MLB JSON Audit Report

20260524_CHW@SF

20260524_CHW@SF.json • 2026-05-24

CHW 2 - SF 4

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=36; H: current=8, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=3; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=4, sim=2; R: current=4, sim=2; SO: current=10, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Randal Grichuk: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Miguel Vargas: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Chase Meidroth: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Munetaka Murakami: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Colson Montgomery: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Derek Hill: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Edgar Quero: AB current=4 box=2, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=2; Tristan Peters: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=36, sim=33; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=4; R: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=8, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Luis Arraez: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Casey Schmitt: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Rafael Devers: SO current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Matt Chapman: R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Victor Bericoto: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0; Daniel Susac: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jesus Rodriguez: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SF	BATTING_REALISM	current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SF	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting walks match SF pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting home runs match SF pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting hits match SF pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHW PA=38 matches SF BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SF batting walks match CHW pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SF batting home runs match CHW pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SF batting hits match CHW pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SF batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SF PA=35 matches CHW BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHW current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SF current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.452/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CHW 9, SF 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CHW 2 - SF 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SF.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SF.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'CHW', 'confidence': 0.599771, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_CHW@SF.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'SF', 'confidence': 0.569626, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_CHW@SF.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_CHW@SF.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CHW@SF.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 142.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 142.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHW 2 - 3 SF.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CHW 2 - 4 SF.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SF wins 4-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SF, final=SF.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/50 (0.280).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 10/51 (0.196).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SF wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SF wins 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 2-4 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SF wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHW wins and win_pct agree: 14/50 = 0.280.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SF wins and win_pct agree: 10/51 = 0.196.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SF	BATTING_REALISM	current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SF	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting walks match SF pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting home runs match SF pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting hits match SF pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHW PA=38 matches SF BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SF batting walks match CHW pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SF batting home runs match CHW pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SF batting hits match CHW pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SF batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SF PA=35 matches CHW BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHW current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHW hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SF current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SF hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.452/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CHW 9, SF 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CHW 2 - SF 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SF.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SF.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'CHW', 'confidence': 0.599771, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_CHW@SF.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'SF', 'confidence': 0.569626, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_CHW@SF.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_CHW@SF.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CHW@SF.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 142.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 142.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHW 2 - 3 SF.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CHW 2 - 4 SF.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SF wins 4-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SF, final=SF.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/50 (0.280).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 10/51 (0.196).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SF wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SF wins 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 2-4 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SF wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHW wins and win_pct agree: 14/50 = 0.280.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SF wins and win_pct agree: 10/51 = 0.196.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=36; H: current=8, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=3; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=4, sim=2; R: current=4, sim=2; SO: current=10, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHW current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Randal Grichuk: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Miguel Vargas: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Chase Meidroth: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Munetaka Murakami: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Colson Montgomery: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Derek Hill: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Edgar Quero: AB current=4 box=2, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=2; Tristan Peters: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=36, sim=33; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=4; R: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=8, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SF current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Luis Arraez: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Casey Schmitt: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Rafael Devers: SO current=1 box=0; Willy Adames: H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Matt Chapman: R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Victor Bericoto: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0; Daniel Susac: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jesus Rodriguez: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.067587852478027	5.974824905395508		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	7		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	3	0.510	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	4		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	9
SF	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	4	9

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	CHW	batting	32	8	0	0	0	4	4	2	10	0	0	0	0
current	CHW	pitching		9			1		4	2	5					8.0	4	0	0
current	SF	batting	36	9	0	0	0	3	2	0	8	0	0	0	0
current	SF	pitching		9			1		2	2	7					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	CHW	batting	36	9	3	0	1	2	2	2	7	0	0
simulation	CHW	pitching		9			1		4	2	5					8.0	4	35	142
simulation	SF	batting	33	9	1	0	1	4	4	2	5	0	0
simulation	SF	pitching		9			1		2	2	7					9.0	2	38	157

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	CHW		LF	Randal Grichuk	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		1B	Miguel Vargas	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	CHW		2B	Chase Meidroth	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	CHW		DH	Munetaka Murakami	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	CHW		3B	Colson Montgomery	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	CHW		RF	Derek Hill	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		C	Edgar Quero	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
current	CHW		CF	Tristan Peters	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		SS	Luisangel Acuña	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	SF		2B	Luis Arraez	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
current	SF		1B	Casey Schmitt	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	SF		DH	Rafael Devers	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SF		SS	Willy Adames	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SF		3B	Matt Chapman	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	SF		RF	Victor Bericoto	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SF		C	Daniel Susac	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
current	SF		LF	Jesus Rodriguez	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SF		CF	Harrison Bader	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	CHW	1	2B	Chase Meidroth	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	CHW	2	DH	Munetaka Murakami	5	5	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.400
simulation	CHW	3	1B	Miguel Vargas	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	CHW	4	LF	Randal Grichuk	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.750
simulation	CHW	5	3B	Colson Montgomery	4	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	CHW	6	C	Edgar Quero	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0.000
simulation	CHW	7	RF	Derek Hill	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	CHW	8	CF	Tristan Peters	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	CHW	9	SS	Luisangel Acuña	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	SF	1	SS	Willy Adames	4	4	3	1	0	1	1	0	0	0.750
simulation	SF	2	2B	Luis Arraez	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	SF	3	1B	Casey Schmitt	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	SF	4	DH	Rafael Devers	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	SF	5	3B	Matt Chapman	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	SF	6	C	Daniel Susac	4	3	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.667
simulation	SF	7	LF	Jesus Rodriguez	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	SF	8	CF	Harrison Bader	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	SF	9	RF	Victor Bericoto	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	CHW	1	Noah Schultz	Starter	6.0	3	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	1.50	4.93	1.30
current	CHW	3	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.42	1.26
current	CHW	5	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	0.2	4	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	40.50	13.50	3.00
current	SF	1	Robbie Ray	Starter	5.1	7	2	2	1	4	1	0	0	3.38	4.28	1.32
current	SF	2	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.53	1.12
current	SF	3	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.05	1.50
current	SF	4	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.11	0.80
current	SF	5	Joel Peguero	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.00	0.78
simulation	CHW	1	Noah Schultz	Starter	6.0	3	1	1	1	3	1	22	95	1.50	4.93	1.30
simulation	CHW	2	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	0.2	4	3	3	1	1	0	7	24	40.50	13.50	3.00
simulation	CHW	3	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	0	6	23	0.00	1.42	1.26
simulation	SF	1	Robbie Ray	Starter	5.1	7	2	2	1	4	1	24	95	3.38	4.28	1.32
simulation	SF	2	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	19	0.00	2.53	1.12
simulation	SF	3	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	15	0.00	2.11	0.80
simulation	SF	4	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	0	5	13	0.00	4.05	1.50
simulation	SF	5	Joel Peguero	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	15	0.00	1.00	0.78

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
CHW	Noah Schultz	Starter	6.0	1	3	1	3	22	95
CHW	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	2	0	1	6	23
CHW	Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	0.2	3	4	1	1	7	24
SF	Robbie Ray	Starter	5.1	2	7	1	4	24	95
SF	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	19
SF	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	5	13
SF	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15
SF	Joel Peguero	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	15

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_CLE@PHI

20260524_CLE@PHI.json • 2026-05-24

CLE 4 - PHI 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=33; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=5, sim=8; SO: current=8, sim=4; SF: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: José Ramírez: AB current=4 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Travis Bazzana: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2; Rhys Hoskins: AB current=3 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2; Daniel Schneemann: AB current=4 box=5, SO current=1 box=0; Steven Kwan: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SF current=0 box=1; David Fry: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=2; Austin Hedges: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=4; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=1; R: current=4, sim=1; BB: current=2, sim=3; SO: current=10, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kyle Schwarber: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Bryce Harper: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Alec Bohm: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Trea Turner: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; J.T. Realmuto: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Bryson Stott: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Adolis García: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Edmundo Sosa: SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match PHI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match PHI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=43 matches PHI BF=43.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting walks match CLE pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting home runs match CLE pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting hits match CLE pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PHI PA=34 matches CLE BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PHI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.574.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.574.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.426.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.537/0.724.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CLE 7, PHI 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CLE 4 - PHI 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CLE.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CLE.	{'winner_confidence': 0.574399, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.549551, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_CLE@PHI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.532781, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_CLE@PHI.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_CLE@PHI.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CLE@PHI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 179.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 179.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CLE 2 - 1 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CLE 4 - 1 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CLE wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CLE, final=CLE.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.574.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 22/52 (0.423).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/52 (0.212).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CLE wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CLE wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-1, final 4-1 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CLE wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins and win_pct agree: 22/52 = 0.423.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PHI wins and win_pct agree: 11/52 = 0.212.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match PHI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match PHI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=43 matches PHI BF=43.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting walks match CLE pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting home runs match CLE pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting hits match CLE pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PHI PA=34 matches CLE BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PHI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PHI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.574.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.574.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.426.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.537/0.724.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CLE 7, PHI 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CLE 4 - PHI 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CLE.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CLE.	{'winner_confidence': 0.574399, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.549551, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_CLE@PHI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'PHI', 'confidence': 0.532781, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_CLE@PHI.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_CLE@PHI.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CLE@PHI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 150.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 179.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 150.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 179.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CLE 2 - 1 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CLE 4 - 1 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CLE wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CLE, final=CLE.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.574.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 22/52 (0.423).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 11/52 (0.212).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CLE wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CLE wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-1, final 4-1 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CLE wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins and win_pct agree: 22/52 = 0.423.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PHI wins and win_pct agree: 11/52 = 0.212.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=33; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=5, sim=8; SO: current=8, sim=4; SF: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: José Ramírez: AB current=4 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Travis Bazzana: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=2; Rhys Hoskins: AB current=3 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2; Daniel Schneemann: AB current=4 box=5, SO current=1 box=0; Steven Kwan: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SF current=0 box=1; David Fry: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=2; Austin Hedges: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=4; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=1; R: current=4, sim=1; BB: current=2, sim=3; SO: current=10, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PHI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kyle Schwarber: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Bryce Harper: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Alec Bohm: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Trea Turner: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; J.T. Realmuto: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=0; Bryson Stott: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Adolis García: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Edmundo Sosa: SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.6346147060394287	3.5210933685302734		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	3		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	1	0.574	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	7
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	CLE	batting	32	9	0	0	0	2	4	5	8	0	0	0	0
current	CLE	pitching		4			1		1	3	6					9.0	1	0	0
current	PHI	batting	34	9	0	0	0	2	4	2	10	0	0	0	0
current	PHI	pitching		7			1		4	8	4					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	CLE	batting	33	7	2	0	1	4	4	8	4	1	1
simulation	CLE	pitching		4			1		1	3	6					9.0	1	34	150
simulation	PHI	batting	31	4	0	0	1	1	1	3	6	0	0
simulation	PHI	pitching		7			1		4	8	4					9.0	4	43	179

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	CLE		DH	José Ramírez	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	CLE		RF	Chase DeLauter	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	CLE		2B	Travis Bazzana	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	CLE		1B	Rhys Hoskins	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.333
current	CLE		3B	Daniel Schneemann	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	CLE		CF	Steven Kwan	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	CLE		LF	David Fry	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	CLE		C	Austin Hedges	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	CLE		SS	Brayan Rocchio	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.333
current	PHI		DH	Kyle Schwarber	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	PHI		1B	Bryce Harper	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	PHI		3B	Alec Bohm	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	PHI		SS	Trea Turner	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	PHI		C	J.T. Realmuto	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	PHI		2B	Bryson Stott	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	PHI		RF	Adolis García	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	PHI		LF	Edmundo Sosa	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	PHI		CF	Brandon Marsh	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	CLE	1	2B	Travis Bazzana	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	2	DH	José Ramírez	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	CLE	3	RF	Chase DeLauter	5	3	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.667
simulation	CLE	4	1B	Rhys Hoskins	5	4	1	0	1	1	2	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	CLE	5	3B	Daniel Schneemann	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	CLE	6	LF	David Fry	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	7	CF	Steven Kwan	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	CLE	8	C	Austin Hedges	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	9	SS	Brayan Rocchio	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	PHI	1	SS	Trea Turner	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	PHI	2	DH	Kyle Schwarber	4	3	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0.667
simulation	PHI	3	1B	Bryce Harper	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	PHI	4	3B	Alec Bohm	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	PHI	5	C	J.T. Realmuto	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	PHI	6	2B	Bryson Stott	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	PHI	7	RF	Adolis García	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	PHI	8	LF	Edmundo Sosa	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	PHI	9	CF	Brandon Marsh	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	CLE	1	Parker Messick	Starter	6.0	2	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	0.00	2.45	1.02
current	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.55	1.09
current	CLE	3	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.50	1.42
current	CLE	4	Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	13.50	1.71	0.95
current	PHI	1	Andrew Painter	Starter	5.0	6	3	3	4	0	0	0	0	5.40	5.77	1.49
current	PHI	2	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.00	3.74	1.11
current	PHI	3	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.84	1.09
current	PHI	4	José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	6.11	1.92
current	PHI	5	Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	13.50	2.45	1.15
simulation	CLE	1	Parker Messick	Starter	6.0	2	0	0	3	6	0	23	104	0.00	2.45	1.02
simulation	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	20	0.00	2.55	1.09
simulation	CLE	3	Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	1	3	13	13.50	1.71	0.95
simulation	CLE	4	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	13	0.00	4.50	1.42
simulation	PHI	1	Andrew Painter	Starter	5.0	6	3	3	4	0	0	25	101	5.40	5.77	1.49
simulation	PHI	2	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	3	0	0	8	33	0.00	1.84	1.09
simulation	PHI	3	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	17	0.00	3.74	1.11
simulation	PHI	4	José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	16	0.00	6.11	1.92
simulation	PHI	5	Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	1	3	12	13.50	2.45	1.15

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
CLE	Parker Messick	Starter	6.0	0	2	3	6	23	104
CLE	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	0	0	5	20
CLE	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	13
CLE	Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	0	0	3	13
PHI	Andrew Painter	Starter	5.0	3	6	4	0	25	101
PHI	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	2	4	17
PHI	Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	3	0	8	33
PHI	José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	2	3	16
PHI	Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	0	0	3	12

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_COL@ARI

20260524_COL@ARI.json • 2026-05-24

COL 2 - ARI 5

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (H: current=9, sim=10; 3B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=6, sim=5; R: current=7, sim=5; BB: current=2, sim=5; SF: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ketel Marte: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=3, 3B current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0; Nolan Arenado: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Geraldo Perdomo: H current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=0 box=1; Corbin Carroll: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Aramis Garcia: H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1; Tommy La Stella: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=3, HR current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, SF current=0 box=1; Ryan Waldschmidt: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=31, sim=32; H: current=6, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=1, sim=2; R: current=0, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=8, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	COL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: TJ Rumfield: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Tyler Freeman: SO current=1 box=2; Jake McCarthy: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Sterlin Thompson: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=0 box=1; Troy Johnston: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Edouard Julien: H current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Kyle Karros: BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	COL	BATTING_REALISM	current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	COL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match COL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match COL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match COL pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=39 matches COL BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:COL batting walks match ARI pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:COL batting home runs match ARI pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:COL batting hits match ARI pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:COL batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:COL PA=36 matches ARI BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	COL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	COL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	COL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.451.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.549.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.549.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.452/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: COL 5, ARI 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: COL 2 - ARI 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ARI.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ARI.	{'winner_confidence': 0.549297, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 3, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_COL@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.596417, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_COL@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-21', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.596417, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260521_COL@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-17', 'predicted_team': 'COL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260517_ARI@COL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-16', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.588131, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260516_ARI@COL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_COL@ARI.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: COL@ARI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 184.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 184.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: COL 3 - 4 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: COL 2 - 5 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ARI wins 5-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ARI, final=ARI.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.549.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 7/51 (0.137).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 18/51 (0.353).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ARI wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ARI wins 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-4, final 2-5 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ARI wins 5-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins and win_pct agree: 18/51 = 0.353.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	COL wins and win_pct agree: 7/51 = 0.137.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	COL	BATTING_REALISM	current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	COL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match COL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match COL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match COL pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=39 matches COL BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:COL batting walks match ARI pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:COL batting home runs match ARI pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:COL batting hits match ARI pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:COL batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:COL PA=36 matches ARI BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	COL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	COL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	COL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.451.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.549.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.549.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.452/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: COL 5, ARI 10.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: COL 2 - ARI 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ARI.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ARI.	{'winner_confidence': 0.549297, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 3, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_COL@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.596417, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_COL@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-21', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.596417, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260521_COL@ARI.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-17', 'predicted_team': 'COL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260517_ARI@COL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-16', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.588131, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260516_ARI@COL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_COL@ARI.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: COL@ARI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 184.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 184.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: COL 3 - 4 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: COL 2 - 5 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ARI wins 5-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ARI, final=ARI.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.549.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 7/51 (0.137).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 18/51 (0.353).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ARI wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ARI wins 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-4, final 2-5 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ARI wins 5-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins and win_pct agree: 18/51 = 0.353.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	COL wins and win_pct agree: 7/51 = 0.137.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (H: current=9, sim=10; 3B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=6, sim=5; R: current=7, sim=5; BB: current=2, sim=5; SF: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ketel Marte: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=3, 3B current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0; Nolan Arenado: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Geraldo Perdomo: H current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=0 box=1; Corbin Carroll: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Aramis Garcia: H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1; Tommy La Stella: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=3, HR current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=2; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, SF current=0 box=1; Ryan Waldschmidt: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=31, sim=32; H: current=6, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=1, sim=2; R: current=0, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=8, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	COL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: TJ Rumfield: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Tyler Freeman: SO current=1 box=2; Jake McCarthy: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Sterlin Thompson: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=0 box=1; Troy Johnston: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Edouard Julien: H current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Kyle Karros: BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	0	0		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	0	0		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	4	0.549	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	4		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	5		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
ARI	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	5	10

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	COL	batting	31	6	0	0	0	1	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
current	COL	pitching		10			3		5	5	7					8.0	5	0	0
current	ARI	batting	33	9	0	0	0	6	7	2	7	0	0	0	0
current	ARI	pitching		5			0		2	3	7					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	COL	batting	32	5	2	0	0	2	2	3	7	0	1
simulation	COL	pitching		10			3		5	5	7					8.0	5	39	184
simulation	ARI	batting	33	10	0	2	3	5	5	5	7	1	0
simulation	ARI	pitching		5			0		2	3	7					9.0	2	36	143

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	COL		1B	TJ Rumfield	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	COL		RF	Tyler Freeman	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	COL		CF	Jake McCarthy	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	COL		DH	Sterlin Thompson	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
current	COL		LF	Troy Johnston	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	COL		SS	Ezequiel Tovar	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	COL		2B	Edouard Julien	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	COL		3B	Kyle Karros	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	COL		C	Brett Sullivan	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	ARI		DH	Ketel Marte	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	ARI		3B	Nolan Arenado	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	ARI		SS	Geraldo Perdomo	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
current	ARI		RF	Corbin Carroll	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	ARI		C	Aramis Garcia	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	ARI		LF	Tommy La Stella	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	ARI		2B	Ildemaro Vargas	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
current	ARI		CF	Ryan Waldschmidt	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	ARI		1B	Jose Fernandez	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	COL	1	CF	Jake McCarthy	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	COL	2	RF	Tyler Freeman	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	COL	3	1B	TJ Rumfield	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	COL	4	LF	Troy Johnston	4	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	COL	5	SS	Ezequiel Tovar	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	COL	6	DH	Sterlin Thompson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	COL	7	2B	Edouard Julien	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	COL	8	3B	Kyle Karros	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	COL	9	C	Brett Sullivan	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	1	DH	Ketel Marte	5	5	3	0	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.600
simulation	ARI	2	RF	Corbin Carroll	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	3	SS	Geraldo Perdomo	5	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	4	3B	Nolan Arenado	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	5	2B	Ildemaro Vargas	4	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.667
simulation	ARI	6	CF	Ryan Waldschmidt	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	7	1B	Jose Fernandez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	8	C	Aramis Garcia	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	ARI	9	LF	Tommy La Stella	4	3	3	0	0	2	1	2	1	0	0	1.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	COL	1	Jose Quintana	Starter	5.0	5	2	2	2	5	1	0	0	3.60	4.08	1.41
current	COL	2	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.2	2	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	10.80	1.12	0.78
current	COL	3	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	9.00	2.84	1.37
current	COL	5	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.07	1.56
current	ARI	1	Ryne Nelson	Starter	5.1	4	2	2	3	5	0	0	0	3.38	5.19	1.19
current	ARI	2	Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.43
current	ARI	3	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	10.80	2.40
current	ARI	5	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
current	ARI	6	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	108.00	9.00
simulation	COL	1	Jose Quintana	Starter	5.0	5	2	2	2	5	1	22	98	3.60	4.08	1.41
simulation	COL	2	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.2	2	2	2	1	0	1	8	43	10.80	1.12	0.78
simulation	COL	3	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	20	0.00	4.07	1.56
simulation	COL	4	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	1	6	23	9.00	2.84	1.37
simulation	ARI	1	Ryne Nelson	Starter	5.1	4	2	2	3	5	0	23	91	3.38	5.19	1.19
simulation	ARI	2	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	16	0.00	0.00	0.00
simulation	ARI	3	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	4	0.00	10.80	2.40
simulation	ARI	4	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	16	0.00	108.00	9.00
simulation	ARI	5	Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	16	0.00	0.00	0.43

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
COL	Jose Quintana	Starter	5.0	2	5	2	5	22	98
COL	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.2	2	2	1	0	8	43
COL	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	1	6	23
COL	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	1	1	1	3	20
ARI	Ryne Nelson	Starter	5.1	2	4	3	5	23	91
ARI	Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	16
ARI	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	4	4
ARI	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
ARI	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_DET@BAL

20260524_DET@BAL.json • 2026-05-24

DET 4 - BAL 0

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 91INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=36; H: current=8, sim=9; RBI: current=2, sim=0; R: current=5, sim=0; BB: current=1, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=4).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Adley Rutschman: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Gunnar Henderson: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Taylor Ward: AB current=4 box=5, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Pete Alonso: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tyler O'Neill: AB current=3 box=4, H current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: BB current=0 box=1; Jeremiah Jackson: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=0, sim=4; R: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=6; SO: current=9, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Dillon Dingler: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Kevin McGonigle: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Zach McKinstry: AB current=3 box=5, H current=1 box=0; Riley Greene: RBI current=0 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Matt Vierling: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Colt Keith: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=4 box=3, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Jake Rogers: AB current=3 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-1, final 4-0 (delta 3).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match DET pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match DET pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match DET pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=38 matches DET BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match BAL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match BAL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=39 matches BAL BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.516.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.516.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.484.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.489/0.667.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: DET 6, BAL 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: DET 4 - BAL 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: DET.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for DET.	{'winner_confidence': 0.515575, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.57965, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_DET@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.534941, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_DET@BAL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_DET@BAL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: DET@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: DET 2 - 1 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: DET 4 - 0 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: DET wins 4-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=DET, final=DET.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.516.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 13/51 (0.255).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 9/50 (0.180).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: DET wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: DET wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: DET wins 4-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 9/50 = 0.180.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 13/51 = 0.255.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match DET pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match DET pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match DET pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=38 matches DET BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match BAL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match BAL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=39 matches BAL BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.516.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.516.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.484.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.489/0.667.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: DET 6, BAL 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: DET 4 - BAL 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: DET.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for DET.	{'winner_confidence': 0.515575, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.57965, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_DET@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.534941, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_DET@BAL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_DET@BAL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: DET@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: DET 2 - 1 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: DET 4 - 0 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: DET wins 4-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=DET, final=DET.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.516.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 13/51 (0.255).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 9/50 (0.180).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: DET wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: DET wins 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: DET wins 4-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 9/50 = 0.180.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 13/51 = 0.255.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=36; H: current=8, sim=9; RBI: current=2, sim=0; R: current=5, sim=0; BB: current=1, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=4).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Adley Rutschman: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Gunnar Henderson: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Taylor Ward: AB current=4 box=5, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Pete Alonso: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tyler O'Neill: AB current=3 box=4, H current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Coby Mayo: BB current=0 box=1; Jeremiah Jackson: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=0, sim=4; R: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=6; SO: current=9, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Dillon Dingler: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Kevin McGonigle: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Zach McKinstry: AB current=3 box=5, H current=1 box=0; Riley Greene: RBI current=0 box=2, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Matt Vierling: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Colt Keith: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=4 box=3, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Jake Rogers: AB current=3 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-1, final 4-0 (delta 3).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.165797472000122	2.9558115005493164		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	3		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	1	0.516	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	0		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	6
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	DET	batting	33	9	0	0	0	2	3	9	0	0	0	0
current	DET	pitching		9				0	2	4					9.0	0	0	0
current	BAL	batting	32	8	0	0	2	5	1	9	0	0	0	0
current	BAL	pitching		6				4	6	7					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	DET	batting	33	6	2	0	4	4	6	7	0	0
simulation	DET	pitching		9				0	2	4					9.0	0	38	159
simulation	BAL	batting	36	9	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	0
simulation	BAL	pitching		6				4	6	7					9.0	4	39	161

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	DET		DH	Dillon Dingler	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	DET		3B	Kevin McGonigle	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	DET		2B	Zach McKinstry	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	DET		LF	Riley Greene	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	DET		CF	Matt Vierling	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	DET		1B	Colt Keith	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	DET		RF	Wenceel Pérez	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	DET		C	Jake Rogers	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	DET		SS	Zack Short	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
current	BAL		C	Adley Rutschman	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
current	BAL		SS	Gunnar Henderson	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	BAL		DH	Taylor Ward	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	BAL		1B	Pete Alonso	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	BAL		RF	Tyler O'Neill	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.000
current	BAL		CF	Leody Taveras	0	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	BAL		3B	Coby Mayo	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	BAL		2B	Jeremiah Jackson	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	BAL		LF	Blaze Alexander	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	DET	1	2B	Zach McKinstry	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	DET	2	3B	Kevin McGonigle	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	DET	3	DH	Dillon Dingler	5	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.000
simulation	DET	4	LF	Riley Greene	4	4	1	0	1	2	0	2	0.250
simulation	DET	5	CF	Matt Vierling	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	DET	6	1B	Colt Keith	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	DET	7	RF	Wenceel Pérez	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	DET	8	C	Jake Rogers	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	DET	9	SS	Zack Short	4	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.667
simulation	BAL	1	DH	Taylor Ward	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0.200
simulation	BAL	2	SS	Gunnar Henderson	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.400
simulation	BAL	3	C	Adley Rutschman	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	4	1B	Pete Alonso	4	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.667
simulation	BAL	5	RF	Tyler O'Neill	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	BAL	6	3B	Coby Mayo	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	BAL	7	CF	Leody Taveras	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	BAL	8	2B	Jeremiah Jackson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	9	LF	Blaze Alexander	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	DET	1	Framber Valdez	Starter	5.1	8	0	0	1	2	0	0	0.00	4.58	1.40
current	DET	2	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.75	1.38
current	DET	3	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2.02	0.90
current	DET	4	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	5.93	1.39
current	BAL	1	Brandon Young	Starter	4.2	5	3	3	3	5	0	0	5.79	4.25	1.48
current	BAL	2	Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	6.75	9.72	2.04
current	BAL	3	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.80	1.01
current	BAL	4	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1.42	0.53
current	BAL	5	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.84	0.56
simulation	DET	1	Framber Valdez	Starter	5.1	8	0	0	1	2	25	99	0.00	4.58	1.40
simulation	DET	2	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	5	20	0.00	2.02	0.90
simulation	DET	3	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	5	21	0.00	0.75	1.38
simulation	DET	4	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	19	0.00	5.93	1.39
simulation	BAL	1	Brandon Young	Starter	4.2	5	3	3	3	5	22	86	5.79	4.25	1.48
simulation	BAL	2	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	5	20	0.00	0.84	0.56
simulation	BAL	3	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	18	0.00	3.80	1.01
simulation	BAL	4	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	4	17	0.00	1.42	0.53
simulation	BAL	5	Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	5	20	6.75	9.72	2.04

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
DET	Framber Valdez	Starter	5.1	0	8	1	2	25	99
DET	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	5	21
DET	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	5	20
DET	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	19
BAL	Brandon Young	Starter	4.2	3	5	3	5	22	86
BAL	Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	0	1	5	20
BAL	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	18
BAL	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	17
BAL	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	2	0	5	20

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_DET@BAL_2

20260524_DET@BAL_2.json • 2026-05-24

DET 4 - BAL 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=33; H: current=8, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=2, sim=1; R: current=5, sim=1; BB: current=1, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Adley Rutschman: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Pete Alonso: 2B current=0 box=1; Gunnar Henderson: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Taylor Ward: R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Tyler O'Neill: AB current=3 box=4, R current=1 box=0; Weston Wilson: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Jeremiah Jackson: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=36; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=0, sim=4; R: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=2).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Zach McKinstry: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Riley Greene: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, R current=1 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Kevin McGonigle: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Matt Vierling: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Colt Keith: AB current=4 box=5, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jake Rogers: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match DET pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match DET pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match DET pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=37 matches DET BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match BAL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match BAL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=42 matches BAL BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.572.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.572.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.428.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.454/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: DET 9, BAL 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: DET 4 - BAL 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: DET.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for DET.	{'winner_confidence': 0.572076, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.57965, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_DET@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.534941, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_DET@BAL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_DET@BAL_2.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: DET@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 170.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 170.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: DET 3 - 2 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: DET 4 - 1 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: DET wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=DET, final=DET.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.572.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 13/51 (0.255).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 9/50 (0.180).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: DET wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: DET wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 4-1 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: DET wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 9/50 = 0.180.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 13/51 = 0.255.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match DET pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match DET pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match DET pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=37 matches DET BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match BAL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match BAL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=42 matches BAL BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BAL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.572.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.572.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.428.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.454/0.625.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: DET 9, BAL 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: DET 4 - BAL 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: DET.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for DET.	{'winner_confidence': 0.572076, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.57965, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_DET@BAL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'DET', 'confidence': 0.534941, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_DET@BAL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_DET@BAL_2.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: DET@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 170.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 170.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: DET 3 - 2 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: DET 4 - 1 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: DET wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=DET, final=DET.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.572.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 13/51 (0.255).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 9/50 (0.180).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: DET wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: DET wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 4-1 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: DET wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins and win_pct agree: 9/50 = 0.180.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 13/51 = 0.255.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=33; H: current=8, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=2, sim=1; R: current=5, sim=1; BB: current=1, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Adley Rutschman: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Pete Alonso: 2B current=0 box=1; Gunnar Henderson: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Taylor Ward: R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Tyler O'Neill: AB current=3 box=4, R current=1 box=0; Weston Wilson: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Jeremiah Jackson: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Leody Taveras: 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=36; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=0, sim=4; R: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=2).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Zach McKinstry: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Riley Greene: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, R current=1 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Kevin McGonigle: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Matt Vierling: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Colt Keith: AB current=4 box=5, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jake Rogers: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.447975158691406	4.303910255432129		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	2	0.572	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	9
BAL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	DET	batting	33	9	0	0	0	2	3	9	0	0	0	0
current	DET	pitching		6				1	3	8					9.0	1	0	0
current	BAL	batting	32	8	0	0	2	5	1	9	0	0	0	0
current	BAL	pitching		9				4	4	6					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	DET	batting	36	9	2	0	4	4	4	6	0	2
simulation	DET	pitching		6				1	3	8					9.0	1	37	159
simulation	BAL	batting	33	6	3	0	1	1	3	8	0	1
simulation	BAL	pitching		9				4	4	6					9.0	4	42	170

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	DET		2B	Zach McKinstry	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	DET		LF	Riley Greene	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	DET		DH	Dillon Dingler	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	DET		3B	Kevin McGonigle	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	DET		CF	Matt Vierling	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	DET		1B	Colt Keith	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	DET		C	Jake Rogers	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	DET		RF	Wenceel Pérez	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	DET		SS	Zack Short	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
current	BAL		C	Adley Rutschman	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	BAL		1B	Pete Alonso	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	BAL		SS	Gunnar Henderson	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	BAL		DH	Taylor Ward	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	BAL		RF	Tyler O'Neill	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	BAL		3B	Weston Wilson	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	BAL		2B	Jeremiah Jackson	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	BAL		CF	Leody Taveras	0	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	BAL		LF	Blaze Alexander	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	DET	1	2B	Zach McKinstry	5	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.500
simulation	DET	2	3B	Kevin McGonigle	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	DET	3	DH	Dillon Dingler	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	DET	4	LF	Riley Greene	5	4	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	0.500
simulation	DET	5	CF	Matt Vierling	5	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	DET	6	1B	Colt Keith	5	5	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	DET	7	RF	Wenceel Pérez	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	DET	8	C	Jake Rogers	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	DET	9	SS	Zack Short	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	BAL	1	DH	Taylor Ward	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.250
simulation	BAL	2	SS	Gunnar Henderson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	3	C	Adley Rutschman	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	4	1B	Pete Alonso	4	4	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	BAL	5	RF	Tyler O'Neill	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	6	3B	Weston Wilson	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	BAL	7	CF	Leody Taveras	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	BAL	8	2B	Jeremiah Jackson	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	9	LF	Blaze Alexander	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	DET	1	Troy Melton	Starter	3.0	3	1	1	2	6	0	0	3.00
current	DET	3	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.75	1.38
current	DET	5	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.02	0.90
current	DET	6	Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	1.2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.70	1.57
current	DET	7	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	5.93	1.39
current	BAL	1	Trevor Rogers	Starter	4.0	6	4	4	4	3	0	0	9.00	6.87	1.66
current	BAL	2	Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	9.72	2.04
current	BAL	3	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	3.80	1.01
current	BAL	5	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.2	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	1.42	0.53
current	BAL	6	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.84	0.56
simulation	DET	1	Troy Melton	Starter	3.0	3	1	1	2	6	15	67	3.00
simulation	DET	2	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	5	21	0.00	2.02	0.90
simulation	DET	3	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	6	25	0.00	0.75	1.38
simulation	DET	4	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	4	19	0.00	5.93	1.39
simulation	DET	5	Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	1.2	2	0	0	0	0	7	27	0.00	4.70	1.57
simulation	BAL	1	Trevor Rogers	Starter	4.0	6	4	4	4	3	22	90	9.00	6.87	1.66
simulation	BAL	2	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	0.84	0.56
simulation	BAL	3	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	4	18	0.00	3.80	1.01
simulation	BAL	4	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.2	3	0	0	0	1	8	30	0.00	1.42	0.53
simulation	BAL	5	Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	4	15	0.00	9.72	2.04

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
DET	Troy Melton	Starter	3.0	1	3	2	6	15	67
DET	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	1	0	1	6	25
DET	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	5	21
DET	Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	2	0	0	7	27
DET	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	19
BAL	Trevor Rogers	Starter	4.0	4	6	4	3	22	90
BAL	Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	4	15
BAL	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	4	18
BAL	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	3	0	1	8	30
BAL	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	17

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_HOU@CHC

20260524_HOU@CHC.json • 2026-05-24

HOU 2 - CHC 4

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=0, sim=4; R: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=1; SO: current=8, sim=9).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Alex Bregman: H current=1 box=0; Michael Busch: AB current=4 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Pete Crow-Armstrong: SO current=1 box=3; Nico Hoerner: H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=3; Michael Conforto: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Carson Kelly: AB current=4 box=3, R current=0 box=1; Pedro Ramirez: AB current=4 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Seiya Suzuki: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=31, sim=33; H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=1, sim=2; R: current=1, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=10).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brice Matthews: AB current=3 box=5, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Christian Walker: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Isaac Paredes: AB current=4 box=2, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=2; Jeremy Peña: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Zach Dezenzo: AB current=3 box=4; Cam Smith: BB current=0 box=1; Jake Meyers: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Christian Vázquez: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match HOU pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match HOU pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match HOU pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=32 matches HOU BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match CHC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match CHC pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=37 matches CHC BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.479.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.521.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.521.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.709/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: HOU 6, CHC 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: HOU 2 - CHC 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHC.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHC.	{'winner_confidence': 0.520801, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'HOU', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_HOU@CHC.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.549314, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_HOU@CHC.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_HOU@CHC.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: HOU@CHC.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 144.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 151.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 151.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 144.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: HOU 2 - 3 CHC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: HOU 2 - 4 CHC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHC wins 4-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHC, final=CHC.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.521.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 23/53 (0.434).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 7/52 (0.135).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHC wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHC wins 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 2-4 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHC wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins and win_pct agree: 7/52 = 0.135.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins and win_pct agree: 23/53 = 0.434.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match HOU pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match HOU pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match HOU pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=32 matches HOU BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match CHC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match CHC pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=37 matches CHC BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CHC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	HOU hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.479.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.521.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.521.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.709/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: HOU 6, CHC 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: HOU 2 - CHC 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CHC.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CHC.	{'winner_confidence': 0.520801, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'HOU', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_HOU@CHC.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'CHC', 'confidence': 0.549314, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_HOU@CHC.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_HOU@CHC.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: HOU@CHC.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 144.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 151.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 151.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 144.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: HOU 2 - 3 CHC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: HOU 2 - 4 CHC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHC wins 4-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CHC, final=CHC.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.521.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 23/53 (0.434).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 7/52 (0.135).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHC wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHC wins 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 2-4 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHC wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins and win_pct agree: 7/52 = 0.135.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins and win_pct agree: 23/53 = 0.434.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=0, sim=4; R: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=1; SO: current=8, sim=9).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Alex Bregman: H current=1 box=0; Michael Busch: AB current=4 box=3, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Pete Crow-Armstrong: SO current=1 box=3; Nico Hoerner: H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=3; Michael Conforto: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Carson Kelly: AB current=4 box=3, R current=0 box=1; Pedro Ramirez: AB current=4 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Seiya Suzuki: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=31, sim=33; H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=1, sim=2; R: current=1, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=10).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Brice Matthews: AB current=3 box=5, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Christian Walker: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3; Isaac Paredes: AB current=4 box=2, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=2; Jeremy Peña: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Zach Dezenzo: AB current=3 box=4; Cam Smith: BB current=0 box=1; Jake Meyers: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Christian Vázquez: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.878448486328125	4.928717136383057		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	3	0.521	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	4		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	6
CHC	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	HOU	batting	31	9	0	0	0	1	1	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	HOU	pitching		7			2		4	1	9					8.0	4	0	0
current	CHC	batting	34	9	0	0	0	0	3	3	8	0	0	0	0
current	CHC	pitching		6			1		2	4	10					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	HOU	batting	33	6	1	0	1	2	2	4	10	0	0
simulation	HOU	pitching		7			2		4	1	9					8.0	4	32	144
simulation	CHC	batting	31	7	1	0	2	4	4	1	9	0	0
simulation	CHC	pitching		6			1		2	4	10					9.0	2	37	151

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	HOU		2B	Brice Matthews	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	HOU		1B	Christian Walker	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	HOU		DH	Isaac Paredes	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	HOU		SS	Jeremy Peña	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	HOU		LF	Zach Dezenzo	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	HOU		RF	Cam Smith	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	HOU		CF	Jake Meyers	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	HOU		C	Christian Vázquez	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	HOU		3B	Nick Allen	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHC		3B	Alex Bregman	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	CHC		1B	Michael Busch	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.250
current	CHC		CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	CHC		SS	Nico Hoerner	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	CHC		LF	Michael Conforto	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.333
current	CHC		C	Carson Kelly	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	CHC		2B	Pedro Ramirez	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	CHC		RF	Seiya Suzuki	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	CHC		DH	Moisés Ballesteros	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	HOU	1	2B	Brice Matthews	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	2	SS	Jeremy Peña	4	4	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	HOU	3	1B	Christian Walker	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	HOU	4	DH	Isaac Paredes	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0.000
simulation	HOU	5	CF	Jake Meyers	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	HOU	6	RF	Cam Smith	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	HOU	7	LF	Zach Dezenzo	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	HOU	8	C	Christian Vázquez	4	4	2	0	1	1	2	0	0	0.500
simulation	HOU	9	3B	Nick Allen	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	CHC	1	CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0.250
simulation	CHC	2	SS	Nico Hoerner	4	4	3	1	1	1	3	0	0	0.750
simulation	CHC	3	1B	Michael Busch	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	CHC	4	3B	Alex Bregman	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CHC	5	LF	Michael Conforto	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CHC	6	RF	Seiya Suzuki	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	CHC	7	DH	Moisés Ballesteros	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	CHC	8	C	Carson Kelly	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	CHC	9	2B	Pedro Ramirez	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	HOU	1	Peter Lambert	Starter	6.0	6	3	3	0	8	2	0	0	4.50	3.57	1.08
current	HOU	3	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.70	1.29
current	HOU	4	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	27.00	7.31	2.06
current	CHC	1	Shota Imanaga	Starter	6.0	2	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	0.00	3.38	1.04
current	CHC	2	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.86	1.03
current	CHC	3	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.91	1.38
current	CHC	4	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	2	2	0	2	1	0	0	27.00	1.86	1.45
simulation	HOU	1	Peter Lambert	Starter	6.0	6	3	3	0	8	2	24	106	4.50	3.57	1.08
simulation	HOU	2	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	21	0.00	2.70	1.29
simulation	HOU	3	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	1	1	0	3	17	27.00	7.31	2.06
simulation	CHC	1	Shota Imanaga	Starter	6.0	2	0	0	2	8	0	22	92	0.00	3.38	1.04
simulation	CHC	2	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	2	2	0	2	1	4	15	27.00	1.86	1.45
simulation	CHC	3	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	2	0	0	7	25	0.00	1.86	1.03
simulation	CHC	4	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	19	0.00	2.91	1.38

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
HOU	Peter Lambert	Starter	6.0	3	6	0	8	24	106
HOU	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	5	21
HOU	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	1	3	17
CHC	Shota Imanaga	Starter	6.0	0	2	2	8	22	92
CHC	Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	2	0	7	25
CHC	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	19
CHC	Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	2	0	2	4	15

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_LAD@MIL

20260524_LAD@MIL.json • 2026-05-24

LAD 3 - MIL 2

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=37; H: current=9, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=3; R: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=8, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Mookie Betts: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Kyle Tucker: AB current=4 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Freddie Freeman: RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Shohei Ohtani: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Teoscar Hernández: SO current=1 box=0; Dalton Rushing: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Andy Pages: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Hyeseong Kim: AB current=3 box=4		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=32; H: current=9, sim=5; R: current=5, sim=2; BB: current=2, sim=7; SO: current=7, sim=4).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jake Bauers: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; William Contreras: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Brice Turang: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jackson Chourio: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Andrew Vaughn: RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=0 box=1; Garrett Mitchell: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Sal Frelick: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Joey Ortiz: AB current=3 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting walks match MIL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting home runs match MIL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting hits match MIL pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAD PA=40 matches MIL BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting walks match LAD pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting home runs match LAD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting hits match LAD pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIL PA=39 matches LAD BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.537/0.724.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAD 10, MIL 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: LAD 3 - MIL 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.57965, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_LAD@MIL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_LAD@MIL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_LAD@MIL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAD@MIL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAD 3 - 2 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAD 3 - 2 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 3-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=LAD, final=LAD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/51 (0.275).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 19/47 (0.404).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAD wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAD wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 3-2 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAD wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAD wins and win_pct agree: 14/51 = 0.275.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIL wins and win_pct agree: 19/47 = 0.404.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting walks match MIL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting home runs match MIL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting hits match MIL pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAD PA=40 matches MIL BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting walks match LAD pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting home runs match LAD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting hits match LAD pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIL PA=39 matches LAD BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.537/0.724.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAD 10, MIL 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: LAD 3 - MIL 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.57965, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_LAD@MIL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'MIL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_LAD@MIL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_LAD@MIL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAD@MIL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 154.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 154.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAD 3 - 2 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAD 3 - 2 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 3-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=LAD, final=LAD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/51 (0.275).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 19/47 (0.404).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAD wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAD wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 3-2 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAD wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAD wins and win_pct agree: 14/51 = 0.275.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIL wins and win_pct agree: 19/47 = 0.404.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=37; H: current=9, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=3; R: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=8, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Mookie Betts: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Kyle Tucker: AB current=4 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Freddie Freeman: RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Shohei Ohtani: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Teoscar Hernández: SO current=1 box=0; Dalton Rushing: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Andy Pages: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Hyeseong Kim: AB current=3 box=4	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=32; H: current=9, sim=5; R: current=5, sim=2; BB: current=2, sim=7; SO: current=7, sim=4).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jake Bauers: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; William Contreras: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Brice Turang: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jackson Chourio: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Andrew Vaughn: RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=0 box=1; Garrett Mitchell: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Sal Frelick: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Joey Ortiz: AB current=3 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.62885856628418	5.296627998352051		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	2	0.510	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	10
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	LAD	batting	34	9	0	0	3	6	3	8	0	0	0	0
current	LAD	pitching		5				2	7	4					9.0	2	0	0
current	MIL	batting	33	9	0	0	2	5	2	7	0	0	0	0
current	MIL	pitching		10				3	3	5					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	LAD	batting	37	10	3	0	3	3	3	5	0	0
simulation	LAD	pitching		5				2	7	4					9.0	2	39	154
simulation	MIL	batting	32	5	0	0	2	2	7	4	0	0
simulation	MIL	pitching		10				3	3	5					9.0	3	40	157

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	LAD		SS	Mookie Betts	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	LAD		RF	Kyle Tucker	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	LAD		1B	Freddie Freeman	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	LAD		DH	Shohei Ohtani	0	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	LAD		LF	Teoscar Hernández	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	LAD		C	Dalton Rushing	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	LAD		CF	Andy Pages	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	LAD		2B	Hyeseong Kim	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	LAD		3B	Miguel Rojas	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
current	MIL		DH	Jake Bauers	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	MIL		C	William Contreras	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
current	MIL		2B	Brice Turang	0	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	MIL		LF	Jackson Chourio	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	MIL		1B	Andrew Vaughn	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
current	MIL		CF	Garrett Mitchell	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	MIL		RF	Sal Frelick	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	MIL		SS	Joey Ortiz	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
current	MIL		3B	David Hamilton	0	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	LAD	1	DH	Shohei Ohtani	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	0.250
simulation	LAD	2	SS	Mookie Betts	5	5	2	1	1	1	0	0	0.400
simulation	LAD	3	1B	Freddie Freeman	5	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	LAD	4	RF	Kyle Tucker	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	LAD	5	CF	Andy Pages	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	LAD	6	LF	Teoscar Hernández	4	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	LAD	7	C	Dalton Rushing	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	LAD	8	2B	Hyeseong Kim	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	LAD	9	3B	Miguel Rojas	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	MIL	1	LF	Jackson Chourio	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	MIL	2	2B	Brice Turang	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIL	3	C	William Contreras	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIL	4	DH	Jake Bauers	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	MIL	5	1B	Andrew Vaughn	4	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	MIL	6	CF	Garrett Mitchell	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIL	7	RF	Sal Frelick	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	MIL	8	SS	Joey Ortiz	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIL	9	3B	David Hamilton	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	LAD	1	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	6.1	4	1	1	5	4	0	0	1.42	3.32	0.96
current	LAD	2	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.50	0.94
current	LAD	3	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	9.00	1.31	0.63
current	LAD	4	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.60	0.87
current	MIL	1	Brandon Sproat	Starter	4.1	9	3	3	1	2	0	0	6.23	5.75	1.50
current	MIL	2	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.61	1.42
current	MIL	3	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	4.42	1.15
current	MIL	4	DL Hall	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0.00	2.55	1.26
current	MIL	5	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.18	1.06
simulation	LAD	1	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	6.1	4	1	1	5	4	28	112	1.42	3.32	0.96
simulation	LAD	2	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	6	15	9.00	1.31	0.63
simulation	LAD	3	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	14	0.00	2.50	0.94
simulation	LAD	4	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.00	0.60	0.87
simulation	MIL	1	Brandon Sproat	Starter	4.1	9	3	3	1	2	23	86	6.23	5.75	1.50
simulation	MIL	2	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	3	14	0.00	4.42	1.15
simulation	MIL	3	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	16	0.00	3.18	1.06
simulation	MIL	4	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	26	0.00	2.61	1.42
simulation	MIL	5	DL Hall	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	2	1	7	15	0.00	2.55	1.26

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
LAD	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	6.1	1	4	5	4	28	112
LAD	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	14
LAD	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	2	0	6	15
LAD	Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	13
MIL	Brandon Sproat	Starter	4.1	3	9	1	2	23	86
MIL	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	26
MIL	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	14
MIL	DL Hall	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	2	1	7	15
MIL	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_MIN@BOS

20260524_MIN@BOS.json • 2026-05-24

MIN 0 - BOS 2

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=31, sim=30; H: current=8, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=2; R: current=1, sim=2; BB: current=1, sim=3; SO: current=8, sim=4).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jarren Duran: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=4 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Masataka Yoshida: AB current=3 box=4, RBI current=0 box=2, R current=0 box=1; Nick Sogard: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Carlos Narváez: H current=1 box=0; Marcelo Mayer: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Caleb Durbin: SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=30; H: current=9, sim=3; RBI: current=1, sim=0; R: current=3, sim=0; SO: current=9, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Austin Martin: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Brooks Lee: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Trevor Larnach: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Josh Bell: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=4 box=3, BB current=0 box=1; Orlando Arcia: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Victor Caratini: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; James Outman: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match MIN pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match MIN pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match MIN pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=33 matches MIN BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match BOS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match BOS pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match BOS pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=33 matches BOS BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.482.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.518.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.518.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 2 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.709/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIN 3, BOS 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIN 0 - BOS 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: BOS.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for BOS.	{'winner_confidence': 0.518482, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'BOS', 'confidence': 0.516108, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_MIN@BOS.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'BOS', 'confidence': 0.521012, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_MIN@BOS.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_MIN@BOS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIN@BOS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 129.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 129.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIN 1 - 2 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIN 0 - 2 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: BOS wins 2-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=BOS, final=BOS.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.518.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/51 (0.294).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 9/51 (0.176).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: BOS wins 2-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: BOS wins 0-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 0-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 0-2 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 2.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: BOS wins 2-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins and win_pct agree: 9/51 = 0.176.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins and win_pct agree: 15/51 = 0.294.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match MIN pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match MIN pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match MIN pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=33 matches MIN BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match BOS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match BOS pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match BOS pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=33 matches BOS BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	BOS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.482.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.518.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.518.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 2 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.709/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIN 3, BOS 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIN 0 - BOS 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: BOS.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for BOS.	{'winner_confidence': 0.518482, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'BOS', 'confidence': 0.516108, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_MIN@BOS.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'BOS', 'confidence': 0.521012, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_MIN@BOS.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_MIN@BOS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIN@BOS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 129.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 129.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIN 1 - 2 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIN 0 - 2 BOS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: BOS wins 2-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=BOS, final=BOS.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.518.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 15/51 (0.294).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 9/51 (0.176).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: BOS wins 2-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: BOS wins 0-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 0-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 0-2 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 2.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: BOS wins 2-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins and win_pct agree: 9/51 = 0.176.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins and win_pct agree: 15/51 = 0.294.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=31, sim=30; H: current=8, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=2; R: current=1, sim=2; BB: current=1, sim=3; SO: current=8, sim=4).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jarren Duran: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ceddanne Rafaela: AB current=4 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Willson Contreras: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Masataka Yoshida: AB current=3 box=4, RBI current=0 box=2, R current=0 box=1; Nick Sogard: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Carlos Narváez: H current=1 box=0; Marcelo Mayer: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Caleb Durbin: SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=30; H: current=9, sim=3; RBI: current=1, sim=0; R: current=3, sim=0; SO: current=9, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Austin Martin: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Brooks Lee: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Trevor Larnach: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Josh Bell: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Kody Clemens: AB current=4 box=3, BB current=0 box=1; Orlando Arcia: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Victor Caratini: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; James Outman: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.18602180480957	5.889886379241943		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	6		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	2	0.518	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	0	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
BOS	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	MIN	batting	33	9	0	0	1	3	2	9	0	0	0	0
current	MIN	pitching		6				2	3	4					8.0	2	0	0
current	BOS	batting	31	8	0	0	2	1	1	8	0	0	0	0
current	BOS	pitching		3				0	2	6					9.0	0	0	0
simulation	MIN	batting	30	3	0	0	0	0	2	6	0	1
simulation	MIN	pitching		6				2	3	4					8.0	2	33	139
simulation	BOS	batting	30	6	2	0	2	2	3	4	0	0
simulation	BOS	pitching		3				0	2	6					9.0	0	33	129

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	MIN		RF	Austin Martin	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	MIN		3B	Brooks Lee	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	MIN		LF	Trevor Larnach	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	MIN		DH	Josh Bell	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	MIN		1B	Kody Clemens	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	MIN		2B	Orlando Arcia	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	MIN		C	Victor Caratini	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIN		CF	James Outman	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIN		SS	Ryan Kreidler	0	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	BOS		LF	Jarren Duran	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	BOS		CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	BOS		RF	Wilyer Abreu	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	BOS		1B	Willson Contreras	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	BOS		DH	Masataka Yoshida	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
current	BOS		2B	Nick Sogard	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
current	BOS		C	Carlos Narváez	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	BOS		SS	Marcelo Mayer	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	BOS		3B	Caleb Durbin	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	1	RF	Austin Martin	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	MIN	2	3B	Brooks Lee	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	3	LF	Trevor Larnach	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	4	DH	Josh Bell	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	MIN	5	1B	Kody Clemens	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	MIN	6	C	Victor Caratini	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	7	2B	Orlando Arcia	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	8	CF	James Outman	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	9	SS	Ryan Kreidler	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	1	LF	Jarren Duran	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	BOS	2	CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	4	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0.500
simulation	BOS	3	RF	Wilyer Abreu	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	4	1B	Willson Contreras	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	BOS	5	DH	Masataka Yoshida	4	4	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	6	2B	Nick Sogard	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	7	C	Carlos Narváez	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	8	SS	Marcelo Mayer	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	BOS	9	3B	Caleb Durbin	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	MIN	1	Bailey Ober	Starter	6.0	5	2	2	1	4	0	0	3.00	3.63	1.07
current	MIN	2	Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	3.52	1.39
current	MIN	3	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.37	1.37
current	BOS	1	Sonny Gray	Starter	5.2	3	0	0	2	5	0	0	0.00	2.92	1.12
current	BOS	2	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.51	0.85
current	BOS	3	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.79	1.03
current	BOS	4	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.15	1.27
simulation	MIN	1	Bailey Ober	Starter	6.0	5	2	2	1	4	24	95	3.00	3.63	1.07
simulation	MIN	2	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	2	16	0.00	2.37	1.37
simulation	MIN	3	Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	2	0	7	28	0.00	3.52	1.39
simulation	BOS	1	Sonny Gray	Starter	5.2	3	0	0	2	5	22	88	0.00	2.92	1.12
simulation	BOS	2	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	11	0.00	0.51	0.85
simulation	BOS	3	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	15	0.00	2.79	1.03
simulation	BOS	4	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	4	15	0.00	4.15	1.27

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
MIN	Bailey Ober	Starter	6.0	2	5	1	4	24	95
MIN	Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	2	0	7	28
MIN	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	16
BOS	Sonny Gray	Starter	5.2	0	3	2	5	22	88
BOS	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	11
BOS	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15
BOS	Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	4	15

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_NYM@MIA

20260524_NYM@MIA.json • 2026-05-24

NYM 1 - MIA 2

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=30; H: current=9, sim=6; HR: current=0, sim=2; R: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=7, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Owen Caissie: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Liam Hicks: HR current=0 box=1; Kyle Stowers: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Xavier Edwards: R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Otto Lopez: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jakob Marsee: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Connor Norby: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Christopher Morel: SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=36; 2B: current=0, sim=2; R: current=2, sim=1; BB: current=1, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=4).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carson Benge: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Mark Vientos: SO current=1 box=0; Bo Bichette: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0; A.J. Ewing: AB current=3 box=4, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Brett Baty: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Marcus Semien: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; MJ Melendez: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=2; Tyrone Taylor: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting walks match NYM pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting home runs match NYM pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting hits match NYM pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIA PA=31 matches NYM BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting walks match MIA pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting home runs match MIA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting hits match MIA pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYM PA=38 matches MIA BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYM current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.431.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.569.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.569.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.537/0.724.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: NYM 9, MIA 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: NYM 1 - MIA 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIA.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIA.	{'winner_confidence': 0.568671, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'NYM', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_NYM@MIA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'NYM', 'confidence': 0.580515, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_NYM@MIA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_NYM@MIA.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: NYM@MIA.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 126.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 126.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYM 1 - 3 MIA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: NYM 1 - 2 MIA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIA wins 2-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIA, final=MIA.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.569.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 18/49 (0.367).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/51 (0.294).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIA wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIA wins 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 1-2 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIA wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIA wins and win_pct agree: 15/51 = 0.294.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYM wins and win_pct agree: 18/49 = 0.367.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting walks match NYM pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting home runs match NYM pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting hits match NYM pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIA PA=31 matches NYM BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting walks match MIA pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting home runs match MIA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting hits match MIA pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYM PA=38 matches MIA BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYM current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.431.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.569.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.569.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.537/0.724.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: NYM 9, MIA 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: NYM 1 - MIA 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: MIA.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for MIA.	{'winner_confidence': 0.568671, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'NYM', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_NYM@MIA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'NYM', 'confidence': 0.580515, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_NYM@MIA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_NYM@MIA.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: NYM@MIA.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 126.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 161.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 161.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 126.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYM 1 - 3 MIA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: NYM 1 - 2 MIA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIA wins 2-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=MIA, final=MIA.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.569.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 18/49 (0.367).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/51 (0.294).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIA wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIA wins 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-3, final 1-2 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIA wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIA wins and win_pct agree: 15/51 = 0.294.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYM wins and win_pct agree: 18/49 = 0.367.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=30; H: current=9, sim=6; HR: current=0, sim=2; R: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=7, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Owen Caissie: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Liam Hicks: HR current=0 box=1; Kyle Stowers: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Xavier Edwards: R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Otto Lopez: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jakob Marsee: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Connor Norby: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Christopher Morel: SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=36; 2B: current=0, sim=2; R: current=2, sim=1; BB: current=1, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=4).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carson Benge: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Mark Vientos: SO current=1 box=0; Bo Bichette: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0; A.J. Ewing: AB current=3 box=4, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Brett Baty: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Marcus Semien: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; MJ Melendez: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=2; Tyrone Taylor: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.495877742767334	6.926238536834717		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	8		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	3	0.569	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	9
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	NYM	batting	32	9	0	0	0	1	2	1	9	0	0	0	0
current	NYM	pitching		6			2		2	1	5					8.0	2	0	0
current	MIA	batting	32	9	0	0	0	2	5	1	7	0	0	0	0
current	MIA	pitching		9			0		1	2	4					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	NYM	batting	36	9	2	0	0	1	1	2	4	0	0
simulation	NYM	pitching		6			2		2	1	5					8.0	2	31	126
simulation	MIA	batting	30	6	0	0	2	2	2	1	5	0	0
simulation	MIA	pitching		9			0		1	2	4					9.0	1	38	161

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	NYM		RF	Carson Benge	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	NYM		1B	Mark Vientos	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	NYM		SS	Bo Bichette	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
current	NYM		CF	A.J. Ewing	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.333
current	NYM		3B	Brett Baty	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	NYM		2B	Marcus Semien	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	NYM		DH	MJ Melendez	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	NYM		LF	Tyrone Taylor	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	NYM		C	Hayden Senger	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	MIA		RF	Owen Caissie	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.333
current	MIA		C	Liam Hicks	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
current	MIA		LF	Kyle Stowers	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	MIA		2B	Xavier Edwards	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	MIA		SS	Otto Lopez	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	MIA		CF	Jakob Marsee	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	MIA		1B	Connor Norby	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	MIA		DH	Christopher Morel	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	MIA		3B	Javier Sanoja	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	NYM	1	RF	Carson Benge	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	NYM	2	SS	Bo Bichette	5	5	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.600
simulation	NYM	3	CF	A.J. Ewing	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	NYM	4	1B	Mark Vientos	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	NYM	5	3B	Brett Baty	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	NYM	6	2B	Marcus Semien	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	7	DH	MJ Melendez	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	NYM	8	LF	Tyrone Taylor	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	9	C	Hayden Senger	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	MIA	1	C	Liam Hicks	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIA	2	2B	Xavier Edwards	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIA	3	RF	Owen Caissie	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.667
simulation	MIA	4	LF	Kyle Stowers	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	MIA	5	SS	Otto Lopez	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	MIA	6	CF	Jakob Marsee	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	MIA	7	1B	Connor Norby	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIA	8	DH	Christopher Morel	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	MIA	9	3B	Javier Sanoja	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	NYM	1	Christian Scott	Starter	4.2	5	1	1	1	5	1	0	0	1.93	4.12	1.47
current	NYM	3	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	9.00	1.40	1.09
current	NYM	4	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.24	1.20
current	NYM	6	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.38	1.12
current	MIA	1	Tyler Phillips	Starter	5.0	3	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0.00	1.20	1.27
current	MIA	2	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.54	0.98
current	MIA	3	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.19	1.66
current	MIA	4	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	9.00	8.25	1.42
current	MIA	5	John King	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.18	0.68
simulation	NYM	1	Christian Scott	Starter	4.2	5	1	1	1	5	1	20	78	1.93	4.12	1.47
simulation	NYM	2	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	3.24	1.20
simulation	NYM	3	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	15	0.00	3.38	1.12
simulation	NYM	4	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	4	16	9.00	1.40	1.09
simulation	MIA	1	Tyler Phillips	Starter	5.0	3	0	0	1	3	0	19	82	0.00	1.20	1.27
simulation	MIA	2	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	0	6	22	9.00	8.25	1.42
simulation	MIA	3	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	19	0.00	4.19	1.66
simulation	MIA	4	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	20	0.00	3.54	0.98
simulation	MIA	5	John King	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	18	0.00	2.18	0.68

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
NYM	Christian Scott	Starter	4.2	1	5	1	5	20	78
NYM	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	0	4	16
NYM	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	17
NYM	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15
MIA	Tyler Phillips	Starter	5.0	0	3	1	3	19	82
MIA	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	0	0	5	20
MIA	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	19
MIA	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	3	0	0	6	22
MIA	John King	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	2	1	0	5	18

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_OAK@SD

20260524_OAK@SD.json • 2026-05-24

OAK 1 - SD 3

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (H: current=9, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=2, sim=1; R: current=3, sim=1; BB: current=1, sim=0).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carlos Cortes: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=0 box=3; Shea Langeliers: H current=1 box=3, R current=1 box=0; Tyler Soderstrom: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jonah Heim: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Alika Williams: AB current=4 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jeff McNeil: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=30; H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=3; R: current=2, sim=3; BB: current=2, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=10).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Miguel Andujar: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Gavin Sheets: AB current=3 box=4, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Manny Machado: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Ramón Laureano: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Jackson Merrill: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=3; Ty France: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SD	BATTING_REALISM	current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match SD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match SD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match SD pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=35 matches SD BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SD batting walks match OAK pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SD batting home runs match OAK pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SD batting hits match OAK pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SD batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SD PA=31 matches OAK BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.454.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.657/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: OAK 8, SD 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: OAK 1 - SD 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.545869, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.57965, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_OAK@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.5569310000000001, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_OAK@SD.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_OAK@SD.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: OAK@SD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 134.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 134.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: OAK 1 - 2 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: OAK 1 - 3 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SD wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SD, final=SD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.546.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 13/50 (0.260).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/50 (0.240).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SD wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SD wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 1-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SD wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins and win_pct agree: 13/50 = 0.260.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SD wins and win_pct agree: 12/50 = 0.240.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SD	BATTING_REALISM	current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match SD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match SD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match SD pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=35 matches SD BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SD batting walks match OAK pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SD batting home runs match OAK pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SD batting hits match OAK pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SD batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SD PA=31 matches OAK BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SD hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.454.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.657/0.862.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: OAK 8, SD 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: OAK 1 - SD 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: SD.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for SD.	{'winner_confidence': 0.545869, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.57965, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_OAK@SD.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.5569310000000001, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_OAK@SD.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_OAK@SD.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: OAK@SD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 134.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 134.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: OAK 1 - 2 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: OAK 1 - 3 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SD wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=SD, final=SD.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.546.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 13/50 (0.260).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/50 (0.240).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SD wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SD wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 1-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SD wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins and win_pct agree: 13/50 = 0.260.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SD wins and win_pct agree: 12/50 = 0.240.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (H: current=9, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=2, sim=1; R: current=3, sim=1; BB: current=1, sim=0).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carlos Cortes: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=0 box=3; Shea Langeliers: H current=1 box=3, R current=1 box=0; Tyler Soderstrom: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Jonah Heim: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Alika Williams: AB current=4 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jeff McNeil: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=30; H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=3; R: current=2, sim=3; BB: current=2, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=10).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SD current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Miguel Andujar: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Gavin Sheets: AB current=3 box=4, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Manny Machado: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Fernando Tatis Jr.: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Ramón Laureano: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Jackson Merrill: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Xander Bogaerts: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=3; Ty France: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.0	4.3		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	2	0.546	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8
SD	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	OAK	batting	35	9	0	0	0	2	3	1	8	0	0	0	0
current	OAK	pitching		6			1		3	1	10					8.0	3	0	0
current	SD	batting	34	9	0	0	0	2	2	2	9	0	0	0	0
current	SD	pitching		8			0		1	0	8					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	OAK	batting	35	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	8	0	0
simulation	OAK	pitching		6			1		3	1	10					8.0	3	31	134
simulation	SD	batting	30	6	1	0	1	3	3	1	10	0	0
simulation	SD	pitching		8			0		1	0	8					9.0	1	35	147

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	OAK		RF	Carlos Cortes	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
current	OAK		DH	Shea Langeliers	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	OAK		LF	Tyler Soderstrom	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	OAK		1B	Nick Kurtz	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	OAK		C	Jonah Heim	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
current	OAK		SS	Alika Williams	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	OAK		3B	Zack Gelof	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	OAK		2B	Jeff McNeil	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	OAK		CF	Henry Bolte	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SD		DH	Miguel Andujar	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SD		LF	Gavin Sheets	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	SD		3B	Manny Machado	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	SD		2B	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SD		RF	Ramón Laureano	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SD		CF	Jackson Merrill	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	SD		SS	Xander Bogaerts	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SD		1B	Ty France	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
current	SD		C	Rodolfo Durán	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	OAK	1	RF	Carlos Cortes	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	OAK	2	1B	Nick Kurtz	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	OAK	3	DH	Shea Langeliers	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.750
simulation	OAK	4	LF	Tyler Soderstrom	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	5	C	Jonah Heim	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	OAK	6	3B	Zack Gelof	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	7	2B	Jeff McNeil	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	OAK	8	CF	Henry Bolte	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.250
simulation	OAK	9	SS	Alika Williams	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	SD	1	2B	Fernando Tatis Jr.	4	3	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	1.000
simulation	SD	2	DH	Miguel Andujar	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	SD	3	LF	Gavin Sheets	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	SD	4	3B	Manny Machado	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	SD	5	SS	Xander Bogaerts	3	3	2	0	1	1	3	0	1	0.667
simulation	SD	6	CF	Jackson Merrill	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	SD	7	RF	Ramón Laureano	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	SD	8	1B	Ty France	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	SD	9	C	Rodolfo Durán	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	OAK	1	Luis Medina	Starter	4.1	2	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	0.00	1.45	0.96
current	OAK	2	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.1	3	3	3	0	1	1	0	0	20.25	3.00	1.67
current	OAK	3	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.18	1.02
current	OAK	5	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.48	0.70
current	SD	1	Michael King	Starter	6.0	6	1	1	0	6	0	0	0	1.50	2.31	1.06
current	SD	2	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.44	1.10
current	SD	3	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.02	0.96
current	SD	4	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.76	0.80
simulation	OAK	1	Luis Medina	Starter	4.1	2	0	0	1	8	0	16	72	0.00	1.45	0.96
simulation	OAK	2	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.1	3	3	3	0	1	1	7	26	20.25	3.00	1.67
simulation	OAK	3	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	16	0.00	2.18	1.02
simulation	OAK	4	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	5	20	0.00	1.48	0.70
simulation	SD	1	Michael King	Starter	6.0	6	1	1	0	6	0	24	94	1.50	2.31	1.06
simulation	SD	2	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	21	0.00	0.76	0.80
simulation	SD	3	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	16	0.00	1.02	0.96
simulation	SD	4	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	16	0.00	4.44	1.10

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
OAK	Luis Medina	Starter	4.1	0	2	1	8	16	72
OAK	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.1	3	3	0	1	7	26
OAK	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16
OAK	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	0	1	5	20
SD	Michael King	Starter	6.0	1	6	0	6	24	94
SD	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	16
SD	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16
SD	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	21

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_PIT@TOR

20260524_PIT@TOR.json • 2026-05-24

PIT 3 - TOR 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=35; H: current=9, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=1, sim=3; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=11, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bryan Reynolds: BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=4 box=5, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=3 box=4, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Endy Rodríguez: BB current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Esmerlyn Valdez: AB current=3 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jake Mangum: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=35; H: current=9, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=3, sim=1; SO: current=7, sim=9; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=0 box=1; Yohendrick Pinango: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=0 box=1; George Springer: AB current=4 box=5, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Daulton Varsho: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jesús Sánchez: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=4 box=3, BB current=0 box=1; Kazuma Okamoto: H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Andrés Giménez: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match TOR pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match TOR pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match TOR pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=38 matches TOR BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match PIT pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match PIT pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match PIT pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=37 matches PIT BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.454.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.537/0.724.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: PIT 8, TOR 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: PIT 3 - TOR 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5460510000000001, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'PIT', 'confidence': 0.5173220000000001, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_PIT@TOR.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'PIT', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_PIT@TOR.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_PIT@TOR.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: PIT@TOR.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 152.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 152.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PIT 3 - 2 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: PIT 3 - 1 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.546.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 10/50 (0.200).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 14/51 (0.275).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 3-1 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PIT wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 10/50 = 0.200.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 14/51 = 0.275.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match TOR pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match TOR pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match TOR pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=38 matches TOR BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match PIT pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match PIT pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match PIT pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=37 matches PIT BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.546.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.454.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.537/0.724.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: PIT 8, TOR 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: PIT 3 - TOR 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5460510000000001, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'PIT', 'confidence': 0.5173220000000001, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_PIT@TOR.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'PIT', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_PIT@TOR.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_PIT@TOR.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: PIT@TOR.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 152.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 152.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PIT 3 - 2 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: PIT 3 - 1 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.546.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 10/50 (0.200).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 14/51 (0.275).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 3-1 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PIT wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 10/50 = 0.200.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 14/51 = 0.275.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=35; H: current=9, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=1, sim=3; BB: current=4, sim=3; SO: current=11, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bryan Reynolds: BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Brandon Lowe: AB current=4 box=5, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Nick Gonzales: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=3 box=4, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Endy Rodríguez: BB current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Esmerlyn Valdez: AB current=3 box=4, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jake Mangum: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=35; H: current=9, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=3, sim=1; SO: current=7, sim=9; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=0 box=1; Yohendrick Pinango: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=0 box=1; George Springer: AB current=4 box=5, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Daulton Varsho: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jesús Sánchez: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=4 box=3, BB current=0 box=1; Kazuma Okamoto: H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Andrés Giménez: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=3	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.745811939239502	3.19057559967041		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	3		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	2	0.546	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	3	8
TOR	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	PIT	batting	33	9	0	0	0	1	3	4	11	0	0	0	0
current	PIT	pitching		8			1		1	1	9					9.0	1	0	0
current	TOR	batting	33	9	0	0	0	1	3	1	7	0	0	0	0
current	TOR	pitching		8			1		3	3	6					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	PIT	batting	35	8	1	0	1	3	3	3	6	0	0
simulation	PIT	pitching		8			1		1	1	9					9.0	1	37	156
simulation	TOR	batting	35	8	0	0	1	1	1	1	9	0	1
simulation	TOR	pitching		8			1		3	3	6					9.0	3	38	152

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	PIT		LF	Bryan Reynolds	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	PIT		2B	Brandon Lowe	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	PIT		3B	Nick Gonzales	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	PIT		1B	Spencer Horwitz	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	PIT		C	Endy Rodríguez	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	PIT		DH	Oneil Cruz	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.250
current	PIT		RF	Esmerlyn Valdez	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.333
current	PIT		CF	Jake Mangum	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	PIT		SS	Jared Triolo	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	TOR		1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0.250
current	TOR		LF	Yohendrick Pinango	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
current	TOR		DH	George Springer	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	TOR		CF	Daulton Varsho	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	TOR		RF	Jesús Sánchez	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	TOR		2B	Ernie Clement	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
current	TOR		3B	Kazuma Okamoto	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.250
current	TOR		SS	Andrés Giménez	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	TOR		C	Brandon Valenzuela	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	PIT	1	1B	Spencer Horwitz	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	PIT	2	2B	Brandon Lowe	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	PIT	3	LF	Bryan Reynolds	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	PIT	4	3B	Nick Gonzales	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	PIT	5	DH	Oneil Cruz	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	6	C	Endy Rodríguez	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	PIT	7	RF	Esmerlyn Valdez	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	PIT	8	CF	Jake Mangum	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	PIT	9	SS	Jared Triolo	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	TOR	1	DH	George Springer	5	5	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0.200
simulation	TOR	2	CF	Daulton Varsho	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.667
simulation	TOR	3	1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	4	LF	Yohendrick Pinango	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	TOR	5	RF	Jesús Sánchez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	6	3B	Kazuma Okamoto	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	TOR	7	2B	Ernie Clement	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	TOR	8	SS	Andrés Giménez	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	9	C	Brandon Valenzuela	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	PIT	1	Mitch Keller	Starter	6.0	6	1	1	1	5	1	0	0	1.50	3.86	1.06
current	PIT	2	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.64	1.31
current	PIT	3	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.31	0.81
current	PIT	4	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.84	1.21
current	TOR	1	Dylan Cease	Starter	6.0	5	2	2	3	6	0	0	0	3.00	2.98	1.22
current	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.75	0.65	1.08
current	TOR	3	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.54	1.07
current	TOR	4	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5.09	1.61
current	TOR	5	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		2.83	1.05
simulation	PIT	1	Mitch Keller	Starter	6.0	6	1	1	1	5	1	25	106	1.50	3.86	1.06
simulation	PIT	2	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	17	0.00	2.31	0.81
simulation	PIT	3	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	19	0.00	4.64	1.31
simulation	PIT	4	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	14	0.00	2.84	1.21
simulation	TOR	1	Dylan Cease	Starter	6.0	5	2	2	3	6	0	26	103	3.00	2.98	1.22
simulation	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	1	6	6	6.75	0.65	1.08
simulation	TOR	3	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	16	0.00	1.54	1.07
simulation	TOR	4	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	16	0.00	5.09	1.61
simulation	TOR	5	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11		2.83	1.05

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
PIT	Mitch Keller	Starter	6.0	1	6	1	5	25	106
PIT	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	0	0	5	19
PIT	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	17
PIT	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	4	14
TOR	Dylan Cease	Starter	6.0	2	5	3	6	26	103
TOR	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	2	0	0	6	6
TOR	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16
TOR	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	16
TOR	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	11

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_SEA@KC

20260524_SEA@KC.json • 2026-05-24

SEA 1 - KC 3

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=0, sim=3; R: current=0, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	KC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Maikel Garcia: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Salvador Perez: SO current=1 box=2; Bobby Witt Jr.: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Vinnie Pasquantino: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=4; Michael Massey: H current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Carter Jensen: AB current=3 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1; Isaac Collins: H current=0 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Jac Caglianone: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=31, sim=33; H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=2; R: current=4, sim=1; BB: current=3, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SEA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: J.P. Crawford: AB current=4 box=5, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Josh Naylor: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Julio Rodríguez: AB current=4 box=2, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=2; Randy Arozarena: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luke Raley: BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Cole Young: AB current=3 box=4, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Mitch Garver: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Dominic Canzone: AB current=3 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	KC	BATTING_REALISM	current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	current:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	KC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:KC batting walks match SEA pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:KC batting home runs match SEA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:KC batting hits match SEA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:KC batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:KC PA=34 matches SEA BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting walks match KC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting home runs match KC pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting hits match KC pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SEA PA=37 matches KC BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	KC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	KC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	KC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SEA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SEA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SEA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.479.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.521.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.521.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.537/0.724.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SEA 6, KC 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SEA 1 - KC 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: KC.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for KC.	{'winner_confidence': 0.520679, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'SEA', 'confidence': 0.599771, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_SEA@KC.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'KC', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_SEA@KC.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-03', 'predicted_team': 'KC', 'confidence': 0.6272595762448019, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260503_KC@SEA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-02', 'predicted_team': 'KC', 'confidence': 0.5722639237756839, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260502_KC@SEA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_SEA@KC.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SEA@KC.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 128.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 158.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 158.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 128.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SEA 2 - 3 KC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SEA 1 - 3 KC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: KC wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=KC, final=KC.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.521.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/51 (0.314).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/51 (0.157).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: KC wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: KC wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 1-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: KC wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	KC wins and win_pct agree: 8/51 = 0.157.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SEA wins and win_pct agree: 16/51 = 0.314.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	KC	BATTING_REALISM	current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	current:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	KC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:KC batting walks match SEA pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:KC batting home runs match SEA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:KC batting hits match SEA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:KC batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:KC PA=34 matches SEA BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting walks match KC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting home runs match KC pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting hits match KC pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SEA PA=37 matches KC BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	KC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	KC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	KC hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SEA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SEA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	SEA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.479.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.521.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.521.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.537/0.724.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SEA 6, KC 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SEA 1 - KC 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: KC.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for KC.	{'winner_confidence': 0.520679, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'SEA', 'confidence': 0.599771, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_SEA@KC.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'KC', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_SEA@KC.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-03', 'predicted_team': 'KC', 'confidence': 0.6272595762448019, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260503_KC@SEA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-02', 'predicted_team': 'KC', 'confidence': 0.5722639237756839, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260502_KC@SEA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_SEA@KC.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SEA@KC.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 128.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 158.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 158.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 128.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SEA 2 - 3 KC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SEA 1 - 3 KC.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: KC wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=KC, final=KC.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.521.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/51 (0.314).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/51 (0.157).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: KC wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: KC wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 1-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: KC wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	KC wins and win_pct agree: 8/51 = 0.157.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SEA wins and win_pct agree: 16/51 = 0.314.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=0, sim=3; R: current=0, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	KC current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Maikel Garcia: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Salvador Perez: SO current=1 box=2; Bobby Witt Jr.: RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Vinnie Pasquantino: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=4; Michael Massey: H current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Carter Jensen: AB current=3 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1; Isaac Collins: H current=0 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Jac Caglianone: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=31, sim=33; H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=2; R: current=4, sim=1; BB: current=3, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	SEA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: J.P. Crawford: AB current=4 box=5, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Josh Naylor: H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Julio Rodríguez: AB current=4 box=2, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=2; Randy Arozarena: AB current=4 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Luke Raley: BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Cole Young: AB current=3 box=4, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Mitch Garver: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Dominic Canzone: AB current=3 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.365326404571533	3.9351389408111572		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	3	0.521	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6
KC	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	3	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	SEA	batting	31	9	0	0	1	4	3	9	0	0	0	0
current	SEA	pitching		8				3	2	8					8.0	3	0	0
current	KC	batting	32	8	0	0	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	KC	pitching		6				1	4	8					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	SEA	batting	33	6	2	0	1	1	4	8	0	0
simulation	SEA	pitching		8				3	2	8					8.0	3	34	128
simulation	KC	batting	32	8	1	0	3	3	2	8	0	0
simulation	KC	pitching		6				1	4	8					9.0	1	37	158

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	SEA		SS	J.P. Crawford	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	SEA		1B	Josh Naylor	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	SEA		CF	Julio Rodríguez	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	SEA		LF	Randy Arozarena	0	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	SEA		RF	Luke Raley	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	SEA		2B	Cole Young	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	SEA		C	Mitch Garver	0	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.333
current	SEA		DH	Dominic Canzone	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	SEA		3B	Colt Emerson	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	KC		3B	Maikel Garcia	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	KC		C	Salvador Perez	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	KC		SS	Bobby Witt Jr.	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	KC		1B	Vinnie Pasquantino	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	KC		2B	Michael Massey	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	KC		DH	Carter Jensen	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	KC		LF	Isaac Collins	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	KC		RF	Jac Caglianone	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	KC		CF	Kyle Isbel	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	SEA	1	SS	J.P. Crawford	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0.200
simulation	SEA	2	CF	Julio Rodríguez	4	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	0.500
simulation	SEA	3	1B	Josh Naylor	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	SEA	4	LF	Randy Arozarena	4	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	SEA	5	RF	Luke Raley	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	SEA	6	2B	Cole Young	4	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	SEA	7	DH	Dominic Canzone	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	SEA	8	C	Mitch Garver	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	SEA	9	3B	Colt Emerson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	KC	1	3B	Maikel Garcia	4	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	KC	2	SS	Bobby Witt Jr.	4	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	KC	3	1B	Vinnie Pasquantino	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.000
simulation	KC	4	C	Salvador Perez	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	KC	5	DH	Carter Jensen	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	KC	6	RF	Jac Caglianone	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	KC	7	LF	Isaac Collins	4	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.667
simulation	KC	8	2B	Michael Massey	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.667
simulation	KC	9	CF	Kyle Isbel	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	SEA	1	Bryan Woo	Starter	6.0	8	3	3	2	7	0	0	4.50	3.51	0.98
current	SEA	3	José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.90	1.23
current	SEA	5	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	4.58	1.27
current	KC	1	Seth Lugo	Starter	5.2	3	0	0	3	4	0	0	0.00	3.68	1.40
current	KC	2	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	1.71	0.90
current	KC	3	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	3.26	1.45
current	KC	4	Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	6.75	3.86	1.34
simulation	SEA	1	Bryan Woo	Starter	6.0	8	3	3	2	7	28	108	4.50	3.51	0.98
simulation	SEA	2	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	2	14	0.00	4.58	1.27
simulation	SEA	3	José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	6	0.00	1.90	1.23
simulation	KC	1	Seth Lugo	Starter	5.2	3	0	0	3	4	23	94	0.00	3.68	1.40
simulation	KC	2	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	4	17	0.00	3.26	1.45
simulation	KC	3	Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	1	1	1	1	7	27	6.75	3.86	1.34
simulation	KC	4	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	3	20	0.00	1.71	0.90

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
SEA	Bryan Woo	Starter	6.0	3	8	2	7	28	108
SEA	José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	6
SEA	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	14
KC	Seth Lugo	Starter	5.2	0	3	3	4	23	94
KC	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	20
KC	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	17
KC	Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	2	1	1	7	27

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_STL@CIN

20260524_STL@CIN.json • 2026-05-24

STL 4 - CIN 1

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=4, sim=1; R: current=4, sim=1; HBP: current=0, sim=2).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: TJ Friedl: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Matt McLain: H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Spencer Steer: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Elly De La Cruz: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Tyler Stephenson: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=3; JJ Bleday: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Sal Stewart: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Will Benson: H current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=36; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=10).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	STL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Victor Scott II: AB current=3 box=5, H current=1 box=0; Alec Burleson: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; JJ Wetherholt: H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Masyn Winn: AB current=4 box=5, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; José Fermín: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Nolan Gorman: 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Pedro Pagés: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2; Jordan Walker: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	STL	BATTING_REALISM	current:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	STL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting walks match STL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting home runs match STL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting hits match STL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CIN PA=38 matches STL BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:STL batting walks match CIN pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:STL batting home runs match CIN pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:STL batting hits match CIN pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:STL batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:STL PA=38 matches CIN BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	STL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	STL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	STL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.492/0.667.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: STL 9, CIN 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: STL 4 - CIN 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: STL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for STL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_STL@CIN.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'CIN', 'confidence': 0.534718, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_STL@CIN.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_STL@CIN.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: STL@CIN.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 172.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 172.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: STL 3 - 2 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: STL 4 - 1 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: STL wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=STL, final=STL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 7/51 (0.137).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/52 (0.288).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: STL wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: STL wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 4-1 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: STL wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CIN wins and win_pct agree: 15/52 = 0.288.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	STL wins and win_pct agree: 7/51 = 0.137.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	STL	BATTING_REALISM	current:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	STL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting walks match STL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting home runs match STL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting hits match STL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CIN PA=38 matches STL BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:STL batting walks match CIN pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:STL batting home runs match CIN pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:STL batting hits match CIN pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:STL batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:STL PA=38 matches CIN BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CIN hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	STL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	STL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	STL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.492/0.667.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: STL 9, CIN 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: STL 4 - CIN 1.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: STL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for STL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_STL@CIN.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'CIN', 'confidence': 0.534718, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_STL@CIN.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_STL@CIN.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: STL@CIN.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 172.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 172.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: STL 3 - 2 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: STL 4 - 1 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: STL wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=STL, final=STL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 7/51 (0.137).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/52 (0.288).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: STL wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: STL wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-2, final 4-1 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: STL wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CIN wins and win_pct agree: 15/52 = 0.288.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	STL wins and win_pct agree: 7/51 = 0.137.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=4, sim=1; R: current=4, sim=1; HBP: current=0, sim=2).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CIN current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: TJ Friedl: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Matt McLain: H current=1 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1; Spencer Steer: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Elly De La Cruz: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Tyler Stephenson: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=3; JJ Bleday: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Sal Stewart: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Will Benson: H current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=36; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=10).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	STL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Victor Scott II: AB current=3 box=5, H current=1 box=0; Alec Burleson: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; JJ Wetherholt: H current=1 box=2, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Masyn Winn: AB current=4 box=5, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; José Fermín: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Nolan Gorman: 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Pedro Pagés: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=2; Jordan Walker: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.498039722442627	4.705519676208496		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	2	0.510	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	4	9
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	STL	batting	33	9	0	0	0	3	4	3	9	0	0	0	0
current	STL	pitching		7			1		1	2	9					9.0	1	0	0
current	CIN	batting	34	7	0	0	0	4	4	2	9	0	0	0	0
current	CIN	pitching		9			3		4	2	10					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	STL	batting	36	9	2	0	3	4	4	2	10	0	0
simulation	STL	pitching		7			1		1	2	9					9.0	1	38	153
simulation	CIN	batting	34	7	1	0	1	1	1	2	9	0	2
simulation	CIN	pitching		9			3		4	2	10					9.0	4	38	172

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	STL		DH	Victor Scott II	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	STL		C	Alec Burleson	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	STL		1B	JJ Wetherholt	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	STL		2B	Masyn Winn	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	STL		3B	José Fermín	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	STL		SS	Nolan Gorman	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	STL		LF	Pedro Pagés	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	STL		CF	Jordan Walker	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	STL		RF	Iván Herrera	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	CIN		DH	TJ Friedl	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	CIN		C	Matt McLain	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	CIN		1B	Spencer Steer	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	CIN		2B	Elly De La Cruz	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	CIN		3B	Tyler Stephenson	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	CIN		SS	JJ Bleday	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	CIN		LF	Sal Stewart	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	CIN		CF	Will Benson	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	CIN		RF	Nathaniel Lowe	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	STL	1	CF	Victor Scott II	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	STL	2	SS	Masyn Winn	5	5	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	STL	3	SS	JJ Wetherholt	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	STL	4	1B	Alec Burleson	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0.667
simulation	STL	5	C	Pedro Pagés	4	4	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	STL	6	3B	Nolan Gorman	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	STL	7	RF	Jordan Walker	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	STL	8	LF	José Fermín	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	STL	9	DH	Iván Herrera	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	CIN	1	CF	TJ Friedl	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	CIN	2	SS	Elly De La Cruz	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	CIN	3	2B	Matt McLain	4	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.750
simulation	CIN	4	LF	Spencer Steer	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	CIN	5	C	Tyler Stephenson	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	CIN	6	1B	Sal Stewart	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	CIN	7	RF	Will Benson	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	CIN	8	LF	JJ Bleday	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	CIN	9	DH	Nathaniel Lowe	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	STL	1	Brycen Mautz	Starter	3.0	5	1	1	2	6	0	0	0	3.00
current	STL	3	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.32	1.15
current	STL	5	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0.00	2.92	1.22
current	STL	6	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.96	0.99
current	STL	7	Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6.00	1.86
current	CIN	1	Brady Singer	Starter	4.0	7	3	3	0	5	2	0	0	6.75	6.26	1.70
current	CIN	2	Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	2.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.08	1.12
current	CIN	4	Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	2.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	4.50	3.38	1.22
current	CIN	5	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0.00	4.05	1.35
simulation	STL	1	Brycen Mautz	Starter	3.0	5	1	1	2	6	0	17	70	3.00
simulation	STL	2	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	6	24	0.00	2.96	0.99
simulation	STL	3	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	1	6	24	0.00	2.92	1.22
simulation	STL	4	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	21	0.00	3.32	1.15
simulation	STL	5	Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	14	0.00	6.00	1.86
simulation	CIN	1	Brady Singer	Starter	4.0	7	3	3	0	5	2	19	94	6.75	6.26	1.70
simulation	CIN	2	Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	2.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7	30	0.00	2.08	1.12
simulation	CIN	3	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	0	5	20	0.00	4.05	1.35
simulation	CIN	4	Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	2.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	7	28	4.50	3.38	1.22

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
STL	Brycen Mautz	Starter	3.0	1	5	2	6	17	70
STL	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	5	21
STL	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	1	0	2	6	24
STL	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	1	0	1	6	24
STL	Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	4	14
CIN	Brady Singer	Starter	4.0	3	7	0	5	19	94
CIN	Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	2.0	0	0	1	2	7	30
CIN	Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	2.0	1	1	0	0	7	28
CIN	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	3	5	20

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_TB@NYY

20260524_TB@NYY.json • 2026-05-24

TB 1 - NYY 2

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=30; H: current=8, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=3; R: current=5, sim=2; BB: current=3, sim=1; SO: current=10, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ben Rice: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Aaron Judge: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Trent Grisham: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Cody Bellinger: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0; Ryan McMahon: 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; José Caballero: SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=35; H: current=9, sim=8; RBI: current=4, sim=1; R: current=6, sim=1; BB: current=2, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TB current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jonathan Aranda: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Vilade: AB current=3 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0; Junior Caminero: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Yandy Díaz: AB current=4 box=5, SO current=1 box=0; Chandler Simpson: AB current=4 box=3, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Nick Fortes: H current=1 box=0; Cedric Mullins: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Carson Williams: R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TB	BATTING_REALISM	current:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TB	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match TB pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match TB pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match TB pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=31 matches TB BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TB batting walks match NYY pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TB batting home runs match NYY pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TB batting hits match NYY pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TB batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TB PA=40 matches NYY BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TB current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TB current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TB hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.709/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TB 8, NYY 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TB 1 - NYY 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.562815, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_TB@NYY.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.532153, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_TB@NYY.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_TB@NYY.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TB@NYY.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 128.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 165.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 165.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 128.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TB 1 - 2 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TB 1 - 2 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 2-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/49 (0.327).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/51 (0.294).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 1-2 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins and win_pct agree: 15/51 = 0.294.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TB wins and win_pct agree: 16/49 = 0.327.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TB	BATTING_REALISM	current:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TB	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match TB pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match TB pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match TB pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=31 matches TB BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TB batting walks match NYY pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TB batting home runs match NYY pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TB batting hits match NYY pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TB batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TB PA=40 matches NYY BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TB current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TB current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TB hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.709/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TB 8, NYY 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TB 1 - NYY 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 1, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.562815, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_TB@NYY.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'TB', 'confidence': 0.532153, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_TB@NYY.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_TB@NYY.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TB@NYY.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 128.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 165.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 165.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 128.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TB 1 - 2 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TB 1 - 2 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 2-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 16/49 (0.327).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/51 (0.294).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-2, final 1-2 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins and win_pct agree: 15/51 = 0.294.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TB wins and win_pct agree: 16/49 = 0.327.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=30; H: current=8, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=3; R: current=5, sim=2; BB: current=3, sim=1; SO: current=10, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ben Rice: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, SO current=1 box=0; Aaron Judge: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Trent Grisham: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Cody Bellinger: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0; Ryan McMahon: 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; José Caballero: SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=35; H: current=9, sim=8; RBI: current=4, sim=1; R: current=6, sim=1; BB: current=2, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TB current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Jonathan Aranda: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ryan Vilade: AB current=3 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0; Junior Caminero: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Yandy Díaz: AB current=4 box=5, SO current=1 box=0; Chandler Simpson: AB current=4 box=3, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Nick Fortes: H current=1 box=0; Cedric Mullins: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Carson Williams: R current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	2.9358572959899902	3.5452005863189697		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	3		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	2	0.510	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	8
NYY	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	TB	batting	34	9	0	0	4	6	2	9	0	0	0	0
current	TB	pitching		6				2	1	6					8.0	2	0	0
current	NYY	batting	33	8	0	0	2	5	3	10	0	0	0	0
current	NYY	pitching		8				1	4	6					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	TB	batting	35	8	0	0	1	1	4	6	0	1
simulation	TB	pitching		6				2	1	6					8.0	2	31	128
simulation	NYY	batting	30	6	3	0	2	2	1	6	0	0
simulation	NYY	pitching		8				1	4	6					9.0	1	40	165

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	TB		1B	Jonathan Aranda	0	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	TB		RF	Ryan Vilade	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	TB		3B	Junior Caminero	0	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	TB		DH	Yandy Díaz	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	TB		LF	Chandler Simpson	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.250
current	TB		C	Nick Fortes	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	TB		CF	Cedric Mullins	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	TB		2B	Carson Williams	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.250
current	TB		SS	Taylor Walls	0	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	NYY		DH	Ben Rice	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	NYY		RF	Aaron Judge	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	0.250
current	NYY		CF	Trent Grisham	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	NYY		LF	Cody Bellinger	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	NYY		1B	Paul Goldschmidt	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	NYY		2B	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	NYY		3B	Ryan McMahon	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	NYY		C	Austin Wells	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	NYY		SS	José Caballero	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	TB	1	DH	Yandy Díaz	5	5	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	TB	2	1B	Jonathan Aranda	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	TB	3	3B	Junior Caminero	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	TB	4	RF	Ryan Vilade	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	TB	5	LF	Chandler Simpson	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	TB	6	C	Nick Fortes	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	TB	7	SS	Taylor Walls	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	TB	8	CF	Cedric Mullins	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.667
simulation	TB	9	2B	Carson Williams	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	NYY	1	CF	Trent Grisham	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	2	RF	Aaron Judge	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	3	DH	Ben Rice	4	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	NYY	4	LF	Cody Bellinger	4	4	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	NYY	5	1B	Paul Goldschmidt	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	6	2B	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	7	SS	José Caballero	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	NYY	8	3B	Ryan McMahon	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	NYY	9	C	Austin Wells	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	TB	1	Drew Rasmussen	Starter	5.2	5	2	2	1	5	0	0	3.18	3.19	1.00
current	TB	2	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	2.53	1.03
current	TB	4	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.12	1.00
current	NYY	1	Ryan Weathers	Starter	5.2	4	0	0	2	3	0	0	0.00	3.58	1.13
current	NYY	2	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	9.00	4.91	1.59
current	NYY	3	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	2.18	1.31
current	NYY	5	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1.37	0.86
simulation	TB	1	Drew Rasmussen	Starter	5.2	5	2	2	1	5	23	90	3.18	3.19	1.00
simulation	TB	2	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	6	22	0.00	2.53	1.03
simulation	TB	3	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	2	16	0.00	3.12	1.00
simulation	NYY	1	Ryan Weathers	Starter	5.2	4	0	0	2	3	24	102	0.00	3.58	1.13
simulation	NYY	2	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	6	23	9.00	4.91	1.59
simulation	NYY	3	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	0	2	6	23	0.00	2.18	1.31
simulation	NYY	4	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	4	17	0.00	1.37	0.86

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
TB	Drew Rasmussen	Starter	5.2	2	5	1	5	23	90
TB	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	1	0	1	6	22
TB	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	16
NYY	Ryan Weathers	Starter	5.2	0	4	2	3	24	102
NYY	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	0	6	23
NYY	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	2	0	2	6	23
NYY	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	17

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_TEX@LAA

20260524_TEX@LAA.json • 2026-05-24

TEX 5 - LAA 0

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 91INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=35; H: current=9, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=1, sim=0; R: current=3, sim=0; BB: current=2, sim=1; SO: current=8, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vaughn Grissom: H current=1 box=0; Jorge Soler: R current=1 box=0; Mike Trout: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Zach Neto: R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jose Siri: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=2; Jo Adell: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Sebastián Rivero: AB current=3 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Adam Frazier: AB current=3 box=4		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=34; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=5; R: current=3, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Andrew McCutchen: AB current=3 box=4, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Justin Foscue: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1; Brandon Nimmo: BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=4 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Danny Jansen: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Ezequiel Duran: 2B current=0 box=1; Sam Haggerty: RBI current=0 box=2, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Kyle Higashioka: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 3-1, final 5-0 (delta 3).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match TEX pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match TEX pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match TEX pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=37 matches TEX BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting walks match LAA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting home runs match LAA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting hits match LAA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TEX PA=40 matches LAA BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TEX current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.598.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.598.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.402.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.431/0.601.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TEX 7, LAA 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TEX 5 - LAA 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TEX.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TEX.	{'winner_confidence': 0.598105, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.551585, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_TEX@LAA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_TEX@LAA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_TEX@LAA.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TEX@LAA.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TEX 3 - 1 LAA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TEX 5 - 0 LAA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TEX wins 5-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TEX, final=TEX.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.598.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 13/51 (0.255).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 9/53 (0.170).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TEX wins 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TEX wins 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TEX wins 5-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins and win_pct agree: 9/53 = 0.170.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TEX wins and win_pct agree: 13/51 = 0.255.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match TEX pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match TEX pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match TEX pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=37 matches TEX BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting walks match LAA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting home runs match LAA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting hits match LAA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TEX PA=40 matches LAA BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TEX current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TEX hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.598.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.598.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.402.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.431/0.601.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TEX 7, LAA 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TEX 5 - LAA 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: TEX.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for TEX.	{'winner_confidence': 0.598105, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.551585, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_TEX@LAA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'TEX', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_TEX@LAA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_TEX@LAA.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TEX@LAA.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 147.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 169.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 147.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TEX 3 - 1 LAA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TEX 5 - 0 LAA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TEX wins 5-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=TEX, final=TEX.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.598.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 13/51 (0.255).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 9/53 (0.170).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TEX wins 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TEX wins 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TEX wins 5-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins and win_pct agree: 9/53 = 0.170.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TEX wins and win_pct agree: 13/51 = 0.255.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=35; H: current=9, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=1, sim=0; R: current=3, sim=0; BB: current=2, sim=1; SO: current=8, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vaughn Grissom: H current=1 box=0; Jorge Soler: R current=1 box=0; Mike Trout: H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Zach Neto: R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Jose Siri: AB current=3 box=4, SO current=1 box=2; Jo Adell: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Sebastián Rivero: AB current=3 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Adam Frazier: AB current=3 box=4	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=32, sim=34; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=5; R: current=3, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TEX current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Andrew McCutchen: AB current=3 box=4, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; Justin Foscue: AB current=4 box=5, H current=1 box=2, HR current=0 box=1; Brandon Nimmo: BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Jake Burger: AB current=4 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Danny Jansen: H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Ezequiel Duran: 2B current=0 box=1; Sam Haggerty: RBI current=0 box=2, R current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Kyle Higashioka: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 3-1, final 5-0 (delta 3).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.276369094848633	4.123451232910156		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	1	0.598	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	5	0		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	7
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	TEX	batting	32	9	0	0	0	3	3	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	TEX	pitching		8			0		0	1	6					9.0	0	0	0
current	LAA	batting	33	9	0	0	0	1	3	2	8	0	0	0	0
current	LAA	pitching		7			1		5	5	6					9.0	5	0	0
simulation	TEX	batting	34	7	1	0	1	5	5	5	6	0	1
simulation	TEX	pitching		8			0		0	1	6					9.0	0	37	147
simulation	LAA	batting	35	8	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	0	1
simulation	LAA	pitching		7			1		5	5	6					9.0	5	40	169

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	TEX		LF	Andrew McCutchen	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	TEX		2B	Justin Foscue	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	TEX		RF	Brandon Nimmo	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	TEX		1B	Jake Burger	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	TEX		C	Danny Jansen	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	TEX		3B	Ezequiel Duran	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	TEX		CF	Sam Haggerty	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	TEX		DH	Kyle Higashioka	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	TEX		SS	Michael Helman	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	LAA		1B	Vaughn Grissom	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
current	LAA		DH	Jorge Soler	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	LAA		CF	Mike Trout	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
current	LAA		SS	Zach Neto	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
current	LAA		3B	Oswald Peraza	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	LAA		LF	Jose Siri	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	LAA		RF	Jo Adell	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	LAA		C	Sebastián Rivero	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	LAA		2B	Adam Frazier	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	TEX	1	LF	Andrew McCutchen	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	TEX	2	2B	Justin Foscue	5	5	2	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.400
simulation	TEX	3	RF	Brandon Nimmo	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	TEX	4	1B	Jake Burger	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	TEX	5	3B	Ezequiel Duran	4	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	TEX	6	C	Danny Jansen	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	TEX	7	CF	Sam Haggerty	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	TEX	8	DH	Kyle Higashioka	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	TEX	9	SS	Michael Helman	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	1	SS	Zach Neto	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	LAA	2	CF	Mike Trout	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	LAA	3	1B	Vaughn Grissom	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	LAA	4	DH	Jorge Soler	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	LAA	5	RF	Jo Adell	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	6	3B	Oswald Peraza	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	LAA	7	LF	Jose Siri	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	LAA	8	C	Sebastián Rivero	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	LAA	9	2B	Adam Frazier	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	TEX	1	MacKenzie Gore	Starter	5.2	5	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0.00	4.78	1.33
current	TEX	2	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.76	0.42
current	TEX	3	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.71	0.71
current	TEX	4	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.90	1.31
current	TEX	5	Chris Martin	Middle Reliever	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		8.59	1.91
current	LAA	1	Reid Detmers	Starter	5.0	6	5	5	5	4	1	0	0	9.00	5.07	1.29
current	LAA	2	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.52	0.96
current	LAA	3	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.26	1.11
current	LAA	4	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.81	1.23
current	LAA	5	José Fermin	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.18	1.41
current	LAA	6	Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.67	1.37
simulation	TEX	1	MacKenzie Gore	Starter	5.2	5	0	0	1	4	0	23	90	0.00	4.78	1.33
simulation	TEX	2	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	12	0.00	0.76	0.42
simulation	TEX	3	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	16	0.00	1.71	0.71
simulation	TEX	4	Chris Martin	Middle Reliever	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	13		8.59	1.91
simulation	TEX	5	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	16	0.00	1.90	1.31
simulation	LAA	1	Reid Detmers	Starter	5.0	6	5	5	5	4	1	26	101	9.00	5.07	1.29
simulation	LAA	2	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	3	0.00	4.81	1.23
simulation	LAA	3	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	17	0.00	2.52	0.96
simulation	LAA	4	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	17	0.00	4.26	1.11
simulation	LAA	5	José Fermin	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	18	0.00	3.18	1.41
simulation	LAA	6	Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.00	4.67	1.37

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
TEX	MacKenzie Gore	Starter	5.2	0	5	1	4	23	90
TEX	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	12
TEX	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
TEX	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16
TEX	Chris Martin	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	1	0	0	2	13
LAA	Reid Detmers	Starter	5.0	5	6	5	4	26	101
LAA	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	17
LAA	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17
LAA	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	3
LAA	José Fermin	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	2	18
LAA	Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	1	0	0	2	13

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260524_WAS@ATL

20260524_WAS@ATL.json • 2026-05-24

WAS 1 - ATL 4

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=30; H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=6, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=4 box=3; Matt Olson: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Ozzie Albies: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Mauricio Dubón: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Ha-Seong Kim: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Eli White: H current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Michael Harris II: AB current=4 box=3, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=32; H: current=8, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=4, sim=1; R: current=4, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=4).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	WAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Andrés Chaparro: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Curtis Mead: 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; James Wood: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; CJ Abrams: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Dylan Crews: H current=1 box=0; Jacob Young: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Daylen Lile: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Nasim Nuñez: H current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	current:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match WAS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match WAS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match WAS pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=31 matches WAS BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting walks match ATL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting home runs match ATL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting hits match ATL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:WAS PA=34 matches ATL BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	WAS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	WAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.470.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.498/0.678.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: WAS 5, ATL 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: WAS 1 - ATL 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.53, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_WAS@ATL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_WAS@ATL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_WAS@ATL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: WAS@ATL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 130.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 130.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 130.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 130.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: WAS 1 - 4 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: WAS 1 - 4 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.530.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/53 (0.264).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 14/52 (0.269).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-4, final 1-4 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 14/52 = 0.269.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	WAS wins and win_pct agree: 14/53 = 0.264.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	current:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match WAS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match WAS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match WAS pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=31 matches WAS BF=31.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting walks match ATL pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting home runs match ATL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting hits match ATL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:WAS PA=34 matches ATL BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	WAS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	WAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.470.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.530.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.498/0.678.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: WAS 5, ATL 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: WAS 1 - ATL 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.53, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 2, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-23', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260523_WAS@ATL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-22', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.53, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260522_WAS@ATL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-24.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260524_WAS@ATL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: WAS@ATL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 130.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 130.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 130.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 130.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: WAS 1 - 4 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: WAS 1 - 4 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.530.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/53 (0.264).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 14/52 (0.269).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 1-4, final 1-4 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 14/52 = 0.269.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	WAS wins and win_pct agree: 14/53 = 0.264.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=34, sim=30; H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; R: current=6, sim=4; BB: current=3, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=4 box=3; Matt Olson: 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Ozzie Albies: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=3, SO current=1 box=0; Mauricio Dubón: RBI current=1 box=0, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Ha-Seong Kim: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Eli White: H current=1 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Michael Harris II: AB current=4 box=3, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=33, sim=32; H: current=8, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=4, sim=1; R: current=4, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=4).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	WAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Andrés Chaparro: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2; Curtis Mead: 2B current=0 box=1, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; James Wood: H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; CJ Abrams: H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Dylan Crews: H current=1 box=0; Jacob Young: AB current=4 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Daylen Lile: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Nasim Nuñez: H current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.2642784118652344	5.52973747253418		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	6		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	1	4	0.530	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	1	4		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	1	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	4		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5
ATL	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	WAS	batting	33	8	0	0	0	4	4	2	9	0	0	0	0
current	WAS	pitching		6			1		4	1	7					8.0	4	0	0
current	ATL	batting	34	9	0	0	0	4	6	3	9	0	0	0	0
current	ATL	pitching		5			0		1	2	4					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	WAS	batting	32	5	2	0	0	1	1	2	4	0	0
simulation	WAS	pitching		6			1		4	1	7					8.0	4	31	130
simulation	ATL	batting	30	6	1	0	1	4	4	1	7	0	0
simulation	ATL	pitching		5			0		1	2	4					9.0	1	34	130

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	WAS		1B	Andrés Chaparro	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	WAS		3B	Curtis Mead	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	WAS		LF	James Wood	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	WAS		SS	CJ Abrams	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	WAS		RF	Dylan Crews	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	WAS		CF	Jacob Young	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
current	WAS		DH	Daylen Lile	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	WAS		2B	Nasim Nuñez	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	WAS		C	Keibert Ruiz	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.333
current	ATL		DH	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	ATL		1B	Matt Olson	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	ATL		2B	Ozzie Albies	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	ATL		LF	Mauricio Dubón	0	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
current	ATL		SS	Ha-Seong Kim	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	ATL		RF	Eli White	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	ATL		3B	Austin Riley	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	ATL		CF	Michael Harris II	0	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	ATL		C	Sandy León	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	WAS	1	LF	James Wood	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	WAS	2	3B	Curtis Mead	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	WAS	3	1B	Andrés Chaparro	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	WAS	4	SS	CJ Abrams	4	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0.500
simulation	WAS	5	RF	Dylan Crews	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	WAS	6	DH	Daylen Lile	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	WAS	7	CF	Jacob Young	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	WAS	8	2B	Nasim Nuñez	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	WAS	9	C	Keibert Ruiz	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	1	DH	Ronald Acuña Jr.	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	ATL	2	LF	Mauricio Dubón	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0.250
simulation	ATL	3	1B	Matt Olson	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	ATL	4	2B	Ozzie Albies	4	4	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	5	3B	Austin Riley	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	ATL	6	CF	Michael Harris II	3	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	ATL	7	RF	Eli White	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	ATL	8	SS	Ha-Seong Kim	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	ATL	9	C	Sandy León	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	WAS	1	Foster Griffin	Starter	5.1	6	4	4	1	4	1	0	0	6.75	4.02	1.18
current	WAS	2	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.83	1.03
current	WAS	4	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	3.66	1.42
current	ATL	1	Martín Pérez	Starter	5.0	5	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	1.80	2.85	1.00
current	ATL	2	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.11	0.62
current	ATL	3	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.70
current	ATL	4	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.81	0.90
simulation	WAS	1	Foster Griffin	Starter	5.1	6	4	4	1	4	1	23	93	6.75	4.02	1.18
simulation	WAS	2	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	17	0.00	3.66	1.42
simulation	WAS	3	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	20	0.00	2.83	1.03
simulation	ATL	1	Martín Pérez	Starter	5.0	5	1	1	1	4	0	21	82	1.80	2.85	1.00
simulation	ATL	2	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	0.00	0.70
simulation	ATL	3	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	14	0.00	0.81	0.90
simulation	ATL	4	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	17	0.00	1.11	0.62

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
WAS	Foster Griffin	Starter	5.1	4	6	1	4	23	93
WAS	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	20
WAS	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	2	4	17
ATL	Martín Pérez	Starter	5.0	1	5	1	4	21	82
ATL	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	0	4	17
ATL	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	17
ATL	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	5	14

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.