MLB JSON Audit Report

20260527_ARI@SF

20260527_ARI@SF.json • 2026-05-27

ARI 3 - SF 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=36; H: current=19, sim=9; 2B: current=5, sim=1; RBI: current=10, sim=3; R: current=12, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=15, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ketel Marte: AB current=11 box=5, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Adrian Del Castillo: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Corbin Carroll: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Geraldo Perdomo: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Aramis Garcia: H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1; Ryan Waldschmidt: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Jose Fernandez: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=34; H: current=16, sim=7; 2B: current=4, sim=2; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=5, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=0; SO: current=16, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Rafael Devers: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luis Arraez: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Casey Schmitt: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Bryce Eldridge: AB current=6 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Matt Chapman: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Daniel Susac: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Drew Gilbert: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SF	BATTING_REALISM	current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SF	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match SF pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match SF pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match SF pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=39 matches SF BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SF batting walks match ARI pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SF batting home runs match ARI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SF batting hits match ARI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SF batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SF PA=35 matches ARI BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SF current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.614.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.614.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.386.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.564/0.755.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ARI 9, SF 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ARI 3 - SF 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ARI.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ARI.	{'winner_confidence': 0.613854, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_ARI@SF.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'SF', 'confidence': 0.52644, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_ARI@SF.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.57339, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_SF@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_SF@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'SF', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_SF@ARI.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_ARI@SF.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ARI@SF.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 142.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 164.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 142.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 164.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ARI 3 - 1 SF.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ARI 3 - 1 SF.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ARI wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ARI, final=ARI.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.614.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 21/54 (0.389).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/51 (0.216).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ARI wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ARI wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 3-1 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ARI wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins and win_pct agree: 21/54 = 0.389.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SF wins and win_pct agree: 11/51 = 0.216.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SF	BATTING_REALISM	current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SF	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match SF pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match SF pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match SF pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=39 matches SF BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SF batting walks match ARI pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SF batting home runs match ARI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SF batting hits match ARI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SF batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SF PA=35 matches ARI BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SF current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.614.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.614.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.386.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.564/0.755.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ARI 9, SF 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ARI 3 - SF 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ARI.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ARI.	{'winner_confidence': 0.613854, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_ARI@SF.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'SF', 'confidence': 0.52644, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_ARI@SF.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.57339, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_SF@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_SF@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'SF', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_SF@ARI.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_ARI@SF.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ARI@SF.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 142.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 164.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 142.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 164.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ARI 3 - 1 SF.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ARI 3 - 1 SF.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ARI wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ARI, final=ARI.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.614.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 21/54 (0.389).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/51 (0.216).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ARI wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ARI wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 3-1 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ARI wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins and win_pct agree: 21/54 = 0.389.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SF wins and win_pct agree: 11/51 = 0.216.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=67, sim=36; H: current=19, sim=9; 2B: current=5, sim=1; RBI: current=10, sim=3; R: current=12, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=15, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ketel Marte: AB current=11 box=5, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Adrian Del Castillo: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Corbin Carroll: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Geraldo Perdomo: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Aramis Garcia: H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1; Ryan Waldschmidt: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Jose Fernandez: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=34; H: current=16, sim=7; 2B: current=4, sim=2; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=5, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=0; SO: current=16, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Rafael Devers: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luis Arraez: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Casey Schmitt: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Bryce Eldridge: AB current=6 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Matt Chapman: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Daniel Susac: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Drew Gilbert: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.670851707458496	4.016465187072754		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	1	0.614	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	9
SF	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	ARI	batting	67	19	5	0	1	10	12	8	15	0	0	0	0
current	ARI	pitching		7			1		1	0	8					9.0	1	0	0
current	SF	batting	66	16	4	0	2	8	5	6	16	0	0	0	0
current	SF	pitching		9			1		3	2	8					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	ARI	batting	36	9	1	0	1	3	3	2	8	0	1
simulation	ARI	pitching		7			1		1	0	8					9.0	1	35	142
simulation	SF	batting	34	7	2	0	1	1	1	0	8	0	1
simulation	SF	pitching		9			1		3	2	8					9.0	3	39	164

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	ARI		2B	Ketel Marte	0	11	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	0	0.273
current	ARI		DH	Adrian Del Castillo	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	ARI		RF	Corbin Carroll	0	9	3	1	0	2	1	2	2	0	0.333
current	ARI		SS	Geraldo Perdomo	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	0.222
current	ARI		C	Aramis Garcia	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	ARI		CF	Ryan Waldschmidt	0	7	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	ARI		1B	Ildemaro Vargas	0	9	3	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	0.333
current	ARI		3B	Jose Fernandez	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.286
current	ARI		LF	Tommy Troy	0	4	1	1	0	2	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	SF		1B	Rafael Devers	0	9	2	1	0	1	2	1	3	0	0.222
current	SF		2B	Luis Arraez	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.222
current	SF		SS	Willy Adames	0	10	3	1	1	1	1	1	3	0	0.300
current	SF		LF	Casey Schmitt	0	9	3	1	1	1	2	0	2	0	0.333
current	SF		DH	Bryce Eldridge	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.167
current	SF		3B	Matt Chapman	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	0.250
current	SF		C	Daniel Susac	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	SF		CF	Drew Gilbert	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.167
current	SF		RF	Will Brennan	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	ARI	1	2B	Ketel Marte	5	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.400
simulation	ARI	2	RF	Corbin Carroll	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	3	SS	Geraldo Perdomo	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	4	DH	Adrian Del Castillo	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	ARI	5	CF	Ryan Waldschmidt	4	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	ARI	6	1B	Ildemaro Vargas	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	ARI	7	3B	Jose Fernandez	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	ARI	8	C	Aramis Garcia	4	4	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	ARI	9	LF	Tommy Troy	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	SF	1	SS	Willy Adames	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	SF	2	2B	Luis Arraez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	SF	3	LF	Casey Schmitt	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.250
simulation	SF	4	1B	Rafael Devers	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	SF	5	3B	Matt Chapman	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	SF	6	DH	Bryce Eldridge	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	SF	7	C	Daniel Susac	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	SF	8	CF	Drew Gilbert	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	SF	9	RF	Will Brennan	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	ARI	1	Michael Soroka	Starter	6.1	5	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0.00	3.27	1.25
current	ARI	3	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	10.80	2.40
current	ARI	5	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
current	ARI	6	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	13.50	108.00	9.00
current	SF	1	Trevor McDonald	Starter	5.2	6	2	2	2	6	0	0	0	3.18	4.76	1.01
current	SF	2	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.42	1.07
current	SF	3	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	9.00	4.70	1.43
current	SF	4	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.85	0.86
simulation	ARI	1	Michael Soroka	Starter	6.1	5	0	0	0	6	1	24	95	0.00	3.27	1.25
simulation	ARI	2	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	13	0.00	0.00	0.00
simulation	ARI	3	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	18	0.00	10.80	2.40
simulation	ARI	4	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	0	4	16	13.50	108.00	9.00
simulation	SF	1	Trevor McDonald	Starter	5.2	6	2	2	2	6	0	25	109	3.18	4.76	1.01
simulation	SF	2	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	20	0.00	2.42	1.07
simulation	SF	3	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	16	0.00	1.85	0.86
simulation	SF	4	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	1	5	19	9.00	4.70	1.43

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
ARI	Michael Soroka	Starter	6.1	0	5	0	6	24	95
ARI	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	4	18
ARI	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	13
ARI	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	2	0	0	4	16
SF	Trevor McDonald	Starter	5.2	2	6	2	6	25	109
SF	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	2	5	20
SF	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	0	0	5	19
SF	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_ATL@BOS

20260527_ATL@BOS.json • 2026-05-27

ATL 3 - BOS 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=70, sim=33; H: current=18, sim=6; 2B: current=3, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=3; R: current=11, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Ozzie Albies: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Mauricio Dubón: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Matt Olson: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jorge Mateo: AB current=5 box=4, R current=2 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Michael Harris II: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=1 box=0; Ha-Seong Kim: AB current=7 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=33; H: current=15, sim=6; 2B: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=5, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=11 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wilyer Abreu: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Masataka Yoshida: AB current=6 box=3, R current=1 box=0; Mickey Gasper: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Nick Sogard: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Marcelo Mayer: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match BOS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match BOS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match BOS pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=35 matches BOS BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match ATL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match ATL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match ATL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=35 matches ATL BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.598.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.598.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.402.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.692/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ATL 6, BOS 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ATL 3 - BOS 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.598094, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 4, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.534897, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_ATL@BOS.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-17', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.53782, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260517_BOS@ATL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-16', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.64, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260516_BOS@ATL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-15', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.559541, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260515_BOS@ATL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_ATL@BOS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ATL@BOS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 142.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 142.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ATL 3 - 1 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ATL 3 - 1 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.598.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 11/52 (0.212).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 9/53 (0.170).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 3-1 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 11/52 = 0.212.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins and win_pct agree: 9/53 = 0.170.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match BOS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match BOS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match BOS pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=35 matches BOS BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match ATL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match ATL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match ATL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=35 matches ATL BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.598.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.598.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.402.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.692/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ATL 6, BOS 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ATL 3 - BOS 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.598094, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 4, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.534897, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_ATL@BOS.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-17', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.53782, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260517_BOS@ATL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-16', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.64, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260516_BOS@ATL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-15', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.559541, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260515_BOS@ATL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_ATL@BOS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ATL@BOS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 142.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 142.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ATL 3 - 1 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ATL 3 - 1 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.598.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 11/52 (0.212).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 9/53 (0.170).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 3-1 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 11/52 = 0.212.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins and win_pct agree: 9/53 = 0.170.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=70, sim=33; H: current=18, sim=6; 2B: current=3, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=3; R: current=11, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Ozzie Albies: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Mauricio Dubón: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Matt Olson: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jorge Mateo: AB current=5 box=4, R current=2 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Michael Harris II: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=1 box=0; Ha-Seong Kim: AB current=7 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=33; H: current=15, sim=6; 2B: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=5, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jarren Duran: AB current=11 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wilyer Abreu: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Masataka Yoshida: AB current=6 box=3, R current=1 box=0; Mickey Gasper: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Nick Sogard: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Marcelo Mayer: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.765071868896484	4.099615573883057		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	1	0.598	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	6
BOS	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	ATL	batting	70	18	3	0	2	9	11	8	16	0	0	0	0
current	ATL	pitching		6			0		1	2	5					9.0	1	0	0
current	BOS	batting	66	15	1	0	0	5	8	7	14	0	0	0	0
current	BOS	pitching		6			2		3	2	7					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	ATL	batting	33	6	1	0	2	3	3	2	7	0	0
simulation	ATL	pitching		6			0		1	2	5					9.0	1	35	142
simulation	BOS	batting	33	6	2	0	0	1	1	2	5	0	0
simulation	BOS	pitching		6			2		3	2	7					9.0	3	35	156

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	ATL		RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0	10	2	1	0	1	1	2	3	0.200
current	ATL		2B	Ozzie Albies	0	10	3	0	0	2	1	1	1	0.300
current	ATL		LF	Mauricio Dubón	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	ATL		1B	Matt Olson	0	10	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	0.300
current	ATL		3B	Austin Riley	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.250
current	ATL		DH	Jorge Mateo	0	5	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	0.200
current	ATL		CF	Michael Harris II	0	8	3	0	1	1	2	0	1	0.375
current	ATL		SS	Ha-Seong Kim	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.143
current	ATL		C	Chadwick Tromp	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	BOS		CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	BOS		LF	Jarren Duran	0	11	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.182
current	BOS		RF	Wilyer Abreu	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	BOS		1B	Willson Contreras	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	BOS		DH	Masataka Yoshida	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.167
current	BOS		C	Mickey Gasper	0	6	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	BOS		2B	Nick Sogard	0	6	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.333
current	BOS		SS	Marcelo Mayer	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.167
current	BOS		3B	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.200
simulation	ATL	1	RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	2	LF	Mauricio Dubón	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	ATL	3	1B	Matt Olson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	ATL	4	2B	Ozzie Albies	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	5	3B	Austin Riley	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	ATL	6	CF	Michael Harris II	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	ATL	7	DH	Jorge Mateo	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	ATL	8	SS	Ha-Seong Kim	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	ATL	9	C	Chadwick Tromp	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	BOS	1	LF	Jarren Duran	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	2	CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	3	RF	Wilyer Abreu	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	BOS	4	1B	Willson Contreras	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	BOS	5	DH	Masataka Yoshida	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	BOS	6	C	Mickey Gasper	4	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	7	2B	Nick Sogard	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	BOS	8	SS	Marcelo Mayer	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	9	3B	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	ATL	1	Bryce Elder	Starter	6.2	5	1	1	2	5	0	0	0	1.35	1.97	0.99
current	ATL	2	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.08	0.90
current	ATL	3	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.77	0.86
current	ATL	4	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.40	0.62
current	BOS	1	Connelly Early	Starter	5.1	4	2	2	2	5	1	0	0	3.38	3.33	1.19
current	BOS	2	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.51	0.85
current	BOS	3	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.20	1.12
current	BOS	4	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	9.00	4.15	1.27
current	BOS	5	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.38	1.27
simulation	ATL	1	Bryce Elder	Starter	6.2	5	1	1	2	5	0	27	107	1.35	1.97	0.99
simulation	ATL	2	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	16	0.00	1.08	0.90
simulation	ATL	3	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	0.00	0.77	0.86
simulation	ATL	4	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.00	1.40	0.62
simulation	BOS	1	Connelly Early	Starter	5.1	4	2	2	2	5	1	22	94	3.38	3.33	1.19
simulation	BOS	2	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	16	0.00	0.51	0.85
simulation	BOS	3	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	14	0.00	3.20	1.12
simulation	BOS	4	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	1	4	16	9.00	4.15	1.27
simulation	BOS	5	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	16	0.00	3.38	1.27

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
ATL	Bryce Elder	Starter	6.2	1	5	2	5	27	107
ATL	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16
ATL	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	4
ATL	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	15
BOS	Connelly Early	Starter	5.1	2	4	2	5	22	94
BOS	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16
BOS	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	14
BOS	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	1	4	16
BOS	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_CHC@PIT

20260527_CHC@PIT.json • 2026-05-27

CHC 2 - PIT 6

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=76, sim=32; H: current=18, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=10, sim=2; BB: current=11, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Michael Busch: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nico Hoerner: AB current=11 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Alex Bregman: AB current=10 box=2, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ian Happ: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Seiya Suzuki: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Moisés Ballesteros: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Carson Kelly: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=72, sim=32; H: current=19, sim=8; 2B: current=3, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=14, sim=6; R: current=13, sim=6; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=20, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bryan Reynolds: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=2 box=3, BB current=1 box=0; Konnor Griffin: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Endy Rodríguez: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Marcell Ozuna: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match PIT pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match PIT pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match PIT pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=37 matches PIT BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match CHC pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match CHC pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=35 matches CHC BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.430.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.570.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.570.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.476/0.652.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CHC 5, PIT 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CHC 2 - PIT 6.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT.	{'winner_confidence': 0.570445, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.597466, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_CHC@PIT.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.553822, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_CHC@PIT.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_CHC@PIT.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CHC@PIT.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 151.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 151.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHC 2 - 5 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CHC 2 - 6 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 6-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.570.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 4/55 (0.073).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 14/51 (0.275).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 6-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-5, final 2-6 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PIT wins 6-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins and win_pct agree: 4/55 = 0.073.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 14/51 = 0.275.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match PIT pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match PIT pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match PIT pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=37 matches PIT BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match CHC pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match CHC pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=35 matches CHC BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.430.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.570.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.570.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.476/0.652.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CHC 5, PIT 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CHC 2 - PIT 6.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT.	{'winner_confidence': 0.570445, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.597466, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_CHC@PIT.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.553822, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_CHC@PIT.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_CHC@PIT.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CHC@PIT.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 151.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 151.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHC 2 - 5 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CHC 2 - 6 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 6-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.570.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 4/55 (0.073).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 14/51 (0.275).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 6-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-5, final 2-6 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PIT wins 6-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins and win_pct agree: 4/55 = 0.073.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 14/51 = 0.275.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=76, sim=32; H: current=18, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=10, sim=2; BB: current=11, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Michael Busch: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nico Hoerner: AB current=11 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Pete Crow-Armstrong: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Alex Bregman: AB current=10 box=2, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ian Happ: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Seiya Suzuki: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Moisés Ballesteros: AB current=6 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Carson Kelly: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=72, sim=32; H: current=19, sim=8; 2B: current=3, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=14, sim=6; R: current=13, sim=6; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=20, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bryan Reynolds: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=7 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=2 box=3, BB current=1 box=0; Konnor Griffin: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Endy Rodríguez: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Marcell Ozuna: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.012577533721924	5.229673385620117		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	6		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	4	0.570	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	5		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	5		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	6		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5
PIT	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	6	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	CHC	batting	76	18	2	0	0	9	10	11	16	0	0	0	0
current	CHC	pitching		8			1		6	3	5					8.0	6	0	0
current	PIT	batting	72	19	3	0	2	14	13	8	20	0	0	0	0
current	PIT	pitching		5			2		2	4	6					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	CHC	batting	32	5	0	0	2	2	2	4	6	0	1
simulation	CHC	pitching		8			1		6	3	5					8.0	6	35	151
simulation	PIT	batting	32	8	1	0	1	6	6	3	5	0	0
simulation	PIT	pitching		5			2		2	4	6					9.0	2	37	150

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	CHC		1B	Michael Busch	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	0.222
current	CHC		2B	Nico Hoerner	0	11	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.273
current	CHC		CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	CHC		3B	Alex Bregman	0	10	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.300
current	CHC		LF	Ian Happ	0	9	2	1	0	2	1	2	3	0	0.222
current	CHC		RF	Seiya Suzuki	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	CHC		DH	Moisés Ballesteros	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.167
current	CHC		C	Carson Kelly	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	CHC		SS	Dansby Swanson	0	8	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.125
current	PIT		LF	Bryan Reynolds	0	8	2	1	0	2	2	1	2	0	0.250
current	PIT		2B	Brandon Lowe	0	9	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	0	0.333
current	PIT		3B	Nick Gonzales	0	9	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.333
current	PIT		1B	Spencer Horwitz	0	7	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	0	0.286
current	PIT		SS	Konnor Griffin	0	9	2	0	0	2	1	1	3	0	0.222
current	PIT		CF	Oneil Cruz	0	10	3	0	0	2	2	1	3	0	0.300
current	PIT		C	Endy Rodríguez	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.200
current	PIT		DH	Marcell Ozuna	0	10	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.200
current	PIT		RF	Esmerlyn Valdez	0	5	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	0	0.200
simulation	CHC	1	CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	5	5	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	CHC	2	2B	Nico Hoerner	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	CHC	3	1B	Michael Busch	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	CHC	4	3B	Alex Bregman	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0.500
simulation	CHC	5	LF	Ian Happ	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CHC	6	RF	Seiya Suzuki	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0.000
simulation	CHC	7	DH	Moisés Ballesteros	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	CHC	8	C	Carson Kelly	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	CHC	9	SS	Dansby Swanson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	1	1B	Spencer Horwitz	4	4	2	0	1	1	3	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	PIT	2	2B	Brandon Lowe	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	3	LF	Bryan Reynolds	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	4	3B	Nick Gonzales	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	PIT	5	CF	Oneil Cruz	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	6	SS	Konnor Griffin	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	7	DH	Marcell Ozuna	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	PIT	8	C	Endy Rodríguez	4	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	PIT	9	RF	Esmerlyn Valdez	3	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.667

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	CHC	1	Jameson Taillon	Starter	5.1	6	4	4	3	5	0	0	0	6.75	5.20	1.27
current	CHC	2	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.53	1.12
current	CHC	3	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	18.00	2.53	1.41
current	CHC	5	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.78	1.41
current	PIT	1	Bubba Chandler	Starter	4.2	4	1	1	3	4	1	0	0	1.93	4.79	1.47
current	PIT	2	Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.61	1.03
current	PIT	3	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.43	1.34
current	PIT	4	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	9.00	2.13	0.79
current	PIT	5	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.61	1.11
simulation	CHC	1	Jameson Taillon	Starter	5.1	6	4	4	3	5	0	25	97	6.75	5.20	1.27
simulation	CHC	2	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	1	5	19	18.00	2.53	1.41
simulation	CHC	3	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	2.53	1.12
simulation	CHC	4	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	18	0.00	2.78	1.41
simulation	PIT	1	Bubba Chandler	Starter	4.2	4	1	1	3	4	1	21	85	1.93	4.79	1.47
simulation	PIT	2	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	1	4	17	9.00	2.13	0.79
simulation	PIT	3	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	4.43	1.34
simulation	PIT	4	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	17	0.00	2.61	1.11
simulation	PIT	5	Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	14	0.00	1.61	1.03

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
CHC	Jameson Taillon	Starter	5.1	4	6	3	5	25	97
CHC	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	17
CHC	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	0	0	5	19
CHC	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	18
PIT	Bubba Chandler	Starter	4.2	1	4	3	4	21	85
PIT	Evan Sisk	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	14
PIT	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	4	17
PIT	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	1	4	17
PIT	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	17

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_CIN@NYM

20260527_CIN@NYM.json • 2026-05-27

CIN 2 - NYM 5

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=75, sim=32; H: current=17, sim=5; 2B: current=4, sim=0; RBI: current=12, sim=2; R: current=14, sim=2; BB: current=9, sim=3; SO: current=21, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Blake Dunn: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Sal Stewart: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Elly De La Cruz: AB current=11 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Eugenio Suárez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; JJ Bleday: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Nathaniel Lowe: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Spencer Steer: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Tyler Stephenson: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=33; H: current=17, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=8, sim=5; R: current=7, sim=5; BB: current=5, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carson Benge: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Mark Vientos: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Bo Bichette: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Juan Soto: AB current=9 box=2, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Marcus Semien: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; A.J. Ewing: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Eric Wagaman: BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Brett Baty: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting walks match NYM pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting home runs match NYM pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting hits match NYM pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CIN PA=35 matches NYM BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting walks match CIN pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting home runs match CIN pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting hits match CIN pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYM PA=37 matches CIN BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYM current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.460.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.540.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.540.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.498/0.676.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CIN 5, NYM 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CIN 2 - NYM 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYM.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYM.	{'winner_confidence': 0.540316, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'CIN', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_CIN@NYM.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'NYM', 'confidence': 0.541276, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_CIN@NYM.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_CIN@NYM.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CIN@NYM.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 152.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 136.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 152.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 136.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CIN 3 - 4 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CIN 2 - 5 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYM, final=NYM.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.540.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/53 (0.302).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 20/51 (0.392).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYM wins 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-4, final 2-5 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CIN wins and win_pct agree: 16/53 = 0.302.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYM wins and win_pct agree: 20/51 = 0.392.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting walks match NYM pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting home runs match NYM pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting hits match NYM pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CIN PA=35 matches NYM BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting walks match CIN pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting home runs match CIN pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting hits match CIN pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYM PA=37 matches CIN BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYM current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.460.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.540.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.540.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.498/0.676.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CIN 5, NYM 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CIN 2 - NYM 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYM.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYM.	{'winner_confidence': 0.540316, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'CIN', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_CIN@NYM.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'NYM', 'confidence': 0.541276, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_CIN@NYM.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_CIN@NYM.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CIN@NYM.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 152.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 136.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 152.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 136.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CIN 3 - 4 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CIN 2 - 5 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYM, final=NYM.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.540.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/53 (0.302).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 20/51 (0.392).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYM wins 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-4, final 2-5 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CIN wins and win_pct agree: 16/53 = 0.302.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYM wins and win_pct agree: 20/51 = 0.392.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=75, sim=32; H: current=17, sim=5; 2B: current=4, sim=0; RBI: current=12, sim=2; R: current=14, sim=2; BB: current=9, sim=3; SO: current=21, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Blake Dunn: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Sal Stewart: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Elly De La Cruz: AB current=11 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Eugenio Suárez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; JJ Bleday: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Nathaniel Lowe: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Spencer Steer: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Tyler Stephenson: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=33; H: current=17, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=8, sim=5; R: current=7, sim=5; BB: current=5, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carson Benge: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Mark Vientos: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Bo Bichette: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Juan Soto: AB current=9 box=2, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Marcus Semien: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; A.J. Ewing: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Eric Wagaman: BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Brett Baty: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	6.069265365600586	6.10222053527832		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	6		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	4	0.540	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	4		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	5		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
NYM	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	5	9

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	CIN	batting	75	17	4	0	2	12	14	9	21	0	0	0	0
current	CIN	pitching		9			1		5	4	7					8.0	5	0	0
current	NYM	batting	65	17	0	0	1	8	7	5	15	0	0	0	0
current	NYM	pitching		5			2		2	3	6					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	CIN	batting	32	5	0	0	2	2	2	3	6	0	0
simulation	CIN	pitching		9			1		5	4	7					8.0	5	37	152
simulation	NYM	batting	33	9	3	0	1	5	5	4	7	0	0
simulation	NYM	pitching		5			2		2	3	6					9.0	2	35	136

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	CIN		RF	Blake Dunn	0	9	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.222
current	CIN		3B	Sal Stewart	0	9	2	0	0	2	2	1	2	0.222
current	CIN		SS	Elly De La Cruz	0	11	3	1	1	2	2	1	4	0.273
current	CIN		DH	Eugenio Suárez	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0.250
current	CIN		LF	JJ Bleday	0	9	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	0.333
current	CIN		1B	Nathaniel Lowe	0	6	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.167
current	CIN		2B	Spencer Steer	0	8	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.250
current	CIN		C	Tyler Stephenson	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.143
current	CIN		CF	TJ Friedl	0	8	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.125
current	NYM		RF	Carson Benge	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	NYM		1B	Mark Vientos	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.250
current	NYM		SS	Bo Bichette	0	10	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.200
current	NYM		LF	Juan Soto	0	9	3	0	1	1	2	1	1	0.333
current	NYM		2B	Marcus Semien	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.250
current	NYM		CF	A.J. Ewing	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	NYM		DH	Eric Wagaman	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	NYM		3B	Brett Baty	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	NYM		C	Luis Torrens	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
simulation	CIN	1	RF	Blake Dunn	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	CIN	2	SS	Elly De La Cruz	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	CIN	3	LF	JJ Bleday	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	CIN	4	3B	Sal Stewart	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	CIN	5	DH	Eugenio Suárez	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	CIN	6	1B	Nathaniel Lowe	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	CIN	7	2B	Spencer Steer	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	CIN	8	C	Tyler Stephenson	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	CIN	9	CF	TJ Friedl	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	NYM	1	RF	Carson Benge	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
simulation	NYM	2	SS	Bo Bichette	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	NYM	3	LF	Juan Soto	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	0.500
simulation	NYM	4	1B	Mark Vientos	4	4	1	0	1	1	3	0	2	0.250
simulation	NYM	5	2B	Marcus Semien	4	4	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	NYM	6	CF	A.J. Ewing	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	NYM	7	DH	Eric Wagaman	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	NYM	8	3B	Brett Baty	4	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.500
simulation	NYM	9	C	Luis Torrens	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	CIN	1	Andrew Abbott	Starter	5.0	6	4	4	3	6	1	0	0	7.20	3.97	1.46
current	CIN	2	Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	6.75	2.00	1.07
current	CIN	3	Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.27	1.23
current	CIN	6	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.86	1.29
current	NYM	1	Huascar Brazobán	Starter	5.0	4	2	2	2	3	2	0	0	3.60	1.73	0.92
current	NYM	3	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.35	1.20
current	NYM	4	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5.29	1.41
current	NYM	5	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.22	1.07
simulation	CIN	1	Andrew Abbott	Starter	5.0	6	4	4	3	6	1	24	96	7.20	3.97	1.46
simulation	CIN	2	Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	0	6	23	6.75	2.00	1.07
simulation	CIN	3	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	15	0.00	3.86	1.29
simulation	CIN	4	Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	18	0.00	3.27	1.23
simulation	NYM	1	Huascar Brazobán	Starter	5.0	4	2	2	2	3	2	21	83	3.60	1.73	0.92
simulation	NYM	2	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	5.29	1.41
simulation	NYM	3	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	18	0.00	3.22	1.07
simulation	NYM	4	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	0	6	18	0.00	1.35	1.20

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
CIN	Andrew Abbott	Starter	5.0	4	6	3	6	24	96
CIN	Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	2	0	0	6	23
CIN	Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	18
CIN	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	1	1	3	15
NYM	Huascar Brazobán	Starter	5.0	2	4	2	3	21	83
NYM	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	1	0	2	6	18
NYM	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	17
NYM	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	18

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_COL@LAD

20260527_COL@LAD.json • 2026-05-27

COL 1 - LAD 5

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=31; H: current=15, sim=4; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=1; BB: current=5, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	COL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Hunter Goodman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Tyler Freeman: AB current=8 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; TJ Rumfield: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jake McCarthy: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Troy Johnston: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Willi Castro: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Sterlin Thompson: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=76, sim=31; H: current=21, sim=7; 2B: current=4, sim=1; HR: current=3, sim=2; RBI: current=16, sim=5; R: current=17, sim=5; BB: current=10, sim=6; SO: current=16, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shohei Ohtani: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Freddie Freeman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Kyle Tucker: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Mookie Betts: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=3 box=0; Andy Pages: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=3 box=1; Max Muncy: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=2; Teoscar Hernández: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Will Smith: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	COL	BATTING_REALISM	current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	COL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:COL batting walks match LAD pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:COL batting home runs match LAD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:COL batting hits match LAD pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:COL batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:COL PA=34 matches LAD BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting walks match COL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting home runs match COL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting hits match COL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAD PA=37 matches COL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	COL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	COL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	COL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.470.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.525/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: COL 4, LAD 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: COL 1 - LAD 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.53, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'LAD', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_COL@LAD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'LAD', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_COL@LAD.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_COL@LAD.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: COL@LAD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 138.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 138.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: COL 1 - 5 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: COL 1 - 5 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 5-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=LAD, final=LAD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.530.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 6/54 (0.111).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 17/53 (0.321).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAD wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAD wins 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-5, final 1-5 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAD wins 5-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	COL wins and win_pct agree: 6/54 = 0.111.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAD wins and win_pct agree: 17/53 = 0.321.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	COL	BATTING_REALISM	current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	COL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:COL batting walks match LAD pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:COL batting home runs match LAD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:COL batting hits match LAD pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:COL batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:COL PA=34 matches LAD BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting walks match COL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting home runs match COL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting hits match COL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAD PA=37 matches COL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	COL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	COL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	COL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.470.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.525/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: COL 4, LAD 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: COL 1 - LAD 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.53, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'LAD', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_COL@LAD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'LAD', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_COL@LAD.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_COL@LAD.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: COL@LAD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 138.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 138.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: COL 1 - 5 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: COL 1 - 5 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 5-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=LAD, final=LAD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.530.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 6/54 (0.111).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 17/53 (0.321).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAD wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAD wins 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-5, final 1-5 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAD wins 5-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	COL wins and win_pct agree: 6/54 = 0.111.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAD wins and win_pct agree: 17/53 = 0.321.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=31; H: current=15, sim=4; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=1; BB: current=5, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	COL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Hunter Goodman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Tyler Freeman: AB current=8 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; TJ Rumfield: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jake McCarthy: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Troy Johnston: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Willi Castro: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Sterlin Thompson: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=76, sim=31; H: current=21, sim=7; 2B: current=4, sim=1; HR: current=3, sim=2; RBI: current=16, sim=5; R: current=17, sim=5; BB: current=10, sim=6; SO: current=16, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shohei Ohtani: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Freddie Freeman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Kyle Tucker: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Mookie Betts: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=3 box=0; Andy Pages: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=3 box=1; Max Muncy: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=2; Teoscar Hernández: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Will Smith: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.539719581604004	4.459465026855469		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	4	0.530	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	5		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	5		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	5		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4
LAD	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	5	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	COL	batting	68	15	2	0	1	8	8	5	16	0	0	0	0
current	COL	pitching		7			2		5	6	6					8.0	5	0	0
current	LAD	batting	76	21	4	0	3	16	17	10	16	0	0	0	0
current	LAD	pitching		4			0		1	3	5					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	COL	batting	31	4	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	0	0
simulation	COL	pitching		7			2		5	6	6					8.0	5	37	159
simulation	LAD	batting	31	7	1	0	2	5	5	6	6	0	0
simulation	LAD	pitching		4			0		1	3	5					9.0	1	34	138

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	COL		C	Hunter Goodman	0	9	2	0	1	1	1	1	4	0.222
current	COL		RF	Tyler Freeman	0	8	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.125
current	COL		1B	TJ Rumfield	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	COL		CF	Jake McCarthy	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.286
current	COL		LF	Troy Johnston	0	7	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	COL		3B	Willi Castro	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	COL		SS	Ezequiel Tovar	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0.222
current	COL		DH	Sterlin Thompson	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
current	COL		2B	Edouard Julien	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.143
current	LAD		DH	Shohei Ohtani	0	9	3	1	1	2	2	2	2	0.333
current	LAD		1B	Freddie Freeman	0	9	3	1	0	2	2	2	2	0.333
current	LAD		RF	Kyle Tucker	0	9	2	1	0	2	1	1	2	0.222
current	LAD		SS	Mookie Betts	0	10	2	0	1	2	3	0	1	0.200
current	LAD		CF	Andy Pages	0	9	3	1	1	2	3	1	2	0.333
current	LAD		3B	Max Muncy	0	7	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.286
current	LAD		LF	Teoscar Hernández	0	8	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.250
current	LAD		C	Will Smith	0	9	3	0	0	2	2	1	1	0.333
current	LAD		2B	Alex Freeland	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.167
simulation	COL	1	CF	Jake McCarthy	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	COL	2	RF	Tyler Freeman	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	COL	3	1B	TJ Rumfield	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	COL	4	C	Hunter Goodman	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	COL	5	LF	Troy Johnston	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	COL	6	3B	Willi Castro	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	COL	7	SS	Ezequiel Tovar	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	COL	8	DH	Sterlin Thompson	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	COL	9	2B	Edouard Julien	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	LAD	1	DH	Shohei Ohtani	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	LAD	2	SS	Mookie Betts	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	LAD	3	1B	Freddie Freeman	4	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.500
simulation	LAD	4	RF	Kyle Tucker	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	LAD	5	CF	Andy Pages	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	LAD	6	C	Will Smith	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	LAD	7	3B	Max Muncy	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0.500
simulation	LAD	8	LF	Teoscar Hernández	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	LAD	9	2B	Alex Freeland	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	COL	1	Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	5.0	4	3	3	4	6	1	0	0	5.40	3.86	1.23
current	COL	2	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.12	0.78
current	COL	3	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	9.00	2.79	1.40
current	COL	4	Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	13.50	4.29	1.29
current	COL	5	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0		4.62	1.58
current	LAD	1	Shohei Ohtani	Starter	6.1	2	1	1	3	5	0	0	0	1.42	0.31	0.80
current	LAD	2	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.41	0.96
current	LAD	3	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.25	0.60
current	LAD	4	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.12	0.88
simulation	COL	1	Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	5.0	4	3	3	4	6	1	23	91	5.40	3.86	1.23
simulation	COL	2	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	14	0.00	1.12	0.78
simulation	COL	3	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	20		4.62	1.58
simulation	COL	4	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	4	16	9.00	2.79	1.40
simulation	COL	5	Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	1	1	1	0	0	5	18	13.50	4.29	1.29
simulation	LAD	1	Shohei Ohtani	Starter	6.1	2	1	1	3	5	0	24	128	1.42	0.31	0.80
simulation	LAD	2	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	0.00	1.25	0.60
simulation	LAD	3	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	5	0.00	2.41	0.96
simulation	LAD	4	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0.00	1.12	0.88

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
COL	Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	5.0	3	4	4	6	23	91
COL	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	14
COL	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	0	4	16
COL	Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	2	1	0	5	18
COL	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	1	0	1	20
LAD	Shohei Ohtani	Starter	6.1	1	2	3	5	24	128
LAD	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	0	0	5	5
LAD	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	3
LAD	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	2

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_HOU@TEX

20260527_HOU@TEX.json • 2026-05-27

HOU 1 - TEX 5

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=34; H: current=16, sim=7; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=10, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=13).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Yordan Alvarez: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Christian Walker: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Taylor Trammell: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jeremy Peña: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Cam Smith: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Braden Shewmake: AB current=6 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Jake Meyers: AB current=8 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brice Matthews: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=33; H: current=13, sim=9; RBI: current=8, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=9).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Josh Jung: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Alejandro Osuna: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Joc Pederson: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Brandon Nimmo: AB current=9 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Evan Carter: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Ezequiel Duran: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Danny Jansen: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-3, final 1-5 (delta 3).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match TEX pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match TEX pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match TEX pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 13.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=36 matches TEX BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting walks match HOU pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting home runs match HOU pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting hits match HOU pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TEX PA=37 matches HOU BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TEX current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.430.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.570.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.570.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.478/0.652.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: HOU 7, TEX 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: HOU 1 - TEX 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TEX.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TEX.	{'winner_confidence': 0.570445, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_HOU@TEX.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.595425, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_HOU@TEX.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-17', 'predicted_team': 'HOU', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260517_TEX@HOU.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-16', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.590368, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260516_TEX@HOU.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-15', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.535378, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260515_TEX@HOU.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_HOU@TEX.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: HOU@TEX.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 155.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 155.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: HOU 2 - 3 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: HOU 1 - 5 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TEX wins 5-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TEX, final=TEX.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.570.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 24/55 (0.436).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/52 (0.231).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TEX wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TEX wins 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TEX wins 5-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins and win_pct agree: 24/55 = 0.436.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TEX wins and win_pct agree: 12/52 = 0.231.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match TEX pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match TEX pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match TEX pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 13.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=36 matches TEX BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting walks match HOU pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting home runs match HOU pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting hits match HOU pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TEX PA=37 matches HOU BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TEX current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.430.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.570.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.570.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.478/0.652.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: HOU 7, TEX 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: HOU 1 - TEX 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TEX.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TEX.	{'winner_confidence': 0.570445, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_HOU@TEX.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.595425, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_HOU@TEX.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-17', 'predicted_team': 'HOU', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260517_TEX@HOU.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-16', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.590368, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260516_TEX@HOU.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-15', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.535378, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260515_TEX@HOU.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_HOU@TEX.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: HOU@TEX.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 155.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 155.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: HOU 2 - 3 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: HOU 1 - 5 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TEX wins 5-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TEX, final=TEX.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.570.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 24/55 (0.436).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/52 (0.231).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TEX wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TEX wins 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TEX wins 5-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins and win_pct agree: 24/55 = 0.436.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TEX wins and win_pct agree: 12/52 = 0.231.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=34; H: current=16, sim=7; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=10, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=13).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Yordan Alvarez: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Christian Walker: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Taylor Trammell: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jeremy Peña: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Cam Smith: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Braden Shewmake: AB current=6 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Jake Meyers: AB current=8 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brice Matthews: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=58, sim=33; H: current=13, sim=9; RBI: current=8, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=9).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Josh Jung: AB current=8 box=4, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Alejandro Osuna: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Joc Pederson: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Brandon Nimmo: AB current=9 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Evan Carter: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; Ezequiel Duran: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Danny Jansen: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-3, final 1-5 (delta 3).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.7994227409362793	5.687625408172607		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	6		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	3	0.570	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	5		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	7
TEX	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	5	9

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	HOU	batting	68	16	1	0	2	10	10	7	16	0	0	0	0
current	HOU	pitching		9			0		5	4	9					8.0	5	0	0
current	TEX	batting	58	13	2	0	0	8	9	7	14	0	0	0	0
current	TEX	pitching		7			1		1	2	13					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	HOU	batting	34	7	0	0	1	1	1	2	13	0	0
simulation	HOU	pitching		9			0		5	4	9					8.0	5	37	160
simulation	TEX	batting	33	9	2	0	0	5	5	4	9	0	0
simulation	TEX	pitching		7			1		1	2	13					9.0	1	36	155

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	HOU		DH	Yordan Alvarez	0	10	3	1	1	2	2	2	2	0.300
current	HOU		1B	Christian Walker	0	9	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	0.222
current	HOU		LF	Taylor Trammell	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.333
current	HOU		SS	Jeremy Peña	0	9	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.222
current	HOU		RF	Cam Smith	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	HOU		3B	Braden Shewmake	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.167
current	HOU		CF	Jake Meyers	0	8	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.125
current	HOU		2B	Brice Matthews	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.143
current	HOU		C	Christian Vázquez	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	TEX		3B	Josh Jung	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	TEX		LF	Alejandro Osuna	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.200
current	TEX		DH	Joc Pederson	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.200
current	TEX		RF	Brandon Nimmo	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	TEX		CF	Evan Carter	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.143
current	TEX		1B	Jake Burger	0	8	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0.250
current	TEX		SS	Ezequiel Duran	0	7	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	TEX		C	Danny Jansen	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.167
current	TEX		2B	Nicky Lopez	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	HOU	1	SS	Jeremy Peña	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	HOU	2	DH	Yordan Alvarez	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	HOU	3	1B	Christian Walker	4	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	2	0.500
simulation	HOU	4	LF	Taylor Trammell	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	HOU	5	RF	Cam Smith	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	HOU	6	3B	Braden Shewmake	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	HOU	7	CF	Jake Meyers	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	HOU	8	2B	Brice Matthews	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	HOU	9	C	Christian Vázquez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	TEX	1	DH	Joc Pederson	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	TEX	2	LF	Alejandro Osuna	4	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0.500
simulation	TEX	3	RF	Brandon Nimmo	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0.000
simulation	TEX	4	3B	Josh Jung	4	4	2	1	0	1	2	0	0	0.500
simulation	TEX	5	1B	Jake Burger	4	4	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.250
simulation	TEX	6	CF	Evan Carter	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	TEX	7	SS	Ezequiel Duran	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	TEX	8	C	Danny Jansen	4	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.000
simulation	TEX	9	2B	Nicky Lopez	4	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0.500

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	HOU	1	Mike Burrows	Starter	4.2	8	4	4	4	4	0	0	0	7.71	5.75	1.53
current	HOU	2	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	6.75	6.88	2.06
current	HOU	3	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.70	1.29
current	HOU	5	Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.50
current	TEX	1	Jacob deGrom	Starter	5.2	5	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	0.00	3.86	1.02
current	TEX	2	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	1.08	0.44
current	TEX	3	Chris Martin	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	9.00	7.56	1.92
current	TEX	4	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.50	0.71
simulation	HOU	1	Mike Burrows	Starter	4.2	8	4	4	4	4	0	26	107	7.71	5.75	1.53
simulation	HOU	2	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	20	0.00	2.70	1.29
simulation	HOU	3	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	1	0	2	0	4	17	6.75	6.88	2.06
simulation	HOU	4	Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	16	0.00	0.00	0.50
simulation	TEX	1	Jacob deGrom	Starter	5.2	5	0	0	1	8	1	23	101	0.00	3.86	1.02
simulation	TEX	2	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	18	0.00	1.08	0.44
simulation	TEX	3	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	0	5	20	0.00	1.50	0.71
simulation	TEX	4	Chris Martin	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	0	4	16	9.00	7.56	1.92

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
HOU	Mike Burrows	Starter	4.2	4	8	4	4	26	107
HOU	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	2	4	17
HOU	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	20
HOU	Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	16
TEX	Jacob deGrom	Starter	5.2	0	5	1	8	23	101
TEX	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	3	4	18
TEX	Chris Martin	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	0	4	16
TEX	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	2	5	20

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_LAA@DET

20260527_LAA@DET.json • 2026-05-27

LAA 1 - DET 2

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 1ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 91INFO 7

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Batting Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	LAA	current:LAA has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	LAA		BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=32; H: current=15, sim=6; 2B: current=3, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=7, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kevin McGonigle: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Colt Keith: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0; Riley Greene: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Zach McKinstry: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=7 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gage Workman: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=70, sim=30; H: current=17, sim=4; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=19, sim=11).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jorge Soler: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Vaughn Grissom: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zach Neto: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Mike Trout: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Wade Meckler: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Jo Adell: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, SO current=3 box=1, SF current=0 box=1; Oswald Peraza: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Donovan Walton: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match LAA pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match LAA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match LAA pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=34 matches LAA BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match DET pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match DET pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match DET pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=35 matches DET BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.454.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.692/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAA 4, DET 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: LAA 1 - DET 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: DET.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for DET.	{'winner_confidence': 0.545884, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_LAA@DET.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_LAA@DET.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAA@DET.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAA 1 - 2 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAA 1 - 2 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: DET wins 2-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=DET, final=DET.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.546.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/54 (0.167).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 13/54 (0.241).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: DET wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: DET wins 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 1-2 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: DET wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 13/54 = 0.241.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins and win_pct agree: 9/54 = 0.167.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match LAA pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match LAA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match LAA pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=34 matches LAA BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match DET pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match DET pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match DET pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=35 matches DET BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.454.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.692/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAA 4, DET 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: LAA 1 - DET 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: DET.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for DET.	{'winner_confidence': 0.545884, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_LAA@DET.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_LAA@DET.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAA@DET.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAA 1 - 2 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAA 1 - 2 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: DET wins 2-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=DET, final=DET.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.546.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/54 (0.167).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 13/54 (0.241).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: DET wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: DET wins 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 1-2 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: DET wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 13/54 = 0.241.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins and win_pct agree: 9/54 = 0.167.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=65, sim=32; H: current=15, sim=6; 2B: current=3, sim=2; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=7, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kevin McGonigle: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Colt Keith: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0; Riley Greene: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Zach McKinstry: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=7 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gage Workman: AB current=5 box=3, 2B current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=70, sim=30; H: current=17, sim=4; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=1; R: current=10, sim=1; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=19, sim=11).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jorge Soler: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Vaughn Grissom: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zach Neto: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Mike Trout: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Wade Meckler: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Jo Adell: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, SO current=3 box=1, SF current=0 box=1; Oswald Peraza: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Donovan Walton: AB current=7 box=3, 2B current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.355185031890869	4.652254104614258		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	2	0.546	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4
DET	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	LAA	batting	70	17	2	0	1	9	10	6	19	0	0	0	0
current	LAA	pitching		6			1		2	2	8					8.0	2	0	0
current	DET	batting	65	15	3	0	1	9	7	7	16	0	0	0	0
current	DET	pitching		4			0		1	4	11					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	LAA	batting	30	4	0	0	0	1	1	4	11	1	0
simulation	LAA	pitching		6			1		2	2	8					8.0	2	34	150
simulation	DET	batting	32	6	2	0	1	2	2	2	8	0	0
simulation	DET	pitching		4			0		1	4	11					9.0	1	35	150

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	LAA		DH	Jorge Soler	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.222
current	LAA		1B	Vaughn Grissom	0	8	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	0.250
current	LAA		SS	Zach Neto	0	10	3	1	0	2	1	1	3	0.300
current	LAA		CF	Mike Trout	0	9	2	0	1	2	1	2	3	0.222
current	LAA		LF	Wade Meckler	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.250
current	LAA		RF	Jo Adell	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	0.222
current	LAA		2B	Oswald Peraza	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.286
current	LAA		3B	Donovan Walton	0	7	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	0.143
current	LAA		C	Logan O'Hoppe	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	DET		SS	Kevin McGonigle	0	10	3	1	0	2	2	2	1	0.300
current	DET		C	Dillon Dingler	0	9	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	0.222
current	DET		3B	Colt Keith	0	6	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	DET		LF	Riley Greene	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	2	3	0.222
current	DET		RF	Zach McKinstry	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.167
current	DET		CF	Wenceel Pérez	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.143
current	DET		1B	Spencer Torkelson	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.250
current	DET		DH	Gage Workman	0	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0.200
current	DET		2B	Hao-Yu Lee	0	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0.200
simulation	LAA	1	SS	Zach Neto	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	LAA	2	CF	Mike Trout	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	LAA	3	1B	Vaughn Grissom	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	4	DH	Jorge Soler	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	5	LF	Wade Meckler	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.667
simulation	LAA	6	RF	Jo Adell	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	7	2B	Oswald Peraza	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	8	3B	Donovan Walton	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.333
simulation	LAA	9	C	Logan O'Hoppe	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.500
simulation	DET	1	3B	Colt Keith	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	DET	2	SS	Kevin McGonigle	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	DET	3	C	Dillon Dingler	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	DET	4	LF	Riley Greene	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	DET	5	RF	Zach McKinstry	4	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	1	0.500
simulation	DET	6	1B	Spencer Torkelson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	DET	7	CF	Wenceel Pérez	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	DET	8	DH	Gage Workman	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.333
simulation	DET	9	2B	Hao-Yu Lee	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	LAA	1	José Soriano	Starter	6.0	4	1	1	1	6	1	0	0	1.50	2.44	1.07
current	LAA	2	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.42	1.04
current	LAA	3	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.68	1.09
current	LAA	6	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		4.81	1.23
current	DET	1	Casey Mize	Starter	5.2	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	0.00	2.47	0.98
current	DET	2	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.77	1.05
current	DET	3	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0.00	1.09	1.46
current	DET	4	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	9.00	7.88	1.50
simulation	LAA	1	José Soriano	Starter	6.0	4	1	1	1	6	1	24	96	1.50	2.44	1.07
simulation	LAA	2	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	17	0.00	3.68	1.09
simulation	LAA	3	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	0	5	21	0.00	2.42	1.04
simulation	LAA	4	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	16		4.81	1.23
simulation	DET	1	Casey Mize	Starter	5.2	2	0	0	2	7	0	21	93	0.00	2.47	0.98
simulation	DET	2	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	3.77	1.05
simulation	DET	3	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	0	5	20	0.00	1.09	1.46
simulation	DET	4	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	0	5	20	9.00	7.88	1.50

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
LAA	José Soriano	Starter	6.0	1	4	1	6	24	96
LAA	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	1	1	5	21
LAA	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	1	3	17
LAA	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	0.0	1	2	0	0	2	16
DET	Casey Mize	Starter	5.2	0	2	2	7	21	93
DET	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	17
DET	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	3	5	20
DET	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	5	20

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	critical	1	3	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	0	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	0	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	0	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	0	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	0	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	0	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_MIA@TOR

20260527_MIA@TOR.json • 2026-05-27

MIA 1 - TOR 4

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=33; H: current=15, sim=6; 2B: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=10).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Otto Lopez: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1; Kyle Stowers: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Liam Hicks: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jakob Marsee: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Connor Norby: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Xavier Edwards: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Owen Caissie: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Christopher Morel: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=31; H: current=18, sim=7; 2B: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=3).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nathan Lukes: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Daulton Varsho: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Jesús Sánchez: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Yohendrick Pinango: AB current=6 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Andrés Giménez: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting walks match TOR pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting home runs match TOR pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting hits match TOR pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIA PA=38 matches TOR BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match MIA pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match MIA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match MIA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=34 matches MIA BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.433.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.567.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.567.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.564/0.755.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIA 6, TOR 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIA 1 - TOR 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TOR.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TOR.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5665, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'MIA', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_MIA@TOR.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.568671, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_MIA@TOR.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_MIA@TOR.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIA@TOR.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 135.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 135.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 169.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIA 2 - 3 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIA 1 - 4 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TOR wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TOR, final=TOR.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.567.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 18/53 (0.340).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 16/54 (0.296).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TOR wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TOR wins 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 1-4 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TOR wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIA wins and win_pct agree: 18/53 = 0.340.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 16/54 = 0.296.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting walks match TOR pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting home runs match TOR pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting hits match TOR pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIA PA=38 matches TOR BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match MIA pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match MIA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match MIA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=34 matches MIA BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.433.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.567.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.567.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.564/0.755.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIA 6, TOR 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIA 1 - TOR 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TOR.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TOR.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5665, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'MIA', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_MIA@TOR.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'TOR', 'confidence': 0.568671, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_MIA@TOR.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_MIA@TOR.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIA@TOR.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 135.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 135.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 169.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIA 2 - 3 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIA 1 - 4 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TOR wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TOR, final=TOR.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.567.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 18/53 (0.340).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 16/54 (0.296).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TOR wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TOR wins 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 1-4 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TOR wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIA wins and win_pct agree: 18/53 = 0.340.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 16/54 = 0.296.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=33; H: current=15, sim=6; 2B: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; SO: current=16, sim=10).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Otto Lopez: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1; Kyle Stowers: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Liam Hicks: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jakob Marsee: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Connor Norby: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Xavier Edwards: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Owen Caissie: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Christopher Morel: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=31; H: current=18, sim=7; 2B: current=1, sim=2; RBI: current=8, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=3).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nathan Lukes: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Daulton Varsho: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Jesús Sánchez: AB current=7 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, SO current=2 box=0; Yohendrick Pinango: AB current=6 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Andrés Giménez: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.54893159866333	5.354574680328369		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	3	0.567	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	4		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6
TOR	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	MIA	batting	66	15	2	0	8	9	5	16	0	0	0	0
current	MIA	pitching		7				4	3	3					8.0	4	0	0
current	TOR	batting	66	18	1	0	8	9	3	13	0	0	0	0
current	TOR	pitching		6				1	5	10					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	MIA	batting	33	6	1	0	1	1	5	10	0	0
simulation	MIA	pitching		7				4	3	3					8.0	4	34	135
simulation	TOR	batting	31	7	2	0	4	4	3	3	0	0
simulation	TOR	pitching		6				1	5	10					9.0	1	38	169

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	MIA		SS	Otto Lopez	0	9	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	MIA		LF	Kyle Stowers	0	8	2	1	1	1	1	3	0.250
current	MIA		C	Liam Hicks	0	8	2	0	1	2	1	1	0.250
current	MIA		CF	Jakob Marsee	0	8	2	0	2	1	1	2	0.250
current	MIA		DH	Connor Norby	0	7	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.143
current	MIA		2B	Xavier Edwards	0	9	2	1	2	1	1	1	0.222
current	MIA		RF	Owen Caissie	0	6	1	0	1	1	0	3	0.167
current	MIA		1B	Christopher Morel	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0.167
current	MIA		3B	Graham Pauley	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
current	TOR		RF	Nathan Lukes	0	6	2	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	TOR		1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0	8	2	0	2	1	1	1	0.250
current	TOR		CF	Daulton Varsho	0	9	3	0	1	1	1	2	0.333
current	TOR		DH	Jesús Sánchez	0	7	2	0	1	1	0	2	0.286
current	TOR		LF	Yohendrick Pinango	0	6	2	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	TOR		3B	Kazuma Okamoto	0	9	2	0	1	1	1	3	0.222
current	TOR		2B	Ernie Clement	0	9	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	TOR		SS	Andrés Giménez	0	7	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.143
current	TOR		C	Tyler Heineman	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
simulation	MIA	1	2B	Xavier Edwards	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIA	2	C	Liam Hicks	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIA	3	SS	Otto Lopez	4	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	MIA	4	LF	Kyle Stowers	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	MIA	5	CF	Jakob Marsee	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	MIA	6	DH	Connor Norby	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	MIA	7	RF	Owen Caissie	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	3	0.000
simulation	MIA	8	1B	Christopher Morel	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	MIA	9	3B	Graham Pauley	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	TOR	1	RF	Nathan Lukes	4	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	TOR	2	1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	TOR	3	CF	Daulton Varsho	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	TOR	4	DH	Jesús Sánchez	4	4	2	1	1	2	0	0	0.500
simulation	TOR	5	3B	Kazuma Okamoto	4	4	1	0	1	2	0	1	0.250
simulation	TOR	6	LF	Yohendrick Pinango	4	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	0.000
simulation	TOR	7	2B	Ernie Clement	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	TOR	8	SS	Andrés Giménez	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	9	C	Tyler Heineman	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	MIA	1	Eury Pérez	Starter	5.1	7	3	3	3	2	0	0	5.06	4.91	1.30
current	MIA	2	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	3.38	0.98
current	MIA	3	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.92	1.65
current	MIA	5	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0		7.62	1.46
current	TOR	1	Kevin Gausman	Starter	5.2	4	1	1	4	7	0	0	1.59	3.23	1.05
current	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.65	1.08
current	TOR	3	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	5.09	1.61
current	TOR	4	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	2.62	1.17
simulation	MIA	1	Eury Pérez	Starter	5.1	7	3	3	3	2	26	100	5.06	4.91	1.30
simulation	MIA	2	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14		7.62	1.46
simulation	MIA	3	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	4	0.00	3.92	1.65
simulation	MIA	4	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	17	0.00	3.38	0.98
simulation	TOR	1	Kevin Gausman	Starter	5.2	4	1	1	4	7	25	111	1.59	3.23	1.05
simulation	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	6	27	0.00	0.65	1.08
simulation	TOR	3	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	3	15	0.00	2.62	1.17
simulation	TOR	4	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	4	16	0.00	5.09	1.61

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
MIA	Eury Pérez	Starter	5.1	3	7	3	2	26	100
MIA	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	17
MIA	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	4
MIA	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	14
TOR	Kevin Gausman	Starter	5.2	1	4	4	7	25	111
TOR	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	1	0	6	27
TOR	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
TOR	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	15

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_MIN@CHW

20260527_MIN@CHW.json • 2026-05-27

MIN 4 - CHW 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=61, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=8; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=10).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Munetaka Murakami: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Miguel Vargas: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Randal Grichuk: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Chase Meidroth: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Colson Montgomery: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Sam Antonacci: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Edgar Quero: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Derek Hill: 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=33; H: current=18, sim=6; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=4).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Byron Buxton: AB current=11 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Brooks Lee: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Trevor Larnach: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Josh Bell: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Austin Martin: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1; Luke Keaschall: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tristan Gray: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting walks match MIN pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting home runs match MIN pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting hits match MIN pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHW PA=38 matches MIN BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match CHW pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match CHW pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match CHW pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=37 matches CHW BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHW current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.517.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.517.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.483.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.454/0.624.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIN 6, CHW 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIN 4 - CHW 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIN.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIN.	{'winner_confidence': 0.517085, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5263169999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5686709999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_MIN@CHW.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_MIN@CHW.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIN@CHW.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 176.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 176.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIN 3 - 2 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIN 4 - 1 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIN wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIN, final=MIN.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.517.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/53 (0.283).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 14/51 (0.275).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIN wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIN wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 4-1 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIN wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHW wins and win_pct agree: 14/51 = 0.275.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins and win_pct agree: 15/53 = 0.283.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting walks match MIN pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting home runs match MIN pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting hits match MIN pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHW PA=38 matches MIN BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match CHW pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match CHW pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match CHW pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=37 matches CHW BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHW current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.517.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.517.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.483.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.454/0.624.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIN 6, CHW 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIN 4 - CHW 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIN.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIN.	{'winner_confidence': 0.517085, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5263169999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_MIN@CHW.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'MIN', 'confidence': 0.5686709999999999, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_MIN@CHW.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_MIN@CHW.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIN@CHW.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 176.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 176.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIN 3 - 2 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIN 4 - 1 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIN wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIN, final=MIN.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.517.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/53 (0.283).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 14/51 (0.275).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIN wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIN wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 4-1 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIN wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHW wins and win_pct agree: 14/51 = 0.275.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins and win_pct agree: 15/53 = 0.283.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=61, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=8; 2B: current=1, sim=2; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=10).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Munetaka Murakami: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Miguel Vargas: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Randal Grichuk: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Chase Meidroth: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Colson Montgomery: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Sam Antonacci: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Edgar Quero: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Derek Hill: 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=33; H: current=18, sim=6; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=4).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Byron Buxton: AB current=11 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Brooks Lee: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Trevor Larnach: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Josh Bell: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Austin Martin: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1; Luke Keaschall: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tristan Gray: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.3	4.6		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	2	0.517	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	4	6
CHW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	MIN	batting	68	18	3	0	1	9	9	8	16	0	0	0	0
current	MIN	pitching		8			0		1	3	10					9.0	1	0	0
current	CHW	batting	61	14	1	0	1	7	9	7	16	0	0	0	0
current	CHW	pitching		6			0		4	4	4					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	MIN	batting	33	6	3	0	0	4	4	4	4	0	0
simulation	MIN	pitching		8			0		1	3	10					9.0	1	38	176
simulation	CHW	batting	35	8	2	0	0	1	1	3	10	0	0
simulation	CHW	pitching		6			0		4	4	4					9.0	4	37	157

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	MIN		DH	Byron Buxton	0	11	3	1	1	2	1	1	3	0.273
current	MIN		3B	Brooks Lee	0	9	3	1	0	1	2	1	1	0.333
current	MIN		LF	Trevor Larnach	0	7	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	MIN		1B	Josh Bell	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	MIN		CF	Kody Clemens	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	MIN		RF	Austin Martin	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	MIN		2B	Luke Keaschall	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	MIN		SS	Tristan Gray	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.200
current	MIN		C	Alex Jackson	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
current	CHW		DH	Munetaka Murakami	0	9	2	0	1	2	2	2	3	0.222
current	CHW		1B	Miguel Vargas	0	9	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.222
current	CHW		RF	Randal Grichuk	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		2B	Chase Meidroth	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	CHW		3B	Colson Montgomery	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0.222
current	CHW		LF	Sam Antonacci	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	CHW		C	Edgar Quero	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.143
current	CHW		CF	Derek Hill	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		SS	Luisangel Acuña	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.200
simulation	MIN	1	DH	Byron Buxton	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIN	2	3B	Brooks Lee	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIN	3	LF	Trevor Larnach	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	MIN	4	1B	Josh Bell	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	5	CF	Kody Clemens	4	4	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	0.250
simulation	MIN	6	RF	Austin Martin	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	MIN	7	2B	Luke Keaschall	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIN	8	SS	Tristan Gray	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	MIN	9	C	Alex Jackson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	CHW	1	2B	Chase Meidroth	5	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	CHW	2	DH	Munetaka Murakami	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.200
simulation	CHW	3	1B	Miguel Vargas	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.250
simulation	CHW	4	RF	Randal Grichuk	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CHW	5	3B	Colson Montgomery	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	CHW	6	C	Edgar Quero	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CHW	7	CF	Derek Hill	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	CHW	8	LF	Sam Antonacci	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	CHW	9	SS	Luisangel Acuña	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	MIN	1	Connor Prielipp	Starter	5.0	6	1	1	2	6	0	0	1.80	4.03	1.17
current	MIN	2	Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	3.38	1.33
current	MIN	3	Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	4.43	1.52
current	MIN	4	Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	5.79	1.20
current	MIN	5	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	2.21	1.43
current	CHW	1	David Sandlin	Starter	3.0	5	3	3	3	3	0	0	9.00
current	CHW	3	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.57	1.35
current	CHW	4	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	1.42	1.26
current	CHW	6	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	3.1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	2.70	13.50	3.00
simulation	MIN	1	Connor Prielipp	Starter	5.0	6	1	1	2	6	23	101	1.80	4.03	1.17
simulation	MIN	2	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	2	16	0.00	2.21	1.43
simulation	MIN	3	Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	20	0.00	3.38	1.33
simulation	MIN	4	Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	4	19	0.00	4.43	1.52
simulation	MIN	5	Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	5	20	0.00	5.79	1.20
simulation	CHW	1	David Sandlin	Starter	3.0	5	3	3	3	3	17	65	9.00
simulation	CHW	2	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	3.1	1	1	1	0	0	11	49	2.70	13.50	3.00
simulation	CHW	3	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	18	0.00	1.42	1.26
simulation	CHW	4	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	6	25	0.00	1.57	1.35

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
MIN	Connor Prielipp	Starter	5.0	1	6	2	6	23	101
MIN	Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	20
MIN	Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	19
MIN	Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	0	5	20
MIN	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	2	2	16
CHW	David Sandlin	Starter	3.0	3	5	3	3	17	65
CHW	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	1	0	6	25
CHW	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	18
CHW	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	3.1	1	1	0	0	11	49

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_NYY@KC

20260527_NYY@KC.json • 2026-05-27

NYY 5 - KC 2

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=34; H: current=15, sim=7; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	KC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bobby Witt Jr.: AB current=10 box=4, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Maikel Garcia: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Salvador Perez: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Vinnie Pasquantino: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Carter Jensen: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Michael Massey: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jac Caglianone: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Lane Thomas: AB current=5 box=3, BB current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=31; H: current=20, sim=4; 2B: current=5, sim=1; HR: current=4, sim=1; RBI: current=14, sim=5; R: current=15, sim=5; BB: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Cody Bellinger: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Aaron Judge: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Ben Rice: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Amed Rosario: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Anthony Volpe: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Ryan McMahon: AB current=6 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; José Caballero: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	KC	BATTING_REALISM	current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	KC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:KC batting walks match NYY pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:KC batting home runs match NYY pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:KC batting hits match NYY pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:KC batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:KC PA=37 matches NYY BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match KC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match KC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match KC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=36 matches KC BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	KC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	KC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	KC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.470.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.499/0.676.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: NYY 4, KC 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: NYY 5 - KC 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.	{'winner_confidence': 0.53, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_NYY@KC.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'KC', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_NYY@KC.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_NYY@KC.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: NYY@KC.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 151.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 151.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYY 5 - 2 KC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: NYY 5 - 2 KC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 5-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.530.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/52 (0.288).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/52 (0.154).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 5-2, final 5-2 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 5-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	KC wins and win_pct agree: 8/52 = 0.154.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins and win_pct agree: 15/52 = 0.288.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	KC	BATTING_REALISM	current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	KC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:KC batting walks match NYY pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:KC batting home runs match NYY pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:KC batting hits match NYY pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:KC batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:KC PA=37 matches NYY BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match KC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match KC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match KC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=36 matches KC BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	KC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	KC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	KC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.470.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.499/0.676.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: NYY 4, KC 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: NYY 5 - KC 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.	{'winner_confidence': 0.53, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_NYY@KC.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'KC', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_NYY@KC.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_NYY@KC.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: NYY@KC.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 151.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 160.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 160.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 151.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYY 5 - 2 KC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: NYY 5 - 2 KC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 5-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.530.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/52 (0.288).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/52 (0.154).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 5-2, final 5-2 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 5-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	KC wins and win_pct agree: 8/52 = 0.154.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins and win_pct agree: 15/52 = 0.288.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=34; H: current=15, sim=7; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=2; SO: current=16, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	KC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bobby Witt Jr.: AB current=10 box=4, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=2, BB current=1 box=0; Maikel Garcia: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Salvador Perez: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Vinnie Pasquantino: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Carter Jensen: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Michael Massey: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jac Caglianone: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Lane Thomas: AB current=5 box=3, BB current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=31; H: current=20, sim=4; 2B: current=5, sim=1; HR: current=4, sim=1; RBI: current=14, sim=5; R: current=15, sim=5; BB: current=8, sim=4; SO: current=16, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Cody Bellinger: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Aaron Judge: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Ben Rice: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Amed Rosario: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Anthony Volpe: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Ryan McMahon: AB current=6 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=1; José Caballero: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.338898658752441	3.45863938331604		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	4	1	0.530	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	5	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	5	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	5	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	5	4
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	NYY	batting	69	20	5	0	4	14	15	8	16	0	0	0	0
current	NYY	pitching		7			0		2	2	8					9.0	2	0	0
current	KC	batting	69	15	2	0	1	7	8	7	16	0	0	0	0
current	KC	pitching		4			1		5	4	7					9.0	5	0	0
simulation	NYY	batting	31	4	1	0	1	5	5	4	7	0	1
simulation	NYY	pitching		7			0		2	2	8					9.0	2	37	151
simulation	KC	batting	34	7	1	0	0	2	2	2	8	0	1
simulation	KC	pitching		4			1		5	4	7					9.0	5	36	160

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	NYY		CF	Cody Bellinger	0	9	3	1	1	2	2	1	1	0	0.333
current	NYY		1B	Paul Goldschmidt	0	8	2	1	0	2	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	NYY		RF	Aaron Judge	0	9	3	1	1	2	2	2	3	0	0.333
current	NYY		DH	Ben Rice	0	9	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	0	0.333
current	NYY		2B	Amed Rosario	0	7	2	0	1	2	2	0	1	0	0.286
current	NYY		SS	Anthony Volpe	0	7	2	1	0	2	2	2	2	0	0.286
current	NYY		3B	Ryan McMahon	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.167
current	NYY		LF	José Caballero	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.286
current	NYY		C	Austin Wells	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	KC		SS	Bobby Witt Jr.	0	10	3	1	1	1	1	1	2	0	0.300
current	KC		3B	Maikel Garcia	0	10	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.300
current	KC		DH	Salvador Perez	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.222
current	KC		1B	Vinnie Pasquantino	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	KC		C	Carter Jensen	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
current	KC		2B	Michael Massey	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
current	KC		RF	Jac Caglianone	0	7	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0.143
current	KC		CF	Lane Thomas	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.200
current	KC		LF	Isaac Collins	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.143
simulation	NYY	1	1B	Paul Goldschmidt	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	2	DH	Ben Rice	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	3	RF	Aaron Judge	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	NYY	4	CF	Cody Bellinger	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	5	2B	Amed Rosario	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	NYY	6	SS	Anthony Volpe	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	7	3B	Ryan McMahon	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	NYY	8	LF	José Caballero	4	4	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	NYY	9	C	Austin Wells	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	KC	1	3B	Maikel Garcia	5	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.400
simulation	KC	2	SS	Bobby Witt Jr.	4	4	3	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.750
simulation	KC	3	1B	Vinnie Pasquantino	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	KC	4	DH	Salvador Perez	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	KC	5	C	Carter Jensen	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	KC	6	CF	Lane Thomas	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	KC	7	RF	Jac Caglianone	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	KC	8	2B	Michael Massey	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	KC	9	LF	Isaac Collins	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	NYY	1	Gerrit Cole	Starter	5.0	3	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.83
current	NYY	2	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.2	4	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	10.80	4.70	1.57
current	NYY	3	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.08	1.38
current	NYY	5	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.27	0.89
current	KC	1	Noah Cameron	Starter	5.1	3	5	5	3	2	1	0	0	8.44	4.72	1.45
current	KC	2	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.59	0.88
current	KC	3	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	5.06	1.69
current	KC	4	Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	3.86	1.34
current	KC	5	John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.10	1.43
current	KC	6	Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0		4.88	1.38
simulation	NYY	1	Gerrit Cole	Starter	5.0	3	0	0	2	6	0	21	85	0.00	0.00	0.83
simulation	NYY	2	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.2	4	2	2	0	0	0	9	33	10.80	4.70	1.57
simulation	NYY	3	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	16	0.00	2.08	1.38
simulation	NYY	4	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	17	0.00	1.27	0.89
simulation	KC	1	Noah Cameron	Starter	5.1	3	5	5	3	2	1	23	88	8.44	4.72	1.45
simulation	KC	2	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	10	0.00	5.06	1.69
simulation	KC	3	Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	15	0.00	3.86	1.34
simulation	KC	4	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	17	0.00	1.59	0.88
simulation	KC	5	John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	16	0.00	3.10	1.43
simulation	KC	6	Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	14		4.88	1.38

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
NYY	Gerrit Cole	Starter	5.0	0	3	2	6	21	85
NYY	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.2	2	4	0	0	9	33
NYY	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	16
NYY	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	17
KC	Noah Cameron	Starter	5.1	5	3	3	2	23	88
KC	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	17
KC	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	10
KC	Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	15
KC	John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	1	0	0	3	16
KC	Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	1	0	1	14

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_PHI@SD

20260527_PHI@SD.json • 2026-05-27

PHI 2 - SD 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=73, sim=32; H: current=15, sim=5; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=10, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=0; SO: current=15, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kyle Schwarber: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Bryce Harper: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=2 box=0; Alec Bohm: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Bryson Stott: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Trea Turner: AB current=11 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; J.T. Realmuto: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Adolis García: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Edmundo Sosa: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=32; H: current=17, sim=5; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=1; SO: current=17, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Miguel Andujar: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gavin Sheets: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Manny Machado: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Ramón Laureano: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Castellanos: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Jackson Merrill: AB current=9 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SD	BATTING_REALISM	current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting walks match SD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting home runs match SD pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting hits match SD pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PHI PA=32 matches SD BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SD batting walks match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SD batting home runs match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SD batting hits match PHI pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SD batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SD PA=33 matches PHI BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PHI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.543.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.543.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.457.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.522/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: PHI 5, SD 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: PHI 2 - SD 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PHI.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PHI.	{'winner_confidence': 0.543331, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'SD', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_PHI@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_PHI@SD.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_PHI@SD.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: PHI@SD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 127.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 128.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 127.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 128.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PHI 2 - 1 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: PHI 2 - 1 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PHI wins 2-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PHI, final=PHI.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.543.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 10/54 (0.185).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/52 (0.212).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PHI wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PHI wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-1, final 2-1 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PHI wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PHI wins and win_pct agree: 10/54 = 0.185.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SD wins and win_pct agree: 11/52 = 0.212.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SD	BATTING_REALISM	current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting walks match SD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting home runs match SD pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting hits match SD pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PHI PA=32 matches SD BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SD batting walks match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SD batting home runs match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SD batting hits match PHI pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SD batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SD PA=33 matches PHI BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PHI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.543.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.543.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.457.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.522/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: PHI 5, SD 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: PHI 2 - SD 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PHI.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PHI.	{'winner_confidence': 0.543331, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'SD', 'confidence': 0.568135, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_PHI@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_PHI@SD.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_PHI@SD.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: PHI@SD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 127.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 128.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 127.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 128.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PHI 2 - 1 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: PHI 2 - 1 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PHI wins 2-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PHI, final=PHI.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.543.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 10/54 (0.185).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/52 (0.212).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PHI wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PHI wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-1, final 2-1 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PHI wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PHI wins and win_pct agree: 10/54 = 0.185.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SD wins and win_pct agree: 11/52 = 0.212.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=73, sim=32; H: current=15, sim=5; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=9, sim=2; R: current=10, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=0; SO: current=15, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kyle Schwarber: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Bryce Harper: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=2 box=0; Alec Bohm: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Bryson Stott: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 3B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Trea Turner: AB current=11 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; J.T. Realmuto: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Adolis García: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Edmundo Sosa: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=32; H: current=17, sim=5; 2B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=1; R: current=8, sim=1; BB: current=7, sim=1; SO: current=17, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Miguel Andujar: AB current=8 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gavin Sheets: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Manny Machado: AB current=8 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Ramón Laureano: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Nick Castellanos: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Jackson Merrill: AB current=9 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.492630958557129	3.69616961479187		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	1	0.543	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	PHI	batting	73	15	0	0	2	9	10	7	15	0	0	0	0
current	PHI	pitching		5			1		1	1	6					9.0	1	0	0
current	SD	batting	69	17	1	0	0	8	8	7	17	0	0	0	0
current	SD	pitching		5			1		2	0	7					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	PHI	batting	32	5	0	1	1	2	2	0	7	0	0
simulation	PHI	pitching		5			1		1	1	6					9.0	1	33	127
simulation	SD	batting	32	5	0	0	1	1	1	1	6	0	0
simulation	SD	pitching		5			1		2	0	7					9.0	2	32	128

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	PHI		DH	Kyle Schwarber	0	10	2	0	0	1	2	2	1	3	0.200
current	PHI		1B	Bryce Harper	0	8	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	2	0.250
current	PHI		3B	Alec Bohm	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.222
current	PHI		2B	Bryson Stott	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	PHI		SS	Trea Turner	0	11	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	3	0.182
current	PHI		C	J.T. Realmuto	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.286
current	PHI		RF	Adolis García	0	7	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.143
current	PHI		LF	Edmundo Sosa	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.167
current	PHI		CF	Justin Crawford	0	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.143
current	SD		3B	Miguel Andujar	0	8	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	SD		2B	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0	9	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.333
current	SD		1B	Gavin Sheets	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	SD		DH	Manny Machado	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	SD		LF	Ramón Laureano	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.250
current	SD		SS	Xander Bogaerts	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	SD		RF	Nick Castellanos	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0.167
current	SD		CF	Jackson Merrill	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.222
current	SD		C	Freddy Fermin	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.167
simulation	PHI	1	DH	Kyle Schwarber	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	PHI	2	SS	Trea Turner	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	PHI	3	1B	Bryce Harper	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	PHI	4	3B	Alec Bohm	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	PHI	5	2B	Bryson Stott	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	PHI	6	C	J.T. Realmuto	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	PHI	7	RF	Adolis García	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	PHI	8	CF	Justin Crawford	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	PHI	9	LF	Edmundo Sosa	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	SD	1	2B	Fernando Tatis Jr.	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	SD	2	3B	Miguel Andujar	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	SD	3	1B	Gavin Sheets	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	SD	4	DH	Manny Machado	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.500
simulation	SD	5	SS	Xander Bogaerts	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	SD	6	LF	Ramón Laureano	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	SD	7	CF	Jackson Merrill	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	SD	8	RF	Nick Castellanos	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	SD	9	C	Freddy Fermin	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	PHI	1	Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	6.2	4	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	0.00	1.62	1.15
current	PHI	2	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.62	1.02
current	PHI	3	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.80	1.18
current	PHI	4	José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	13.50	6.11	1.92
current	SD	1	Walker Buehler	Starter	5.0	4	2	2	0	6	1	0	0	3.60	5.05	1.40
current	SD	2	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.28	1.10
current	SD	3	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.02	0.96
current	SD	4	Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.18	1.00
current	SD	5	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.76	0.80
simulation	PHI	1	Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	6.2	4	0	0	1	6	0	25	100	0.00	1.62	1.15
simulation	PHI	2	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	0.00	1.62	1.02
simulation	PHI	3	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	0.00	3.80	1.18
simulation	PHI	4	José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	1	3	16	13.50	6.11	1.92
simulation	SD	1	Walker Buehler	Starter	5.0	4	2	2	0	6	1	19	82	3.60	5.05	1.40
simulation	SD	2	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	4	0.00	0.76	0.80
simulation	SD	3	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	15	0.00	1.02	0.96
simulation	SD	4	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	13	0.00	4.28	1.10
simulation	SD	5	Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	14	0.00	3.18	1.00

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
PHI	Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	6.2	0	4	1	6	25	100
PHI	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	3
PHI	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	8
PHI	José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	0	0	3	16
SD	Walker Buehler	Starter	5.0	2	4	0	6	19	82
SD	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	13
SD	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15
SD	Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	14
SD	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	4

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_SEA@OAK

20260527_SEA@OAK.json • 2026-05-27

SEA 4 - OAK 3

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=35; H: current=16, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=9, sim=5; SO: current=17, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Shea Langeliers: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Carlos Cortes: AB current=6 box=3, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jonah Heim: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Henry Bolte: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1; Jeff McNeil: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=35; H: current=17, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=3; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=4; R: current=7, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=3).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SEA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: J.P. Crawford: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Julio Rodríguez: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Randy Arozarena: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=2, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Josh Naylor: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Victor Robles: 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Rob Refsnyder: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Cole Young: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Jhonny Pereda: AB current=5 box=4		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	current:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match SEA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match SEA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match SEA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=40 matches SEA BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting walks match OAK pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting home runs match OAK pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting hits match OAK pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SEA PA=38 matches OAK BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SEA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SEA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SEA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.455.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.513/0.696.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SEA 8, OAK 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SEA 4 - OAK 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SEA.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SEA.	{'winner_confidence': 0.544898, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_SEA@OAK.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.568671, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_SEA@OAK.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_SEA@OAK.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SEA@OAK.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 165.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 165.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SEA 3 - 2 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SEA 4 - 3 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SEA wins 4-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SEA, final=SEA.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.545.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 19/52 (0.365).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/52 (0.231).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SEA wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SEA wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 4-3 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SEA wins 4-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins and win_pct agree: 12/52 = 0.231.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SEA wins and win_pct agree: 19/52 = 0.365.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	current:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match SEA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match SEA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match SEA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=40 matches SEA BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting walks match OAK pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting home runs match OAK pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting hits match OAK pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SEA PA=38 matches OAK BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SEA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SEA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SEA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.545.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.455.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.513/0.696.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SEA 8, OAK 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SEA 4 - OAK 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SEA.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SEA.	{'winner_confidence': 0.544898, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_SEA@OAK.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.568671, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_SEA@OAK.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_SEA@OAK.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SEA@OAK.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 165.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 165.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SEA 3 - 2 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SEA 4 - 3 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SEA wins 4-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SEA, final=SEA.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.545.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 19/52 (0.365).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/52 (0.231).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SEA wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SEA wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 4-3 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SEA wins 4-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins and win_pct agree: 12/52 = 0.231.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SEA wins and win_pct agree: 19/52 = 0.365.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=35; H: current=16, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=9, sim=5; SO: current=17, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Shea Langeliers: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Carlos Cortes: AB current=6 box=3, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jonah Heim: AB current=7 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Henry Bolte: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1; Jeff McNeil: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=63, sim=35; H: current=17, sim=8; 2B: current=2, sim=3; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=6, sim=4; R: current=7, sim=4; BB: current=6, sim=3).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SEA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: J.P. Crawford: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Julio Rodríguez: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Randy Arozarena: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=2, 3B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Josh Naylor: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Victor Robles: 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Rob Refsnyder: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Cole Young: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Jhonny Pereda: AB current=5 box=4	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	6.488912582397461	4.114700794219971		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	2	0.545	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	4	8
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	SEA	batting	63	17	2	0	0	6	7	6	13	0	0	0	0
current	SEA	pitching		8			0		3	5	5					9.0	3	0	0
current	OAK	batting	69	16	2	0	1	8	9	9	17	0	0	0	0
current	OAK	pitching		8			1		4	3	7					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	SEA	batting	35	8	3	1	1	4	4	3	7	0	0
simulation	SEA	pitching		8			0		3	5	5					9.0	3	40	154
simulation	OAK	batting	35	8	1	0	0	3	3	5	5	0	0
simulation	OAK	pitching		8			1		4	3	7					9.0	4	38	165

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	SEA		SS	J.P. Crawford	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	SEA		CF	Julio Rodríguez	0	10	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.300
current	SEA		DH	Randy Arozarena	0	9	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.333
current	SEA		1B	Josh Naylor	0	9	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
current	SEA		RF	Victor Robles	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SEA		LF	Rob Refsnyder	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SEA		2B	Cole Young	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	SEA		C	Jhonny Pereda	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
current	SEA		3B	Colt Emerson	0	5	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.200
current	OAK		LF	Tyler Soderstrom	0	9	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	OAK		DH	Shea Langeliers	0	10	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	2	0.200
current	OAK		RF	Carlos Cortes	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.167
current	OAK		1B	Nick Kurtz	0	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	0.222
current	OAK		C	Jonah Heim	0	7	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	OAK		CF	Henry Bolte	0	7	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0.286
current	OAK		2B	Jeff McNeil	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	OAK		3B	Zack Gelof	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.250
current	OAK		SS	Darell Hernaiz	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.167
simulation	SEA	1	SS	J.P. Crawford	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	SEA	2	CF	Julio Rodríguez	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	SEA	3	DH	Randy Arozarena	4	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.667
simulation	SEA	4	1B	Josh Naylor	4	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0.667
simulation	SEA	5	LF	Rob Refsnyder	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0.250
simulation	SEA	6	RF	Victor Robles	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	SEA	7	2B	Cole Young	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	SEA	8	C	Jhonny Pereda	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	SEA	9	3B	Colt Emerson	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	OAK	1	RF	Carlos Cortes	5	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	OAK	2	1B	Nick Kurtz	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
simulation	OAK	3	DH	Shea Langeliers	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	OAK	4	LF	Tyler Soderstrom	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	OAK	5	C	Jonah Heim	4	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.667
simulation	OAK	6	CF	Henry Bolte	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.250
simulation	OAK	7	2B	Jeff McNeil	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	OAK	8	3B	Zack Gelof	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	9	SS	Darell Hernaiz	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	SEA	1	Logan Gilbert	Starter	5.2	7	3	3	4	5	0	0	0	4.76	4.04	1.11
current	SEA	2	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.79	1.31
current	SEA	3	José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.80	1.20
current	SEA	4	Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.60
current	OAK	1	Jeffrey Springs	Starter	5.1	8	4	4	0	3	1	0	0	6.75	4.11	1.17
current	OAK	2	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.84	1.66
current	OAK	3	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.14	1.05
current	OAK	4	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.44	0.68
simulation	SEA	1	Logan Gilbert	Starter	5.2	7	3	3	4	5	0	28	108	4.76	4.04	1.11
simulation	SEA	2	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	15	0.00	4.79	1.31
simulation	SEA	3	Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	15	0.00	0.00	0.60
simulation	SEA	4	José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	16	0.00	1.80	1.20
simulation	OAK	1	Jeffrey Springs	Starter	5.1	8	4	4	0	3	1	24	103	6.75	4.11	1.17
simulation	OAK	2	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	3	1	0	8	35	0.00	2.84	1.66
simulation	OAK	3	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	14	0.00	2.14	1.05
simulation	OAK	4	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	13	0.00	1.44	0.68

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
SEA	Logan Gilbert	Starter	5.2	3	7	4	5	28	108
SEA	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15
SEA	José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16
SEA	Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	1	0	5	15
OAK	Jeffrey Springs	Starter	5.1	4	8	0	3	24	103
OAK	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	3	1	8	35
OAK	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	14
OAK	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	13

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_STL@MIL

20260527_STL@MIL.json • 2026-05-27

STL 2 - MIL 5

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=74, sim=34; H: current=19, sim=10; RBI: current=11, sim=5; R: current=13, sim=5; BB: current=10, sim=2; SO: current=19, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brice Turang: AB current=9 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=2 box=0; Christian Yelich: AB current=9 box=4, 2B current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2, R current=2 box=1; William Contreras: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Jackson Chourio: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Luis Rengifo: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jake Bauers: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Garrett Mitchell: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sal Frelick: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=73, sim=32; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=1; SO: current=18, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	STL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Iván Herrera: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jordan Walker: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Nolan Gorman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; JJ Wetherholt: AB current=10 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Alec Burleson: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Masyn Winn: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pedro Pagés: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Bryan Torres: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, BB current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	STL	BATTING_REALISM	current:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	STL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting walks match STL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting home runs match STL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting hits match STL pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIL PA=36 matches STL BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:STL batting walks match MIL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:STL batting home runs match MIL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:STL batting hits match MIL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:STL batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:STL PA=33 matches MIL BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	STL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	STL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	STL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.465.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.535.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.535.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.564/0.755.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: STL 5, MIL 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: STL 2 - MIL 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.534654, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.578409, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_STL@MIL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.624426, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_STL@MIL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-06', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.5759497138479693, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260506_MIL@STL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-05', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.564402247529153, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260505_MIL@STL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-04', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.6294650968677105, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260504_MIL@STL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_STL@MIL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: STL@MIL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 145.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 128.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 128.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 145.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: STL 3 - 4 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: STL 2 - 5 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIL wins 5-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIL, final=MIL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.535.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/52 (0.173).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 19/49 (0.388).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIL wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIL wins 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-4, final 2-5 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIL wins 5-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIL wins and win_pct agree: 19/49 = 0.388.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	STL wins and win_pct agree: 9/52 = 0.173.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	STL	BATTING_REALISM	current:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	STL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting walks match STL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting home runs match STL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting hits match STL pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIL PA=36 matches STL BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:STL batting walks match MIL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:STL batting home runs match MIL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:STL batting hits match MIL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:STL batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:STL PA=33 matches MIL BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	STL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	STL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	STL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.465.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.535.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.535.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.564/0.755.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: STL 5, MIL 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: STL 2 - MIL 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.534654, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.578409, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_STL@MIL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.624426, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_STL@MIL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-06', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.5759497138479693, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260506_MIL@STL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-05', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.564402247529153, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260505_MIL@STL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-04', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.6294650968677105, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260504_MIL@STL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_STL@MIL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: STL@MIL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 145.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 128.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 128.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 145.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: STL 3 - 4 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: STL 2 - 5 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIL wins 5-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIL, final=MIL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.535.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/52 (0.173).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 19/49 (0.388).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIL wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIL wins 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-4, final 2-5 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIL wins 5-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIL wins and win_pct agree: 19/49 = 0.388.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	STL wins and win_pct agree: 9/52 = 0.173.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=74, sim=34; H: current=19, sim=10; RBI: current=11, sim=5; R: current=13, sim=5; BB: current=10, sim=2; SO: current=19, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brice Turang: AB current=9 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=2 box=0; Christian Yelich: AB current=9 box=4, 2B current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2, R current=2 box=1; William Contreras: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Jackson Chourio: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Luis Rengifo: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jake Bauers: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Garrett Mitchell: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sal Frelick: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=73, sim=32; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=8, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=1; SO: current=18, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	STL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Iván Herrera: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jordan Walker: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Nolan Gorman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; JJ Wetherholt: AB current=10 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Alec Burleson: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Masyn Winn: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pedro Pagés: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Bryan Torres: AB current=6 box=3, H current=2 box=0, BB current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.105380535125732	3.8305022716522217		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	4	0.535	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	4		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	5		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
MIL	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	5	10

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	STL	batting	73	16	2	0	1	7	8	7	18	0	0	0	0
current	STL	pitching		10			1		5	2	6					8.0	5	0	0
current	MIL	batting	74	19	3	0	1	11	13	10	19	0	0	0	0
current	MIL	pitching		5			1		2	1	5					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	STL	batting	32	5	0	0	1	2	2	1	5	0	0
simulation	STL	pitching		10			1		5	2	6					8.0	5	36	145
simulation	MIL	batting	34	10	3	0	1	5	5	2	6	0	0
simulation	MIL	pitching		5			1		2	1	5					9.0	2	33	128

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	STL		DH	Iván Herrera	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	STL		RF	Jordan Walker	0	9	3	1	1	1	2	1	2	0.333
current	STL		3B	Nolan Gorman	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.143
current	STL		2B	JJ Wetherholt	0	10	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.200
current	STL		1B	Alec Burleson	0	10	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.200
current	STL		SS	Masyn Winn	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	STL		C	Pedro Pagés	0	7	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0.143
current	STL		LF	Bryan Torres	0	6	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
current	STL		CF	Victor Scott II	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0.167
current	MIL		2B	Brice Turang	0	9	2	0	0	2	1	2	3	0.222
current	MIL		DH	Christian Yelich	0	9	3	1	0	2	1	1	2	0.333
current	MIL		C	William Contreras	0	9	3	1	0	2	2	1	2	0.333
current	MIL		LF	Jackson Chourio	0	10	3	1	0	1	1	1	3	0.300
current	MIL		3B	Luis Rengifo	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.143
current	MIL		1B	Jake Bauers	0	8	2	0	1	2	2	1	2	0.250
current	MIL		CF	Garrett Mitchell	0	7	2	0	0	1	2	1	3	0.286
current	MIL		RF	Sal Frelick	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	MIL		SS	David Hamilton	0	7	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0.143
simulation	STL	1	2B	JJ Wetherholt	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	STL	2	DH	Iván Herrera	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	STL	3	1B	Alec Burleson	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	STL	4	RF	Jordan Walker	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	STL	5	3B	Nolan Gorman	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	STL	6	SS	Masyn Winn	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	STL	7	LF	Bryan Torres	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	STL	8	C	Pedro Pagés	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	STL	9	CF	Victor Scott II	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.667
simulation	MIL	1	DH	Christian Yelich	4	4	3	2	0	1	2	0	1	0.750
simulation	MIL	2	LF	Jackson Chourio	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIL	3	2B	Brice Turang	4	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0.500
simulation	MIL	4	C	William Contreras	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	MIL	5	1B	Jake Bauers	4	4	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	0.250
simulation	MIL	6	CF	Garrett Mitchell	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	MIL	7	3B	Luis Rengifo	4	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	MIL	8	RF	Sal Frelick	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	MIL	9	SS	David Hamilton	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	STL	1	Dustin May	Starter	5.0	10	5	5	1	4	1	0	0	9.00	5.00	1.43
current	STL	2	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.92	1.22
current	STL	3	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.96	0.99
current	STL	4	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.32	1.15
current	MIL	1	Chad Patrick	Starter	5.0	4	2	2	0	3	1	0	0	3.60	2.63	1.20
current	MIL	2	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.18	1.30
current	MIL	3	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.19	1.19
current	MIL	4	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.00	1.06
simulation	STL	1	Dustin May	Starter	5.0	10	5	5	1	4	1	26	97	9.00	5.00	1.43
simulation	STL	2	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	16	0.00	2.96	0.99
simulation	STL	3	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	16	0.00	2.92	1.22
simulation	STL	4	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	16	0.00	3.32	1.15
simulation	MIL	1	Chad Patrick	Starter	5.0	4	2	2	0	3	1	19	75	3.60	2.63	1.20
simulation	MIL	2	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	16	0.00	4.19	1.19
simulation	MIL	3	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	1	0	0	7	11	0.00	3.00	1.06
simulation	MIL	4	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	26	0.00	2.18	1.30

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
STL	Dustin May	Starter	5.0	5	10	1	4	26	97
STL	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	0	4	16
STL	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	16
STL	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16
MIL	Chad Patrick	Starter	5.0	2	4	0	3	19	75
MIL	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	26
MIL	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	16
MIL	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	1	1	0	7	11

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_TB@BAL

20260527_TB@BAL.json • 2026-05-27

TB 3 - BAL 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=8; 2B: current=3, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=18, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Taylor Ward: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Adley Rutschman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=3, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Gunnar Henderson: AB current=11 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Tyler O'Neill: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Weston Wilson: H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Jeremiah Jackson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=35; H: current=17, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TB current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Chandler Simpson: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=1, R current=1 box=0; Yandy Díaz: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Junior Caminero: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jonathan Aranda: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Richie Palacios: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Ryan Vilade: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Cedric Mullins: AB current=8 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Carson Williams: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TB	BATTING_REALISM	current:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TB	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match TB pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match TB pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match TB pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=37 matches TB BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TB batting walks match BAL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TB batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TB batting hits match BAL pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TB batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TB PA=39 matches BAL BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TB current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TB current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TB hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.563.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.563.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.437.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.524/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TB 8, BAL 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TB 3 - BAL 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TB.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TB.	{'winner_confidence': 0.563176, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'BAL', 'confidence': 0.601361, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_TB@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_TB@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.553085, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_BAL@TB.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.594673, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_BAL@TB.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.589968, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_BAL@TB.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_TB@BAL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TB@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 174.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 174.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TB 3 - 2 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TB 3 - 1 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TB wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TB, final=TB.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.563.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/51 (0.294).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 10/53 (0.189).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TB wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TB wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 3-1 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TB wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 10/53 = 0.189.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TB wins and win_pct agree: 15/51 = 0.294.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TB	BATTING_REALISM	current:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TB	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match TB pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match TB pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match TB pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=37 matches TB BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TB batting walks match BAL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TB batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TB batting hits match BAL pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TB batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TB PA=39 matches BAL BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TB current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TB current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TB hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.563.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.563.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.437.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.524/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TB 8, BAL 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TB 3 - BAL 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TB.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TB.	{'winner_confidence': 0.563176, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'BAL', 'confidence': 0.601361, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_TB@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_TB@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.553085, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_BAL@TB.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.594673, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_BAL@TB.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.589968, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_BAL@TB.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_TB@BAL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TB@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 174.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 174.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TB 3 - 2 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TB 3 - 1 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TB wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TB, final=TB.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.563.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/51 (0.294).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 10/53 (0.189).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TB wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TB wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 3-1 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TB wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 10/53 = 0.189.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TB wins and win_pct agree: 15/51 = 0.294.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=69, sim=35; H: current=14, sim=8; 2B: current=3, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=1; R: current=9, sim=1; BB: current=8, sim=2; SO: current=18, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Taylor Ward: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Adley Rutschman: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=3, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Gunnar Henderson: AB current=11 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Pete Alonso: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Tyler O'Neill: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: AB current=7 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Weston Wilson: H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Jeremiah Jackson: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=35; H: current=17, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TB current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Chandler Simpson: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=1, R current=1 box=0; Yandy Díaz: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Junior Caminero: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jonathan Aranda: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Richie Palacios: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Ryan Vilade: AB current=5 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Cedric Mullins: AB current=8 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Carson Williams: AB current=6 box=4, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	6.122642517089844	4.4502410888671875		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	2	0.563	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	8
BAL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	TB	batting	66	17	0	0	8	8	6	15	0	0	0	0
current	TB	pitching		8				1	2	7					9.0	1	0	0
current	BAL	batting	69	14	3	0	7	9	8	18	0	0	0	0
current	BAL	pitching		8				3	4	8					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	TB	batting	35	8	1	0	3	3	4	8	0	0
simulation	TB	pitching		8				1	2	7					9.0	1	37	161
simulation	BAL	batting	35	8	1	0	1	1	2	7	0	0
simulation	BAL	pitching		8				3	4	8					9.0	3	39	174

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	TB		LF	Chandler Simpson	0	10	3	0	1	0	0	1	0.300
current	TB		DH	Yandy Díaz	0	9	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
current	TB		3B	Junior Caminero	0	9	2	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	TB		1B	Jonathan Aranda	0	9	3	0	1	2	1	2	0.333
current	TB		2B	Richie Palacios	0	6	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.167
current	TB		RF	Ryan Vilade	0	5	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.400
current	TB		CF	Cedric Mullins	0	8	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.125
current	TB		SS	Carson Williams	0	6	1	0	1	1	0	2	0.167
current	TB		C	Hunter Feduccia	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
current	BAL		LF	Taylor Ward	0	9	2	1	1	1	2	2	0.222
current	BAL		C	Adley Rutschman	0	9	2	1	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	BAL		SS	Gunnar Henderson	0	11	2	0	1	1	1	3	0.182
current	BAL		DH	Pete Alonso	0	9	2	1	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	BAL		RF	Tyler O'Neill	0	5	1	0	1	0	1	2	0.200
current	BAL		1B	Coby Mayo	0	7	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.143
current	BAL		3B	Weston Wilson	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	BAL		2B	Jeremiah Jackson	0	8	2	0	1	1	0	2	0.250
current	BAL		CF	Blaze Alexander	0	7	1	0	1	1	0	2	0.143
simulation	TB	1	LF	Chandler Simpson	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
simulation	TB	2	3B	Junior Caminero	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	0.250
simulation	TB	3	1B	Jonathan Aranda	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	TB	4	DH	Yandy Díaz	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	TB	5	2B	Richie Palacios	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	TB	6	RF	Ryan Vilade	4	4	2	1	1	1	0	0	0.500
simulation	TB	7	CF	Cedric Mullins	4	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.000
simulation	TB	8	SS	Carson Williams	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	TB	9	C	Hunter Feduccia	4	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.000
simulation	BAL	1	LF	Taylor Ward	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	2	SS	Gunnar Henderson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	BAL	3	C	Adley Rutschman	4	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.750
simulation	BAL	4	DH	Pete Alonso	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	BAL	5	RF	Tyler O'Neill	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	BAL	6	1B	Coby Mayo	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	BAL	7	2B	Jeremiah Jackson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	BAL	8	3B	Weston Wilson	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	2	0.500
simulation	BAL	9	CF	Blaze Alexander	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	TB	1	Steven Matz	Starter	5.0	3	1	1	2	5	0	0	1.80	3.70	1.11
current	TB	2	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	2.89	1.07
current	TB	3	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	2.42	0.99
current	TB	4	Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.92	0.81
current	BAL	1	Trey Gibson	Starter	2.1	4	1	1	4	4	0	0	3.86
current	BAL	3	Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	6.75	3.20	1.14
current	BAL	4	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.01	1.05
current	BAL	5	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.77	0.64
current	BAL	6	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	1.40	0.52
current	BAL	7	Keegan Akin	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	9.00	12.66	2.06
simulation	TB	1	Steven Matz	Starter	5.0	3	1	1	2	5	20	95	1.80	3.70	1.11
simulation	TB	2	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	5	20	0.00	2.42	0.99
simulation	TB	3	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	6	23	0.00	2.89	1.07
simulation	TB	4	Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	6	23	0.00	2.92	0.81
simulation	BAL	1	Trey Gibson	Starter	2.1	4	1	1	4	4	15	69	3.86
simulation	BAL	2	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	5	21	0.00	0.77	0.64
simulation	BAL	3	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	6	32	0.00	4.01	1.05
simulation	BAL	4	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	13	0.00	1.40	0.52
simulation	BAL	5	Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	6	23	6.75	3.20	1.14
simulation	BAL	6	Keegan Akin	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	4	16	9.00	12.66	2.06

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
TB	Steven Matz	Starter	5.0	1	3	2	5	20	95
TB	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	2	0	1	6	23
TB	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	0	1	5	20
TB	Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	2	0	0	6	23
BAL	Trey Gibson	Starter	2.1	1	4	4	4	15	69
BAL	Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	2	0	1	6	23
BAL	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	1	0	0	6	32
BAL	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	5	21
BAL	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	13
BAL	Keegan Akin	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	2	4	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260527_WAS@CLE

20260527_WAS@CLE.json • 2026-05-27

WAS 2 - CLE 3

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 1ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 91INFO 7

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Batting Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	WAS	current:WAS has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	WAS		BATTING_REALISM	current:WAS has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	current:WAS has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=70, sim=35; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=3; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; BB: current=10, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: José Ramírez: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Travis Bazzana: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, BB current=2 box=0; Kyle Manzardo: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Daniel Schneemann: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Angel Martínez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Hedges: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Steven Kwan: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=71, sim=35; H: current=17, sim=5; 2B: current=3, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=11, sim=2; R: current=12, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	WAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: James Wood: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; CJ Abrams: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Luis García Jr.: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Curtis Mead: AB current=7 box=5, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Daylen Lile: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jose Fernandez: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Jorbit Vivas: AB current=5 box=4, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Drew Millas: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match WAS pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match WAS pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match WAS pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=39 matches WAS BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting walks match CLE pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting home runs match CLE pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting hits match CLE pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:WAS PA=39 matches CLE BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	WAS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	WAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.465.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.535.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.535.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.744/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 10 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: WAS 5, CLE 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: WAS 2 - CLE 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CLE.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CLE.	{'winner_confidence': 0.535378, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'CLE', 'confidence': 0.545799, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_WAS@CLE.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'CLE', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_WAS@CLE.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_WAS@CLE.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: WAS@CLE.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: WAS 1 - 3 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: WAS 2 - 3 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CLE wins 3-2 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CLE, final=CLE.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.535.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/56 (0.286).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 19/54 (0.352).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CLE wins 3-2 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CLE wins 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 2-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CLE wins 3-2 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins and win_pct agree: 19/54 = 0.352.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	WAS wins and win_pct agree: 16/56 = 0.286.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match WAS pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match WAS pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match WAS pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=39 matches WAS BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting walks match CLE pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting home runs match CLE pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting hits match CLE pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:WAS PA=39 matches CLE BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	WAS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	WAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.465.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.535.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.535.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.744/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 10 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: WAS 5, CLE 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: WAS 2 - CLE 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CLE.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CLE.	{'winner_confidence': 0.535378, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-26', 'predicted_team': 'CLE', 'confidence': 0.545799, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260526_WAS@CLE.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-25', 'predicted_team': 'CLE', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260525_WAS@CLE.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-27.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260527_WAS@CLE.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: WAS@CLE.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: WAS 1 - 3 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: WAS 2 - 3 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CLE wins 3-2 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CLE, final=CLE.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.535.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/56 (0.286).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 19/54 (0.352).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CLE wins 3-2 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CLE wins 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 2-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CLE wins 3-2 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins and win_pct agree: 19/54 = 0.352.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	WAS wins and win_pct agree: 16/56 = 0.286.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=70, sim=35; H: current=16, sim=5; 2B: current=2, sim=3; RBI: current=8, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; BB: current=10, sim=4; SO: current=13, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: José Ramírez: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Travis Bazzana: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, BB current=2 box=0; Kyle Manzardo: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Daniel Schneemann: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Angel Martínez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Austin Hedges: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Steven Kwan: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=71, sim=35; H: current=17, sim=5; 2B: current=3, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=11, sim=2; R: current=12, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	WAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: James Wood: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; CJ Abrams: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Luis García Jr.: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Curtis Mead: AB current=7 box=5, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Daylen Lile: AB current=10 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jose Fernandez: AB current=7 box=2, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Jorbit Vivas: AB current=5 box=4, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Drew Millas: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.0117387771606445	4.071465015411377		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	2	0.535	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
CLE	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	WAS	batting	71	17	3	0	2	11	12	6	15	0	0	0	0
current	WAS	pitching		5			0		3	4	7					10.0	3	0	0
current	CLE	batting	70	16	2	0	0	8	10	10	13	0	0	0	0
current	CLE	pitching		5			1		2	4	8					10.0	2	0	0
simulation	WAS	batting	35	5	1	0	1	2	2	4	8	0	0
simulation	WAS	pitching		5			0		3	4	7					10.0	3	39	161
simulation	CLE	batting	35	5	3	0	0	3	3	4	7	0	0
simulation	CLE	pitching		5			1		2	4	8					10.0	2	39	153

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	WAS		RF	James Wood	0	10	3	1	1	3	2	2	3	0.300
current	WAS		SS	CJ Abrams	0	9	3	0	1	1	2	1	2	0.333
current	WAS		1B	Luis García Jr.	0	8	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	0.250
current	WAS		3B	Curtis Mead	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.143
current	WAS		LF	Daylen Lile	0	10	2	1	0	2	1	1	2	0.200
current	WAS		DH	Jose Fernandez	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.286
current	WAS		2B	Jorbit Vivas	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.200
current	WAS		C	Drew Millas	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.143
current	WAS		CF	Jacob Young	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	CLE		DH	José Ramírez	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.222
current	CLE		2B	Travis Bazzana	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	2	1	0.250
current	CLE		1B	Kyle Manzardo	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.143
current	CLE		RF	Chase DeLauter	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.222
current	CLE		3B	Daniel Schneemann	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	CLE		LF	Angel Martínez	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.250
current	CLE		C	Austin Hedges	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.167
current	CLE		CF	Steven Kwan	0	9	2	0	0	2	1	2	1	0.222
current	CLE		SS	Brayan Rocchio	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
simulation	WAS	1	RF	James Wood	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	WAS	2	1B	Luis García Jr.	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	WAS	3	3B	Curtis Mead	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	WAS	4	SS	CJ Abrams	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	WAS	5	LF	Daylen Lile	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	WAS	6	DH	Jose Fernandez	4	2	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	0.500
simulation	WAS	7	2B	Jorbit Vivas	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	WAS	8	C	Drew Millas	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	WAS	9	CF	Jacob Young	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	CLE	1	2B	Travis Bazzana	5	5	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.200
simulation	CLE	2	DH	José Ramírez	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0.000
simulation	CLE	3	RF	Chase DeLauter	5	5	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.200
simulation	CLE	4	1B	Kyle Manzardo	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	CLE	5	LF	Angel Martínez	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	CLE	6	3B	Daniel Schneemann	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	CLE	7	CF	Steven Kwan	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	8	C	Austin Hedges	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	CLE	9	SS	Brayan Rocchio	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	WAS	1	PJ Poulin	Starter	4.1	3	2	2	3	5	0	0	0	4.15	3.42	1.48
current	WAS	2	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.83	1.03
current	WAS	3	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.98	1.48
current	WAS	4	Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.35	1.57
current	WAS	5	Mitchell Parker	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	5.33	1.19
current	WAS	7	Clayton Beeter	Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	6.75
current	CLE	1	Gavin Williams	Starter	6.2	4	2	2	3	7	1	0	0	2.70	3.25	1.11
current	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.45	1.05
current	CLE	3	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.05	1.27
current	CLE	4	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.35	1.20
simulation	WAS	1	PJ Poulin	Starter	4.1	3	2	2	3	5	0	19	76	4.15	3.42	1.48
simulation	WAS	2	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	20	0.00	3.98	1.48
simulation	WAS	3	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	5	0.00	2.83	1.03
simulation	WAS	4	Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	16	0.00	2.35	1.57
simulation	WAS	5	Mitchell Parker	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	24	0.00	5.33	1.19
simulation	WAS	6	Clayton Beeter	Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	0	5	20	6.75	2.92	1.14
simulation	CLE	1	Gavin Williams	Starter	6.2	4	2	2	3	7	1	27	108	2.70	3.25	1.11
simulation	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	2.45	1.05
simulation	CLE	3	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	16	0.00	4.05	1.27
simulation	CLE	4	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	12	0.00	1.35	1.20

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
WAS	PJ Poulin	Starter	4.1	2	3	3	5	19	76
WAS	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	1	0	5	5
WAS	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	0	0	5	20
WAS	Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	16
WAS	Mitchell Parker	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	24
WAS	Clayton Beeter	Reliever	1.1	1	1	0	0	5	20
CLE	Gavin Williams	Starter	6.2	2	4	3	7	27	108
CLE	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	17
CLE	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
CLE	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	0	4	12

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	critical	1	3	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	0	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	0	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	0	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	0	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	0	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	0	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.