MLB JSON Audit Report

20260530_ARI@SEA

20260530_ARI@SEA.json • 2026-05-30

ARI 1 - SEA 3

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=34; H: current=16, sim=7; 2B: current=3, sim=1; RBI: current=10, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=8, sim=1; SO: current=13, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ketel Marte: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Geraldo Perdomo: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Corbin Carroll: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Nolan Arenado: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Waldschmidt: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gabriel Moreno: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tommy Troy: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=33; H: current=17, sim=8; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=10, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=9).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SEA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Randy Arozarena: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=2; Julio Rodríguez: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Josh Naylor: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; J.P. Crawford: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Dominic Canzone: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Cole Young: AB current=8 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Luke Raley: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Mitch Garver: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	current:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match SEA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match SEA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match SEA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=35 matches SEA BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting walks match ARI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting home runs match ARI pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting hits match ARI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SEA PA=40 matches ARI BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SEA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SEA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SEA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.438.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.448/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ARI 7, SEA 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ARI 1 - SEA 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SEA.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SEA.	{'winner_confidence': 0.561782, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'SEA', 'confidence': 0.519905, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_ARI@SEA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_ARI@SEA.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ARI@SEA.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 206.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 144.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 206.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 144.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ARI 2 - 4 SEA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ARI 1 - 3 SEA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SEA wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SEA, final=SEA.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.562.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 21/55 (0.382).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 22/54 (0.407).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SEA wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SEA wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-4, final 1-3 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SEA wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins and win_pct agree: 21/55 = 0.382.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SEA wins and win_pct agree: 22/54 = 0.407.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	current:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match SEA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match SEA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match SEA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=35 matches SEA BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting walks match ARI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting home runs match ARI pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting hits match ARI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SEA PA=40 matches ARI BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SEA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SEA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SEA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.438.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.448/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ARI 7, SEA 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ARI 1 - SEA 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SEA.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SEA.	{'winner_confidence': 0.561782, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'SEA', 'confidence': 0.519905, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_ARI@SEA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_ARI@SEA.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ARI@SEA.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 206.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 144.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 206.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 144.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ARI 2 - 4 SEA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ARI 1 - 3 SEA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SEA wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SEA, final=SEA.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.562.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 21/55 (0.382).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 22/54 (0.407).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SEA wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SEA wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-4, final 1-3 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SEA wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins and win_pct agree: 21/55 = 0.382.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SEA wins and win_pct agree: 22/54 = 0.407.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=34; H: current=16, sim=7; 2B: current=3, sim=1; RBI: current=10, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=8, sim=1; SO: current=13, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ketel Marte: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Geraldo Perdomo: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Corbin Carroll: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Nolan Arenado: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Waldschmidt: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gabriel Moreno: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tommy Troy: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=33; H: current=17, sim=8; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=10, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=9).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SEA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Randy Arozarena: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=2; Julio Rodríguez: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Josh Naylor: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; J.P. Crawford: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Dominic Canzone: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Cole Young: AB current=8 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Luke Raley: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Mitch Garver: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.837184906005859	6.8785881996154785		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	7		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	4	0.562	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	4		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	ARI	batting	68	16	3	0	0	10	10	8	13	0	0	0	0
current	ARI	pitching		8			0		3	7	9					8.0	3	0	0
current	SEA	batting	67	17	1	0	2	10	10	7	15	0	0	0	0
current	SEA	pitching		7			0		1	1	6					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	ARI	batting	34	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	6	0	0
simulation	ARI	pitching		8			0		3	7	9					8.0	3	40	206
simulation	SEA	batting	33	8	0	0	0	3	3	7	9	0	0
simulation	SEA	pitching		7			0		1	1	6					9.0	1	35	144

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	ARI		2B	Ketel Marte	0	10	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.300
current	ARI		SS	Geraldo Perdomo	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	ARI		RF	Corbin Carroll	0	9	2	1	0	2	1	1	2	0.222
current	ARI		3B	Nolan Arenado	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	ARI		CF	Ryan Waldschmidt	0	7	1	1	0	1	1	1	3	0.143
current	ARI		C	Gabriel Moreno	0	7	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	0.286
current	ARI		1B	Ildemaro Vargas	0	9	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.222
current	ARI		LF	Tommy Troy	0	4	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	ARI		DH	Adrian Del Castillo	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.143
current	SEA		LF	Randy Arozarena	0	9	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.333
current	SEA		CF	Julio Rodríguez	0	10	3	0	1	1	2	1	2	0.300
current	SEA		1B	Josh Naylor	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.222
current	SEA		SS	J.P. Crawford	0	9	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.222
current	SEA		DH	Dominic Canzone	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.200
current	SEA		2B	Cole Young	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	SEA		RF	Luke Raley	0	6	2	0	1	1	1	0	2	0.333
current	SEA		C	Mitch Garver	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.167
current	SEA		3B	Colt Emerson	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.200
simulation	ARI	1	2B	Ketel Marte	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.667
simulation	ARI	2	RF	Corbin Carroll	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	ARI	3	SS	Geraldo Perdomo	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	ARI	4	3B	Nolan Arenado	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	ARI	5	CF	Ryan Waldschmidt	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	ARI	6	1B	Ildemaro Vargas	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	7	C	Gabriel Moreno	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	ARI	8	DH	Adrian Del Castillo	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	ARI	9	LF	Tommy Troy	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	SEA	1	SS	J.P. Crawford	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	SEA	2	CF	Julio Rodríguez	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0.000
simulation	SEA	3	1B	Josh Naylor	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	SEA	4	LF	Randy Arozarena	5	5	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.400
simulation	SEA	5	RF	Luke Raley	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	SEA	6	2B	Cole Young	4	2	2	0	0	1	0	2	0	1.000
simulation	SEA	7	DH	Dominic Canzone	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	SEA	8	C	Mitch Garver	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.667
simulation	SEA	9	3B	Colt Emerson	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	ARI	1	Ryne Nelson	Starter	6.2	4	2	2	2	8	0	0	2.70	4.65	1.18
current	ARI	2	Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.43
current	ARI	3	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	0.0	3	0	0	2	0	0	0		10.80	2.40
current	ARI	5	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
current	ARI	6	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0		108.00	9.00
current	SEA	1	Bryan Woo	Starter	5.2	7	1	1	1	6	0	0	1.59	3.82	1.04
current	SEA	2	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.98	1.34
current	SEA	3	Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.64	0.86
current	SEA	5	José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.75	1.21
simulation	ARI	1	Ryne Nelson	Starter	6.2	4	2	2	2	8	26	116	2.70	4.65	1.18
simulation	ARI	2	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	4	28	0.00	0.00	0.00
simulation	ARI	3	Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	2	0	4	26	0.00	0.00	0.43
simulation	ARI	4	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	1	1	1	0	1	16		108.00	9.00
simulation	ARI	5	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	0.0	3	0	0	2	0	5	20		10.80	2.40
simulation	SEA	1	Bryan Woo	Starter	5.2	7	1	1	1	6	25	100	1.59	3.82	1.04
simulation	SEA	2	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	4.98	1.34
simulation	SEA	3	Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	14	0.00	0.64	0.86
simulation	SEA	4	José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	13	0.00	1.75	1.21

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
ARI	Ryne Nelson	Starter	6.2	2	4	2	8	26	116
ARI	Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	2	0	4	26
ARI	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	3	2	0	5	20
ARI	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	28
ARI	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.0	1	0	1	0	1	16
SEA	Bryan Woo	Starter	5.2	1	7	1	6	25	100
SEA	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	17
SEA	Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	14
SEA	José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	13

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_ATL@CIN

20260530_ATL@CIN.json • 2026-05-30

ATL 4 - CIN 3

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 91INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=32; H: current=18, sim=6; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=3, sim=0; RBI: current=11, sim=4; R: current=12, sim=4; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=11, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ozzie Albies: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Matt Olson: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Michael Harris II: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Dominic Smith: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mike Yastrzemski: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sandy León: H current=1 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Mauricio Dubón: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=76, sim=31; H: current=18, sim=4; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; BB: current=9, sim=4; SO: current=20, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Eugenio Suárez: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Sal Stewart: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Blake Dunn: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Elly De La Cruz: AB current=10 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; JJ Bleday: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Tyler Stephenson: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Matt McLain: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Spencer Steer: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 6-2, final 4-3 (delta 3).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match CIN pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match CIN pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match CIN pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=35 matches CIN BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting walks match ATL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting home runs match ATL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting hits match ATL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CIN PA=35 matches ATL BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.609.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.609.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.391.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 8.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.471/0.649.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ATL 6, CIN 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ATL 4 - CIN 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.608877, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.5449999999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_ATL@CIN.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_ATL@CIN.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ATL@CIN.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 155.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 137.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 155.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 137.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ATL 6 - 2 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ATL 4 - 3 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 4-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.609.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/53 (0.264).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 16/53 (0.302).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 4-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 14/53 = 0.264.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CIN wins and win_pct agree: 16/53 = 0.302.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match CIN pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match CIN pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match CIN pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=35 matches CIN BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting walks match ATL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting home runs match ATL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting hits match ATL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CIN PA=35 matches ATL BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.609.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.609.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.391.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 8.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.471/0.649.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ATL 6, CIN 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ATL 4 - CIN 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.608877, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.5449999999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_ATL@CIN.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_ATL@CIN.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ATL@CIN.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 155.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 137.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 155.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 137.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ATL 6 - 2 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ATL 4 - 3 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 4-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.609.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/53 (0.264).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 16/53 (0.302).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 4-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 14/53 = 0.264.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CIN wins and win_pct agree: 16/53 = 0.302.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=32; H: current=18, sim=6; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=3, sim=0; RBI: current=11, sim=4; R: current=12, sim=4; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=11, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ozzie Albies: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Matt Olson: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Michael Harris II: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Dominic Smith: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mike Yastrzemski: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sandy León: H current=1 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Mauricio Dubón: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=76, sim=31; H: current=18, sim=4; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; BB: current=9, sim=4; SO: current=20, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Eugenio Suárez: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Sal Stewart: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Blake Dunn: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Elly De La Cruz: AB current=10 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; JJ Bleday: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Tyler Stephenson: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Matt McLain: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Spencer Steer: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 6-2, final 4-3 (delta 3).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.9618000984191895	6.277531147003174		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	7		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	5	2	0.609	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	6	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	6	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	4	6
CIN	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	ATL	batting	64	18	2	0	3	11	12	7	11	0	0	0	0
current	ATL	pitching		4			1		3	4	7					9.0	3	0	0
current	CIN	batting	76	18	1	0	0	7	10	9	20	0	0	0	0
current	CIN	pitching		6			0		4	2	7					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	ATL	batting	32	6	0	0	0	4	4	2	7	1	0
simulation	ATL	pitching		4			1		3	4	7					9.0	3	35	155
simulation	CIN	batting	31	4	0	0	1	3	3	4	7	0	0
simulation	CIN	pitching		6			0		4	2	7					9.0	4	35	137

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	ATL		2B	Ozzie Albies	0	9	3	0	0	2	1	1	1	0.333
current	ATL		1B	Matt Olson	0	9	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	0.333
current	ATL		RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0	9	2	0	1	2	2	2	2	0.222
current	ATL		CF	Michael Harris II	0	8	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	0.250
current	ATL		DH	Dominic Smith	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	ATL		LF	Mike Yastrzemski	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.200
current	ATL		C	Sandy León	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	ATL		3B	Mauricio Dubón	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.222
current	ATL		SS	Jorge Mateo	0	6	2	0	0	2	1	1	1	0.333
current	CIN		3B	Eugenio Suárez	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.250
current	CIN		DH	Sal Stewart	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	CIN		RF	Blake Dunn	0	9	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	0.222
current	CIN		SS	Elly De La Cruz	0	10	2	1	0	2	1	1	3	0.200
current	CIN		LF	JJ Bleday	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	CIN		C	Tyler Stephenson	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	CIN		2B	Matt McLain	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	CIN		1B	Spencer Steer	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	CIN		CF	TJ Friedl	0	8	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	0.250
simulation	ATL	1	RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	2	CF	Michael Harris II	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	ATL	3	1B	Matt Olson	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	ATL	4	2B	Ozzie Albies	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	5	DH	Dominic Smith	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	ATL	6	3B	Mauricio Dubón	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	ATL	7	LF	Mike Yastrzemski	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	ATL	8	SS	Jorge Mateo	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	ATL	9	C	Sandy León	3	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	1.000
simulation	CIN	1	RF	Blake Dunn	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	CIN	2	SS	Elly De La Cruz	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	CIN	3	DH	Sal Stewart	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CIN	4	3B	Eugenio Suárez	4	3	1	0	1	1	3	1	2	0.333
simulation	CIN	5	1B	Spencer Steer	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CIN	6	LF	JJ Bleday	4	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	CIN	7	C	Tyler Stephenson	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	CIN	8	2B	Matt McLain	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CIN	9	CF	TJ Friedl	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	ATL	1	Martín Pérez	Starter	6.0	2	3	3	4	5	1	0	0	4.50	2.70	1.03
current	ATL	2	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.35	0.60
current	ATL	3	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.08	0.90
current	ATL	4	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.74	0.86
current	CIN	1	Brady Singer	Starter	4.0	5	3	3	2	4	0	0	0	6.75	6.26	1.70
current	CIN	2	Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.27	1.23
current	CIN	3	Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	5.87	1.04
current	CIN	4	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.86	1.29
current	CIN	5	Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	9.00	3.60	1.48
simulation	ATL	1	Martín Pérez	Starter	6.0	2	3	3	4	5	1	24	107	4.50	2.70	1.03
simulation	ATL	2	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	15	0.00	1.08	0.90
simulation	ATL	3	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	17	0.00	0.74	0.86
simulation	ATL	4	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	16	0.00	1.35	0.60
simulation	CIN	1	Brady Singer	Starter	4.0	5	3	3	2	4	0	19	82	6.75	6.26	1.70
simulation	CIN	2	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	3.86	1.29
simulation	CIN	3	Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	6	0.00	3.27	1.23
simulation	CIN	4	Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	0	4	16	9.00	3.60	1.48
simulation	CIN	5	Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	16	0.00	5.87	1.04

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
ATL	Martín Pérez	Starter	6.0	3	2	4	5	24	107
ATL	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
ATL	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15
ATL	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	17
CIN	Brady Singer	Starter	4.0	3	5	2	4	19	82
CIN	Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	5	6
CIN	Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	16
CIN	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	17
CIN	Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	1	4	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_BOS@CLE

20260530_BOS@CLE.json • 2026-05-30

BOS 1 - CLE 3

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=30; H: current=14, sim=3; 2B: current=4, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=11).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Wilyer Abreu: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Sogard: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Andruw Monasterio: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Connor Wong: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Isiah Kiner-Falefa: AB current=5 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=30; H: current=17, sim=6; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=9).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: José Ramírez: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Travis Bazzana: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Kyle Manzardo: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Angel Martínez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Austin Hedges: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Daniel Schneemann: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brayan Rocchio: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match CLE pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match CLE pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match CLE pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=33 matches CLE BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match BOS pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match BOS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match BOS pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=34 matches BOS BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.442.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.655/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: BOS 3, CLE 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: BOS 1 - CLE 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CLE.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CLE.	{'winner_confidence': 0.558474, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'BOS', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_BOS@CLE.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_BOS@CLE.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: BOS@CLE.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 148.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 148.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BOS 1 - 2 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: BOS 1 - 3 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CLE wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CLE, final=CLE.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.558.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 10/54 (0.185).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 21/56 (0.375).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CLE wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CLE wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 1-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CLE wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins and win_pct agree: 10/54 = 0.185.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins and win_pct agree: 21/56 = 0.375.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match CLE pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match CLE pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match CLE pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=33 matches CLE BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match BOS pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match BOS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match BOS pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=34 matches BOS BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.442.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.655/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: BOS 3, CLE 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: BOS 1 - CLE 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CLE.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CLE.	{'winner_confidence': 0.558474, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'BOS', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_BOS@CLE.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_BOS@CLE.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: BOS@CLE.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 148.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 148.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BOS 1 - 2 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: BOS 1 - 3 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CLE wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CLE, final=CLE.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.558.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 10/54 (0.185).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 21/56 (0.375).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CLE wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CLE wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 1-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CLE wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins and win_pct agree: 10/54 = 0.185.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins and win_pct agree: 21/56 = 0.375.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=30; H: current=14, sim=3; 2B: current=4, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=11).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Wilyer Abreu: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Sogard: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Andruw Monasterio: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Connor Wong: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Isiah Kiner-Falefa: AB current=5 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=30; H: current=17, sim=6; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=9).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: José Ramírez: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Travis Bazzana: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Kyle Manzardo: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Angel Martínez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Austin Hedges: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Daniel Schneemann: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brayan Rocchio: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.315312385559082	4.390295505523682		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	2	0.558	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	3
CLE	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	BOS	batting	65	14	4	0	0	8	9	6	16	0	0	0	0
current	BOS	pitching		6			1		3	4	9					8.0	3	0	0
current	CLE	batting	65	17	2	0	0	7	8	7	14	0	0	0	0
current	CLE	pitching		3			0		1	3	11					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	BOS	batting	30	3	1	0	0	1	1	3	11	0	0
simulation	BOS	pitching		6			1		3	4	9					8.0	3	34	148
simulation	CLE	batting	30	6	2	0	1	3	3	4	9	0	0
simulation	CLE	pitching		3			0		1	3	11					9.0	1	33	154

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	BOS		RF	Wilyer Abreu	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	BOS		LF	Jarren Duran	0	10	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.200
current	BOS		CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.250
current	BOS		1B	Willson Contreras	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	BOS		2B	Nick Sogard	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.167
current	BOS		DH	Andruw Monasterio	0	6	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0.167
current	BOS		C	Connor Wong	0	6	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.167
current	BOS		SS	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0	5	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.400
current	BOS		3B	Caleb Durbin	0	7	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.143
current	CLE		3B	José Ramírez	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.222
current	CLE		DH	Chase DeLauter	0	9	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
current	CLE		2B	Travis Bazzana	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	CLE		1B	Kyle Manzardo	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.286
current	CLE		LF	Angel Martínez	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.250
current	CLE		RF	Petey Halpin	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	CLE		C	Austin Hedges	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.167
current	CLE		CF	Daniel Schneemann	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	CLE		SS	Brayan Rocchio	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
simulation	BOS	1	LF	Jarren Duran	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	BOS	2	CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	BOS	3	RF	Wilyer Abreu	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	BOS	4	1B	Willson Contreras	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	BOS	5	2B	Nick Sogard	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	0.667
simulation	BOS	6	DH	Andruw Monasterio	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	7	SS	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	BOS	8	C	Connor Wong	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	9	3B	Caleb Durbin	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	CLE	1	2B	Travis Bazzana	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CLE	2	3B	José Ramírez	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	CLE	3	DH	Chase DeLauter	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	CLE	4	1B	Kyle Manzardo	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	CLE	5	LF	Angel Martínez	4	4	3	1	1	1	3	0	0	0.750
simulation	CLE	6	CF	Daniel Schneemann	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	CLE	7	RF	Petey Halpin	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	CLE	8	C	Austin Hedges	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CLE	9	SS	Brayan Rocchio	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.500

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	BOS	1	Sonny Gray	Starter	5.0	3	3	3	3	5	1	0	0	5.40	3.27	1.20
current	BOS	2	Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.03	1.01
current	BOS	3	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.51	0.85
current	BOS	6	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.15	1.27
current	CLE	1	Parker Messick	Starter	6.0	1	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	0.00	2.24	1.04
current	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	9.00	2.60	1.08
current	CLE	3	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.77	1.33
current	CLE	4	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.29	1.14
simulation	BOS	1	Sonny Gray	Starter	5.0	3	3	3	3	5	1	21	86	5.40	3.27	1.20
simulation	BOS	2	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	1	2	0	6	24	0.00	0.51	0.85
simulation	BOS	3	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	15	0.00	4.15	1.27
simulation	BOS	4	Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	0	6	23	0.00	3.03	1.01
simulation	CLE	1	Parker Messick	Starter	6.0	1	0	0	0	8	0	19	97	0.00	2.24	1.04
simulation	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	0	6	23	9.00	2.60	1.08
simulation	CLE	3	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	17	0.00	3.77	1.33
simulation	CLE	4	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	17	0.00	1.29	1.14

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
BOS	Sonny Gray	Starter	5.0	3	3	3	5	21	86
BOS	Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	2	0	1	6	23
BOS	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	1	2	6	24
BOS	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	15
CLE	Parker Messick	Starter	6.0	0	1	0	8	19	97
CLE	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	1	6	23
CLE	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	17
CLE	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	17

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_CHC@STL

20260530_CHC@STL.json • 2026-05-30

CHC 4 - STL 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=76, sim=33; H: current=18, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=10, sim=4; R: current=12, sim=4; BB: current=11, sim=3; SO: current=20, sim=10; SF: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Alex Bregman: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Ian Happ: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Michael Busch: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Nico Hoerner: AB current=10 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Seiya Suzuki: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=3 box=2; Moisés Ballesteros: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Miguel Amaya: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=70, sim=32; H: current=17, sim=5; RBI: current=9, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=1; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=17, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	STL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Alec Burleson: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jordan Walker: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Iván Herrera: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jimmy Crooks: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; JJ Wetherholt: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Nolan Gorman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryan Torres: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Victor Scott II: AB current=5 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	STL	BATTING_REALISM	current:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	STL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match STL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match STL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match STL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=37 matches STL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:STL batting walks match CHC pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:STL batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:STL batting hits match CHC pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:STL batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:STL PA=34 matches CHC BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	STL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	STL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	STL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.563.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.563.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.437.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.471/0.649.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CHC 7, STL 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CHC 4 - STL 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHC.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHC.	{'winner_confidence': 0.563408, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_CHC@STL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_CHC@STL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CHC@STL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 158.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 174.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 158.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 174.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHC 4 - 2 STL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CHC 4 - 1 STL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHC wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHC, final=CHC.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.563.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/57 (0.088).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/53 (0.151).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHC wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHC wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-2, final 4-1 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHC wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins and win_pct agree: 5/57 = 0.088.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	STL wins and win_pct agree: 8/53 = 0.151.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	STL	BATTING_REALISM	current:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	STL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match STL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match STL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match STL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=37 matches STL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:STL batting walks match CHC pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:STL batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:STL batting hits match CHC pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:STL batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:STL PA=34 matches CHC BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	STL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	STL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	STL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.563.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.563.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.437.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.471/0.649.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CHC 7, STL 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CHC 4 - STL 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHC.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHC.	{'winner_confidence': 0.563408, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_CHC@STL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_CHC@STL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CHC@STL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 158.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 174.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 158.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 174.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHC 4 - 2 STL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CHC 4 - 1 STL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHC wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHC, final=CHC.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.563.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/57 (0.088).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/53 (0.151).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHC wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHC wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-2, final 4-1 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHC wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins and win_pct agree: 5/57 = 0.088.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	STL wins and win_pct agree: 8/53 = 0.151.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=76, sim=33; H: current=18, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=10, sim=4; R: current=12, sim=4; BB: current=11, sim=3; SO: current=20, sim=10; SF: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Alex Bregman: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Ian Happ: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Michael Busch: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Nico Hoerner: AB current=10 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Seiya Suzuki: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=3 box=2; Moisés Ballesteros: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Miguel Amaya: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=70, sim=32; H: current=17, sim=5; RBI: current=9, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=1; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=17, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	STL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Alec Burleson: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jordan Walker: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Iván Herrera: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jimmy Crooks: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; JJ Wetherholt: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Nolan Gorman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryan Torres: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Victor Scott II: AB current=5 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.366596221923828	4.250361919403076		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	2	0.563	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	4	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	4	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	7
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	CHC	batting	76	18	0	0	1	10	12	11	20	0	0	0	0
current	CHC	pitching		5			1		1	2	8					9.0	1	0	0
current	STL	batting	70	17	2	0	1	9	8	8	17	0	0	0	0
current	STL	pitching		7			1		4	3	10					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	CHC	batting	33	7	3	0	1	4	4	3	10	1	0
simulation	CHC	pitching		5			1		1	2	8					9.0	1	34	158
simulation	STL	batting	32	5	2	0	1	1	1	2	8	0	0
simulation	STL	pitching		7			1		4	3	10					9.0	4	37	174

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	CHC		CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.222
current	CHC		3B	Alex Bregman	0	10	3	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.300
current	CHC		LF	Ian Happ	0	10	3	0	1	2	2	2	3	0.300
current	CHC		1B	Michael Busch	0	9	2	0	0	2	1	2	3	0.222
current	CHC		2B	Nico Hoerner	0	10	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.200
current	CHC		RF	Seiya Suzuki	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.222
current	CHC		DH	Moisés Ballesteros	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.200
current	CHC		C	Miguel Amaya	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.167
current	CHC		SS	Dansby Swanson	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	STL		1B	Alec Burleson	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	STL		RF	Jordan Walker	0	9	3	0	1	2	2	1	2	0.333
current	STL		DH	Iván Herrera	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	STL		C	Jimmy Crooks	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
current	STL		2B	JJ Wetherholt	0	10	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.200
current	STL		3B	Nolan Gorman	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.286
current	STL		LF	Bryan Torres	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0.250
current	STL		CF	Victor Scott II	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.200
current	STL		SS	Masyn Winn	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
simulation	CHC	1	CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0.200
simulation	CHC	2	2B	Nico Hoerner	4	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0.500
simulation	CHC	3	1B	Michael Busch	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	CHC	4	3B	Alex Bregman	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	CHC	5	LF	Ian Happ	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	CHC	6	RF	Seiya Suzuki	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.250
simulation	CHC	7	DH	Moisés Ballesteros	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	CHC	8	C	Miguel Amaya	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	CHC	9	SS	Dansby Swanson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	STL	1	2B	JJ Wetherholt	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	STL	2	DH	Iván Herrera	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	STL	3	1B	Alec Burleson	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	STL	4	RF	Jordan Walker	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	STL	5	3B	Nolan Gorman	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	STL	6	SS	Masyn Winn	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	STL	7	C	Jimmy Crooks	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	STL	8	LF	Bryan Torres	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	STL	9	CF	Victor Scott II	3	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	CHC	1	Ben Brown	Starter	5.2	2	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	0.00	2.01	0.99
current	CHC	2	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	6.75	2.13	1.18
current	CHC	3	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.53	1.41
current	CHC	4	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.66	1.35
current	STL	1	Kyle Leahy	Starter	4.2	6	3	3	2	6	1	0	0	5.79	4.44	1.58
current	STL	2	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.18	1.10
current	STL	3	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	5.40	2.70	1.16
current	STL	4	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	3.20	0.99
simulation	CHC	1	Ben Brown	Starter	5.2	2	0	0	2	5	0	21	97	0.00	2.01	0.99
simulation	CHC	2	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	15	0.00	2.53	1.41
simulation	CHC	3	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	1	6	28	6.75	2.13	1.18
simulation	CHC	4	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	18	0.00	2.66	1.35
simulation	STL	1	Kyle Leahy	Starter	4.2	6	3	3	2	6	1	22	99	5.79	4.44	1.58
simulation	STL	2	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	16	0.00	3.20	0.99
simulation	STL	3	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	1	1	1	0	0	7	28	5.40	2.70	1.16
simulation	STL	4	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	31	0.00	3.18	1.10

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
CHC	Ben Brown	Starter	5.2	0	2	2	5	21	97
CHC	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	2	0	1	6	28
CHC	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	15
CHC	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	18
STL	Kyle Leahy	Starter	4.2	3	6	2	6	22	99
STL	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	5	31
STL	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	1	1	0	7	28
STL	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	3	3	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_DET@CHW

20260530_DET@CHW.json • 2026-05-30

DET 3 - CHW 8

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=35; H: current=15, sim=11; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=5; RBI: current=9, sim=8; R: current=10, sim=8; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Randal Grichuk: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Chase Meidroth: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Miguel Vargas: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Colson Montgomery: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Edgar Quero: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Andrew Benintendi: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Derek Hill: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=2, RBI current=0 box=2; Luisangel Acuña: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=34; H: current=11, sim=7; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=6, sim=3; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=14, sim=9).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Riley Greene: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Kevin McGonigle: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Matt Vierling: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Jahmai Jones: AB current=3 box=4, H current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Hao-Yu Lee: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 6-7, final 3-8 (delta 4).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting walks match DET pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting home runs match DET pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting hits match DET pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHW PA=36 matches DET BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match CHW pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match CHW pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match CHW pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=37 matches CHW BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHW current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.463.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.537.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.537.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 11 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 13.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.487/0.667.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: DET 7, CHW 11.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: DET 3 - CHW 8.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHW.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHW.	{'winner_confidence': 0.536603, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'CHW', 'confidence': 0.516724, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_DET@CHW.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_DET@CHW.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: DET@CHW.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 134.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 172.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 172.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 134.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: DET 6 - 7 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: DET 3 - 8 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHW wins 8-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHW, final=CHW.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.537.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/57 (0.263).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/54 (0.278).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHW wins 8-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHW wins 3-8.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-8.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 11.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHW wins 8-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHW wins and win_pct agree: 15/54 = 0.278.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 15/57 = 0.263.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting walks match DET pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting home runs match DET pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting hits match DET pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHW PA=36 matches DET BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match CHW pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match CHW pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match CHW pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=37 matches CHW BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHW current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.463.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.537.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.537.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 11 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 13.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.487/0.667.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: DET 7, CHW 11.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: DET 3 - CHW 8.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHW.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHW.	{'winner_confidence': 0.536603, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'CHW', 'confidence': 0.516724, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_DET@CHW.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_DET@CHW.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: DET@CHW.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 134.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 172.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 172.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 134.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: DET 6 - 7 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: DET 3 - 8 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHW wins 8-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHW, final=CHW.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.537.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/57 (0.263).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/54 (0.278).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHW wins 8-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHW wins 3-8.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-8.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 11.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHW wins 8-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHW wins and win_pct agree: 15/54 = 0.278.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 15/57 = 0.263.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=35; H: current=15, sim=11; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=5; RBI: current=9, sim=8; R: current=10, sim=8; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Randal Grichuk: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Chase Meidroth: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Miguel Vargas: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Colson Montgomery: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Edgar Quero: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Andrew Benintendi: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Derek Hill: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=2, RBI current=0 box=2; Luisangel Acuña: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=34; H: current=11, sim=7; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=6, sim=3; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=14, sim=9).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Riley Greene: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Kevin McGonigle: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Matt Vierling: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Jahmai Jones: AB current=3 box=4, H current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Hao-Yu Lee: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 6-7, final 3-8 (delta 4).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	6.20530366897583	4.6131181716918945		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	5	6	0.537	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	6	6		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
target_tie_break	6	7		Resolved tied pre-simulation target using calibrated winner probability
capped_target	6	7		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	8		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
CHW	0	1	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	8	11

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	DET	batting	58	11	2	0	0	6	6	7	14	0	0	0	0
current	DET	pitching		11			5		8	1	7					8.0	8	0	0
current	CHW	batting	62	15	0	0	0	9	10	6	16	0	0	0	0
current	CHW	pitching		7			2		3	3	9					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	DET	batting	34	7	0	0	2	3	3	3	9	0	0
simulation	DET	pitching		11			5		8	1	7					8.0	8	36	134
simulation	CHW	batting	35	11	0	1	5	8	8	1	7	0	0
simulation	CHW	pitching		7			2		3	3	9					9.0	3	37	172

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	DET		LF	Riley Greene	0	8	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.250
current	DET		3B	Kevin McGonigle	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.222
current	DET		CF	Matt Vierling	0	7	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.143
current	DET		C	Dillon Dingler	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	DET		1B	Spencer Torkelson	0	7	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.143
current	DET		DH	Jahmai Jones	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	DET		RF	Wenceel Pérez	0	7	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.143
current	DET		2B	Hao-Yu Lee	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
current	DET		SS	Zack Short	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.250
current	CHW		RF	Randal Grichuk	0	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.200
current	CHW		2B	Chase Meidroth	0	9	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.222
current	CHW		1B	Miguel Vargas	0	9	2	0	0	0	2	1	2	2	0.222
current	CHW		3B	Colson Montgomery	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	0.222
current	CHW		C	Edgar Quero	0	6	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.333
current	CHW		DH	Andrew Benintendi	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.286
current	CHW		CF	Derek Hill	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		SS	Luisangel Acuña	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.167
current	CHW		LF	Sam Antonacci	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
simulation	DET	1	3B	Kevin McGonigle	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	DET	2	C	Dillon Dingler	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	DET	3	CF	Matt Vierling	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	DET	4	LF	Riley Greene	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	DET	5	1B	Spencer Torkelson	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0.667
simulation	DET	6	DH	Jahmai Jones	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	0.250
simulation	DET	7	RF	Wenceel Pérez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	DET	8	2B	Hao-Yu Lee	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	DET	9	SS	Zack Short	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	CHW	1	2B	Chase Meidroth	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	CHW	2	RF	Randal Grichuk	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CHW	3	1B	Miguel Vargas	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CHW	4	3B	Colson Montgomery	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0.250
simulation	CHW	5	C	Edgar Quero	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	CHW	6	CF	Derek Hill	4	4	2	0	0	2	1	2	0	1	0.500
simulation	CHW	7	SS	Luisangel Acuña	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	CHW	8	DH	Andrew Benintendi	4	4	3	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0.750
simulation	CHW	9	LF	Sam Antonacci	4	4	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	0.500

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	DET	1	Framber Valdez	Starter	5.1	6	4	4	0	5	3	0	0	6.75	4.28	1.33
current	DET	2	Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.62	1.18
current	DET	3	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	18.00	1.35	1.43
current	DET	4	Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.56	1.44
current	DET	5	Brenan Hanifee	Middle Reliever	0.0	2	1	1	1	0	1	0	0		1.59	1.24
current	DET	6	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		7.41	1.47
current	CHW	1	Anthony Kay	Starter	6.1	4	1	1	3	6	2	0	0	1.42	3.96	1.39
current	CHW	2	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.57	1.35
current	CHW	3	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.42	1.26
current	CHW	4	Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	13.50	7.71	1.71
current	CHW	5	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		13.50	3.00
simulation	DET	1	Framber Valdez	Starter	5.1	6	4	4	0	5	3	22	90	6.75	4.28	1.33
simulation	DET	2	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	1	5	5	18.00	1.35	1.43
simulation	DET	3	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	3		7.41	1.47
simulation	DET	4	Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	4	0.00	3.62	1.18
simulation	DET	5	Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	17	0.00	4.56	1.44
simulation	DET	6	Brenan Hanifee	Middle Reliever	0.0	2	1	1	1	0	1	3	15		1.59	1.24
simulation	CHW	1	Anthony Kay	Starter	6.1	4	1	1	3	6	2	26	104	1.42	3.96	1.39
simulation	CHW	2	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	16		13.50	3.00
simulation	CHW	3	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	18	0.00	1.42	1.26
simulation	CHW	4	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	15	0.00	1.57	1.35
simulation	CHW	5	Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	0	3	19	13.50	7.71	1.71

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
DET	Framber Valdez	Starter	5.1	4	6	0	5	22	90
DET	Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	4
DET	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	0	0	5	5
DET	Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	1	0	1	2	17
DET	Brenan Hanifee	Middle Reliever	0.0	1	2	1	0	3	15
DET	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	3
CHW	Anthony Kay	Starter	6.1	1	4	3	6	26	104
CHW	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	15
CHW	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	18
CHW	Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	0	1	3	19
CHW	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	0.0	1	1	0	0	1	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_KC@TEX

20260530_KC@TEX.json • 2026-05-30

KC 3 - TEX 6

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=4; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	KC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bobby Witt Jr.: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Vinnie Pasquantino: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Carter Jensen: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Maikel Garcia: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jac Caglianone: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Salvador Perez: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Isaac Collins: AB current=7 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Michael Massey: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=10; 2B: current=2, sim=3; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=7, sim=6; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=11; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Josh Jung: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Joc Pederson: AB current=5 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brandon Nimmo: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Alejandro Osuna: AB current=5 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Nicky Lopez: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Ezequiel Duran: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Danny Jansen: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	KC	BATTING_REALISM	current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	KC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:KC batting walks match TEX pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:KC batting home runs match TEX pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:KC batting hits match TEX pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:KC batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:KC PA=39 matches TEX BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting walks match KC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting home runs match KC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting hits match KC pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TEX PA=39 matches KC BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	KC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	KC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	KC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TEX current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.467.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.451/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: KC 8, TEX 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: KC 3 - TEX 6.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TEX.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TEX.	{'winner_confidence': 0.533094, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.526409, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_KC@TEX.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_KC@TEX.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: KC@TEX.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 169.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: KC 4 - 6 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: KC 3 - 6 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TEX wins 6-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TEX, final=TEX.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.533.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 6/53 (0.113).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 13/55 (0.236).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TEX wins 6-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TEX wins 3-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-6, final 3-6 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 9.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TEX wins 6-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	KC wins and win_pct agree: 6/53 = 0.113.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TEX wins and win_pct agree: 13/55 = 0.236.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	KC	BATTING_REALISM	current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	KC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:KC batting walks match TEX pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:KC batting home runs match TEX pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:KC batting hits match TEX pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:KC batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:KC PA=39 matches TEX BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting walks match KC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting home runs match KC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting hits match KC pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TEX PA=39 matches KC BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	KC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	KC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	KC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TEX current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.467.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.451/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: KC 8, TEX 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: KC 3 - TEX 6.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TEX.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TEX.	{'winner_confidence': 0.533094, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.526409, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_KC@TEX.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_KC@TEX.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: KC@TEX.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 169.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: KC 4 - 6 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: KC 3 - 6 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TEX wins 6-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TEX, final=TEX.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.533.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 6/53 (0.113).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 13/55 (0.236).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TEX wins 6-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TEX wins 3-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-6, final 3-6 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 9.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TEX wins 6-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	KC wins and win_pct agree: 6/53 = 0.113.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TEX wins and win_pct agree: 13/55 = 0.236.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=4; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	KC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bobby Witt Jr.: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Vinnie Pasquantino: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Carter Jensen: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Maikel Garcia: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jac Caglianone: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Salvador Perez: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Isaac Collins: AB current=7 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Michael Massey: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=55, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=10; 2B: current=2, sim=3; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=7, sim=6; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=11; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Josh Jung: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Joc Pederson: AB current=5 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brandon Nimmo: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Alejandro Osuna: AB current=5 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Nicky Lopez: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Ezequiel Duran: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Danny Jansen: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.429197311401367	4.923346996307373		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	4	5	0.533	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	4	6		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	4	6		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	6		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	3	8
TEX	0	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	6	10

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	KC	batting	67	14	2	0	0	6	8	6	16	0	0	0	0
current	KC	pitching		10			1		6	4	11					8.0	6	0	0
current	TEX	batting	55	14	2	0	0	6	7	7	13	0	0	0	0
current	TEX	pitching		8			0		3	4	8					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	KC	batting	35	8	4	0	0	3	3	4	8	0	0
simulation	KC	pitching		10			1		6	4	11					8.0	6	39	169
simulation	TEX	batting	34	10	3	0	1	6	6	4	11	0	1
simulation	TEX	pitching		8			0		3	4	8					9.0	3	39	157

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	KC		SS	Bobby Witt Jr.	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	KC		1B	Vinnie Pasquantino	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	KC		C	Carter Jensen	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	KC		3B	Maikel Garcia	0	9	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
current	KC		RF	Jac Caglianone	0	7	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0.143
current	KC		DH	Salvador Perez	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
current	KC		LF	Isaac Collins	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	KC		2B	Michael Massey	0	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
current	KC		CF	Kyle Isbel	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.167
current	TEX		3B	Josh Jung	0	8	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.375
current	TEX		DH	Joc Pederson	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.200
current	TEX		1B	Jake Burger	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	TEX		RF	Brandon Nimmo	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	TEX		LF	Alejandro Osuna	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.200
current	TEX		2B	Nicky Lopez	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	TEX		SS	Ezequiel Duran	0	7	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	TEX		C	Danny Jansen	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	TEX		CF	Michael Helman	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	KC	1	C	Carter Jensen	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.000
simulation	KC	2	SS	Bobby Witt Jr.	5	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.250
simulation	KC	3	3B	Maikel Garcia	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	KC	4	1B	Vinnie Pasquantino	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	KC	5	DH	Salvador Perez	4	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	KC	6	RF	Jac Caglianone	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	KC	7	LF	Isaac Collins	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	KC	8	2B	Michael Massey	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	KC	9	CF	Kyle Isbel	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	TEX	1	DH	Joc Pederson	5	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0.333
simulation	TEX	2	3B	Josh Jung	5	4	2	1	1	1	3	0	1	1	0.500
simulation	TEX	3	RF	Brandon Nimmo	5	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.200
simulation	TEX	4	1B	Jake Burger	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	TEX	5	SS	Ezequiel Duran	4	4	2	2	0	1	2	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	TEX	6	LF	Alejandro Osuna	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	TEX	7	C	Danny Jansen	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	TEX	8	2B	Nicky Lopez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	TEX	9	CF	Michael Helman	4	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.500

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	KC	1	Seth Lugo	Starter	5.2	6	3	3	3	7	0	0	0	4.76	3.74	1.38
current	KC	2	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	1.59	0.88
current	KC	3	John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.95	1.36
current	KC	5	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	0.0	3	3	3	0	0	1	0	0		5.06	1.69
current	TEX	1	Kumar Rocker	Starter	4.2	7	3	3	2	8	0	0	0	5.79	3.96	1.36
current	TEX	2	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.08	0.44
current	TEX	4	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.50	0.71
current	TEX	5	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.19	1.34
simulation	KC	1	Seth Lugo	Starter	5.2	6	3	3	3	7	0	26	113	4.76	3.74	1.38
simulation	KC	2	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	0.0	3	3	3	0	0	1	4	18		5.06	1.69
simulation	KC	3	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	18	0.00	1.59	0.88
simulation	KC	4	John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	0	5	20	0.00	2.95	1.36
simulation	TEX	1	Kumar Rocker	Starter	4.2	7	3	3	2	8	0	23	91	5.79	3.96	1.36
simulation	TEX	2	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	25	0.00	1.08	0.44
simulation	TEX	3	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	25	0.00	1.50	0.71
simulation	TEX	4	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	16	0.00	2.19	1.34

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
KC	Seth Lugo	Starter	5.2	3	6	3	7	26	113
KC	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	3	4	18
KC	John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	5	20
KC	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	0.0	3	3	0	0	4	18
TEX	Kumar Rocker	Starter	4.2	3	7	2	8	23	91
TEX	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	1	0	6	25
TEX	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	1	0	6	25
TEX	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_LAA@TB

20260530_LAA@TB.json • 2026-05-30

LAA 2 - TB 3

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 1ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Batting Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	LAA	current:LAA has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	LAA		BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=32; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=3, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=1; SO: current=18, sim=10).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Mike Trout: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Jorge Soler: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zach Neto: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Vaughn Grissom: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Wade Meckler: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Oswald Peraza: AB current=6 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Jo Adell: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Donovan Walton: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=31; H: current=16, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=10, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TB current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Yandy Díaz: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Junior Caminero: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Vilade: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jonathan Aranda: AB current=8 box=2, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Chandler Simpson: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Nick Fortes: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Cedric Mullins: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Ben Williamson: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	TB	BATTING_REALISM	current:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TB	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match TB pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match TB pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match TB pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=33 matches TB BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TB batting walks match LAA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TB batting home runs match LAA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TB batting hits match LAA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TB batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TB PA=36 matches LAA BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TB current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TB current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TB hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.470.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.496/0.678.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAA 5, TB 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: LAA 2 - TB 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TB.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TB.	{'winner_confidence': 0.53, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_LAA@TB.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_LAA@TB.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAA@TB.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 148.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 148.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAA 1 - 3 TB.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAA 2 - 3 TB.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TB wins 3-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TB, final=TB.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.530.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/56 (0.161).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 16/53 (0.302).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TB wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TB wins 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 2-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TB wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins and win_pct agree: 9/56 = 0.161.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TB wins and win_pct agree: 16/53 = 0.302.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	TB	BATTING_REALISM	current:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TB	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match TB pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match TB pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match TB pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=33 matches TB BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TB batting walks match LAA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TB batting home runs match LAA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TB batting hits match LAA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TB batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TB PA=36 matches LAA BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TB current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TB current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TB hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.470.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.496/0.678.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAA 5, TB 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: LAA 2 - TB 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TB.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TB.	{'winner_confidence': 0.53, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_LAA@TB.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_LAA@TB.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAA@TB.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 148.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 148.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAA 1 - 3 TB.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAA 2 - 3 TB.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TB wins 3-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TB, final=TB.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.530.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/56 (0.161).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 16/53 (0.302).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TB wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TB wins 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 2-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TB wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins and win_pct agree: 9/56 = 0.161.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TB wins and win_pct agree: 16/53 = 0.302.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=32; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=3, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=1; SO: current=18, sim=10).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Mike Trout: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Jorge Soler: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zach Neto: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Vaughn Grissom: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Wade Meckler: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Oswald Peraza: AB current=6 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Jo Adell: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Donovan Walton: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=31; H: current=16, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=10, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TB current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Yandy Díaz: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Junior Caminero: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Vilade: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jonathan Aranda: AB current=8 box=2, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Chandler Simpson: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Nick Fortes: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Cedric Mullins: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Ben Williamson: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.90547251701355	4.115961074829102		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	3	0.530	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5
TB	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	LAA	batting	67	16	3	0	0	9	9	7	18	0	0	0	0
current	LAA	pitching		8			0		3	4	7					8.0	3	0	0
current	TB	batting	68	16	0	0	1	10	8	8	14	0	0	0	0
current	TB	pitching		5			2		2	1	10					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	LAA	batting	32	5	1	0	2	2	2	1	10	0	0
simulation	LAA	pitching		8			0		3	4	7					8.0	3	36	157
simulation	TB	batting	31	8	1	0	0	3	3	4	7	1	0
simulation	TB	pitching		5			2		2	1	10					9.0	2	33	148

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	LAA		CF	Mike Trout	0	8	2	1	0	2	2	3	2	0.250
current	LAA		DH	Jorge Soler	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	4	0.222
current	LAA		SS	Zach Neto	0	10	3	1	0	2	1	2	3	0.300
current	LAA		1B	Vaughn Grissom	0	8	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	0.250
current	LAA		LF	Wade Meckler	0	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.200
current	LAA		2B	Oswald Peraza	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.167
current	LAA		RF	Jo Adell	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.222
current	LAA		3B	Donovan Walton	0	7	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0.286
current	LAA		C	Sebastián Rivero	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
current	TB		DH	Yandy Díaz	0	9	3	0	1	1	2	1	2	0.333
current	TB		3B	Junior Caminero	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.222
current	TB		RF	Ryan Vilade	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.200
current	TB		1B	Jonathan Aranda	0	8	3	0	0	1	2	1	2	0.375
current	TB		LF	Chandler Simpson	0	9	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.222
current	TB		C	Nick Fortes	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.167
current	TB		CF	Cedric Mullins	0	8	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.125
current	TB		2B	Ben Williamson	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
current	TB		SS	Taylor Walls	0	8	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.125
simulation	LAA	1	SS	Zach Neto	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	LAA	2	CF	Mike Trout	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	LAA	3	1B	Vaughn Grissom	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	LAA	4	DH	Jorge Soler	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	LAA	5	LF	Wade Meckler	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	LAA	6	RF	Jo Adell	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	LAA	7	2B	Oswald Peraza	3	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	LAA	8	3B	Donovan Walton	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.667
simulation	LAA	9	C	Sebastián Rivero	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	TB	1	DH	Yandy Díaz	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	TB	2	1B	Jonathan Aranda	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	TB	3	3B	Junior Caminero	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	TB	4	RF	Ryan Vilade	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	TB	5	LF	Chandler Simpson	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	TB	6	2B	Ben Williamson	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	TB	7	C	Nick Fortes	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.500
simulation	TB	8	CF	Cedric Mullins	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	TB	9	SS	Taylor Walls	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	LAA	1	Reid Detmers	Starter	5.2	8	3	3	1	5	0	0	0	4.76	4.57	1.14
current	LAA	2	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.33	1.11
current	LAA	3	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.68	1.09
current	LAA	6	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0		5.96	1.40
current	TB	1	Drew Rasmussen	Starter	6.0	2	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	0.00	2.78	0.98
current	TB	2	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	6.75	2.89	1.07
current	TB	3	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.31	1.07
current	TB	4	Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	13.50	2.81	0.78
simulation	LAA	1	Reid Detmers	Starter	5.2	8	3	3	1	5	0	26	99	4.76	4.57	1.14
simulation	LAA	2	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	17	0.00	3.68	1.09
simulation	LAA	3	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	0	6	21	0.00	2.33	1.11
simulation	LAA	4	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	20		5.96	1.40
simulation	TB	1	Drew Rasmussen	Starter	6.0	2	0	0	1	7	0	21	96	0.00	2.78	0.98
simulation	TB	2	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	17	0.00	2.31	1.07
simulation	TB	3	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	1	6	23	6.75	2.89	1.07
simulation	TB	4	Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	1	3	12	13.50	2.81	0.78

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
LAA	Reid Detmers	Starter	5.2	3	8	1	5	26	99
LAA	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	2	1	6	21
LAA	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	17
LAA	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	1	0	1	20
TB	Drew Rasmussen	Starter	6.0	0	2	1	7	21	96
TB	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	2	0	1	6	23
TB	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	17
TB	Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	0	1	3	12

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	critical	1	3	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	0	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	0	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	0	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	0	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	0	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	0	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	0	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_MIA@NYM

20260530_MIA@NYM.json • 2026-05-30

MIA 3 - NYM 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=34; H: current=17, sim=7; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=4, sim=1; SO: current=15, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kyle Stowers: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Xavier Edwards: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Otto Lopez: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Liam Hicks: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jakob Marsee: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Leo Jiménez: AB current=5 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Owen Caissie: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Christopher Morel: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=4; RBI: current=6, sim=1; R: current=6, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jared Young: H current=1 box=0; Juan Soto: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Bo Bichette: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Carson Benge: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Vidal Bruján: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; A.J. Ewing: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mark Vientos: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Marcus Semien: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting walks match NYM pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting home runs match NYM pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting hits match NYM pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIA PA=36 matches NYM BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting walks match MIA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting home runs match MIA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting hits match MIA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYM PA=35 matches MIA BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYM current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.547.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.547.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.453.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.655/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIA 7, NYM 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIA 3 - NYM 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIA.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIA.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5474330000000001, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'NYM', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_MIA@NYM.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_MIA@NYM.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIA@NYM.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 144.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 144.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIA 2 - 1 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIA 3 - 1 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIA wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIA, final=MIA.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.547.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/55 (0.291).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 20/52 (0.385).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIA wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIA wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-1, final 3-1 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIA wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIA wins and win_pct agree: 16/55 = 0.291.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYM wins and win_pct agree: 20/52 = 0.385.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting walks match NYM pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting home runs match NYM pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting hits match NYM pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIA PA=36 matches NYM BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting walks match MIA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting home runs match MIA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting hits match MIA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYM PA=35 matches MIA BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYM current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.547.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.547.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.453.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.655/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIA 7, NYM 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIA 3 - NYM 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIA.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIA.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5474330000000001, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'NYM', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_MIA@NYM.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_MIA@NYM.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIA@NYM.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 144.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 144.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIA 2 - 1 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIA 3 - 1 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIA wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIA, final=MIA.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.547.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/55 (0.291).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 20/52 (0.385).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIA wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIA wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-1, final 3-1 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIA wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIA wins and win_pct agree: 16/55 = 0.291.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYM wins and win_pct agree: 20/52 = 0.385.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=34; H: current=17, sim=7; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=4, sim=1; SO: current=15, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kyle Stowers: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Xavier Edwards: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Otto Lopez: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Liam Hicks: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jakob Marsee: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Leo Jiménez: AB current=5 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Owen Caissie: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Christopher Morel: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=4; RBI: current=6, sim=1; R: current=6, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jared Young: H current=1 box=0; Juan Soto: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Bo Bichette: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Carson Benge: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Vidal Bruján: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; A.J. Ewing: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mark Vientos: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Marcus Semien: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.813398361206055	3.08489990234375		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	3		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	1	0.547	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	MIA	batting	64	17	2	0	0	7	8	4	15	0	0	0	0
current	MIA	pitching		4			1		1	4	7					9.0	1	0	0
current	NYM	batting	58	14	0	0	1	6	6	6	14	0	0	0	0
current	NYM	pitching		7			0		3	1	6					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	MIA	batting	34	7	2	0	0	3	3	1	6	0	1
simulation	MIA	pitching		4			1		1	4	7					9.0	1	35	143
simulation	NYM	batting	31	4	0	0	1	1	1	4	7	0	0
simulation	NYM	pitching		7			0		3	1	6					9.0	3	36	144

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	MIA		LF	Kyle Stowers	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	MIA		2B	Xavier Edwards	0	9	3	1	0	2	1	1	1	0	0.333
current	MIA		SS	Otto Lopez	0	9	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIA		1B	Liam Hicks	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	MIA		CF	Jakob Marsee	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	MIA		DH	Leo Jiménez	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
current	MIA		RF	Owen Caissie	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	0.333
current	MIA		3B	Christopher Morel	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.167
current	MIA		C	Joe Mack	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.167
current	NYM		DH	Jared Young	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	NYM		LF	Juan Soto	0	8	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	NYM		3B	Bo Bichette	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	NYM		RF	Carson Benge	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	NYM		SS	Vidal Bruján	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
current	NYM		CF	A.J. Ewing	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.286
current	NYM		1B	Mark Vientos	0	8	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.125
current	NYM		2B	Marcus Semien	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	NYM		C	Hayden Senger	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	MIA	1	2B	Xavier Edwards	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	MIA	2	1B	Liam Hicks	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIA	3	SS	Otto Lopez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIA	4	LF	Kyle Stowers	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIA	5	CF	Jakob Marsee	4	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	MIA	6	DH	Leo Jiménez	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIA	7	RF	Owen Caissie	4	3	1	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	MIA	8	3B	Christopher Morel	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIA	9	C	Joe Mack	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	1	RF	Carson Benge	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	2	3B	Bo Bichette	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	3	LF	Juan Soto	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0.500
simulation	NYM	4	DH	Jared Young	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	5	1B	Mark Vientos	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	NYM	6	CF	A.J. Ewing	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	7	2B	Marcus Semien	4	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0.500
simulation	NYM	8	SS	Vidal Bruján	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	9	C	Hayden Senger	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	MIA	1	Tyler Phillips	Starter	5.0	2	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	0.00	1.07	1.25
current	MIA	2	Andrew Nardi	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.00	4.76	1.28
current	MIA	3	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	3.22	0.94
current	MIA	4	Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.80	1.12
current	MIA	5	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	9.00	7.53	1.40
current	NYM	1	Christian Scott	Starter	5.0	4	3	3	1	5	0	0	0	5.40	3.20	1.38
current	NYM	2	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.25	1.20
current	NYM	3	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5.00	1.50
current	NYM	4	Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.93	1.00
current	NYM	5	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.92	1.09
simulation	MIA	1	Tyler Phillips	Starter	5.0	2	0	0	2	4	0	19	77	0.00	1.07	1.25
simulation	MIA	2	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	0	0	4	17	9.00	7.53	1.40
simulation	MIA	3	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	16	0.00	3.22	0.94
simulation	MIA	4	Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	16	0.00	3.80	1.12
simulation	MIA	5	Andrew Nardi	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	17	0.00	4.76	1.28
simulation	NYM	1	Christian Scott	Starter	5.0	4	3	3	1	5	0	20	79	5.40	3.20	1.38
simulation	NYM	2	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	16	0.00	5.00	1.50
simulation	NYM	3	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	5	18	0.00	2.92	1.09
simulation	NYM	4	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	16	0.00	1.25	1.20
simulation	NYM	5	Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	15	0.00	1.93	1.00

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
MIA	Tyler Phillips	Starter	5.0	0	2	2	4	19	77
MIA	Andrew Nardi	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	2	4	17
MIA	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16
MIA	Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
MIA	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	1	0	4	17
NYM	Christian Scott	Starter	5.0	3	4	1	5	20	79
NYM	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16
NYM	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16
NYM	Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15
NYM	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	5	18

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_MIL@HOU

20260530_MIL@HOU.json • 2026-05-30

MIL 1 - HOU 6

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=11; 2B: current=1, sim=3; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=6; R: current=9, sim=6; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=4).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Taylor Trammell: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Jeremy Peña: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Yordan Alvarez: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Christian Walker: AB current=9 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Isaac Paredes: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Cam Smith: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Meyers: AB current=7 box=2, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Braden Shewmake: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=32; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=3, sim=0; 3B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=9, sim=3; SO: current=17, sim=9).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Christian Yelich: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jackson Chourio: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Brice Turang: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; William Contreras: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Andrew Vaughn: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jake Bauers: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Joey Ortiz: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Garrett Mitchell: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, 3B current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-4, final 1-6 (delta 3).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match MIL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match MIL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match MIL pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=37 matches MIL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting walks match HOU pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting home runs match HOU pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting hits match HOU pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIL PA=36 matches HOU BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.438.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.451/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIL 5, HOU 11.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIL 1 - HOU 6.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: HOU.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for HOU.	{'winner_confidence': 0.561617, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.527911, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_MIL@HOU.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_MIL@HOU.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIL@HOU.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIL 2 - 4 HOU.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIL 1 - 6 HOU.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: HOU wins 6-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=HOU, final=HOU.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.562.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 20/51 (0.392).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 23/56 (0.411).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: HOU wins 6-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: HOU wins 1-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: HOU wins 6-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins and win_pct agree: 23/56 = 0.411.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIL wins and win_pct agree: 20/51 = 0.392.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match MIL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match MIL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match MIL pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=37 matches MIL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting walks match HOU pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting home runs match HOU pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting hits match HOU pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIL PA=36 matches HOU BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.438.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.451/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIL 5, HOU 11.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIL 1 - HOU 6.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: HOU.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for HOU.	{'winner_confidence': 0.561617, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.527911, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_MIL@HOU.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_MIL@HOU.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIL@HOU.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIL 2 - 4 HOU.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIL 1 - 6 HOU.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: HOU wins 6-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=HOU, final=HOU.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.562.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 20/51 (0.392).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 23/56 (0.411).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: HOU wins 6-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: HOU wins 1-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: HOU wins 6-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins and win_pct agree: 23/56 = 0.411.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIL wins and win_pct agree: 20/51 = 0.392.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=11; 2B: current=1, sim=3; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=6; R: current=9, sim=6; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=4).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Taylor Trammell: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Jeremy Peña: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Yordan Alvarez: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Christian Walker: AB current=9 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Isaac Paredes: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Cam Smith: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Meyers: AB current=7 box=2, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Braden Shewmake: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=32; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=3, sim=0; 3B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=9, sim=3; SO: current=17, sim=9).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Christian Yelich: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jackson Chourio: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Brice Turang: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; William Contreras: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Andrew Vaughn: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jake Bauers: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Joey Ortiz: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Garrett Mitchell: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, 3B current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-4, final 1-6 (delta 3).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.3615927696228027	6.47360897064209		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	7		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	4	0.562	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	4		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	6		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5
HOU	1	0	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	6	11

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	MIL	batting	69	16	3	0	0	9	10	9	17	0	0	0	0
current	MIL	pitching		11			1		6	2	4					8.0	6	0	0
current	HOU	batting	67	14	1	0	2	9	9	6	14	0	0	0	0
current	HOU	pitching		5			0		1	3	9					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	MIL	batting	32	5	0	1	0	1	1	3	9	0	1
simulation	MIL	pitching		11			1		6	2	4					8.0	6	37	153
simulation	HOU	batting	35	11	3	0	1	6	6	2	4	0	0
simulation	HOU	pitching		5			0		1	3	9					9.0	1	36	159

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	MIL		DH	Christian Yelich	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	MIL		LF	Jackson Chourio	0	10	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.200
current	MIL		2B	Brice Turang	0	9	2	0	0	0	2	1	2	3	0	0.222
current	MIL		C	William Contreras	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0	0.222
current	MIL		1B	Andrew Vaughn	0	6	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIL		RF	Jake Bauers	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	MIL		SS	Joey Ortiz	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.167
current	MIL		CF	Garrett Mitchell	0	7	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.286
current	MIL		3B	David Hamilton	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.167
current	HOU		LF	Taylor Trammell	0	6	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.167
current	HOU		SS	Jeremy Peña	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.222
current	HOU		DH	Yordan Alvarez	0	9	2	0	0	1	2	2	2	2	0	0.222
current	HOU		1B	Christian Walker	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	HOU		3B	Isaac Paredes	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	HOU		RF	Cam Smith	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	HOU		CF	Jake Meyers	0	7	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	HOU		2B	Braden Shewmake	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.167
current	HOU		C	Christian Vázquez	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.167
simulation	MIL	1	DH	Christian Yelich	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	MIL	2	LF	Jackson Chourio	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	MIL	3	2B	Brice Turang	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	MIL	4	C	William Contreras	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIL	5	RF	Jake Bauers	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIL	6	1B	Andrew Vaughn	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	MIL	7	CF	Garrett Mitchell	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	MIL	8	SS	Joey Ortiz	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIL	9	3B	David Hamilton	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	1	SS	Jeremy Peña	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	HOU	2	DH	Yordan Alvarez	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	HOU	3	1B	Christian Walker	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	HOU	4	LF	Taylor Trammell	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	HOU	5	3B	Isaac Paredes	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	HOU	6	RF	Cam Smith	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	HOU	7	2B	Braden Shewmake	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	8	CF	Jake Meyers	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	9	C	Christian Vázquez	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.750

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	MIL	1	Brandon Sproat	Starter	4.1	7	5	5	0	1	1	0	0	10.38	5.84	1.54
current	MIL	2	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	6.75	2.00	1.28
current	MIL	3	Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.60	1.22
current	MIL	4	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.70	1.00
current	MIL	5	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0		3.98	1.23
current	MIL	6	DL Hall	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.36	1.24
current	HOU	1	Peter Lambert	Starter	6.2	2	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	0.00	3.79	1.17
current	HOU	2	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.84	1.30
current	HOU	3	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	13.50	6.87	2.02
current	HOU	5	Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1.12
simulation	MIL	1	Brandon Sproat	Starter	4.1	7	5	5	0	1	1	20	78	10.38	5.84	1.54
simulation	MIL	2	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	17		3.98	1.23
simulation	MIL	3	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	14	0.00	2.70	1.00
simulation	MIL	4	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	0	6	18	6.75	2.00	1.28
simulation	MIL	5	Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	0	5	5	0.00	2.60	1.22
simulation	MIL	6	DL Hall	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	21	0.00	2.36	1.24
simulation	HOU	1	Peter Lambert	Starter	6.2	2	0	0	3	6	0	25	106	0.00	3.79	1.17
simulation	HOU	2	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	5	21	0.00	2.84	1.30
simulation	HOU	3	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	0	3	15	13.50	6.87	2.02
simulation	HOU	4	Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	17	0.00	0.00	1.12

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
MIL	Brandon Sproat	Starter	4.1	5	7	0	1	20	78
MIL	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	6	18
MIL	Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	0	1	5	5
MIL	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	14
MIL	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	1	0	1	17
MIL	DL Hall	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	1	0	1	2	21
HOU	Peter Lambert	Starter	6.2	0	2	3	6	25	106
HOU	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	0	1	5	21
HOU	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	0	1	3	15
HOU	Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	1	0	1	3	17

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_MIN@PIT

20260530_MIN@PIT.json • 2026-05-30

MIN 1 - PIT 5

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=4; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=11).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Trevor Larnach: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Kody Clemens: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Byron Buxton: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Josh Bell: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Austin Martin: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Victor Caratini: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Orlando Arcia: AB current=5 box=3, R current=1 box=0; Luke Keaschall: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=34; H: current=16, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=5; R: current=11, sim=5; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=18, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Spencer Horwitz: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, BB current=2 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryan Reynolds: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=1 box=0; Endy Rodríguez: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, SO current=3 box=1; Jake Mangum: AB current=6 box=4, R current=1 box=0; Konnor Griffin: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-3, final 1-5 (delta 3).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match PIT pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match PIT pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match PIT pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=33 matches PIT BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match MIN pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match MIN pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match MIN pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=38 matches MIN BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.475.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.496/0.678.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIN 4, PIT 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIN 1 - PIT 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT.	{'winner_confidence': 0.525293, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.527826, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_MIN@PIT.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_MIN@PIT.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIN@PIT.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 152.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 135.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 152.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 135.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIN 2 - 3 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIN 1 - 5 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 5-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.525.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/56 (0.286).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/53 (0.226).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PIT wins 5-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins and win_pct agree: 16/56 = 0.286.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 12/53 = 0.226.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match PIT pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match PIT pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match PIT pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=33 matches PIT BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match MIN pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match MIN pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match MIN pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=38 matches MIN BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.475.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.496/0.678.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIN 4, PIT 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIN 1 - PIT 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT.	{'winner_confidence': 0.525293, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.527826, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_MIN@PIT.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_MIN@PIT.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIN@PIT.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 152.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 135.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 152.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 135.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIN 2 - 3 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIN 1 - 5 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 5-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.525.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/56 (0.286).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/53 (0.226).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PIT wins 5-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins and win_pct agree: 16/56 = 0.286.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 12/53 = 0.226.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=31; H: current=14, sim=4; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=11).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Trevor Larnach: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Kody Clemens: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Byron Buxton: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Josh Bell: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Austin Martin: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Victor Caratini: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Orlando Arcia: AB current=5 box=3, R current=1 box=0; Luke Keaschall: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=34; H: current=16, sim=10; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=5; R: current=11, sim=5; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=18, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Spencer Horwitz: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, BB current=2 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryan Reynolds: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=1 box=0; Endy Rodríguez: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, SO current=3 box=1; Jake Mangum: AB current=6 box=4, R current=1 box=0; Konnor Griffin: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-3, final 1-5 (delta 3).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.549167156219482	4.407354354858398		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	3	0.525	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	5		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4
PIT	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0	5	10

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	MIN	batting	65	14	1	0	1	8	9	7	16	0	0	0	0
current	MIN	pitching		10			0		5	3	6					8.0	5	0	0
current	PIT	batting	67	16	1	0	2	9	11	8	18	0	0	0	0
current	PIT	pitching		4			0		1	2	11					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	MIN	batting	31	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	11	0	0
simulation	MIN	pitching		10			0		5	3	6					8.0	5	38	152
simulation	PIT	batting	34	10	2	0	0	5	5	3	6	0	1
simulation	PIT	pitching		4			0		1	2	11					9.0	1	33	135

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	MIN		LF	Trevor Larnach	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	MIN		CF	Kody Clemens	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	MIN		DH	Byron Buxton	0	10	3	0	1	2	1	1	3	0	0.300
current	MIN		1B	Josh Bell	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	MIN		RF	Austin Martin	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	MIN		C	Victor Caratini	0	7	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	MIN		3B	Orlando Arcia	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.200
current	MIN		2B	Luke Keaschall	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	MIN		SS	Tristan Gray	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.167
current	PIT		1B	Spencer Horwitz	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0.286
current	PIT		3B	Nick Gonzales	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
current	PIT		RF	Bryan Reynolds	0	8	3	1	1	2	2	2	2	0	0.375
current	PIT		2B	Brandon Lowe	0	9	2	0	1	2	2	1	3	0	0.222
current	PIT		C	Endy Rodríguez	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.200
current	PIT		CF	Oneil Cruz	0	9	2	0	0	2	1	1	3	0	0.222
current	PIT		LF	Jake Mangum	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.167
current	PIT		DH	Konnor Griffin	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.222
current	PIT		SS	Jared Triolo	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.167
simulation	MIN	1	DH	Byron Buxton	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	2	LF	Trevor Larnach	4	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIN	3	1B	Josh Bell	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	MIN	4	CF	Kody Clemens	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	5	RF	Austin Martin	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	6	C	Victor Caratini	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	7	3B	Orlando Arcia	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	MIN	8	2B	Luke Keaschall	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	9	SS	Tristan Gray	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	1	1B	Spencer Horwitz	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	2	2B	Brandon Lowe	5	5	3	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.600
simulation	PIT	3	RF	Bryan Reynolds	4	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	PIT	4	3B	Nick Gonzales	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	PIT	5	CF	Oneil Cruz	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	PIT	6	DH	Konnor Griffin	4	4	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	PIT	7	C	Endy Rodríguez	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	8	LF	Jake Mangum	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	PIT	9	SS	Jared Triolo	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	MIN	1	Bailey Ober	Starter	6.0	7	2	2	0	6	0	0	3.00	3.92	1.10
current	MIN	3	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.91	1.43
current	MIN	6	Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	0.1	2	3	3	3	0	0	0	81.00	4.23	1.37
current	PIT	1	Mitch Keller	Starter	6.0	3	1	1	2	7	0	0	1.50	3.64	1.07
current	PIT	2	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	2.42	1.03
current	PIT	3	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.05	0.76
current	PIT	4	Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	4.88	1.47
simulation	MIN	1	Bailey Ober	Starter	6.0	7	2	2	0	6	26	106	3.00	3.92	1.10
simulation	MIN	2	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	6	24	0.00	2.91	1.43
simulation	MIN	3	Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	0.1	2	3	3	3	0	6	22	81.00	4.23	1.37
simulation	PIT	1	Mitch Keller	Starter	6.0	3	1	1	2	7	23	93	1.50	3.64	1.07
simulation	PIT	2	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	2.05	0.76
simulation	PIT	3	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	4	17	0.00	2.42	1.03
simulation	PIT	4	Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	2	8	0.00	4.88	1.47

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
MIN	Bailey Ober	Starter	6.0	2	7	0	6	26	106
MIN	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	1	0	0	6	24
MIN	Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	0.1	3	2	3	0	6	22
PIT	Mitch Keller	Starter	6.0	1	3	2	7	23	93
PIT	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	2	4	17
PIT	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	17
PIT	Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	2	2	8

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_NYY@OAK

20260530_NYY@OAK.json • 2026-05-30

NYY 3 - OAK 2

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=31; H: current=17, sim=4; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=12, sim=3; R: current=14, sim=3; BB: current=10, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=12).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Cody Bellinger: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Aaron Judge: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Trent Grisham: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Ben Rice: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Ryan McMahon: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Wells: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=33; H: current=15, sim=6; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=6, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=1; SO: current=17, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shea Langeliers: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Brent Rooker: AB current=8 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Colby Thomas: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Henry Bolte: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Darell Hernaiz: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match OAK pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match OAK pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match OAK pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=33 matches OAK BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match NYY pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match NYY pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match NYY pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=35 matches NYY BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.475.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.651/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: NYY 4, OAK 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: NYY 3 - OAK 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.	{'winner_confidence': 0.525, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.5449999999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_NYY@OAK.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_NYY@OAK.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: NYY@OAK.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 131.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 131.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYY 3 - 1 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: NYY 3 - 2 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 3-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.525.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/54 (0.278).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 13/54 (0.241).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 3-2 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins and win_pct agree: 15/54 = 0.278.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins and win_pct agree: 13/54 = 0.241.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match OAK pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match OAK pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match OAK pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=33 matches OAK BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match NYY pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match NYY pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match NYY pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=35 matches NYY BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.525.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.475.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.651/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: NYY 4, OAK 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: NYY 3 - OAK 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.	{'winner_confidence': 0.525, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.5449999999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_NYY@OAK.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_NYY@OAK.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: NYY@OAK.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 131.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 131.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYY 3 - 1 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: NYY 3 - 2 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 3-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.525.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/54 (0.278).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 13/54 (0.241).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 3-2 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins and win_pct agree: 15/54 = 0.278.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins and win_pct agree: 13/54 = 0.241.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=31; H: current=17, sim=4; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=12, sim=3; R: current=14, sim=3; BB: current=10, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=12).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Cody Bellinger: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Aaron Judge: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Trent Grisham: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Ben Rice: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Ryan McMahon: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Wells: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=33; H: current=15, sim=6; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=6, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=1; SO: current=17, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shea Langeliers: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Brent Rooker: AB current=8 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Colby Thomas: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Henry Bolte: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Darell Hernaiz: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.6127524375915527	3.7947182655334473		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	1	0.525	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	4
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	NYY	batting	69	17	2	0	2	12	14	10	16	0	0	0	0
current	NYY	pitching		6			2		2	1	7					9.0	2	0	0
current	OAK	batting	62	15	1	0	0	7	6	7	17	0	0	0	0
current	OAK	pitching		4			0		3	2	12					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	NYY	batting	31	4	0	0	0	3	3	2	12	0	0
simulation	NYY	pitching		6			2		2	1	7					9.0	2	35	131
simulation	OAK	batting	33	6	1	0	2	2	2	1	7	0	1
simulation	OAK	pitching		4			0		3	2	12					9.0	3	33	143

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	NYY		LF	Cody Bellinger	0	9	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	0	0.222
current	NYY		RF	Aaron Judge	0	8	2	0	1	2	2	2	2	0	0.250
current	NYY		CF	Trent Grisham	0	8	2	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	NYY		DH	Ben Rice	0	9	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	0	0.333
current	NYY		2B	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	NYY		1B	Paul Goldschmidt	0	8	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	NYY		3B	Ryan McMahon	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.167
current	NYY		C	Austin Wells	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	NYY		SS	Anthony Volpe	0	6	2	1	0	2	1	2	1	0	0.333
current	OAK		C	Shea Langeliers	0	10	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.300
current	OAK		1B	Nick Kurtz	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	2	3	0	0.222
current	OAK		DH	Brent Rooker	0	8	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.125
current	OAK		RF	Colby Thomas	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	OAK		3B	Zack Gelof	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.286
current	OAK		LF	Tyler Soderstrom	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	OAK		CF	Henry Bolte	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	OAK		SS	Darell Hernaiz	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.167
current	OAK		2B	Alika Williams	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	NYY	1	CF	Trent Grisham	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	NYY	2	DH	Ben Rice	4	4	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	NYY	3	RF	Aaron Judge	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	NYY	4	LF	Cody Bellinger	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	5	2B	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	6	1B	Paul Goldschmidt	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	7	3B	Ryan McMahon	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	8	C	Austin Wells	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	NYY	9	SS	Anthony Volpe	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	1	RF	Colby Thomas	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	2	1B	Nick Kurtz	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	OAK	3	C	Shea Langeliers	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	4	DH	Brent Rooker	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	5	LF	Tyler Soderstrom	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	OAK	6	CF	Henry Bolte	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	7	3B	Zack Gelof	4	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.750
simulation	OAK	8	SS	Darell Hernaiz	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	9	2B	Alika Williams	3	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.667

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	NYY	1	Ryan Weathers	Starter	5.2	4	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	0.00	3.14	1.12
current	NYY	2	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	18.00	4.70	1.57
current	NYY	3	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.90	1.27
current	NYY	5	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.27	0.89
current	OAK	1	J.T. Ginn	Starter	5.2	4	3	3	2	7	0	0	0	4.76	3.19	1.14
current	OAK	2	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.70	1.57
current	OAK	3	Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	5.70	1.48
current	OAK	4	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.73	0.73
simulation	NYY	1	Ryan Weathers	Starter	5.2	4	0	0	1	6	0	23	92	0.00	3.14	1.12
simulation	NYY	2	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	2	5	19	18.00	4.70	1.57
simulation	NYY	3	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	9	0.00	1.90	1.27
simulation	NYY	4	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	11	0.00	1.27	0.89
simulation	OAK	1	J.T. Ginn	Starter	5.2	4	3	3	2	7	0	23	96	4.76	3.19	1.14
simulation	OAK	2	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	14	0.00	2.70	1.57
simulation	OAK	3	Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	16	0.00	5.70	1.48
simulation	OAK	4	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	17	0.00	1.73	0.73

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
NYY	Ryan Weathers	Starter	5.2	0	4	1	6	23	92
NYY	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	0	0	5	19
NYY	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	5	9
NYY	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	11
OAK	J.T. Ginn	Starter	5.2	3	4	2	7	23	96
OAK	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	14
OAK	Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	16
OAK	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	17

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_PHI@LAD

20260530_PHI@LAD.json • 2026-05-30

PHI 2 - LAD 6

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=34; H: current=18, sim=10; HR: current=4, sim=1; RBI: current=13, sim=6; R: current=13, sim=6; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=13, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Mookie Betts: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Andy Pages: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Freddie Freeman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Shohei Ohtani: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Kyle Tucker: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Alex Call: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Will Smith: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Miguel Rojas: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=71, sim=33; H: current=15, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=2; R: current=7, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=10).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brandon Marsh: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Schwarber: AB current=10 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=4 box=2; Bryce Harper: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Trea Turner: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Alec Bohm: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryson Stott: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0; J.T. Realmuto: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Adolis García: AB current=7 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=3		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting walks match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting home runs match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting hits match PHI pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAD PA=35 matches PHI BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting walks match LAD pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting home runs match LAD pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting hits match LAD pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PHI PA=36 matches LAD BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PHI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.415.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.585.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.585.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.448/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: PHI 6, LAD 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: PHI 2 - LAD 6.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.584933, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'LAD', 'confidence': 0.528373, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_PHI@LAD.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_PHI@LAD.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: PHI@LAD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 136.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 163.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 163.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 136.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PHI 2 - 4 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: PHI 2 - 6 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 6-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=LAD, final=LAD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.585.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 12/56 (0.214).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 17/55 (0.309).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAD wins 6-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAD wins 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-4, final 2-6 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAD wins 6-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAD wins and win_pct agree: 17/55 = 0.309.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PHI wins and win_pct agree: 12/56 = 0.214.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting walks match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting home runs match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting hits match PHI pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAD PA=35 matches PHI BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting walks match LAD pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting home runs match LAD pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting hits match LAD pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PHI PA=36 matches LAD BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PHI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.415.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.585.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.585.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.448/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: PHI 6, LAD 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: PHI 2 - LAD 6.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.584933, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'LAD', 'confidence': 0.528373, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_PHI@LAD.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_PHI@LAD.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: PHI@LAD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 136.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 163.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 163.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 136.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PHI 2 - 4 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: PHI 2 - 6 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 6-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=LAD, final=LAD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.585.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 12/56 (0.214).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 17/55 (0.309).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAD wins 6-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAD wins 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-4, final 2-6 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAD wins 6-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAD wins and win_pct agree: 17/55 = 0.309.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PHI wins and win_pct agree: 12/56 = 0.214.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=34; H: current=18, sim=10; HR: current=4, sim=1; RBI: current=13, sim=6; R: current=13, sim=6; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=13, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Mookie Betts: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Andy Pages: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Freddie Freeman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Shohei Ohtani: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Kyle Tucker: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Alex Call: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Will Smith: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Miguel Rojas: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=71, sim=33; H: current=15, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=2; R: current=7, sim=2; BB: current=5, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=10).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brandon Marsh: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Schwarber: AB current=10 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=4 box=2; Bryce Harper: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Trea Turner: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Alec Bohm: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Bryson Stott: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0; J.T. Realmuto: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Adolis García: AB current=7 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=3	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.420283794403076	5.640645503997803		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	4	0.585	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	4		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	6		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6
LAD	0	4	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	6	10

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	PHI	batting	71	15	0	0	2	8	7	5	16	0	0	0	0
current	PHI	pitching		10			1		6	1	6					8.0	6	0	0
current	LAD	batting	68	18	4	0	4	13	13	6	13	0	0	0	0
current	LAD	pitching		6			1		2	3	10					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	PHI	batting	33	6	2	0	1	2	2	3	10	0	0
simulation	PHI	pitching		10			1		6	1	6					8.0	6	35	136
simulation	LAD	batting	34	10	4	0	1	6	6	1	6	0	0
simulation	LAD	pitching		6			1		2	3	10					9.0	2	36	163

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	PHI		LF	Brandon Marsh	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.286
current	PHI		DH	Kyle Schwarber	0	10	2	0	1	1	2	1	4	0.200
current	PHI		1B	Bryce Harper	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	PHI		SS	Trea Turner	0	10	2	0	1	1	1	1	2	0.200
current	PHI		3B	Alec Bohm	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	PHI		2B	Bryson Stott	0	7	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.143
current	PHI		C	J.T. Realmuto	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.286
current	PHI		RF	Adolis García	0	7	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.143
current	PHI		CF	Justin Crawford	0	7	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.143
current	LAD		SS	Mookie Betts	0	9	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	0.222
current	LAD		CF	Andy Pages	0	9	3	1	1	2	2	1	1	0.333
current	LAD		1B	Freddie Freeman	0	9	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	0.333
current	LAD		DH	Shohei Ohtani	0	9	2	1	1	2	2	1	3	0.222
current	LAD		RF	Kyle Tucker	0	9	2	1	0	2	1	1	2	0.222
current	LAD		LF	Alex Call	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.200
current	LAD		C	Will Smith	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	LAD		2B	Miguel Rojas	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	LAD		3B	Santiago Espinal	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.200
simulation	PHI	1	DH	Kyle Schwarber	4	4	2	0	1	1	2	0	2	0.500
simulation	PHI	2	SS	Trea Turner	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	PHI	3	1B	Bryce Harper	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	PHI	4	LF	Brandon Marsh	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	PHI	5	3B	Alec Bohm	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	PHI	6	2B	Bryson Stott	4	4	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	PHI	7	C	J.T. Realmuto	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	PHI	8	RF	Adolis García	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.250
simulation	PHI	9	CF	Justin Crawford	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	LAD	1	DH	Shohei Ohtani	4	4	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	0.250
simulation	LAD	2	CF	Andy Pages	4	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.500
simulation	LAD	3	1B	Freddie Freeman	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	LAD	4	SS	Mookie Betts	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	LAD	5	RF	Kyle Tucker	4	4	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	LAD	6	C	Will Smith	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	LAD	7	2B	Miguel Rojas	4	4	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	LAD	8	LF	Alex Call	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.500
simulation	LAD	9	3B	Santiago Espinal	3	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	0	0.667

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	PHI	1	Jesús Luzardo	Starter	5.1	10	6	6	1	3	1	0	0	10.12	4.38	1.28
current	PHI	2	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.80	1.18
current	PHI	3	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.62	1.02
current	LAD	1	Roki Sasaki	Starter	5.1	4	2	2	3	4	1	0	0	3.38	4.93	1.42
current	LAD	2	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	1.06	0.82
current	LAD	3	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.14	0.59
current	LAD	4	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.37	0.95
current	LAD	5	Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.62	1.08
simulation	PHI	1	Jesús Luzardo	Starter	5.1	10	6	6	1	3	1	27	101	10.12	4.38	1.28
simulation	PHI	2	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	18	0.00	1.62	1.02
simulation	PHI	3	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	17	0.00	3.80	1.18
simulation	LAD	1	Roki Sasaki	Starter	5.1	4	2	2	3	4	1	23	103	3.38	4.93	1.42
simulation	LAD	2	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	14	0.00	1.14	0.59
simulation	LAD	3	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	0	4	16	0.00	1.06	0.82
simulation	LAD	4	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	14	0.00	2.37	0.95
simulation	LAD	5	Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	16	0.00	1.62	1.08

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
PHI	Jesús Luzardo	Starter	5.1	6	10	1	3	27	101
PHI	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	5	17
PHI	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	18
LAD	Roki Sasaki	Starter	5.1	2	4	3	4	23	103
LAD	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	3	4	16
LAD	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	14
LAD	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	14
LAD	Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_SD@WAS

20260530_SD@WAS.json • 2026-05-30

SD 5 - WAS 1

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 1ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 90INFO 8

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Batting Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	WAS	current:WAS has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	WAS		BATTING_REALISM	current:WAS has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	current:WAS has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.
INFO	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=35; H: current=17, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=8, sim=5; R: current=8, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=18, sim=9; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Gavin Sheets: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Manny Machado: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Miguel Andujar: AB current=8 box=5, HR current=0 box=1; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Jackson Merrill: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ramón Laureano: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ty France: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=31; H: current=17, sim=4; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	WAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Luis García Jr.: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; James Wood: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Daylen Lile: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; CJ Abrams: AB current=8 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Drew Millas: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jose Fernandez: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dylan Crews: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jorbit Vivas: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 3-2, final 5-1 (delta 3).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	SD	BATTING_REALISM	current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SD batting walks match WAS pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SD batting home runs match WAS pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SD batting hits match WAS pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SD batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SD PA=39 matches WAS BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting walks match SD pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting home runs match SD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting hits match SD pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:WAS PA=35 matches SD BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	WAS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	WAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.537.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.537.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.463.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.655/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SD 8, WAS 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SD 5 - WAS 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.537037, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'SD', 'confidence': 0.542465, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_SD@WAS.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_SD@WAS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SD@WAS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 162.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 162.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SD 3 - 2 WAS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SD 5 - 1 WAS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SD wins 5-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SD, final=SD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.537.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 11/54 (0.204).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/58 (0.259).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SD wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SD wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SD wins 5-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SD wins and win_pct agree: 11/54 = 0.204.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	WAS wins and win_pct agree: 15/58 = 0.259.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	SD	BATTING_REALISM	current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SD batting walks match WAS pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SD batting home runs match WAS pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SD batting hits match WAS pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SD batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SD PA=39 matches WAS BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting walks match SD pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting home runs match SD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting hits match SD pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:WAS PA=35 matches SD BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	WAS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	WAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.537.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.537.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.463.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.655/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SD 8, WAS 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SD 5 - WAS 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.537037, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'SD', 'confidence': 0.542465, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_SD@WAS.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_SD@WAS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SD@WAS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 162.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 162.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SD 3 - 2 WAS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SD 5 - 1 WAS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SD wins 5-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SD, final=SD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.537.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 11/54 (0.204).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/58 (0.259).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SD wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SD wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SD wins 5-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SD wins and win_pct agree: 11/54 = 0.204.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	WAS wins and win_pct agree: 15/58 = 0.259.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=35; H: current=17, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=8, sim=5; R: current=8, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=18, sim=9; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Gavin Sheets: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Manny Machado: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Miguel Andujar: AB current=8 box=5, HR current=0 box=1; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Jackson Merrill: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ramón Laureano: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ty France: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=31; H: current=17, sim=4; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	WAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Luis García Jr.: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; James Wood: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Daylen Lile: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; CJ Abrams: AB current=8 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Drew Millas: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jose Fernandez: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dylan Crews: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jorbit Vivas: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 3-2, final 5-1 (delta 3).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.278238296508789	5.210517406463623		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	6		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	2	0.537	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	5	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	8
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	SD	batting	67	17	2	0	0	8	8	7	18	0	0	0	0
current	SD	pitching		4			0		1	3	8					9.0	1	0	0
current	WAS	batting	67	17	2	0	1	9	10	7	15	0	0	0	0
current	WAS	pitching		8			3		5	3	9					9.0	5	0	0
simulation	SD	batting	35	8	2	0	3	5	5	3	9	0	1
simulation	SD	pitching		4			0		1	3	8					9.0	1	35	147
simulation	WAS	batting	31	4	2	0	0	1	1	3	8	0	1
simulation	WAS	pitching		8			3		5	3	9					9.0	5	39	162

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	SD		LF	Gavin Sheets	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	SD		3B	Manny Machado	0	8	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.125
current	SD		DH	Miguel Andujar	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
current	SD		2B	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0	9	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.333
current	SD		CF	Jackson Merrill	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	SD		SS	Xander Bogaerts	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	SD		RF	Ramón Laureano	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.250
current	SD		1B	Ty France	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.333
current	SD		C	Rodolfo Durán	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	WAS		1B	Luis García Jr.	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.286
current	WAS		RF	James Wood	0	10	3	1	1	3	2	2	3	0	0.300
current	WAS		LF	Daylen Lile	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	WAS		SS	CJ Abrams	0	8	3	1	0	1	2	1	2	0	0.375
current	WAS		C	Drew Millas	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.167
current	WAS		DH	Jose Fernandez	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.286
current	WAS		CF	Dylan Crews	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	WAS		3B	Jorbit Vivas	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.200
current	WAS		2B	Nasim Nuñez	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
simulation	SD	1	2B	Fernando Tatis Jr.	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	SD	2	LF	Gavin Sheets	5	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
simulation	SD	3	DH	Miguel Andujar	5	5	2	1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0.400
simulation	SD	4	3B	Manny Machado	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	SD	5	CF	Jackson Merrill	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	SD	6	SS	Xander Bogaerts	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	SD	7	1B	Ty France	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	SD	8	RF	Ramón Laureano	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	SD	9	C	Rodolfo Durán	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	WAS	1	RF	James Wood	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	WAS	2	1B	Luis García Jr.	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	WAS	3	LF	Daylen Lile	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	WAS	4	SS	CJ Abrams	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	WAS	5	DH	Jose Fernandez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	WAS	6	3B	Jorbit Vivas	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	WAS	7	CF	Dylan Crews	4	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	WAS	8	C	Drew Millas	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	WAS	9	2B	Nasim Nuñez	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	SD	1	Michael King	Starter	5.2	4	1	1	3	6	0	0	0	1.59	2.76	1.15
current	SD	2	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.99	1.06
current	SD	3	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.95	1.00
current	SD	4	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.72	0.84
current	WAS	1	Foster Griffin	Starter	5.2	5	4	4	2	3	3	0	0	6.35	3.63	1.13
current	WAS	2	Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.70	1.20
current	WAS	3	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	3.80	1.41
current	WAS	5	Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	9.00	2.70	1.71
simulation	SD	1	Michael King	Starter	5.2	4	1	1	3	6	0	24	95	1.59	2.76	1.15
simulation	SD	2	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	21	0.00	0.72	0.84
simulation	SD	3	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	14	0.00	0.95	1.00
simulation	SD	4	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	17	0.00	3.99	1.06
simulation	WAS	1	Foster Griffin	Starter	5.2	5	4	4	2	3	3	25	105	6.35	3.63	1.13
simulation	WAS	2	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	16	0.00	3.80	1.41
simulation	WAS	3	Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	18	0.00	2.70	1.20
simulation	WAS	4	Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	0	6	23	9.00	2.70	1.71

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
SD	Michael King	Starter	5.2	1	4	3	6	24	95
SD	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	17
SD	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	4	14
SD	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	21
WAS	Foster Griffin	Starter	5.2	4	5	2	3	25	105
WAS	Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	2	4	18
WAS	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	2	4	16
WAS	Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	2	6	23

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	critical	1	3	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	0	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	0	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	0	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	0	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	0	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	0	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_SF@COL

20260530_SF@COL.json • 2026-05-30

SF 4 - COL 3

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=35; H: current=15, sim=8; 2B: current=1, sim=4; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=7, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=0; SO: current=18, sim=10; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	COL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Willi Castro: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake McCarthy: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; TJ Rumfield: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Hunter Goodman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=1 box=0; Troy Johnston: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Sterlin Thompson: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Edouard Julien: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=36; H: current=17, sim=9; 2B: current=3, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Luis Arraez: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Rafael Devers: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Casey Schmitt: AB current=9 box=5, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: AB current=10 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jung Hoo Lee: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Matt Chapman: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Bryce Eldridge: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Eric Haase: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	COL	BATTING_REALISM	current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SF	BATTING_REALISM	current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	COL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SF	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:COL batting walks match SF pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:COL batting home runs match SF pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:COL batting hits match SF pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:COL batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:COL PA=36 matches SF BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SF batting walks match COL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SF batting home runs match COL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SF batting hits match COL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SF batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SF PA=39 matches COL BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	COL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	COL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	COL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SF current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.438.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.448/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SF 9, COL 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SF 4 - COL 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SF.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SF.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5621160000000001, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'COL', 'confidence': 0.512963, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_SF@COL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_SF@COL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SF@COL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 149.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 149.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SF 4 - 3 COL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SF 4 - 3 COL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SF wins 4-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SF, final=SF.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.562.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/53 (0.170).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 7/55 (0.127).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SF wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SF wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-3, final 4-3 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SF wins 4-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	COL wins and win_pct agree: 7/55 = 0.127.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SF wins and win_pct agree: 9/53 = 0.170.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	COL	BATTING_REALISM	current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SF	BATTING_REALISM	current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	COL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SF	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:COL batting walks match SF pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:COL batting home runs match SF pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:COL batting hits match SF pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:COL batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:COL PA=36 matches SF BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SF batting walks match COL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SF batting home runs match COL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SF batting hits match COL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SF batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SF PA=39 matches COL BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	COL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	COL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	COL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SF current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.562.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.438.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.448/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SF 9, COL 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SF 4 - COL 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SF.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SF.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5621160000000001, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'COL', 'confidence': 0.512963, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_SF@COL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_SF@COL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SF@COL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 149.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 149.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SF 4 - 3 COL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SF 4 - 3 COL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SF wins 4-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SF, final=SF.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.562.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/53 (0.170).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 7/55 (0.127).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SF wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SF wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-3, final 4-3 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SF wins 4-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	COL wins and win_pct agree: 7/55 = 0.127.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SF wins and win_pct agree: 9/53 = 0.170.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=35; H: current=15, sim=8; 2B: current=1, sim=4; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=7, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=0; SO: current=18, sim=10; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	COL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Willi Castro: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake McCarthy: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; TJ Rumfield: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Hunter Goodman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=1 box=0; Troy Johnston: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Sterlin Thompson: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Edouard Julien: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=36; H: current=17, sim=9; 2B: current=3, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Luis Arraez: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Rafael Devers: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Casey Schmitt: AB current=9 box=5, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: AB current=10 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jung Hoo Lee: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Matt Chapman: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Bryce Eldridge: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Eric Haase: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	6.465015888214111	5.155918598175049		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	4	3	0.562	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	4	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	4	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	9
COL	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	SF	batting	69	17	3	0	1	7	8	3	16	0	0	0	0
current	SF	pitching		8			1		3	0	10					9.0	3	0	0
current	COL	batting	62	15	1	0	1	8	7	6	18	0	0	0	0
current	COL	pitching		9			2		4	3	5					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	SF	batting	36	9	1	0	2	4	4	3	5	0	0
simulation	SF	pitching		8			1		3	0	10					9.0	3	36	149
simulation	COL	batting	35	8	4	0	1	3	3	0	10	0	1
simulation	COL	pitching		9			2		4	3	5					9.0	4	39	143

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	SF		2B	Luis Arraez	0	9	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.333
current	SF		1B	Rafael Devers	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.222
current	SF		LF	Casey Schmitt	0	9	2	1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0.222
current	SF		SS	Willy Adames	0	10	2	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	0.200
current	SF		RF	Jung Hoo Lee	0	8	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.375
current	SF		3B	Matt Chapman	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	SF		DH	Bryce Eldridge	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.200
current	SF		C	Eric Haase	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
current	SF		CF	Drew Gilbert	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.167
current	COL		3B	Willi Castro	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.250
current	COL		CF	Jake McCarthy	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.333
current	COL		1B	TJ Rumfield	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	COL		DH	Hunter Goodman	0	9	2	0	1	1	1	1	3	0	0.222
current	COL		RF	Troy Johnston	0	7	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	COL		LF	Sterlin Thompson	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	COL		SS	Ezequiel Tovar	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	COL		2B	Edouard Julien	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	COL		C	Brett Sullivan	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.167
simulation	SF	1	SS	Willy Adames	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.333
simulation	SF	2	2B	Luis Arraez	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	SF	3	LF	Casey Schmitt	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.400
simulation	SF	4	1B	Rafael Devers	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	SF	5	RF	Jung Hoo Lee	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	SF	6	3B	Matt Chapman	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	SF	7	DH	Bryce Eldridge	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	SF	8	C	Eric Haase	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	SF	9	CF	Drew Gilbert	4	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	COL	1	CF	Jake McCarthy	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	COL	2	1B	TJ Rumfield	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	COL	3	DH	Hunter Goodman	4	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	COL	4	3B	Willi Castro	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	COL	5	RF	Troy Johnston	4	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	COL	6	SS	Ezequiel Tovar	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0.333
simulation	COL	7	LF	Sterlin Thompson	4	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	COL	8	2B	Edouard Julien	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	COL	9	C	Brett Sullivan	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	SF	1	Adrian Houser	Starter	5.0	6	3	3	0	7	1	0	0	5.40	5.30	1.48
current	SF	2	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.96	1.16
current	SF	3	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.41	1.41
current	SF	4	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.45	0.90
current	COL	1	Ryan Feltner	Starter	4.0	9	4	4	1	2	2	0	0	9.00	6.30	1.50
current	COL	2	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.36	0.85
current	COL	3	Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.03	1.21
current	COL	4	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.61	1.35
current	COL	5	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5.13	1.63
simulation	SF	1	Adrian Houser	Starter	5.0	6	3	3	0	7	1	22	92	5.40	5.30	1.48
simulation	SF	2	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	21	0.00	3.96	1.16
simulation	SF	3	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	17	0.00	2.45	0.90
simulation	SF	4	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	0	5	19	0.00	4.41	1.41
simulation	COL	1	Ryan Feltner	Starter	4.0	9	4	4	1	2	2	22	81	9.00	6.30	1.50
simulation	COL	2	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	0	6	7	0.00	1.36	0.85
simulation	COL	3	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	21	0.00	5.13	1.63
simulation	COL	4	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	17	0.00	2.61	1.35
simulation	COL	5	Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	17	0.00	4.03	1.21

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
SF	Adrian Houser	Starter	5.0	3	6	0	7	22	92
SF	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	5	21
SF	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	0	1	5	19
SF	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	17
COL	Ryan Feltner	Starter	4.0	4	9	1	2	22	81
COL	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	1	1	6	7
COL	Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	17
COL	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	17
COL	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	21

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260530_TOR@BAL

20260530_TOR@BAL.json • 2026-05-30

TOR 4 - BAL 0

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 91INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=70, sim=32; H: current=17, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=3; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=10, sim=0; R: current=9, sim=0; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=17, sim=11).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Adley Rutschman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Gunnar Henderson: AB current=10 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Taylor Ward: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jackson Holliday: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Samuel Basallo: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=34; H: current=17, sim=7; 2B: current=3, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=8, sim=4; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=14, sim=5; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: George Springer: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Daulton Varsho: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Nathan Lukes: AB current=6 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, SO current=3 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jesús Sánchez: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Ernie Clement: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Andrés Giménez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-1, final 4-0 (delta 3).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match TOR pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match TOR pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match TOR pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=35 matches TOR BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match BAL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match BAL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match BAL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=38 matches BAL BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.442.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.655/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TOR 7, BAL 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TOR 4 - BAL 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TOR.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TOR.	{'winner_confidence': 0.557713, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.542465, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_TOR@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-28', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.5449999999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260528_TOR@BAL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_TOR@BAL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TOR@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 146.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 146.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TOR 2 - 1 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TOR 4 - 0 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TOR wins 4-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TOR, final=TOR.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.558.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/57 (0.263).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 10/56 (0.179).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TOR wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TOR wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TOR wins 4-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 10/56 = 0.179.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 15/57 = 0.263.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match TOR pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match TOR pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match TOR pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=35 matches TOR BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match BAL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match BAL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match BAL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=38 matches BAL BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.558.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.442.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.655/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TOR 7, BAL 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TOR 4 - BAL 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TOR.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TOR.	{'winner_confidence': 0.557713, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-29', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.542465, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260529_TOR@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-28', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.5449999999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260528_TOR@BAL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-30.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260530_TOR@BAL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TOR@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 146.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 146.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TOR 2 - 1 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TOR 4 - 0 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TOR wins 4-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TOR, final=TOR.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.558.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/57 (0.263).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 10/56 (0.179).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TOR wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TOR wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TOR wins 4-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 10/56 = 0.179.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 15/57 = 0.263.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=70, sim=32; H: current=17, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=3; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=10, sim=0; R: current=9, sim=0; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=17, sim=11).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Adley Rutschman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Gunnar Henderson: AB current=10 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Taylor Ward: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jackson Holliday: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Samuel Basallo: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=34; H: current=17, sim=7; 2B: current=3, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=8, sim=4; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=14, sim=5; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: George Springer: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Daulton Varsho: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Nathan Lukes: AB current=6 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, SO current=3 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jesús Sánchez: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Ernie Clement: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Andrés Giménez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-1, final 4-0 (delta 3).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.369418144226074	2.8947625160217285		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	3		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	1	0.558	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	0		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	7
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	TOR	batting	66	17	3	0	1	8	8	4	14	0	0	0	0
current	TOR	pitching		5			0		0	3	11					9.0	0	0	0
current	BAL	batting	70	17	2	0	2	10	9	8	17	0	0	0	0
current	BAL	pitching		7			1		4	3	5					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	TOR	batting	34	7	2	0	1	4	4	3	5	0	1
simulation	TOR	pitching		5			0		0	3	11					9.0	0	35	146
simulation	BAL	batting	32	5	3	0	0	0	0	3	11	0	0
simulation	BAL	pitching		7			1		4	3	5					9.0	4	38	157

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	TOR		DH	George Springer	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	TOR		CF	Daulton Varsho	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	TOR		LF	Nathan Lukes	0	6	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	TOR		3B	Kazuma Okamoto	0	8	2	0	1	1	1	1	3	0	0.250
current	TOR		1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	TOR		RF	Jesús Sánchez	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.333
current	TOR		2B	Ernie Clement	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	TOR		SS	Andrés Giménez	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	TOR		C	Tyler Heineman	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.200
current	BAL		C	Adley Rutschman	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.222
current	BAL		SS	Gunnar Henderson	0	10	2	0	1	1	1	1	3	0	0.200
current	BAL		1B	Pete Alonso	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	BAL		LF	Taylor Ward	0	9	3	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	0.333
current	BAL		3B	Coby Mayo	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	BAL		CF	Leody Taveras	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	BAL		2B	Jackson Holliday	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
current	BAL		DH	Samuel Basallo	0	7	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	0	0.286
current	BAL		RF	Jeremiah Jackson	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	TOR	1	DH	George Springer	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	2	LF	Nathan Lukes	5	5	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.400
simulation	TOR	3	1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	4	CF	Daulton Varsho	4	4	1	1	0	1	2	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	TOR	5	3B	Kazuma Okamoto	4	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	TOR	6	RF	Jesús Sánchez	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	TOR	7	2B	Ernie Clement	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	TOR	8	SS	Andrés Giménez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	9	C	Tyler Heineman	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	BAL	1	LF	Taylor Ward	4	4	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	BAL	2	SS	Gunnar Henderson	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	3	C	Adley Rutschman	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	4	1B	Pete Alonso	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	BAL	5	DH	Samuel Basallo	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	6	3B	Coby Mayo	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	BAL	7	CF	Leody Taveras	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	8	2B	Jackson Holliday	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	9	RF	Jeremiah Jackson	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	TOR	1	Trey Yesavage	Starter	5.1	3	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	0.00	2.25	1.06
current	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.30	1.07
current	TOR	3	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	4.62	1.58
current	TOR	4	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.45	1.17
current	BAL	1	Brandon Young	Starter	5.0	7	4	4	2	4	1	0	0	7.20	3.47	1.40
current	BAL	2	Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.08	1.10
current	BAL	3	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.05	1.12
current	BAL	4	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.74	0.66
current	BAL	5	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.29	0.66
simulation	TOR	1	Trey Yesavage	Starter	5.1	3	0	0	2	6	0	21	87	0.00	2.25	1.06
simulation	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	20	0.00	0.30	1.07
simulation	TOR	3	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	18	0.00	4.62	1.58
simulation	TOR	4	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	1	2	0	7	21	0.00	2.45	1.17
simulation	BAL	1	Brandon Young	Starter	5.0	7	4	4	2	4	1	24	92	7.20	3.47	1.40
simulation	BAL	2	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	17	0.00	0.74	0.66
simulation	BAL	3	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	18	0.00	4.05	1.12
simulation	BAL	4	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	12	0.00	2.29	0.66
simulation	BAL	5	Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	18	0.00	3.08	1.10

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
TOR	Trey Yesavage	Starter	5.1	0	3	2	6	21	87
TOR	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	20
TOR	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	18
TOR	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	2	1	2	7	21
BAL	Brandon Young	Starter	5.0	4	7	2	4	24	92
BAL	Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	18
BAL	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	18
BAL	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	17
BAL	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	3	12

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.