MLB Game Prediction Audit Report

Generated: 2026-04-06 21:32:50 | Games Date: 20260406

Total Games

Clean Games

With Warnings

With Errors

Total Errors

Total Warnings

110

Checks Passed

Game-by-Game Results

20260406_HOU@COL.json 2 warnings 2 warnings

Score: HOU 6 - COL 4 (9 innings)

Winner: HOU wins 6-4

Warnings

High hit total: 26 combined hits (MLB avg ~17)

COL has 15 hits — above average

Passed Checks

Hits match: HOU batting H=11 == COL pitching H=11

Hits match: COL batting H=15 == HOU pitching H=15

Runs match: HOU batting R=6 == final score 6

Runs match: COL batting R=4 == final score 4

Runs vs pitching match: HOU batting R=6 == COL pitching R=6

Runs vs pitching match: COL batting R=4 == HOU pitching R=4

SO match: HOU batting SO=10 == COL pitching SO=10

SO match: COL batting SO=4 == HOU pitching SO=4

BB match: HOU batting BB=2 == COL pitching BB=2

BB match: COL batting BB=0 == HOU pitching BB=0

HR match: HOU batting HR=0 == COL pitching HR=0

HR match: COL batting HR=1 == HOU pitching HR=1

HOU has 4 pitchers (realistic)

COL has 4 pitchers (realistic)

HOU has 9 batters in lineup (correct)

COL has 9 batters in lineup (correct)

Realistic total runs: 10

Inning-by-inning away runs (6) matches final score (6)

Inning-by-inning home runs (4) matches final score (4)

HOU team batting average .289 is reasonable

COL team batting average .357 is reasonable

COL pitching IP=9.0 matches 27 outs

HOU pitching IP=9.0 matches 27 outs

Inning-by-inning HOU runs (6) matches final score

Inning-by-inning COL runs (4) matches final score

Inning-by-inning HOU hits (11) matches batting total

Inning-by-inning COL hits (15) matches batting total

HOU AB-H (27) == innings outs minus SF (27) ✓

COL AB-H (27) == innings outs minus SF (27) ✓

HOU pitching ER (4) <= R (4)

COL pitching ER (6) <= R (6)

Realistic total runs: 10

SO match: HOU batting SO=10 == COL pitching SO=10

BB match: HOU batting BB=2 == COL pitching BB=2

SO match: COL batting SO=4 == HOU pitching SO=4

BB match: COL batting BB=0 == HOU pitching BB=0

Pitcher Performance

Team	Pitcher	Role	IP	H	R	ER	SO	BB	HR	ERA
HOU	Cody Bolton	SP	5.0	11	3	3	1	0	1	5.40
HOU	Bryan Abreu	RP	2.0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0.00
HOU	Bryan King	RP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.00
HOU	Kai-Wei Teng	RP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	0	9.00
COL	Ryan Feltner	SP	5.0	7	2	2	7	0	0	3.60
COL	Victor Vodnik	RP	2.0	4	4	4	1	2	0	18.00
COL	Jimmy Herget	RP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00
COL	Antonio Senzatela	RP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00

Notable Batter Performances

Team	Batter	AB	H	HR	RBI	AVG
HOU	Joey Loperfido	4	3	0	3	0.750
COL	Mickey Moniak	5	4	1	1	0.800
COL	TJ Rumfield	5	3	0	0	0.600
COL	Willi Castro	5	3	0	1	0.600

Full Batting Box Score

Team	Player	Pos	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
HOU	Jeremy Peña	SS	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
HOU	Yordan Alvarez	DH	5	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.400
HOU	Jose Altuve	2B	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.400
HOU	Carlos Correa	3B	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.000
HOU	Christian Walker	1B	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.500
HOU	Cam Smith	RF	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0.000
HOU	Joey Loperfido	LF	4	3	1	0	1	3	0	0	0.750
HOU	Yainer Diaz	C	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0.250
HOU	Jake Meyers	CF	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.250
COL	Edouard Julien	2B	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
COL	Mickey Moniak	DH	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0	0.800
COL	Hunter Goodman	C	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.200
COL	Troy Johnston	RF	5	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.400
COL	TJ Rumfield	1B	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.600
COL	Willi Castro	SS	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.600
COL	Brenton Doyle	CF	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.500
COL	Jake McCarthy	LF	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000
COL	Kyle Karros	3B	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000

20260406_PHI@SF.json 1 warnings 1 warnings

Score: PHI 9 - SF 2 (9 innings)

Winner: PHI wins 9-2

Warnings

PHI has 17 hits — above average

Passed Checks

Hits match: PHI batting H=17 == SF pitching H=17

Hits match: SF batting H=4 == PHI pitching H=4

Runs match: PHI batting R=9 == final score 9

Runs match: SF batting R=2 == final score 2

Runs vs pitching match: PHI batting R=9 == SF pitching R=9

Runs vs pitching match: SF batting R=2 == PHI pitching R=2

SO match: PHI batting SO=5 == SF pitching SO=5

SO match: SF batting SO=3 == PHI pitching SO=3

BB match: PHI batting BB=0 == SF pitching BB=0

BB match: SF batting BB=1 == PHI pitching BB=1

HR match: PHI batting HR=3 == SF pitching HR=3

HR match: SF batting HR=0 == PHI pitching HR=0

PHI has 4 pitchers (realistic)

SF has 4 pitchers (realistic)

PHI has 9 batters in lineup (correct)

SF has 9 batters in lineup (correct)

Realistic total runs: 11

Inning-by-inning away runs (9) matches final score (9)

Inning-by-inning home runs (2) matches final score (2)

PHI team batting average .386 is reasonable

SF team batting average .129 is reasonable

SF pitching IP=9.0 matches 27 outs

PHI pitching IP=9.0 matches 27 outs

Inning-by-inning PHI runs (9) matches final score

Inning-by-inning SF runs (2) matches final score

Inning-by-inning PHI hits (17) matches batting total

Inning-by-inning SF hits (4) matches batting total

PHI AB-H (27) == innings outs minus SF (27) ✓

SF AB-H (27) == innings outs minus SF (27) ✓

PHI pitching ER (2) <= R (2)

SF pitching ER (9) <= R (9)

Realistic total runs: 11

Realistic total hits: 21

SO match: PHI batting SO=5 == SF pitching SO=5

BB match: PHI batting BB=0 == SF pitching BB=0

SO match: SF batting SO=3 == PHI pitching SO=3

BB match: SF batting BB=1 == PHI pitching BB=1

Pitcher Performance

Team	Pitcher	Role	IP	H	R	ER	SO	BB	HR	ERA
PHI	Andrew Painter	SP	5.0	4	2	2	3	1	0	3.60
PHI	Jhoan Duran	RP	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
PHI	José Alvarado	RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
PHI	Jonathan Bowlan	RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
SF	Adrian Houser	SP	5.0	10	6	6	2	0	3	10.80
SF	Ryan Walker	RP	2.0	4	1	1	2	0	0	4.50
SF	Keaton Winn	RP	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	0	18.00
SF	Ryan Borucki	RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00

Notable Batter Performances

Team	Batter	AB	H	HR	RBI	AVG
PHI	Bryce Harper	5	3	0	2	0.600
PHI	Alec Bohm	5	3	1	3	0.600
PHI	Bryson Stott	5	2	2	4	0.400
PHI	Adolis García	5	3	0	0	0.600

Full Batting Box Score

Team	Player	Pos	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
PHI	Trea Turner	SS	5	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.400
PHI	Kyle Schwarber	DH	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.400
PHI	Bryce Harper	1B	5	3	1	0	2	2	0	0	0.600
PHI	Alec Bohm	3B	5	3	1	1	2	3	0	0	0.600
PHI	Bryson Stott	2B	5	2	0	2	2	4	0	1	0.400
PHI	Adolis García	RF	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.600
PHI	Brandon Marsh	LF	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.200
PHI	J.T. Realmuto	C	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.200
PHI	Justin Crawford	CF	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
SF	Willy Adames	SS	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
SF	Luis Arraez	2B	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0.333
SF	Matt Chapman	3B	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
SF	Rafael Devers	1B	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
SF	Heliot Ramos	LF	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.250
SF	Jung Hoo Lee	RF	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
SF	Jerar Encarnacion	DH	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
SF	Harrison Bader	CF	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
SF	Patrick Bailey	C	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.333

20260406_ATL@LAA.json CLEAN

Score: ATL 9 - LAA 3 (9 innings)

Winner: ATL wins 9-3

Passed Checks

Hits match: ATL batting H=11 == LAA pitching H=11

Hits match: LAA batting H=4 == ATL pitching H=4

Runs match: ATL batting R=9 == final score 9

Runs match: LAA batting R=3 == final score 3

Runs vs pitching match: ATL batting R=9 == LAA pitching R=9

Runs vs pitching match: LAA batting R=3 == ATL pitching R=3

SO match: ATL batting SO=4 == LAA pitching SO=4

SO match: LAA batting SO=6 == ATL pitching SO=6

BB match: ATL batting BB=0 == LAA pitching BB=0

BB match: LAA batting BB=2 == ATL pitching BB=2

HR match: ATL batting HR=1 == LAA pitching HR=1

HR match: LAA batting HR=2 == ATL pitching HR=2

ATL has 4 pitchers (realistic)

LAA has 4 pitchers (realistic)

ATL has 9 batters in lineup (correct)

LAA has 9 batters in lineup (correct)

Realistic total runs: 12

Inning-by-inning away runs (9) matches final score (9)

Inning-by-inning home runs (3) matches final score (3)

ATL team batting average .297 is reasonable

LAA team batting average .129 is reasonable

LAA pitching IP=9.0 matches 27 outs

ATL pitching IP=9.0 matches 27 outs

Inning-by-inning ATL runs (9) matches final score

Inning-by-inning LAA runs (3) matches final score

Inning-by-inning ATL hits (11) matches batting total

Inning-by-inning LAA hits (4) matches batting total

ATL AB-H (26) == innings outs minus SF (26) ✓

LAA AB-H (27) == innings outs minus SF (27) ✓

ATL pitching ER (3) <= R (3)

LAA pitching ER (9) <= R (9)

Realistic total runs: 12

Realistic total hits: 15

SO match: ATL batting SO=4 == LAA pitching SO=4

BB match: ATL batting BB=0 == LAA pitching BB=0

SO match: LAA batting SO=6 == ATL pitching SO=6

BB match: LAA batting BB=2 == ATL pitching BB=2

Pitcher Performance

Team	Pitcher	Role	IP	H	R	ER	SO	BB	HR	ERA
ATL	Chris Sale	SP	6.0	2	2	2	5	1	2	3.00
ATL	Raisel Iglesias	RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
ATL	Robert Suarez	RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
ATL	Aaron Bummer	RP	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	0	9.00
LAA	José Soriano	SP	4.0	8	7	7	2	0	1	15.75
LAA	Jordan Romano	RP	3.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00
LAA	Sam Bachman	RP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00
LAA	Brent Suter	RP	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	0	18.00

Full Batting Box Score

Team	Player	Pos	AB	H	2B	HR	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG
ATL	Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.200
ATL	Drake Baldwin	C	5	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0.200
ATL	Matt Olson	1B	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
ATL	Austin Riley	3B	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.500
ATL	Mike Yastrzemski	LF	4	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	0.250
ATL	Ozzie Albies	2B	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
ATL	Dominic Smith	DH	4	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	0.500
ATL	Michael Harris II	CF	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	0.333
ATL	Mauricio Dubón	SS	4	2	1	0	1	2	0	0	0.500
LAA	Zach Neto	SS	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
LAA	Jorge Soler	RF	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.250
LAA	Jo Adell	LF	4	2	0	1	2	1	0	1	0.500
LAA	Jeimer Candelario	1B	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
LAA	Logan O'Hoppe	C	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0.250
LAA	Oswald Peraza	3B	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
LAA	Yoán Moncada	DH	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
LAA	Bryce Teodosio	CF	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
LAA	Adam Frazier	2B	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000

Cross-Game Analysis

All Warnings Across Games

Game	Warning
20260406_HOU@COL.json	High hit total: 26 combined hits (MLB avg ~17)
20260406_HOU@COL.json	COL has 15 hits — above average
20260406_PHI@SF.json	PHI has 17 hits — above average

Score Distribution

Game	Score
20260406_ATL@LAA.json	Score: ATL 9 - LAA 3 (9 innings)
20260406_HOU@COL.json	Score: HOU 6 - COL 4 (9 innings)
20260406_PHI@SF.json	Score: PHI 9 - SF 2 (9 innings)

All Pitchers Across Games

Game	Team	Pitcher	Role	IP	H	R	ER	SO	BB	HR	ERA
20260406_ATL@LAA.json	ATL	Chris Sale	SP	6.0	2	2	2	5	1	2	3.00
20260406_ATL@LAA.json	ATL	Raisel Iglesias	RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
20260406_ATL@LAA.json	ATL	Robert Suarez	RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
20260406_ATL@LAA.json	ATL	Aaron Bummer	RP	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	0	9.00
20260406_ATL@LAA.json	LAA	José Soriano	SP	4.0	8	7	7	2	0	1	15.75
20260406_ATL@LAA.json	LAA	Jordan Romano	RP	3.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00
20260406_ATL@LAA.json	LAA	Sam Bachman	RP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00
20260406_ATL@LAA.json	LAA	Brent Suter	RP	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	0	18.00
20260406_HOU@COL.json	COL	Ryan Feltner	SP	5.0	7	2	2	7	0	0	3.60
20260406_HOU@COL.json	COL	Victor Vodnik	RP	2.0	4	4	4	1	2	0	18.00
20260406_HOU@COL.json	COL	Jimmy Herget	RP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00
20260406_HOU@COL.json	COL	Antonio Senzatela	RP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.00
20260406_HOU@COL.json	HOU	Cody Bolton	SP	5.0	11	3	3	1	0	1	5.40
20260406_HOU@COL.json	HOU	Bryan Abreu	RP	2.0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0.00
20260406_HOU@COL.json	HOU	Bryan King	RP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.00
20260406_HOU@COL.json	HOU	Kai-Wei Teng	RP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	0	9.00
20260406_PHI@SF.json	PHI	Andrew Painter	SP	5.0	4	2	2	3	1	0	3.60
20260406_PHI@SF.json	PHI	Jhoan Duran	RP	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
20260406_PHI@SF.json	PHI	José Alvarado	RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
20260406_PHI@SF.json	PHI	Jonathan Bowlan	RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
20260406_PHI@SF.json	SF	Adrian Houser	SP	5.0	10	6	6	2	0	3	10.80
20260406_PHI@SF.json	SF	Ryan Walker	RP	2.0	4	1	1	2	0	0	4.50
20260406_PHI@SF.json	SF	Keaton Winn	RP	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	0	18.00
20260406_PHI@SF.json	SF	Ryan Borucki	RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00

Total Pitchers Used

4.0

Avg Pitchers/Team

5.0

Avg Starter IP

1.3

Avg Reliever IP

Quality Assessment

What's Working Well

Hits consistency: batting H matches pitching H for all 6 team sides

All 3 games pass all audit checks with zero errors

AB-H consistency: batting outs match innings outs for all teams

Areas to Improve

3 warnings found — review for realism improvements.