 4.85 | 1.52 |
| simulation | PIT | 2 | Gregory Soto | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 0.00 | 1.95 | 0.76 |
| simulation | PIT | 3 | Mason Montgomery | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 0.00 | 3.13 | 1.17 |
| simulation | PIT | 4 | Yohan Ramírez | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 0.00 | 4.73 | 1.42 |
| simulation | PIT | 5 | Evan Sisk | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0.00 | 1.44 | 1.04 |
| simulation | HOU | 1 | Mike Burrows | Starter | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 92 | 9.00 | 5.40 | 1.45 |
| simulation | HOU | 2 | Bryan King | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0.00 | 2.84 | 1.30 |
| simulation | HOU | 3 | Bryan Abreu | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13.50 | 6.87 | 2.02 |
| simulation | HOU | 4 | Nate Pearson | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.09 |
| simulation | HOU | 5 | Enyel De Los Santos | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0.00 | 3.47 | 1.03 |
| simulation | HOU | 6 | Steven Okert | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0.00 | 3.46 | 0.96 |
| simulation | HOU | 7 | Kai-Wei Teng | Reliever | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.57 | 1.10 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | Bubba Chandler | Starter | 4.2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 98 |
| PIT | Mason Montgomery | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 31 |
| PIT | Evan Sisk | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| PIT | Gregory Soto | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 |
| PIT | Yohan Ramírez | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 |
| HOU | Mike Burrows | Starter | 5.0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 92 |
| HOU | Bryan King | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 |
| HOU | Nate Pearson | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| HOU | Bryan Abreu | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 |
| HOU | Enyel De Los Santos | Middle Reliever | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| HOU | Steven Okert | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| HOU | Kai-Wei Teng | Reliever | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_SD@PHI
20260602_SD@PHI.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | PHI | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | SD | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | PHI | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | PHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | PHI | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | PHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kyle Schwarber: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Brandon Marsh: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Trea Turner: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryce Harper: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryson Stott: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Adolis García: AB current=7 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Justin Crawford: AB current=6 box=4, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Alec Bohm: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SD | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=36; H: current=12, sim=9; 2B: current=1, sim=4; RBI: current=7, sim=6; R: current=8, sim=6; BB: current=7, sim=5; SO: current=13, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SD | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | SD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Miguel Andujar: AB current=7 box=5, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2; Gavin Sheets: AB current=6 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Manny Machado: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0; Jackson Merrill: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sung-Mun Song: R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Freddy Fermin: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2, BB current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | PHI | BATTING_REALISM | current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | SD | BATTING_REALISM | current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | PHI | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | SD | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | PHI | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | SD | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | PHI | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | SD | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:PHI batting walks match SD pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:PHI batting home runs match SD pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:PHI batting hits match SD pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:PHI PA=38 matches SD BF=38. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:SD batting walks match PHI pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:SD batting home runs match PHI pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:SD batting hits match PHI pitching: 9. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:SD batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:SD PA=41 matches PHI BF=41. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | PHI | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | PHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | SD | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PHI | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PHI | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PHI | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | PHI current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PHI | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | PHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SD | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | SD current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SD | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SD | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | SD current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SD | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | SD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.547. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.547. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.453. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.523/0.712. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: SD 9, PHI 8. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: SD 6 - PHI 3. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SD. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SD. | {'winner_confidence': 0.547211, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.543331, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_PHI@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'SD', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_PHI@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_PHI@SD.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_SD@PHI. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: SD@PHI. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 177. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | PHI | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | PHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | PHI | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 177. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SD | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | SD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SD | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | PHI | PITCHING_REALISM | current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | PHI | STARTER_PRESENT | current:PHI includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SD | PITCHING_REALISM | current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SD | STARTER_PRESENT | current:SD includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | PHI | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | PHI | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SD | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SD | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | PHI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | PHI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | PHI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | PHI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SD 4 - 3 PHI. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: SD 6 - 3 PHI. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: SD wins 6-3. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=SD, final=SD. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.547. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 11/55 (0.200). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 9/56 (0.161). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: SD wins 6-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: SD wins 6-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 6-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-3, final 6-3 (delta 2). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 9. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: SD wins 6-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | PHI | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | PHI | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | PHI wins and win_pct agree: 9/56 = 0.161. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SD | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SD | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | SD wins and win_pct agree: 11/55 = 0.200. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | PHI | BATTING_REALISM | current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | SD | BATTING_REALISM | current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | PHI | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | SD | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | PHI | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | SD | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | PHI | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | SD | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:PHI batting walks match SD pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:PHI batting home runs match SD pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:PHI batting hits match SD pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:PHI PA=38 matches SD BF=38. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | PHI | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:SD batting walks match PHI pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:SD batting home runs match PHI pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:SD batting hits match PHI pitching: 9. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:SD batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:SD PA=41 matches PHI BF=41. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SD | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | PHI | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | PHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | SD | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PHI | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PHI | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PHI | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | PHI current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | PHI | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | PHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SD | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | SD current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SD | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SD | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | SD current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SD | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | SD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.547. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.547. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.453. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.523/0.712. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: SD 9, PHI 8. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: SD 6 - PHI 3. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SD. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SD. | {'winner_confidence': 0.547211, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.543331, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_PHI@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'SD', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_PHI@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_PHI@SD.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_SD@PHI. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: SD@PHI. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 177. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | PHI | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | PHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | PHI | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 177. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SD | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | SD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SD | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | PHI | PITCHING_REALISM | current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | PHI | STARTER_PRESENT | current:PHI includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SD | PITCHING_REALISM | current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SD | STARTER_PRESENT | current:SD includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | PHI | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | PHI | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SD | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SD | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | PHI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | PHI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | PHI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | PHI | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SD | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SD 4 - 3 PHI. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: SD 6 - 3 PHI. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: SD wins 6-3. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=SD, final=SD. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.547. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 11/55 (0.200). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 9/56 (0.161). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: SD wins 6-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: SD wins 6-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 6-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-3, final 6-3 (delta 2). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 9. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: SD wins 6-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | PHI | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | PHI | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | PHI wins and win_pct agree: 9/56 = 0.161. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SD | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SD | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | SD wins and win_pct agree: 11/55 = 0.200. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | PHI | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | SD | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | PHI | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | PHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | PHI | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | PHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kyle Schwarber: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Brandon Marsh: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Trea Turner: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryce Harper: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryson Stott: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Adolis García: AB current=7 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Justin Crawford: AB current=6 box=4, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Alec Bohm: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SD | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=36; H: current=12, sim=9; 2B: current=1, sim=4; RBI: current=7, sim=6; R: current=8, sim=6; BB: current=7, sim=5; SO: current=13, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SD | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | SD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Miguel Andujar: AB current=7 box=5, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2; Gavin Sheets: AB current=6 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Manny Machado: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0; Jackson Merrill: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sung-Mun Song: R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Freddy Fermin: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2, BB current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 6.626777648925781 | 4.9499831199646 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 6 | 5 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 3 | 2 | 0.547 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 3 | 3 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| target_tie_break | 4 | 3 | Resolved tied pre-simulation target using calibrated winner probability | |
| capped_target | 4 | 3 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 6 | 3 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| PHI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | SD | batting | 56 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | SD | pitching | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | PHI | batting | 63 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | PHI | pitching | 9 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 9.0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | SD | batting | 36 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | SD | pitching | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9.0 | 3 | 38 | 161 | |||||||||
| simulation | PHI | batting | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | PHI | pitching | 9 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 9.0 | 6 | 41 | 177 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | SD | DH | Miguel Andujar | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | SD | 1B | Gavin Sheets | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | SD | RF | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | SD | 3B | Manny Machado | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | SD | CF | Jackson Merrill | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | SD | SS | Xander Bogaerts | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | SD | 2B | Sung-Mun Song | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | SD | C | Freddy Fermin | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | SD | LF | Ty France | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | PHI | DH | Kyle Schwarber | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | PHI | LF | Brandon Marsh | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | PHI | SS | Trea Turner | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | PHI | 1B | Bryce Harper | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | PHI | 2B | Bryson Stott | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | PHI | RF | Adolis García | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | PHI | CF | Justin Crawford | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | PHI | 3B | Alec Bohm | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | PHI | C | Garrett Stubbs | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| simulation | SD | 1 | RF | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | SD | 2 | 1B | Gavin Sheets | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | SD | 3 | 3B | Manny Machado | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | SD | 4 | DH | Miguel Andujar | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
| simulation | SD | 5 | CF | Jackson Merrill | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | SD | 6 | SS | Xander Bogaerts | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | SD | 7 | 2B | Sung-Mun Song | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | SD | 8 | C | Freddy Fermin | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | SD | 9 | 1B | Ty France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | PHI | 1 | DH | Kyle Schwarber | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | PHI | 2 | SS | Trea Turner | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | PHI | 3 | 1B | Bryce Harper | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | PHI | 4 | LF | Brandon Marsh | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | PHI | 5 | 3B | Alec Bohm | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 |
| simulation | PHI | 6 | 2B | Bryson Stott | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | PHI | 7 | CF | Justin Crawford | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | PHI | 8 | RF | Adolis García | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | PHI | 9 | C | Garrett Stubbs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | SD | 1 | Randy Vásquez | Starter | 5.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.06 | 3.28 | 1.23 |
| current | SD | 2 | Adrian Morejon | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.90 | 1.07 |
| current | SD | 3 | Jason Adam | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| current | SD | 4 | Mason Miller | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.72 | 0.84 |
| current | PHI | 1 | Aaron Nola | Starter | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.40 | 5.72 | 1.45 |
| current | PHI | 2 | Brad Keller | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.50 | 3.65 | 1.14 |
| current | PHI | 3 | Jhoan Duran | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.53 | 0.96 |
| current | PHI | 4 | Orion Kerkering | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.53 | 1.12 |
| current | PHI | 5 | José Alvarado | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.50 | 5.59 | 1.81 |
| simulation | SD | 1 | Randy Vásquez | Starter | 5.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 98 | 5.06 | 3.28 | 1.23 |
| simulation | SD | 2 | Mason Miller | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 0.00 | 0.72 | 0.84 |
| simulation | SD | 3 | Jason Adam | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0.00 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| simulation | SD | 4 | Adrian Morejon | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 0.00 | 3.90 | 1.07 |
| simulation | PHI | 1 | Aaron Nola | Starter | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 100 | 5.40 | 5.72 | 1.45 |
| simulation | PHI | 2 | Jhoan Duran | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0.00 | 1.53 | 0.96 |
| simulation | PHI | 3 | Brad Keller | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 13.50 | 3.65 | 1.14 |
| simulation | PHI | 4 | José Alvarado | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13.50 | 5.59 | 1.81 |
| simulation | PHI | 5 | Orion Kerkering | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0.00 | 2.53 | 1.12 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | Randy Vásquez | Starter | 5.1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 98 |
| SD | Adrian Morejon | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 24 |
| SD | Jason Adam | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 |
| SD | Mason Miller | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 |
| PHI | Aaron Nola | Starter | 5.0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 100 |
| PHI | Brad Keller | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 28 |
| PHI | Jhoan Duran | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| PHI | Orion Kerkering | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| PHI | José Alvarado | Middle Reliever | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_SF@MIL
20260602_SF@MIL.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | MIL | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | SF | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=30; H: current=15, sim=6; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=10, sim=4; BB: current=10, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=9). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIL | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | MIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Christian Yelich: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Jackson Chourio: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; William Contreras: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Brice Turang: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Jake Bauers: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Garrett Mitchell: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=3 box=0; Luis Rengifo: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sal Frelick: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SF | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=31; H: current=15, sim=4; 2B: current=4, sim=1; 3B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=2; R: current=6, sim=2; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=14, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SF | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | SF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Casey Schmitt: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Luis Arraez: AB current=8 box=4, 3B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Matt Chapman: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Rafael Devers: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Buddy Kennedy: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=0 box=1; Daniel Susac: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jonah Cox: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | MIL | BATTING_REALISM | current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | SF | BATTING_REALISM | current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | MIL | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | SF | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | MIL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | SF | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | MIL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | SF | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:MIL batting walks match SF pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:MIL batting home runs match SF pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:MIL batting hits match SF pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 9. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:MIL PA=35 matches SF BF=35. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:SF batting walks match MIL pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:SF batting home runs match MIL pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:SF batting hits match MIL pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:SF batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:SF PA=34 matches MIL BF=34. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | MIL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | SF | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIL | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIL | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIL | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | MIL current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIL | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | MIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SF | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | SF current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SF | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SF | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | SF current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SF | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | SF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.356. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.644. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.644. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.469/0.649. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: SF 4, MIL 6. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: SF 2 - MIL 4. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIL. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIL. | {'winner_confidence': 0.644398, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.619198, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_SF@MIL.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_SF@MIL. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: SF@MIL. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 146. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 134. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIL | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIL | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 134. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SF | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | SF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SF | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 146. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIL | PITCHING_REALISM | current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIL | STARTER_PRESENT | current:MIL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SF | PITCHING_REALISM | current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SF | STARTER_PRESENT | current:SF includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIL | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIL | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SF | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SF | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SF | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SF | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SF | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SF | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SF 1 - 4 MIL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: SF 2 - 4 MIL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIL wins 4-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIL, final=MIL. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.644. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 10/55 (0.182). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 20/51 (0.392). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: MIL wins 4-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: MIL wins 2-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 2-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-4, final 2-4 (delta 1). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 6. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: MIL wins 4-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIL | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIL | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | MIL wins and win_pct agree: 20/51 = 0.392. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SF | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SF | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | SF wins and win_pct agree: 10/55 = 0.182. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | MIL | BATTING_REALISM | current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | SF | BATTING_REALISM | current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | MIL | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | SF | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | MIL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | SF | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | MIL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | SF | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:MIL batting walks match SF pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:MIL batting home runs match SF pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:MIL batting hits match SF pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 9. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:MIL PA=35 matches SF BF=35. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | MIL | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:SF batting walks match MIL pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:SF batting home runs match MIL pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:SF batting hits match MIL pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:SF batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 8. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:SF PA=34 matches MIL BF=34. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | SF | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | MIL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | SF | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIL | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIL | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIL | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | MIL current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | MIL | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | MIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SF | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | SF current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SF | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SF | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | SF current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | SF | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | SF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.356. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.644. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.644. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.469/0.649. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: SF 4, MIL 6. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: SF 2 - MIL 4. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIL. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIL. | {'winner_confidence': 0.644398, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.619198, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_SF@MIL.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_SF@MIL. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: SF@MIL. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 146. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 134. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIL | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | MIL | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 134. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SF | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | SF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | SF | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 146. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIL | PITCHING_REALISM | current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | MIL | STARTER_PRESENT | current:MIL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SF | PITCHING_REALISM | current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | SF | STARTER_PRESENT | current:SF includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIL | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | MIL | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SF | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | SF | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | MIL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SF | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | SF | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | MIL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SF | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | SF | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SF 1 - 4 MIL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: SF 2 - 4 MIL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIL wins 4-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIL, final=MIL. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.644. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 10/55 (0.182). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 20/51 (0.392). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: MIL wins 4-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: MIL wins 2-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 2-4. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-4, final 2-4 (delta 1). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 6. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: MIL wins 4-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIL | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | MIL | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | MIL wins and win_pct agree: 20/51 = 0.392. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SF | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | SF | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | SF wins and win_pct agree: 10/55 = 0.182. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | MIL | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | SF | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | MIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=30; H: current=15, sim=6; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=10, sim=4; BB: current=10, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=9). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | MIL | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | MIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Christian Yelich: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Jackson Chourio: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; William Contreras: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Brice Turang: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Jake Bauers: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Garrett Mitchell: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=3 box=0; Luis Rengifo: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sal Frelick: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SF | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | SF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=31; H: current=15, sim=4; 2B: current=4, sim=1; 3B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=2; R: current=6, sim=2; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=14, sim=8). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | SF | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | SF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Casey Schmitt: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Luis Arraez: AB current=8 box=4, 3B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Matt Chapman: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Rafael Devers: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Buddy Kennedy: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=0 box=1; Daniel Susac: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jonah Cox: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 3.8189024925231934 | 4.9928483963012695 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 3 | 5 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 1 | 4 | 0.644 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 1 | 4 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| capped_target | 1 | 4 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 2 | 4 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| MIL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | SF | batting | 55 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | SF | pitching | 6 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | MIL | batting | 64 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | MIL | pitching | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | SF | batting | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | SF | pitching | 6 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8.0 | 4 | 35 | 146 | |||||||||
| simulation | MIL | batting | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | MIL | pitching | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9.0 | 2 | 34 | 134 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | SF | LF | Casey Schmitt | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | SF | 2B | Luis Arraez | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.375 | |
| current | SF | 3B | Matt Chapman | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | SF | 1B | Rafael Devers | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | SF | SS | Willy Adames | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | SF | DH | Buddy Kennedy | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | SF | C | Daniel Susac | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | SF | CF | Jonah Cox | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | SF | RF | Victor Bericoto | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | MIL | DH | Christian Yelich | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | MIL | LF | Jackson Chourio | 0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | MIL | C | William Contreras | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | MIL | 2B | Brice Turang | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | MIL | 1B | Jake Bauers | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | MIL | CF | Garrett Mitchell | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | MIL | 3B | Luis Rengifo | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | MIL | RF | Sal Frelick | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | MIL | SS | David Hamilton | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| simulation | SF | 1 | LF | Casey Schmitt | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | SF | 2 | 1B | Rafael Devers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | SF | 3 | 2B | Luis Arraez | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 |
| simulation | SF | 4 | SS | Willy Adames | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | SF | 5 | 3B | Matt Chapman | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | SF | 6 | DH | Buddy Kennedy | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | SF | 7 | C | Daniel Susac | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | SF | 8 | RF | Victor Bericoto | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | SF | 9 | CF | Jonah Cox | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIL | 1 | DH | Christian Yelich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | MIL | 2 | LF | Jackson Chourio | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | MIL | 3 | 2B | Brice Turang | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | MIL | 4 | C | William Contreras | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | MIL | 5 | 1B | Jake Bauers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIL | 6 | CF | Garrett Mitchell | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | MIL | 7 | RF | Sal Frelick | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIL | 8 | 3B | Luis Rengifo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | MIL | 9 | SS | David Hamilton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | SF | 1 | Trevor McDonald | Starter | 5.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.18 | 4.34 | 1.07 |
| current | SF | 2 | Caleb Kilian | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.81 | 1.15 |
| current | SF | 3 | Keaton Winn | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.45 | 0.90 |
| current | SF | 5 | Erik Miller | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.41 | 1.41 | |
| current | MIL | 1 | Kyle Harrison | Starter | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.50 | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| current | MIL | 2 | Aaron Ashby | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.28 |
| current | MIL | 3 | Abner Uribe | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.00 | 3.80 | 1.17 |
| current | MIL | 4 | Trevor Megill | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.57 | 0.95 |
| simulation | SF | 1 | Trevor McDonald | Starter | 5.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 25 | 100 | 3.18 | 4.34 | 1.07 |
| simulation | SF | 2 | Caleb Kilian | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0.00 | 3.81 | 1.15 |
| simulation | SF | 3 | Keaton Winn | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0.00 | 2.45 | 0.90 |
| simulation | SF | 4 | Erik Miller | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 4.41 | 1.41 | |
| simulation | MIL | 1 | Kyle Harrison | Starter | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 24 | 97 | 1.50 | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| simulation | MIL | 2 | Abner Uribe | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9.00 | 3.80 | 1.17 |
| simulation | MIL | 3 | Trevor Megill | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0.00 | 2.57 | 0.95 |
| simulation | MIL | 4 | Aaron Ashby | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.28 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | Trevor McDonald | Starter | 5.2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 100 |
| SF | Caleb Kilian | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 |
| SF | Keaton Winn | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| SF | Erik Miller | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 |
| MIL | Kyle Harrison | Starter | 6.0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 97 |
| MIL | Aaron Ashby | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| MIL | Abner Uribe | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 |
| MIL | Trevor Megill | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_TEX@STL
20260602_TEX@STL.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | STL | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | TEX | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | STL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | STL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=60, sim=31; H: current=15, sim=4; RBI: current=7, sim=0; R: current=6, sim=0; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=11). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | STL | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | STL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: JJ Wetherholt: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Iván Herrera: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jordan Walker: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alec Burleson: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Bryan Torres: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jimmy Crooks: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Masyn Winn: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nolan Gorman: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TEX | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=53, sim=38; H: current=13, sim=11; 2B: current=1, sim=2; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=5; R: current=7, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=3). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TEX | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | TEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Josh Jung: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Joc Pederson: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Brandon Nimmo: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ezequiel Duran: AB current=6 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alejandro Osuna: H current=1 box=3, RBI current=0 box=2, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Evan Carter: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Kyle Higashioka: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 3-2, final 5-0 (delta 4). | No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction. | ||||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | STL | BATTING_REALISM | current:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | TEX | BATTING_REALISM | current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | STL | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | TEX | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | STL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | TEX | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | STL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | TEX | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:STL batting walks match TEX pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:STL batting home runs match TEX pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:STL batting hits match TEX pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:STL batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 11. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:STL PA=33 matches TEX BF=33. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:TEX batting walks match STL pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:TEX batting home runs match STL pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:TEX batting hits match STL pitching: 11. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:TEX PA=41 matches STL BF=41. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | STL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | STL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | TEX | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | STL | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | STL current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | STL | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | STL | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | STL current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | STL | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | STL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TEX | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TEX | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TEX | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | TEX current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TEX | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | TEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.552. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.552. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.448. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.469/0.649. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: TEX 11, STL 4. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: TEX 5 - STL 0. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TEX. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TEX. | {'winner_confidence': 0.551635, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.537617, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_TEX@STL.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_TEX@STL. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: TEX@STL. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 170. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | STL | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | STL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | STL | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 170. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TEX | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | TEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TEX | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | STL | PITCHING_REALISM | current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | STL | STARTER_PRESENT | current:STL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TEX | PITCHING_REALISM | current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TEX | STARTER_PRESENT | current:TEX includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | STL | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | STL | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TEX | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TEX | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | STL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | STL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TEX | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TEX | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | STL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | STL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TEX | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TEX | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TEX 3 - 2 STL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: TEX 5 - 0 STL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: TEX wins 5-0. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=TEX, final=TEX. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.552. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 18/58 (0.310). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 6/55 (0.109). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: TEX wins 5-0. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: TEX wins 5-0. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 5-0. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 5. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: TEX wins 5-0. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | STL | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | STL | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | STL wins and win_pct agree: 6/55 = 0.109. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TEX | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TEX | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | TEX wins and win_pct agree: 18/58 = 0.310. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | STL | BATTING_REALISM | current:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | TEX | BATTING_REALISM | current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | STL | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | TEX | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | STL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | TEX | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | STL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | TEX | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:STL batting walks match TEX pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:STL batting home runs match TEX pitching: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:STL batting hits match TEX pitching: 4. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:STL batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 11. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:STL PA=33 matches TEX BF=33. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | STL | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:TEX batting walks match STL pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:TEX batting home runs match STL pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:TEX batting hits match STL pitching: 11. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 7. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:TEX PA=41 matches STL BF=41. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TEX | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | STL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | STL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | TEX | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | STL | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | STL current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | STL | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | STL | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | STL current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | STL | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | STL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TEX | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TEX | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TEX | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | TEX current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TEX | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | TEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.552. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.552. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.448. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.469/0.649. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: TEX 11, STL 4. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: TEX 5 - STL 0. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TEX. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TEX. | {'winner_confidence': 0.551635, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-06-01', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.537617, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260601_TEX@STL.json'}]}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_TEX@STL. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: TEX@STL. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 170. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | STL | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | STL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | STL | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 170. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TEX | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | TEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TEX | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | STL | PITCHING_REALISM | current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | STL | STARTER_PRESENT | current:STL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TEX | PITCHING_REALISM | current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TEX | STARTER_PRESENT | current:TEX includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | STL | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | STL | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TEX | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TEX | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | STL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | STL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TEX | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TEX | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | STL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | STL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TEX | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TEX | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TEX 3 - 2 STL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: TEX 5 - 0 STL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: TEX wins 5-0. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=TEX, final=TEX. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.552. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 18/58 (0.310). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 6/55 (0.109). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: TEX wins 5-0. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: TEX wins 5-0. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 5-0. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 5. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: TEX wins 5-0. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | STL | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | STL | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | STL wins and win_pct agree: 6/55 = 0.109. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TEX | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TEX | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | TEX wins and win_pct agree: 18/58 = 0.310. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | STL | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | TEX | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | STL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | STL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=60, sim=31; H: current=15, sim=4; RBI: current=7, sim=0; R: current=6, sim=0; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=11). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | STL | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | STL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: JJ Wetherholt: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Iván Herrera: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jordan Walker: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alec Burleson: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Bryan Torres: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jimmy Crooks: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Masyn Winn: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nolan Gorman: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TEX | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=53, sim=38; H: current=13, sim=11; 2B: current=1, sim=2; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=5; R: current=7, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=3). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TEX | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | TEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Josh Jung: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Joc Pederson: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Brandon Nimmo: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ezequiel Duran: AB current=6 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alejandro Osuna: H current=1 box=3, RBI current=0 box=2, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Evan Carter: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Kyle Higashioka: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 3-2, final 5-0 (delta 4). | No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction. | ||||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 6.492274284362793 | 5.256019592285156 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 7 | 5 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 3 | 2 | 0.552 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 3 | 2 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| capped_target | 3 | 2 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 5 | 0 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | TEX | batting | 53 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | TEX | pitching | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | STL | batting | 60 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | STL | pitching | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | TEX | batting | 38 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | TEX | pitching | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9.0 | 0 | 33 | 139 | |||||||||
| simulation | STL | batting | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | STL | pitching | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9.0 | 5 | 41 | 170 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | TEX | 3B | Josh Jung | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | TEX | DH | Joc Pederson | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | TEX | RF | Brandon Nimmo | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | TEX | SS | Ezequiel Duran | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | TEX | 1B | Jake Burger | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | TEX | LF | Alejandro Osuna | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | TEX | CF | Evan Carter | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | TEX | C | Kyle Higashioka | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | TEX | 2B | Nicky Lopez | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | STL | 2B | JJ Wetherholt | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | STL | DH | Iván Herrera | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | STL | RF | Jordan Walker | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | STL | 1B | Alec Burleson | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | STL | LF | Bryan Torres | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | STL | C | Jimmy Crooks | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | |
| current | STL | SS | Masyn Winn | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | STL | 3B | Nolan Gorman | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | STL | CF | Victor Scott II | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| simulation | TEX | 1 | DH | Joc Pederson | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | TEX | 2 | 3B | Josh Jung | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.600 |
| simulation | TEX | 3 | RF | Brandon Nimmo | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.200 |
| simulation | TEX | 4 | 1B | Jake Burger | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | TEX | 5 | SS | Ezequiel Duran | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.400 |
| simulation | TEX | 6 | LF | Alejandro Osuna | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 |
| simulation | TEX | 7 | CF | Evan Carter | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | TEX | 8 | C | Kyle Higashioka | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | TEX | 9 | 2B | Nicky Lopez | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | STL | 1 | 2B | JJ Wetherholt | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | STL | 2 | DH | Iván Herrera | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | STL | 3 | 1B | Alec Burleson | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | STL | 4 | RF | Jordan Walker | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | STL | 5 | LF | Bryan Torres | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | STL | 6 | SS | Masyn Winn | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | STL | 7 | 3B | Nolan Gorman | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | STL | 8 | C | Jimmy Crooks | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | STL | 9 | CF | Victor Scott II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | TEX | 1 | Nathan Eovaldi | Starter | 6.2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.93 | 1.11 |
| current | TEX | 2 | Jacob Latz | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.44 |
| current | TEX | 3 | Jakob Junis | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.75 | 0.78 |
| current | TEX | 6 | Tyler Alexander | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.12 | 1.38 | |
| current | STL | 1 | Dustin May | Starter | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.00 | 4.57 | 1.30 |
| current | STL | 2 | George Soriano | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.04 | 1.14 |
| current | STL | 3 | JoJo Romero | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.00 | 2.70 | 1.16 |
| current | STL | 4 | Riley O'Brien | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.20 | 0.99 |
| current | STL | 6 | Ryne Stanek | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.56 | 1.76 | |
| simulation | TEX | 1 | Nathan Eovaldi | Starter | 6.2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 25 | 100 | 0.00 | 3.93 | 1.11 |
| simulation | TEX | 2 | Jacob Latz | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.44 |
| simulation | TEX | 3 | Jakob Junis | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0.00 | 1.75 | 0.78 |
| simulation | TEX | 4 | Tyler Alexander | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3.12 | 1.38 | |
| simulation | STL | 1 | Dustin May | Starter | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 108 | 6.00 | 4.57 | 1.30 |
| simulation | STL | 2 | Riley O'Brien | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0.00 | 3.20 | 0.99 |
| simulation | STL | 3 | JoJo Romero | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 9.00 | 2.70 | 1.16 |
| simulation | STL | 4 | George Soriano | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0.00 | 3.04 | 1.14 |
| simulation | STL | 5 | Ryne Stanek | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5.56 | 1.76 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Starter | 6.2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 100 |
| TEX | Jacob Latz | Middle Reliever | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| TEX | Jakob Junis | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 |
| TEX | Tyler Alexander | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 |
| STL | Dustin May | Starter | 6.0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 108 |
| STL | George Soriano | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 |
| STL | JoJo Romero | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 |
| STL | Riley O'Brien | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 |
| STL | Ryne Stanek | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |
20260602_TOR@ATL
20260602_TOR@ATL.json • 2026-06-02
Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.
No action required
No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.
Problems table - exact rows
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|
All findings - complete audit trail
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | ATL | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | TOR | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | ATL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=29; H: current=13, sim=5; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=13, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | ATL | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Michael Harris II: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ozzie Albies: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Matt Olson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dominic Smith: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mike Yastrzemski: AB current=5 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jorge Mateo: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TOR | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=32; H: current=13, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TOR | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Daulton Varsho: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; George Springer: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Nathan Lukes: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Yohendrick Pinango: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Andrés Giménez: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. | |||||
| PASS | batting | current | ATL | BATTING_REALISM | current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | TOR | BATTING_REALISM | current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | ATL | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | TOR | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | ATL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | TOR | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | ATL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | TOR | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:ATL batting walks match TOR pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:ATL batting home runs match TOR pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:ATL batting hits match TOR pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:ATL PA=31 matches TOR BF=31. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:TOR batting walks match ATL pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:TOR batting home runs match ATL pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:TOR batting hits match ATL pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:TOR PA=35 matches ATL BF=35. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | ATL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | TOR | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ATL | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ATL | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ATL | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | ATL current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ATL | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TOR | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TOR | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TOR | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | TOR current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TOR | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.435. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.565. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.565. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.619/0.825. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: TOR 5, ATL 5. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: TOR 2 - ATL 3. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL. | {'winner_confidence': 0.565438, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_TOR@ATL. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: TOR@ATL. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 122. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 138. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | ATL | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | ATL | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 138. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TOR | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TOR | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 122. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | ATL | PITCHING_REALISM | current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | ATL | STARTER_PRESENT | current:ATL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TOR | PITCHING_REALISM | current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TOR | STARTER_PRESENT | current:TOR includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | ATL | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | ATL | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TOR | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TOR | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | ATL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | ATL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TOR | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TOR | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | ATL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | ATL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TOR | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TOR | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TOR 1 - 2 ATL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: TOR 2 - 3 ATL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.565. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 14/58 (0.241). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 14/53 (0.264). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 2-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 2-3 (delta 2). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 5. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: ATL wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | ATL | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | ATL | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | ATL wins and win_pct agree: 14/53 = 0.264. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TOR | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TOR | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | TOR wins and win_pct agree: 14/58 = 0.241. |
Passed checks
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASS | batting | current | ATL | BATTING_REALISM | current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | current | TOR | BATTING_REALISM | current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | ATL | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting | simulation | TOR | BATTING_REALISM | simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | ATL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | current | TOR | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | ATL | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | batting_totals | simulation | TOR | BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:ATL batting walks match TOR pitching: 2. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:ATL batting home runs match TOR pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:ATL batting hits match TOR pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:ATL PA=31 matches TOR BF=31. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | ATL | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | simulation:TOR batting walks match ATL pitching: 3. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | simulation:TOR batting home runs match ATL pitching: 1. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | simulation:TOR batting hits match ATL pitching: 5. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 6. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | PA_BF_MATCH | simulation:TOR PA=35 matches ATL BF=35. | |||
| PASS | boxscore_crosscheck | simulation | TOR | RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | ATL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | cross_schema | cross-schema | TOR | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ATL | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ATL | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ATL | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | ATL current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | ATL | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TOR | CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TOR | CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TOR | CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | TOR current hitter names are populated. | |||
| PASS | current_payload | current | TOR | CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. | |||
| PASS | data_leakage | H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.435. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | confidence is in [0,1]: 0.565. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.565. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score analysis factors are non-negative. | |||||
| PASS | enhanced_prediction | LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.619/0.825. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNINGS_COUNT | inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_OUTS | Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_PLAY_SUMS | Detailed play totals match every half-inning line. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_SEQUENCE | Inning numbers are sequential. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_HITS | Inning hits match batting totals: TOR 5, ATL 5. | |||||
| PASS | innings | INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | Inning runs sum to final score: TOR 2 - ATL 3. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL. | |||||
| PASS | matchup_recency | MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL. | {'winner_confidence': 0.565438, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}} | ||||
| PASS | metadata | DATE_PARSE | Date is valid ISO format: 2026-06-02. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | Filename matches game_id: 20260602_TOR@ATL. | |||||
| PASS | metadata | FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | Filename teams match JSON teams: TOR@ATL. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_by_pitch | PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 122. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 138. | |||||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | ATL | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | ATL | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 138. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TOR | PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score. | |||
| PASS | pitch_count | simulation | TOR | PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 122. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | ATL | PITCHING_REALISM | current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | ATL | STARTER_PRESENT | current:ATL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TOR | PITCHING_REALISM | current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | current | TOR | STARTER_PRESENT | current:TOR includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | ATL | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | ATL | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TOR | PITCHING_REALISM | simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints. | |||
| PASS | pitching | simulation | TOR | STARTER_PRESENT | simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | ATL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | ATL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TOR | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | current | TOR | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | ATL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | ATL | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TOR | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0. | |||
| PASS | pitching_totals | simulation | TOR | PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields. | |||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TOR 1 - 2 ATL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation score matches final score: TOR 2 - 3 ATL. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | prediction_comparison | SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL. | |||||
| PASS | probability | CONFIDENCE_RANGE | Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.565. | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | away recent_form record is coherent: 14/58 (0.241). | |||||
| PASS | recent_form | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | home recent_form record is coherent: 14/53 (0.264). | |||||
| PASS | report | REPORT_COMPLETE | All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report. | |||||
| PASS | schema | SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison. | |||||
| PASS | score | GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_NO_TIE | Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 2-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3. | |||||
| PASS | score | SCORE_STEP_ORDER | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. | |||||
| PASS | score | TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 2-3 (delta 2). | |||||
| PASS | score | TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | total_runs field matches final score total: 5. | |||||
| PASS | score | WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | winner field is consistent: ATL wins 3-2. | |||||
| PASS | score | cross-schema | CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score. | New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | ATL | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | ATL | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | ATL wins and win_pct agree: 14/53 = 0.264. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TOR | RECENT_FORM_RANGE | TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges. | |||
| PASS | team_recent_performance | current | TOR | TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | TOR wins and win_pct agree: 14/58 = 0.241. |
Info/context findings
| Severity | Category | Source | Team | Player | Rule | Message | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFO | current_payload | current | ATL | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_payload | current | TOR | CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit. | |||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | ATL | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=57, sim=29; H: current=13, sim=5; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=13, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | ATL | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Michael Harris II: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ozzie Albies: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Matt Olson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dominic Smith: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mike Yastrzemski: AB current=5 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jorge Mateo: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TOR | CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=32; H: current=13, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=6). | New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score. | ||
| INFO | current_vs_final | cross-schema | TOR | CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Daulton Varsho: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; George Springer: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Nathan Lukes: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Yohendrick Pinango: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Andrés Giménez: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0 | New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw. | ||
| INFO | score_reconciliation | RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game. |
Score evolution
| step | away_runs | home_runs | confidence | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| historical_ml | 4.475428581237793 | 4.1486358642578125 | Base ML historical model prediction | |
| variance_applied | 5 | 4 | Random variance applied (0.9-1.1) | |
| enhanced_prediction | 1 | 2 | 0.565 | Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis |
| embedded_savant_run_environment | 1 | 2 | Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality | |
| capped_target | 1 | 2 | Capped at max 12 realistic runs | |
| simulation_result | 2 | 3 | Final inning-by-inning simulation result |
Inning-by-inning linescore
| team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
Team totals - current + final simulation
| src | team | type | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | R | BB | SO | SF | HBP | SB | CS | IP | ER | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | TOR | batting | 62 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | TOR | pitching | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| current | ATL | batting | 57 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| current | ATL | pitching | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| simulation | TOR | batting | 32 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | TOR | pitching | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8.0 | 3 | 31 | 122 | |||||||||
| simulation | ATL | batting | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| simulation | ATL | pitching | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9.0 | 2 | 35 | 138 |
Batting lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | pos | name | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | HBP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | TOR | CF | Daulton Varsho | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | TOR | DH | George Springer | 0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.222 | |
| current | TOR | 1B | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | TOR | LF | Nathan Lukes | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | TOR | 2B | Ernie Clement | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | TOR | RF | Yohendrick Pinango | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 | |
| current | TOR | 3B | Kazuma Okamoto | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | TOR | SS | Andrés Giménez | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.143 | |
| current | TOR | C | Brandon Valenzuela | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | ATL | RF | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | ATL | CF | Michael Harris II | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | |
| current | ATL | 2B | Ozzie Albies | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | ATL | 1B | Matt Olson | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | ATL | 3B | Austin Riley | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | |
| current | ATL | DH | Dominic Smith | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | ATL | LF | Mike Yastrzemski | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | ATL | SS | Jorge Mateo | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | |
| current | ATL | C | Sandy León | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | |
| simulation | TOR | 1 | DH | George Springer | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | TOR | 2 | LF | Nathan Lukes | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | TOR | 3 | 1B | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | TOR | 4 | CF | Daulton Varsho | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | TOR | 5 | 2B | Ernie Clement | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | TOR | 6 | RF | Yohendrick Pinango | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | TOR | 7 | 3B | Kazuma Okamoto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | TOR | 8 | SS | Andrés Giménez | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | TOR | 9 | C | Brandon Valenzuela | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| simulation | ATL | 1 | RF | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | ATL | 2 | CF | Michael Harris II | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | ATL | 3 | 1B | Matt Olson | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| simulation | ATL | 4 | 2B | Ozzie Albies | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | ATL | 5 | DH | Dominic Smith | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | ATL | 6 | 3B | Austin Riley | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| simulation | ATL | 7 | LF | Mike Yastrzemski | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | ATL | 8 | SS | Jorge Mateo | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| simulation | ATL | 9 | C | Sandy León | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
Pitching lines - current + final simulation
| src | team | order | name | role | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | Pitches | sim_ERA | season_ERA | season_WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | TOR | 1 | Kevin Gausman | Starter | 5.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.59 | 3.13 | 1.09 |
| current | TOR | 2 | Louis Varland | Middle Reliever | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1.03 |
| current | TOR | 5 | Jeff Hoffman | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.31 | 1.75 | |
| current | ATL | 1 | Bryce Elder | Starter | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.08 |
| current | ATL | 2 | Dylan Lee | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.30 | 0.61 |
| current | ATL | 3 | Raisel Iglesias | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.02 | 0.85 |
| current | ATL | 4 | Robert Suarez | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.83 |
| simulation | TOR | 1 | Kevin Gausman | Starter | 5.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 93 | 1.59 | 3.13 | 1.09 |
| simulation | TOR | 2 | Louis Varland | Middle Reliever | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1.03 |
| simulation | TOR | 3 | Jeff Hoffman | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6.31 | 1.75 | |
| simulation | ATL | 1 | Bryce Elder | Starter | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 89 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.08 |
| simulation | ATL | 2 | Raisel Iglesias | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0.00 | 1.02 | 0.85 |
| simulation | ATL | 3 | Robert Suarez | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.83 |
| simulation | ATL | 4 | Dylan Lee | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0.00 | 1.30 | 0.61 |
Pitch count summary
| team | pitcher | role | IP | R | H | BB | SO | BF | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | Kevin Gausman | Starter | 5.2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 93 |
| TOR | Louis Varland | Middle Reliever | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 |
| TOR | Jeff Hoffman | Middle Reliever | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 |
| ATL | Bryce Elder | Starter | 6.0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 89 |
| ATL | Dylan Lee | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 |
| ATL | Raisel Iglesias | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 |
| ATL | Robert Suarez | Middle Reliever | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 |
Audit rule catalog
| rule | status | critical | error | warning | pass | description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATTING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints. |
| BATTING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines. |
| BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed. |
| BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts. |
| CONFIDENCE_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Confidence values are between 0 and 1. |
| CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup. |
| CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions. |
| CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current predicted_performance has usable player names. |
| CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled. |
| CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated. |
| CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats. |
| CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs. |
| DATE_PARSE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Game date can be parsed as an ISO date. |
| FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename and game_id identify the same game. |
| FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON. |
| GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | game_summary text agrees with final score. |
| GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner. |
| H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode. |
| INNINGS_COUNT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning count is valid for MLB. |
| INNING_OUTS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Each played half inning has valid outs. |
| INNING_PLAY_SUMS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches. |
| INNING_SEQUENCE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Innings are sequential and unique. |
| INNING_TOTAL_HITS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning hits sum to batting team hits. |
| INNING_TOTAL_RUNS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Inning runs sum to final score. |
| LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent. |
| MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence. |
| PA_BF_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced. |
| PITCHING_REALISM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints. |
| PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines. |
| PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score. |
| PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals. |
| PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values. |
| PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result. |
| RECENT_FORM_RANGE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges. |
| RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION | info | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score. |
| REPORT_COMPLETE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table. |
| REPORT_CSV_EXPORT | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows. |
| RUNS_MATCH_FINAL | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Batting/pitching runs agree with final score. |
| SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited. |
| SCORE_NO_TIE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final MLB score has a clear winner. |
| SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | score_evolution simulation_result matches final score. |
| SCORE_STEP_ORDER | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps. |
| SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded. |
| STARTER_PRESENT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected. |
| SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS | not triggered | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays. |
| TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target. |
| TEAM_RECENT_RECORD | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed. |
| TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | total_runs equals away + home runs. |
| WINNER_FIELD_MATCH | good | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | winner field agrees with the final score. |