MLB JSON Audit Report

20260429_ARI@MIL

20260429_ARI@MIL.json • 2026-04-29

ARI 2 - MIL 6

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 70.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 7PASS 83INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	ARI, MIL	ARI current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=30, sim=40; H: current=8, sim=13; 2B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=7). ARI current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=8; R: current=4, sim=6; ER: current=4, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=6, sim=7; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	ARI, MIL	ARI wins=0 over games_analyzed=28 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. MIL wins=0 over games_analyzed=27 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	Prediction target vs final simulation drift The inning simulation can vary from ML target, but large drift should be reviewed or explicitly documented as acceptable variance.	0C / 0E / 1W	-	Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 5-6, final 2-6 (delta 3).

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=30, sim=40; H: current=8, sim=13; 2B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=7).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=8; R: current=4, sim=6; ER: current=4, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=6, sim=7; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=3, sim=6; BB: current=1, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=7; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=13; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=10, sim=7).
WARN	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 5-6, final 2-6 (delta 3).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins=0 over games_analyzed=28 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIL wins=0 over games_analyzed=27 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=30, sim=40; H: current=8, sim=13; 2B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=7).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ARI	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ARI current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=8; R: current=4, sim=6; ER: current=4, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=6, sim=7; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=3, sim=6; BB: current=1, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=7; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=13; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=10, sim=7).
WARN	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 5-6, final 2-6 (delta 3).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ARI wins=0 over games_analyzed=28 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIL wins=0 over games_analyzed=27 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match MIL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match MIL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match MIL pitching: 13.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=45 matches MIL BF=45.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting walks match ARI pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting home runs match ARI pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting hits match ARI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIL PA=35 matches ARI BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.393.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.607.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.607.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.3.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.303/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ARI 13, MIL 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ARI 2 - MIL 6.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_ARI@MIL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ARI@MIL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 155.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 199.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 155.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 199.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ARI 5 - 6 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ARI 2 - 6 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.607.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIL wins 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	current:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ARI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ARI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ARI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting walks match MIL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting home runs match MIL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting hits match MIL pitching: 13.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ARI batting strikeouts match MIL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ARI PA=45 matches MIL BF=45.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ARI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ARI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting walks match ARI pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting home runs match ARI pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting hits match ARI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIL batting strikeouts match ARI pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIL PA=35 matches ARI BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ARI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ARI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ARI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.393.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.607.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.607.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 8 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.3.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.303/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: ARI 13, MIL 8.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: ARI 2 - MIL 6.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_ARI@MIL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: ARI@MIL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 155.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 199.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ARI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ARI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 155.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 199.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ARI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ARI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ARI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ARI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ARI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: ARI 5 - 6 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: ARI 2 - 6 MIL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.607.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: MIL wins 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 8.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: MIL wins 6-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ARI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ARI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	ARI	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ARI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.086047172546387	4.39590311050415		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	5	6	0.584	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	5	6		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	6		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	13
MIL	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	6	8

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	ARI	batting	30	8	0	0	0	2	2	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	ARI	pitching		4			0		4	0	6					8.0	4	0	0
current	MIL	batting	28	8	0	0	0	3	6	1	9	0	0	0	0
current	MIL	pitching		2			0		2	0	10					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	ARI	batting	40	13	1	0	0	2	2	5	7	0	0
simulation	ARI	pitching		8			2		6	3	7					8.0	6	35	155
simulation	MIL	batting	31	8	1	0	2	6	6	3	7	1	0
simulation	MIL	pitching		13			0		2	5	7					9.0	2	45	199

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	ARI		2B	Ketel Marte	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	ARI		3B	Nolan Arenado	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	ARI		DH	Jose Fernandez	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	ARI		CF	Alek Thomas	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	ARI		RF	Corbin Carroll	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	ARI		LF	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	ARI		1B	Ildemaro Vargas	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	ARI		C	Adrian Del Castillo	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.333
current	ARI		SS	Geraldo Perdomo	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	MIL		C	William Contreras	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
current	MIL		LF	Brandon Lockridge	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	MIL		CF	Blake Perkins	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	MIL		DH	Gary Sánchez	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	MIL		RF	Sal Frelick	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	MIL		2B	Brice Turang	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	MIL		3B	David Hamilton	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	MIL		1B	Luis Rengifo	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	MIL		SS	Joey Ortiz	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	ARI	1	SS	Geraldo Perdomo	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.333
simulation	ARI	2	2B	Ketel Marte	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
simulation	ARI	3	RF	Corbin Carroll	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.400
simulation	ARI	4	C	Adrian Del Castillo	5	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.600
simulation	ARI	5	LF	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
simulation	ARI	6	1B	Ildemaro Vargas	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.600
simulation	ARI	7	3B	Nolan Arenado	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.250
simulation	ARI	8	DH	Jose Fernandez	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	ARI	9	CF	Alek Thomas	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	MIL	1	LF	Brandon Lockridge	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0.500
simulation	MIL	2	2B	Brice Turang	4	2	0	1	1	3	0	0	0.500
simulation	MIL	3	C	William Contreras	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	MIL	4	DH	Gary Sánchez	3	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.667
simulation	MIL	5	1B	Luis Rengifo	3	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	MIL	6	3B	David Hamilton	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.000
simulation	MIL	7	RF	Sal Frelick	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	MIL	8	CF	Blake Perkins	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	MIL	9	SS	Joey Ortiz	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	ARI	1	Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	8.0	4	4	4	0	6	0	0	0	4.50	2.89	1.32
current	MIL	1	Brandon Sproat	Starter	4.0	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	2.25	6.96	1.69
current	MIL	2	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	6.75	4.64	1.24
current	MIL	3	Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	3.03	1.18
current	MIL	4	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.60	1.30
current	MIL	5	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	2.81	1.63
current	MIL	6	Angel Zerpa	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		7.50	2.04
simulation	ARI	1	Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	4.0	4	2	2	1	5	0	17	81	4.50	2.89	1.32
simulation	ARI	2	Andrew Hoffmann	Reliever	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	1	7	28	27.00
simulation	ARI	3	Juan Morillo	Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	11	0.00
simulation	ARI	4	Merrill Kelly	Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	15	0.00
simulation	ARI	5	Ryne Nelson	Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	1	5	20	9.00
simulation	MIL	1	Brandon Sproat	Starter	4.0	5	0	0	3	3	0	20	92	0.00	6.96	1.69
simulation	MIL	2	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	0	6	27	0.00	4.64	1.24
simulation	MIL	3	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	0	6	24	9.00	2.81	1.63
simulation	MIL	4	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	18	0.00	3.60	1.30
simulation	MIL	5	Angel Zerpa	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	0	6	25	9.00	7.50	2.04
simulation	MIL	6	Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	13	0.00	3.03	1.18

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
ARI	Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	4.0	2	4	1	5	17	81
ARI	Andrew Hoffmann	Reliever	1.0	3	3	1	0	7	28
ARI	Juan Morillo	Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	11
ARI	Merrill Kelly	Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	15
ARI	Ryne Nelson	Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	5	20
MIL	Brandon Sproat	Starter	4.0	0	5	3	3	20	92
MIL	Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	1	1	6	27
MIL	Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	1	6	24
MIL	Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	18
MIL	Angel Zerpa	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	3	0	1	6	25
MIL	Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	13

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	0	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	warning	1	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_BOS@TOR

20260429_BOS@TOR.json • 2026-04-29

BOS 5 - TOR 4

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 10PASS 81INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	BOS, TOR	BOS current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=36; 2B: current=0, sim=2; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=1, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=7). BOS current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=9; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=13, sim=4; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 4W	BOS, TOR	BOS pitch_count row for Brayan Bello differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=4, box=3. BOS pitch_count row for Danny Coulombe differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	BOS, TOR	BOS wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. TOR wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=36; 2B: current=0, sim=2; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=1, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=7).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=9; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=13, sim=4; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=35; H: current=8, sim=9; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=4; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=9; R: current=4, sim=5; ER: current=4, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=11, sim=7; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	Brayan Bello	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count row for Brayan Bello differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=4, box=3.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	Danny Coulombe	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count row for Danny Coulombe differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	Eric Lauer	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count row for Eric Lauer differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=4, box=3.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	Jeff Hoffman	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count row for Jeff Hoffman differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	BOS		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	TOR		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=36; 2B: current=0, sim=2; 3B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=1, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=7).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BOS		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BOS current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=9; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=13, sim=4; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=35; H: current=8, sim=9; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=4; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TOR		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TOR current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=9; R: current=4, sim=5; ER: current=4, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=11, sim=7; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	Brayan Bello	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count row for Brayan Bello differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=4, box=3.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	Danny Coulombe	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BOS pitch_count row for Danny Coulombe differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	Eric Lauer	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count row for Eric Lauer differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=4, box=3.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	Jeff Hoffman	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TOR pitch_count row for Jeff Hoffman differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	BOS		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BOS wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	TOR		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TOR wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	BOS		BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR		BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match TOR pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match TOR pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match TOR pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=39 matches TOR BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match BOS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match BOS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match BOS pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=38 matches BOS BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.547.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.547.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.453.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.3.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.298/0.696.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: BOS 9, TOR 9.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: BOS 5 - TOR 4.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_BOS@TOR.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: BOS@TOR.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 145.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 164.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 145.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 164.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS		PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS		STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR		PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR		STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BOS 6 - 5 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: BOS 5 - 4 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: BOS wins 5-4.
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.547.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 4/10 (0.400).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 6/10 (0.600).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: BOS wins 5-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: BOS wins 5-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 6-5, final 5-4 (delta 2).
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 9.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: BOS wins 5-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	current:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	current:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BOS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BOS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TOR	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TOR hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BOS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TOR	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting walks match TOR pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting home runs match TOR pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting hits match TOR pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BOS batting strikeouts match TOR pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BOS PA=39 matches TOR BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BOS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BOS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting walks match BOS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting home runs match BOS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting hits match BOS pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TOR batting strikeouts match BOS pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TOR PA=38 matches BOS BF=38.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TOR	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TOR runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BOS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BOS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BOS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TOR current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TOR current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TOR current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.547.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.547.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.453.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.3.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.298/0.696.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: BOS 9, TOR 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: BOS 5 - TOR 4.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_BOS@TOR.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: BOS@TOR.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 145.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 164.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BOS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BOS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 145.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TOR	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TOR pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 164.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BOS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BOS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BOS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TOR pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TOR	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TOR includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BOS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BOS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TOR	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TOR pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: BOS 6 - 5 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: BOS 5 - 4 TOR.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: BOS wins 5-4.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.547.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 4/10 (0.400).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 6/10 (0.600).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: BOS wins 5-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: BOS wins 5-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 6-5, final 5-4 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 9.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: BOS wins 5-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BOS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BOS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TOR	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TOR recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	BOS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BOS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TOR	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TOR pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.228509902954102	4.334410190582275		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	5	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	6	5	0.546	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	6	5		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	5	4		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	9
TOR	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	9

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	BOS	batting	29	9	0	0	0	1	5	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	BOS	pitching		3			0		3	0	13					9.0	3	0	0
current	TOR	batting	28	8	0	0	0	2	4	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	TOR	pitching		4			0		4	0	11					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	BOS	batting	36	9	2	1	1	5	5	3	7	0	0
simulation	BOS	pitching		9			1		4	2	4					9.0	4	38	145
simulation	TOR	batting	35	9	0	0	1	4	4	2	4	1	0
simulation	TOR	pitching		9			1		5	3	7					9.0	5	39	164

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	BOS		1B	Willson Contreras	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	BOS		DH	Roman Anthony	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	BOS		CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	BOS		2B	Marcelo Mayer	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	BOS		3B	Caleb Durbin	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	BOS		SS	Trevor Story	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	BOS		RF	Wilyer Abreu	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	BOS		LF	Jarren Duran	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	BOS		C	Carlos Narváez	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TOR		C	Tyler Heineman	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	TOR		LF	Yohendrick Pinango	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	TOR		SS	Andrés Giménez	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	TOR		2B	Ernie Clement	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	TOR		DH	George Springer	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TOR		1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TOR		3B	Kazuma Okamoto	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	TOR		CF	Daulton Varsho	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TOR		RF	Jesús Sánchez	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
simulation	BOS	1	LF	Jarren Duran	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	BOS	2	1B	Willson Contreras	5	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0.600
simulation	BOS	3	DH	Roman Anthony	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	0.250
simulation	BOS	4	RF	Wilyer Abreu	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	5	SS	Trevor Story	4	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	6	CF	Ceddanne Rafaela	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	BOS	7	2B	Marcelo Mayer	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	BOS	8	3B	Caleb Durbin	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	BOS	9	C	Carlos Narváez	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0.500
simulation	TOR	1	DH	George Springer	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	TOR	2	CF	Daulton Varsho	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.200
simulation	TOR	3	1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	TOR	4	RF	Jesús Sánchez	4	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0.500
simulation	TOR	5	3B	Kazuma Okamoto	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
simulation	TOR	6	2B	Ernie Clement	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	TOR	7	SS	Andrés Giménez	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	8	LF	Yohendrick Pinango	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	TOR	9	C	Tyler Heineman	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.500

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	BOS	1	Brayan Bello	Starter	5.1	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	1.69	9.61	2.43
current	BOS	2	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	2.70	1.20
current	BOS	3	Zack Kelly	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	9.00	4.14	1.03
current	BOS	4	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.10	0.98
current	BOS	5	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	4.59	1.63
current	BOS	6	Danny Coulombe	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		10.47	2.56
current	TOR	1	Eric Lauer	Starter	5.2	1	1	1	0	5	0	0	0	1.59	6.89	1.58
current	TOR	2	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	6.75	0.65	1.15
current	TOR	3	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	2.08	1.31
current	TOR	4	Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	4.86	1.62
current	TOR	5	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.63	0.83
current	TOR	6	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		7.04	2.00
simulation	BOS	1	Brayan Bello	Starter	5.0	8	3	3	2	2	1	25	100	5.40	9.61	2.43
simulation	BOS	2	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	12	0.00	1.10	0.98
simulation	BOS	3	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	10	0.00	2.70	1.20
simulation	BOS	4	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	13	0.00	4.59	1.63
simulation	BOS	5	Danny Coulombe	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3	10	9.00	10.47	2.56
simulation	TOR	1	Eric Lauer	Starter	2.0	3	3	3	3	1	1	12	59	13.50	6.89	1.58
simulation	TOR	2	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	0	4	13	9.00	7.04	2.00
simulation	TOR	3	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	13	0.00	0.63	0.83
simulation	TOR	4	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	18	0.00	0.65	1.15
simulation	TOR	5	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	10	0.00	2.08	1.31
simulation	TOR	6	Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	0	5	23	9.00	4.86	1.62
simulation	TOR	7	Tommy Nance	Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	13	0.00
simulation	TOR	8	Spencer Miles	Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	15	0.00

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
BOS	Brayan Bello	Starter	5.0	4	8	2	2	25	100
BOS	Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	12
BOS	Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	10
BOS	Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	13
BOS	Danny Coulombe	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	10
TOR	Eric Lauer	Starter	2.0	4	3	3	1	12	59
TOR	Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	13
TOR	Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	13
TOR	Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	18
TOR	Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	10
TOR	Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	0	2	5	23
TOR	Tommy Nance	Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	13
TOR	Spencer Miles	Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	15

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	4	0	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_CHC@SD

20260429_CHC@SD.json • 2026-04-29

CHC 8 - SD 4

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 110.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 11PASS 80INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	CHC, SD	CHC current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=36; H: current=9, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=8; BB: current=0, sim=6; SO: current=9, sim=6; SF: current=0, sim=1). CHC current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=6; SO: current=8, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 4W	CHC, SD	CHC pitch_count row for Jacob Webb differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1. CHC pitch_count row for Jameson Taillon differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=3, box=2.
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	CHC, SD	CHC wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. SD wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	Data Leakage Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	0C / 0E / 1W	-	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 CHC@SD 8-3

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Expected
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=36; H: current=9, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=8; BB: current=0, sim=6; SO: current=9, sim=6; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=6; SO: current=8, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=34; H: current=6, sim=7; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=1, sim=6; SO: current=9, sim=5).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=6, sim=10; R: current=6, sim=8; ER: current=6, sim=8; BB: current=0, sim=6; SO: current=11, sim=6; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 CHC@SD 8-3	Only H2H rows dated before the prediction game date in pregame mode.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	Jacob Webb	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count row for Jacob Webb differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	Jameson Taillon	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count row for Jameson Taillon differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=3, box=2.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SD	David Morgan	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count row for David Morgan differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SD	Matt Waldron	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count row for Matt Waldron differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=8, box=7.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	CHC		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	SD		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SD wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Expected
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=36; H: current=9, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=8; BB: current=0, sim=6; SO: current=9, sim=6; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHC		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHC current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=6; SO: current=8, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=34; H: current=6, sim=7; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=1, sim=6; SO: current=9, sim=5).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SD		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SD current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=6, sim=10; R: current=6, sim=8; ER: current=6, sim=8; BB: current=0, sim=6; SO: current=11, sim=6; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 CHC@SD 8-3	Only H2H rows dated before the prediction game date in pregame mode.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	Jacob Webb	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count row for Jacob Webb differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	Jameson Taillon	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHC pitch_count row for Jameson Taillon differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=3, box=2.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SD	David Morgan	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count row for David Morgan differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SD	Matt Waldron	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SD pitch_count row for Matt Waldron differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=8, box=7.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	CHC		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHC wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	SD		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SD wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SD		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CHC		BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SD		BATTING_REALISM	current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SD		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SD		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SD		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match SD pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match SD pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match SD pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=43 matches SD BF=43.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SD batting walks match CHC pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SD batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SD batting hits match CHC pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SD batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SD PA=40 matches CHC BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.666.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.666.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.334.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 12 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.4.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.276/0.652.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CHC 10, SD 7.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CHC 8 - SD 4.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_CHC@SD.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CHC@SD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 180.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 190.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 180.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 190.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC		PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC		STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SD		PITCHING_REALISM	current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SD		STARTER_PRESENT	current:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHC 6 - 4 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CHC 8 - 4 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHC wins 8-4.
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.666.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 7/10 (0.700).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 6/10 (0.600).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHC wins 8-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHC wins 8-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 8-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 6-4, final 8-4 (delta 2).
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 12.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHC wins 8-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SD	BATTING_REALISM	current:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting walks match SD pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting home runs match SD pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting hits match SD pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHC batting strikeouts match SD pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHC PA=43 matches SD BF=43.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SD batting walks match CHC pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SD batting home runs match CHC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SD batting hits match CHC pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SD batting strikeouts match CHC pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SD PA=40 matches CHC BF=40.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.666.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.666.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.334.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 12 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.4.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.276/0.652.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: CHC 10, SD 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: CHC 8 - SD 4.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_CHC@SD.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: CHC@SD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 180.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 190.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 180.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 190.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: CHC 6 - 4 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: CHC 8 - 4 SD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHC wins 8-4.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.666.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 7/10 (0.700).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 6/10 (0.600).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHC wins 8-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHC wins 8-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 8-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 6-4, final 8-4 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 12.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHC wins 8-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	CHC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.9642584323883057	5.07404899597168		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	6	4	0.758	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	6	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	8	4		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	10
SD	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	4	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	CHC	batting	28	9	0	0	0	3	8	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	CHC	pitching		3			0		3	0	8					9.0	3	0	0
current	SD	batting	28	6	0	0	0	2	4	1	9	0	0	0	0
current	SD	pitching		6			0		6	0	11					9.0	6	0	0
simulation	CHC	batting	36	10	1	0	1	8	8	6	6	1	0
simulation	CHC	pitching		7			1		4	6	5					9.0	4	40	180
simulation	SD	batting	34	7	0	0	1	4	4	6	5	0	0
simulation	SD	pitching		10			1		8	6	6					9.0	8	43	190

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	CHC		1B	Michael Busch	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHC		3B	Alex Bregman	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHC		C	Carson Kelly	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHC		2B	Nico Hoerner	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	CHC		DH	Moisés Ballesteros	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	CHC		SS	Dansby Swanson	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	CHC		CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHC		RF	Seiya Suzuki	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHC		LF	Ian Happ	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	SD		LF	Ramón Laureano	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	SD		3B	Manny Machado	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	SD		1B	Gavin Sheets	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	SD		DH	Miguel Andujar	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	SD		2B	Jake Cronenworth	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	SD		RF	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	SD		SS	Xander Bogaerts	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	SD		C	Freddy Fermin	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
current	SD		CF	Jackson Merrill	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CHC	1	2B	Nico Hoerner	5	1	0	1	1	4	0	1	0.200
simulation	CHC	2	1B	Michael Busch	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.400
simulation	CHC	3	3B	Alex Bregman	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	CHC	4	LF	Ian Happ	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	CHC	5	RF	Seiya Suzuki	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	CHC	6	DH	Moisés Ballesteros	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	CHC	7	C	Carson Kelly	4	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
simulation	CHC	8	CF	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3	3	0	0	1	2	1	0	1.000
simulation	CHC	9	SS	Dansby Swanson	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0.000
simulation	SD	1	LF	Ramón Laureano	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
simulation	SD	2	RF	Fernando Tatis Jr.	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	SD	3	CF	Jackson Merrill	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
simulation	SD	4	3B	Manny Machado	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0.000
simulation	SD	5	SS	Xander Bogaerts	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.500
simulation	SD	6	1B	Gavin Sheets	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	SD	7	DH	Miguel Andujar	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	SD	8	C	Freddy Fermin	3	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.667
simulation	SD	9	2B	Jake Cronenworth	4	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	CHC	1	Jameson Taillon	Starter	6.0	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	1.50	4.63	1.32
current	CHC	2	Corbin Martin	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	6.75	0.00	0.50
current	CHC	3	Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.50
current	CHC	4	Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	27.00	2.22	1.18
current	CHC	5	Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		2.81	1.09
current	CHC	6	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		6.14	2.50
current	SD	1	Matt Waldron	Starter	4.0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	2.25	13.17	2.44
current	SD	2	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	6.75	6.23	1.62
current	SD	3	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	6.75	1.43	0.79
current	SD	4	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	9.00	1.28	0.57
current	SD	5	Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	2.65	1.57
current	SD	6	David Morgan	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	13.50	7.36	2.55
simulation	CHC	1	Jameson Taillon	Starter	4.0	3	2	2	4	3	1	19	96	4.50	4.63	1.32
simulation	CHC	2	Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	0	6	28	9.00	2.22	1.18
simulation	CHC	3	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	0	5	19	9.00	6.14	2.50
simulation	CHC	4	Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	10	0.00	2.81	1.09
simulation	CHC	5	Corbin Martin	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	11	0.00	0.00	0.50
simulation	CHC	6	Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	16	0.00	0.00	0.50
simulation	SD	1	Matt Waldron	Starter	3.0	8	7	7	5	1	1	22	103	21.00	13.17	2.44
simulation	SD	2	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	13	0.00	1.28	0.57
simulation	SD	3	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	6.23	1.62
simulation	SD	4	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	11	0.00	1.43	0.79
simulation	SD	5	Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	23	0.00	2.65	1.57
simulation	SD	6	David Morgan	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	0	4	14	9.00	7.36	2.55
simulation	SD	7	Walker Buehler	Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	9	0.00

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
CHC	Jameson Taillon	Starter	4.0	3	3	4	3	19	96
CHC	Ben Brown	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	1	6	28
CHC	Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	0	5	19
CHC	Hoby Milner	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	10
CHC	Corbin Martin	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	11
CHC	Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
SD	Matt Waldron	Starter	3.0	8	8	5	1	22	103
SD	Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	13
SD	Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	17
SD	Jason Adam	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	11
SD	Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	2	4	23
SD	David Morgan	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	14
SD	Walker Buehler	Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	9

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	warning	1	0	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	4	0	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_COL@CIN

20260429_COL@CIN.json • 2026-04-29

COL 4 - CIN 5

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 80.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 8PASS 82INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	CIN, COL	CIN current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=39; H: current=7, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=2, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=4; HBP: current=0, sim=1). CIN current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=12; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 2W	COL	COL pitch_count row for Juan Mejia differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1. COL pitch_count row for Tomoyuki Sugano differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=0.
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	CIN, COL	CIN wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. COL wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=39; H: current=7, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=2, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=4; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=12; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=27, sim=42; H: current=8, sim=12; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=9; R: current=4, sim=5; ER: current=4, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=11, sim=9).
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	COL	Juan Mejia	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count row for Juan Mejia differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	COL	Tomoyuki Sugano	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count row for Tomoyuki Sugano differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=0.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	CIN		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CIN wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	COL		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	COL wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=39; H: current=7, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=3; RBI: current=2, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=4; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CIN		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CIN current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=12; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=27, sim=42; H: current=8, sim=12; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	COL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	COL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=9; R: current=4, sim=5; ER: current=4, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=11, sim=9).
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	COL	Juan Mejia	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count row for Juan Mejia differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	COL	Tomoyuki Sugano	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	COL pitch_count row for Tomoyuki Sugano differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=0.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	CIN		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CIN wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	COL		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	COL wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	CIN		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	COL		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CIN		BATTING_REALISM	current:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	COL		BATTING_REALISM	current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CIN		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	COL		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CIN		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	COL		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CIN		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	COL		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting walks match COL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting home runs match COL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting hits match COL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CIN PA=44 matches COL BF=44.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:COL batting walks match CIN pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:COL batting home runs match CIN pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:COL batting hits match CIN pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:COL batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:COL PA=48 matches CIN BF=48.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	COL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	COL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.382.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.618.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.618.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.3.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.303/0.707.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 10 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: COL 12, CIN 9.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: COL 4 - CIN 5.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_COL@CIN.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: COL@CIN.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 182.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 198.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN		PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 198.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 182.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN		PITCHING_REALISM	current:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN		STARTER_PRESENT	current:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	COL		PITCHING_REALISM	current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	COL		STARTER_PRESENT	current:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: COL 4 - 6 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: COL 4 - 5 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CIN wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.618.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 6/10 (0.600).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/10 (0.800).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CIN wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CIN wins 4-5.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-5.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-6, final 4-5 (delta 1).
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 9.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CIN wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	COL	BATTING_REALISM	current:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	COL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:COL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	COL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting walks match COL pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting home runs match COL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting hits match COL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CIN batting strikeouts match COL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CIN PA=44 matches COL BF=44.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:COL batting walks match CIN pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:COL batting home runs match CIN pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:COL batting hits match CIN pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:COL batting strikeouts match CIN pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:COL PA=48 matches CIN BF=48.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	COL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:COL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	COL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	COL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	COL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.382.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.618.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.618.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.3.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.303/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 10 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: COL 12, CIN 9.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: COL 4 - CIN 5.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_COL@CIN.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: COL@CIN.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 182.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 198.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 198.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	COL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	COL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 182.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:COL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	COL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:COL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 10.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	COL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:COL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: COL 4 - 6 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: COL 4 - 5 CIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CIN wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.618.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 6/10 (0.600).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/10 (0.800).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CIN wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CIN wins 4-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-5.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-6, final 4-5 (delta 1).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 9.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CIN wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10).
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	COL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	COL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	CIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	COL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	COL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.569743633270264	5.923925876617432		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	6		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	4	6	0.764	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	4	6		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	5		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
COL	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	4	12
CIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	5	9

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	COL	batting	27	8	0	0	0	2	4	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	COL	pitching		4			0		4	0	11					8.0	4	0	0
current	CIN	batting	28	7	0	0	0	2	5	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	CIN	pitching		3			0		3	0	8					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	COL	batting	42	12	1	0	1	4	4	5	8	0	1
simulation	COL	pitching		9			0		5	4	9					10.0	5	44	182
simulation	CIN	batting	39	9	3	0	0	5	5	4	9	0	1
simulation	CIN	pitching		12			1		4	5	8					10.0	4	48	198

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	COL		LF	Jordan Beck	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	COL		DH	Tyler Freeman	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	COL		C	Hunter Goodman	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	COL		RF	Troy Johnston	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	COL		CF	Brenton Doyle	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	COL		SS	Ezequiel Tovar	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	COL		2B	Willi Castro	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	COL		3B	Kyle Karros	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	COL		1B	TJ Rumfield	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	CIN		RF	Rece Hinds	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	CIN		LF	Spencer Steer	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	CIN		SS	Elly De La Cruz	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	CIN		2B	Matt McLain	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	CIN		DH	Tyler Stephenson	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	CIN		C	Jose Trevino	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	CIN		CF	Dane Myers	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	CIN		1B	Sal Stewart	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	CIN		3B	Ke'Bryan Hayes	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	COL	1	LF	Jordan Beck	6	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	COL	2	CF	Brenton Doyle	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0.250
simulation	COL	3	C	Hunter Goodman	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0.200
simulation	COL	4	DH	Tyler Freeman	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	COL	5	SS	Ezequiel Tovar	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.400
simulation	COL	6	RF	Troy Johnston	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0.333
simulation	COL	7	2B	Willi Castro	5	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.400
simulation	COL	8	1B	TJ Rumfield	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	COL	9	3B	Kyle Karros	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0.500
simulation	CIN	1	CF	Dane Myers	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	CIN	2	2B	Matt McLain	5	2	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.400
simulation	CIN	3	SS	Elly De La Cruz	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	CIN	4	1B	Sal Stewart	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.000
simulation	CIN	5	LF	Spencer Steer	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	CIN	6	DH	Tyler Stephenson	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	CIN	7	RF	Rece Hinds	5	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	0	0.400
simulation	CIN	8	C	Jose Trevino	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.400
simulation	CIN	9	3B	Ke'Bryan Hayes	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	COL	1	Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	5.2	1	1	1	0	4	0	0	0	1.59	3.54	1.18
current	COL	2	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	4	0	0	0	6.75	0.57	0.75
current	COL	3	Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	1.10	1.46
current	COL	4	Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	27.00	4.34	2.41
current	COL	5	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		6.55	2.09
current	COL	6	Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		7.23	2.05
current	CIN	1	Brandon Williamson	Starter	4.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	2.08	5.72	1.61
current	CIN	2	Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.75	1.33
current	CIN	3	Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.26	1.33
current	CIN	4	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	6.75	2.21	1.15
current	CIN	5	Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	2.55	1.63
current	CIN	6	Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		4.46	1.24
simulation	COL	1	Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	6.0	4	0	0	1	3	0	23	91	0.00	3.54	1.18
simulation	COL	2	Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	0	6	25	9.00	7.23	2.05
simulation	COL	3	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	2	1	2	0	6	28	18.00	0.57	0.75
simulation	COL	4	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	0	4	20	9.00	6.55	2.09
simulation	COL	5	Chase Dollander	Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	0	5	18	9.00
simulation	CIN	1	Brandon Williamson	Starter	5.0	7	2	2	2	6	0	25	104	3.60	5.72	1.61
simulation	CIN	2	Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	0	6	20	9.00	4.46	1.24
simulation	CIN	3	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	15	0.00	2.21	1.15
simulation	CIN	4	Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	1	5	26	9.00	1.26	1.33
simulation	CIN	5	Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	2.0	1	0	0	1	0	0	8	33	0.00	2.55	1.63

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
COL	Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	6.0	1	4	1	3	23	91
COL	Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	2	6	25
COL	Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	2	6	28
COL	Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	20
COL	Chase Dollander	Reliever	1.0	1	2	0	1	5	18
CIN	Brandon Williamson	Starter	5.0	2	7	2	6	25	104
CIN	Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	0	6	20
CIN	Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	15
CIN	Graham Ashcraft	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	5	26
CIN	Connor Phillips	Middle Reliever	2.0	0	1	1	0	8	33

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	2	1	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_DET@ATL

20260429_DET@ATL.json • 2026-04-29

DET 1 - ATL 4

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 10PASS 81INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	ATL, DET	ATL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=30; H: current=9, sim=6; HR: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1). ATL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=12; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 2W	ATL	ATL pitch_count row for Joel Payamps differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1. ATL pitch_count row for Robert Suarez differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=0.
WARN	Prediction target vs final simulation drift The inning simulation can vary from ML target, but large drift should be reviewed or explicitly documented as acceptable variance.	0C / 0E / 2W	-	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.3 by more than 4. Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 3-6, final 1-4 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	ATL, DET	ATL wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. DET wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=30; H: current=9, sim=6; HR: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=12; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=27, sim=34; H: current=8, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=12).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=6; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.3 by more than 4.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	Joel Payamps	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count row for Joel Payamps differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	Robert Suarez	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count row for Robert Suarez differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=0.
WARN	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 3-6, final 1-4 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	ATL		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	DET		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=30; H: current=9, sim=6; HR: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	ATL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	ATL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=12; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=27, sim=34; H: current=8, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=12).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	DET		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	DET current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=6; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=15, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.3 by more than 4.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	Joel Payamps	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count row for Joel Payamps differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	Robert Suarez	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	ATL pitch_count row for Robert Suarez differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=0.
WARN	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 3-6, final 1-4 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	ATL		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	ATL wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	DET		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	DET wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	DET		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	ATL		BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	DET		BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match DET pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match DET pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match DET pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=34 matches DET BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match ATL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match ATL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=37 matches ATL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.320.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.680.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.680.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.303/0.707.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: DET 7, ATL 6.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: DET 1 - ATL 4.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_DET@ATL.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: DET@ATL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 146.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 167.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 167.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET		PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 146.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL		PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL		STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	DET		PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET		STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: DET 3 - 6 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: DET 1 - 4 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.680.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/10 (0.800).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 1-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	current:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	DET	BATTING_REALISM	current:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	ATL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:ATL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	DET	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:DET hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	ATL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	DET	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting walks match DET pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting home runs match DET pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting hits match DET pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:ATL batting strikeouts match DET pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:ATL PA=34 matches DET BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	ATL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:ATL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:DET batting walks match ATL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:DET batting home runs match ATL pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:DET batting hits match ATL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:DET batting strikeouts match ATL pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:DET PA=37 matches ATL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	DET	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:DET runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	ATL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	ATL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	ATL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	DET current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	DET current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	DET current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.320.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.680.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.680.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.303/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: DET 7, ATL 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: DET 1 - ATL 4.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_DET@ATL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: DET@ATL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 146.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 167.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	ATL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	ATL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 167.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	DET	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	DET pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 146.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	current:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	current:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:ATL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	ATL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:ATL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:DET pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	DET	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:DET includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	ATL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:ATL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	DET	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:DET pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: DET 3 - 6 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: DET 1 - 4 ATL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.680.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 8/10 (0.800).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: ATL wins 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: ATL wins 4-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	ATL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	ATL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	DET	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	DET recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	ATL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	ATL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	DET	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	DET pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.409453868865967	4.552910804748535		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	6	0.793	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	3	6		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	4		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	7
ATL	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	DET	batting	27	8	0	0	0	1	1	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	DET	pitching		3			0		3	0	15					8.0	3	0	0
current	ATL	batting	29	9	0	0	0	4	4	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	ATL	pitching		1			0		1	0	13					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	DET	batting	34	7	2	0	1	1	1	3	12	0	0
simulation	DET	pitching		6			1		4	3	8					8.0	4	34	146
simulation	ATL	batting	30	6	0	0	1	4	4	3	8	0	1
simulation	ATL	pitching		7			1		1	3	12					9.0	1	37	167

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	DET		CF	Wenceel Pérez	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	DET		RF	Kerry Carpenter	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	DET		1B	Spencer Torkelson	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	DET		C	Dillon Dingler	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	DET		SS	Javier Báez	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	DET		2B	Gleyber Torres	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	DET		3B	Kevin McGonigle	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	DET		DH	Colt Keith	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	DET		LF	Riley Greene	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	ATL		3B	Austin Riley	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	ATL		DH	Drake Baldwin	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	ATL		2B	Ozzie Albies	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	ATL		RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	ATL		1B	Matt Olson	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	ATL		C	Jonah Heim	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	ATL		SS	Mauricio Dubón	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	ATL		CF	Michael Harris II	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	ATL		LF	Eli White	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	DET	1	3B	Kevin McGonigle	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	DET	2	2B	Gleyber Torres	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	DET	3	DH	Colt Keith	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	DET	4	LF	Riley Greene	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	DET	5	C	Dillon Dingler	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	DET	6	RF	Kerry Carpenter	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.250
simulation	DET	7	1B	Spencer Torkelson	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	DET	8	CF	Wenceel Pérez	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	DET	9	SS	Javier Báez	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	1	RF	Ronald Acuña Jr.	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	2	DH	Drake Baldwin	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0.000
simulation	ATL	3	2B	Ozzie Albies	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	ATL	4	1B	Matt Olson	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	5	3B	Austin Riley	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	6	SS	Mauricio Dubón	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	ATL	7	CF	Michael Harris II	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	ATL	8	C	Jonah Heim	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	ATL	9	LF	Eli White	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	DET	1	Tarik Skubal	Starter	4.1	1	1	1	0	8	0	0	0	2.08	2.80	1.02
current	DET	2	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	6.75	4.22	1.56
current	DET	3	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.72	1.28
current	DET	4	Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	9.00	6.61	2.29
current	DET	5	Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		7.28	1.54
current	DET	6	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		7.35	1.73
current	ATL	1	JR Ritchie	Starter	6.0	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0.00	2.57	1.00
current	ATL	2	Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	5.77	1.67
current	ATL	3	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.74	0.90
current	ATL	4	Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.46	1.06
current	ATL	5	José Suarez	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	27.00	6.25	2.08
current	ATL	6	Joel Payamps	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		7.03	1.41
simulation	DET	1	Tarik Skubal	Starter	5.0	3	2	2	2	4	0	21	96	3.60	2.80	1.02
simulation	DET	2	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	9	0.00	4.22	1.56
simulation	DET	3	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	1	4	19	9.00	0.72	1.28
simulation	DET	4	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	0	6	22	9.00	7.35	1.73
simulation	ATL	1	JR Ritchie	Starter	5.0	2	0	0	2	6	0	19	89	0.00	2.57	1.00
simulation	ATL	2	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	1	4	15	0.00	0.74	0.90
simulation	ATL	3	Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	20	0.00	1.46	1.06
simulation	ATL	4	Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	0	5	21	0.00	5.77	1.67
simulation	ATL	5	Joel Payamps	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	0	5	22	9.00	7.03	1.41

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
DET	Tarik Skubal	Starter	5.0	2	3	2	4	21	96
DET	Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	9
DET	Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	2	4	19
DET	Will Vest	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	2	6	22
ATL	JR Ritchie	Starter	5.0	0	2	2	6	19	89
ATL	Robert Suarez	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	2	4	15
ATL	Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	2	4	20
ATL	Aaron Bummer	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	5	21
ATL	Joel Payamps	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	0	1	5	22

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	0	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	warning	1	2	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	2	1	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	warning	1	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_HOU@BAL

20260429_HOU@BAL.json • 2026-04-29

HOU 2 - BAL 3

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 80.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 8PASS 82INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	BAL, HOU	BAL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=8). BAL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=6).
WARN	Prediction target vs final simulation drift The inning simulation can vary from ML target, but large drift should be reviewed or explicitly documented as acceptable variance.	0C / 0E / 2W	-	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.4 by more than 4. Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 4-5, final 2-3 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	BAL, HOU	BAL wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. HOU wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=8).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=6).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=32; H: current=8, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=6).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=11, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.4 by more than 4.
WARN	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 4-5, final 2-3 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=8).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	BAL	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	BAL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=13, sim=6).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=32; H: current=8, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=6).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	HOU	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	HOU current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=11, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.4 by more than 4.
WARN	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 4-5, final 2-3 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	BAL wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	HOU wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match HOU pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match HOU pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match HOU pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=33 matches HOU BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match BAL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match BAL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=35 matches BAL BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.451.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.549.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.549.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.276/0.652.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: HOU 5, BAL 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: HOU 2 - BAL 3.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_HOU@BAL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: HOU@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: HOU 4 - 5 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: HOU 2 - 3 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: BAL wins 3-2.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.549.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 3/10 (0.300).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: BAL wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: BAL wins 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: BAL wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	current:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	current:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	BAL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:BAL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	HOU	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:HOU hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	BAL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	HOU	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting walks match HOU pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting home runs match HOU pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting hits match HOU pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:BAL batting strikeouts match HOU pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:BAL PA=33 matches HOU BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	BAL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:BAL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting walks match BAL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting home runs match BAL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting hits match BAL pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:HOU batting strikeouts match BAL pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:HOU PA=35 matches BAL BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	HOU	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:HOU runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	BAL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	BAL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	BAL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	HOU current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	HOU current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	HOU current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.451.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.549.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.549.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.276/0.652.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: HOU 5, BAL 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: HOU 2 - BAL 3.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_HOU@BAL.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: HOU@BAL.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	BAL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	BAL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 143.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	HOU	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	HOU pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	current:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	current:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:BAL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	BAL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:BAL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:HOU pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	HOU	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:HOU includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	BAL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:BAL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	HOU	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:HOU pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: HOU 4 - 5 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: HOU 2 - 3 BAL.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: BAL wins 3-2.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.549.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 3/10 (0.300).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: BAL wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: BAL wins 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: BAL wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	BAL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	BAL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	HOU	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	HOU recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	BAL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	BAL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	HOU	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	HOU pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.6474459171295166	2.8953418731689453		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	3		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	4	5	0.578	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	4	5		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	5
BAL	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	HOU	batting	29	8	0	0	0	2	2	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	HOU	pitching		3			0		3	0	11					8.0	3	0	0
current	BAL	batting	28	9	0	0	0	3	3	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	BAL	pitching		2			0		2	0	13					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	HOU	batting	32	5	2	0	0	2	2	3	6	0	0
simulation	HOU	pitching		7			2		3	2	8					8.0	3	33	139
simulation	BAL	batting	31	7	1	0	2	3	3	2	8	0	0
simulation	BAL	pitching		5			0		2	3	6					9.0	2	35	143

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	HOU		1B	Christian Walker	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	HOU		2B	Jose Altuve	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	HOU		3B	Isaac Paredes	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	HOU		DH	Yordan Alvarez	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.333
current	HOU		CF	Brice Matthews	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	HOU		C	Yainer Diaz	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
current	HOU		SS	Carlos Correa	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	HOU		LF	Dustin Harris	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	HOU		RF	Cam Smith	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	BAL		LF	Taylor Ward	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	BAL		CF	Leody Taveras	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	BAL		C	Adley Rutschman	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	BAL		1B	Pete Alonso	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	BAL		SS	Gunnar Henderson	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	BAL		DH	Samuel Basallo	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	BAL		RF	Dylan Beavers	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	BAL		3B	Coby Mayo	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.333
current	BAL		2B	Jeremiah Jackson	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.333
simulation	HOU	1	SS	Carlos Correa	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	2	DH	Yordan Alvarez	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	HOU	3	3B	Isaac Paredes	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	HOU	4	2B	Jose Altuve	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	HOU	5	1B	Christian Walker	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	HOU	6	RF	Cam Smith	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	HOU	7	LF	Dustin Harris	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	HOU	8	C	Yainer Diaz	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	HOU	9	CF	Brice Matthews	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	0.333
simulation	BAL	1	SS	Gunnar Henderson	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	BAL	2	LF	Taylor Ward	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	BAL	3	C	Adley Rutschman	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.250
simulation	BAL	4	1B	Pete Alonso	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	BAL	5	RF	Dylan Beavers	4	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	0.250
simulation	BAL	6	DH	Samuel Basallo	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	BAL	7	CF	Leody Taveras	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	BAL	8	3B	Coby Mayo	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	BAL	9	2B	Jeremiah Jackson	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	HOU	1	Peter Lambert	Starter	6.1	1	1	1	0	8	0	0	0	1.42	3.27	1.27
current	HOU	2	Kai-Wei Teng	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	6.75	3.16	1.17
current	HOU	3	Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	27.00	3.50	1.36
current	HOU	4	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		14.59	2.97
current	HOU	5	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		4.59	1.63
current	HOU	6	Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		6.70	1.60
current	BAL	1	Chris Bassitt	Starter	5.1	1	1	1	0	5	0	0	0	1.69	7.06	2.16
current	BAL	2	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	2.69	0.90
current	BAL	3	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.73	0.40
current	BAL	4	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.31	0.77
current	BAL	5	Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	27.00	3.70	1.23
current	BAL	6	Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		3.75	1.67
simulation	HOU	1	Peter Lambert	Starter	5.0	3	1	1	2	6	1	20	90	1.80	3.27	1.27
simulation	HOU	2	Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	0.00	6.70	1.60
simulation	HOU	3	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	0	5	22	0.00	4.59	1.63
simulation	HOU	4	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	1	5	20	18.00	14.59	2.97
simulation	BAL	1	Chris Bassitt	Starter	5.0	3	2	2	2	4	0	20	81	3.60	7.06	2.16
simulation	BAL	2	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	12	0.00	0.73	0.40
simulation	BAL	3	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	11	0.00	2.69	0.90
simulation	BAL	4	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	10	0.00	2.31	0.77
simulation	BAL	5	Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	0	6	29	0.00	3.75	1.67

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
HOU	Peter Lambert	Starter	5.0	1	3	2	6	20	90
HOU	Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	7
HOU	Bryan King	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	0	2	5	22
HOU	Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	0	0	5	20
BAL	Chris Bassitt	Starter	5.0	2	3	2	4	20	81
BAL	Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	12
BAL	Anthony Nunez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	11
BAL	Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	10
BAL	Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	1	1	6	29

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	0	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	warning	1	2	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	warning	1	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_KC@OAK

20260429_KC@OAK.json • 2026-04-29

KC 4 - OAK 2

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 120.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 12PASS 79INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	KC, OAK	KC current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=35; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=11; SF: current=0, sim=1; HBP: current=0, sim=1). KC current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=10; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 3W	OAK	OAK pitch_count row for Hogan Harris differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1. OAK pitch_count row for Joel Kuhnel differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=0.
WARN	Prediction target vs final simulation drift The inning simulation can vary from ML target, but large drift should be reviewed or explicitly documented as acceptable variance.	0C / 0E / 2W	-	Final total runs 6 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.3 by more than 4. Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 6-4, final 4-2 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	KC, OAK	KC wins=0 over games_analyzed=28 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. OAK wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	Data Leakage Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	0C / 0E / 1W	-	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 KC@OAK 4-1

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Expected
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=35; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=11; SF: current=0, sim=1; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=10; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=32; H: current=8, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=2, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=10).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=9; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=11; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 KC@OAK 4-1	Only H2H rows dated before the prediction game date in pregame mode.
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.3 by more than 4.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	Hogan Harris	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count row for Hogan Harris differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	Joel Kuhnel	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count row for Joel Kuhnel differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	Mark Leiter Jr.	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count row for Mark Leiter Jr. differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 6-4, final 4-2 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	KC		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	KC wins=0 over games_analyzed=28 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	OAK		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Expected
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=35; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=11; SF: current=0, sim=1; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	KC		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	KC current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=14, sim=10; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=32; H: current=8, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=2, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=10).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	OAK		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	OAK current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=9; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=11; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 KC@OAK 4-1	Only H2H rows dated before the prediction game date in pregame mode.
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.3 by more than 4.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	Hogan Harris	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count row for Hogan Harris differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	Joel Kuhnel	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count row for Joel Kuhnel differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	Mark Leiter Jr.	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	OAK pitch_count row for Mark Leiter Jr. differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 6-4, final 4-2 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	KC		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	KC wins=0 over games_analyzed=28 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	OAK		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	OAK wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	KC		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	KC		BATTING_REALISM	current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	OAK		BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	KC		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	KC		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	KC		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:KC batting walks match OAK pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:KC batting home runs match OAK pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:KC batting hits match OAK pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:KC batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:KC PA=42 matches OAK BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match KC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match KC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match KC pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=36 matches KC BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	KC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	KC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.625.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.625.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.375.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.303/0.707.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: KC 9, OAK 5.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: KC 4 - OAK 2.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_KC@OAK.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: KC@OAK.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 151.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 181.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC		PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 151.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 181.
PASS	pitching	current	KC		PITCHING_REALISM	current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	KC		STARTER_PRESENT	current:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK		PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK		STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: KC 6 - 4 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: KC 4 - 2 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: KC wins 4-2.
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.625.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: KC wins 4-2.
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: KC wins 4-2.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-2.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: KC wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	KC	BATTING_REALISM	current:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	current:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	KC	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:KC hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	OAK	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:OAK hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	KC	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	OAK	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:KC batting walks match OAK pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:KC batting home runs match OAK pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:KC batting hits match OAK pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:KC batting strikeouts match OAK pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:KC PA=42 matches OAK BF=42.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	KC	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:KC runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting walks match KC pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting home runs match KC pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting hits match KC pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:OAK batting strikeouts match KC pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:OAK PA=36 matches KC BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	OAK	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:OAK runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	KC current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	KC current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	KC current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	OAK current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	OAK current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	OAK current hitter names are populated.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.625.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.625.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.375.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.303/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: KC 9, OAK 5.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: KC 4 - OAK 2.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_KC@OAK.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: KC@OAK.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 151.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 181.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	KC	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	KC pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 151.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	OAK	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	OAK pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 181.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	current:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	current:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	current:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	current:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:KC pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	KC	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:KC includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:OAK pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	OAK	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:OAK includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	KC	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:KC pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	OAK	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:OAK pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: KC 6 - 4 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: KC 4 - 2 OAK.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: KC wins 4-2.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.625.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: KC wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: KC wins 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: KC wins 4-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	KC	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	KC recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	OAK	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	OAK recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	KC	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	KC pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	OAK	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	OAK pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	4.5563812255859375	4.945608139038086		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	6	4	0.720	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	6	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	4	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	9
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	KC	batting	29	9	0	0	0	3	4	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	KC	pitching		2			0		2	0	14					9.0	2	0	0
current	OAK	batting	29	8	0	0	0	2	2	2	9	0	0	0	0
current	OAK	pitching		3			0		3	0	9					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	KC	batting	35	9	2	0	1	4	4	5	11	1	1
simulation	KC	pitching		5			1		2	4	10					9.0	2	36	151
simulation	OAK	batting	32	5	0	0	1	2	2	4	10	0	0
simulation	OAK	pitching		9			1		4	5	11					9.0	4	42	181

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	KC		C	Carter Jensen	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	KC		CF	Kyle Isbel	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	KC		3B	Maikel Garcia	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	KC		2B	Michael Massey	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	KC		1B	Vinnie Pasquantino	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	KC		SS	Bobby Witt Jr.	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	KC		DH	Salvador Perez	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	KC		LF	Isaac Collins	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	KC		RF	Jac Caglianone	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	OAK		DH	Brent Rooker	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0.000
current	OAK		2B	Jeff McNeil	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	OAK		C	Shea Langeliers	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	OAK		LF	Tyler Soderstrom	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	OAK		1B	Nick Kurtz	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
current	OAK		3B	Darell Hernaiz	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	OAK		CF	Lawrence Butler	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	OAK		SS	Jacob Wilson	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	OAK		RF	Carlos Cortes	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	KC	1	3B	Maikel Garcia	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.250
simulation	KC	2	SS	Bobby Witt Jr.	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.200
simulation	KC	3	1B	Vinnie Pasquantino	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0.333
simulation	KC	4	DH	Salvador Perez	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	KC	5	C	Carter Jensen	5	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	0.400
simulation	KC	6	2B	Michael Massey	5	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0.400
simulation	KC	7	RF	Jac Caglianone	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	KC	8	LF	Isaac Collins	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	KC	9	CF	Kyle Isbel	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	OAK	1	1B	Nick Kurtz	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	2	C	Shea Langeliers	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	3	LF	Tyler Soderstrom	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	4	DH	Brent Rooker	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	OAK	5	RF	Carlos Cortes	4	2	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	OAK	6	SS	Jacob Wilson	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0.500
simulation	OAK	7	2B	Jeff McNeil	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	8	3B	Darell Hernaiz	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	OAK	9	CF	Lawrence Butler	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	KC	1	Michael Wacha	Starter	4.1	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0.00	2.52	0.93
current	KC	2	Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	4.41	1.47
current	KC	3	Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.62	1.17
current	KC	4	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.87	0.58
current	KC	5	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	4.74	1.75
current	KC	6	John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	27.00	5.23	1.74
current	OAK	1	Luis Severino	Starter	4.2	1	1	1	0	4	0	0	0	1.93	5.33	1.61
current	OAK	2	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2.69	1.34
current	OAK	3	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	9.00	3.52	2.03
current	OAK	4	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.82	0.91
current	OAK	5	Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	4.57	1.74
current	OAK	6	Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	27.00	7.50	2.04
simulation	KC	1	Michael Wacha	Starter	5.0	4	0	0	2	6	0	21	91	0.00	2.52	0.93
simulation	KC	2	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	1	5	21	18.00	4.74	1.75
simulation	KC	3	Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	9	0.00	4.41	1.47
simulation	KC	4	Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	16	0.00	2.62	1.17
simulation	KC	5	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	14	0.00	0.87	0.58
simulation	OAK	1	Luis Severino	Starter	4.0	7	2	2	1	6	0	20	89	4.50	5.33	1.61
simulation	OAK	2	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	1	5	22	0.00	2.69	1.34
simulation	OAK	3	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	0	4	17	9.00	3.52	2.03
simulation	OAK	4	Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	0	4	14	9.00	7.50	2.04
simulation	OAK	5	Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	2	1	0	6	26	0.00	4.57	1.74
simulation	OAK	6	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	13	0.00	0.82	0.91

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
KC	Michael Wacha	Starter	5.0	0	4	2	6	21	91
KC	Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	5	21
KC	Matt Strahm	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	9
KC	Nick Mears	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	16
KC	Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	14
OAK	Luis Severino	Starter	4.0	2	7	1	6	20	89
OAK	Joel Kuhnel	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	5	22
OAK	Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	17
OAK	Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	4	14
OAK	Justin Sterner	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	2	1	6	26
OAK	Scott Barlow	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	13

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	warning	1	0	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	warning	1	2	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	3	1	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	warning	1	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_LAA@CHW

20260429_LAA@CHW.json • 2026-04-29

LAA 4 - CHW 6

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 310.

CRITICAL 2ERROR 0WARN 11PASS 81INFO 2

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Innings Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	-	Inning runs 1-9 do not match final score 4-6.
CRITICAL	Score Reconciliation Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	-	score_target_reconciliation was used, but not all final-facing sections were regenerated: inning_by_inning=1-9 final=4-6
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 5W	CHW, LAA	CHW pitch_count row for Bryan Hudson differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1. CHW pitch_count row for Grant Taylor differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	CHW, LAA	CHW current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=27, sim=34; H: current=9, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=4). CHW current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=7).
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	CHW, LAA	CHW wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. LAA wins=0 over games_analyzed=31 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Expected
CRITICAL	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs 1-9 do not match final score 4-6.
CRITICAL	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	score_target_reconciliation was used, but not all final-facing sections were regenerated: inning_by_inning=1-9 final=4-6	All final-facing sections must use the reconciled score.
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=27, sim=34; H: current=9, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=4).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=7).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=30, sim=34; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=1; BB: current=1, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=7).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=10; R: current=4, sim=6; ER: current=4, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=11, sim=4; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	Bryan Hudson	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count row for Bryan Hudson differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	Grant Taylor	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count row for Grant Taylor differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	Jordan Leasure	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count row for Jordan Leasure differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	Drew Pomeranz	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count row for Drew Pomeranz differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=3, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	Yusei Kikuchi	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count row for Yusei Kikuchi differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=6, box=5.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	CHW		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHW wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	LAA		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins=0 over games_analyzed=31 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Expected
CRITICAL	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs 1-9 do not match final score 4-6.
CRITICAL	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	score_target_reconciliation was used, but not all final-facing sections were regenerated: inning_by_inning=1-9 final=4-6	All final-facing sections must use the reconciled score.
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=27, sim=34; H: current=9, sim=10; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=4).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CHW		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CHW current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=7).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=30, sim=34; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=1; BB: current=1, sim=3; SO: current=9, sim=7).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAA		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAA current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=10; R: current=4, sim=6; ER: current=4, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=11, sim=4; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	Bryan Hudson	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count row for Bryan Hudson differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	Grant Taylor	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count row for Grant Taylor differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	Jordan Leasure	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CHW pitch_count row for Jordan Leasure differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	Drew Pomeranz	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count row for Drew Pomeranz differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=3, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	Yusei Kikuchi	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAA pitch_count row for Yusei Kikuchi differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=6, box=5.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	CHW		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CHW wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	LAA		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAA wins=0 over games_analyzed=31 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	CHW		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
PASS	batting	current	CHW		BATTING_REALISM	current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	LAA		BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHW		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHW		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHW		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting walks match LAA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting home runs match LAA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting hits match LAA pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHW PA=39 matches LAA BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match CHW pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match CHW pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match CHW pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=37 matches CHW BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHW current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.323.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.677.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.677.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 10 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.2.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.328/0.755.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAA 7, CHW 10.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_LAA@CHW.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAA@CHW.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW		PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW		STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA		PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA		STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAA 4 - 6 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAA 4 - 6 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHW wins 6-4.
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.677.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 1/10 (0.100).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 6/10 (0.600).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHW wins 6-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHW wins 4-6.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-6.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-6, final 4-6 (delta 0).
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 10.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHW wins 6-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	current:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CHW	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CHW hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CHW	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting walks match LAA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting home runs match LAA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting hits match LAA pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CHW batting strikeouts match LAA pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CHW PA=39 matches LAA BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CHW	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CHW runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting walks match CHW pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting home runs match CHW pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting hits match CHW pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAA batting strikeouts match CHW pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAA PA=37 matches CHW BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CHW current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CHW current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CHW	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CHW current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.323.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.677.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.677.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 10 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.2.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.328/0.755.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: LAA 7, CHW 10.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_LAA@CHW.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: LAA@CHW.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 157.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CHW	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CHW pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 156.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 157.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CHW pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CHW	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CHW includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CHW	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CHW pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: LAA 4 - 6 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: LAA 4 - 6 CHW.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: CHW wins 6-4.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.677.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 1/10 (0.100).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 6/10 (0.600).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: CHW wins 6-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: CHW wins 4-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 4-6.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 4-6, final 4-6 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 10.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: CHW wins 6-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CHW	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CHW recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	CHW		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CHW pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAA		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.29160213470459	4.163434982299805		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	4	6	0.888	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	4	6		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
score_target_reconciliation	4	6		Final score reconciled to enhanced target after excessive simulation drift
simulation_result	4	6		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	7
CHW	3	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	10

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	LAA	batting	30	9	0	0	0	3	4	1	9	0	0	0	0
current	LAA	pitching		4			0		4	0	11					8.0	4	0	0
current	CHW	batting	27	9	0	0	0	3	6	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	CHW	pitching		3			0		3	0	9					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	LAA	batting	34	7	1	0	0	1	4	3	7	0	0
simulation	LAA	pitching		10			1		6	5	4					8.0	6	39	157
simulation	CHW	batting	34	10	2	0	1	6	6	5	4	0	0
simulation	CHW	pitching		7			0		4	3	7					9.0	2	37	156

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	LAA		DH	Jorge Soler	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	LAA		RF	Jo Adell	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	LAA		CF	Mike Trout	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.333
current	LAA		3B	Yoán Moncada	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	LAA		1B	Nolan Schanuel	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.250
current	LAA		SS	Zach Neto	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	LAA		C	Travis d'Arnaud	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	LAA		2B	Adam Frazier	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	LAA		LF	Josh Lowe	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		2B	Chase Meidroth	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		1B	Munetaka Murakami	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		3B	Miguel Vargas	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		C	Edgar Quero	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		DH	Everson Pereira	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		SS	Colson Montgomery	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		CF	Luisangel Acuña	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		LF	Derek Hill	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CHW		RF	Austin Hays	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
simulation	LAA	1	SS	Zach Neto	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	0.333
simulation	LAA	2	CF	Mike Trout	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	LAA	3	3B	Yoán Moncada	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	LAA	4	DH	Jorge Soler	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	LAA	5	1B	Nolan Schanuel	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	LAA	6	RF	Jo Adell	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	LAA	7	LF	Josh Lowe	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	LAA	8	C	Travis d'Arnaud	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	LAA	9	2B	Adam Frazier	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	CHW	1	2B	Chase Meidroth	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.250
simulation	CHW	2	3B	Miguel Vargas	3	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.667
simulation	CHW	3	1B	Munetaka Murakami	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	0.250
simulation	CHW	4	DH	Everson Pereira	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	CHW	5	RF	Austin Hays	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CHW	6	SS	Colson Montgomery	4	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0.250
simulation	CHW	7	C	Edgar Quero	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	CHW	8	LF	Derek Hill	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	CHW	9	CF	Luisangel Acuña	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.500

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	LAA	1	Yusei Kikuchi	Starter	4.2	1	1	1	0	5	0	0	0	1.93	6.36	1.63
current	LAA	2	Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	6.75	3.44	1.31
current	LAA	3	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	6.75	6.38	1.42
current	LAA	4	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	4.00	1.48
current	LAA	5	Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		4.50	2.25
current	LAA	6	Drew Pomeranz	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		9.52	1.83
current	CHW	1	Erick Fedde	Starter	6.2	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	1.35	3.54	1.18
current	CHW	2	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.48	1.31
current	CHW	3	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	1.84	1.94
current	CHW	4	Jordan Leasure	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	4.34	1.08
simulation	LAA	1	Yusei Kikuchi	Starter	2.0	6	5	5	3	1	0	15	62	22.50	6.36	1.63
simulation	LAA	2	Drew Pomeranz	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	1	6	27	9.00	9.52	1.83
simulation	LAA	3	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	19	0.00	4.00	1.48
simulation	LAA	4	Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	9	0.00	4.50	2.25
simulation	LAA	5	Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	19	0.00	3.44	1.31
simulation	LAA	6	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	0.00	6.38	1.42
simulation	LAA	7	Walbert Urena	Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	14	0.00
simulation	CHW	1	Erick Fedde	Starter	6.0	5	1	1	1	4	0	24	96	1.50	3.54	1.18
simulation	CHW	2	Jordan Leasure	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	1	2	0	5	30	0.00	4.34	1.08
simulation	CHW	3	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	0	1	0	4	15	0.00	1.48	1.31
simulation	CHW	4	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	0	0	4	15	9.00	1.84	1.94

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
LAA	Yusei Kikuchi	Starter	2.0	6	6	3	1	15	62
LAA	Drew Pomeranz	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	3	0	1	6	27
LAA	Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	19
LAA	Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	9
LAA	Brent Suter	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	19
LAA	Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	7
LAA	Walbert Urena	Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	14
CHW	Erick Fedde	Starter	6.0	1	5	1	4	24	96
CHW	Jordan Leasure	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	2	5	30
CHW	Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	15
CHW	Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	0	4	15

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	0	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	0	0	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	critical	1	0	0	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	0	5	0	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	critical	1	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	0	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_MIA@LAD

20260429_MIA@LAD.json • 2026-04-29

MIA 1 - LAD 2

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 10PASS 81INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	LAD, MIA	LAD current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1). LAD current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=10; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 2W	MIA	MIA pitch_count row for Calvin Faucher differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1. MIA pitch_count row for Sandy Alcantara differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	LAD, MIA	LAD wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. MIA wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	Data Leakage Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	0C / 0E / 1W	-	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 MIA@LAD 2-1
WARN	Prediction target vs final simulation drift The inning simulation can vary from ML target, but large drift should be reviewed or explicitly documented as acceptable variance.	0C / 0E / 1W	-	Final total runs 3 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 9.8 by more than 4.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Expected
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=10; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=32; H: current=9, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=10).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=15, sim=7).
WARN	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 MIA@LAD 2-1	Only H2H rows dated before the prediction game date in pregame mode.
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 9.8 by more than 4.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	Calvin Faucher	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count row for Calvin Faucher differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	Sandy Alcantara	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count row for Sandy Alcantara differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	LAD		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAD wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	MIA		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIA wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Expected
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=7; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	LAD		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	LAD current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=10; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=32; H: current=9, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=10).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIA		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIA current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=15, sim=7).
WARN	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 MIA@LAD 2-1	Only H2H rows dated before the prediction game date in pregame mode.
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 3 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 9.8 by more than 4.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	Calvin Faucher	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count row for Calvin Faucher differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	Sandy Alcantara	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIA pitch_count row for Sandy Alcantara differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	LAD		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	LAD wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	MIA		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIA wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	LAD		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIA		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	LAD		BATTING_REALISM	current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIA		BATTING_REALISM	current:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAD		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIA		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAD		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIA		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAD		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIA		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting walks match MIA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting home runs match MIA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting hits match MIA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAD PA=33 matches MIA BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting walks match LAD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting home runs match LAD pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting hits match LAD pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIA PA=32 matches LAD BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.412.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.588.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.588.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.900.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIA 5, LAD 7.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIA 1 - LAD 2.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_MIA@LAD.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIA@LAD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 135.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 131.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD		PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 131.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 135.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD		PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD		STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA		PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA		STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIA 2 - 3 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIA 1 - 2 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 2-1.
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.588.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAD wins 2-1.
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAD wins 1-2.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-2.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 1-2 (delta 2).
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAD wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	current:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	LAD	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:LAD hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	LAD	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting walks match MIA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting home runs match MIA pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting hits match MIA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:LAD batting strikeouts match MIA pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:LAD PA=33 matches MIA BF=33.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	LAD	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:LAD runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting walks match LAD pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting home runs match LAD pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting hits match LAD pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIA batting strikeouts match LAD pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIA PA=32 matches LAD BF=32.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	LAD current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	LAD current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	LAD current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.412.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.588.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.588.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home marked not_played with empty stats.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: MIA 5, LAD 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: MIA 1 - LAD 2.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_MIA@LAD.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: MIA@LAD.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 135.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 131.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	LAD	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	LAD pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 131.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 135.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	current:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	current:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:LAD pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	LAD	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:LAD includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	LAD	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:LAD pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: MIA 2 - 3 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: MIA 1 - 2 LAD.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: LAD wins 2-1.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.588.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: LAD wins 2-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: LAD wins 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 1-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 2-3, final 1-2 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 3.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: LAD wins 2-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	LAD	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	LAD recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	LAD	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	LAD pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.8466947078704834	4.7660040855407715		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	2	3	0.610	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	2	3		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	1	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5
LAD	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	MIA	batting	29	9	0	0	0	1	1	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	MIA	pitching		2			0		2	0	15					8.0	2	0	0
current	LAD	batting	28	9	0	0	0	2	2	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	LAD	pitching		1			0		1	0	16					9.0	1	0	0
simulation	MIA	batting	32	5	1	0	1	1	1	0	10	0	0
simulation	MIA	pitching		7			0		2	1	7					8.0	2	33	135
simulation	LAD	batting	31	7	1	0	0	2	2	1	7	0	1
simulation	LAD	pitching		5			1		1	0	10					9.0	1	32	131

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	MIA		SS	Otto Lopez	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	MIA		2B	Xavier Edwards	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIA		RF	Owen Caissie	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIA		3B	Graham Pauley	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIA		DH	Agustín Ramírez	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIA		CF	Jakob Marsee	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIA		C	Liam Hicks	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIA		1B	Connor Norby	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIA		LF	Kyle Stowers	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	LAD		RF	Kyle Tucker	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	LAD		DH	Shohei Ohtani	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	LAD		CF	Andy Pages	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	LAD		LF	Teoscar Hernández	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	LAD		1B	Freddie Freeman	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	LAD		C	Will Smith	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	LAD		3B	Max Muncy	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	LAD		2B	Alex Freeland	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	LAD		SS	Hyeseong Kim	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	MIA	1	CF	Jakob Marsee	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	MIA	2	LF	Kyle Stowers	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIA	3	SS	Otto Lopez	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	MIA	4	2B	Xavier Edwards	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIA	5	C	Liam Hicks	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIA	6	DH	Agustín Ramírez	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	MIA	7	RF	Owen Caissie	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.333
simulation	MIA	8	1B	Connor Norby	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	MIA	9	3B	Graham Pauley	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	LAD	1	DH	Shohei Ohtani	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	LAD	2	1B	Freddie Freeman	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	LAD	3	C	Will Smith	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	LAD	4	RF	Kyle Tucker	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	LAD	5	LF	Teoscar Hernández	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	LAD	6	3B	Max Muncy	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	LAD	7	CF	Andy Pages	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	LAD	8	SS	Hyeseong Kim	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	LAD	9	2B	Alex Freeland	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	MIA	1	Sandy Alcantara	Starter	4.1	1	1	1	0	6	0	0	0	2.08	3.07	1.12
current	MIA	2	John King	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.89	0.69
current	MIA	3	Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0.00	1.55	1.44
current	MIA	4	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	9.00	6.28	1.98
current	MIA	5	Andrew Nardi	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		7.33	1.98
current	MIA	6	Anthony Bender	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		6.85	2.07
current	LAD	1	Tyler Glasnow	Starter	4.1	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0.00	2.45	0.70
current	LAD	2	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	1.91	0.96
current	LAD	3	Jack Dreyer	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	6.75	3.88	1.12
current	LAD	4	Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.20	1.33
current	LAD	5	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.18	0.81
current	LAD	6	Will Klein	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.62	1.36
simulation	MIA	1	Sandy Alcantara	Starter	5.0	5	1	1	1	4	0	22	90	1.80	3.07	1.12
simulation	MIA	2	Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	13	0.00	1.55	1.44
simulation	MIA	3	John King	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	16	0.00	0.89	0.69
simulation	MIA	4	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	0	4	16	9.00	6.28	1.98
simulation	LAD	1	Tyler Glasnow	Starter	5.0	4	1	1	0	6	1	19	81	1.80	2.45	0.70
simulation	LAD	2	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	12	0.00	2.18	0.81
simulation	LAD	3	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	14	0.00	1.91	0.96
simulation	LAD	4	Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	13	0.00	1.20	1.33
simulation	LAD	5	Will Klein	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	11	0.00	2.62	1.36

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
MIA	Sandy Alcantara	Starter	5.0	2	5	1	4	22	90
MIA	Tyler Phillips	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	13
MIA	John King	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	2	4	16
MIA	Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	16
LAD	Tyler Glasnow	Starter	5.0	1	4	0	6	19	81
LAD	Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	3	3	12
LAD	Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	14
LAD	Blake Treinen	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	13
LAD	Will Klein	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	11

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	warning	1	0	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	good	0	1	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	warning	1	2	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	2	1	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_NYY@TEX

20260429_NYY@TEX.json • 2026-04-29

NYY 6 - TEX 1

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 350.

CRITICAL 2ERROR 1WARN 11PASS 79INFO 2

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Innings Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	-	Inning runs 8-9 do not match final score 6-1.
CRITICAL	Score Reconciliation Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	-	score_target_reconciliation was used, but not all final-facing sections were regenerated: inning_by_inning=8-9 final=6-1
ERROR	Batting Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	0C / 1E / 0W	TEX	simulation:TEX HR=2 exceeds RBI=1; every HR creates at least one RBI unless special scoring data is absent.
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	NYY, TEX	NYY current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=50; H: current=9, sim=11; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=4, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=7; SO: current=9, sim=11). NYY current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=11; BB: current=0, sim=8; SO: current=13, sim=12; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 4W	NYY, TEX	NYY pitch_count row for David Bednar differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=0. NYY pitch_count row for Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=3, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	NYY, TEX	NYY wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. TEX wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	Data Leakage Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	0C / 0E / 1W	-	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 NYY@TEX 3-2

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Expected
CRITICAL	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs 8-9 do not match final score 6-1.
CRITICAL	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	score_target_reconciliation was used, but not all final-facing sections were regenerated: inning_by_inning=8-9 final=6-1	All final-facing sections must use the reconciled score.
ERROR	batting	simulation	TEX		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX HR=2 exceeds RBI=1; every HR creates at least one RBI unless special scoring data is absent.
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=50; H: current=9, sim=11; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=4, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=7; SO: current=9, sim=11).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=11; BB: current=0, sim=8; SO: current=13, sim=12; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=50; H: current=9, sim=11; 2B: current=0, sim=4; HR: current=0, sim=2; BB: current=1, sim=8; SO: current=9, sim=12).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=11; R: current=4, sim=6; ER: current=4, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=7; SO: current=9, sim=11; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 NYY@TEX 3-2	Only H2H rows dated before the prediction game date in pregame mode.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	David Bednar	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count row for David Bednar differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count row for Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=3, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	Ryan Yarbrough	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count row for Ryan Yarbrough differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=4, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	Cal Quantrill	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TEX pitch_count row for Cal Quantrill differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=3, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	NYY		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	TEX		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TEX wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Expected
CRITICAL	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs 8-9 do not match final score 6-1.
CRITICAL	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	score_target_reconciliation was used, but not all final-facing sections were regenerated: inning_by_inning=8-9 final=6-1	All final-facing sections must use the reconciled score.
ERROR	batting	simulation	TEX		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX HR=2 exceeds RBI=1; every HR creates at least one RBI unless special scoring data is absent.
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=50; H: current=9, sim=11; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=4, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=7; SO: current=9, sim=11).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYY		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYY current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=11; BB: current=0, sim=8; SO: current=13, sim=12; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=50; H: current=9, sim=11; 2B: current=0, sim=4; HR: current=0, sim=2; BB: current=1, sim=8; SO: current=9, sim=12).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TEX		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TEX current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=11; R: current=4, sim=6; ER: current=4, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=7; SO: current=9, sim=11; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	Head-to-head contains same-day/future game rows that should not be available before first pitch: 2026-04-29 NYY@TEX 3-2	Only H2H rows dated before the prediction game date in pregame mode.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	David Bednar	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count row for David Bednar differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count row for Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=3, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	Ryan Yarbrough	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYY pitch_count row for Ryan Yarbrough differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=4, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	Cal Quantrill	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TEX pitch_count row for Cal Quantrill differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=3, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	NYY		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYY wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	TEX		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TEX wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TEX		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
PASS	batting	current	NYY		BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TEX		BATTING_REALISM	current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TEX		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TEX		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TEX		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match TEX pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match TEX pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match TEX pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=57 matches TEX BF=57.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting walks match NYY pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting home runs match NYY pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting hits match NYY pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TEX PA=58 matches NYY BF=58.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TEX current hitter names are populated.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.620.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.620.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.380.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.3.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.298/0.696.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 13 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: NYY 11, TEX 11.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_NYY@TEX.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: NYY@TEX.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 240.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 253.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 240.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 253.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY		PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY		STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX		PITCHING_REALISM	current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX		STARTER_PRESENT	current:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 13.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 13.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYY 6 - 1 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: NYY 6 - 1 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 6-1 (Extra Innings - 13).
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.620.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/10 (0.900).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 3/10 (0.300).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 6-1 (Extra Innings - 13).
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 6-1.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 6-1.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 6-1, final 6-1 (delta 0).
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 6-1 (Extra Innings - 13).
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	current:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYY	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYY hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TEX	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TEX hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYY	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TEX	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting walks match TEX pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting home runs match TEX pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting hits match TEX pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYY batting strikeouts match TEX pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYY PA=57 matches TEX BF=57.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYY	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYY runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting walks match NYY pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting home runs match NYY pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting hits match NYY pitching: 11.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TEX batting strikeouts match NYY pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TEX PA=58 matches NYY BF=58.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TEX	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TEX runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYY current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYY current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYY	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYY current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TEX current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TEX current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TEX	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TEX current hitter names are populated.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.620.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.620.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.380.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 7 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.3.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.298/0.696.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 13 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: NYY 11, TEX 11.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_NYY@TEX.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: NYY@TEX.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 240.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 253.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYY	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYY pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 240.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TEX	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TEX pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 253.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYY pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYY	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYY includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TEX pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TEX	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TEX includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 13.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYY	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYY pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 13.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TEX	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TEX pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: NYY 6 - 1 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: NYY 6 - 1 TEX.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYY wins 6-1 (Extra Innings - 13).
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.620.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 9/10 (0.900).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 3/10 (0.300).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYY wins 6-1 (Extra Innings - 13).
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYY wins 6-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 6-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 6-1, final 6-1 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 7.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYY wins 6-1 (Extra Innings - 13).
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYY	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYY recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TEX	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TEX recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	NYY		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYY pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TEX		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TEX pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.775806188583374	4.2359089851379395		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	6	1	0.920	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	6	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
score_target_reconciliation	6	1		Final score reconciled to enhanced target after excessive simulation drift
simulation_result	6	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	R	H
NYY	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	2	1	8	11
TEX	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	9	11

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	NYY	batting	28	9	0	0	0	4	6	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	NYY	pitching		1			0		1	0	13					9.0	1	0	0
current	TEX	batting	29	9	0	0	0	1	1	1	9	0	0	0	0
current	TEX	pitching		4			0		4	0	9					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	NYY	batting	50	11	2	0	2	6	6	7	11	0	0
simulation	NYY	pitching		11			2		1	8	12					13.0	1	58	240
simulation	TEX	batting	50	11	4	0	2	1	1	8	12	0	0
simulation	TEX	pitching		11			2		6	7	11					13.0	6	57	253

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	NYY		2B	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	NYY		DH	Jasson Domínguez	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	NYY		1B	Ben Rice	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	NYY		C	Austin Wells	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	NYY		RF	Aaron Judge	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	NYY		LF	Cody Bellinger	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	NYY		CF	Trent Grisham	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	NYY		3B	Ryan McMahon	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	NYY		SS	José Caballero	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TEX		3B	Josh Jung	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	TEX		RF	Brandon Nimmo	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	TEX		DH	Joc Pederson	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TEX		CF	Evan Carter	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TEX		LF	Alejandro Osuna	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
current	TEX		2B	Josh Smith	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TEX		1B	Jake Burger	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
current	TEX		C	Danny Jansen	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TEX		SS	Corey Seager	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	NYY	1	CF	Trent Grisham	5	2	0	1	1	2	2	1	0.400
simulation	NYY	2	1B	Ben Rice	6	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.000
simulation	NYY	3	RF	Aaron Judge	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.167
simulation	NYY	4	LF	Cody Bellinger	5	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	0.400
simulation	NYY	5	2B	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	NYY	6	DH	Jasson Domínguez	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	NYY	7	C	Austin Wells	5	3	1	1	1	2	1	1	0.600
simulation	NYY	8	3B	Ryan McMahon	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0.200
simulation	NYY	9	SS	José Caballero	6	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	TEX	1	RF	Brandon Nimmo	7	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0.286
simulation	TEX	2	DH	Joc Pederson	5	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	0.600
simulation	TEX	3	SS	Corey Seager	6	2	0	2	1	0	1	2	0.333
simulation	TEX	4	3B	Josh Jung	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.167
simulation	TEX	5	CF	Evan Carter	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	TEX	6	1B	Jake Burger	6	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.167
simulation	TEX	7	2B	Josh Smith	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.167
simulation	TEX	8	C	Danny Jansen	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0.000
simulation	TEX	9	LF	Alejandro Osuna	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0.200

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	NYY	1	Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz	Starter	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
current	NYY	2	Ryan Weathers	Starter	4.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3.32	1.26
current	NYY	3	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	3.69	1.72
current	NYY	4	Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	2.27	1.85
current	NYY	5	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	6.21	2.93
current	NYY	6	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	1.70	0.75
current	NYY	7	Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	8.28	1.38
current	TEX	1	Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	6.2	2	2	2	0	5	0	0	0	2.70	5.87	1.49
current	TEX	2	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	6.75	1.33	0.52
current	TEX	3	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	9.00	0.71	1.34
current	TEX	4	Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		5.43	1.38
current	TEX	5	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		1.91	0.78
current	TEX	6	Jalen Beeks	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		2.33	1.12
simulation	NYY	1	Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz	Starter	4.0	3	1	1	3	5	0	18	81	2.25
simulation	NYY	2	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	1	5	19	0.00	3.69	1.72
simulation	NYY	3	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	14	0.00	6.21	2.93
simulation	NYY	4	Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	0	5	20	0.00	2.27	1.85
simulation	NYY	5	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	8	0.00	1.70	0.75
simulation	NYY	6	Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	2	0	5	25	0.00	8.28	1.38
simulation	NYY	7	Ryan Yarbrough	Reliever	4.0	5	0	0	2	2	1	19	73	0.00
simulation	TEX	1	Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	4.0	5	2	2	3	4	0	20	98	4.50	5.87	1.49
simulation	TEX	2	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	19	0.00	1.91	0.78
simulation	TEX	3	Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	16	0.00	5.43	1.38
simulation	TEX	4	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	0	5	24	0.00	1.33	0.52
simulation	TEX	5	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	3	3	1	1	1	6	28	27.00	0.71	1.34
simulation	TEX	6	Jalen Beeks	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	22	0.00	2.33	1.12
simulation	TEX	7	Kumar Rocker	Reliever	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	20	0.00
simulation	TEX	8	Cal Quantrill	Reliever	2.0	2	1	1	0	0	1	8	26	4.50

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
NYY	Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz	Starter	4.0	3	3	3	5	18	81
NYY	David Bednar	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	0	1	5	19
NYY	Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	14
NYY	Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	5	20
NYY	Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	8
NYY	Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	2	2	5	25
NYY	Ryan Yarbrough	Reliever	4.0	4	5	2	2	19	73
TEX	Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	4.0	2	5	3	4	20	98
TEX	Jakob Junis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	2	4	19
TEX	Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
TEX	Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	5	24
TEX	Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	2	1	1	6	28
TEX	Jalen Beeks	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	2	4	22
TEX	Kumar Rocker	Reliever	2.0	0	0	0	0	6	20
TEX	Cal Quantrill	Reliever	2.0	3	2	0	0	8	26

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	error	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	error	0	1	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	0	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	0	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	0	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	0	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	0	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	0	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	0	0	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	0	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	0	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	0	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	0	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	0	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	warning	0	0	1	0	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	0	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	0	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	0	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	0	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	critical	1	0	0	0	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	0	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	0	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	0	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	0	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	0	0	4	0	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	0	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	0	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	0	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	0	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	critical	1	0	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	0	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	0	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	0	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	0	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	0	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	0	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	0	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	0	0	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_SEA@MIN

20260429_SEA@MIN.json • 2026-04-29

SEA 5 - MIN 1

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 60.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 6PASS 83INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	MIN, SEA	MIN current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=33; H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=5; HBP: current=0, sim=2). MIN current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=9; R: current=4, sim=5; ER: current=4, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	MIN, SEA	MIN wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. SEA wins=0 over games_analyzed=31 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=33; H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=5; HBP: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=9; R: current=4, sim=5; ER: current=4, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=36; H: current=8, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=15, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SEA wins=0 over games_analyzed=31 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=33; H: current=9, sim=6; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=5; HBP: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	MIN	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	MIN current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=9; R: current=4, sim=5; ER: current=4, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=14, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=36; H: current=8, sim=9; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=3, sim=5; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SEA	CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SEA current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=6; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=15, sim=5; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	MIN wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SEA wins=0 over games_analyzed=31 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	current:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match SEA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match SEA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match SEA pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=36 matches SEA BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting walks match MIN pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting home runs match MIN pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting hits match MIN pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SEA PA=39 matches MIN BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SEA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SEA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.786.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.786.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.214.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.8.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SEA 9, MIN 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SEA 5 - MIN 1.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_SEA@MIN.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SEA@MIN.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 142.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 142.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SEA 6 - 2 MIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SEA 5 - 1 MIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SEA wins 5-1.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.786.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 7/10 (0.700).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 2/10 (0.200).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SEA wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SEA wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 6-2, final 5-1 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SEA wins 5-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	current:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	current:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	MIN	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:MIN hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SEA	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SEA hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	MIN	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SEA	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting walks match SEA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting home runs match SEA pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting hits match SEA pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:MIN batting strikeouts match SEA pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:MIN PA=36 matches SEA BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	MIN	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:MIN runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting walks match MIN pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting home runs match MIN pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting hits match MIN pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SEA batting strikeouts match MIN pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SEA PA=39 matches MIN BF=39.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SEA	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SEA runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	MIN current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	MIN current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	MIN current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SEA current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SEA current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SEA current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.786.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.786.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.214.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 6 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 9.8.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SEA 9, MIN 6.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: SEA 5 - MIN 1.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_SEA@MIN.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SEA@MIN.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 142.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	MIN	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	MIN pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 159.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SEA	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SEA pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 142.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	current:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	current:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:MIN pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	MIN	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:MIN includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SEA pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SEA	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SEA includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	MIN	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:MIN pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SEA	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SEA pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SEA 6 - 2 MIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SEA 5 - 1 MIN.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SEA wins 5-1.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.786.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 7/10 (0.700).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 2/10 (0.200).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SEA wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SEA wins 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 6-2, final 5-1 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 6.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SEA wins 5-1.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	MIN	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	MIN recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SEA	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SEA recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	MIN	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	MIN pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SEA	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SEA pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	5.504892349243164	3.568399667739868		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	6	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	6	2	0.920	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	6	2		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	5	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	5	9
MIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	SEA	batting	28	8	0	0	0	3	5	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	SEA	pitching		1			0		1	0	15					9.0	1	0	0
current	MIN	batting	28	9	0	0	0	1	1	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	MIN	pitching		4			0		4	0	14					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	SEA	batting	36	9	2	0	1	5	5	2	8	0	1
simulation	SEA	pitching		6			1		1	1	5					9.0	1	36	142
simulation	MIN	batting	33	6	2	0	1	1	1	1	5	0	2
simulation	MIN	pitching		9			1		5	2	8					9.0	5	39	159

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	SEA		2B	Cole Young	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	SEA		DH	Dominic Canzone	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	SEA		3B	Leo Rivas	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	SEA		RF	Luke Raley	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	SEA		LF	Randy Arozarena	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	SEA		SS	J.P. Crawford	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	SEA		1B	Josh Naylor	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	SEA		C	Cal Raleigh	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	SEA		CF	Julio Rodríguez	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIN		DH	Josh Bell	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIN		RF	Matt Wallner	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIN		LF	Trevor Larnach	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIN		CF	Byron Buxton	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	MIN		C	Ryan Jeffers	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIN		SS	Brooks Lee	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIN		2B	Luke Keaschall	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIN		1B	Kody Clemens	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	MIN		3B	Royce Lewis	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	SEA	1	SS	J.P. Crawford	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	0.250
simulation	SEA	2	C	Cal Raleigh	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	SEA	3	CF	Julio Rodríguez	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	SEA	4	1B	Josh Naylor	4	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	SEA	5	LF	Randy Arozarena	3	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0.667
simulation	SEA	6	RF	Luke Raley	4	2	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	SEA	7	DH	Dominic Canzone	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	SEA	8	2B	Cole Young	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	SEA	9	3B	Leo Rivas	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	1	CF	Byron Buxton	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	2	SS	Brooks Lee	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	MIN	3	LF	Trevor Larnach	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIN	4	DH	Josh Bell	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.333
simulation	MIN	5	C	Ryan Jeffers	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	MIN	6	1B	Kody Clemens	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	MIN	7	2B	Luke Keaschall	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	MIN	8	RF	Matt Wallner	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
simulation	MIN	9	3B	Royce Lewis	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	SEA	1	George Kirby	Starter	5.2	1	1	1	0	8	0	0	0	1.59	3.05	1.07
current	SEA	2	Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	1.64	1.27
current	SEA	3	Jose A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.14	1.67
current	SEA	4	Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.48
current	SEA	5	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		6.99	1.55
current	SEA	6	Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		2.76	1.53
current	MIN	1	Taj Bradley	Starter	4.2	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0.00	2.97	1.32
current	MIN	2	Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	6.75	5.51	1.63
current	MIN	3	Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	6.75	4.05	1.71
current	MIN	4	Eric Orze	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	3.43	1.33
current	MIN	5	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	4.62	1.92
current	MIN	6	Anthony Banda	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	27.00	11.93	1.93
simulation	SEA	1	George Kirby	Starter	5.0	3	1	1	1	4	1	19	84	1.80	3.05	1.07
simulation	SEA	2	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	12	0.00	6.99	1.55
simulation	SEA	3	Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	17	0.00	0.00	0.48
simulation	SEA	4	Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	17	0.00	2.76	1.53
simulation	SEA	5	Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	12	0.00	1.64	1.27
simulation	MIN	1	Taj Bradley	Starter	6.0	3	1	1	1	6	0	22	91	1.50	2.97	1.32
simulation	MIN	2	Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	0	5	19	9.00	5.51	1.63
simulation	MIN	3	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	1	6	24	18.00	4.62	1.92
simulation	MIN	4	Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	0	6	25	9.00	4.05	1.71

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
SEA	George Kirby	Starter	5.0	1	3	1	4	19	84
SEA	Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	5	12
SEA	Matt Brash	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	4	17
SEA	Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	17
SEA	Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	4	12
MIN	Taj Bradley	Starter	6.0	1	3	1	6	22	91
MIN	Cole Sands	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	0	0	5	19
MIN	Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	0	1	6	24
MIN	Justin Topa	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	1	6	25

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	good	0	2	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_SF@PHI

20260429_SF@PHI.json • 2026-04-29

SF 5 - PHI 4

CRITICAL

Final simulation needs review: critical box-score inconsistencies remain. Risk score: 350.

CRITICAL 2ERROR 1WARN 11PASS 79INFO 2

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
CRITICAL	Innings Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	-	Inning runs 3-0 do not match final score 5-4.
CRITICAL	Score Reconciliation Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	1C / 0E / 0W	-	score_target_reconciliation was used, but not all final-facing sections were regenerated: inning_by_inning=3-0 final=5-4
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 5W	PHI, SF	PHI pitch_count row for Brad Keller differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=2. SF pitch_count row for Erik Miller differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	PHI, SF	PHI current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=32; H: current=9, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=2). PHI current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=8; R: current=4, sim=5; ER: current=4, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=15, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=2).
ERROR	Pitching Totals Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	0C / 1E / 0W	PHI	simulation:PHI pitching total R=5 does not equal pitcher sum 4.
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	PHI, SF	PHI wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. SF wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs 3-0 do not match final score 5-4.
CRITICAL	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	score_target_reconciliation was used, but not all final-facing sections were regenerated: inning_by_inning=3-0 final=5-4		All final-facing sections must use the reconciled score.
ERROR	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching total R=5 does not equal pitcher sum 4.	5	4
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=32; H: current=9, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=8; R: current=4, sim=5; ER: current=4, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=15, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=35; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=1, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=8).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=5; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=11, sim=6).
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	Brad Keller	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PHI pitch_count row for Brad Keller differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=2.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SF	Erik Miller	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count row for Erik Miller differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SF	Keaton Winn	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count row for Keaton Winn differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SF	Logan Webb	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count row for Logan Webb differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SF	Ryan Walker	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count row for Ryan Walker differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	PHI		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PHI wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	SF		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SF wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
CRITICAL	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs 3-0 do not match final score 5-4.
CRITICAL	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	score_target_reconciliation was used, but not all final-facing sections were regenerated: inning_by_inning=3-0 final=5-4		All final-facing sections must use the reconciled score.
ERROR	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching total R=5 does not equal pitcher sum 4.	5	4
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=32; H: current=9, sim=5; 2B: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=6; HBP: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PHI		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PHI current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=4, sim=8; R: current=4, sim=5; ER: current=4, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=15, sim=8; HR: current=0, sim=2).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=35; 2B: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=2; RBI: current=1, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=8).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	SF		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	SF current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=5; R: current=3, sim=4; ER: current=3, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=11, sim=6).
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	Brad Keller	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PHI pitch_count row for Brad Keller differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=2.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SF	Erik Miller	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count row for Erik Miller differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SF	Keaton Winn	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count row for Keaton Winn differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SF	Logan Webb	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count row for Logan Webb differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	SF	Ryan Walker	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	SF pitch_count row for Ryan Walker differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	PHI		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PHI wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	SF		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	SF wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	PHI		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SF		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
PASS	batting	current	PHI		BATTING_REALISM	current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SF		BATTING_REALISM	current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PHI		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SF		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PHI		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SF		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PHI		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SF		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting walks match SF pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting home runs match SF pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting hits match SF pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PHI PA=35 matches SF BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SF batting walks match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SF batting home runs match PHI pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SF batting hits match PHI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SF batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SF PA=36 matches PHI BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PHI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SF current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.538.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.538.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.462.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.3.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.303/0.707.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SF 8, PHI 5.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_SF@PHI.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SF@PHI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 146.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 141.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 141.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 146.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI		PITCHING_REALISM	current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI		STARTER_PRESENT	current:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SF		PITCHING_REALISM	current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SF		STARTER_PRESENT	current:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SF 5 - 4 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SF 5 - 4 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SF wins 5-4.
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.538.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 6/10 (0.600).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 2/10 (0.200).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SF wins 5-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SF wins 5-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-4.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 5-4, final 5-4 (delta 0).
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 9.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SF wins 5-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	current:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	SF	BATTING_REALISM	current:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PHI	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PHI hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	SF	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:SF hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PHI	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	SF	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting walks match SF pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting home runs match SF pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting hits match SF pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PHI batting strikeouts match SF pitching: 6.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PHI PA=35 matches SF BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PHI	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PHI runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:SF batting walks match PHI pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:SF batting home runs match PHI pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:SF batting hits match PHI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:SF batting strikeouts match PHI pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:SF PA=36 matches PHI BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	SF	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:SF runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 5.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PHI current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PHI current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PHI	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PHI current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	SF current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	SF current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	SF	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	SF current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.538.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.538.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.462.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 9 is reasonably close to low-score expected_total_runs 10.3.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.303/0.707.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: SF 8, PHI 5.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_SF@PHI.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: SF@PHI.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 146.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 141.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PHI	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PHI pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 141.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	SF	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	SF pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 146.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	current:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	current:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PHI pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PHI	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PHI includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:SF pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	SF	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:SF includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PHI pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PHI	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PHI pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	SF	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:SF pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: SF 5 - 4 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: SF 5 - 4 PHI.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: SF wins 5-4.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.538.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 6/10 (0.600).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 2/10 (0.200).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: SF wins 5-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: SF wins 5-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 5-4.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 5-4, final 5-4 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 9.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: SF wins 5-4.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PHI	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PHI recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	SF	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	SF recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message	Value	Expected
INFO	current_payload	current	PHI		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PHI pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	SF		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	SF pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.1044199466705322	5.449820518493652		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	5	4	0.572	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	5	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
score_target_reconciliation	5	4		Final score reconciled to enhanced target after excessive simulation drift
simulation_result	5	4		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	8
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	SF	batting	29	8	0	0	0	1	5	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	SF	pitching		3			0		3	0	11					9.0	3	0	0
current	PHI	batting	28	9	0	0	0	2	4	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	PHI	pitching		4			0		4	0	15					9.0	4	0	0
simulation	SF	batting	35	8	2	0	2	3	5	1	8	0	0
simulation	SF	pitching		5			0		4	1	6					9.0	2	35	146
simulation	PHI	batting	32	5	1	0	0	3	4	1	6	0	2
simulation	PHI	pitching		8			2		5	1	8					9.0	3	36	141

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	SF		DH	Casey Schmitt	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	SF		2B	Luis Arraez	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	SF		RF	Jerar Encarnacion	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	SF		SS	Willy Adames	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	SF		3B	Matt Chapman	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	SF		LF	Heliot Ramos	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	SF		1B	Rafael Devers	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	SF		C	Patrick Bailey	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
current	SF		CF	Jung Hoo Lee	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	PHI		CF	Justin Crawford	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	PHI		SS	Trea Turner	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	PHI		RF	Adolis García	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	PHI		3B	Alec Bohm	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	PHI		2B	Bryson Stott	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	PHI		C	Rafael Marchán	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	PHI		1B	Bryce Harper	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	PHI		DH	Kyle Schwarber	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	PHI		LF	Brandon Marsh	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	SF	1	SS	Willy Adames	3	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	SF	2	3B	Matt Chapman	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	SF	3	2B	Luis Arraez	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	SF	4	LF	Heliot Ramos	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	SF	5	1B	Rafael Devers	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
simulation	SF	6	DH	Casey Schmitt	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	SF	7	RF	Jerar Encarnacion	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0.500
simulation	SF	8	CF	Jung Hoo Lee	4	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	SF	9	C	Patrick Bailey	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	PHI	1	SS	Trea Turner	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	PHI	2	DH	Kyle Schwarber	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	PHI	3	1B	Bryce Harper	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.500
simulation	PHI	4	RF	Adolis García	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	PHI	5	LF	Brandon Marsh	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	PHI	6	2B	Bryson Stott	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	PHI	7	3B	Alec Bohm	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	PHI	8	CF	Justin Crawford	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0.333
simulation	PHI	9	C	Rafael Marchán	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.333

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	SF	1	Logan Webb	Starter	5.2	1	1	1	0	6	0	0	0	1.59	4.86	1.38
current	SF	2	Matt Gage	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	1.82	1.41
current	SF	3	Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.91	1.11
current	SF	4	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	2.65	0.59
current	SF	5	Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	13.50	3.40	1.51
current	SF	6	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		4.14	1.61
current	PHI	1	Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	6.0	1	1	1	0	8	0	0	0	1.50	2.98	1.63
current	PHI	2	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	9.00	4.29	1.14
current	PHI	3	Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.90	1.40
current	PHI	4	Tanner Banks	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	13.50	5.81	2.37
current	PHI	5	Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	13.50	4.12	1.05
current	PHI	6	José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		9.23	2.44
simulation	SF	1	Logan Webb	Starter	6.0	3	1	1	1	3	0	22	94	1.50	4.86	1.38
simulation	SF	2	Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	0	4	17	9.00	3.40	1.51
simulation	SF	3	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	0	0	2	0	6	22	0.00	4.14	1.61
simulation	SF	4	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	13	0.00	2.65	0.59
simulation	PHI	1	Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	5.0	6	2	2	1	4	1	22	88	3.60	2.98	1.63
simulation	PHI	2	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	0	2	1	4	16	9.00	4.29	1.14
simulation	PHI	3	José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	11	0.00	9.23	2.44
simulation	PHI	4	Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	14	0.00	2.90	1.40
simulation	PHI	5	Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	12	0.00	4.12	1.05

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
SF	Logan Webb	Starter	6.0	0	3	1	3	22	94
SF	Ryan Walker	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	4	17
SF	Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	2	0	2	6	22
SF	Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	13
PHI	Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	5.0	2	6	1	4	22	88
PHI	Brad Keller	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	0	2	4	16
PHI	José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	11
PHI	Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	14
PHI	Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	12

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	critical	error	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	0	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	0	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	0	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	0	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	0	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	0	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	0	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	0	0	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	0	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	0	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	0	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	0	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	0	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	0	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	0	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	0	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	0	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	0	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	critical	1	0	0	0	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	good	0	0	0	3	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	0	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	0	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	error	0	1	0	7	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	0	0	5	0	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	0	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	0	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	0	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	0	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	critical	1	0	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	0	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	0	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	0	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	0	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	0	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	0	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	0	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	0	0	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	0	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_STL@PIT

20260429_STL@PIT.json • 2026-04-29

STL 3 - PIT 2

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 100.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 10PASS 80INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	PIT, STL	PIT current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=33; 2B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=3; SF: current=0, sim=1). PIT current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=11, sim=7).
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 2W	STL	STL pitch_count row for Andre Pallante differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=1. STL pitch_count row for Ryne Stanek differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	Prediction target vs final simulation drift The inning simulation can vary from ML target, but large drift should be reviewed or explicitly documented as acceptable variance.	0C / 0E / 2W	-	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.4 by more than 4. Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 5-4, final 3-2 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	PIT, STL	PIT wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. STL wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=33; 2B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=3; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=11, sim=7).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=33; H: current=8, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=7; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=10, sim=9).
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.4 by more than 4.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	STL	Andre Pallante	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count row for Andre Pallante differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	STL	Ryne Stanek	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count row for Ryne Stanek differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 5-4, final 3-2 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	PIT		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	STL		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	STL wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=29, sim=33; 2B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=3; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	PIT		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	PIT current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=11, sim=7).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=33; H: current=8, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=2; BB: current=0, sim=1; SO: current=9, sim=7; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	STL		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	STL current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=3; SO: current=10, sim=9).
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.4 by more than 4.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	STL	Andre Pallante	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count row for Andre Pallante differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=1.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	STL	Ryne Stanek	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	STL pitch_count row for Ryne Stanek differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score drifted from enhanced target: target 5-4, final 3-2 (delta 4).
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	PIT		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	PIT wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	STL		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	STL wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	STL		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	PIT		BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	STL		BATTING_REALISM	current:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	STL		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	STL		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	STL		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match STL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match STL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match STL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=37 matches STL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:STL batting walks match PIT pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:STL batting home runs match PIT pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:STL batting hits match PIT pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:STL batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:STL PA=35 matches PIT BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	STL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	STL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.557.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.557.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.443.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.276/0.652.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: STL 7, PIT 7.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: STL 3 - PIT 2.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_STL@PIT.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: STL@PIT.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 162.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT		PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 162.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT		PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT		STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	STL		PITCHING_REALISM	current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	STL		STARTER_PRESENT	current:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: STL 5 - 4 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: STL 3 - 2 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: STL wins 3-2.
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.557.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 4/10 (0.400).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: STL wins 3-2.
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: STL wins 3-2.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-2.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: STL wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	current:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	STL	BATTING_REALISM	current:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	PIT	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:PIT hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	STL	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:STL hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	PIT	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	STL	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting walks match STL pitching: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting home runs match STL pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting hits match STL pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:PIT batting strikeouts match STL pitching: 9.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:PIT PA=37 matches STL BF=37.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	PIT	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:PIT runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:STL batting walks match PIT pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:STL batting home runs match PIT pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:STL batting hits match PIT pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:STL batting strikeouts match PIT pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:STL PA=35 matches PIT BF=35.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	STL	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:STL runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	PIT current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	PIT current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	PIT current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	STL current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	STL current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	STL current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.557.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.557.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.443.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.276/0.652.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: STL 7, PIT 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: STL 3 - PIT 2.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_STL@PIT.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: STL@PIT.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 162.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 139.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	PIT	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	PIT pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 139.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	STL	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	STL pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 162.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	current:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	current:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	current:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	current:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:PIT pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	PIT	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:PIT includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:STL pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	STL	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:STL includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	PIT	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:PIT pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	STL	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:STL pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: STL 5 - 4 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: STL 3 - 2 PIT.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: STL wins 3-2.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.557.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 5/10 (0.500).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 4/10 (0.400).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: STL wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: STL wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: STL wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	PIT	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	PIT recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	STL	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	STL recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	PIT	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	PIT pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	STL	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	STL pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	3.8541078567504883	4.412198543548584		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	4	5		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	5	4	0.544	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	5	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	2		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	7
PIT	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	STL	batting	28	8	0	0	3	3	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	STL	pitching		2				2	0	10					9.0	2	0	0
current	PIT	batting	29	7	0	0	2	2	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	PIT	pitching		3				3	0	11					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	STL	batting	33	7	2	0	3	3	1	7	1	0
simulation	STL	pitching		7				2	3	9					9.0	2	37	162
simulation	PIT	batting	33	7	1	0	2	2	3	9	1	0
simulation	PIT	pitching		7				3	1	7					9.0	3	35	139

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	STL		SS	Masyn Winn	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	STL		LF	Nathan Church	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	STL		2B	JJ Wetherholt	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	STL		3B	Nolan Gorman	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	STL		1B	Alec Burleson	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
current	STL		CF	Victor Scott II	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	STL		RF	Jordan Walker	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	STL		C	Pedro Pagés	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	STL		DH	Iván Herrera	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	PIT		DH	Marcell Ozuna	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	PIT		2B	Brandon Lowe	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	PIT		SS	Konnor Griffin	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	PIT		1B	Spencer Horwitz	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	PIT		RF	Ryan O'Hearn	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	PIT		3B	Nick Gonzales	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	PIT		C	Henry Davis	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	PIT		LF	Bryan Reynolds	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	PIT		CF	Oneil Cruz	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
simulation	STL	1	2B	JJ Wetherholt	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	STL	2	DH	Iván Herrera	4	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	STL	3	1B	Alec Burleson	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.250
simulation	STL	4	RF	Jordan Walker	4	2	0	1	0	0	1	0.500
simulation	STL	5	3B	Nolan Gorman	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	STL	6	SS	Masyn Winn	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
simulation	STL	7	LF	Nathan Church	3	1	1	1	3	0	0	0.333
simulation	STL	8	C	Pedro Pagés	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	STL	9	CF	Victor Scott II	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	PIT	1	CF	Oneil Cruz	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.200
simulation	PIT	2	2B	Brandon Lowe	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	0.000
simulation	PIT	3	LF	Bryan Reynolds	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	PIT	4	RF	Ryan O'Hearn	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	PIT	5	DH	Marcell Ozuna	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0.500
simulation	PIT	6	3B	Nick Gonzales	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	PIT	7	1B	Spencer Horwitz	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.750
simulation	PIT	8	SS	Konnor Griffin	2	1	0	1	1	2	1	0.500
simulation	PIT	9	C	Henry Davis	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	STL	1	Andre Pallante	Starter	4.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	4.30	1.43
current	STL	2	Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	1.29	0.94
current	STL	3	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	1.34	0.82
current	STL	4	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	9.00	5.05	1.21
current	STL	5	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	13.50	4.86	1.44
current	STL	6	Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		9.89	2.75
current	PIT	1	Bubba Chandler	Starter	4.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	2.08	5.02	1.55
current	PIT	2	Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0.00	1.23	1.30
current	PIT	3	Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0.00	2.28	1.27
current	PIT	4	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	13.50	3.41	1.29
current	PIT	5	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	1.90	0.85
current	PIT	6	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	13.50	4.21	1.59
simulation	STL	1	Andre Pallante	Starter	5.0	4	1	1	2	4	21	88	1.80	4.30	1.43
simulation	STL	2	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	15	0.00	1.34	0.82
simulation	STL	3	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	5	23	0.00	4.86	1.44
simulation	STL	4	Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	4	16	9.00	9.89	2.75
simulation	STL	5	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	4	20	0.00	5.05	1.21
simulation	PIT	1	Bubba Chandler	Starter	5.0	5	2	2	0	6	20	83	3.60	5.02	1.55
simulation	PIT	2	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	6	23	9.00	3.41	1.29
simulation	PIT	3	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	8	0.00	1.90	0.85
simulation	PIT	4	Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	13	0.00	1.23	1.30
simulation	PIT	5	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	12	0.00	4.21	1.59

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
STL	Andre Pallante	Starter	5.0	2	4	2	4	21	88
STL	Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	15
STL	JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	1	5	23
STL	Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	4	16
STL	George Soriano	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	2	4	20
PIT	Bubba Chandler	Starter	5.0	2	5	0	6	20	83
PIT	Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	2	1	0	6	23
PIT	Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	8
PIT	Isaac Mattson	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	13
PIT	Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	12

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	warning	1	2	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	2	1	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	warning	1	0	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_TB@CLE

20260429_TB@CLE.json • 2026-04-29

TB 3 - CLE 1

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 90.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 9PASS 81INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	CLE, TB	CLE current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=27, sim=37; H: current=8, sim=4; 3B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=12). CLE current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=8; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=5).
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 2W	CLE	CLE pitch_count row for Gavin Williams differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=0. CLE pitch_count row for Tim Herrin differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	CLE, TB	CLE wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. TB wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	Prediction target vs final simulation drift The inning simulation can vary from ML target, but large drift should be reviewed or explicitly documented as acceptable variance.	0C / 0E / 1W	-	Final total runs 4 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 9.8 by more than 4.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=27, sim=37; H: current=8, sim=4; 3B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=12).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=8; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=5).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=40; 2B: current=0, sim=4; RBI: current=1, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=5; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=12).
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 9.8 by more than 4.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	Gavin Williams	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count row for Gavin Williams differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	Tim Herrin	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count row for Tim Herrin differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	CLE		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	TB		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TB wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=27, sim=37; H: current=8, sim=4; 3B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=9, sim=12).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	CLE		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	CLE current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=8; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=16, sim=5).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=40; 2B: current=0, sim=4; RBI: current=1, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=5; SF: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	TB		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	TB current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=1, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=4; SO: current=15, sim=12).
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 4 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 9.8 by more than 4.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	Gavin Williams	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count row for Gavin Williams differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	Tim Herrin	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	CLE pitch_count row for Tim Herrin differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	CLE		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	CLE wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	TB		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	TB wins=0 over games_analyzed=29 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TB		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	CLE		BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TB		BATTING_REALISM	current:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TB		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TB		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TB		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match TB pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match TB pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match TB pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=41 matches TB BF=41.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TB batting walks match CLE pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TB batting home runs match CLE pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TB batting hits match CLE pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TB batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TB PA=46 matches CLE BF=46.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TB current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TB current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.607.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.607.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.393.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.900.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 11 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TB 8, CLE 4.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TB 3 - CLE 1.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_TB@CLE.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TB@CLE.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 180.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 178.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 178.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB		PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 180.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE		PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE		STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TB		PITCHING_REALISM	current:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TB		STARTER_PRESENT	current:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 11.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 11.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TB 3 - 1 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TB 3 - 1 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TB wins 3-1 (Extra Innings - 11).
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.607.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 7/10 (0.700).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 4/10 (0.400).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TB wins 3-1 (Extra Innings - 11).
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TB wins 3-1.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 3-1 (delta 0).
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TB wins 3-1 (Extra Innings - 11).
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	current:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	TB	BATTING_REALISM	current:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	CLE	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:CLE hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	TB	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:TB hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	CLE	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	TB	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting walks match TB pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting home runs match TB pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting hits match TB pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:CLE batting strikeouts match TB pitching: 12.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:CLE PA=41 matches TB BF=41.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	CLE	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:CLE runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:TB batting walks match CLE pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:TB batting home runs match CLE pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:TB batting hits match CLE pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:TB batting strikeouts match CLE pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:TB PA=46 matches CLE BF=46.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	TB	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:TB runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	CLE current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	CLE current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	CLE current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	TB current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	TB current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	TB current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.607.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.607.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.393.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.432/0.900.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 11 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: TB 8, CLE 4.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: TB 3 - CLE 1.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_TB@CLE.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: TB@CLE.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 180.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 178.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	CLE	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	CLE pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 178.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary pitcher rows match pitching box score.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	TB	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	TB pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 180.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	current:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	current:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	current:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	current:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:CLE pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	CLE	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:CLE includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:TB pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	TB	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:TB includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 11.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	CLE	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:CLE pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 11.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	TB	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:TB pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: TB 3 - 1 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: TB 3 - 1 CLE.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: TB wins 3-1 (Extra Innings - 11).
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.607.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 7/10 (0.700).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 4/10 (0.400).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: TB wins 3-1 (Extra Innings - 11).
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: TB wins 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 3-1.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-1, final 3-1 (delta 0).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 4.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: TB wins 3-1 (Extra Innings - 11).
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	CLE	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	CLE recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	TB	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	TB recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	CLE	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	CLE pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	TB	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	TB pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	2.9961419105529785	3.8344438076019287		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	1	0.690	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	3	1		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	3	1		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
TB	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	8
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	TB	batting	28	8	0	0	1	3	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	TB	pitching		1				1	0	15					9.0	1	0	0
current	CLE	batting	27	8	0	0	1	1	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	CLE	pitching		3				3	0	16					9.0	3	0	0
simulation	TB	batting	40	8	4	0	3	3	5	5	1	0
simulation	TB	pitching		4				1	4	12					11.0	1	41	180
simulation	CLE	batting	37	4	0	1	1	1	4	12	0	0
simulation	CLE	pitching		8				3	5	5					11.0	3	46	178

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	3B	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
current	TB		2B	Ben Williamson	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	TB		LF	Chandler Simpson	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.250
current	TB		3B	Junior Caminero	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TB		RF	Jake Fraley	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TB		DH	Yandy Díaz	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TB		1B	Jonathan Aranda	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
current	TB		C	Nick Fortes	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TB		CF	Cedric Mullins	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	TB		SS	Taylor Walls	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	CLE		RF	Angel Martínez	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.333
current	CLE		CF	Daniel Schneemann	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CLE		2B	Travis Bazzana	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CLE		3B	José Ramírez	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CLE		DH	Chase DeLauter	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CLE		C	Bo Naylor	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
current	CLE		1B	Kyle Manzardo	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
current	CLE		SS	Brayan Rocchio	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.333
current	CLE		LF	Steven Kwan	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333
simulation	TB	1	LF	Chandler Simpson	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	TB	2	3B	Junior Caminero	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
simulation	TB	3	1B	Jonathan Aranda	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	TB	4	DH	Yandy Díaz	5	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.600
simulation	TB	5	RF	Jake Fraley	4	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.500
simulation	TB	6	2B	Ben Williamson	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	TB	7	CF	Cedric Mullins	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	TB	8	C	Nick Fortes	5	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.200
simulation	TB	9	SS	Taylor Walls	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	CLE	1	LF	Steven Kwan	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
simulation	CLE	2	DH	Chase DeLauter	5	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.200
simulation	CLE	3	3B	José Ramírez	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	0.500
simulation	CLE	4	1B	Kyle Manzardo	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
simulation	CLE	5	CF	Daniel Schneemann	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.200
simulation	CLE	6	RF	Angel Martínez	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	CLE	7	2B	Travis Bazzana	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0.000
simulation	CLE	8	C	Bo Naylor	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
simulation	CLE	9	SS	Brayan Rocchio	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	TB	1	Drew Rasmussen	Starter	4.0	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0.00	2.50	0.75
current	TB	2	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0.00	4.09	1.36
current	TB	3	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	3.24	1.08
current	TB	4	Griffin Jax	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	5.00	1.67
current	TB	5	Hunter Bigge	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	9.00	5.45	1.52
current	TB	6	Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00	5.00	0.93
current	CLE	1	Gavin Williams	Starter	4.1	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0.00	3.32	1.11
current	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0.00	4.15	1.46
current	CLE	3	Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.00	3.50	1.26
current	CLE	4	Connor Brogdon	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	9.00	5.94	1.13
current	CLE	5	Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	13.50	0.00	1.83
current	CLE	6	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	27.00	7.06	1.37
simulation	TB	1	Drew Rasmussen	Starter	6.0	1	0	0	2	6	21	88	0.00	2.50	0.75
simulation	TB	2	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	4	23	0.00	3.24	1.08
simulation	TB	3	Griffin Jax	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	15	0.00	5.00	1.67
simulation	TB	4	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	1.0	3	1	1	1	0	7	31	9.00	4.09	1.36
simulation	TB	5	Yoendrys Gómez	Reliever	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	6	23	0.00
simulation	CLE	1	Gavin Williams	Starter	5.0	4	0	0	2	2	21	77	0.00	3.32	1.11
simulation	CLE	2	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	12	0.00	4.15	1.46
simulation	CLE	3	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	4	20	0.00	7.06	1.37
simulation	CLE	4	Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	11	0.00	3.50	1.26
simulation	CLE	5	Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	5	18	9.00	0.00	1.83
simulation	CLE	6	Connor Brogdon	Middle Reliever	2.0	3	2	2	1	0	10	40	9.00	5.94	1.13

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
TB	Drew Rasmussen	Starter	6.0	0	1	2	6	21	88
TB	Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	3	4	23
TB	Griffin Jax	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	15
TB	Ian Seymour	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	3	1	0	7	31
TB	Yoendrys Gómez	Reliever	2.0	0	0	0	2	6	23
CLE	Gavin Williams	Starter	5.0	1	4	2	2	21	77
CLE	Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	12
CLE	Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	1	1	4	20
CLE	Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	11
CLE	Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	1	0	5	18
CLE	Connor Brogdon	Middle Reliever	2.0	2	3	1	0	10	40

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	not triggered	0	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	warning	1	2	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	2	1	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.

20260429_WAS@NYM

20260429_WAS@NYM.json • 2026-04-29

WAS 2 - NYM 3

WARNING

Final simulation is structurally valid with warnings to review. Risk score: 130.

CRITICAL 0ERROR 0WARN 13PASS 80INFO 3

Action summary - what to fix first

Level	Problem group / fix	Count	Teams	Example
WARN	Pitch count summary differs by pitcher Pitch-count rows disagree with individual pitching box-score rows. Recalculate pitch_count_summary from the same final pitcher ledger used by box_score.pitching.	0C / 0E / 5W	NYM, WAS	NYM pitch_count row for David Peterson differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=2. NYM pitch_count row for Devin Williams differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=0.
WARN	Current payload is not synced to final box score The final simulation box score is treated as the source of truth. Sync game.predicted_performance finalized_stats/pitcher projections after scoring_simulation, or stop comparing that pre-simulation payload as final output.	0C / 0E / 4W	NYM, WAS	NYM current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1). NYM current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=14, sim=10).
WARN	team_recent_performance record bug wins and win_pct do not agree. Either calculate wins correctly or derive win_pct directly as wins/games_analyzed.	0C / 0E / 2W	NYM, WAS	NYM wins=0 over games_analyzed=28 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500. WAS wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	Innings Review the listed finding and decide whether to fix the data or downgrade the rule.	0C / 0E / 1W	-	Inning 9 home has outs=0; expected 3 for a played half inning.
WARN	Prediction target vs final simulation drift The inning simulation can vary from ML target, but large drift should be reviewed or explicitly documented as acceptable variance.	0C / 0E / 1W	-	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.4 by more than 4.

Problems table - exact rows

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=14, sim=10).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=1, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=10).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.4 by more than 4.
WARN	innings				INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home has outs=0; expected 3 for a played half inning.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	David Peterson	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count row for David Peterson differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=2.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	Devin Williams	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count row for Devin Williams differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	Brad Lord	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count row for Brad Lord differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	Cade Cavalli	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count row for Cade Cavalli differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=2.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PJ Poulin	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count row for PJ Poulin differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	NYM		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYM wins=0 over games_analyzed=28 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	WAS		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	WAS wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.

All findings - complete audit trail

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Player	Rule	Message
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=7; 2B: current=0, sim=1; HR: current=0, sim=1; RBI: current=2, sim=3; BB: current=0, sim=2; SO: current=9, sim=8; HBP: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	NYM		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	NYM current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=2, sim=4; BB: current=0, sim=5; SO: current=14, sim=10).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current finalized batting totals differ from final simulation box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (AB: current=28, sim=31; H: current=9, sim=4; 2B: current=0, sim=1; BB: current=1, sim=5; SO: current=9, sim=10).
WARN	current_vs_final	cross-schema	WAS		CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	WAS current pitcher projections differ from final simulation pitching box score. This is a synchronization/projection warning, not a final box-score failure (H: current=3, sim=7; BB: current=0, sim=2; HR: current=0, sim=1).
WARN	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Final total runs 5 differs from low-score expected_total_runs 10.4 by more than 4.
WARN	innings				INNING_OUTS	Inning 9 home has outs=0; expected 3 for a played half inning.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	David Peterson	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count row for David Peterson differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=2.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	Devin Williams	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	NYM pitch_count row for Devin Williams differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	Brad Lord	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count row for Brad Lord differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=2, box=0.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	Cade Cavalli	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count row for Cade Cavalli differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=1, box=2.
WARN	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PJ Poulin	PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	WAS pitch_count row for PJ Poulin differs from pitching box score: runs_allowed/R: summary=0, box=1.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	NYM		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	NYM wins=0 over games_analyzed=28 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
WARN	team_recent_performance	current	WAS		TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	WAS wins=0 over games_analyzed=30 implies win_pct=0.000, but JSON has 0.500.
INFO	current_payload	current	NYM		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	WAS		CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation				RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.
PASS	batting	current	NYM		BATTING_REALISM	current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	WAS		BATTING_REALISM	current:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYM		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	WAS		BATTING_REALISM	simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYM		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	WAS		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYM		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	WAS		BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting walks match WAS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting home runs match WAS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting hits match WAS pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYM PA=34 matches WAS BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS		BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting walks match NYM pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS		BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting home runs match NYM pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS		BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting hits match NYM pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS		BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS		PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:WAS PA=36 matches NYM BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS		RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYM current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS		CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS		CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS		CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	WAS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage				H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.448.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.552.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.552.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction				LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.276/0.652.
PASS	innings				INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings				INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings				INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: WAS 4, NYM 7.
PASS	innings				INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: WAS 2 - NYM 3.
PASS	metadata				DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_WAS@NYM.
PASS	metadata				FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: WAS@NYM.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch				PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 134.
PASS	pitch_count				PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 155.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 155.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS		PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 134.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM		PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM		STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS		PITCHING_REALISM	current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS		STARTER_PRESENT	current:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS		PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS		STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS		PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: WAS 3 - 4 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: WAS 2 - 3 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison				PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYM wins 3-2.
PASS	probability				CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.552.
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 4/10 (0.400).
PASS	recent_form				RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 3/10 (0.300).
PASS	report				REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema				SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score				GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYM wins 3-2.
PASS	score				SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYM wins 2-3.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASS	score				SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score				TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-4, final 2-3 (delta 2).
PASS	score				TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score				WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYM wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema			CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS		RECENT_FORM_RANGE	WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Passed checks

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
PASS	batting	current	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	current:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	current	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	current:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	NYM	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:NYM hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting	simulation	WAS	BATTING_REALISM	simulation:WAS hitter lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	batting_totals	current	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	current	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	NYM	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	batting_totals	simulation	WAS	BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS batting totals equal summed player lines.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting walks match WAS pitching: 2.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting home runs match WAS pitching: 1.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting hits match WAS pitching: 7.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:NYM batting strikeouts match WAS pitching: 8.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:NYM PA=34 matches WAS BF=34.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	NYM	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:NYM runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 3.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting walks match NYM pitching: 5.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting home runs match NYM pitching: 0.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting hits match NYM pitching: 4.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	simulation:WAS batting strikeouts match NYM pitching: 10.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	PA_BF_MATCH	simulation:WAS PA=36 matches NYM BF=36.
PASS	boxscore_crosscheck	simulation	WAS	RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	simulation:WAS runs match final score and opposing pitching runs: 2.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	NYM current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	NYM current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	NYM current hitter names are populated.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	WAS current lineup has 9 expected positions.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	WAS current model fallback usage is limited: 0/9 hitters.
PASS	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	WAS current hitter names are populated.
PASS	data_leakage			H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	All head-to-head rows are dated before the prediction game date.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Home + away win probabilities sum to approximately 1.0.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	away_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.448.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	confidence is in [0,1]: 0.552.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	home_win_probability is in [0,1]: 0.552.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score analysis factors are non-negative.
PASS	enhanced_prediction			LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	Low-score probability/confidence are valid: 0.276/0.652.
PASS	innings			INNINGS_COUNT	inning_by_inning_summary contains 9 innings.
PASS	innings			INNING_PLAY_SUMS	Detailed play totals match every half-inning line.
PASS	innings			INNING_SEQUENCE	Inning numbers are sequential.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_HITS	Inning hits match batting totals: WAS 4, NYM 7.
PASS	innings			INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	Inning runs sum to final score: WAS 2 - NYM 3.
PASS	metadata			DATE_PARSE	Date is valid ISO format: 2026-04-29.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	Filename matches game_id: 20260429_WAS@NYM.
PASS	metadata			FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	Filename teams match JSON teams: WAS@NYM.
PASS	pitch_by_pitch			PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	Pitch-by-pitch speeds and zones are within sanity ranges.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	away pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 134.
PASS	pitch_count			PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	home pitcher pitch-by-pitch count matches pitch_count_summary total: 155.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	NYM	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	NYM pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 155.
PASS	pitch_count	simulation	WAS	PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	WAS pitch_count_summary total, row sum, and pitching total all match: 134.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	current:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	current:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	current:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	current	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	current:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:NYM pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	NYM	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:NYM includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_REALISM	simulation:WAS pitcher lines pass basic baseball constraints.
PASS	pitching	simulation	WAS	STARTER_PRESENT	simulation:WAS includes a starter/opener role.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	current	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	current:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 9.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	NYM	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:NYM pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching IP total matches pitcher sum: 8.0.
PASS	pitching_totals	simulation	WAS	PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	simulation:WAS pitching totals equal summed pitcher lines for available fields.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Enhanced AI score matches enhanced target: WAS 3 - 4 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation score matches final score: WAS 2 - 3 NYM.
PASS	prediction_comparison			PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	Inning simulation winner matches final score: NYM wins 3-2.
PASS	probability			CONFIDENCE_RANGE	Enhanced target confidence is in range: 0.552.
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	away recent_form record is coherent: 4/10 (0.400).
PASS	recent_form			RECENT_FORM_RANGE	home recent_form record is coherent: 3/10 (0.300).
PASS	report			REPORT_COMPLETE	All findings, passes, warnings, errors, and critical issues are rendered in the single HTML report.
PASS	schema			SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	Both major schemas are present: game, scoring_simulation, game_summary, prediction_comparison.
PASS	score			GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	game_summary is consistent: NYM wins 3-2.
PASS	score			SCORE_NO_TIE	Final score has a clear winner: NYM wins 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	simulation_result step matches final score: 2-3.
PASS	score			SCORE_STEP_ORDER	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
PASS	score			TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	Final score is close to enhanced target: target 3-4, final 2-3 (delta 2).
PASS	score			TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	total_runs field matches final score total: 5.
PASS	score			WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	winner field is consistent: NYM wins 3-2.
PASS	score	cross-schema		CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	NYM	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	NYM recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.
PASS	team_recent_performance	current	WAS	RECENT_FORM_RANGE	WAS recent hitting/pitching rates are in valid ranges.

Info/context findings

Severity	Category	Source	Team	Rule	Message
INFO	current_payload	current	NYM	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	NYM pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	current_payload	current	WAS	CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	WAS pitcher list appears in both predicted_performance.pitchers and player_predictions_by_position.pitchers; IDs match and were de-duplicated in this audit.
INFO	score_reconciliation			RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	No score_target_reconciliation step was used for this game.

Score evolution

step	away_runs	home_runs	confidence	description
historical_ml	2.667543411254883	3.544468402862549		Base ML historical model prediction
variance_applied	3	4		Random variance applied (0.9-1.1)
enhanced_prediction	3	4	0.546	Enhanced ML with recent form, H2H, low-score analysis
capped_target	3	4		Capped at max 12 realistic runs
simulation_result	2	3		Final inning-by-inning simulation result

Inning-by-inning linescore

team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	4
NYM	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	7

Team totals - current + final simulation

src	team	type	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	R	BB	SO	SF	HBP	SB	CS	IP	ER	BF	Pitches
current	WAS	batting	28	9	0	0	0	2	2	1	9	0	0	0	0
current	WAS	pitching		3			0		3	0	8					8.0	3	0	0
current	NYM	batting	28	9	0	0	0	2	3	0	9	0	0	0	0
current	NYM	pitching		2			0		2	0	14					9.0	2	0	0
simulation	WAS	batting	31	4	1	0	0	2	2	5	10	0	0
simulation	WAS	pitching		7			1		3	2	8					8.0	3	34	134
simulation	NYM	batting	31	7	1	0	1	3	3	2	8	0	1
simulation	NYM	pitching		4			0		2	5	10					9.0	2	36	155

Batting lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	pos	name	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	HBP	AVG
current	WAS		DH	Daylen Lile	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
current	WAS		CF	Jacob Young	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	WAS		LF	Joey Wiemer	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	WAS		SS	CJ Abrams	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	WAS		1B	Curtis Mead	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	WAS		3B	Brady House	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	WAS		2B	Nasim Nuñez	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	WAS		C	Drew Millas	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	WAS		RF	James Wood	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0.333
current	NYM		LF	Carson Benge	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	NYM		SS	Ronny Mauricio	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.333
current	NYM		RF	Brett Baty	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	NYM		C	Francisco Alvarez	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	NYM		2B	Marcus Semien	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	NYM		1B	Mark Vientos	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	NYM		CF	Luis Robert Jr.	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
current	NYM		3B	Bo Bichette	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
current	NYM		DH	Juan Soto	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.333
simulation	WAS	1	RF	James Wood	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	WAS	2	1B	Curtis Mead	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	WAS	3	DH	Daylen Lile	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
simulation	WAS	4	3B	Brady House	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	WAS	5	SS	CJ Abrams	3	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0.667
simulation	WAS	6	CF	Jacob Young	4	1	1	0	1	2	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	WAS	7	LF	Joey Wiemer	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.000
simulation	WAS	8	2B	Nasim Nuñez	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0.500
simulation	WAS	9	C	Drew Millas	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	1	3B	Bo Bichette	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	NYM	2	DH	Juan Soto	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	3	C	Francisco Alvarez	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.250
simulation	NYM	4	CF	Luis Robert Jr.	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	5	RF	Brett Baty	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.750
simulation	NYM	6	1B	Mark Vientos	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0.000
simulation	NYM	7	2B	Marcus Semien	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0.250
simulation	NYM	8	LF	Carson Benge	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.333
simulation	NYM	9	SS	Ronny Mauricio	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000

Pitching lines - current + final simulation

src	team	order	name	role	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	BF	Pitches	sim_ERA	season_ERA	season_WHIP
current	WAS	1	Cade Cavalli	Starter	5.1	1	1	1	0	4	0	0	0	1.69	4.21	1.74
current	WAS	2	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	6.75	4.09	1.16
current	WAS	3	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	6.75	3.71	1.65
current	WAS	4	Cionel Pérez	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		5.12	1.63
current	WAS	5	PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		5.58	1.86
current	WAS	6	Richard Lovelady	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		3.10	1.90
current	NYM	1	David Peterson	Starter	5.1	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0.00	5.29	1.73
current	NYM	2	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.1	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	6.75	5.62	1.25
current	NYM	3	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.00	2.31	1.28
current	NYM	4	Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.00	1.88	1.46
current	NYM	5	Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	27.00	6.14	1.59
current	NYM	6	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		7.40	2.19
simulation	WAS	1	Cade Cavalli	Starter	5.0	3	2	2	0	6	1	18	72	3.60	4.21	1.74
simulation	WAS	2	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	12	0.00	3.71	1.65
simulation	WAS	3	Cionel Pérez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	12	0.00	5.12	1.63
simulation	WAS	4	PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	0	5	17	9.00	5.58	1.86
simulation	WAS	5	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	0.0	3	0	0	2	0	0	5	21		4.09	1.16
simulation	NYM	1	David Peterson	Starter	6.0	2	2	2	1	4	0	21	78	3.00	5.29	1.73
simulation	NYM	2	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	0	0	2	2	0	7	39	0.00	7.40	2.19
simulation	NYM	3	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	9	0.00	5.62	1.25
simulation	NYM	4	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	0	5	29	0.00	2.31	1.28

Pitch count summary

team	pitcher	role	IP	R	H	BB	SO	BF	Pitches
WAS	Cade Cavalli	Starter	5.0	1	3	0	6	18	72
WAS	Gus Varland	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	12
WAS	Cionel Pérez	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	12
WAS	PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	1	0	1	5	17
WAS	Brad Lord	Middle Reliever	0.0	2	3	2	0	5	21
NYM	David Peterson	Starter	6.0	0	2	1	4	21	78
NYM	Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	1.0	2	2	2	2	7	39
NYM	Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	9
NYM	Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	1.0	0	0	2	3	5	29

Audit rule catalog

rule	status	warning	pass	description
BATTING_REALISM	good	0	4	Player/team batting lines obey baseball constraints.
BATTING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	4	Team batting totals equal the sum of player batting lines.
BAT_PITCH_BB_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting walks match opposing pitching walks allowed.
BAT_PITCH_HR_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting home runs match opposing pitching home runs allowed.
BAT_PITCH_H_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting hits match opposing pitching hits allowed.
BAT_PITCH_SO_MATCH	good	0	2	Batting strikeouts match opposing pitching strikeouts.
CONFIDENCE_RANGE	good	0	5	Confidence values are between 0 and 1.
CURRENT_FINALIZED_MATCH_BOX	warning	4	0	Current finalized player totals agree with final simulation box score.
CURRENT_LINEUP_SHAPE	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance contains a plausible 9-player lineup.
CURRENT_MODEL_ZERO_FALLBACK	good	0	2	Current model payload did not rely too heavily on all-zero model predictions.
CURRENT_NAMES_PRESENT	good	0	2	Current predicted_performance has usable player names.
CURRENT_PITCHER_DUPLICATION	info	0	0	Pitcher lists duplicated across current sections are detected and reconciled.
CURRENT_SCORE_MATCHES_SIM	good	0	1	game.predicted_runs matches scoring_simulation.final_score.
DATE_PARSE	good	0	1	Game date can be parsed as an ISO date.
FILENAME_GAME_ID_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename and game_id identify the same game.
FILENAME_TEAM_MATCH	good	0	1	Filename teams match the teams inside the JSON.
GAME_SUMMARY_MATCH	good	0	1	game_summary text agrees with final score.
H2H_DATA_LEAKAGE	good	0	1	Head-to-head history does not include same-day or future games in pregame mode.
INNINGS_COUNT	good	0	1	Inning count is valid for MLB.
INNING_OUTS	warning	1	0	Each played half inning has valid outs.
INNING_PLAY_SUMS	good	0	1	Detailed plays agree with inning runs, hits, outs, and pitches.
INNING_SEQUENCE	good	0	1	Innings are sequential and unique.
INNING_TOTAL_HITS	good	0	1	Inning hits sum to batting team hits.
INNING_TOTAL_RUNS	good	0	1	Inning runs sum to final score.
LOW_SCORE_ANALYSIS	warning	1	2	Low-score probability factors are valid and directionally consistent.
PA_BF_MATCH	good	0	2	Team plate appearances match opposing batters faced.
PITCHING_REALISM	good	0	4	Pitcher/team pitching lines obey baseball constraints.
PITCHING_TOTALS_SUM	good	0	8	Team pitching totals equal the sum of pitcher lines.
PITCH_COUNT_PITCHER_MATCH	warning	5	0	Pitch count summary pitcher rows agree with pitching box score.
PITCH_COUNT_TOTAL_MATCH	good	0	4	Pitch count summary totals match team pitching totals.
PITCH_DETAIL_SANITY	good	0	1	Pitch-by-pitch details have plausible values.
PREDICTION_COMPARISON_MATCH	good	0	3	prediction_comparison scores agree with target/final result.
RECENT_FORM_RANGE	good	0	4	Recent-form metrics are within valid numeric ranges.
RECONCILIATION_PROPAGATION	info	0	0	When score_target_reconciliation is used, all final-facing sections are regenerated from the reconciled score.
REPORT_COMPLETE	good	0	1	Report includes every audit result in the all-findings table.
REPORT_CSV_EXPORT	not triggered	0	0	Optional CSV exports were written for summary and problem rows.
RUNS_MATCH_FINAL	good	0	2	Batting/pitching runs agree with final score.
SCHEMA_ROOTS_PRESENT	good	0	1	Expected JSON root sections exist and can be audited.
SCORE_NO_TIE	good	0	1	Final MLB score has a clear winner.
SCORE_STEP_FINAL_MATCH	good	0	1	score_evolution simulation_result matches final score.
SCORE_STEP_ORDER	good	0	1	Score evolution contains the expected ordered steps.
STARTER_PRESENT	good	0	4	Pitching staff includes a starter or opener when expected.
TARGET_SCORE_DRIFT	good	0	1	Final score does not drift too far from enhanced target.
TEAM_RECENT_RECORD	warning	2	0	team_recent_performance wins and win_pct agree with games_analyzed.
TOTAL_RUNS_MATCH	good	0	1	total_runs equals away + home runs.
WINNER_FIELD_MATCH	good	0	1	winner field agrees with the final score.