MLB JSON Audit Report

20260528_ATL@BOS

20260528_ATL@BOS.json • 2026-05-28

ATL 4 - BOS 0

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 91INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=32; H: current=16, sim=5; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ozzie Albies: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Mauricio Dubón: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Matt Olson: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Michael Harris II: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jorge Mateo: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Dominic Smith: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=30; H: current=15, sim=3; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=0; R: current=9, sim=0; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Wilyer Abreu: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=11 box=3, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Sogard: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Andruw Monasterio: AB current=6 box=3, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isiah Kiner-Falefa: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Carlos Narváez: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-1, final 4-0 (delta 3).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match BOS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match BOS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match BOS pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=34 matches BOS BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match ATL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=34 matches ATL BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.527.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.527.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.473.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.675/0.878.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ATL 5, BOS 3.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ATL 4 - BOS 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.527103, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.598094, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_ATL@BOS.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.534897, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_ATL@BOS.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_ATL@BOS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ATL@BOS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 151.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 141.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 151.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 141.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ATL 2 - 1 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ATL 4 - 0 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 4-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.527.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 11/52 (0.212).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/53 (0.208).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 4-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 11/52 = 0.212.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins and win_pct agree: 11/53 = 0.208.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match BOS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match BOS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match BOS pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=34 matches BOS BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match ATL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=34 matches ATL BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.527.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.527.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.473.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.675/0.878.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ATL 5, BOS 3.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ATL 4 - BOS 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.527103, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.598094, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_ATL@BOS.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.534897, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_ATL@BOS.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_ATL@BOS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ATL@BOS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 151.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 141.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 151.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 141.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ATL 2 - 1 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ATL 4 - 0 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 4-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.527.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 11/52 (0.212).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/53 (0.208).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 4-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 11/52 = 0.212.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins and win_pct agree: 11/53 = 0.208.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=32; H: current=16, sim=5; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ozzie Albies: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Mauricio Dubón: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Matt Olson: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Michael Harris II: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jorge Mateo: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Dominic Smith: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=30; H: current=15, sim=3; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=0; R: current=9, sim=0; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Wilyer Abreu: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=11 box=3, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Sogard: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Andruw Monasterio: AB current=6 box=3, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isiah Kiner-Falefa: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Carlos Narváez: AB current=6 box=2, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-1, final 4-0 (delta 3).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.437402725219727	5.140687942504883		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	1	0.527	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	0		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	5
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	ATL	batting	66	16	2	0	1	8	9	6	14	0	0	0	0
current	ATL	pitching		3			0		0	3	6					9.0	0	0	0
current	BOS	batting	68	15	1	0	1	7	9	8	16	0	0	0	0
current	BOS	pitching		5			1		4	2	8					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	ATL	batting	32	5	2	0	1	4	4	2	8	0	0
simulation	ATL	pitching		3			0		0	3	6					9.0	0	34	151
simulation	BOS	batting	30	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	0	1
simulation	BOS	pitching		5			1		4	2	8					9.0	4	34	141

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	ATL		RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	0.222
current	ATL		2B	Ozzie Albies	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.222
current	ATL		LF	Mauricio Dubón	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.222
current	ATL		3B	Austin Riley	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.250
current	ATL		1B	Matt Olson	0	9	2	1	1	2	2	1	2	0	0.222
current	ATL		CF	Michael Harris II	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
current	ATL		SS	Jorge Mateo	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.200
current	ATL		DH	Dominic Smith	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	ATL		C	Sandy León	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	BOS		RF	Wilyer Abreu	0	10	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.200
current	BOS		LF	Jarren Duran	0	11	3	0	1	1	1	1	3	0	0.273
current	BOS		CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	BOS		1B	Willson Contreras	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.222
current	BOS		2B	Nick Sogard	0	6	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.333
current	BOS		DH	Andruw Monasterio	0	6	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.167
current	BOS		SS	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.200
current	BOS		C	Carlos Narváez	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0.167
current	BOS		3B	Caleb Durbin	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.167
simulation	ATL	1	RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	ATL	2	LF	Mauricio Dubón	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	3	1B	Matt Olson	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	4	2B	Ozzie Albies	4	4	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	5	3B	Austin Riley	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	6	CF	Michael Harris II	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	7	SS	Jorge Mateo	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	8	DH	Dominic Smith	3	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	ATL	9	C	Sandy León	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	1	LF	Jarren Duran	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	BOS	2	CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	3	RF	Wilyer Abreu	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	4	1B	Willson Contreras	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	5	DH	Andruw Monasterio	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	BOS	6	2B	Nick Sogard	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	7	SS	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	8	C	Carlos Narváez	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	BOS	9	3B	Caleb Durbin	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	ATL	1	Chris Sale	Starter	6.2	2	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	0.00	1.89	0.87
current	ATL	2	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.08	0.90
current	ATL	3	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.77	0.86
current	ATL	4	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.40	0.62
current	BOS	1	Payton Tolle	Starter	6.0	4	3	3	1	6	1	0	0	4.50	2.45	0.82
current	BOS	2	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.51	0.85
current	BOS	3	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.20	1.12
current	BOS	4	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	9.00	4.15	1.27
current	BOS	5	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		3.38	1.27
current	BOS	6	Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		2.93	1.05
simulation	ATL	1	Chris Sale	Starter	6.2	2	0	0	1	6	0	24	97	0.00	1.89	0.87
simulation	ATL	2	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	21	0.00	1.08	0.90
simulation	ATL	3	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	18	0.00	0.77	0.86
simulation	ATL	4	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	15	0.00	1.40	0.62
simulation	BOS	1	Payton Tolle	Starter	6.0	4	3	3	1	6	1	23	92	4.50	2.45	0.82
simulation	BOS	2	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	15	0.00	0.51	0.85
simulation	BOS	3	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	14	0.00	3.20	1.12
simulation	BOS	4	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	0	5	5	9.00	4.15	1.27
simulation	BOS	5	Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		2.93	1.05
simulation	BOS	6	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15		3.38	1.27

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
ATL	Chris Sale	Starter	6.2	0	2	1	6	24	97
ATL	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	2	0	5	21
ATL	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	18
ATL	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	1	0	0	2	15
BOS	Payton Tolle	Starter	6.0	3	4	1	6	23	92
BOS	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15
BOS	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	14
BOS	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	5	5
BOS	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15
BOS	Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260528_CHC@PIT

20260528_CHC@PIT.json • 2026-05-28

CHC 4 - PIT 5

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=79, sim=34; H: current=18, sim=7; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=12, sim=4; R: current=11, sim=4; BB: current=11, sim=5; SO: current=20, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nico Hoerner: AB current=11 box=5, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=1 box=3, SO current=3 box=1; Michael Busch: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alex Bregman: AB current=11 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Ian Happ: AB current=10 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Seiya Suzuki: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Moisés Ballesteros: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Miguel Amaya: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=75, sim=31; H: current=20, sim=9; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=11, sim=5; R: current=13, sim=5; BB: current=9, sim=2; SO: current=21, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bryan Reynolds: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Esmerlyn Valdez: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Marcell Ozuna: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Konnor Griffin: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match PIT pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match PIT pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match PIT pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=39 matches PIT BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match CHC pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match CHC pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match CHC pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=35 matches CHC BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.455.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.510/0.689.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CHC 7, PIT 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CHC 4 - PIT 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT.	{'winner_confidence': 0.545, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'PIT', 'confidence': 0.570445, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_CHC@PIT.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.597466, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_CHC@PIT.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.553822, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_CHC@PIT.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_CHC@PIT.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CHC@PIT.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 144.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 173.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 144.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 173.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHC 2 - 5 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CHC 4 - 5 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 5-4.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.545.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 4/55 (0.073).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/51 (0.235).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 5-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 4-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-5, final 4-5 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 9.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PIT wins 5-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins and win_pct agree: 4/55 = 0.073.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 12/51 = 0.235.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match PIT pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match PIT pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match PIT pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=39 matches PIT BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match CHC pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match CHC pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match CHC pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=35 matches CHC BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.455.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.510/0.689.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CHC 7, PIT 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CHC 4 - PIT 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT.	{'winner_confidence': 0.545, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'PIT', 'confidence': 0.570445, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_CHC@PIT.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.597466, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_CHC@PIT.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.553822, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_CHC@PIT.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_CHC@PIT.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CHC@PIT.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 144.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 173.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 144.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 173.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHC 2 - 5 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CHC 4 - 5 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 5-4.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.545.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 4/55 (0.073).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/51 (0.235).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 5-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 4-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-5, final 4-5 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 9.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PIT wins 5-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins and win_pct agree: 4/55 = 0.073.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 12/51 = 0.235.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=79, sim=34; H: current=18, sim=7; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=12, sim=4; R: current=11, sim=4; BB: current=11, sim=5; SO: current=20, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nico Hoerner: AB current=11 box=5, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=1 box=3, SO current=3 box=1; Michael Busch: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alex Bregman: AB current=11 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Ian Happ: AB current=10 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Seiya Suzuki: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Moisés Ballesteros: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Miguel Amaya: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=75, sim=31; H: current=20, sim=9; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=11, sim=5; R: current=13, sim=5; BB: current=9, sim=2; SO: current=21, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bryan Reynolds: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Esmerlyn Valdez: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Marcell Ozuna: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Konnor Griffin: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	6.619542598724365	5.557298183441162		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	7	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	4	0.545	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	5		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	5		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	5		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	4	7
PIT	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	5	9

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	CHC	batting	79	18	2	0	1	12	11	11	20	0	0	0	0
current	CHC	pitching		9			2		5	2	6					8.0	5	0	0
current	PIT	batting	75	20	1	0	1	11	13	9	21	0	0	0	0
current	PIT	pitching		7			0		4	5	8					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	CHC	batting	34	7	1	0	0	4	4	5	8	0	0
simulation	CHC	pitching		9			2		5	2	6					8.0	5	35	144
simulation	PIT	batting	31	9	1	1	2	5	5	2	6	2	0
simulation	PIT	pitching		7			0		4	5	8					9.0	4	39	173

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	CHC		2B	Nico Hoerner	0	11	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	0.273
current	CHC		CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.222
current	CHC		1B	Michael Busch	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	0.222
current	CHC		3B	Alex Bregman	0	11	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.273
current	CHC		LF	Ian Happ	0	10	2	0	0	1	2	2	2	3	0.200
current	CHC		RF	Seiya Suzuki	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.222
current	CHC		DH	Moisés Ballesteros	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.167
current	CHC		C	Miguel Amaya	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.167
current	CHC		SS	Dansby Swanson	0	8	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.250
current	PIT		LF	Bryan Reynolds	0	9	3	1	0	0	2	2	1	2	0.333
current	PIT		3B	Nick Gonzales	0	9	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.333
current	PIT		1B	Spencer Horwitz	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	PIT		2B	Brandon Lowe	0	9	3	0	0	1	2	2	1	2	0.333
current	PIT		RF	Esmerlyn Valdez	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.167
current	PIT		DH	Marcell Ozuna	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.222
current	PIT		SS	Konnor Griffin	0	9	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	3	0.222
current	PIT		CF	Oneil Cruz	0	10	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	4	0.300
current	PIT		C	Henry Davis	0	7	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.143
simulation	CHC	1	CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	5	4	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	0.500
simulation	CHC	2	2B	Nico Hoerner	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.200
simulation	CHC	3	1B	Michael Busch	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.200
simulation	CHC	4	3B	Alex Bregman	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CHC	5	LF	Ian Happ	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0.333
simulation	CHC	6	RF	Seiya Suzuki	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	CHC	7	DH	Moisés Ballesteros	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	CHC	8	C	Miguel Amaya	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	CHC	9	SS	Dansby Swanson	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	PIT	1	1B	Spencer Horwitz	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	PIT	2	2B	Brandon Lowe	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.000
simulation	PIT	3	LF	Bryan Reynolds	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	PIT	4	3B	Nick Gonzales	4	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.667
simulation	PIT	5	CF	Oneil Cruz	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	6	DH	Marcell Ozuna	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	PIT	7	SS	Konnor Griffin	4	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	PIT	8	RF	Esmerlyn Valdez	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0.250
simulation	PIT	9	C	Henry Davis	3	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.667

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	CHC	1	Colin Rea	Starter	5.1	7	3	3	0	6	1	0	0	5.06	4.83	1.37
current	CHC	2	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.31	1.11
current	CHC	3	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	13.50	2.53	1.41
current	CHC	5	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.66	1.35
current	PIT	1	Paul Skenes	Starter	6.0	1	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	0.00	3.00	0.82
current	PIT	2	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.13	0.79
current	PIT	3	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	9.00	2.61	1.11
current	PIT	4	Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	1.0	4	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	27.00	4.75	1.45
simulation	CHC	1	Colin Rea	Starter	5.1	7	3	3	0	6	1	23	88	5.06	4.83	1.37
simulation	CHC	2	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	1	6	23	13.50	2.53	1.41
simulation	CHC	3	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	15	0.00	2.31	1.11
simulation	CHC	4	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	18	0.00	2.66	1.35
simulation	PIT	1	Paul Skenes	Starter	6.0	1	0	0	3	6	0	22	103	0.00	3.00	0.82
simulation	PIT	2	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	22	0.00	2.13	0.79
simulation	PIT	3	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	0	5	19	9.00	2.61	1.11
simulation	PIT	4	Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	1.0	4	3	3	1	0	0	8	29	27.00	4.75	1.45

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
CHC	Colin Rea	Starter	5.1	3	7	0	6	23	88
CHC	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15
CHC	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	2	0	0	6	23
CHC	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	2	0	3	18
PIT	Paul Skenes	Starter	6.0	0	1	3	6	22	103
PIT	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	0	4	22
PIT	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	0	2	5	19
PIT	Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	4	1	0	8	29

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260528_HOU@TEX

20260528_HOU@TEX.json • 2026-05-28

HOU 1 - TEX 2

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 1ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Batting Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	HOU	current:HOU has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	HOU		BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=36; H: current=16, sim=9; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jeremy Peña: AB current=10 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isaac Paredes: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Taylor Trammell: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Yordan Alvarez: AB current=10 box=4, H current=4 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Cam Smith: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Braden Shewmake: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1; Brice Matthews: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zach Dezenzo: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=60, sim=29; H: current=14, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=3; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=15, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brandon Nimmo: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Josh Jung: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alejandro Osuna: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=0 box=1; Joc Pederson: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Higashioka: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Evan Carter: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ezequiel Duran: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match TEX pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match TEX pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match TEX pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=38 matches TEX BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting walks match HOU pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting home runs match HOU pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting hits match HOU pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TEX PA=31 matches HOU BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TEX current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.488.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.512.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.512.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.674/0.878.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: HOU 9, TEX 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: HOU 1 - TEX 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TEX.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TEX.	{'winner_confidence': 0.512418, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 3, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.570445, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_HOU@TEX.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_HOU@TEX.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.595425, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_HOU@TEX.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_HOU@TEX.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: HOU@TEX.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 120.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 120.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: HOU 1 - 2 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: HOU 1 - 2 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TEX wins 2-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TEX, final=TEX.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.512.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 23/56 (0.411).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 13/53 (0.245).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TEX wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TEX wins 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 1-2 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TEX wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins and win_pct agree: 23/56 = 0.411.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TEX wins and win_pct agree: 13/53 = 0.245.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match TEX pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match TEX pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match TEX pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=38 matches TEX BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting walks match HOU pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting home runs match HOU pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting hits match HOU pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TEX PA=31 matches HOU BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TEX current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.488.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.512.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.512.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.674/0.878.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: HOU 9, TEX 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: HOU 1 - TEX 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TEX.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TEX.	{'winner_confidence': 0.512418, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 3, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.570445, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_HOU@TEX.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_HOU@TEX.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.595425, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_HOU@TEX.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_HOU@TEX.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: HOU@TEX.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 120.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 120.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: HOU 1 - 2 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: HOU 1 - 2 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TEX wins 2-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TEX, final=TEX.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.512.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 23/56 (0.411).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 13/53 (0.245).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TEX wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TEX wins 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 1-2 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TEX wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins and win_pct agree: 23/56 = 0.411.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TEX wins and win_pct agree: 13/53 = 0.245.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=36; H: current=16, sim=9; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jeremy Peña: AB current=10 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Isaac Paredes: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Taylor Trammell: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Yordan Alvarez: AB current=10 box=4, H current=4 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Cam Smith: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Braden Shewmake: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1; Brice Matthews: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zach Dezenzo: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=60, sim=29; H: current=14, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=3; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=15, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brandon Nimmo: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Josh Jung: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Alejandro Osuna: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=0 box=1; Joc Pederson: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kyle Higashioka: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Evan Carter: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ezequiel Duran: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.601525068283081	3.4310874938964844		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	3		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	2	0.512	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	9
TEX	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	HOU	batting	64	16	0	0	1	9	9	6	16	0	0	0	0
current	HOU	pitching		5			0		2	2	6					8.0	2	0	0
current	TEX	batting	60	14	2	0	0	7	8	7	15	0	0	0	0
current	TEX	pitching		9			0		1	1	8					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	HOU	batting	36	9	0	0	0	1	1	1	8	0	1
simulation	HOU	pitching		5			0		2	2	6					8.0	2	31	120
simulation	TEX	batting	29	5	3	0	0	2	2	2	6	0	0
simulation	TEX	pitching		9			0		1	1	8					9.0	1	38	150

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	HOU		SS	Jeremy Peña	0	10	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.200
current	HOU		1B	Isaac Paredes	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	HOU		CF	Taylor Trammell	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.333
current	HOU		DH	Yordan Alvarez	0	10	4	0	1	2	2	2	2	0	0.400
current	HOU		RF	Cam Smith	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	HOU		3B	Braden Shewmake	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.167
current	HOU		2B	Brice Matthews	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	HOU		LF	Zach Dezenzo	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0.250
current	HOU		C	Christian Vázquez	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.167
current	TEX		RF	Brandon Nimmo	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	TEX		3B	Josh Jung	0	9	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
current	TEX		LF	Alejandro Osuna	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.200
current	TEX		DH	Joc Pederson	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
current	TEX		C	Kyle Higashioka	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	TEX		CF	Evan Carter	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	TEX		SS	Ezequiel Duran	0	7	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	TEX		1B	Jake Burger	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	0.250
current	TEX		2B	Nicky Lopez	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	1	SS	Jeremy Peña	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.200
simulation	HOU	2	DH	Yordan Alvarez	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.250
simulation	HOU	3	1B	Isaac Paredes	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	HOU	4	CF	Taylor Trammell	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	HOU	5	RF	Cam Smith	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	HOU	6	3B	Braden Shewmake	4	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	7	LF	Zach Dezenzo	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	8	2B	Brice Matthews	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	HOU	9	C	Christian Vázquez	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	TEX	1	DH	Joc Pederson	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	TEX	2	LF	Alejandro Osuna	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	TEX	3	RF	Brandon Nimmo	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	TEX	4	3B	Josh Jung	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	TEX	5	CF	Evan Carter	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	TEX	6	1B	Jake Burger	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.333
simulation	TEX	7	SS	Ezequiel Duran	3	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.500
simulation	TEX	8	C	Kyle Higashioka	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	TEX	9	2B	Nicky Lopez	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	HOU	1	Spencer Arrighetti	Starter	6.0	3	1	1	0	6	0	0	1.50	1.32	1.20
current	HOU	2	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	0	0	9.00	6.88	2.06
current	HOU	3	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.04	1.35
current	TEX	1	Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	6.1	6	0	0	1	5	0	0	0.00	3.65	1.14
current	TEX	2	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	1.08	0.44
current	TEX	3	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	9.00	1.50	0.71
current	TEX	4	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.25	1.38
simulation	HOU	1	Spencer Arrighetti	Starter	6.0	3	1	1	0	6	21	95	1.50	1.32	1.20
simulation	HOU	2	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	18	0.00	3.04	1.35
simulation	HOU	3	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	7	7	9.00	6.88	2.06
simulation	TEX	1	Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	6.1	6	0	0	1	5	26	102	0.00	3.65	1.14
simulation	TEX	2	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	4	18	0.00	1.08	0.44
simulation	TEX	3	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	5	14	9.00	1.50	0.71
simulation	TEX	4	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	3	16	0.00	2.25	1.38

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
HOU	Spencer Arrighetti	Starter	6.0	1	3	0	6	21	95
HOU	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	2	0	7	7
HOU	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	18
TEX	Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	6.1	0	6	1	5	26	102
TEX	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	2	4	18
TEX	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	0	1	5	14
TEX	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	1	0	0	3	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	critical	1	3	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	0	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	0	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	0	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	0	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	0	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	0	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	0	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260528_LAA@DET

20260528_LAA@DET.json • 2026-05-28

LAA 4 - DET 7

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=32; H: current=15, sim=8; 2B: current=4, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=7; BB: current=9, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Colt Keith: AB current=6 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Riley Greene: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=3; Kevin McGonigle: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Zach McKinstry: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Matt Vierling: AB current=8 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=7 box=3; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=7; SO: current=17, sim=9).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vaughn Grissom: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zach Neto: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Jorge Soler: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=3 box=2; Mike Trout: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Wade Meckler: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Adam Frazier: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jo Adell: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Donovan Walton: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=2, BB current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match LAA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match LAA pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match LAA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=37 matches LAA BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match DET pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match DET pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match DET pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=42 matches DET BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.455.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 11 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.502/0.678.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAA 8, DET 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: LAA 4 - DET 7.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: DET.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for DET.	{'winner_confidence': 0.545, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.545884, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_LAA@DET.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_LAA@DET.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_LAA@DET.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAA@DET.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 148.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 167.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 167.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 148.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAA 4 - 5 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAA 4 - 7 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: DET wins 7-4.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=DET, final=DET.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.545.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/54 (0.167).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/55 (0.273).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: DET wins 7-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: DET wins 4-7.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-7.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-5, final 4-7 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 11.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: DET wins 7-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 15/55 = 0.273.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins and win_pct agree: 9/54 = 0.167.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match LAA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match LAA pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match LAA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=37 matches LAA BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match DET pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match DET pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match DET pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=42 matches DET BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.455.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 11 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.502/0.678.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAA 8, DET 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: LAA 4 - DET 7.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: DET.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for DET.	{'winner_confidence': 0.545, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.545884, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_LAA@DET.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_LAA@DET.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_LAA@DET.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAA@DET.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 148.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 167.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 167.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 148.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAA 4 - 5 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAA 4 - 7 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: DET wins 7-4.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=DET, final=DET.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.545.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/54 (0.167).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/55 (0.273).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: DET wins 7-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: DET wins 4-7.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-7.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-5, final 4-7 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 11.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: DET wins 7-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 15/55 = 0.273.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins and win_pct agree: 9/54 = 0.167.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=32; H: current=15, sim=8; 2B: current=4, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=7; BB: current=9, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Colt Keith: AB current=6 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Riley Greene: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=3; Kevin McGonigle: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Zach McKinstry: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Matt Vierling: AB current=8 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=7 box=3; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=7; SO: current=17, sim=9).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vaughn Grissom: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zach Neto: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Jorge Soler: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=3 box=2; Mike Trout: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Wade Meckler: AB current=5 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Adam Frazier: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jo Adell: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Donovan Walton: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=2, BB current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.8236539363861084	6.66146993637085		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	7		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	4	0.545	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	4	5		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	4	5		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	7		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	8
DET	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	7	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	LAA	batting	65	14	2	0	0	7	9	6	17	0	0	0	0
current	LAA	pitching		8			2		7	5	5					8.0	7	0	0
current	DET	batting	65	15	4	0	0	7	8	9	16	0	0	0	0
current	DET	pitching		8			1		4	7	9					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	LAA	batting	35	8	1	0	1	4	4	7	9	0	0
simulation	LAA	pitching		8			2		7	5	5					8.0	7	37	148
simulation	DET	batting	32	8	2	0	2	7	7	5	5	0	0
simulation	DET	pitching		8			1		4	7	9					9.0	4	42	167

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	LAA		1B	Vaughn Grissom	0	8	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	0.250
current	LAA		SS	Zach Neto	0	10	2	1	0	2	1	1	4	0.200
current	LAA		DH	Jorge Soler	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.222
current	LAA		CF	Mike Trout	0	8	2	0	0	2	1	2	2	0.250
current	LAA		LF	Wade Meckler	0	5	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.400
current	LAA		2B	Adam Frazier	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.200
current	LAA		C	Sebastián Rivero	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	LAA		RF	Jo Adell	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	0.222
current	LAA		3B	Donovan Walton	0	7	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	0.143
current	DET		3B	Colt Keith	0	6	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	DET		LF	Riley Greene	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0.250
current	DET		DH	Dillon Dingler	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	DET		SS	Kevin McGonigle	0	9	3	0	0	2	1	2	1	0.333
current	DET		2B	Zach McKinstry	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0.167
current	DET		CF	Matt Vierling	0	8	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.125
current	DET		RF	Wenceel Pérez	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.143
current	DET		1B	Spencer Torkelson	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0.250
current	DET		C	Jake Rogers	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.200
simulation	LAA	1	SS	Zach Neto	5	4	1	0	1	1	2	1	1	0.250
simulation	LAA	2	CF	Mike Trout	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	LAA	3	1B	Vaughn Grissom	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	LAA	4	DH	Jorge Soler	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0.250
simulation	LAA	5	LF	Wade Meckler	5	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	LAA	6	RF	Jo Adell	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.250
simulation	LAA	7	2B	Adam Frazier	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	8	C	Sebastián Rivero	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	9	3B	Donovan Walton	4	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	0.667
simulation	DET	1	3B	Colt Keith	5	5	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0.200
simulation	DET	2	SS	Kevin McGonigle	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	DET	3	DH	Dillon Dingler	4	4	2	0	2	1	3	0	0	0.500
simulation	DET	4	LF	Riley Greene	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	DET	5	1B	Spencer Torkelson	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	DET	6	2B	Zach McKinstry	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	DET	7	CF	Matt Vierling	4	3	2	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.667
simulation	DET	8	RF	Wenceel Pérez	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	DET	9	C	Jake Rogers	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	LAA	1	Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	4.1	6	6	6	5	2	2	0	0	12.46	10.61	2.14
current	LAA	2	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.42	1.04
current	LAA	3	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.68	1.09
current	LAA	4	José Fermin	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.84	1.26
current	LAA	5	Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	13.50	4.20	1.33
current	LAA	6	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		4.81	1.23
current	DET	1	Jack Flaherty	Starter	4.1	5	3	3	7	5	0	0	0	6.23	5.94	1.66
current	DET	2	Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.44	1.17
current	DET	3	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	9.00	3.60	1.07
current	DET	4	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.05	1.40
current	DET	5	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	7.88	1.50
simulation	LAA	1	Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	4.1	6	6	6	5	2	2	24	93	12.46	10.61	2.14
simulation	LAA	2	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	17	0.00	3.68	1.09
simulation	LAA	3	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	17	0.00	2.42	1.04
simulation	LAA	4	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		4.81	1.23
simulation	LAA	5	José Fermin	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	17	0.00	2.84	1.26
simulation	LAA	6	Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	0	4	4	13.50	4.20	1.33
simulation	DET	1	Jack Flaherty	Starter	4.1	5	3	3	7	5	0	25	98	6.23	5.94	1.66
simulation	DET	2	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	1	5	19	9.00	3.60	1.07
simulation	DET	3	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	16	0.00	1.05	1.40
simulation	DET	4	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	19	0.00	7.88	1.50
simulation	DET	5	Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	6	15	0.00	3.44	1.17

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
LAA	Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	4.1	6	6	5	2	24	93
LAA	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	17
LAA	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17
LAA	José Fermin	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	17
LAA	Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	2	0	1	4	4
LAA	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0
DET	Jack Flaherty	Starter	4.1	3	5	7	5	25	98
DET	Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	1	0	1	6	15
DET	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	0	1	5	19
DET	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16
DET	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	19

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260528_MIN@CHW

20260528_MIN@CHW.json • 2026-05-28

MIN 0 - CHW 3

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 1ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Batting Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	MIN	current:MIN has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	MIN		BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN has 1 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.
INFO	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=29; H: current=15, sim=5; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=11, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=17, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Chase Meidroth: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Randal Grichuk: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=3, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Miguel Vargas: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Munetaka Murakami: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Colson Montgomery: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Edgar Quero: AB current=7 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Derek Hill: 2B current=0 box=1; Sam Antonacci: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=31; H: current=15, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=0; R: current=8, sim=0; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=17, sim=9).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Trevor Larnach: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brooks Lee: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Byron Buxton: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Orlando Arcia: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Josh Bell: AB current=8 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Victor Caratini: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Tristan Gray: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting walks match MIN pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting home runs match MIN pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting hits match MIN pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHW PA=32 matches MIN BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match CHW pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match CHW pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match CHW pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=34 matches CHW BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHW current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.729/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIN 4, CHW 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIN 0 - CHW 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHW.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHW.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.517085, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5263169999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5686709999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_MIN@CHW.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_MIN@CHW.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIN@CHW.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 138.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 145.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 145.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 138.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIN 1 - 2 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIN 0 - 3 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHW wins 3-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHW, final=CHW.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/54 (0.296).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/52 (0.288).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHW wins 3-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHW wins 0-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 0-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 0-3 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHW wins 3-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHW wins and win_pct agree: 15/52 = 0.288.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins and win_pct agree: 16/54 = 0.296.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting walks match MIN pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting home runs match MIN pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting hits match MIN pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHW PA=32 matches MIN BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match CHW pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match CHW pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match CHW pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=34 matches CHW BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHW current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.729/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIN 4, CHW 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIN 0 - CHW 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHW.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHW.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-27', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.517085, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260527_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5263169999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5686709999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_MIN@CHW.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_MIN@CHW.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIN@CHW.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 138.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 145.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 145.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 138.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIN 1 - 2 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIN 0 - 3 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHW wins 3-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHW, final=CHW.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/54 (0.296).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/52 (0.288).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHW wins 3-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHW wins 0-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 0-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 0-3 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHW wins 3-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHW wins and win_pct agree: 15/52 = 0.288.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins and win_pct agree: 16/54 = 0.296.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=29; H: current=15, sim=5; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=11, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=17, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Chase Meidroth: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Randal Grichuk: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=3, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Miguel Vargas: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Munetaka Murakami: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Colson Montgomery: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Edgar Quero: AB current=7 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Derek Hill: 2B current=0 box=1; Sam Antonacci: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=31; H: current=15, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=0; R: current=8, sim=0; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=17, sim=9).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Trevor Larnach: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brooks Lee: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Byron Buxton: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Orlando Arcia: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Josh Bell: AB current=8 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Victor Caratini: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Tristan Gray: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.2	4.6		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	2	0.510	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	0	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
CHW	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	MIN	batting	65	15	0	0	1	8	8	8	17	0	0	0	0
current	MIN	pitching		5			1		3	2	6					8.0	3	0	0
current	CHW	batting	63	15	1	0	1	8	11	8	17	0	0	0	0
current	CHW	pitching		4			0		0	3	9					9.0	0	0	0
simulation	MIN	batting	31	4	1	0	0	0	0	3	9	0	0
simulation	MIN	pitching		5			1		3	2	6					8.0	3	32	138
simulation	CHW	batting	29	5	1	0	1	3	3	2	6	0	1
simulation	CHW	pitching		4			0		0	3	9					9.0	0	34	145

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	MIN		LF	Trevor Larnach	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	MIN		3B	Brooks Lee	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	MIN		DH	Byron Buxton	0	10	3	0	1	2	1	1	3	0	0.300
current	MIN		RF	Kody Clemens	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	MIN		2B	Orlando Arcia	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
current	MIN		1B	Josh Bell	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	MIN		C	Victor Caratini	0	7	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	MIN		SS	Tristan Gray	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	MIN		CF	Ryan Kreidler	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.333
current	CHW		2B	Chase Meidroth	0	10	3	0	0	2	2	1	2	0	0.300
current	CHW		DH	Randal Grichuk	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	CHW		3B	Miguel Vargas	0	9	2	0	0	2	1	2	2	0	0.222
current	CHW		1B	Munetaka Murakami	0	9	2	0	1	2	2	2	3	0	0.222
current	CHW		SS	Colson Montgomery	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.222
current	CHW		C	Edgar Quero	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	CHW		RF	Derek Hill	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	CHW		LF	Sam Antonacci	0	8	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	CHW		CF	Luisangel Acuña	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	MIN	1	DH	Byron Buxton	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	2	3B	Brooks Lee	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	3	LF	Trevor Larnach	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	MIN	4	RF	Kody Clemens	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	MIN	5	1B	Josh Bell	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.667
simulation	MIN	6	2B	Orlando Arcia	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	7	C	Victor Caratini	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	8	SS	Tristan Gray	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	9	CF	Ryan Kreidler	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	CHW	1	2B	Chase Meidroth	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	CHW	2	1B	Munetaka Murakami	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	CHW	3	3B	Miguel Vargas	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	CHW	4	DH	Randal Grichuk	4	3	1	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	CHW	5	SS	Colson Montgomery	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	CHW	6	C	Edgar Quero	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	CHW	7	RF	Derek Hill	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	CHW	8	LF	Sam Antonacci	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	CHW	9	CF	Luisangel Acuña	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	MIN	1	Kendry Rojas	Starter	3.0	5	3	3	2	4	1	0	0	9.00	1.26	1.47
current	MIN	3	Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	3.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.50	1.38
current	MIN	4	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.21	1.43
current	CHW	1	Davis Martin	Starter	7.0	2	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0.00	2.04	1.02
current	CHW	2	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.57	1.35
current	CHW	3	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.42	1.26
current	CHW	5	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	0.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		13.50	3.00
simulation	MIN	1	Kendry Rojas	Starter	3.0	5	3	3	2	4	1	17	73	9.00	1.26	1.47
simulation	MIN	2	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6	25	0.00	2.21	1.43
simulation	MIN	3	Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	3.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	9	40	0.00	4.50	1.38
simulation	CHW	1	Davis Martin	Starter	7.0	2	0	0	0	7	0	23	94	0.00	2.04	1.02
simulation	CHW	2	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	0.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	16		13.50	3.00
simulation	CHW	3	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	18	0.00	1.42	1.26
simulation	CHW	4	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	3	2	0	6	17	0.00	1.57	1.35

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
MIN	Kendry Rojas	Starter	3.0	3	5	2	4	17	73
MIN	Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	3.0	0	0	0	1	9	40
MIN	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	2.0	0	0	0	1	6	25
CHW	Davis Martin	Starter	7.0	0	2	0	7	23	94
CHW	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	3	2	6	17
CHW	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	18
CHW	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	2	0	0	2	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	critical	1	3	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	0	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	0	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	0	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	0	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	0	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	0	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	0	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260528_TOR@BAL

20260528_TOR@BAL.json • 2026-05-28

TOR 7 - BAL 5

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 91INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=71, sim=39; H: current=18, sim=9; RBI: current=11, sim=5; R: current=10, sim=5; BB: current=9, sim=2; SO: current=19, sim=9; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Gunnar Henderson: AB current=11 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=2, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Adley Rutschman: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Taylor Ward: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=7 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Jackson Holliday: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tyler O'Neill: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=7 box=5, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=36; H: current=17, sim=6; RBI: current=9, sim=7; R: current=8, sim=7; BB: current=5, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=11).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=1; Nathan Lukes: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1; Daulton Varsho: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; George Springer: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jesús Sánchez: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Andrés Giménez: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 5-4, final 7-5 (delta 3).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match TOR pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match TOR pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match TOR pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=42 matches TOR BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match BAL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match BAL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match BAL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=40 matches BAL BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.455.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 12 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.464/0.636.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 10 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TOR 6, BAL 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TOR 7 - BAL 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TOR.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TOR.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5449999999999999, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_TOR@BAL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TOR@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 182.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 181.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 181.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 182.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TOR 5 - 4 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TOR 7 - 5 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TOR wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TOR, final=TOR.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.545.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/55 (0.291).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/54 (0.204).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TOR wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TOR wins 7-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 7-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 12.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TOR wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 11/54 = 0.204.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 16/55 = 0.291.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match TOR pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match TOR pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match TOR pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=42 matches TOR BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match BAL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match BAL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match BAL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=40 matches BAL BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 7.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.455.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 12 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.464/0.636.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 10 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TOR 6, BAL 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TOR 7 - BAL 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TOR.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TOR.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5449999999999999, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': False, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': []}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-28.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260528_TOR@BAL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TOR@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 182.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 181.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 181.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 182.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TOR 5 - 4 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TOR 7 - 5 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TOR wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TOR, final=TOR.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.545.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/55 (0.291).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/54 (0.204).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TOR wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TOR wins 7-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 7-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 12.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TOR wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 11/54 = 0.204.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 16/55 = 0.291.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=71, sim=39; H: current=18, sim=9; RBI: current=11, sim=5; R: current=10, sim=5; BB: current=9, sim=2; SO: current=19, sim=9; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Gunnar Henderson: AB current=11 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=2, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Adley Rutschman: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Taylor Ward: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=7 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Jackson Holliday: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tyler O'Neill: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=7 box=5, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=36; H: current=17, sim=6; RBI: current=9, sim=7; R: current=8, sim=7; BB: current=5, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=11).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=1; Nathan Lukes: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1; Daulton Varsho: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; George Springer: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jesús Sánchez: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Andrés Giménez: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 5-4, final 7-5 (delta 3).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	7.449817180633545	5.303792953491211		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	7	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	5	3	0.545	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	5	4		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	5	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	7	5		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	4	7	6
BAL	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	9

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	TOR	batting	67	17	2	0	1	9	8	5	14	0	0	0	0
current	TOR	pitching		9			2		5	2	9					10.0	5	0	0
current	BAL	batting	71	18	3	0	2	11	10	9	19	0	0	0	0
current	BAL	pitching		6			1		7	4	11					10.0	7	0	0
simulation	TOR	batting	36	6	2	0	1	7	7	4	11	0	0
simulation	TOR	pitching		9			2		5	2	9					10.0	5	42	182
simulation	BAL	batting	39	9	3	0	2	5	5	2	9	0	1
simulation	BAL	pitching		6			1		7	4	11					10.0	7	40	181

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	TOR		1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0	8	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.375
current	TOR		LF	Nathan Lukes	0	6	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	TOR		CF	Daulton Varsho	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	TOR		DH	George Springer	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	TOR		3B	Kazuma Okamoto	0	8	2	0	1	1	1	1	3	0	0.250
current	TOR		RF	Jesús Sánchez	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.167
current	TOR		2B	Ernie Clement	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.222
current	TOR		SS	Andrés Giménez	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.143
current	TOR		C	Brandon Valenzuela	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
current	BAL		SS	Gunnar Henderson	0	11	2	0	1	2	2	1	3	0	0.182
current	BAL		1B	Pete Alonso	0	10	3	1	1	1	1	1	2	0	0.300
current	BAL		C	Adley Rutschman	0	10	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.300
current	BAL		DH	Taylor Ward	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	0.222
current	BAL		3B	Coby Mayo	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	BAL		2B	Jackson Holliday	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.200
current	BAL		RF	Tyler O'Neill	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.200
current	BAL		CF	Leody Taveras	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	BAL		LF	Blaze Alexander	0	7	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	0.286
simulation	TOR	1	DH	George Springer	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	TOR	2	LF	Nathan Lukes	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	0	0.250
simulation	TOR	3	1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	TOR	4	CF	Daulton Varsho	5	5	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	5	3B	Kazuma Okamoto	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	6	RF	Jesús Sánchez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	7	2B	Ernie Clement	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	TOR	8	SS	Andrés Giménez	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	TOR	9	C	Brandon Valenzuela	4	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	BAL	1	DH	Taylor Ward	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	BAL	2	SS	Gunnar Henderson	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	3	C	Adley Rutschman	5	5	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	BAL	4	1B	Pete Alonso	5	5	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.400
simulation	BAL	5	3B	Coby Mayo	5	5	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.400
simulation	BAL	6	CF	Leody Taveras	5	5	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	0.400
simulation	BAL	7	RF	Tyler O'Neill	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	8	2B	Jackson Holliday	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0.000
simulation	BAL	9	LF	Blaze Alexander	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	TOR	1	Patrick Corbin	Starter	5.0	5	3	3	1	4	1	0	0	5.40	3.86	1.40
current	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.31	1.08
current	TOR	3	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.81	1.60
current	TOR	4	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.52	1.12
current	TOR	5	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	2.64	1.01
current	TOR	7	Spencer Miles	Reliever	0.1	1	2	2	0	1	1	0	0	54.00
current	BAL	1	Chris Bassitt	Starter	4.2	3	3	3	0	5	0	0	0	5.79	5.51	1.67
current	BAL	2	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0.00	3.86	1.01
current	BAL	3	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	10.80	0.77	0.64
current	BAL	4	Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	6.75	3.20	1.14
current	BAL	5	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	6.75	1.40	0.52
simulation	TOR	1	Patrick Corbin	Starter	5.0	5	3	3	1	4	1	21	82	5.40	3.86	1.40
simulation	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	19	0.00	0.31	1.08
simulation	TOR	3	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	17	0.00	4.81	1.60
simulation	TOR	4	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	0	6	23	0.00	2.52	1.12
simulation	TOR	5	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	0	4	17	0.00	2.64	1.01
simulation	TOR	6	Spencer Miles	Reliever	0.1	1	2	2	0	1	1	2	24	54.00	2.16	1.02
simulation	BAL	1	Chris Bassitt	Starter	4.2	3	3	3	0	5	0	17	88	5.79	5.51	1.67
simulation	BAL	2	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	2	2	1	1	1	7	28	10.80	0.77	0.64
simulation	BAL	3	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	0	4	17	0.00	3.86	1.01
simulation	BAL	4	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	0	6	24	6.75	1.40	0.52
simulation	BAL	5	Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	1	2	0	6	24	6.75	3.20	1.14

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
TOR	Patrick Corbin	Starter	5.0	3	5	1	4	21	82
TOR	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	5	19
TOR	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	0	4	17
TOR	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	2	0	1	6	23
TOR	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	3	4	17
TOR	Spencer Miles	Reliever	0.1	2	1	0	1	2	24
BAL	Chris Bassitt	Starter	4.2	3	3	0	5	17	88
BAL	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	3	4	17
BAL	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.2	2	1	1	1	7	28
BAL	Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	2	6	24
BAL	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	6	24

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.