MLB JSON Audit Report

20260521_ATL@MIA

20260521_ATL@MIA.json • 2026-05-21

ATL 3 - MIA 2

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 1ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 91INFO 7

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Batting Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	MIA	current:MIA has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	MIA		BATTING_REALISM	current:MIA has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIA has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=36; H: current=15, sim=9; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=12, sim=3; R: current=11, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=5; SO: current=15, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Michael Harris II: AB current=8 box=5, HR current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Matt Olson: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=3 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Ozzie Albies: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dominic Smith: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mike Yastrzemski: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ha-Seong Kim: AB current=6 box=2, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=34; H: current=16, sim=7; 2B: current=3, sim=4; RBI: current=10, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Liam Hicks: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Otto Lopez: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Xavier Edwards: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Kyle Stowers: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jakob Marsee: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Joe Mack: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=3 box=1; Christopher Morel: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Owen Caissie: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match MIA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match MIA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match MIA pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=42 matches MIA BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting walks match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting home runs match ATL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting hits match ATL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIA PA=37 matches ATL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.584.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.584.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.416.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.659/0.878.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ATL 9, MIA 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ATL 3 - MIA 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5838289999999999, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'MIA', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_ATL@MIA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'MIA', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_ATL@MIA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.542592, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_ATL@MIA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_ATL@MIA.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ATL@MIA.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 148.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 178.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 148.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 178.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ATL 3 - 1 MIA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ATL 3 - 2 MIA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 3-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.584.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/50 (0.280).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 17/49 (0.347).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 3-2 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 14/50 = 0.280.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIA wins and win_pct agree: 17/49 = 0.347.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match MIA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match MIA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match MIA pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=42 matches MIA BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting walks match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting home runs match ATL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting hits match ATL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIA PA=37 matches ATL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ATL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	MIA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.584.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.584.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.416.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 4.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.659/0.878.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ATL 9, MIA 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ATL 3 - MIA 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ATL.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ATL.	{'winner_confidence': 0.5838289999999999, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'MIA', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_ATL@MIA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'MIA', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_ATL@MIA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'ATL', 'confidence': 0.542592, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_ATL@MIA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_ATL@MIA.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ATL@MIA.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 148.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 178.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 148.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 178.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ATL 3 - 1 MIA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ATL 3 - 2 MIA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 3-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ATL, final=ATL.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.584.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 14/50 (0.280).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 17/49 (0.347).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 3-2 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins and win_pct agree: 14/50 = 0.280.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIA wins and win_pct agree: 17/49 = 0.347.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=36; H: current=15, sim=9; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=12, sim=3; R: current=11, sim=3; BB: current=8, sim=5; SO: current=15, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Michael Harris II: AB current=8 box=5, HR current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Matt Olson: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=3 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Ronald Acuña Jr.: AB current=9 box=5, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Ozzie Albies: AB current=9 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Austin Riley: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dominic Smith: AB current=5 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Mike Yastrzemski: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ha-Seong Kim: AB current=6 box=2, BB current=1 box=2, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=34; H: current=16, sim=7; 2B: current=3, sim=4; RBI: current=10, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=6, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	MIA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Liam Hicks: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Otto Lopez: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Xavier Edwards: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Kyle Stowers: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jakob Marsee: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Joe Mack: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=1, SO current=3 box=1; Christopher Morel: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Owen Caissie: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=0 box=2, RBI current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.031492710113525	3.0852808952331543		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	3		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	1	0.584	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	3	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	3	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	9
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	ATL	batting	64	15	2	0	1	12	11	8	15	0	0	0	0
current	ATL	pitching		7			0		2	3	8					9.0	2	0	0
current	MIA	batting	66	16	3	0	0	10	9	6	16	0	0	0	0
current	MIA	pitching		9			0		3	5	8					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	ATL	batting	36	9	1	0	0	3	3	5	8	0	1
simulation	ATL	pitching		7			0		2	3	8					9.0	2	37	148
simulation	MIA	batting	34	7	4	0	0	2	2	3	8	0	0
simulation	MIA	pitching		9			0		3	5	8					9.0	3	42	178

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	ATL		CF	Michael Harris II	0	8	2	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
current	ATL		1B	Matt Olson	0	9	2	1	0	2	3	2	2	0	0.222
current	ATL		RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0	9	3	1	0	2	1	2	2	0	0.333
current	ATL		2B	Ozzie Albies	0	9	2	0	0	2	2	1	1	0	0.222
current	ATL		3B	Austin Riley	0	9	2	0	0	1	2	1	3	0	0.222
current	ATL		DH	Dominic Smith	0	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.200
current	ATL		LF	Mike Yastrzemski	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	ATL		SS	Ha-Seong Kim	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.167
current	ATL		C	Chadwick Tromp	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIA		DH	Liam Hicks	0	7	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	0	0.286
current	MIA		SS	Otto Lopez	0	9	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
current	MIA		2B	Xavier Edwards	0	9	2	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	0.222
current	MIA		LF	Kyle Stowers	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	MIA		CF	Jakob Marsee	0	8	2	0	0	2	1	2	2	0	0.250
current	MIA		C	Joe Mack	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	0.167
current	MIA		1B	Christopher Morel	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.167
current	MIA		RF	Owen Caissie	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	0.167
current	MIA		3B	Javier Sanoja	0	7	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	0.286
simulation	ATL	1	RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.200
simulation	ATL	2	CF	Michael Harris II	5	5	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.400
simulation	ATL	3	1B	Matt Olson	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.200
simulation	ATL	4	2B	Ozzie Albies	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	5	DH	Dominic Smith	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0.000
simulation	ATL	6	3B	Austin Riley	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	7	LF	Mike Yastrzemski	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	ATL	8	SS	Ha-Seong Kim	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0.500
simulation	ATL	9	C	Chadwick Tromp	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	MIA	1	2B	Xavier Edwards	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIA	2	DH	Liam Hicks	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIA	3	SS	Otto Lopez	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIA	4	LF	Kyle Stowers	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	MIA	5	CF	Jakob Marsee	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIA	6	1B	Christopher Morel	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	MIA	7	RF	Owen Caissie	4	4	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	MIA	8	C	Joe Mack	4	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	MIA	9	3B	Javier Sanoja	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	ATL	1	Spencer Strider	Starter	5.0	4	1	1	2	5	0	0	1.80	2.45	1.23
current	ATL	2	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.79	0.53
current	ATL	3	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.75
current	ATL	4	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	9.00	0.44	0.89
current	ATL	5	Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	3.92	1.35
current	MIA	1	Sandy Alcantara	Starter	5.2	6	2	2	3	4	0	0	3.18	3.53	1.26
current	MIA	2	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	3.79	1.05
current	MIA	3	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0.00	4.19	1.66
current	MIA	4	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	1	1	1	1	0	0	9.00	9.00	1.50
current	MIA	5	Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.20	1.27
simulation	ATL	1	Spencer Strider	Starter	5.0	4	1	1	2	5	21	87	1.80	2.45	1.23
simulation	ATL	2	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	14	0.00	0.00	0.75
simulation	ATL	3	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	5	14	9.00	0.44	0.89
simulation	ATL	4	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	4	17	0.00	0.79	0.53
simulation	ATL	5	Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	4	16	0.00	3.92	1.35
simulation	MIA	1	Sandy Alcantara	Starter	5.2	6	2	2	3	4	27	101	3.18	3.53	1.26
simulation	MIA	2	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	1	1	1	1	7	26	9.00	9.00	1.50
simulation	MIA	3	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	4	19	0.00	4.19	1.66
simulation	MIA	4	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	13	0.00	3.79	1.05
simulation	MIA	5	Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	19	0.00	1.20	1.27

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
ATL	Spencer Strider	Starter	5.0	1	4	2	5	21	87
ATL	Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	17
ATL	Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	14
ATL	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	0	0	5	14
ATL	Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
MIA	Sandy Alcantara	Starter	5.2	2	6	3	4	27	101
MIA	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	13
MIA	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	2	4	19
MIA	Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	3	1	1	7	26
MIA	Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	19

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	critical	1	3	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	0	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	0	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	0	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	0	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	0	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	0	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260521_CLE@DET

20260521_CLE@DET.json • 2026-05-21

CLE 5 - DET 0

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 91INFO 8

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=38; H: current=17, sim=11; 2B: current=3, sim=4; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=10, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=10, sim=3; SO: current=12, sim=14).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Daniel Schneemann: AB current=7 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Rhys Hoskins: AB current=6 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; José Ramírez: AB current=9 box=5, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, BB current=2 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1; Travis Bazzana: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Angel Martínez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Steven Kwan: AB current=8 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0, BB current=2 box=1; Patrick Bailey: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=31; H: current=11, sim=4; 2B: current=3, sim=0; RBI: current=5, sim=0; R: current=7, sim=0; BB: current=7, sim=0; SO: current=14, sim=5; HBP: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kevin McGonigle: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Matt Vierling: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Riley Greene: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jahmai Jones: BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Hao-Yu Lee: AB current=5 box=3, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 3-2, final 5-0 (delta 4).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match DET pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match DET pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match DET pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 14.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=41 matches DET BF=41.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match CLE pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match CLE pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match CLE pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=32 matches CLE BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.520.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.520.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.480.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.712/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CLE 11, DET 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CLE 5 - DET 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CLE.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CLE.	{'winner_confidence': 0.520239, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 3, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'CLE', 'confidence': 0.553085, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_CLE@DET.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'CLE', 'confidence': 0.581221, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_CLE@DET.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'CLE', 'confidence': 0.576132, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_CLE@DET.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_CLE@DET.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CLE@DET.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 131.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 176.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 131.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 176.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CLE 3 - 2 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CLE 5 - 0 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CLE wins 5-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CLE, final=CLE.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.520.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 23/51 (0.451).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/50 (0.240).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CLE wins 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CLE wins 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CLE wins 5-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins and win_pct agree: 23/51 = 0.451.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 12/50 = 0.240.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match DET pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match DET pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match DET pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 14.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=41 matches DET BF=41.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match CLE pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match CLE pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match CLE pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=32 matches CLE BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 0.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	CLE hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	DET hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.520.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.520.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.480.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.712/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CLE 11, DET 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CLE 5 - DET 0.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: CLE.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for CLE.	{'winner_confidence': 0.520239, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 3, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'CLE', 'confidence': 0.553085, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_CLE@DET.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'CLE', 'confidence': 0.581221, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_CLE@DET.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'CLE', 'confidence': 0.576132, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_CLE@DET.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_CLE@DET.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CLE@DET.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 131.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 176.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 131.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 176.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CLE 3 - 2 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CLE 5 - 0 DET.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CLE wins 5-0.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=CLE, final=CLE.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.520.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 23/51 (0.451).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 12/50 (0.240).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CLE wins 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CLE wins 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-0.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CLE wins 5-0.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins and win_pct agree: 23/51 = 0.451.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins and win_pct agree: 12/50 = 0.240.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=38; H: current=17, sim=11; 2B: current=3, sim=4; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=10, sim=5; R: current=9, sim=5; BB: current=10, sim=3; SO: current=12, sim=14).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Daniel Schneemann: AB current=7 box=5, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Rhys Hoskins: AB current=6 box=5, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; José Ramírez: AB current=9 box=5, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, BB current=2 box=0; Chase DeLauter: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1; Travis Bazzana: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Angel Martínez: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=1 box=2; Steven Kwan: AB current=8 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0, BB current=2 box=1; Patrick Bailey: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=2	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=31; H: current=11, sim=4; 2B: current=3, sim=0; RBI: current=5, sim=0; R: current=7, sim=0; BB: current=7, sim=0; SO: current=14, sim=5; HBP: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Kevin McGonigle: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Matt Vierling: AB current=7 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Riley Greene: AB current=8 box=4, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Dillon Dingler: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jahmai Jones: BB current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0, HBP current=0 box=1; Spencer Torkelson: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Wenceel Pérez: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Hao-Yu Lee: AB current=5 box=3, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 3-2, final 5-0 (delta 4).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	2.563598871231079	4.4367289543151855		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	1	0.520	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	2		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
target_tie_break	3	2		Resolved tied pre-simulation target using calibrated winner probability
capped_target	3	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	5	0		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	5	11
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	CLE	batting	68	17	3	0	1	10	9	10	12	0	0	0	0
current	CLE	pitching		4			0		0	0	5					9.0	0	0	0
current	DET	batting	56	11	3	0	0	5	7	7	14	0	0	0	0
current	DET	pitching		11			0		5	3	14					9.0	5	0	0
simulation	CLE	batting	38	11	4	0	0	5	5	3	14	0	0
simulation	CLE	pitching		4			0		0	0	5					9.0	0	32	131
simulation	DET	batting	31	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	1
simulation	DET	pitching		11			0		5	3	14					9.0	5	41	176

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	CLE		3B	Daniel Schneemann	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	CLE		1B	Rhys Hoskins	0	6	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.167
current	CLE		DH	José Ramírez	0	9	2	1	1	1	1	2	1	0	0.222
current	CLE		RF	Chase DeLauter	0	9	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	0	0.222
current	CLE		2B	Travis Bazzana	0	8	3	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	0.375
current	CLE		LF	Angel Martínez	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	CLE		CF	Steven Kwan	0	8	2	1	0	2	1	2	1	0	0.250
current	CLE		C	Patrick Bailey	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.167
current	CLE		SS	Brayan Rocchio	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.286
current	DET		3B	Kevin McGonigle	0	9	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	DET		CF	Matt Vierling	0	7	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.143
current	DET		LF	Riley Greene	0	8	3	1	0	2	1	1	2	0	0.375
current	DET		C	Dillon Dingler	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	DET		DH	Jahmai Jones	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
current	DET		1B	Spencer Torkelson	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.143
current	DET		RF	Wenceel Pérez	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.167
current	DET		2B	Hao-Yu Lee	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
current	DET		SS	Zack Short	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	1	3B	Daniel Schneemann	5	5	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.400
simulation	CLE	2	DH	José Ramírez	5	5	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.400
simulation	CLE	3	RF	Chase DeLauter	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	CLE	4	1B	Rhys Hoskins	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.200
simulation	CLE	5	2B	Travis Bazzana	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	6	LF	Angel Martínez	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	CLE	7	CF	Steven Kwan	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.667
simulation	CLE	8	C	Patrick Bailey	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	9	SS	Brayan Rocchio	4	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.500
simulation	DET	1	CF	Matt Vierling	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	DET	2	3B	Kevin McGonigle	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	DET	3	C	Dillon Dingler	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	DET	4	LF	Riley Greene	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	DET	5	DH	Jahmai Jones	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	DET	6	1B	Spencer Torkelson	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	DET	7	RF	Wenceel Pérez	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	DET	8	2B	Hao-Yu Lee	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	DET	9	SS	Zack Short	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	CLE	1	Joey Cantillo	Starter	5.0	4	0	0	0	4	0	0	0.00	3.40	1.35
current	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	2.66	1.14
current	CLE	3	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4.91	1.45
current	CLE	4	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.69	1.22
current	CLE	5	Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1.71	0.95
current	DET	1	Casey Mize	Starter	5.1	5	1	1	3	7	0	0	1.69	2.43	1.05
current	DET	2	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	2.02	0.90
current	DET	3	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.79	1.32
current	DET	4	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	5	4	4	0	2	0	0	36.00	5.93	1.39
simulation	CLE	1	Joey Cantillo	Starter	5.0	4	0	0	0	4	20	84	0.00	3.40	1.35
simulation	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	14	0.00	2.66	1.14
simulation	CLE	3	Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.00	1.71	0.95
simulation	CLE	4	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	4.91	1.45
simulation	CLE	5	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	0.00	1.69	1.22
simulation	DET	1	Casey Mize	Starter	5.1	5	1	1	3	7	24	106	1.69	2.43	1.05
simulation	DET	2	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	6	25	0.00	2.02	0.90
simulation	DET	3	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	3	17	0.00	0.79	1.32
simulation	DET	4	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	5	4	4	0	2	8	28	36.00	5.93	1.39

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
CLE	Joey Cantillo	Starter	5.0	0	4	0	4	20	84
CLE	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	14
CLE	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	17
CLE	Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	3
CLE	Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	13
DET	Casey Mize	Starter	5.1	1	5	3	7	24	106
DET	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	1	0	2	6	25
DET	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	3	3	17
DET	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	4	5	0	2	8	28

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260521_COL@ARI

20260521_COL@ARI.json • 2026-05-21

COL 3 - ARI 5

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=72, sim=32; H: current=18, sim=8; 2B: current=4, sim=1; 3B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=1, sim=3; RBI: current=12, sim=5; R: current=12, sim=5; BB: current=8, sim=4).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nolan Arenado: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Geraldo Perdomo: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Corbin Carroll: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, 3B current=1 box=0; Ketel Marte: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gabriel Moreno: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=3, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, HR current=0 box=2, R current=2 box=1; Adrian Del Castillo: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=7; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=6).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	COL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Willi Castro: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Hunter Goodman: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tyler Freeman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Kyle Karros: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Chad Stevens: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jake McCarthy: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 3B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Braxton Fulford: AB current=3 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	COL	BATTING_REALISM	current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	COL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match COL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match COL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match COL pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=36 matches COL BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:COL batting walks match ARI pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:COL batting home runs match ARI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:COL batting hits match ARI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:COL batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:COL PA=36 matches ARI BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	COL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	COL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	COL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.404.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.596.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.596.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.500/0.689.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: COL 7, ARI 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: COL 3 - ARI 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ARI.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ARI.	{'winner_confidence': 0.596417, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-17', 'predicted_team': 'COL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260517_ARI@COL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-16', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.588131, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260516_ARI@COL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-15', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.5236620000000001, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260515_ARI@COL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_COL@ARI.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: COL@ARI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: COL 2 - 4 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: COL 3 - 5 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ARI wins 5-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ARI, final=ARI.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.596.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 6/49 (0.122).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 19/48 (0.396).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ARI wins 5-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ARI wins 3-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-4, final 3-5 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ARI wins 5-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins and win_pct agree: 19/48 = 0.396.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	COL wins and win_pct agree: 6/49 = 0.122.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	COL	BATTING_REALISM	current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	COL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match COL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match COL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match COL pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=36 matches COL BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:COL batting walks match ARI pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:COL batting home runs match ARI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:COL batting hits match ARI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:COL batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:COL PA=36 matches ARI BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	ARI hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	COL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	COL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	COL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.404.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.596.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.596.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.500/0.689.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: COL 7, ARI 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: COL 3 - ARI 5.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: ARI.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for ARI.	{'winner_confidence': 0.596417, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-17', 'predicted_team': 'COL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260517_ARI@COL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-16', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.588131, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260516_ARI@COL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-15', 'predicted_team': 'ARI', 'confidence': 0.5236620000000001, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260515_ARI@COL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_COL@ARI.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: COL@ARI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 153.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 153.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: COL 2 - 4 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: COL 3 - 5 ARI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ARI wins 5-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=ARI, final=ARI.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.596.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 6/49 (0.122).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 19/48 (0.396).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ARI wins 5-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ARI wins 3-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-4, final 3-5 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ARI wins 5-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins and win_pct agree: 19/48 = 0.396.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	COL wins and win_pct agree: 6/49 = 0.122.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=72, sim=32; H: current=18, sim=8; 2B: current=4, sim=1; 3B: current=1, sim=0; HR: current=1, sim=3; RBI: current=12, sim=5; R: current=12, sim=5; BB: current=8, sim=4).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Nolan Arenado: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Geraldo Perdomo: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Corbin Carroll: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, 3B current=1 box=0; Ketel Marte: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=1; Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Gabriel Moreno: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=3, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=0; Ildemaro Vargas: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, HR current=0 box=2, R current=2 box=1; Adrian Del Castillo: AB current=7 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=56, sim=34; H: current=14, sim=7; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=3; R: current=8, sim=3; BB: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=6).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	COL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Willi Castro: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Hunter Goodman: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Tyler Freeman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Ezequiel Tovar: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Kyle Karros: AB current=6 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Chad Stevens: HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, R current=0 box=1; Jake McCarthy: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 3B current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0; Braxton Fulford: AB current=3 box=4, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.548696517944336	6.3532819747924805		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	7		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	4	0.596	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	4		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	5		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	7
ARI	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	COL	batting	56	14	2	0	0	7	8	5	14	0	0	0	0
current	COL	pitching		8			3		5	4	5					8.0	5	0	0
current	ARI	batting	72	18	4	1	1	12	12	8	16	0	0	0	0
current	ARI	pitching		7			1		3	2	6					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	COL	batting	34	7	2	1	1	3	3	2	6	0	0
simulation	COL	pitching		8			3		5	4	5					8.0	5	36	156
simulation	ARI	batting	32	8	1	0	3	5	5	4	5	0	0
simulation	ARI	pitching		7			1		3	2	6					9.0	3	36	153

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	COL		1B	Willi Castro	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	COL		C	Hunter Goodman	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.250
current	COL		RF	Tyler Freeman	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.286
current	COL		SS	Ezequiel Tovar	0	8	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	COL		3B	Kyle Karros	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.167
current	COL		2B	Chad Stevens	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	COL		CF	Jake McCarthy	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.167
current	COL		DH	Braxton Fulford	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	COL		LF	Troy Johnston	0	7	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	ARI		3B	Nolan Arenado	0	8	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0.250
current	ARI		SS	Geraldo Perdomo	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	0.250
current	ARI		RF	Corbin Carroll	0	8	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	2	0.250
current	ARI		2B	Ketel Marte	0	10	3	0	0	1	2	2	1	2	0.300
current	ARI		LF	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	ARI		C	Gabriel Moreno	0	8	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	ARI		1B	Ildemaro Vargas	0	9	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0.333
current	ARI		DH	Adrian Del Castillo	0	7	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.143
current	ARI		CF	Ryan Waldschmidt	0	6	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.167
simulation	COL	1	1B	Willi Castro	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	COL	2	RF	Tyler Freeman	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	COL	3	C	Hunter Goodman	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	COL	4	SS	Ezequiel Tovar	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	COL	5	3B	Kyle Karros	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	COL	6	CF	Jake McCarthy	4	4	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0.500
simulation	COL	7	DH	Braxton Fulford	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	COL	8	LF	Troy Johnston	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	COL	9	2B	Chad Stevens	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	ARI	1	2B	Ketel Marte	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	ARI	2	RF	Corbin Carroll	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	ARI	3	SS	Geraldo Perdomo	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	ARI	4	3B	Nolan Arenado	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	ARI	5	1B	Ildemaro Vargas	4	4	2	0	0	2	1	2	0	0	0.500
simulation	ARI	6	LF	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	7	C	Gabriel Moreno	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.750
simulation	ARI	8	DH	Adrian Del Castillo	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	ARI	9	CF	Ryan Waldschmidt	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	COL	1	Zach Agnos	Starter	4.1	7	5	5	1	3	3	0	0	10.38	5.59	1.41
current	COL	2	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.19	0.82
current	COL	3	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.84	1.37
current	COL	4	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.80	1.48
current	COL	5	Seth Halvorsen	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.57	1.71
current	COL	6	Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		3.86	1.34
current	ARI	1	Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	6.2	2	1	1	1	6	0	0	0	1.35	2.53	1.26
current	ARI	3	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	9.00	10.80	2.40
current	ARI	5	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
current	ARI	6	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.1	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	27.00	108.00	9.00
simulation	COL	1	Zach Agnos	Starter	4.1	7	5	5	1	3	3	21	80	10.38	5.59	1.41
simulation	COL	2	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	0	6	8	0.00	1.19	0.82
simulation	COL	3	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	20	0.00	3.80	1.48
simulation	COL	4	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	16	0.00	2.84	1.37
simulation	COL	5	Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13		3.86	1.34
simulation	COL	6	Seth Halvorsen	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	19	0.00	2.57	1.71
simulation	ARI	1	Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	6.2	2	1	1	1	6	0	23	100	1.35	2.53	1.26
simulation	ARI	2	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	16	0.00	0.00	0.00
simulation	ARI	3	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	4	20	9.00	10.80	2.40
simulation	ARI	4	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.1	3	1	1	1	0	0	5	17	27.00	108.00	9.00

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
COL	Zach Agnos	Starter	4.1	5	7	1	3	21	80
COL	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	2	1	6	8
COL	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	16
COL	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	20
COL	Seth Halvorsen	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	1	1	0	4	19
COL	Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13
ARI	Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	6.2	1	2	1	6	23	100
ARI	Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	0	4	20
ARI	Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16
ARI	Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	3	1	0	5	17

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260521_NYM@WAS

20260521_NYM@WAS.json • 2026-05-21

NYM 5 - WAS 2

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 92INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=36; H: current=18, sim=9; HR: current=2, sim=3; RBI: current=10, sim=5; R: current=11, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=17, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carson Benge: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Mark Vientos: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Bo Bichette: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Juan Soto: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Brett Baty: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Marcus Semien: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; MJ Melendez: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; A.J. Ewing: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=33; H: current=17, sim=7; 2B: current=5, sim=0; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=11, sim=2; R: current=11, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=5).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	WAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Curtis Mead: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, SF current=0 box=1; Andrés Chaparro: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 3B current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; CJ Abrams: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; James Wood: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Daylen Lile: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Nasim Nuñez: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dylan Crews: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Jacob Young: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	current:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting walks match WAS pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting home runs match WAS pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting hits match WAS pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYM PA=39 matches WAS BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting walks match NYM pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting home runs match NYM pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting hits match NYM pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:WAS PA=39 matches NYM BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYM current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	WAS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	WAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.467.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.454/0.636.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: NYM 9, WAS 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: NYM 5 - WAS 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYM.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYM.	{'winner_confidence': 0.532965, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'WAS', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_NYM@WAS.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'WAS', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_NYM@WAS.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'WAS', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_NYM@WAS.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_NYM@WAS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: NYM@WAS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 163.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 163.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYM 4 - 3 WAS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: NYM 5 - 2 WAS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYM, final=NYM.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.533.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 19/48 (0.396).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 14/50 (0.280).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-3, final 5-2 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYM wins and win_pct agree: 19/48 = 0.396.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	WAS wins and win_pct agree: 14/50 = 0.280.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	current:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting walks match WAS pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting home runs match WAS pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting hits match WAS pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYM PA=39 matches WAS BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting walks match NYM pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting home runs match NYM pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting hits match NYM pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:WAS PA=39 matches NYM BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYM current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYM hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	WAS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	WAS hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.533.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.467.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 7.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.454/0.636.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: NYM 9, WAS 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: NYM 5 - WAS 2.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYM.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYM.	{'winner_confidence': 0.532965, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'WAS', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_NYM@WAS.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'WAS', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_NYM@WAS.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'WAS', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_NYM@WAS.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_NYM@WAS.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: NYM@WAS.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 163.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 163.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYM 4 - 3 WAS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: NYM 5 - 2 WAS.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYM, final=NYM.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.533.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 19/48 (0.396).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 14/50 (0.280).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-3, final 5-2 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYM wins 5-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYM wins and win_pct agree: 19/48 = 0.396.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	WAS wins and win_pct agree: 14/50 = 0.280.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=66, sim=36; H: current=18, sim=9; HR: current=2, sim=3; RBI: current=10, sim=5; R: current=11, sim=5; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=17, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYM current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Carson Benge: AB current=8 box=5, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Mark Vientos: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Bo Bichette: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Juan Soto: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Brett Baty: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Marcus Semien: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; MJ Melendez: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; A.J. Ewing: AB current=6 box=3, RBI current=1 box=0, BB current=2 box=1, SO current=2 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=64, sim=33; H: current=17, sim=7; 2B: current=5, sim=0; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=2, sim=0; RBI: current=11, sim=2; R: current=11, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=5).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	WAS current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Curtis Mead: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, SF current=0 box=1; Andrés Chaparro: AB current=3 box=4, H current=1 box=2, 3B current=0 box=1, BB current=0 box=1; CJ Abrams: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; James Wood: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=2, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Daylen Lile: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Nasim Nuñez: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Dylan Crews: AB current=5 box=4, H current=1 box=0; Jacob Young: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.913793087005615	4.844255447387695		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	4	3	0.533	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	4	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	4	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	5	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	5	9
WAS	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	NYM	batting	66	18	1	0	2	10	11	7	17	0	0	0	0
current	NYM	pitching		7			0		2	5	7					9.0	2	0	0
current	WAS	batting	64	17	5	0	2	11	11	7	14	0	0	0	0
current	WAS	pitching		9			3		5	3	8					9.0	5	0	0
simulation	NYM	batting	36	9	1	0	3	5	5	3	8	0	0
simulation	NYM	pitching		7			0		2	5	7					9.0	2	39	159
simulation	WAS	batting	33	7	0	1	0	2	2	5	7	1	0
simulation	WAS	pitching		9			3		5	3	8					9.0	5	39	163

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	NYM		RF	Carson Benge	0	8	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.250
current	NYM		1B	Mark Vientos	0	8	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.250
current	NYM		SS	Bo Bichette	0	10	3	0	0	1	2	2	1	2	0.300
current	NYM		LF	Juan Soto	0	9	3	0	0	1	2	2	1	2	0.333
current	NYM		3B	Brett Baty	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	NYM		2B	Marcus Semien	0	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	NYM		DH	MJ Melendez	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
current	NYM		CF	A.J. Ewing	0	6	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	0.333
current	NYM		C	Luis Torrens	0	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.200
current	WAS		3B	Curtis Mead	0	6	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.167
current	WAS		1B	Andrés Chaparro	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	WAS		SS	CJ Abrams	0	9	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	2	0.222
current	WAS		LF	James Wood	0	10	3	1	0	1	3	2	2	3	0.300
current	WAS		DH	Daylen Lile	0	10	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	2	0.300
current	WAS		2B	Nasim Nuñez	0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.286
current	WAS		RF	Dylan Crews	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
current	WAS		CF	Jacob Young	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	1	0.250
current	WAS		C	Keibert Ruiz	0	6	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.333
simulation	NYM	1	RF	Carson Benge	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.200
simulation	NYM	2	SS	Bo Bichette	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.200
simulation	NYM	3	LF	Juan Soto	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	NYM	4	1B	Mark Vientos	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	NYM	5	3B	Brett Baty	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	NYM	6	2B	Marcus Semien	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	7	CF	A.J. Ewing	4	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.667
simulation	NYM	8	DH	MJ Melendez	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	NYM	9	C	Luis Torrens	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.500
simulation	WAS	1	LF	James Wood	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.400
simulation	WAS	2	3B	Curtis Mead	5	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.000
simulation	WAS	3	1B	Andrés Chaparro	5	4	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0.500
simulation	WAS	4	SS	CJ Abrams	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	WAS	5	RF	Dylan Crews	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	WAS	6	DH	Daylen Lile	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	WAS	7	CF	Jacob Young	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	WAS	8	2B	Nasim Nuñez	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	WAS	9	C	Keibert Ruiz	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	NYM	1	David Peterson	Starter	4.0	5	2	2	2	2	0	0	0	4.50	5.40	1.57
current	NYM	2	Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.85	0.99
current	NYM	3	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.47	1.15
current	NYM	4	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0.00	3.45	1.21
current	NYM	5	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.54	1.13
current	WAS	1	Cade Cavalli	Starter	4.2	6	2	2	0	5	2	0	0	3.86	4.05	1.54
current	WAS	2	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.00	3.09	1.09
current	WAS	3	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	9.00	3.86	1.45
current	WAS	4	Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	9.00	2.61	1.65
current	WAS	5	PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	9.00	2.91	1.48
simulation	NYM	1	David Peterson	Starter	4.0	5	2	2	2	2	0	19	77	4.50	5.40	1.57
simulation	NYM	2	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	2	0	5	21	0.00	3.45	1.21
simulation	NYM	3	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	0	5	19	0.00	3.54	1.13
simulation	NYM	4	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	21	0.00	1.47	1.15
simulation	NYM	5	Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	0	5	21	0.00	1.85	0.99
simulation	WAS	1	Cade Cavalli	Starter	4.2	6	2	2	0	5	2	20	84	3.86	4.05	1.54
simulation	WAS	2	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	4	16	9.00	3.86	1.45
simulation	WAS	3	PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	0	5	20	9.00	2.91	1.48
simulation	WAS	4	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	0	5	23	0.00	3.09	1.09
simulation	WAS	5	Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	0	5	20	9.00	2.61	1.65

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
NYM	David Peterson	Starter	4.0	2	5	2	2	19	77
NYM	Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	1	1	5	21
NYM	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.2	0	0	0	1	5	21
NYM	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	2	2	5	21
NYM	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	0	1	5	19
WAS	Cade Cavalli	Starter	4.2	2	6	0	5	20	84
WAS	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	1	2	5	23
WAS	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	0	4	16
WAS	Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	5	20
WAS	PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	5	20

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260521_OAK@LAA

20260521_OAK@LAA.json • 2026-05-21

OAK 1 - LAA 3

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=29; H: current=14, sim=6; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=15, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vaughn Grissom: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Mike Trout: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Zach Neto: AB current=10 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Nolan Schanuel: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Josh Lowe: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Jo Adell: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jose Siri: AB current=3 box=2, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sebastián Rivero: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=31; H: current=18, sim=4; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=12, sim=1; R: current=12, sim=1; BB: current=9, sim=3; SO: current=17, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shea Langeliers: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Carlos Cortes: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brent Rooker: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jeff McNeil: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Darell Hernaiz: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match OAK pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match OAK pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match OAK pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=32 matches OAK BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match LAA pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match LAA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match LAA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=34 matches LAA BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.500/0.689.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: OAK 4, LAA 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: OAK 1 - LAA 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAA.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAA.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.544917, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_OAK@LAA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.5733900000000001, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_OAK@LAA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.5733900000000001, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_OAK@LAA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_OAK@LAA.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: OAK@LAA.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 135.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 149.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 149.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 135.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: OAK 2 - 3 LAA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: OAK 1 - 3 LAA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAA wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=LAA, final=LAA.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 12/49 (0.245).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 7/50 (0.140).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAA wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAA wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 1-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAA wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins and win_pct agree: 7/50 = 0.140.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins and win_pct agree: 12/49 = 0.245.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match OAK pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match OAK pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match OAK pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=32 matches OAK BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match LAA pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match LAA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match LAA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=34 matches LAA BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	LAA hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	OAK hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.490.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.510.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 5.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.500/0.689.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: OAK 4, LAA 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: OAK 1 - LAA 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: LAA.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for LAA.	{'winner_confidence': 0.51, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.544917, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_OAK@LAA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.5733900000000001, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_OAK@LAA.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'OAK', 'confidence': 0.5733900000000001, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_OAK@LAA.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_OAK@LAA.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: OAK@LAA.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 135.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 149.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 149.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 135.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: OAK 2 - 3 LAA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: OAK 1 - 3 LAA.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAA wins 3-1.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=LAA, final=LAA.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.510.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 12/49 (0.245).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 7/50 (0.140).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAA wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAA wins 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 1-3 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAA wins 3-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins and win_pct agree: 7/50 = 0.140.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins and win_pct agree: 12/49 = 0.245.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=29; H: current=14, sim=6; 2B: current=2, sim=1; HR: current=1, sim=0; RBI: current=6, sim=3; R: current=9, sim=3; BB: current=5, sim=2; SO: current=15, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Vaughn Grissom: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=3; Mike Trout: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Zach Neto: AB current=10 box=4, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Nolan Schanuel: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Josh Lowe: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Jo Adell: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jose Siri: AB current=3 box=2, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Sebastián Rivero: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=2, R current=0 box=1, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=31; H: current=18, sim=4; 2B: current=2, sim=0; HR: current=2, sim=1; RBI: current=12, sim=1; R: current=12, sim=1; BB: current=9, sim=3; SO: current=17, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Shea Langeliers: AB current=10 box=3, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Nick Kurtz: AB current=9 box=3, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=0 box=1; Carlos Cortes: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Brent Rooker: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Tyler Soderstrom: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0; Jeff McNeil: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Zack Gelof: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Darell Hernaiz: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.0599260330200195	4.7523579597473145		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	3	0.510	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	3		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4
LAA	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	OAK	batting	68	18	2	0	2	12	12	9	17	0	0	0	0
current	OAK	pitching		6			0		3	2	7					8.0	3	0	0
current	LAA	batting	62	14	2	0	1	6	9	5	15	0	0	0	0
current	LAA	pitching		4			1		1	3	8					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	OAK	batting	31	4	0	0	1	1	1	3	8	0	0
simulation	OAK	pitching		6			0		3	2	7					8.0	3	32	135
simulation	LAA	batting	29	6	1	0	0	3	3	2	7	1	0
simulation	LAA	pitching		4			1		1	3	8					9.0	1	34	149

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	OAK		C	Shea Langeliers	0	10	3	0	1	2	1	1	2	0.300
current	OAK		1B	Nick Kurtz	0	9	3	1	0	2	3	2	3	0.333
current	OAK		RF	Carlos Cortes	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.333
current	OAK		DH	Brent Rooker	0	9	2	0	1	1	2	1	3	0.222
current	OAK		LF	Tyler Soderstrom	0	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	0.250
current	OAK		2B	Jeff McNeil	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	OAK		3B	Zack Gelof	0	7	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0.286
current	OAK		SS	Darell Hernaiz	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.167
current	OAK		CF	Lawrence Butler	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.167
current	LAA		3B	Vaughn Grissom	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	LAA		DH	Mike Trout	0	8	2	0	1	2	1	2	2	0.250
current	LAA		SS	Zach Neto	0	10	2	1	0	2	1	1	3	0.200
current	LAA		1B	Nolan Schanuel	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.222
current	LAA		LF	Josh Lowe	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0.167
current	LAA		RF	Jo Adell	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.222
current	LAA		CF	Jose Siri	0	3	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	LAA		C	Sebastián Rivero	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	LAA		2B	Adam Frazier	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0.200
simulation	OAK	1	RF	Carlos Cortes	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	OAK	2	C	Shea Langeliers	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	OAK	3	1B	Nick Kurtz	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	0.333
simulation	OAK	4	DH	Brent Rooker	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	OAK	5	LF	Tyler Soderstrom	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	OAK	6	3B	Zack Gelof	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	OAK	7	2B	Jeff McNeil	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	8	SS	Darell Hernaiz	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	OAK	9	CF	Lawrence Butler	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	1	SS	Zach Neto	4	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	LAA	2	DH	Mike Trout	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	3	1B	Nolan Schanuel	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	LAA	4	3B	Vaughn Grissom	4	3	1	1	0	1	3	0	0	0.333
simulation	LAA	5	RF	Jo Adell	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	6	LF	Josh Lowe	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	7	CF	Jose Siri	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	LAA	8	C	Sebastián Rivero	3	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.667
simulation	LAA	9	2B	Adam Frazier	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	OAK	1	Luis Severino	Starter	5.0	6	3	3	2	4	0	0	0	5.40	4.45	1.57
current	OAK	2	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.55	1.02
current	OAK	3	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	1.54	0.69
current	OAK	4	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.00	1.67
current	LAA	1	José Soriano	Starter	6.0	2	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	0.00	2.41	1.07
current	LAA	2	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.62	0.96
current	LAA	3	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	4.84	1.21
current	LAA	4	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	13.50	6.23	1.38
simulation	OAK	1	Luis Severino	Starter	5.0	6	3	3	2	4	0	23	97	5.40	4.45	1.57
simulation	OAK	2	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	8	0.00	3.00	1.67
simulation	OAK	3	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	15	0.00	2.55	1.02
simulation	OAK	4	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	15	0.00	1.54	0.69
simulation	LAA	1	José Soriano	Starter	6.0	2	0	0	3	6	0	23	95	0.00	2.41	1.07
simulation	LAA	2	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	19	0.00	4.84	1.21
simulation	LAA	3	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	18	0.00	2.62	0.96
simulation	LAA	4	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	1	4	17	13.50	6.23	1.38

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
OAK	Luis Severino	Starter	5.0	3	6	2	4	23	97
OAK	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	15
OAK	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	15
OAK	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	8
LAA	José Soriano	Starter	6.0	0	2	3	6	23	95
LAA	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	18
LAA	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	19
LAA	Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	2	0	1	4	17

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260521_PIT@STL

20260521_PIT@STL.json • 2026-05-21

PIT 4 - STL 3

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 1ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 90INFO 8

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Batting Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	STL	current:STL has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	STL		BATTING_REALISM	current:STL has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	batting	current	STL	BATTING_REALISM	current:STL has 2 hitter line(s) violating baseball constraints.
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=72, sim=36; H: current=18, sim=9; RBI: current=10, sim=4; R: current=11, sim=4; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=19, sim=13; HBP: current=0, sim=3).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bryan Reynolds: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=1, BB current=2 box=1; Brandon Lowe: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Konnor Griffin: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, SO current=2 box=1, HBP current=0 box=2; Marcell Ozuna: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Jake Mangum: AB current=6 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Jared Triolo: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=35; H: current=18, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=10, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=8).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	STL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: JJ Wetherholt: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Alec Burleson: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, RBI current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Jordan Walker: AB current=9 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Iván Herrera: AB current=9 box=5, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Nolan Gorman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Pedro Pagés: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Masyn Winn: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; José Fermín: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-1, final 4-3 (delta 4).		No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	STL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match STL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match STL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match STL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 13.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=42 matches STL BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:STL batting walks match PIT pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:STL batting home runs match PIT pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:STL batting hits match PIT pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:STL batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:STL PA=38 matches PIT BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	STL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	STL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	STL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.551.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.551.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.449.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.539/0.736.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: PIT 9, STL 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: PIT 4 - STL 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT.	{'winner_confidence': 0.550886, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.588607, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_PIT@STL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_PIT@STL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_PIT@STL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: PIT@STL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 166.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 177.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 166.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 177.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PIT 2 - 1 STL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: PIT 4 - 3 STL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 4-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.551.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 12/49 (0.245).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/48 (0.167).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PIT wins 4-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 12/49 = 0.245.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	STL wins and win_pct agree: 8/48 = 0.167.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	STL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match STL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match STL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match STL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 13.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=42 matches STL BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:STL batting walks match PIT pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:STL batting home runs match PIT pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:STL batting hits match PIT pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:STL batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:STL PA=38 matches PIT BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	PIT hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	STL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	STL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	STL hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.551.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.551.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.449.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 3.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.539/0.736.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: PIT 9, STL 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: PIT 4 - STL 3.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: PIT.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for PIT.	{'winner_confidence': 0.550886, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 0, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.588607, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_PIT@STL.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'STL', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_PIT@STL.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_PIT@STL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: PIT@STL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 166.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 177.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 166.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 177.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: PIT 2 - 1 STL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: PIT 4 - 3 STL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: PIT wins 4-3.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=PIT, final=PIT.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.551.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 12/49 (0.245).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/48 (0.167).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: PIT wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: PIT wins 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: PIT wins 4-3.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs preserves the pre-simulation model target; game.simulation_runs carries scoring_simulation.final_score.		New contract: predicted_runs may differ, simulation_runs must match scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins and win_pct agree: 12/49 = 0.245.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	STL wins and win_pct agree: 8/48 = 0.167.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=72, sim=36; H: current=18, sim=9; RBI: current=10, sim=4; R: current=11, sim=4; BB: current=8, sim=3; SO: current=19, sim=13; HBP: current=0, sim=3).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Bryan Reynolds: AB current=9 box=4, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=1, BB current=2 box=1; Brandon Lowe: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=1, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Spencer Horwitz: AB current=6 box=4, H current=2 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Oneil Cruz: AB current=10 box=5, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=2 box=0; Konnor Griffin: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, SO current=2 box=1, HBP current=0 box=2; Marcell Ozuna: AB current=9 box=5, H current=2 box=1, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=2; Jake Mangum: AB current=6 box=3, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=0 box=1, SO current=2 box=0; Jared Triolo: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, SO current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=68, sim=35; H: current=18, sim=8; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=10, sim=3; R: current=10, sim=3; BB: current=7, sim=3; SO: current=16, sim=8).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	STL current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: JJ Wetherholt: AB current=10 box=4, H current=3 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0; Alec Burleson: AB current=9 box=4, H current=3 box=2, RBI current=2 box=1, R current=2 box=1; Jordan Walker: AB current=9 box=4, BB current=1 box=0, SO current=2 box=1; Iván Herrera: AB current=9 box=5, HR current=0 box=1, RBI current=2 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Nolan Gorman: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Pedro Pagés: AB current=7 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Masyn Winn: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; José Fermín: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Advisory simulation varied from enhanced target without changing winner: target 2-1, final 4-3 (delta 4).	No action required unless advisory simulation is promoted to canonical prediction.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.701117992401123	4.4437456130981445		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	1	0.551	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	1		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	9
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	PIT	batting	72	18	2	0	1	10	11	8	19	0	0	0	0
current	PIT	pitching		8			3		3	3	8					9.0	3	0	0
current	STL	batting	68	18	0	0	3	10	10	7	16	0	0	0	0
current	STL	pitching		9			1		4	3	13					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	PIT	batting	36	9	2	0	1	4	4	3	13	0	3
simulation	PIT	pitching		8			3		3	3	8					9.0	3	38	166
simulation	STL	batting	35	8	1	0	3	3	3	3	8	0	0
simulation	STL	pitching		9			1		4	3	13					9.0	4	42	177

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	PIT		LF	Bryan Reynolds	0	9	2	1	0	2	2	2	2	0	0.222
current	PIT		2B	Brandon Lowe	0	10	3	1	1	2	2	1	3	0	0.300
current	PIT		1B	Spencer Horwitz	0	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
current	PIT		CF	Oneil Cruz	0	10	3	0	0	2	2	1	4	0	0.300
current	PIT		SS	Konnor Griffin	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
current	PIT		DH	Marcell Ozuna	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	0.222
current	PIT		RF	Jake Mangum	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0.167
current	PIT		3B	Jared Triolo	0	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.286
current	PIT		C	Henry Davis	0	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.143
current	STL		2B	JJ Wetherholt	0	10	3	0	1	2	2	2	2	0	0.300
current	STL		1B	Alec Burleson	0	9	3	0	1	2	2	1	2	0	0.333
current	STL		RF	Jordan Walker	0	9	2	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	0.222
current	STL		DH	Iván Herrera	0	9	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	0	0.222
current	STL		3B	Nolan Gorman	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.286
current	STL		C	Pedro Pagés	0	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.286
current	STL		SS	Masyn Winn	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.250
current	STL		LF	José Fermín	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	STL		CF	Victor Scott II	0	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	PIT	1	CF	Oneil Cruz	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.200
simulation	PIT	2	2B	Brandon Lowe	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.200
simulation	PIT	3	LF	Bryan Reynolds	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0.500
simulation	PIT	4	1B	Spencer Horwitz	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0.250
simulation	PIT	5	SS	Konnor Griffin	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	PIT	6	DH	Marcell Ozuna	5	5	1	0	1	1	2	0	3	0	0.200
simulation	PIT	7	RF	Jake Mangum	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	PIT	8	3B	Jared Triolo	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	PIT	9	C	Henry Davis	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	STL	1	2B	JJ Wetherholt	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0.000
simulation	STL	2	DH	Iván Herrera	5	5	2	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.400
simulation	STL	3	1B	Alec Burleson	4	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	STL	4	RF	Jordan Walker	4	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	STL	5	3B	Nolan Gorman	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	STL	6	SS	Masyn Winn	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	STL	7	LF	José Fermín	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	STL	8	C	Pedro Pagés	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	STL	9	CF	Victor Scott II	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	PIT	1	Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	6.1	3	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	0.00	3.09	1.05
current	PIT	2	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	3	3	0	0	3	0	0	27.00	3.54	1.18
current	PIT	3	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	2.31	0.81
current	PIT	4	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.00	1.22
current	STL	1	Dustin May	Starter	5.1	5	2	2	2	7	0	0	0	3.38	4.81	1.42
current	STL	2	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	9.00	3.48	1.21
current	STL	3	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	3.04	1.18
current	STL	4	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.00	3.13	1.00
current	STL	5	Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	6.30	1.90
simulation	PIT	1	Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	6.1	3	0	0	1	7	0	23	105	0.00	3.09	1.05
simulation	PIT	2	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	17	0.00	2.31	0.81
simulation	PIT	3	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	3	3	0	0	3	6	25	27.00	3.54	1.18
simulation	PIT	4	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	0	0	2	0	0	5	19	0.00	3.00	1.22
simulation	STL	1	Dustin May	Starter	5.1	5	2	2	2	7	0	24	102	3.38	4.81	1.42
simulation	STL	2	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	5	18	0.00	3.13	1.00
simulation	STL	3	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	18	0.00	3.04	1.18
simulation	STL	4	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	1	5	24	9.00	3.48	1.21
simulation	STL	5	Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	4	15	13.50	6.30	1.90

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
PIT	Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	6.1	0	3	1	7	23	105
PIT	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	3	0	0	6	25
PIT	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	17
PIT	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	1	2	0	5	19
STL	Dustin May	Starter	5.1	2	5	2	7	24	102
STL	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	0	1	5	24
STL	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	18
STL	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	2	5	18
STL	Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	0	2	4	15

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	critical	1	3	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	0	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	0	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	0	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	0	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	0	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	info	0	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	0	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260521_TOR@NYY

20260521_TOR@NYY.json • 2026-05-21

TOR 2 - NYY 4

PASS

Clean: no problems detected. Risk score: 0.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 0PASS 93INFO 7

No action required

No critical, error, or warning findings were detected.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=61, sim=28; H: current=14, sim=5; HR: current=3, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=10, sim=5; SO: current=17, sim=9; SF: current=0, sim=1).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Aaron Judge: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Cody Bellinger: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ben Rice: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=3, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=2; Ryan McMahon: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Spencer Jones: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Anthony Volpe: AB current=5 box=2, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=31; H: current=15, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=7).		New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Daulton Varsho: AB current=8 box=3, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; George Springer: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Lenyn Sosa: AB current=6 box=4, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Myles Straw: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Brandon Valenzuela: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0		New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match TOR pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match TOR pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match TOR pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=34 matches TOR BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match NYY pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match NYY pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match NYY pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=35 matches NYY BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.418.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.582.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.582.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.431/0.609.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TOR 4, NYY 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TOR 2 - NYY 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.	{'winner_confidence': 0.582186, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 3, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.548273, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_TOR@NYY.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_TOR@NYY.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_TOR@NYY.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_TOR@NYY.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TOR@NYY.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 167.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 144.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 144.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 167.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TOR 2 - 4 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TOR 2 - 4 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.582.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 13/49 (0.265).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/49 (0.306).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-4, final 2-4 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins and win_pct agree: 15/49 = 0.306.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 13/49 = 0.265.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Value
PASS	batting	current	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match TOR pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match TOR pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match TOR pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=34 matches TOR BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match NYY pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match NYY pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match NYY pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=35 matches NYY BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	cross_schema	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projected totals match final simulation pitching box score.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	NYY hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	TOR hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	No head-to-head rows are present, so no H2H date leakage was detected.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.418.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.582.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.582.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 6.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.431/0.609.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TOR 4, NYY 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TOR 2 - NYY 4.
PASS	matchup_recency			GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	Guardrail predicted_team matches final predicted winner: NYY.
PASS	matchup_recency			MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	No stale repeat-pick pattern detected for NYY.	{'winner_confidence': 0.582186, 'h2h_net_margin': 0, 'prediction_memory': {'available': True, 'consecutive_same_pick_count': 3, 'same_pick_actual_loss_count': 0, 'same_pick_blowout_loss_count': 0, 'prior_predictions': [{'date': '2026-05-20', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.548273, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260520_TOR@NYY.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-19', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260519_TOR@NYY.json'}, {'date': '2026-05-18', 'predicted_team': 'NYY', 'confidence': 0.51, 'actual_winner': None, 'actual_margin': 0, 'file': '20260518_TOR@NYY.json'}]}}
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-05-21.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260521_TOR@NYY.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TOR@NYY.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 167.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 144.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 144.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 167.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TOR 2 - 4 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TOR 2 - 4 NYY.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	prediction_comparison			SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	No simulation winner reversal: pre=NYY, final=NYY.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.582.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 13/49 (0.265).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 15/49 (0.306).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-4, final 2-4 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins and win_pct agree: 15/49 = 0.306.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins and win_pct agree: 13/49 = 0.265.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=61, sim=28; H: current=14, sim=5; HR: current=3, sim=0; RBI: current=9, sim=4; R: current=9, sim=4; BB: current=10, sim=5; SO: current=17, sim=9; SF: current=0, sim=1).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Aaron Judge: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, HR current=1 box=0, R current=2 box=1; Cody Bellinger: AB current=8 box=3, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Jazz Chisholm Jr.: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0; Ben Rice: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, HR current=1 box=0; Paul Goldschmidt: AB current=7 box=4, H current=2 box=3, HR current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=2; Ryan McMahon: AB current=6 box=4, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Spencer Jones: AB current=4 box=3, H current=1 box=0, BB current=0 box=1; Anthony Volpe: AB current=5 box=2, H current=1 box=0, 2B current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR model-prediction batting totals differ from final simulation box score (AB: current=62, sim=31; H: current=15, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=7, sim=2; R: current=9, sim=2; BB: current=7, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=7).	New contract: model prediction totals may differ from scoring_simulation; simulation_stats_source links the simulation box score.
INFO	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR	CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized hitter lines are model predictions and differ from the simulation box score: Daulton Varsho: AB current=8 box=3, H current=3 box=1, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Kazuma Okamoto: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: AB current=8 box=2, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0; George Springer: AB current=9 box=4, H current=2 box=1, 2B current=0 box=1, BB current=1 box=0; Lenyn Sosa: AB current=6 box=4, R current=1 box=0, SO current=1 box=0; Ernie Clement: AB current=8 box=4, H current=2 box=0, RBI current=2 box=0, R current=1 box=0; Myles Straw: H current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0, BB current=1 box=0; Brandon Valenzuela: AB current=6 box=3, H current=1 box=0, RBI current=1 box=0, R current=1 box=0	New contract: compare model predictions separately; simulation_box_score_stats/scoring_simulation hold the simulation draw.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.280414581298828	5.320049285888672		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	6		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	4	0.582	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
embedded_savant_run_environment	2	4		Target score adjusted by temporal Savant lineup quality versus opposing starter quality
capped_target	2	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	4		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	4
NYY	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	4	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	TOR	batting	62	15	0	0	0	7	9	7	15	0	0	0	0
current	TOR	pitching		5			0		4	5	9					8.0	4	0	0
current	NYY	batting	61	14	3	0	3	9	9	10	17	0	0	0	0
current	NYY	pitching		4			1		2	4	7					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	TOR	batting	31	4	1	0	1	2	2	4	7	0	0
simulation	TOR	pitching		5			0		4	5	9					8.0	4	34	167
simulation	NYY	batting	28	5	3	0	0	4	4	5	9	1	0
simulation	NYY	pitching		4			1		2	4	7					9.0	2	35	144

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	TOR		CF	Daulton Varsho	0	8	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.375
current	TOR		3B	Kazuma Okamoto	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.222
current	TOR		1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	TOR		DH	George Springer	0	9	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.222
current	TOR		2B	Lenyn Sosa	0	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.167
current	TOR		SS	Ernie Clement	0	8	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.250
current	TOR		RF	Myles Straw	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
current	TOR		C	Brandon Valenzuela	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.167
current	TOR		LF	Davis Schneider	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0.250
current	NYY		RF	Aaron Judge	0	8	2	0	1	2	1	2	3	0.250
current	NYY		LF	Cody Bellinger	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	0.250
current	NYY		2B	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0	8	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0.250
current	NYY		DH	Ben Rice	0	9	2	1	1	2	2	1	2	0.222
current	NYY		1B	Paul Goldschmidt	0	7	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0.286
current	NYY		3B	Ryan McMahon	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0.167
current	NYY		CF	Spencer Jones	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250
current	NYY		SS	Anthony Volpe	0	5	1	1	0	1	1	2	1	0.200
current	NYY		C	J.C. Escarra	0	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0.167
simulation	TOR	1	DH	George Springer	4	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	TOR	2	1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	3	CF	Daulton Varsho	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	TOR	4	3B	Kazuma Okamoto	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	TOR	5	SS	Ernie Clement	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	TOR	6	2B	Lenyn Sosa	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	TOR	7	RF	Myles Straw	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	TOR	8	C	Brandon Valenzuela	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	TOR	9	LF	Davis Schneider	3	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.333
simulation	NYY	1	DH	Ben Rice	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	NYY	2	RF	Aaron Judge	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	3	LF	Cody Bellinger	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	NYY	4	2B	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4	4	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	NYY	5	1B	Paul Goldschmidt	4	4	3	1	0	1	2	0	0	0.750
simulation	NYY	6	CF	Spencer Jones	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	NYY	7	3B	Ryan McMahon	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	NYY	8	SS	Anthony Volpe	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	NYY	9	C	J.C. Escarra	3	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0.500

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	TOR	1	Braydon Fisher	Starter	5.0	3	2	2	4	5	0	0	0	3.60	3.08	1.06
current	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.70	1.17
current	TOR	3	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.61	1.07
current	TOR	5	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	27.00	5.57	1.76
current	NYY	1	Carlos Rodón	Starter	4.0	1	2	2	3	5	0	0	0	4.50	5.62	1.62
current	NYY	2	Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.19	1.26
current	NYY	4	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5.14	1.62
current	NYY	5	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.25	1.35
current	NYY	6	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0.00	1.37	0.86
simulation	TOR	1	Braydon Fisher	Starter	5.0	3	2	2	4	5	0	22	100	3.60	3.08	1.06
simulation	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	31	0.00	0.70	1.17
simulation	TOR	3	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	18	0.00	1.61	1.07
simulation	TOR	4	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	2	2	1	1	0	5	18	27.00	5.57	1.76
simulation	NYY	1	Carlos Rodón	Starter	4.0	1	2	2	3	5	0	16	83	4.50	5.62	1.62
simulation	NYY	2	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	20	0.00	5.14	1.62
simulation	NYY	3	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	16	0.00	2.25	1.35
simulation	NYY	4	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	2	0	0	1	2	1	7	7	0.00	1.37	0.86
simulation	NYY	5	Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	18	0.00	2.19	1.26

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
TOR	Braydon Fisher	Starter	5.0	2	3	4	5	22	100
TOR	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	31
TOR	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	18
TOR	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	0.2	2	2	1	1	5	18
NYY	Carlos Rodón	Starter	4.0	2	1	3	5	16	83
NYY	Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	1	0	0	5	18
NYY	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	20
NYY	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16
NYY	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	2	1	2	7	7

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	info	2	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_PLAYER_MATCH_BOX	info	0	Current finalized hitter lines mirror the simulation box score unless model/simulation sources are separated.
CURRENT_PREDICTIONS_MATCH_FINALIZED	good	2	Current hitter predictions mirror finalized stats.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	1	game.predicted_runs is either synced to simulation or paired with game.simulation_runs.
DATE_PARSE	good	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
GUARDRAIL_FINAL_WINNER_SYNC	good	1	Guardrail trace predicted_team matches the final predicted winner.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
MATCHUP_RECENCY_GUARDRAIL	good	1	Repeat picks are capped when recent same-matchup results contradict high confidence.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
SIMULATION_WINNER_FLIP_TRACE	good	1	Simulation winner reversals are explicitly recorded.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
SYNTHETIC_SCORE_PLAYS	not triggered	0	Score reconciliation must not inject synthetic run or out plays.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	good	2	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	1	winner field agrees with the final score.